National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

These products and outlook graphics can be used to support the fire weather program across east Tennessee, southwest Virginia, and southwest North Carolina. For more information, please call the NWS Morristown, Tennessee.
 
 
Click here for the full FWF zone product           FWF Users Guide
 
 

*Spot Application Upgrade*

Request a SPOT Forecast   

 

 

*New*: Fire Weather Dashboard (experimental...availability not guaranteed)

The default location is Knoxville, TN. Click anywhere on the map to change location.

 

 

PSA ERC Interactive Map

 

 

                           Computed 10 Hour FM                                                                                   Haines

                                                           

 
 
 
Radar
     

 

Latest Fire Weather Forecast

 

                        
123
FNUS54 KMRX 161826
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

.DISCUSSION...


A cold front is pushing through today accompanied by some showers
and gusty winds. Showers will continue tonight and some light snow
showers may even mix in over the highest mountain peaks late tonight
into early Saturday before the precipitation ends. The weekend will
be much cooler than recent days, and frost may occur Saturday and
Sunday nights across portions of the area.



VAZ001-171930-
Lee-
Including the city of Rose Hill
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      40-45 (-20)  51-56 (-26)  32-37        60-65
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  48-53 (-7)   85-90        26-31
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 14                      NE  7
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 15        N 11         NE  9        NE  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 14         N 20         NE  8        E  9
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    930          4250         410          3520
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    13020        85000        3280         31680
Max Dispersion Early  34 Fair      60 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  27 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   20 Gen Poor  73 Good      3 Very Poor  31 Fair
Category Day          1            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            5            5            5
Max LVORI Late        6            3            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     90           20           0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       3
Precip Amount         0.09         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   9 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

VAZ002-171930-
Wise-
Including the cities of Big Stone Gap, Norton, Wise, Coeburn,
Appalachia, and Pardee
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      38-43 (-22)  47-52 (-27)  30-35        57-62
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  56-61 (-4)   92-97        28-33
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 19                      NE  9
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 18        N 13         N 13         NE  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 16        N 21         NE  9        NE 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1240         3970         420          3370
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    19840        83370        3780         33700
Max Dispersion Early  25 Fair      67 Good      5 Very Poor  27 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   21 Fair      70 Good      4 Very Poor  31 Fair
Category Day          2            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            5            5            6
Max LVORI Late        5            3            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     100          40           0            0
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None         None
Precip Duration       5            1
Precip Amount         0.18         0.02         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   12 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid
30s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 52 percent. North
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

VAZ005-171930-
Scott VA-
Including the city of Hiltons
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      43-48 (-18)  51-56 (-27)  33-38        60-65
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  47-52 (-7)   82-87        26-31
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 17                      NE  9
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 16        N 14         NE 12        NE  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 13         N 21         NE  8        NE 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    910          4410         420          3600
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    11830        92610        3360         36000
Max Dispersion Early  24 Fair      78 Good      5 Very Poor  30 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   22 Fair      80 Good      3 Very Poor  32 Fair
Category Day          1            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            5            4            4
Max LVORI Late        5            2            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     100          20           0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       3
Precip Amount         0.10         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

VAZ006-171930-
Russell-
Including the cities of Hansonville, Lebanon, Dye, Castlewood,
Honaker, and Rosedale
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      39-44 (-21)  47-52 (-27)  31-36        57-62
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+3)  53-58 (-5)   86-91        28-33
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 20                      NE  8
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 22        N 14         N 13         NE  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 15        N 21         NE  8        NE 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1320         4150         400          3620
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    19800        87150        3200         36200
Max Dispersion Early  23 Fair      70 Good      6 Very Poor  28 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   29 Fair      75 Good      3 Very Poor  32 Fair
Category Day          2            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            5            5            5
Max LVORI Late        5            3            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     100          30           0            0
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None         None
Precip Duration       5            1
Precip Amount         0.16         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid
30s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

