National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

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071
FNUS54 KMRX 151839
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

.DISCUSSION...


Near record warm temperatures will continue today. On Friday, a cold
front will approach from the west, bringing rain chances for the
northern half of the area and also the mountains. Much cooler
temperatures are expected over the weekend.



VAZ001-161945-
Lee-
Including the city of Rose Hill
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (-1)   76-81 (-5)   40-45        51-56
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   59-64 (-6)   95-100       46-51
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 10                     N 14
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW  6        NW 13        NW 14        N 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  9        W 18         N 12         N 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    440          4340         440          4990
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    3960         78120        5280         79840
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  68 Good      24 Fair      69 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  69 Good      20 Gen Poor  74 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       8            9            5            4
Max LVORI Late        9            4            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            40           60           0
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      None
Precip Duration                    1            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.05         0.00
Precip Begin                       2 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   8 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Widespread frost. Lows in the mid
30s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 42 percent. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

VAZ002-161945-
Wise-
Including the cities of Big Stone Gap, Norton, Wise, Coeburn,
Appalachia, and Pardee
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (-1)   73-78 (-5)   38-43        47-52
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   60-65 (-9)   95-100       55-60
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 12                     N 19
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW 11        NW 16        NW 18        N 12
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        W 20         NW 15        N 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    440          4480         670          4760
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    3080         89600        10050        80920
Max Dispersion Early  5 Very Poor  72 Good      28 Fair      68 Good
Max Dispersion Late   5 Very Poor  74 Good      32 Fair      77 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       9            7            5            4
Max LVORI Late        9            4            5            3
Precip Chance (%)     0            60           80           30
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Precip Duration                    1            2            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.11         0.01
Precip Begin                       2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Widespread frost. Lows in the
lower 30s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Widespread frost. Highs around 60. Minimum RH
37 percent. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

VAZ005-161945-
Scott VA-
Including the city of Hiltons
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (0)    77-82 (-5)   42-47        51-56
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   58-63 (-6)   95-100       47-52
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 13                     N 17
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW  9        W 15         NW 16        N 13
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  8        W 20         NW 10        N 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    410          4880         440          5150
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    3280         97600        4400         92700
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  74 Good      22 Fair      78 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  83 Good      19 Gen Poor  82 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       8            9            5            5
Max LVORI Late        9            3            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            50           70           0
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      None
Precip Duration                    1            2
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.04         0.00
Precip Begin                       2 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid
30s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

VAZ006-161945-
Russell-
Including the cities of Hansonville, Lebanon, Dye, Castlewood,
Honaker, and Rosedale
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (-1)   74-79 (-4)   39-44        47-52
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  60-65 (-10)  95-100       54-59
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 14                     N 21
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S  9         W 18         NW 22        N 13
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        W 20         NW 15        N 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    430          4870         670          4940
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    3010         97400        10050        88920
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  70 Good      26 Fair      78 Good
Max Dispersion Late   5 Very Poor  83 Good      25 Fair      81 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       8            8            5            5
Max LVORI Late        9            4            5            3
Precip Chance (%)     0            60           90           20
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Precip Duration                    1            2            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.12         0.01
Precip Begin                       2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Widespread frost. Lows in the
lower 30s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 38 percent. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

