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Areas of Severe Thunderstorms, Critical Fire Weather, and HeatRisk for Monday

Isolated severe thunderstorms with locally damaging wind gusts and hail are possible Monday across parts of the Southeast U.S. Elevated to critical fire weather including gusty winds and low relative humidity is forecast Monday over much of the northern Great Plains. Above normal temperatures in the Southeast and Southwest U.S. will bring moderate to isolated major HeatRisk Monday. Read More >

These products and outlook graphics can be used to support the fire weather program across east Tennessee, southwest Virginia, and southwest North Carolina. For more information, please call the NWS Morristown, Tennessee.
 
 
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140
FNUS54 KMRX 161830
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

.DISCUSSION...


A ridge of high pressure will produce mostly dry and warmer
conditions this weekend into early next week. A chance of showers
and thunderstorms returns Wednesday through Friday of next week.



VAZ001-171930-
Lee-
Including the city of Rose Hill
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      56-61 (+8)   84-89 (+4)   59-64        85-90
RH % (24h trend)      86-91 (+6)   34-39 (-4)   93-98        38-43
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   S  5
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SE  5        SW  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  6        SW 10        S  5         S 14
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          5650         380          6580
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2280         56500        1900         92120
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  40 Fair      3 Very Poor  57 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  54 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  81 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       4            5            5            7
Max LVORI Late        5            2            7            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

VAZ002-171930-
Wise-
Including the cities of Big Stone Gap, Norton, Wise, Coeburn,
Appalachia, and Pardee
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+9)   82-87 (+5)   60-65        83-88
RH % (24h trend)      82-87 (+8)   34-39 (-9)   87-92        39-44
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW  5                     S  7
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW  6        SW  5        S  8         S  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  8        SW 12        S  9         S 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          5420         400          6490
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    3040         65040        3600         97350
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  43 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  54 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  53 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  82 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       4            4            3            5
Max LVORI Late        4            2            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 73 percent. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

VAZ005-171930-
Scott VA-
Including the city of Hiltons
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+11)  84-89 (+4)   60-65        85-90
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (+6)   38-43 (-5)   89-94        40-45
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   S  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      SW  5        SE  6        SW  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         SW  9        SE  5        S 13
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    350          5220         360          6770
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1750         46980        1800         88010
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  35 Fair      3 Very Poor  42 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   2 Very Poor  42 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  76 Good
Category Day          1            3            1            4
Max LVORI Early       4            6            4            6
Max LVORI Late        6            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

VAZ006-171930-
Russell-
Including the cities of Hansonville, Lebanon, Dye, Castlewood,
Honaker, and Rosedale
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+10)  83-88 (+6)   60-65        84-89
RH % (24h trend)      85-90 (+13)  33-38 (-10)  86-91        35-40
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW  5                     S  7
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW  6        SW  5        S  8         S 10
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  6        SW 10        S  5         S 14
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    360          5410         370          7180
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2160         54100        1850         100520
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  40 Fair      4 Very Poor  52 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  48 Gen Good  3 Very Poor  87 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       4            4            4            5
Max LVORI Late        5            2            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

