Dangerous Heat Builds and Expands; Critical Fire Weather for the Southwest; Severe Thunderstorms for Plains and Midwest

Dangerous to record breaking heat will build across the center of the nation and slowly build eastward this week. Wildfire conditions remain critical for the Southwest and portions of the Great Basin through Monday. For the northern Plains and upper Midwest, severe thunderstorms with the potential for large to very large hail and severe winds are the primary hazards. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Sat, Jul 4, 2026 at 2:38:46 pm CDT

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National Weather Service Wichita, Kansas

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National Weather Service Fort Worth/Dallas, TX

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Hazardous Weather Outlook

4th of July Weekend Forecast

Independence Day Severe Risk

Independence Day Storm Timing

Independence Day Heavy Rain Potential

Sunday Afternoon/Evening Storms

Extended Forecast

Hot and humid conditions are expected for the holiday weekend. Relatively light winds will do little to alleviate heat stress on July 4th - be sure to stay hydrated and wear sunscreen. Some shower/storm chances Saturday evening into Sunday, some of which may be strong to severe.

A cluster of strong to severe storms will be possible Saturday afternoon into the overnight hours. Large hail and damaging wind gusts are the primary hazards.

Thunderstorms, some strong to severe, are possible Saturday evening into the overnight hours. This graphic shows estimated times for the arrival of thunderstorms. These times may change so check for the latest forecast updates.

In addition to the potential for severe storms, heavy rain will also be a concern during the evening and overnight hours. Flooding is a concern, especially in parts of north central OK which has seen 10+ inches of rain in the last few weeks.

Strong to potentially severe storms are possible on Sunday afternoon and evening across locations south of I-40. The strongest storms may produce marginally severe hail/wind gusts.

Oklahoma and portions of western-north Texas look to remain hot/humid through the holiday weekend into next week. At least very low chances for daytime storms are expected as well, with highest coverage Saturday night into Sunday.

Local Weather History For July 4th...

Natures fireworks replaced the usual kind on July 4

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Dangerous Heat Builds and Expands; Critical Fire Weather for the Southwest; Severe Thunderstorms for Plains and Midwest

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