VAZ008-161945-
Washington VA-
Including the cities of Benhams, Bristol VA, and Abingdon
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (-1)   75-80 (-5)   40-45        49-54
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  57-62 (-8)   95-100       49-54
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 15                     N 20
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S  8         W 17         NW 20        N 14
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  8        W 22         NW 15        N 20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    420          4920         480          4920
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    3360         108240       7200         98400
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  75 Good      26 Fair      78 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  90 Good      24 Fair      83 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       7            8            5            5
Max LVORI Late        8            4            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            60           90           20
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Precip Duration                    1            2            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.09         0.01
Precip Begin                       3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Widespread frost. Lows in the
lower 30s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 37 percent. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-161945-
Johnson-
Including the cities of Doeville, Mountain City, Neva,
Shady Valley, Trade, and Laurel Bloomery
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (0)    73-78 (-5)   37-42        46-51
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   54-59 (-6)   95-100       54-59
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  W 13 G21                  N 16 G24
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S  5         W 14         NW 19 G26    N 11 G19
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  6         W 22         NW 16        N 20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    400          4680         1340         4200
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2400         102960       21440        84000
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  78 Good      31 Fair      69 Good
Max Dispersion Late   5 Very Poor  88 Good      31 Fair      73 Good
Category Day          1            4            2            4
Max LVORI Early       7            7            5            4
Max LVORI Late        7            4            5            3
Precip Chance (%)     0            40           80           20
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Precip Duration                    1            2            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.08         0.01
Precip Begin                       4 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Widespread frost. Lows in the
lower 30s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ047-161945-
Southeast Carter-
Including the city of Hampton
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (0)    73-78 (-6)   38-43        45-50
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  54-59 (-4)   95-100       55-60
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  W 13                      N 19 G26
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S  5         W 16         NW 21 G29    N 13
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  6         W 21         NW 18        N 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    400          4720         1320         4130
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2400         99120        23760        74340
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  75 Good      30 Fair      61 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  84 Good      25 Fair      69 Good
Category Day          1            4            2            4
Max LVORI Early       6            7            5            5
Max LVORI Late        7            4            5            3
Precip Chance (%)     0            40           80           30
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Precip Duration                    1            2            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.11         0.01
Precip Begin                       4 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Widespread frost. Lows in the
lower 30s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ045-161945-
Unicoi-
Including the cities of Erwin, Unicoi, and Limestone Cove
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (0)    74-79 (-6)   40-45        47-52
RH % (24h trend)      94-99 (+3)   53-58 (-5)   95-100       55-60
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  W 11 G20                  N 16 G23
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S  7         W 13 G22     NW 19        N 11 G19
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         W 21         NW 16        N 20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          4900         970          4330
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1900         102900       15520        86600
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  77 Good      26 Fair      60 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  88 Good      24 Fair      71 Good
Category Day          1            4            2            4
Max LVORI Early       6            6            5            5
Max LVORI Late        6            4            5            3
Precip Chance (%)     0            40           80           30
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Precip Duration                    1            2            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.11         0.01
Precip Begin                       4 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Widespread frost. Lows in the mid
30s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ043-161945-
Southeast Greene-
Including the city of Cedar Creek
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (0)    74-79 (-7)   39-44        48-53
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (+3)   47-52 (-6)   95-100       46-51
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 12 G21                 N 16 G24
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S  8         W 14 G23     NW 17 G24    N 10 G19
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  5        W 20         NW 15        N 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    390          5140         520          4790
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1950         102800       7800         81430
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  85 Good      25 Fair      63 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  90 Good      20 Gen Poor  71 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       6            6            5            5
Max LVORI Late        7            4            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            50           70           20
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Precip Duration                    1            2            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.03         0.11         0.01
Precip Begin                       4 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Widespread frost. Lows in the
lower 30s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ041-161945-
Cocke Smoky Mountains-
Including the city of Hartford
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (-1)   75-80 (-6)   40-45        48-53
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (+5)   46-51 (-9)   95-100       48-53
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 15                     N 21
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S  8         W 18         NW 20        N 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  3        W 20         NW 14        N 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    370          5110         470          4360
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1110         102200       6580         65400
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  80 Good      25 Fair      47 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  87 Good      21 Fair      58 Gen Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       5            6            5            5
Max LVORI Late        6            4            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            60           80           40
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Precip Duration                    1            2            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.07         0.08         0.01
Precip Begin                       4 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid
30s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 36 percent. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ074-161945-
Sevier Smoky Mountains-
Including the cities of Elkmont and Gatlinburg
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (-1)   71-76 (-7)   37-42        45-50
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (+5)   52-57 (-4)   95-100       55-60
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 14                     N 21 G28
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S  8         W 17         NW 21 G28    N 14
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  5        W 18         N 17         N 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    350          4690         910          3600
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1750         84420        15470        57600
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  71 Good      28 Fair      41 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   5 Very Poor  74 Good      24 Fair      49 Gen Good
Category Day          1            4            2            3
Max LVORI Early       5            5            5            4
Max LVORI Late        6            5            4            4
Precip Chance (%)     0            50           80           40
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Precip Duration                    1            2            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.09         0.22         0.07
Precip Begin                       3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid
30s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-161945-
Blount Smoky Mountains-
Including the city of Cades Cove
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (0)    76-81 (-8)   42-47        52-57
RH % (24h trend)      87-92 (+1)   50-55 (-4)   95-100       50-55
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 11                     N 18 G26
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S  9         W 13         NW 19 G27    N 13
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  5        W 17         N 14         N 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    390          5030         440          4180
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1950         85510        6160         71060
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  70 Good      17 Gen Poor  49 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  76 Good      16 Gen Poor  62 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       5            5            5            4
Max LVORI Late        5            5            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            50           70           20
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Precip Duration                    1            2            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.04         0.15         0.03
Precip Begin                       3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-161945-
Southeast Monroe-
Including the cities of Citico and Coker Creek
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (0)    76-81 (-7)   41-46        52-57
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (-3)   52-57 (-2)   95-100       51-56
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 10 G17                 N 16 G25
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S  6         NW 14        NW 19 G27    N 12 G21
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  8         W 16         N 14         N 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    430          4860         430          4210
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    3440         77760        6020         71570
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  55 Gen Good  19 Gen Poor  54 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  66 Good      17 Gen Poor  65 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       6            6            5            4
Max LVORI Late        6            4            5            3
Precip Chance (%)     0            40           40           0
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      None
Precip Duration                    1            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.04         0.00
Precip Begin                       3 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   8 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid 30s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 49 percent. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ102-161945-
East Polk-
Including the cities of Big Frog Mountain, Ducktown,
and Turtletown
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (0)    78-83 (-7)   42-47        54-59
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+4)  51-56 (0)    95-100       48-53
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 10                     N 19
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S  8         NW 16        NW 22        N 14
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        W 16         N 15         N 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    370          5320         500          4450
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2590         85120        7500         80100
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  51 Gen Good  35 Fair      66 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  75 Good      19 Gen Poor  73 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       7            7            4            4
Max LVORI Late        8            3            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           20           0
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      None
Precip Duration                                 1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.00
Precip Begin                       6 PM         9 PM
Precip End                         7 PM         12 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid 30s.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-161945-
Cherokee-
Including the cities of Andrews, Marble, Topton, Hiawasse Dam,
Murphy, Unaka, and Violet
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (0)    76-81 (-7)   41-46        54-59
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  51-56 (0)    95-100       47-52
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW  9                     N 15 G23
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      W 14 G22     NW 17        N 12
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  6        W 16         N 14         N 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    360          5120         480          4210
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2160         81920        6720         67360
Max Dispersion Early  2 Very Poor  60 Gen Good  31 Fair      57 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   2 Very Poor  75 Good      18 Gen Poor  59 Gen Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       7            8            4            4
Max LVORI Late        10           4            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           20           0
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      None
Precip Duration                    1            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.00
Precip Begin                       4 PM         8 PM
Precip End                         7 PM         7 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid 30s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 44 percent. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ061-161945-
Clay-
Including the cities of Shooting Creek, Brasstown, Hayesville,
and Tusquitee
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (0)    74-79 (-6)   40-45        52-57
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+7)  58-63 (+4)   95-100       50-55
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  W  9                      N 18 G25
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      W 13         NW 19        N 10
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  6         W 17         N 16         N 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          5000         500          4110
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2280         85000        8000         61650
Max Dispersion Early  2 Very Poor  61 Good      37 Fair      59 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  76 Good      17 Gen Poor  55 Gen Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       7            9            5            4
Max LVORI Late        8            4            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin                       6 PM
Precip End                         7 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid 30s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015-161945-
Hancock-
Including the cities of Evanston, Sneedville, Treadway,
and Kyles Ford
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (0)    78-83 (-5)   42-47        54-59
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   56-61 (-4)   95-100       45-50
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 10                     N 11
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      NW 12 G20    NW 13        N  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        W 18         N 12         N 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    430          4640         500          5320
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    3010         83520        6000         85120
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  72 Good      30 Fair      71 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  75 Good      17 Gen Poor  76 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       8            8            5            4
Max LVORI Late        9            3            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            40           50           0
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      None
Precip Duration                    1            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.00
Precip Begin                       2 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   7 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid
30s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Light and variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Light and variable wind.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ016-161945-
Hawkins-
Including the city of Mooresburg
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (0)    78-83 (-6)   43-48        54-59
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   56-61 (-4)   95-100       46-51
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 12                     N 11
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      W 14         NW 13        N 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  8        W 20         NW 10        N 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    390          4970         540          5570
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    3120         99400        5400         89120
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  72 Good      25 Fair      76 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  84 Good      16 Gen Poor  76 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       9            9            5            5
Max LVORI Late        9            3            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            40           60           0
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      None
Precip Duration                    1            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.00
Precip Begin                       2 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   1 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid
30s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Light and variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Light and variable wind.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ017-161945-