VAZ008-171930-
Washington VA-
Including the cities of Benhams, Bristol VA, and Abingdon
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      40-45 (-19)  49-54 (-27)  30-35        58-63
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  48-53 (-3)   88-93        26-31
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 19                      NE  8
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 20        N 14         NE 13        NE  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 15         N 21         NE  7        NE 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1320         4230         360          3410
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    19800        88830        2520         40920
Max Dispersion Early  21 Fair      69 Good      6 Very Poor  31 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   25 Fair      77 Good      3 Very Poor  34 Fair
Category Day          2            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            5            5            4
Max LVORI Late        5            3            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     90           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       5
Precip Amount         0.11         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            Continuing
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid
30s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-171930-
Johnson-
Including the cities of Doeville, Mountain City, Neva,
Shady Valley, Trade, and Laurel Bloomery
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      38-43 (-20)  46-51 (-27)  29-34        55-60
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+3)  52-57 (+2)   86-91        25-30
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 14 G22                  E  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 17        N 12 G20     N 10         E  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 13        N 21         E  8         E 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1300         3660         370          3240
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    16900        76860        2960         38880
Max Dispersion Early  25 Fair      58 Gen Good  11 Poor      31 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   32 Fair      66 Good      3 Very Poor  31 Fair
Category Day          2            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            5            5            3
Max LVORI Late        5            3            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     100          30           0            0
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None         None
Precip Duration       4            1
Precip Amount         0.15         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Widespread frost. Lows in the lower
30s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ047-171930-
Southeast Carter-
Including the city of Hampton
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      38-43 (-21)  45-50 (-29)  29-34        56-61
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+3)  56-61 (+4)   88-93        24-29
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 18                      E  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 20        N 13         N 13         E  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 14        N 20         E  7         E 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1300         3530         380          3380
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    18200        70600        2660         33800
Max Dispersion Early  22 Fair      55 Gen Good  17 Gen Poor  29 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   26 Fair      60 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  31 Fair
Category Day          2            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            5            5            3
Max LVORI Late        5            4            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     90           40           0            0
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None         None
Precip Duration       5            1
Precip Amount         0.19         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ045-171930-
Unicoi-
Including the cities of Erwin, Unicoi, and Limestone Cove
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      40-45 (-20)  46-51 (-29)  30-35        57-62
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+6)  57-62 (+7)   88-93        26-31
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 16                      E  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 18        N 11 G19     N 14         NE  5
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 14        N 20         E  7         E  9
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1310         3630         380          3330
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    18340        72600        2660         29970
Max Dispersion Early  21 Fair      55 Gen Good  13 Gen Poor  25 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   24 Fair      63 Good      4 Very Poor  28 Fair
Category Day          2            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            5            5            5
Max LVORI Late        5            3            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     90           40           0            0
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None         None
Precip Duration       6            1
Precip Amount         0.16         0.02         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   11 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ043-171930-
Southeast Greene-
Including the city of Cedar Creek
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      39-44 (-20)  48-53 (-28)  30-35        58-63
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+8)  46-51 (+2)   92-97        25-30
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 15 G23                  E  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 16 G23    N 11 G20     NE 11        NE  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 15        N 17         E  6         E  9
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1300         4010         400          3430
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    19500        68170        2400         30870
Max Dispersion Early  23 Fair      55 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  19 Gen Poor
Max Dispersion Late   24 Fair      64 Good      3 Very Poor  27 Fair
Category Day          2            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            5            5            6
Max LVORI Late        5            2            7            2
Precip Chance (%)     90           30           0            0
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None         None
Precip Duration       5            1
Precip Amount         0.15         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   11 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid
30s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ041-171930-
Cocke Smoky Mountains-
Including the city of Hartford
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      40-45 (-21)  48-53 (-29)  32-37        58-63
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+11) 48-53 (+1)   92-97        25-30
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 20                      E  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 20        N 13         NE 11        NE  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 15        N 16         SE  5        E  9
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1220         3750         390          3100
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    18300        60000        1950         27900
Max Dispersion Early  22 Fair      40 Fair      8 Poor       22 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   21 Fair      52 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  25 Fair
Category Day          2            3            1            2
Max LVORI Early       5            5            4            5
Max LVORI Late        5            3            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     90           30           0            0
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None         None
Precip Duration       5            1
Precip Amount         0.14         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   12 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 49 percent. North
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ074-171930-
Sevier Smoky Mountains-
Including the cities of Elkmont and Gatlinburg
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      37-42 (-22)  44-49 (-29)  31-36        56-61
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+12) 57-62 (+5)   88-93        30-35
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 21                      E  7
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 20 G27    N 15         NE 17        NE  5
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 17         NE 17        E  7         E  8
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1230         2880         390          2780
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    20910        48960        2730         22240
Max Dispersion Early  23 Fair      36 Fair      11 Poor      17 Gen Poor
Max Dispersion Late   22 Fair      44 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  20 Gen Poor
Category Day          2            3            1            2
Max LVORI Early       5            5            4            4
Max LVORI Late        4            4            4            3
Precip Chance (%)     90           50           0            0