VAZ008-171930-
Washington VA-
Including the cities of Benhams, Bristol VA, and Abingdon
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      56-61 (+11)  82-87 (+4)   58-63        84-89
RH % (24h trend)      84-89 (+10)  37-42 (-6)   89-94        37-42
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW  5                     S  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW  6        SW  5        SE  8        S  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         SW  8        SE  6        S 14
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    330          5110         340          7210
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1650         40880        2040         100940
Max Dispersion Early  2 Very Poor  33 Fair      4 Very Poor  48 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   2 Very Poor  36 Fair      2 Very Poor  84 Good
Category Day          1            3            1            4
Max LVORI Early       4            5            4            6
Max LVORI Late        5            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-171930-
Johnson-
Including the cities of Doeville, Mountain City, Neva,
Shady Valley, Trade, and Laurel Bloomery
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      54-59 (+10)  82-87 (+5)   56-61        83-88
RH % (24h trend)      79-84 (+10)  34-39 (-4)   88-93        31-36
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   S  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      SW  5        SE  6        S  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        SW  8        S  9         S 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    350          5960         370          6770
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2450         47680        3330         101550
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  29 Fair      5 Very Poor  52 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  41 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  86 Good
Category Day          1            3            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            4            4            5
Max LVORI Late        4            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ047-171930-
Southeast Carter-
Including the city of Hampton
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+11)  80-85 (+3)   58-63        81-86
RH % (24h trend)      76-81 (+5)   37-42 (-2)   84-89        33-38
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   S  9
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW  5        SW  8        S 10         S 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  7         S  8         S 10         S 14
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          5860         390          6520
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2660         46880        3900         91280
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  30 Fair      7 Poor       52 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  42 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  83 Good
Category Day          1            3            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            3            3            5
Max LVORI Late        3            2            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
36 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ045-171930-
Unicoi-
Including the cities of Erwin, Unicoi, and Limestone Cove
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (+11)  81-86 (+2)   61-66        82-87
RH % (24h trend)      74-79 (+7)   35-40 (-3)   81-86        32-37
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   S  8
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      SW  5        S 11         S 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  7         S  8         S 10         S 14
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    400          5770         410          7230
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2800         46160        4100         101220
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  31 Fair      5 Very Poor  58 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  40 Fair      5 Very Poor  90 Good
Category Day          1            3            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            3            3            4
Max LVORI Late        3            2            5            1
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin                       7 PM
Precip End                         8 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
33 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ043-171930-
Southeast Greene-
Including the city of Cedar Creek
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (+9)   81-86 (+3)   61-66        82-87
RH % (24h trend)      75-80 (+6)   34-39 (-4)   83-88        34-39
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  W  6                      S  9
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      W  5         SE 11        S 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  7        SW  6        SE  9        S 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    360          5870         400          7240
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2520         35220        3600         86880
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  29 Fair      5 Very Poor  49 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  35 Fair      5 Very Poor  69 Good
Category Day          1            3            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            3            3            4
Max LVORI Late        4            2            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip Begin                                                 2 PM
Precip End                                                   8 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            20

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
36 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ041-171930-
Cocke Smoky Mountains-
Including the city of Hartford
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (+9)   82-87 (+3)   62-67        82-87
RH % (24h trend)      73-78 (+4)   35-40 (-4)   83-88        36-41
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  NW  5                     S 10
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      W  6         S 12         S 10
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  7         SW  7        S  9         S 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    360          6080         370          6620
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2520         42560        3330         66200
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  32 Fair      4 Very Poor  50 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  43 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  61 Good
Category Day          1            3            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            3            3            4
Max LVORI Late        3            2            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip Begin                                                 2 PM
Precip End                                                   8 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            20

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ074-171930-
Sevier Smoky Mountains-
Including the cities of Elkmont and Gatlinburg
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (+8)   79-84 (+2)   60-65        79-84
RH % (24h trend)      69-74 (+2)   35-40 (-2)   88-93        35-40
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SW  6                     S 11
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW  6        S 10         S 14         S 14
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  9         S 10         S 12         S 13
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    420          5680         420          5910
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    3780         56800        5040         76830
Max Dispersion Early  5 Very Poor  34 Fair      5 Very Poor  52 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   5 Very Poor  52 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  68 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            3            4            5
Max LVORI Late        3            2            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           0            20
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.01
Precip Begin                       7 PM                      2 PM
Precip End                         8 PM                      8 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            20