Sullivan-
Including the cities of Kingsport, Bristol TN,
and South Holston Dam
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (0)    77-82 (-6)   42-47        52-57
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  55-60 (-5)   95-100       47-52
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 16                     N 19
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S  6         W 18         NW 20        N 13
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        W 21         NW 12        N 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          5310         440          5350
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2660         111510       5280         90950
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  82 Good      25 Fair      81 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  97 Good      16 Gen Poor  83 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       7            9            5            5
Max LVORI Late        8            3            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            60           80           0
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Precip Duration                    1            2
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.07         0.00
Precip Begin                       3 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid
30s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 44 percent. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ046-161945-
Northwest Carter-
Including the city of Elizabethton
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (0)    76-81 (-6)   41-46        50-55
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (0)    50-55 (-5)   95-100       46-51
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 15                     N 17
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SE  5        W 17         NW 18        N 12
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         W 22         NW 13        N 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    400          5250         800          4960
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2000         115500       10400        84320
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  84 Good      24 Fair      70 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  97 Good      18 Gen Poor  79 Good
Category Day          1            5            1            4
Max LVORI Early       6            6            5            5
Max LVORI Late        6            4            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            50           90           20
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Precip Duration                    1            3            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.12         0.01
Precip Begin                       4 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Widespread frost. Lows in the mid
30s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 44 percent. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ044-161945-
Washington TN-
Including the city of Johnson City
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (0)    78-83 (-6)   42-47        52-57
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  54-59 (-3)   95-100       48-53
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 14                     N 13
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S  5         W 15         NW 16        N 12
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        W 22         NW 10        N 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    390          5440         530          5330
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2730         119680       5300         90610
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  88 Good      25 Fair      75 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  103 Very Good18 Gen Poor  82 Good
Category Day          1            5            1            4
Max LVORI Early       6            7            5            5
Max LVORI Late        8            4            8            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            50           80           20
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Precip Duration                    1            2            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.04         0.01
Precip Begin                       3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Widespread frost. Lows in the mid
30s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 44 percent. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ042-161945-
Northwest Greene-
Including the city of Greeneville
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (0)    79-84 (-6)   43-48        54-59
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+3)  50-55 (-4)   95-100       44-49
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 13                     N 13
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S  5         W 14         NW 15        N 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        W 21         NW  9        N 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    360          5330         570          5520
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2520         111930       5130         88320
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  82 Good      24 Fair      74 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  96 Good      17 Gen Poor  75 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       7            8            5            5
Max LVORI Late        8            3            7            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            50           70           0
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      None
Precip Duration                    1            2
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.03         0.00
Precip Begin                       3 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid
30s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ038-161945-
Grainger-
Including the city of Bean Station
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (0)    79-84 (-6)   44-49        56-61
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (-2)  54-59 (-3)   91-96        43-48
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 11                     N 13
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW  6        NW 14        NW 14        N 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        W 18         NW 12        N 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    410          4650         810          5510
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2870         83700        9720         88160
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  70 Good      33 Fair      72 Good
Max Dispersion Late   5 Very Poor  74 Good      18 Gen Poor  78 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       7            7            4            4
Max LVORI Late        7            3            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            30           40           0
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      None
Precip Duration                    1            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.00
Precip Begin                       2 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   12 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Light and variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Light and variable wind.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ039-161945-
Hamblen-
Including the cities of Alpha, Morristown, and Russellville
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (0)    79-84 (-6)   45-50        56-61
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   53-58 (-3)   94-99        43-48
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 13                     N 11
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      W 14         NW 12        N 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        W 20         NW 10        N 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    390          4800         740          5680
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2730         96000        7400         90880
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  71 Good      26 Fair      74 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  82 Good      18 Gen Poor  79 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       7            7            5            5
Max LVORI Late        8            3            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            40           60           0
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      None
Precip Duration                    1            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.00
Precip Begin                       2 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   1 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Light and variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and variable
wind.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ040-161945-
Northwest Cocke-
Including the cities of Bybee and Newport
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (0)    80-85 (-6)   43-48        55-60
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+4)  47-52 (-3)   95-100       43-48
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 14                     N 16
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      W 16         NW 16        N 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  6        W 20         NW 10        N 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    390          5380         650          5360
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2340         107600       6500         80400
Max Dispersion Early  2 Very Poor  87 Good      21 Fair      61 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  92 Good      16 Gen Poor  68 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       6            7            5            5
Max LVORI Late        7            3            7            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            50           70           20
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Precip Duration                    1            2            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.03         0.04         0.01