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None         None
Precip Duration       4            1
Precip Amount         0.24         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   2 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-171930-
Blount Smoky Mountains-
Including the city of Cades Cove
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      41-46 (-22)  51-56 (-27)  35-40        60-65
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+16) 55-60 (+7)   82-87        31-36
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 17 G25                  NE  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     N 19 G26     NE 13 G21    NE 14 G22    N  5
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 15         NE 18        E  7         NE  7
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1130         3500         420          2740
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    16950        63000        2940         19180
Max Dispersion Early  21 Fair      44 Gen Good  9 Poor       11 Poor
Max Dispersion Late   20 Gen Poor  56 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  18 Gen Poor
Category Day          2            4            1            2
Max LVORI Early       5            5            4            4
Max LVORI Late        5            3            4            3
Precip Chance (%)     80           30           0            0
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None         None
Precip Duration       3            1
Precip Amount         0.14         0.02         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   2 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. East winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 50 percent. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-171930-
Southeast Monroe-
Including the cities of Citico and Coker Creek
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      40-45 (-21)  51-56 (-27)  33-38        59-64
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+10) 56-61 (+7)   90-95        32-37
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 16 G25                  Lgt/Var
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 19 G26    N 12 G22     NE 13        Lgt/Var
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 16         NE 20        E  6         NE  6
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    960          3420         390          2920
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    15360        68400        2340         17520
Max Dispersion Early  25 Fair      48 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  10 Poor
Max Dispersion Late   22 Fair      61 Good      3 Very Poor  17 Gen Poor
Category Day          2            4            1            2
Max LVORI Early       5            5            5            5
Max LVORI Late        5            3            6            3
Precip Chance (%)     70           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       2
Precip Amount         0.08         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            Continuing
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ102-171930-
East Polk-
Including the cities of Big Frog Mountain, Ducktown,
and Turtletown
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      42-47 (-17)  53-58 (-27)  33-38        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+5)  51-56 (+5)   95-100       29-34
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 19                      NE  5
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 21        N 14         N 16         Lgt/Var
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 17         N 22         E  5         NE  7
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    880          3780         330          3290
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    14960        83160        1650         23030
Max Dispersion Early  41 Gen Good  59 Gen Good  8 Poor       11 Poor
Max Dispersion Late   32 Fair      72 Good      3 Very Poor  19 Gen Poor
Category Day          2            4            1            2
Max LVORI Early       4            5            5            8
Max LVORI Late        5            2            8            2
Precip Chance (%)     60           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       1
Precip Amount         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            2 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 40. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-171930-
Cherokee-
Including the cities of Andrews, Marble, Topton, Hiawasse Dam,
Murphy, Unaka, and Violet
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      40-45 (-18)  52-57 (-26)  32-37        63-68
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+4)  50-55 (+2)   95-100       24-29
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 15 G23                  Lgt/Var
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 17        N 12         N 11         Lgt/Var
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 16         N 20         E  5         E  6
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    620          3560         340          3620
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    9920         71200        1700         21720
Max Dispersion Early  30 Fair      57 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  12 Poor
Max Dispersion Late   30 Fair      62 Good      2 Very Poor  19 Gen Poor
Category Day          1            4            1            2
Max LVORI Early       5            5            6            7
Max LVORI Late        5            3            8            2
Precip Chance (%)     50           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       1
Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            3 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 42 percent. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ061-171930-
Clay-
Including the cities of Shooting Creek, Brasstown, Hayesville,
and Tusquitee
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      39-44 (-18)  51-56 (-25)  32-37        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+3)  54-59 (-3)   95-100       25-30
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 19                      E  5
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 18        N 11 G18     N 12         Lgt/Var
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 18         N 20         E  6         E  7
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    620          3510         360          3730
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    11160        70200        2160         26110
Max Dispersion Early  24 Fair      62 Good      5 Very Poor  19 Gen Poor
Max Dispersion Late   30 Fair      60 Gen Good  3 Very Poor  22 Fair
Category Day          1            4            1            2
Max LVORI Early       6            6            5            5
Max LVORI Late        5            3            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     20           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       1
Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            2 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015-171930-
Hancock-
Including the cities of Evanston, Sneedville, Treadway,
and Kyles Ford
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      42-47 (-19)  53-58 (-26)  32-37        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  46-51 (-6)   85-90        26-31
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 11 G19                  NE  5
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 14        N 10         NE  5        NE  5
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 13         N 18         NE  7        E 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1000         4550         410          3520
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    13000        81900        2870         35200
Max Dispersion Early  36 Fair      69 Good      4 Very Poor  31 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   21 Fair      75 Good      3 Very Poor  33 Fair
Category Day          1            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            5            5            5
Max LVORI Late        5            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     90           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       2
Precip Amount         0.07         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            7 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid
30s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ016-171930-
Hawkins-
Including the city of Mooresburg
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      43-48 (-18)  54-59 (-26)  33-38        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  47-52 (-3)   86-91        27-32
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 12                      NE  7
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 14        N 12         NE  6        NE  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 13         N 18         NE  7        E 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    970          4810         410          3620
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    12610        86580        2870         36200
Max Dispersion Early  28 Fair      78 Good      4 Very Poor  28 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   19 Gen Poor  79 Good      3 Very Poor  32 Fair
Category Day          1            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            5            5            5
Max LVORI Late        6            3            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     90           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       3
Precip Amount         0.07         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            4 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid
30s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ017-171930-
Sullivan-
Including the cities of Kingsport, Bristol TN,
and South Holston Dam
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      43-48 (-18)  52-57 (-27)  32-37        61-66
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  46-51 (-2)   90-95        25-30
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 17                      NE  7
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 19        N 13         NE 10        NE  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 13        N 20         NE  7        E 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1190         4500         390          3680
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    15470        90000        2730         36800
Max Dispersion Early  22 Fair      77 Good      8 Poor       28 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   22 Fair      80 Good      3 Very Poor  34 Fair
Category Day          2            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            5            5            5
Max LVORI Late        5            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     90           20           0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       4
Precip Amount         0.13         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid
30s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ046-171930-
Northwest Carter-
Including the city of Elizabethton
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      42-47 (-19)  50-55 (-28)  31-36        60-65
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+5)  46-51 (+2)   88-93        22-27
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 16                      E  5
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 17        N 12         NE  9        NE  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 13        N 18         E  6         E 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1310         4100         380          3710
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    17030        73800        2280         37100
Max Dispersion Early  18 Gen Poor  62 Good      7 Poor       28 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   23 Fair      67 Good      3 Very Poor  32 Fair
Category Day          2            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            5            5            5
Max LVORI Late        5            3            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     90           30           0            0
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None         None
Precip Duration       6            1
Precip Amount         0.18         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid
30s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 46 percent. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ044-171930-
Washington TN-
Including the city of Johnson City
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      43-48 (-17)  52-57 (-28)  31-36        61-66
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+4)  48-53 (+2)   94-99        26-31
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 13                      NE  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 15        N 12         NE  8        NE  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 13        N 18         NE  6        E 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1140         4430         390          3610
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    14820        79740        2340         36100
Max Dispersion Early  20 Gen Poor  75 Good      7 Poor       25 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   25 Fair      80 Good      3 Very Poor  32 Fair
Category Day          2            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            5            5            7
Max LVORI Late        6            3            7            2
Precip Chance (%)     100          20           0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       5
Precip Amount         0.13         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid
30s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ042-171930-
Northwest Greene-
Including the city of Greeneville
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      43-48 (-18)  54-59 (-27)  32-37        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+3)  45-50 (+1)   94-99        26-31
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 13                      NE  7
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 14        N 11         NE  9        NE  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 13        N 17         NE  7        E 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1040         4770         390          3450
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    13520        81090        2730         34500
Max Dispersion Early  24 Fair      75 Good      4 Very Poor  25 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   21 Fair      78 Good      3 Very Poor  31 Fair
Category Day          1            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            5            5            7
Max LVORI Late        6            2            7            2
Precip Chance (%)     90           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       3
Precip Amount         0.07         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            Continuing
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid
30s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ038-171930-
Grainger-
Including the city of Bean Station
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (-18)  55-60 (-26)  35-40        63-68
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+5)  44-49 (-3)   86-91        26-31
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 12                      NE  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 15        N 11         NE  8        NE  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 13         N 18         NE  9        E 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1130         4640         430          3470
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    14690        83520        3870         34700
Max Dispersion Early  34 Fair      70 Good      5 Very Poor  28 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   21 Fair      76 Good      4 Very Poor  33 Fair
Category Day          2            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            4            4            5
Max LVORI Late        5            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     90           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       1
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            3 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ039-171930-
Hamblen-
Including the cities of Alpha, Morristown, and Russellville
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (-18)  55-60 (-26)  34-39        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+4)  44-49 (-3)   88-93        27-32
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 12                      NE  7
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 12        N 11         NE  6        NE  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 13        N 17         NE  9        E 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1110         4830         420          3490
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    14430        82110        3780         34900
Max Dispersion Early  28 Fair      78 Good      5 Very Poor  26 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   21 Fair      77 Good      4 Very Poor  32 Fair
Category Day          2            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            5            5            6
Max LVORI Late        6            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     90           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       2
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            4 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ040-171930-
Northwest Cocke-
Including the cities of Bybee and Newport
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (-18)  54-59 (-28)  33-38        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+7)  43-48 (0)    95-100       25-30
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 15                      NE  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 17        N 12         NE  9        NE  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 12        N 16         E  5         E  9
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1220         4680         390          3260
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    14640        74880        1950         29340
Max Dispersion Early  23 Fair      56 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  21 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   23 Fair      67 Good      2 Very Poor  26 Fair
Category Day          1            4            1            2
Max LVORI Early       5            5            5            7
Max LVORI Late        5            2            7            2
Precip Chance (%)     90           20           0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       5
Precip Amount         0.08         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   11 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ070-171930-
Jefferson-
Including the cities of Jefferson City, Strawberry Plains,
Chestnut Hill, Dandridge, and White Pine
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      45-50 (-18)  56-61 (-25)  35-40        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+6)  44-49 (-2)   93-98        28-33