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-171930-
Blount Smoky Mountains-
Including the city of Cades Cove
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (+8)   85-90 (+3)   64-69        85-90
RH % (24h trend)      69-74 (+1)   34-39 (+2)   83-88        33-38
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  S  6                      S 11
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S  5         S  8         SE 13        S 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  8         S 10         S 10         S 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    420          5900         440          6600
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    3360         59000        4400         99000
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  41 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  67 Good
Max Dispersion Late   5 Very Poor  52 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  85 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            3            3            4
Max LVORI Late        3            2            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin                       7 PM
Precip End                         8 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
36 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 62 percent. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-171930-
Southeast Monroe-
Including the cities of Citico and Coker Creek
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (+9)   83-88 (+3)   63-68        83-88
RH % (24h trend)      72-77 (+4)   37-42 (+4)   90-95        36-41
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  S  6                      S 11
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S  5         S  8         SE 11        S 10
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  8         S 12         S 12         S 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    430          5650         460          6170
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    3440         67800        5520         98720
Max Dispersion Early  5 Very Poor  49 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  64 Good
Max Dispersion Late   5 Very Poor  59 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  88 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            3            4            4
Max LVORI Late        3            2            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin                       7 PM
Precip End                         8 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            10

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
39 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ102-171930-
East Polk-
Including the cities of Big Frog Mountain, Ducktown,
and Turtletown
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+8)   84-89 (+3)   62-67        83-88
RH % (24h trend)      79-84 (+3)   40-45 (+8)   92-97        41-46
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  S  7                      S 10
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      S 10         SE 12        S 10
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  7        S 13         SE 10        S 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    390          5860         440          5790
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2730         76180        4400         86850
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  53 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  62 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  64 Good      4 Very Poor  78 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            4            5            6
Max LVORI Late        4            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           0            0
Precip Type           None         Tstms        None         None
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin                       5 PM
Precip End                         8 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-171930-
Cherokee-
Including the cities of Andrews, Marble, Topton, Hiawasse Dam,
Murphy, Unaka, and Violet
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+10)  83-88 (+3)   59-64        82-87
RH % (24h trend)      80-85 (0)    40-45 (+7)   95-100       39-44
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  S  5                      SE  9
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      S  8         SE  9        S  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  7        S 12         SE  9        S 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    420          5620         420          5750
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2940         67440        3780         86250
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  43 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  52 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  53 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  75 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            4            5            7
Max LVORI Late        4            2            7            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            30           0            20
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.01
Precip Begin                       6 PM                      2 PM
Precip End                         8 PM                      8 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            20

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
39 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. North winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. East winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ061-171930-
Clay-
Including the cities of Shooting Creek, Brasstown, Hayesville,
and Tusquitee
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+11)  79-84 (+1)   58-63        78-83
RH % (24h trend)      79-84 (-1)   46-51 (+7)   95-100       45-50
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  S  5                      SE  8
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      S  7         SE  8        S  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  7        S  9         SE  9        S 13
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    430          5290         420          5190
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    3010         47610        3780         67470
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  37 Fair      5 Very Poor  44 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  46 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  57 Gen Good
Category Day          1            3            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            4            5            6
Max LVORI Late        4            2            7            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            30           0            20
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.01
Precip Begin                       6 PM                      2 PM
Precip End                         8 PM                      8 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            20

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. North winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015-171930-
Hancock-
Including the cities of Evanston, Sneedville, Treadway,
and Kyles Ford
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      55-60 (+8)   86-91 (+3)   58-63        87-92
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (+2)   33-38 (-1)   94-99        37-42
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW  5
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         SW 10        S  3         S 14
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    370          5950         380          6690
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1850         59500        1140         93660
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  41 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  54 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  53 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  79 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       4            5            5            7
Max LVORI Late        6            2            8            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ016-171930-
Hawkins-
Including the city of Mooresburg
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      55-60 (+9)   86-91 (+4)   58-63        87-92
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (+2)   36-41 (-2)   94-99        41-46
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW  5
Transport Wnd (mph)   E  5         SW  8        SE  5        S 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    360          5690         360          6710
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1800         45520        1800         67100
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  34 Fair      3 Very Poor  38 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   2 Very Poor  40 Fair      2 Very Poor  63 Good
Category Day          1            3            1            4
Max LVORI Early       4            6            5            7
Max LVORI Late        7            2            8            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            10

