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000
FXUS64 KEWX 050550
AFDEWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1250 AM CDT Tue Jul 5 2022
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 247 PM CDT Mon Jul 4 2022
Latest regional water vapor imagery shows a weakening upper level
low over portions of the Texas panhandle while upper level ridging
centered atop Louisiana has spread westward and is influencing our
weather. We will remain under the influence of the upper ridging
centered to our east through the short term period and beyond into
the long term. This will result in a continued hot and rain free
forecast. Afternoon highs will range from the mid to upper 90s for
the Hill Country to 100 to 103 elsewhere. Heat indices will also
peak in the 102 to 107 degree range for most outside from the Hill
Country. The peak temperatures and heat indices look to remain just
shy of our heat advisory criteria. Warm and humid conditions will
trend at night with overnight lows in the low to mid 70s across the
Hill Country and the mid to upper 70s elsewhere. Low clouds return
late overnight tonight into Tuesday morning for locations generally
near or along the Balcones Escarpment. These Low clouds mix out to
mostly sunny skies by Tuesday afternoon with a few leftover mid-
level cumulus. While not as widespread, pockets of low clouds will
return late Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning. Light to
moderate south to southeasterly winds continue through the period
with the breeziest winds occurring along and behind the passage of
the seabreeze from the late afternoon through the evening.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 247 PM CDT Mon Jul 4 2022
The subtropical ridge will remain over the southern part of the
country. This will keep the weather dry and hot. Strong subsidence
will mean no rain chances through this period. Hot temperatures at
the start of the period will increase a bit further through the end
of the week. Heat advisories may be needed by late week with high
temperatures 102 to 105 in most places.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Tue Jul 5 2022
Gusty south to southeast winds and VFR conditions will continue
through this evening at area TAF sites. We do expect some low cloud
development to occur overnight into early Tuesday morning and will
mention MVFR cigs for the I-35 sites between 09-15Z. DRT is also
expected to see MVFR cigs, with the onset delayed until 12Z. All
sites will lift and scatter back to VFR by late Tuesday morning.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry 76 102 77 100 / 0 0 0 0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 76 100 77 100 / 0 0 0 0
New Braunfels Muni Airport 74 101 76 102 / 0 0 0 0
Burnet Muni Airport 74 99 76 100 / 0 0 0 0
Del Rio Intl Airport 78 101 79 101 / 0 0 0 0
Georgetown Muni Airport 75 99 77 101 / 0 0 0 0
Hondo Muni Airport 74 101 75 102 / 0 0 0 0
San Marcos Muni Airport 74 99 76 101 / 0 0 0 0
La Grange - Fayette Regional 77 100 78 102 / 0 10 0 10
San Antonio Intl Airport 76 99 77 100 / 0 0 0 0
Stinson Muni Airport 77 102 77 102 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
Short-Term...Oaks
Long-Term...04
Aviation...Oaks
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