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 13                      NE  7
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 11        NE 12        NE  8        NE  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 13        N 17         NE  9        E 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1150         4850         410          3170
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    14950        82450        3690         31700
Max Dispersion Early  27 Fair      75 Good      6 Very Poor  25 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   20 Gen Poor  77 Good      5 Very Poor  29 Fair
Category Day          2            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            5            4            6
Max LVORI Late        5            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     90           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       3
Precip Amount         0.08         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            4 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ035-171930-
Morgan-
Including the cities of Pine Orchard, High Point, and Petros
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      41-46 (-20)  52-57 (-24)  33-38        61-66
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+11) 49-54 (-7)   94-99        26-31
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 18                      E  7
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 17        N 11 G19     NE 11        Lgt/Var
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 15         N 17         NE  7        E  9
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    580          4140         380          3420
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    8700         70380        2660         30780
Max Dispersion Early  43 Gen Good  63 Good      6 Very Poor  25 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   31 Fair      68 Good      3 Very Poor  29 Fair
Category Day          1            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            4            5            6
Max LVORI Late        7            3            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     60           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       1
Precip Amount         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            7 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012-171930-
Scott TN-
Including the cities of Big South Fork National, Oneida,
Smokey Junction, Elgin, Huntsville, Norma, and Slick Rock
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      41-46 (-22)  52-57 (-23)  33-38        61-66
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+17) 47-52 (-13)  93-98        25-30
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 16                      E  5
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 15        N 11 G19     NE  9        Lgt/Var
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 14         N 17         NE  8        E 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    820          4170         420          3480
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    11480        70890        3360         34800
Max Dispersion Early  39 Fair      56 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  28 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   31 Fair      66 Good      4 Very Poor  32 Fair
Category Day          1            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            4            5            6
Max LVORI Late        6            3            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     70           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       1
Precip Amount         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            7 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ013-171930-
Campbell-
Including the cities of Fincastle, La Follette, Elk Valley,
Jellico, White Oak, Caryville, and Royal Blue
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      42-47 (-21)  50-55 (-26)  34-39        59-64
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+13) 53-58 (-3)   87-92        28-33
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 17                      NE  7
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 17        N 11         NE 11        Lgt/Var
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 15        N 18         NE  7        E 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    830          4250         420          3470
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    12450        76500        2940         34700
Max Dispersion Early  38 Fair      53 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  27 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   28 Fair      70 Good      3 Very Poor  32 Fair
Category Day          1            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            4            5            5
Max LVORI Late        5            3            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     80           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       2
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            7 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ014-171930-
Claiborne-
Including the cities of Lone Mountain, Sandlick, Springdale,
Arthur, Harrogate-Shawanee, Clairfield, and Howard Quarter
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      42-47 (-19)  53-58 (-26)  33-38        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+4)  48-53 (-3)   88-93        25-30
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 12 G20                  Lgt/Var
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 14        N 10         NE  7        Lgt/Var
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 14         N 18         NE  7        E 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    890          4440         400          3570
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    12460        79920        2800         35700
Max Dispersion Early  38 Fair      57 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  29 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   24 Fair      72 Good      3 Very Poor  32 Fair
Category Day          1            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            4            5            5
Max LVORI Late        6            3            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     90           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       2
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            8 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 41 percent. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ037-171930-
Union-
Including the cities of Maynardville, Norris Lake, Paulette,
Rose Hill, Sharps Chapel, and Luttrell
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (-18)  55-60 (-25)  35-40        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+3)  48-53 (-1)   87-92        26-31
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 12                      NE  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 14        N 11         NE  8        NE  5
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 14         N 18         NE  7        E 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    920          4640         430          3510
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    12880        83520        3010         35100
Max Dispersion Early  41 Gen Good  62 Good      5 Very Poor  28 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   22 Fair      74 Good      3 Very Poor  32 Fair
Category Day          1            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            4            5            5
Max LVORI Late        6            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     80           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       1
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            2 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ036-171930-
Anderson-
Including the cities of Oak Ridge and Clinton
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (-18)  54-59 (-26)  36-41        61-66
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+7)  47-52 (0)    84-89        28-33
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 19                      NE  9
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 17        N 12         NE 12        NE  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 13         N 18         NE 10        NE 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    450          4370         410          3350
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    5850         78660        4100         33500
Max Dispersion Early  42 Gen Good  66 Good      6 Very Poor  25 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   18 Gen Poor  75 Good      4 Very Poor  30 Fair
Category Day          1            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            5            4            5
Max LVORI Late        7            3            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     70           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       1
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            1 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ069-171930-
Knox-
Including the cities of Bearden, Knoxville, and Lake Forest
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (-17)  56-61 (-25)  36-41        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+6)  45-50 (-1)   87-92        29-34
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 14                      NE  7