Precip Begin                       3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ070-161945-
Jefferson-
Including the cities of Jefferson City, Strawberry Plains,
Chestnut Hill, Dandridge, and White Pine
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (0)    80-85 (-6)   45-50        56-61
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   52-57 (-1)   95-100       43-48
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 14                     N 12
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      W 16         NW 11        N 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        W 20         NW  9        N 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          4960         960          5650
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2660         99200        8640         84750
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  72 Good      25 Fair      71 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  84 Good      17 Gen Poor  75 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       6            6            4            5
Max LVORI Late        7            3            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            40           60           0
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      None
Precip Duration                    1            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.00
Precip Begin                       3 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   4 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and variable
wind.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ035-161945-
Morgan-
Including the cities of Pine Orchard, High Point, and Petros
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (-2)   74-79 (-10)  41-46        53-58
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (-4)   61-66 (+7)   95-100       44-49
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 11 G18                 N 18
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW  8        NW 15 G23    NW 17        N 11 G19
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  7         W 16         NW 16        N 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    420          3370         550          5070
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2940         53920        8800         81120
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  47 Gen Good  41 Gen Good  66 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  46 Gen Good  41 Gen Good  72 Good
Category Day          1            3            1            4
Max LVORI Early       6            6            4            4
Max LVORI Late        6            4            4            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           20           0
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      None
Precip Duration                                 1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.00
Precip Begin                       6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   7 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid
30s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012-161945-
Scott TN-
Including the cities of Big South Fork National, Oneida,
Smokey Junction, Elgin, Huntsville, Norma, and Slick Rock
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (-1)   73-78 (-12)  41-46        53-58
RH % (24h trend)      85-90 (-10)  63-68 (+10)  95-100       42-47
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  W 11 G18                  N 15
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S  8         NW 13 G21    NW 15        N 11 G19
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  8         W 16         NW 15        N 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    420          3110         670          4980
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    3360         49760        10050        79680
Max Dispersion Early  5 Very Poor  44 Gen Good  31 Fair      62 Good
Max Dispersion Late   6 Very Poor  43 Gen Good  33 Fair      68 Good
Category Day          1            3            1            4
Max LVORI Early       5            4            4            5
Max LVORI Late        5            4            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            30           30           0
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      None
Precip Duration                    1            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.00
Precip Begin                       2 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   6 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid
30s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and variable
wind.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ013-161945-
Campbell-
Including the cities of Fincastle, La Follette, Elk Valley,
Jellico, White Oak, Caryville, and Royal Blue
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (-1)   74-79 (-8)   42-47        51-56
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (-3)   61-66 (0)    95-100       48-53
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 11                     N 16
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW  8        NW 14        NW 17        N 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  9        W 17         N 14         N 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    440          3730         650          5110
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    3960         63410        9100         81760
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  55 Gen Good  46 Gen Good  63 Good
Max Dispersion Late   5 Very Poor  46 Gen Good  31 Fair      72 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       6            6            4            4
Max LVORI Late        6            4            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            30           30           0
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      None
Precip Duration                                 1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.00
Precip Begin                       5 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   7 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 47 percent. Light
and variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Light and variable wind.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ014-161945-
Claiborne-
Including the cities of Lone Mountain, Sandlick, Springdale,
Arthur, Harrogate-Shawanee, Clairfield, and Howard Quarter
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (-1)   77-82 (-6)   42-47        54-59
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   57-62 (-3)   95-100       46-51
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 10                     N 12 G20
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW  6        NW 13        NW 13 G21    N  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        W 18         N 13         N 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    430          4300         460          5230
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    3010         77400        5980         83680
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  69 Good      42 Gen Good  64 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  68 Good      19 Gen Poor  74 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       7            8            5            5
Max LVORI Late        8            3            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            30           40           0
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      None
Precip Duration                                 1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.00
Precip Begin                       6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   8 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid
30s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Light and variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and variable
wind.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Light and variable wind.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ037-161945-
Union-
Including the cities of Maynardville, Norris Lake, Paulette,
Rose Hill, Sharps Chapel, and Luttrell
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (-1)   78-83 (-6)   44-49        55-60
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (-1)  57-62 (-2)   93-98        46-51
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 10                     N 12
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW  6        NW 12 G20    NW 13        N 10
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        W 17         N 12         N 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    430          4630         590          5450
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    3010         78710        7080         87200
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  67 Good      45 Gen Good  67 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  71 Good      21 Fair      77 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       7            8            4            4
Max LVORI Late        8            3            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           30           0
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      None
Precip Duration                                 1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.00
Precip Begin                       7 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   7 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Light and variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Light and variable wind.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ036-161945-
Anderson-
Including the cities of Oak Ridge and Clinton
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (-1)   77-82 (-7)   44-49        54-59
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  56-61 (-2)   88-93        44-49
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 11                     N 19
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW  8        NW 15 G23    NW 18        N 12
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        W 16         N 12         N 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    410          4300         420          5370
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2870         68800        5040         85920