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ017-171930-
Sullivan-
Including the cities of Kingsport, Bristol TN,
and South Holston Dam
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+12)  84-89 (+3)   59-64        86-91
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (+7)   37-42 (-3)   91-96        36-41
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   S  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SE  7        S  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  5        SW  7        SE  7        S 13
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    350          5240         330          7240
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1750         36680        2310         94120
Max Dispersion Early  2 Very Poor  30 Fair      3 Very Poor  43 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   2 Very Poor  31 Fair      2 Very Poor  79 Good
Category Day          1            3            1            4
Max LVORI Early       4            6            4            6
Max LVORI Late        6            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            10

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ046-171930-
Northwest Carter-
Including the city of Elizabethton
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      56-61 (+11)  83-88 (+3)   58-63        85-90
RH % (24h trend)      83-88 (+5)   35-40 (-2)   89-94        32-37
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   S  5
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SE  7        S  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  6        SW  7        SE  8        S 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    360          5680         340          7340
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2160         39760        2720         88080
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  29 Fair      4 Very Poor  49 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  34 Fair      3 Very Poor  85 Good
Category Day          1            3            1            4
Max LVORI Early       4            4            4            5
Max LVORI Late        5            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip Begin                                                 2 PM
Precip End                                                   8 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            20

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
33 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ044-171930-
Washington TN-
Including the city of Johnson City
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+11)  84-89 (+3)   60-65        87-92
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (+7)   36-41 (-1)   89-94        33-38
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   S  5
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SE  8        S  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  5        SW  6        S  8         S 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    360          5350         350          7150
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1800         32100        2800         85800
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  28 Fair      4 Very Poor  48 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  31 Fair      3 Very Poor  79 Good
Category Day          1            3            1            4
Max LVORI Early       4            5            3            5
Max LVORI Late        5            2            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip Begin                                                 2 PM
Precip End                                                   8 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            20

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
35 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. East winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ042-171930-
Northwest Greene-
Including the city of Greeneville
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+9)   85-90 (+3)   60-65        87-92
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+7)   36-41 (0)    92-97        36-41
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   S  5
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SE  7        SW  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   E  5         SW  6        S  6         S  9
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    340          5410         370          6300
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1700         32460        2220         56700
Max Dispersion Early  2 Very Poor  27 Fair      4 Very Poor  35 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   2 Very Poor  28 Fair      3 Very Poor  53 Gen Good
Category Day          1            3            1            3
Max LVORI Early       4            5            3            6
Max LVORI Late        6            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip Begin                                                 2 PM
Precip End                                                   8 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            20

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ038-171930-
Grainger-
Including the city of Bean Station
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+7)   87-92 (+4)   60-65        87-92
RH % (24h trend)      87-92 (+6)   35-40 (+2)   95-100       39-44
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         SW  9        S  5         SW 13
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    370          6070         370          6420
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1850         54630        1850         83460
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  40 Fair      3 Very Poor  49 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  49 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  68 Good
Category Day          1            3            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            5            5            7
Max LVORI Late        5            2            8            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around
60. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ039-171930-
Hamblen-
Including the cities of Alpha, Morristown, and Russellville
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      56-61 (+6)   86-91 (+3)   59-64        87-92
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (+7)   37-42 (+2)   95-100       41-46
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Transport Wnd (mph)   E  5         SW  8        SE  5        SW  9
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    360          5650         330          5570
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1800         45200        1650         50130
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  34 Fair      2 Very Poor  31 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   2 Very Poor  39 Fair      2 Very Poor  48 Gen Good
Category Day          1            3            1            3
Max LVORI Early       4            7            5            8
Max LVORI Late        7            2            10           2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            10

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Light and
variable wind.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Light and variable wind.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ040-171930-
Northwest Cocke-
Including the cities of Bybee and Newport
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (+8)   85-90 (+3)   61-66        86-91
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (+10)  37-42 (0)    93-98        38-43
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  6         Lgt/Var
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  5        SW  6        S  6         S  8
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    350          5870         320          5700
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1750         35220        1920         45600
Max Dispersion Early  2 Very Poor  29 Fair      3 Very Poor  34 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   2 Very Poor  36 Fair      2 Very Poor  40 Fair
Category Day          1            3            1            3
Max LVORI Early       3            5            3            6
Max LVORI Late        5            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip Begin                                                 2 PM
Precip End                                                   8 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            20

