DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1155 AM EDT THU SEP 6 2018
...DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR NORTHERN MICHIGAN...
.SYNOPSIS...DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN ALLEVIATED OVER THE PAST
WEEK DUE TO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN...
ACCOMPANIED AT TIMES BY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS ON AUGUST 28TH. SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS FAR NORTHERN
LOWER MICHIGAN HAVE BEEN ELIMINATED WITH THE RECENT RAINFALL...WHICH
HAS TOTALED 2 TO 3 INCHES IN SOME AREAS OVER THE PAST WEEK.
.AREAS AFFECTED AND DROUGHT CATEGORIES...
THE FOLLOWING DESCRIPTION OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN DROUGHT CONDITIONS IS
BASED ON THE MOST RECENT U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR PUBLISHED ON SEPTEMBER
6TH...WITH THE REMOVAL OF DROUGHT CATEGORY D2...SEVERE DROUGHT...
FROM NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN.
DROUGHT CATEGORY D1...MODERATE DROUGHT. RESULTS IN SOME CROP
DAMAGE...STREAMS AND RESERVOIRS RUNNING LOW. AREAS INCLUDED IN
DROUGHT CATEGORY D1 INCLUDES ALL OR PARTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...PRESQUE ISLE...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO...
MONTMORENCY...ALPENA.
DROUGHT CATEGORY D0...ABNORMALLY DRY. POTENTIALLY DEVELOPING INTO
DROUGHT...SHORT TERM DRYNESS SLOWING CROP GROWTH. AREAS INCLUDED IN
DROUGHT CATEGORY D0 INCLUDES ALL OR PARTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:
CHIPPEWA...CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ALCONA...MISSAUKEE...ROSCOMMON...
OGEMAW...IOSCO.
.RECENT CLIMATOLOGICAL TRENDS...
PRECIPITATION DEFICITS OVER THE PAST SEVEN DAYS ACROSS NORTHERN
MICHIGAN HAVE BEEN RUNNING 150-300+ PERCENT OF NORMAL ACROSS NORTHERN
LOWER MICHIGAN...AND 100-200 PERCENT OF NORMAL ACROSS MOST OF
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN SAVE FOR A SMALL AREA AROUND SAULT STE MARIE
AND KINROSS OF 75-100 PERCENT NORMAL RAINFALL. FOR THE MONTH OF
AUGUST...RAINFALL DEFICITS RANGED FROM 50-100 PERCENT OF NORMAL
ACROSS THE TIP OF THE MITT AND HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN AND CHIPPEWA COUNTY...AND FROM 100-200 PERCENT OF NORMAL
ELSEWHERE.
SELECTED RAINFALL TOTALS FOR THE PAST WEEK ENDING 8AM SEPTEMBER 6TH:
THIS WEEK LAST WEEK ENDING 8/30:
TRAVERSE CITY (TVC) 2.90 3.66 INCHES
ALPENA (APN) 2.64 1.96
GAYLORD (GLR) 2.06 2.68
EAST JORDAN 1.91 2.78
ST. IGNACE 1.87 2.31
CHARLEVOIX 1.55 2.79
STANDISH 1.54 1.62
CHEBOYGAN 1.44 2.53
PETOSKEY 1.41 3.01
CADILLAC 1.38 2.53
DETOUR VILLAGE 1.38 1.75
HOUGHTON LAKE (HTL) 1.26 1.41
SAULT STE MARIE (SSM) 0.81 1.07
RECENT MONTHS PRECIPITATION DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL
APR MAY JUN JUL AUG
SAULT STE MARIE 0.00 +0.48 -1.27 -1.36 -1.21
HOUGHTON LAKE +1.02 +1.06 -1.92 -0.02 -1.31
ALPENA +2.64 +0.28 -1.75 -0.85 -0.14
TRAVERSE CITY +1.77 +0.35 -0.90 -1.41 +0.64
GAYLORD +2.23 +0.50 -1.81 +0.26 +0.27
AFTER A VERY COLD AND SNOWY APRIL...TEMPERATURES REBOUNDED DURING
MAY. SAULT STE MARIE... ALPENA...HOUGHTON LAKE...TRAVERSE CITY...
