275
FXUS64 KEWX 242335
AFDEWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
535 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions across
portions of south central Texas through the next several days.
- Well above normal temperatures and dry conditions will persist
into next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1230 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026
Gusty south winds have returned to all of south central Texas late
this morning. We`ve also seen an increase in moisture as dewpoint
temperatures around sunrise were in the mid 20s to lower 30s, with
Noon readings mainly in the mid 30s to mid 40s. Daytime highs are
still on track to peak in the 70s for most locations. Gusty south
winds will persist into early evening, then decrease across most
locations. The exception will be over the higher terrain of the
Hill Country where some occasional gusts will likely persist
overnight. South to southwesterly winds continue tomorrow and with
the low-level thermal ridge set to amplify, daytime highs will
soar into the mid 80s to lower 90s. While temperatures will be
well above normal, the current record maximum temperatures appear
safe at this time. Please see the below Climate section for the
details.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1230 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026
A weak cold front will begin to advance into the region on
Thursday. However, we still expect to see well above normal
temperatures ahead of the front. The warmest readings will be
along the Rio Grande where downslope winds will push highs into
the mid 90s. Elsewhere, expect highs in the lower 80s to lower
90s. The existing record highs at Austin-Bergstrom and San Antonio
could be within reach. A very weak cooling trend is anticipated on
Friday, with highs mainly in the upper 70s to upper 80s.
Gusty south winds return for the upcoming weekend along with
continued well above normal temperatures. A pattern change could
emerge toward the middle of next week as most of the models show
an upper low developing in the desert southwest. For this forecast
round, prefer to keep dry weather and above normal temperatures
intact.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 523 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026
VFR CIGs expected throughout the forecast period with only main
concern being continued breezy southerly winds for I-35 TAF
sites. Winds should relax some and remain around 10 kts overnight
before becoming breezy tomorrow once again. Have gusts up to 25 kts
for KAUS while areas to the south (KSAT and KSSF) shouldn`t see
winds quite as strong with gusts up to 18 kts. Models continue to
hint at brief low CIGs near sunrise tomorrow, however confidence
on this occurring remains low so have kept mention of FEW015 in
this TAF package for now. For KDRT expect winds to subside after
sunset with light east southeasterly winds overnight and becoming
variable by tomorrow morning and continuing into tomorrow
afternoon.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1230 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026
Gusty south winds will persist today across all areas. Minimum
humidity levels will also trend upward due to the increase in
low-level humidity values. Some elevated fire weather concerns may
appear this afternoon due to gusty south winds and some pockets of
low humidity. All areas can expect good to excellent humidity
recovery tonight as some gusty south winds persist across the
higher terrain of the Hill Country. Winds trend to a more
southwest to westerly direction on Wednesday and some elevated to
near critical fire weather conditions may develop mainly along and
west of Interstate 35 due to low humidity levels and gusty winds.
On Thursday, a cold front moves into the region, but little change
in temperatures is anticipated. The dry conditions and gusty north
winds may bring near critical fire weather conditions to all of
south central Texas. Wind speeds should be around or less than 10
mph for most areas on Friday. Gusty south winds return for the
upcoming weekend, but an increase in humidity is also anticipated.
Dry weather looks to continue well into early next week.
&&
.CLIMATE...
Issued at 1230 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026
CLIMATE
=======
February 25 February 26
Location Record Maximum (Year) Record Maximum (Year)
Austin Camp Mabry 92 (2008) 93 (1954)
Austin Bergstrom 89 (2008) 88 (2009)
Del Rio 99 (2008) 96 (2024)
San Antonio 92 (2008) 91 (1954)
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry 56 87 60 86 / 0 0 0 0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 54 86 59 87 / 0 0 0 0
New Braunfels Muni Airport 51 86 56 88 / 0 0 0 0
Burnet Muni Airport 53 87 57 83 / 0 0 0 0
Del Rio Intl Airport 48 93 57 93 / 0 0 0 0
Georgetown Muni Airport 55 87 60 85 / 0 0 0 0
Hondo Muni Airport 46 88 52 93 / 0 0 0 0
San Marcos Muni Airport 53 87 57 89 / 0 0 0 0
La Grange - Fayette Regional 56 85 61 86 / 0 0 0 0
San Antonio Intl Airport 53 87 58 90 / 0 0 0 0
Stinson Muni Airport 52 88 57 91 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Platt
LONG TERM....Platt
AVIATION...CJM
No recent Short Term Forecast (NOW) has been issued for NWS Austin/San Antonio CWA (EWX).
No recent Special Weather Statement (SPS) has been issued for NWS Austin/San Antonio CWA (EWX).
Follow us on X
Follow us on Facebook
Follow us on YouTube
EWX RSS Feed