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  61 Good      40 Fair      70 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  64 Good      27 Fair      77 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       6            7            4            4
Max LVORI Late        7            3            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           30           0
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      None
Precip Duration                                 1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.00
Precip Begin                       7 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   6 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Light and variable wind.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ069-161945-
Knox-
Including the cities of Bearden, Knoxville, and Lake Forest
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (0)    80-85 (-6)   46-51        57-62
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (-1)  54-59 (-1)   86-91        43-48
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 13                     N 13
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW  5        NW 15        NW 10 G18    NE 13
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        W 17         N  9         NE 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          4840         540          5730
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2660         82280        4860         97410
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  69 Good      34 Fair      78 Good
Max Dispersion Late   5 Very Poor  75 Good      17 Gen Poor  86 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       6            7            4            4
Max LVORI Late        7            3            4            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           30           0
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      None
Precip Duration                    1            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.00
Precip Begin                       5 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   12 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ073-161945-
North Sevier-
Including the cities of Harrisburg, Kodak, McMahan, Sevierville,
Seymour, and Pigeon Forge
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (0)    80-85 (-6)   44-49        55-60
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  50-55 (-2)   95-100       44-49
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 16                     N 19
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S  8         W 17         NW 14        NE 14
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  6        W 20         NW  9        NE 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    370          5380         650          5170
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2220         107600       5850         82720
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  84 Good      22 Fair      61 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  91 Good      16 Gen Poor  71 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       6            6            5            5
Max LVORI Late        7            4            7            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            50           60           20
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Precip Duration                    1            2            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.05         0.04         0.01
Precip Begin                       3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ067-161945-
Roane-
Including the cities of Harriman, Eagle Furnace, Rockwood,
Bradbury, Fairview, Kingston, and Oliver Springs
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (-2)   78-83 (-8)   45-50        57-62
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   58-63 (+2)   87-92        45-50
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 10                     N 12 G21
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      NW 13 G22    NW 13 G21    N 12
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        W 17         N 12         N 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          4370         520          5620
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2660         74290        6240         89920
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  62 Good      46 Gen Good  81 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  66 Good      36 Fair      83 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       7            9            4            4
Max LVORI Late        9            3            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            20           0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00
Precip Begin                                    8 PM
Precip End                                      10 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Light and variable
wind.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Light and variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Light and variable wind.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ068-161945-
Loudon-
Including the cities of Lenoir City and Loudon
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (0)    79-84 (-7)   46-51        57-62
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   57-62 (+2)   86-91        46-51
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 12                     N 14
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      NW 14        NW  9 G17    NE 14
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  8        W 17         N 10         NE 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    390          4670         530          5740
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    3120         79390        5300         97580
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  67 Good      38 Fair      87 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  72 Good      13 Gen Poor  90 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       6            7            4            4
Max LVORI Late        8            3            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           20           0
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      None
Precip Duration                                 1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.00
Precip Begin                       6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   11 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Light and
variable wind.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ071-161945-
Northwest Blount-
Including the cities of Happy Valley, Maryville, and Alcoa
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (+1)   80-85 (-6)   45-50        56-61
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (-1)   54-59 (0)    95-100       47-52
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 14                     N 16
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S  7         W 16         NW 16        NE 15
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        W 18         N  9         NE 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    390          5110         490          5360
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2730         91980        4410         91120
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  71 Good      22 Fair      75 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  81 Good      15 Gen Poor  82 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       6            6            5            4
Max LVORI Late        6            3            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            40           50           0
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      None
Precip Duration                    1            1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.00
Precip Begin                       4 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   8 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ086-161945-
Northwest Monroe-
Including the cities of Sweetwater, Madisonville,
and Bullet Creek
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Clear        Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (+1)   79-84 (-7)   45-50        56-61
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   56-61 (+3)   95-100       48-53
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 11                     N 14
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      NW 13        NW 13 G21    N 14
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  6        W 16         N 12         NE 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    400          5080         480          5220
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2400         81280        5760         93960
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  58 Gen Good  30 Fair      80 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  72 Good      13 Gen Poor  85 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       6            6            5            4
Max LVORI Late        7            3            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            30           20           0
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      None
Precip Duration                                 1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.00
Precip Begin                       5 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   7 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Light and variable wind.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ083-161945-
Rhea-
Including the cities of Dayton, Evensville, Old Washington,
Grandview, and Spring City
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (-2)   77-82 (-8)   45-50        56-61
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (-1)  59-64 (+2)   88-93        46-51
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 10                     N 12 G21
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      NW 14 G23    NW 14 G23    N 12
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  8        W 17         N 13         N 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    350          3890         770          5370
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2800         66130        10010        91290
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  59 Gen Good  40 Fair      80 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  57 Gen Good  37 Fair      82 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       6            7            4            4
