Jackson, Mississippi
Weather Forecast Office
Product Guide: Zone Forecast Terminology
You may see terms in a National Weather Service Zone Forecast that might not be easy to understand. The following defines much of the terminology we use in a Zone Forecast Product.
A more thorough and complete glossary of NWS and general meteorological terms can be found here.
PRECIPITATION
Technically, the Probability of Precipitation (often referred to as a "POP") is defined as the likelihood of occurrence (in percent) of a measurable amount of liquid precipitation (or water equivalent of frozen precipitation) during a specified period of time at any given point in the forecast area. For rainfall to be measurable, it must be 0.01 inches or greater. A "trace" of rain does not constitue measurable precipitation. Precipitation can be used in terms of uncertainty or in area coverage.
The following are precipitation probabilities used by the National Weather Service.
POP Percentage | Expression/Uncertainty | Areal Qualifiers |
0 Percent | None | None |
10 Percent | ISOLATED or None | ISOLATED or None |
20 Percent | SLIGHT CHANCE | ISOLATED |
30-50 Percent | CHANCE | SCATTERED |
60-70 Percent | LIKELY | NUMEROUS |
80-100 Percent | (none) | OCCASIONAL or PERIODS OF |
SKY CONDITION
Forecasts normally include a sky condition unless it is implied from another part of the forecast. Below are terms we use to describe the sky condition:
Descriptive Term | Predominant or Average Cloud Cover |
CLEAR or SUNNY | No clouds |
MOSTLY SUNNY or MOSTLY CLEAR | 1/8 to 2/8 clouds |
PARTLY CLOUDY or PARTLY SUNNY | 3/8 to 5/8 clouds |
MOSTLY CLOUDY (sometimes CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS) | 6/8 to 7/8 clouds |
CLOUDY | 8/8 clouds |
Also used: INCREASING CLOUDS DECREASING CLOUDS |
WIND
Each Zone Forecast conditions three periods of wind information. The direction given is the directionfrom which the wind blows. Speeds are rounded to the nearest 5 mph, and often a range is given.
For speeds less than 5 mph, we often say "LIGHT WIND."
For speeds of 15-25 mph, we often say "BREEZY."
For speeds of 20-30 mph, we often say "WINDY."
For speeds of 30-40 mph, we often say "VERY WINDY."
For speeds greater than 40 mph, we often say "HIGH," "STRONG," OR "DANGEROUS."
US Dept of Commerce
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
National Weather Service
Jackson, Mississippi
234 Weather Service Dr.
Flowood, MS 39232
601-936-2189
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