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 11 G19    NE 14        NE  9        NE  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 12         NE 20        NE 12        NE 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    550          4810         430          3300
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    6600         96200        5160         33000
Max Dispersion Early  38 Fair      73 Good      7 Poor       25 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   20 Gen Poor  83 Good      4 Very Poor  31 Fair
Category Day          1            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       5            4            4            5
Max LVORI Late        6            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     80           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       2
Precip Amount         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            3 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ073-171930-
North Sevier-
Including the cities of Harrisburg, Kodak, McMahan, Sevierville,
Seymour, and Pigeon Forge
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (-19)  55-60 (-26)  34-39        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+8)  46-51 (0)    95-100       29-34
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 18                      NE  9
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 18        NE 15        NE 14        NE  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 10         N 17         E  7         NE  9
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1310         4450         400          2900
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    13100        75650        2800         26100
Max Dispersion Early  24 Fair      56 Gen Good  7 Poor       15 Gen Poor
Max Dispersion Late   19 Gen Poor  67 Good      4 Very Poor  23 Fair
Category Day          2            4            1            2
Max LVORI Early       5            5            5            7
Max LVORI Late        6            2            7            2
Precip Chance (%)     90           20           0            0
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None         None
Precip Duration       4            1
Precip Amount         0.09         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   1 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ067-171930-
Roane-
Including the cities of Harriman, Eagle Furnace, Rockwood,
Bradbury, Fairview, Kingston, and Oliver Springs
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (-17)  56-61 (-25)  37-42        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  49-54 (+1)   86-91        30-35
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 13 G21                  NE  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 13 G21    NE 12        NE  8        NE  5
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 12         NE 20        NE  8        NE  9
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    490          4710         430          3370
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    5880         94200        3440         30330
Max Dispersion Early  49 Gen Good  76 Good      6 Very Poor  23 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   14 Gen Poor  81 Good      4 Very Poor  27 Fair
Category Day          1            4            1            3
Max LVORI Early       8            5            4            5
Max LVORI Late        8            3            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     60           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       1
Precip Amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            1 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ068-171930-
Loudon-
Including the cities of Lenoir City and Loudon
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      45-50 (-17)  56-61 (-25)  37-42        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+5)  50-55 (+2)   86-91        32-37
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 15                      NE  8
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 10 G19    NE 14        NE  9 G17    NE  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 12         NE 20        NE  9        NE  9
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    510          4760         450          3220
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    6120         95200        4050         28980
Max Dispersion Early  44 Gen Good  79 Good      7 Poor       20 Gen Poor
Max Dispersion Late   11 Poor      85 Good      5 Very Poor  26 Fair
Category Day          1            4            1            2
Max LVORI Early       5            5            4            5
Max LVORI Late        8            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     70           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       1
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            2 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ071-171930-
Northwest Blount-
Including the cities of Happy Valley, Maryville, and Alcoa
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      45-50 (-19)  56-61 (-25)  36-41        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+11) 50-55 (+2)   89-94        31-36
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 16                      NE  9
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 16        NE 15        NE 14        NE  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 12         NE 20        NE 13        NE  9
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    820          4580         430          2970
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    9840         91600        5590         26730
Max Dispersion Early  28 Fair      71 Good      7 Poor       16 Gen Poor
Max Dispersion Late   21 Fair      78 Good      4 Very Poor  24 Fair
Category Day          1            4            1            2
Max LVORI Early       5            5            4            6
Max LVORI Late        6            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     90           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       2
Precip Amount         0.08         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            4 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ086-171930-
Northwest Monroe-
Including the cities of Sweetwater, Madisonville,
and Bullet Creek
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (-19)  56-61 (-25)  36-41        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+7)  51-56 (+3)   91-96        32-37
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 14                      NE  7
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 13 G21    N 14         NE 11 G19    NE  5
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 14         NE 21        NE  8        NE  7
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    640          4490         420          2970
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    8960         94290        3360         20790
Max Dispersion Early  41 Gen Good  77 Good      6 Very Poor  13 Gen Poor
Max Dispersion Late   18 Gen Poor  82 Good      4 Very Poor  18 Gen Poor
Category Day          1            4            1            2
Max LVORI Early       5            5            4            6
Max LVORI Late        8            3            6            3
Precip Chance (%)     70           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       1
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            3 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ083-171930-
Rhea-
Including the cities of Dayton, Evensville, Old Washington,
Grandview, and Spring City
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (-17)  56-61 (-23)  37-42        61-66
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+6)  48-53 (-5)   83-88        31-36
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 13 G22                  NE  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 14 G23    N 12         NE  9 G17    Lgt/Var
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 15         N 18         NE 12        NE  8
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    610          4470         460          2940
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    9150         80460        5520         23520
Max Dispersion Early  43 Gen Good  74 Good      8 Poor       18 Gen Poor
Max Dispersion Late   18 Gen Poor  79 Good      5 Very Poor  21 Fair
Category Day          1            4            1            2
Max LVORI Early       6            4            4            5
Max LVORI Late        6            3            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     50           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       1
Precip Amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            12 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 40. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ084-171930-
Meigs-
Including the city of Big Spring
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (-17)  57-62 (-24)  38-43        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  46-51 (-1)   84-89        32-37
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 13 G22                  NE  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     N 11 G21     N 13         NE  8 G18    Lgt/Var
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 13         N 20         N 12         NE  8
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    710          4760         450          3140
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    9230         95200        5400         25120
Max Dispersion Early  48 Gen Good  84 Good      7 Poor       18 Gen Poor
Max Dispersion Late   18 Gen Poor  88 Good      6 Very Poor  21 Fair
Category Day          1            4            1            2
Max LVORI Early       6            4            4            5
