Areas of Severe Thunderstorms, Critical Fire Weather, and HeatRisk for Monday

Isolated severe thunderstorms with locally damaging wind gusts and hail are possible Monday across parts of the Southeast U.S. Elevated to critical fire weather including gusty winds and low relative humidity is forecast Monday over much of the northern Great Plains. Above normal temperatures in the Southeast and Southwest U.S. will bring moderate to isolated major HeatRisk Monday. Read More >

Click a location below for detailed forecast.

Last Map Update: Sun, May 17, 2026 at 5:00:32 am CDT

Watches, Warnings & Advisories

National Weather Service Wichita, Kansas

National Weather Service Springfield, MO

Zoom Out

National Weather Service Little Rock, AR

National Weather Service Fort Worth/Dallas, TX

Wind Advisory

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Severe Storm Outlook Sunday

Severe Storm Outlook Monday

Severe Storm Outlook Tuesday

Excessive Rainfall Outlook Tuesday

Forecast Summary

A Marginal risk for severe weather exists Sunday afternoon and evening across areas along and north of a line from McAlester to Fort Smith.

Monday afternoon into Monday night currently looks to feature the best chance for severe weather across eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas, with an Enhanced Risk across western Osage and Pawnee counties and a Slight Risk extending eastward to a McAlester to Eureka Springs line. A Marginal Risk extends across the rest of northwest and west central Arkansas, as well as southeast Oklahoma. All modes of severe weather, including higher end threats, will be possible.

The potential for severe weather will continue into Tuesday along and in advance of a cold front. A Slight Risk for severe weather exists along and south of I-44, with a Marginal Risk northwest to a line from Bartlesville to Pawnee.

A Marginal Risk of excessive rainfall exists on Tuesday for areas along and to the southeast of I-44. Average amounts from 0.5 to 1.5 inches should be expected, with localized totals in the 2 to 3 inch range. Localized flash flooding and rises on area rivers may result.

Thunderstorm chances return Sunday with higher chances Monday evening into Tuesday. Severe weather potential likely to develop at times through early next week. Above normal temperatures will continue through the weekend, with cooler weather toward the early to middle part of next week.

Latest Text Product Selector (Selected product opens in a new window)


Decision Support	Winter	Hazards	Observations	Climate	Hydrology



Social Media	Satellite	Fire Weather	Weather Radio	Spotter Training	Text Products



Models

Tulsa Radar

Weather Map

Fort Smith Radar

TSA RSS Feed

Areas of Severe Thunderstorms, Critical Fire Weather, and HeatRisk for Monday

NWS Forecast Office Tulsa, OK