Heavy Rainfall and Severe Thunderstorm Threats for the Plains and Southeast

A frontal boundary extending from the western High Plains to the Southeast will focus additional showers and thunderstorms this weekend. Some of these storms may become severe, alongside frequent lightning, and isolated instances of flash flooding. Meanwhile dry conditions will continue for the Great Basin where fire weather concerns linger. For the mid-Atlantic and Northeast, seasonable weather. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Sun, Aug 3, 2025 at 8:58:09 am MDT

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Sunday's Weather

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Monsoon Break

Switching Weather Hazards

Heat Safety

Temperatures climb to near 10 degrees above normal early this week with moderate to major risk of heat-related impacts, especially Monday and Tuesday. The expected high temperatures (around 105 in El Paso) are rare for early August, unless you're living in 2023, which was historically scorching.

Sunday will be mostly dry and hot. High pressure building over the region will suppress thunderstorm development and allow temperatures to rise to the upper 90s to low 100's across the desert lowlands. Brief isolated storms will occur over portions of Hudspeth County in the afternoon. Hot and dry conditions will continue across the region for the next several days.

A very strong upper high will be building over the Desert Southwest next week with near record high temperatures expected through the week. A Heat Advisory is issued for portions of Far West Texas for Monday and Tuesday. The Advisory may be expanded in coverage and time through midweek.

A break in the monsoon is on the way next week. The upper level pattern by Monday will look more like what you’d expect for late-June instead of early August. Upper level ridging will be parked right over New Mexico.
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Moisture will be steered well south of the area, and temperatures will climb, reaching 100 to 105° in the lowlands much of next week.
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Showers and thunderstorms may try to return to the higher terrain late in the week, but it will be a slow rebound.

Weather concerns across the Borderland are about to make a significant shift from the high risk of flooding we've been seeing, to HEAT related hazards, with few to no storms (after today) through the first week of August.

With a long stretch of hot temperatures expected this week, remember to drink plenty of water and take breaks if working or playing outside.

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Heavy Rainfall and Severe Thunderstorm Threats for the Plains and Southeast

NWS El Paso