A Pacific storm is bringing areas of low elevation rain, moderate to heavy mountain snow, and high winds to the Northwest. Strong Santa Ana winds and very dry conditions are producing elevated to critical fire weather conditions in southern California. Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible through early Wednesday morning across parts of northeast Texas into western Tennessee. Read More >
793 FXUS64 KEWX 220309 AFDEWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 909 PM CST Fri Feb 21 2025 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 903 PM CST Fri Feb 21 2025 Have expanded the Winter Weather Advisory one tier of counties northward into the Southern Hill Country from the initial advisory issuance to include Bandera, Blanco, Kendall and Travis counties. Drizzle has made steady progress northward and temperatures across the listed counties above are trending cooler and closer to the freezing mark already. Currently, Boerne is reporting 32 degrees with a dew point that has climbed up to 27 degrees. Light icing on elevated surfaces are expected with spotty slick spots developing across bridges, overpasses, and any untreated roadways. Ice accumulations from a few hundredths up to 1/10th of an inch are possible. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Saturday night) Issued at 128 PM CST Fri Feb 21 2025 Key Messages: - Winter Weather Advisory in effect from 6pm this evening through 9am Saturday for Bexar, Comal, Hays, Caldwell, Guadalupe, Wilson, and Gonzales Counties for freezing rain. - Accumulations will range from a few hundredths to 1/10th of an inch, particularly on elevated surfaces, bridges, and overpasses. - Temperatures warm back above freezing and stay above freezing after mid-morning Saturday through the remainder of the short term. Latest regional satellite imagery depicts expansive stratus and low cloud cover over south and central Texas. Light east-northeasterly winds and a shallow cold airmass remain in place early this afternoon. The latest HREF guidance came in with an aggressive approach to freezing rain across our central and eastern CWA. With regard to impacts of accumulations, particularly on elevated surface, bridges, and overpasses, and the potential to impact travel late Friday night and early Saturday morning, have opted to issue a Winter Weather Advisory for the counties mentioned above for ice accumulations. The NBM and the global guidance aren`t handling this event well at all, so reliance on mesoscale features and nowcasting have become particularly important at this distance. In any matter, once we get through mid-morning, temperatures should warm above freezing at all locations, with a cold rain expected for the remainder of the day through early evening Saturday. Rain should clear from west to east and mostly be out of our CWA by Sunday morning. Temperatures should also remain above freezing Saturday night, so any refreezing or additional freezing rain is unlikely at this time. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through Friday) Issued at 128 PM CST Fri Feb 21 2025 Key Messages: - Warming trend begins Sunday, with above normal temperatures developing Monday through Wednesday. The upper level trough exits to the east Sunday and Sunday night, with precipitation chances ending across the far eastern counties Sunday morning. Dry conditions then prevail across south-central Texas through the remainder of the forecast. High temperatures Monday through Wednesday warm to above normal for this time of year. By Wednesday high temperatures are forecast to be in the mid 80s along the Rio Grande, upper 70s to around 80 along the I-35 corridor, and mid 70s Coastal Plains. There is a weak front that we will watch for late Wednesday night into Thursday morning, although there is spread in the global ensembles on the push behind it and degree of cooler air. A few ensemble members are also generating some light precipitation amounts along the front, although the majority, and this official forecast, are dry. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 516 PM CST Fri Feb 21 2025 Terminals initially begin VFR but the I-35 sites (KAUS, KSAT, and KSSF) will lower into MVFR levels within the first few hours beyond sunset. KDRT will be more delayed until after midnight to lower into MVFR levels. Forecast remains tricky from the overnight into early Saturday morning at KAUS, KSAT, KSSF as lowering temperatures and moisture advancing northward will result in a chance for -FZDZ. The San Antonio terminals (KSAT and KSSF) has a slightly better chance along with the slightly longer duration. By sometime mid-morning on Saturday, the temperatures warm above freezing and remaining area precipitation will become all liquid. Remainder of the period will highlight drizzle and/or PROB30 groups for -SHRA at KAUS, KSAT, and KSSF. KDRT is expected to remain dry through the forecast period. Ceilings will remain MVFR through the afternoon before ceilings lower Saturday night into the IFR range at KAUS and KSAT within the 30 hr TAFs. Winds should remain light out of the north-northeast before becoming light and variable overnight into Saturday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 32 41 37 60 / 10 20 30 10 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 31 40 36 60 / 20 30 40 10 New Braunfels Muni Airport 31 41 37 62 / 30 30 30 10 Burnet Muni Airport 29 43 37 63 / 10 10 10 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 37 49 38 73 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 30 41 37 62 / 10 20 30 0 Hondo Muni Airport 33 43 38 67 / 20 20 10 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 31 39 36 60 / 20 30 40 10 La Grange - Fayette Regional 33 40 37 56 / 20 50 50 20 San Antonio Intl Airport 32 41 39 64 / 30 30 20 10 Stinson Muni Airport 33 41 39 64 / 30 30 20 10 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Winter Weather Advisory until 9 AM CST Saturday for Bandera-Bexar- Blanco-Caldwell-Comal-Gonzales-Guadalupe-Hays-Kendall-Travis-Wilson. && $$ Short-Term...Brady Long-Term...76 Aviation...Brady
No recent Short Term Forecast (NOW) has been issued for NWS Austin/San Antonio CWA (EWX).
No recent Special Weather Statement (SPS) has been issued for NWS Austin/San Antonio CWA (EWX).