Max LVORI Late        6            3            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     50           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       1
Precip Amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            12 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Light and variable
wind.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ085-171930-
McMinn-
Including the cities of Athens, Clear Water, Dentville,
and Etowah
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (-18)  57-62 (-25)  37-42        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+3)  45-50 (-1)   87-92        32-37
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 14                      NE  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     N 14         N 13         NE 12        NE  5
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 13         NE 21        NE 12        NE  8
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    660          4700         440          3080
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    8580         98700        5280         24640
Max Dispersion Early  45 Gen Good  84 Good      6 Very Poor  14 Gen Poor
Max Dispersion Late   14 Gen Poor  88 Good      6 Very Poor  20 Gen Poor
Category Day          1            4            1            2
Max LVORI Early       5            5            4            5
Max LVORI Late        6            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     60           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       1
Precip Amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            1 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light and
variable wind.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ099-171930-
Hamilton-
Including the cities of Chattanooga, Lookout Mountain,
and Signal Mountain
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (-16)  58-63 (-23)  39-44        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      94-99 (+3)   44-49 (-3)   82-87        31-36
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 15 G23                  NE  9
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     N 16 G23     N 14         NE 14        NE  5
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 14         NE 21        NE 12        NE  7
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    800          4680         440          2970
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    11200        98280        5280         20790
Max Dispersion Early  50 Gen Good  83 Good      7 Poor       14 Gen Poor
Max Dispersion Late   14 Gen Poor  84 Good      6 Very Poor  18 Gen Poor
Category Day          1            4            1            2
Max LVORI Early       4            4            3            5
Max LVORI Late        4            2            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     30           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       1
Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            12 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ100-171930-
Bradley-
Including the cities of Cleveland and Tasso
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      45-50 (-16)  58-63 (-24)  37-42        63-68
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  45-50 (+1)   89-94        31-36
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 15 G23                  NE  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     N 13 G22     N 14 G22     N 11 G19     Lgt/Var
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 13         NE 21        NE 13        NE  7
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    740          4750         430          3100
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    9620         99750        5590         21700
Max Dispersion Early  50 Gen Good  92 Good      7 Poor       13 Gen Poor
Max Dispersion Late   14 Gen Poor  91 Good      5 Very Poor  18 Gen Poor
Category Day          1            4            1            2
Max LVORI Early       4            5            4            6
Max LVORI Late        5            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     50           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       1
Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            1 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ101-171930-
West Polk-
Including the cities of Conasauga, Archville, Benton, Parksville,
and Reliance
226 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      43-48 (-19)  57-62 (-25)  35-40        64-69
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+8)  44-49 (+2)   94-99        29-34
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 13 G22                  Lgt/Var
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     N 14 G22     N 14 G22     NE 11 G19    Lgt/Var
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 14         NE 22        NE  6        NE  6
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    680          4340         390          3120
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    9520         95480        2340         18720
Max Dispersion Early  39 Fair      75 Good      8 Poor       13 Gen Poor
Max Dispersion Late   26 Fair      81 Good      4 Very Poor  18 Gen Poor
Category Day          1            4            1            2
Max LVORI Early       4            5            4            7
Max LVORI Late        5            2            7            2
Precip Chance (%)     60           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       1
Precip Amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            1 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ082-171930-
Bledsoe-
Including the cities of Old Cumberland, Palio, Melvine,
Mount Crest, Pikeville, and Brayton
126 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      41-46 (-20)  54-59 (-21)  35-40        61-66
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+12) 44-49 (-14)  86-91        26-31
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 14 G23                  E  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 16 G24    N 11         NE 11 G18    Lgt/Var
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 16         N 20         NE 12        E  8
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    680          4100         440          2800
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    10880        82000        5280         22400
Max Dispersion Early  45 Gen Good  64 Good      7 Poor       18 Gen Poor
Max Dispersion Late   22 Fair      69 Good      5 Very Poor  19 Gen Poor
Category Day          1            4            1            2
Max LVORI Early       5            5            4            5
Max LVORI Late        5            3            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     40           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       1
Precip Amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            11 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ081-171930-
Sequatchie-
Including the cities of Cagle, Dunlap, Cartwright, and Lone Oak
126 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      42-47 (-19)  54-59 (-21)  35-40        61-66
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+13) 46-51 (-9)   85-90        27-32
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 13 G23                  E  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     NW 17 G24    N 11 G18     NE 12 G20    Lgt/Var
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 16         N 18         NE 13        E  7
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    760          4070         460          2870
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    12160        73260        5980         20090
Max Dispersion Early  49 Gen Good  64 Good      7 Poor       13 Gen Poor
Max Dispersion Late   24 Fair      69 Good      5 Very Poor  18 Gen Poor
Category Day          1            4            1            2
Max LVORI Early       5            5            4            5
Max LVORI Late        5            2            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     30           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       1
Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            6 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ098-171930-
Marion-
Including the cities of South Pittsburg, Haletown (Guild),
Jasper, Martin Springs, Whitwell, Powells Crossroads,
and Monteagle
126 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (-17)  56-61 (-22)  38-43        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (+6)   43-48 (-5)   80-85        27-32
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  N 14 G23                  E  8
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     N 15 G23     N 13         NE 13        Lgt/Var
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 15         NE 20        NE 12        E  7
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    720          4310         450          3260
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    10800        86200        5400         22820
Max Dispersion Early  50 Gen Good  68 Good      7 Poor       15 Gen Poor
Max Dispersion Late   21 Fair      73 Good      6 Very Poor  19 Gen Poor
Category Day          1            4            1            2
Max LVORI Early       4            4            3            4
Max LVORI Late        4            2            4            2
Precip Chance (%)     20           0            0            0
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         None
Precip Duration       1
Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin          8 PM
Precip End            11 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 40. East winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



