National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Areas of Severe Thunderstorms, Critical Fire Weather, and HeatRisk for Monday

Isolated severe thunderstorms with locally damaging wind gusts and hail are possible Monday across parts of the Southeast U.S. Elevated to critical fire weather including gusty winds and low relative humidity is forecast Monday over much of the northern Great Plains. Above normal temperatures in the Southeast and Southwest U.S. will bring moderate to isolated major HeatRisk Monday. Read More >

Click a location below for detailed forecast.

Last Map Update: Thu, May 14, 2026 at 5:34:44 am CDT

A low (10-30%) chance of showers and thunderstorms are forecast late tonight into Thursday morning across NE OK & NW AR. Severe weather is not expected and wetting rainfall is unlikely.
A few thunderstorms may impact the area Friday evening and overnight, with a marginal risk of severe weather across portions of northeast Oklahoma.
Rich low level moisture will surge north across the Southern Plains ahead of an approaching cold front Monday. A storm system lifting across the region will aid in thunderstorm development along the front Monday afternoon into the overnight hours Monday night. All modes of severe weather will be possible.
Above normal temperatures continue this week with low rain and storm chances for parts of the area.
Latest Text Product Selector (Selected product opens in a new window)

Decision Support Winter Hazards Observations Climate Hydrology
 
 
Social Media Satellite Fire Weather Weather Radio Spotter Training Text Products
 
 
Models