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ070-171930-
Jefferson-
Including the cities of Jefferson City, Strawberry Plains,
Chestnut Hill, Dandridge, and White Pine
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (+7)   86-91 (+3)   61-66        87-92
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (+6)   38-43 (+3)   95-100       41-46
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW  5
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE  5        SW  8        S  5         S  9
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    360          5780         330          5270
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1800         46240        1650         47430
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  33 Fair      2 Very Poor  34 Fair
Max Dispersion Late   2 Very Poor  39 Fair      2 Very Poor  41 Gen Good
Category Day          1            3            1            3
Max LVORI Early       3            6            5            7
Max LVORI Late        6            2            8            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 65 percent. North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ035-171930-
Morgan-
Including the cities of Pine Orchard, High Point, and Petros
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      56-61 (+6)   86-91 (+3)   60-65        85-90
RH % (24h trend)      83-88 (+1)   33-38 (-2)   95-100       37-42
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  S  6                      S 11
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      S  7         S 11         S 10
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  6         S 15         S  9         S 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          6340         460          6840
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2280         95100        4140         123120
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  62 Good      6 Very Poor  74 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  89 Good      5 Very Poor  114 Very Good
Category Day          1            4            1            5
Max LVORI Early       3            4            4            6
Max LVORI Late        5            2            7            1
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
42 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 64 percent. South
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012-171930-
Scott TN-
Including the cities of Big South Fork National, Oneida,
Smokey Junction, Elgin, Huntsville, Norma, and Slick Rock
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (+5)   86-91 (+3)   63-68        86-91
RH % (24h trend)      78-83 (+8)   31-36 (-5)   86-91        36-41
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  S  5                      S  9
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      S  6         S 10         S  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  8         S 15         S 12         S 20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          6430         480          6910
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    3040         96450        5760         138200
Max Dispersion Early  5 Very Poor  61 Good      6 Very Poor  83 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  85 Good      5 Very Poor  118 Very Good
Category Day          1            4            1            5
Max LVORI Early       3            4            3            4
Max LVORI Late        4            2            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 60. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ013-171930-
Campbell-
Including the cities of Fincastle, La Follette, Elk Valley,
Jellico, White Oak, Caryville, and Royal Blue
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (+7)   83-88 (+2)   62-67        84-89
RH % (24h trend)      80-85 (+3)   35-40 (-2)   89-94        41-46
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  S  5                      S 10
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      S  7         S 10         S  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  7         S 13         S 10         S 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    390          6210         450          6630
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2730         80730        4500         119340
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  53 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  76 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  76 Good      5 Very Poor  106 Very Good
Category Day          1            4            1            5
Max LVORI Early       3            4            3            5
Max LVORI Late        4            2            5            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
42 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around
60. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ014-171930-
Claiborne-
Including the cities of Lone Mountain, Sandlick, Springdale,
Arthur, Harrogate-Shawanee, Clairfield, and Howard Quarter
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      56-61 (+7)   86-91 (+4)   59-64        86-91
RH % (24h trend)      87-92 (+6)   33-38 (-1)   94-99        38-43
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   S  7
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  6         S 12         S  7         S 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          6010         400          6700
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2280         72120        2800         107200
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  47 Gen Good  3 Very Poor  66 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  60 Gen Good  3 Very Poor  93 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            5            5            7
Max LVORI Late        5            2            7            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 62 percent. South
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ037-171930-
Union-
Including the cities of Maynardville, Norris Lake, Paulette,
Rose Hill, Sharps Chapel, and Luttrell
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (+8)   86-91 (+3)   61-66        86-91
RH % (24h trend)      81-86 (0)    35-40 (+1)   91-96        39-44
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   S  6
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  6         SW 12        SW  7        SW 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    360          6370         400          7080
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2160         76440        2800         113280
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  46 Gen Good  3 Very Poor  68 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  62 Good      4 Very Poor  100 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            4            4            6
Max LVORI Late        5            2            7            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around
60. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ036-171930-
Anderson-
Including the cities of Oak Ridge and Clinton
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (+8)   85-90 (+4)   61-66        85-90
RH % (24h trend)      82-87 (+1)   36-41 (0)    91-96        40-45
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  S  5                      S 11
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      S  8         S 10         S 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  6         S 13         S 10         S 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    370          6100         430          6850
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2220         79300        4300         116450
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  51 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  77 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  68 Good      4 Very Poor  105 Very Good
Category Day          1            4            1            5
Max LVORI Early       3            5            4            5
Max LVORI Late        5            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around
60. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ069-171930-
Knox-
Including the cities of Bearden, Knoxville, and Lake Forest
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (+8)   87-92 (+3)   62-67        87-92
RH % (24h trend)      82-87 (0)    36-41 (+3)   90-95        39-44
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   SW  7
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      SW  6        Lgt/Var      SW  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  5        SW 12        SW  7        S 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    360          6440         390          7510
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1800         77280        2730         120160
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  49 Gen Good  3 Very Poor  73 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  62 Good      3 Very Poor  108 Very Good
Category Day          1            4            1            5
Max LVORI Early       3            5            4            6
Max LVORI Late        5            2            7            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ073-171930-
North Sevier-
Including the cities of Harrisburg, Kodak, McMahan, Sevierville,
Seymour, and Pigeon Forge
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (+8)   86-91 (+2)   62-67        87-92
RH % (24h trend)      82-87 (+4)   37-42 (+3)   88-93        37-42
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   SW  5
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  7         SW  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  5        SW  8        S  6         S 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    350          6220         350          6220
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1750         49760        2100         74640
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  36 Fair      3 Very Poor  45 Gen Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  44 Gen Good  3 Very Poor  57 Gen Good
Category Day          1            3            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            4            3            6
Max LVORI Late        4            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            10