                

Minimum Potential Accumulation

Expect at least this much. This is what we see as the least amount of snow the storm can produce.

This information is for advance planning ahead of the storm. It is provided out as far as three days. However, when the snow starts to fall, this will be discontinued to focus on the forecast snow amount.
 

Most Likely Snow Accumulation

Represents our official snow forecast in inches within the next one to three days. The snowfall amounts are provided in point (single number) and ranges (1-2", 2-4", etc.). You can toggle between the two by hovering over the "Point" and "Range" text above the image. The point amount is our forecast but the range for the "most likely" represents the forecast uncertainty in predefined ranges.

Maximum Potential Accumulation

What you should be prepared for. This is what we see as the storm's maximum potential snowfall accumulation.

This information is for advance planning ahead of the storm. It is provided out as far as three days. However, when the snow starts to fall, this will be discontinued to focus on the forecast snow amount.

 

Short to Long-Range Forecast
7 Day Forecasts  Hourly Weather Forecast Digital Tabular Forecast

Hourly Forecast

Hourly Forecast Hourly Forecast
   
 
Day 1 Forecast Precipitation Day 2 Forecast Precipitation
Days 1-2 Precip Days 1-3 Precip
   
Day 3 Forecast Precipitation Days 1-3 Forecast Precipitation
Days 4-5 Precip Days 6-7 Precip
   

Days 6-10

Temperature  Precipitation
6-10 day temperature 6-10 day precipitation
   

Days 8-14

TEMPERATURE  PRECIPITATION
8-14 day temperature 8-14 day precipitation

 

Products
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FORECAST DISCUSSION SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

 

 

  Additional Forecasts and Outlooks

  Fire Weather Outlook Issued by the Storm Prediction Center

  National Fire Weather Page

  Forecast Fire Danger Rating

  Drought Monitor

 

  Fire Weather Observations and Data

  Local RAWS Sites Information                                             Observed Fire Danger Rating                                  Observed 10-hour Fuel Moisture

  Current Local Observations                                                  Palmer Drought Index Map of the U.S.                   Observed 100-hour Fuel Moisture                    

  Wildland Fire Assessment System                                       Haines Index Map of the U.S.                                  Observed 1000-hour Fuel Moisture

  MADIS Meteorological Surface Observation Viewer            Keetch-Byram Drought Index Map of the U.S.

 

  Fire Weather Planning Tools                                             Fire Weather Annual Operating Plans                 Weather Normals and Records

 Graphical Planning Forecast Specific Point                           Tennessee                                                              Chattanooga

 Weather Activity Planner Specific Point                                 Virginia                                                                    Knoxville

 Point Forecast Matrices  Specific Point                                 North Carolina                                                         Oak Ridge

 Southern Area Coordination Center                                                                                                                       Tri-Cities

 Tennessee Fire Prevention 

 Fire Weather Awareness Week