AND GAYLORD ALL RECORDED A TOP FIVE WARMEST MAY ON RECORD (TRAVERSE
CITY RECORDED ITS WARMEST MAY). TEMPERATURES REMAINED WARM IN
JUNE... CAPPED OFF BY A RECORD SETTING HEAT WAVE DURING THE LAST
COUPLE DAYS OF JUNE AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE FOURTH OF JULY
HOLIDAY (WHICH INCLUDED A 99 DEGREE HIGH AT ALPENA ON JUNE 30TH).
SAULT STE MARIE AND ALPENA BOTH RECORDED TOP FIVE WARMEST JULYS ON
RECORD. AUGUST ALSO ENDED UP AS A WARM MONTH...WITH TOP TEN WARMEST
AUGUSTS ON RECORD AT SAULT STE MARIE (3RD WARMEST)...HOUGHTON LAKE
(9TH WARMEST)...ALPENA (5TH WARMEST)...TRAVERSE CITY (9TH
WARMEST)...AND GAYLORD (6TH WARMEST).
.SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS...
SOIL MOISTURE WAS WELL ABOVE NORMAL THIS SPRING...ABOVE THE 90TH
PERCENTILE ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH THE END OF MAY.
SOIL MOISTURE BEGAN TO DROP DURING JUNE WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF HOT
AND DRY CONDITIONS. AS OF SEPTEMBER 6TH...SOIL MOISTURE PERCENTILES
HAVE INCREASED ABOVE THE 80TH PERCENTILE (ABOVE NORMAL) ACROSS AREAS
SOUTH OF THE M-72 CORRIDOR IN LOWER MICHIGAN...AND WITHIN THE
"NORMAL" RANGE ELSEWHERE (CONSIDERED TO BE BETWEEN THE 30TH AND 70TH
PERCENTILES). SATELLITE DERIVED SOIL MOISTURE ANOMALIES SHOW SURFACE
SOIL MOISTURE (TOP 2CM) HAS INCREASED ABOVE THE 80TH PERCENTILE
ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN...WHILE ROOT ZONE (TOP 1M) SOIL
MOISTURE IS ABOVE THE 95TH PERCENTILE ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN UPPER
AND ALONG THE LAKE HURON SHORELINE COUNTIES OF NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN.
.STREAMFLOW CONDITIONS...
DISCHARGE VALUES AT MOST RIVER GAGING STATIONS ACROSS EASTERN UPPER
AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN ARE NOW RUNNING ABOVE NORMAL THANKS TO
RECENT RAINFALL.
CURRENT STAGE AND DISCHARGE VALUES VERSUS NORMAL AS OF SEPTEMBER 6:
DISCHARGE (CFS) PCNT NRML/1 WEEK CHANGE
PINE R NEAR RUDYARD 131 127%/+ 13%
JORDAN R NEAR EAST JORDAN 200 116%/ 0%
STURGEON R AT WOLVERINE 282 153%/- 18%
PIGEON R NEAR VANDERBILT 115 177%/+ 22%
THUNDER BAY R NEAR BOLTON 577 172%/+ 80%
PLATTE R AT HONOR 189 159%/+ 8%
BOARDMAN R NEAR MAYFIELD 170 178%/+ 18%
SB AU SABLE R NEAR LUZERNE 172 117%/+ 6%
AU SABLE R NEAR RED OAK 1080 162%/+ 17%
AU SABLE R AT MIO 1300 157%/+ 27%
AU SABLE R NEAR MCKINLEY 1580 167%/+ 11%
AU SABLE R NEAR CURTISVILLE 1670 163%/+ 7%
AU SABLE R NEAR AU SABLE 2130 175%/+ 31%
MANISTEE R NEAR SHERMAN 1150 129%/- 12%
MANISTEE R NEAR MESICK 1320 130%/- 3%
MANISTEE R NEAR WELLSTON 2000 138%/- 17%
PINE R NEAR HOXEYVILLE 278 115%/- 29%
CLAM R AT VOGEL CENTER 82 90%/- 26%
RIFLE R NEAR STERLING 649 336%/+ 11%
SB TOBACCO R NEAR BEAVERTON 347 501%/+168%
TOBACCO R AT BEAVERTON 988 448%/+171%
.ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR:
droughtmonitor.unl.edu
NATIONAL INTEGRATED DROUGHT INFORMATION SYSTEM:
www.drought.gov/drought
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER:
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
.NEXT ISSUANCE...
THIS WILL BE THE FINAL DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED UNLESS
DROUGHT CATEGORY D2 (SEVERE DROUGHT) CONDITIONS REDEVELOP.
&&
$$
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