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 65 percent. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ067-171930-
Roane-
Including the cities of Harriman, Eagle Furnace, Rockwood,
Bradbury, Fairview, Kingston, and Oliver Springs
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+8)   88-93 (+4)   61-66        87-92
RH % (24h trend)      87-92 (-2)   38-43 (+3)   95-100       43-48
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   S  7
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      S  6         S  6         S  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  5        S 14         SW  7        S 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    360          6340         410          6670
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1800         88760        2870         113390
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  56 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  73 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  81 Good      4 Very Poor  102 Very Good
Category Day          1            4            1            5
Max LVORI Early       3            6            5            7
Max LVORI Late        6            2            8            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 70 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around
60. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ068-171930-
Loudon-
Including the cities of Lenoir City and Loudon
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+6)   87-92 (+3)   62-67        87-92
RH % (24h trend)      85-90 (+3)   39-44 (+5)   92-97        42-47
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   S  7
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      S  6         Lgt/Var      S  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  6         S 12         S  7         S 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    350          6370         420          7040
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2100         76440        2940         119680
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  59 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  85 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  67 Good      4 Very Poor  107 Very Good
Category Day          1            4            1            5
Max LVORI Early       3            6            4            6
Max LVORI Late        6            2            7            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ071-171930-
Northwest Blount-
Including the cities of Happy Valley, Maryville, and Alcoa
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (+7)   87-92 (+3)   64-69        88-93
RH % (24h trend)      80-85 (+6)   38-43 (+5)   87-92        38-43
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   S  7
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      SW  7        S  7         S 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  6         SW 10        S  7         S 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    370          6360         390          7350
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2220         63600        2730         110250
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  49 Gen Good  3 Very Poor  72 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  55 Gen Good  3 Very Poor  96 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            4            4            5
Max LVORI Late        4            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ086-171930-
Northwest Monroe-
Including the cities of Sweetwater, Madisonville,
and Bullet Creek
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (+7)   87-92 (+3)   63-68        87-92
RH % (24h trend)      83-88 (+7)   39-44 (+7)   91-96        40-45
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   S  7
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      S  6         S  6         S  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  7         S 12         S  8         S 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    370          6400         440          6850
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2590         76800        3520         109600
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  59 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  77 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  66 Good      4 Very Poor  98 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            4            4            5
Max LVORI Late        4            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 39 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Light and variable wind.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ083-171930-
Rhea-
Including the cities of Dayton, Evensville, Old Washington,
Grandview, and Spring City
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+6)   86-91 (+4)   61-66        85-90
RH % (24h trend)      85-90 (+1)   41-46 (+2)   95-100       46-51
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  S  6                      S  9
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      S  8         S  6         S  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         S 16         S 10         S 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          6610         440          6020
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1900         105760       4400         108360
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  63 Good      6 Very Poor  72 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  92 Good      4 Very Poor  98 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            5            5            7
Max LVORI Late        5            1            8            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            20           0
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      None
Precip Duration                                 1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00
Precip Begin                                    2 AM
Precip End                                      8 AM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Light and variable wind.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around
60. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 71 percent. South
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ084-171930-
Meigs-
Including the city of Big Spring
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      56-61 (+6)   88-93 (+5)   61-66        87-92
RH % (24h trend)      86-91 (-1)   40-45 (+5)   95-100       44-49
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  S  5                      S  8
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      S  7         Lgt/Var      S  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  5        S 15         S  7         S 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    360          6820         420          6120
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1800         102300       2940         104040
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  63 Good      5 Very Poor  75 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  94 Good      4 Very Poor  93 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       4            6            5            7
Max LVORI Late        6            1            8            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      None
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Light and variable wind.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around
60. Light and variable wind.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ085-171930-
McMinn-
Including the cities of Athens, Clear Water, Dentville,
and Etowah
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+7)   88-93 (+4)   61-66        87-92
RH % (24h trend)      87-92 (+3)   39-44 (+7)   95-100       42-47
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  Lgt/Var                   S  8
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      S  7         S  7         S  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         S 14         S  7         S 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    360          6670         400          6570
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1800         93380        2800         105120
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  63 Good      5 Very Poor  78 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  83 Good      3 Very Poor  97 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       4            5            5            7
Max LVORI Late        6            1            8            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            10

