Forecasts by Numerical Models

Storm Impacting the Northwest U.S.; Fire Weather Conditions in Southern California; Severe Weather in the South

A Pacific storm is bringing areas of low elevation rain, moderate to heavy mountain snow, and high winds to the Northwest. Strong Santa Ana winds and very dry conditions are producing elevated to critical fire weather conditions in southern California. Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible through early Wednesday morning across parts of northeast Texas into western Tennessee. Read More >

Numerical Model Guidance

Below are links to sites posting output from many of our numerical models. These models attempt to simulate the state of the atmosphere at various times in the future.

MOS Guidance (Model Output Statistics)

NBM Guidance (National Blend of Models)

Mesoscale Models - NAM Model (North American Mesoscale)/HRRR (High Resolution Rapid Refresh)/FV3-Hi-Res

GFS (Global Forecast System)/GEFS (GFS Ensemble)

ECMWF(European)/EPS (European Ensemble)

Point Forecast Soundings