Max LVORI Late        8            3            4            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 40. Light and variable wind.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Light and variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ084-161945-
Meigs-
Including the city of Big Spring
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (-1)   79-84 (-7)   45-50        58-63
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   55-60 (+1)   86-91        44-49
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 10                     N 12 G21
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      NW 14 G22    NW 11 G20    N 12
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        W 16         N 14         N 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    350          4530         770          5610
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2450         72480        10780        95370
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  64 Good      44 Gen Good  87 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  65 Good      38 Fair      88 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       9            9            4            4
Max LVORI Late        10           3            4            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Light and variable
wind.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Light and variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and variable
wind.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Light and variable wind.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ085-161945-
McMinn-
Including the cities of Athens, Clear Water, Dentville,
and Etowah
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (+1)   80-85 (-6)   45-50        57-62
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   54-59 (+1)   88-93        44-49
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW 10                     N 13 G21
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S  5         NW 13 G21    N 14         N 13
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  8         W 16         N 13         N 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          4870         620          5570
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    3040         77920        8060         100260
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  61 Good      40 Fair      91 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  70 Good      34 Fair      90 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       8            8            4            4
Max LVORI Late        9            3            4            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin                       6 PM
Precip End                         7 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and variable
wind.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Light and variable wind.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ099-161945-
Hamilton-
Including the cities of Chattanooga, Lookout Mountain,
and Signal Mountain
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (-1)   79-84 (-7)   47-52        58-63
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (-1)  55-60 (+3)   83-88        42-47
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW  9                     N 14
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW  6        NW 14 G23    NW 16        N 14
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  8        W 16         N 13         N 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    360          4600         740          5480
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2880         73600        9620         93160
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  60 Gen Good  43 Gen Good  83 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  67 Good      33 Fair      85 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       6            7            3            3
Max LVORI Late        7            3            4            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ100-161945-
Bradley-
Including the cities of Cleveland and Tasso
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (0)    80-85 (-6)   46-51        58-63
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   53-58 (+2)   85-90        43-48
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW  8                     N 13 G22
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      NW 13 G22    N 12 G22     N 13 G21
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  8         W 16         N 13         N 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    370          5160         710          5520
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2960         82560        9230         99360
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  60 Gen Good  48 Gen Good  91 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  72 Good      41 Gen Good  93 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       8            8            4            4
Max LVORI Late        9            3            4            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and variable
wind.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ101-161945-
West Polk-
Including the cities of Conasauga, Archville, Benton, Parksville,
and Reliance
239 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (+1)   80-85 (-7)   45-50        58-63
RH % (24h trend)      94-99 (-1)   50-55 (+2)   89-94        42-47
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW  8                     N 13 G22
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      NW 12 G21    N 13 G23     N 13 G21
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  8         W 16         N 13         N 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    410          5520         580          5080
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    3280         88320        7540         91440
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  57 Gen Good  31 Fair      79 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  77 Good      30 Fair      85 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       6            6            4            4
Max LVORI Late        7            3            4            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin                       6 PM
Precip End                         7 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and variable
wind.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ082-161945-
Bledsoe-
Including the cities of Old Cumberland, Palio, Melvine,
Mount Crest, Pikeville, and Brayton
139 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (-1)   74-79 (-11)  42-47        55-60
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (-5)   61-66 (+10)  94-99        41-46
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  W 10                      N 14 G22
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW  6        NW 14 G23    NW 15 G23    N 11 G18
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        W 17         N 14         N 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    390          3060         700          5000
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2730         52020        9800         85000
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  45 Gen Good  45 Gen Good  67 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  45 Gen Good  31 Fair      73 Good
Category Day          1            3            1            4
Max LVORI Early       6            5            4            4
Max LVORI Late        6            3            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Light and variable
wind.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and variable
wind.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ081-161945-
Sequatchie-
Including the cities of Cagle, Dunlap, Cartwright, and Lone Oak
139 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (-1)   74-79 (-10)  42-47        55-60
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (-3)   62-67 (+10)  93-98        43-48
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  W  9                      N 13 G23
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW  6        NW 14 G23    NW 16 G23    N 11 G18
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        W 16         N 14         N 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    390          3270         650          4860
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2730         52320        9100         77760
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  46 Gen Good  47 Gen Good  68 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  48 Gen Good  31 Fair      72 Good
Category Day          1            3            1            4
Max LVORI Early       6            5            3            4
Max LVORI Late        6            3            4            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Light and variable
wind.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ098-161945-
Marion-
Including the cities of South Pittsburg, Haletown (Guild),
Jasper, Martin Springs, Whitwell, Powells Crossroads,
and Monteagle
139 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (-2)   75-80 (-10)  44-49        57-62
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (-2)   59-64 (+10)  85-90        40-45
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  W 11                      N 13 G23
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW  5        NW 13 G22    NW 15 G23    N 13
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        W 16         N 13         N 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          3430         920          4950
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2660         54880        11960        79200
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  46 Gen Good  39 Fair      70 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  49 Gen Good  29 Fair      72 Good
Category Day          1            3            1            4
Max LVORI Early       5            6            3            3
Max LVORI Late        6            3            4            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 40. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Light and variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