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Light and variable wind.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around
60. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ099-171930-
Hamilton-
Including the cities of Chattanooga, Lookout Mountain,
and Signal Mountain
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (+5)   86-91 (+4)   63-68        85-90
RH % (24h trend)      81-86 (+2)   42-47 (+5)   93-98        47-52
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SE  7                     S  8
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      S  9         S  9         S 10
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  5        S 15         S 10         S 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          6650         440          5760
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1900         99750        4400         97920
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  72 Good      6 Very Poor  74 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  89 Good      4 Very Poor  86 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            4            5            6
Max LVORI Late        5            2            7            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip Begin                                                 2 PM
Precip End                                                   8 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            20

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ100-171930-
Bradley-
Including the cities of Cleveland and Tasso
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (+6)   87-92 (+4)   62-67        86-91
RH % (24h trend)      83-88 (+3)   41-46 (+9)   94-99        43-48
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  S  6                      S  9
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      S  8         S  6         S 10 G17
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         S 15         S  9         S 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    360          6600         430          5770
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1800         99000        3870         92320
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  72 Good      5 Very Poor  78 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  86 Good      3 Very Poor  83 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            5            5            6
Max LVORI Late        5            2            7            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip Begin                                                 2 PM
Precip End                                                   8 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            20

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
42 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Light and variable wind.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ101-171930-
West Polk-
Including the cities of Conasauga, Archville, Benton, Parksville,
and Reliance
230 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (+8)   87-92 (+4)   64-69        86-91
RH % (24h trend)      81-86 (+5)   40-45 (+10)  91-96        40-45
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  S  5                      S  8
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      S  6         SE  6        S  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  7        S 13         SE  7        S 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          6230         410          5920
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2660         80990        2870         88800
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  62 Good      5 Very Poor  69 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  71 Good      4 Very Poor  76 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            4            4            5
Max LVORI Late        4            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           0            20
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.01
Precip Begin                       6 PM                      2 PM
Precip End                         8 PM                      8 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            20

