Regional Outbreaks of Severe Weather Through Early Next Week; Early Season Heat Wave across the South

Active spring pattern across the center of our nation with several episodes of severe weather and heavy rainfall expected into next week. The potential for very large hail, long track tornadoes, severe wind gusts, frequent cloud to ground lightning strikes and flash flooding are in the outlook. Furthermore, dangerous early season heat wave continues for the Gulf Coast states into early next week. Read More >

Last week (October 21-27, 2007), wildfires in California resulted in a large plume of smoke extending westward over the northeast Pacific, that was viewable from both high- and low-resolution satellite imagery.

Initially, expectations were that this smoke plume would "mix-out" in the trade wind flow before reaching the islands of Hawaii. This was a difficult forecast to make, as the concentrations of smoke and ash particulates embedded in the trade wind flow were not measured, and therefore their rate of dispersal could not be quantified. However, a trajectory analysis reveals that the recent hazy skies over the main Hawaiian islands can be attributed to the smoke from the California wildfires. In the attached image, using the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA's) Hysplit Model, forward trajectories of air parcels based at 100, 500 and 1000 meter heights were made based on the above image. In the image, the arrow points to the leading edge of drier and smokier air associated with the wildfires. This point was chosen, and forward trajectories from this point place the smoke over the Hawaiian Islands during the day on Saturday, October 27^th, when hazy skies were first observed on Oahu by National Weather Service personnel.

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Regional Outbreaks of Severe Weather Through Early Next Week; Early Season Heat Wave across the South

Hazy Hawaiian Skies due to California Wildfires