                

Minimum Potential Accumulation

Expect at least this much. This is what we see as the least amount of snow the storm can produce.

This information is for advance planning ahead of the storm. It is provided out as far as three days. However, when the snow starts to fall, this will be discontinued to focus on the forecast snow amount.
 

Most Likely Snow Accumulation

Represents our official snow forecast in inches within the next one to three days. The snowfall amounts are provided in point (single number) and ranges (1-2", 2-4", etc.). You can toggle between the two by hovering over the "Point" and "Range" text above the image. The point amount is our forecast but the range for the "most likely" represents the forecast uncertainty in predefined ranges.

Maximum Potential Accumulation

What you should be prepared for. This is what we see as the storm's maximum potential snowfall accumulation.

This information is for advance planning ahead of the storm. It is provided out as far as three days. However, when the snow starts to fall, this will be discontinued to focus on the forecast snow amount.

 

Short to Long-Range Forecast
7 Day Forecasts  Hourly Weather Forecast Digital Tabular Forecast

Hourly Forecast

Hourly Forecast Hourly Forecast
   
 
Day 1 Forecast Precipitation Day 2 Forecast Precipitation
Days 1-2 Precip Days 1-3 Precip
   
Day 3 Forecast Precipitation Days 1-3 Forecast Precipitation
Days 4-5 Precip Days 6-7 Precip
   

Days 6-10

Temperature  Precipitation
6-10 day temperature 6-10 day precipitation
   

Days 8-14

TEMPERATURE  PRECIPITATION
8-14 day temperature 8-14 day precipitation

 

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