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
38 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ082-171930-
Bledsoe-
Including the cities of Old Cumberland, Palio, Melvine,
Mount Crest, Pikeville, and Brayton
130 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+5)   84-89 (+4)   61-66        83-88
RH % (24h trend)      80-85 (+3)   42-47 (+1)   95-100       47-52
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  S  6                      S  9
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      S  8         S  7         S  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         S 16         S 12         S 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          6400         460          5960
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1900         102400       5520         107280
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  70 Good      6 Very Poor  80 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  89 Good      5 Very Poor  98 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            4            4            6
Max LVORI Late        4            2            7            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Duration
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Begin
Precip End
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            10

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. South winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around
60. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ081-171930-
Sequatchie-
Including the cities of Cagle, Dunlap, Cartwright, and Lone Oak
130 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (+4)   83-88 (+4)   61-66        82-87
RH % (24h trend)      77-82 (+4)   45-50 (+3)   92-97        50-55
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  S  6                      S  8
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     Lgt/Var      S  7         S  7         S  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  6         S 16         S  9         S 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    360          6450         440          5650
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2160         103200       3960         96050
Max Dispersion Early  4 Very Poor  71 Good      7 Poor       78 Good
Max Dispersion Late   4 Very Poor  93 Good      5 Very Poor  87 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            4            4            6
Max LVORI Late        4            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip Begin                                                 2 PM
Precip End                                                   8 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            20

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 75 percent. South winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ098-171930-
Marion-
Including the cities of South Pittsburg, Haletown (Guild),
Jasper, Martin Springs, Whitwell, Powells Crossroads,
and Monteagle
130 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (+4)   84-89 (+4)   62-67        83-88
RH % (24h trend)      78-83 (+6)   42-47 (+2)   89-94        46-51
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)                  SE  6                     SE  8
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW  5        S  8         SE  8        S  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  6        S 16         S  8         S 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    380          6480         410          5860
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2280         103680       3280         93760
Max Dispersion Early  3 Very Poor  74 Good      6 Very Poor  74 Good
Max Dispersion Late   3 Very Poor  87 Good      4 Very Poor  86 Good
Category Day          1            4            1            4
Max LVORI Early       3            3            4            6
Max LVORI Late        4            2            6            2
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            30
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip Begin                                                 2 PM
Precip End                                                   8 PM
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            20

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 68 percent. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



                

Minimum Potential Accumulation

Expect at least this much. This is what we see as the least amount of snow the storm can produce.

This information is for advance planning ahead of the storm. It is provided out as far as three days. However, when the snow starts to fall, this will be discontinued to focus on the forecast snow amount.
 

Most Likely Snow Accumulation

Represents our official snow forecast in inches within the next one to three days. The snowfall amounts are provided in point (single number) and ranges (1-2", 2-4", etc.). You can toggle between the two by hovering over the "Point" and "Range" text above the image. The point amount is our forecast but the range for the "most likely" represents the forecast uncertainty in predefined ranges.

Maximum Potential Accumulation

What you should be prepared for. This is what we see as the storm's maximum potential snowfall accumulation.

This information is for advance planning ahead of the storm. It is provided out as far as three days. However, when the snow starts to fall, this will be discontinued to focus on the forecast snow amount.

 

Short to Long-Range Forecast
7 Day Forecasts  Hourly Weather Forecast Digital Tabular Forecast

Hourly Forecast

Hourly Forecast Hourly Forecast
   
 
Day 1 Forecast Precipitation Day 2 Forecast Precipitation
Days 1-2 Precip Days 1-3 Precip
   
Day 3 Forecast Precipitation Days 1-3 Forecast Precipitation
Days 4-5 Precip Days 6-7 Precip
   

Days 6-10

Temperature  Precipitation
6-10 day temperature 6-10 day precipitation
   

Days 8-14

TEMPERATURE  PRECIPITATION
8-14 day temperature 8-14 day precipitation

 

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