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Erin Strengthens to a Hurricane; Heavy Rainfall Possible in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, the Upper Midwest, South Texas

Hurricane Erin may bring isolated flash and urban flooding, landslides or mudslides, and possible tropical storm conditions to Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands this weekend. Scattered thunderstorms and heavy rainfall may bring areas of flooding this weekend over the Upper Midwest. A tropical disturbance will bring locally heavy rain and mainly urban flash flooding to far southern Texas. Read More >

Observed Model Pressure Differences

Observation Pressure Gradient Table
National Weather Service, Anchorage AK Forecast Office
Sun Aug 17 09:10:01 GMT 2025

Time  PAWR- PACV- PATK- PANC- PATK- PAGK- PANC- PAGK- PAHO- PADQ- PAGK- PAGK- PANN-
      PANC  PANC  PANC  PAHO  PAEN  PANC  PAMC  PATK  PAKN  PAKN  PACV  PAVD  PATK 
1610  -4.3  -8.7   1.2  -1.1   0.3  -0.2  -9.7  -1.4  -8.5  -7.6   8.5   3.7   5.9 
1611  -4.2  -8.5   1.5  -1.4   0.3  -0.1  -9.8  -1.6  -8.4  -7.7   8.4   4.1   5.7 
1612  -4.0  -8.4   1.4  -1.2   0.4  -0.5  -9.9  -1.9  -8.5  -8.0   7.9   3.3   5.8 
1613  -4.2  -8.2   1.6  -1.2   0.7  -0.3 -10.3  -1.9  -8.6  -7.9   7.9   3.4   5.7 
1614  -3.9  -8.1   1.8  -1.3   0.7  -0.4 -10.6  -2.2  -8.6  -8.0   7.7   2.9   5.8 
1615  -3.8  -7.7   1.7  -1.2   0.6  -0.5 -10.7  -2.2  -8.5  -8.0   7.2   2.7   5.9 
1616  -3.6  -7.4   1.8  -1.5   0.5  -0.4 -11.0  -2.2  -8.5  -8.2   7.0   2.6   6.2 
1617  -3.6  -7.7   1.6  -1.4   0.5  -0.5 -11.0  -2.1  -8.4  -8.3   7.2   2.3   6.5 
1618  -3.5  -7.3   1.4  -1.2   0.2  -0.4 -11.2  -1.8  -8.6  -9.1   6.9   2.4   6.9 
1619  -3.3  -6.8   1.4  -1.2   0.2  -0.2 -11.5  -1.6  -8.6  -8.4   6.6   2.5   7.3 
1620  -3.3  -6.5   1.0  -1.0   0.1  -0.2 -11.1  -1.2  -8.5  -8.2   6.3   2.7     m 
1621  -3.0  -6.1   1.1  -1.0   0.1  -0.1 -11.0  -1.2  -8.2  -7.7   6.0   2.3   7.9 
1622  -2.8  -5.4   1.5  -1.1   0.2   0.5 -11.1  -1.0  -8.0  -7.4   5.9   2.3   7.7 
1623  -2.3  -5.1   1.9  -1.1   0.6   0.8 -11.1  -1.1  -7.7  -7.3   5.9   2.0   7.5 
1700  -2.2  -4.6   2.4  -1.2   1.0   0.8 -11.0  -1.6  -7.6  -6.9   5.4   1.5   7.1 
1701  -1.7  -4.3   2.6  -1.3   1.4   1.2 -11.0  -1.4  -7.3  -6.6   5.5   1.6   7.1 
1702  -1.7  -4.1   2.6  -1.3   1.3   1.2 -10.8  -1.4  -7.0  -6.0   5.3   1.5   7.1 
1703  -2.0  -4.2   2.4  -1.1   1.4   0.9 -10.2  -1.5  -6.7  -6.1   5.1   1.2   6.9 
1704  -1.9  -4.1   2.2  -1.0   1.0   1.0 -10.1  -1.2  -6.8  -6.1   5.1     m   7.1 
1705  -2.3  -4.2   2.0  -0.9   0.9   1.2  -9.6  -0.8  -6.4  -5.8   5.4   1.5   6.8 
1706  -2.5  -4.4   1.7  -0.7   0.8   1.4  -9.2  -0.3  -6.6  -6.0   5.8   1.7   6.7 
1707  -2.6  -4.4   1.6  -0.8   0.7   1.6  -9.1   0.0  -6.4  -6.1   6.0   2.2   6.4 
1708  -2.4  -4.3   1.6  -0.7   0.6   2.1  -9.2   0.5  -6.6  -6.2   6.4   2.5   6.3 
1709     m  -3.9   1.7  -0.8   0.6   2.7  -9.3   1.0  -6.7  -6.4   6.6   2.9   6.0 

 


Forecast Model Pressure Differences

 North American Mesoscale Model

Model Forecast Pressure Gradient Table
National Weather Service, Anchorage AK Forecast Office
Sun Aug 17 03:30:01 GMT 2025

('    ', 'ETA242', 'Pressure Difference Forecast (', '20250817_0000', ' UTC)')
DDHH  PAWR- PACV- PATK- PANC- PATK- PAGK- PANC- PAGK- PAHO- PADQ- PAGK- PAGK- PANN-
      PANC  PANC  PANC  PAHO  PAEN  PANC  PAMC  PATK  PAKN  PAKN  PACV  PAVD  PATK 
1700  -1.6  -4.8   2.0  -0.1   1.0  -0.1 -10.5  -2.0  -9.2  -7.2   4.7   2.5   6.9
1703  -1.8  -4.0   3.6  -0.4   2.7  -0.5  -9.2  -4.1  -8.0  -6.1   3.5   0.7   4.8
1706  -1.1  -4.5   2.7  -0.3   1.6  -0.2  -8.0  -2.9  -7.1  -5.6   4.3   1.3   4.6
1709  -0.6  -4.3   2.3  -0.5   1.2   0.4  -7.8  -1.9  -7.3  -5.9   4.7   1.8   4.2
1712  -0.6  -4.6   1.5  -0.3   0.6   0.5  -7.3  -1.1  -6.9  -5.7   5.0   2.0   4.3
1715  -0.4  -4.4   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.3  -6.1  -0.4  -6.6  -5.5   4.8   2.0   4.2
1718  -0.8  -4.2  -0.4   0.5  -0.9   0.3  -5.6   0.6  -6.4  -5.3   4.4   2.8   4.7
1721  -1.4  -3.6  -1.2   0.7  -1.4  -0.7  -4.7   0.5  -5.6  -4.3   2.9   2.0   4.7
1800  -1.2  -2.5  -1.4   0.5  -1.5  -0.9  -3.9   0.5  -4.7  -3.1   1.6   1.2   4.7
1803  -0.8  -1.2  -1.2   0.0  -1.3  -0.8  -3.3   0.4  -3.9  -2.3   0.5   0.7   4.0
1806  -0.2  -0.2  -0.8  -0.0  -0.9  -0.3  -2.2   0.5  -2.9  -1.5  -0.0   0.2   3.1
1809   0.6   0.5  -0.2   0.1  -0.2   0.6  -1.9   0.8  -2.5  -1.5   0.1  -0.0   2.1
1812   1.0   0.8   0.2   0.2   0.2   1.1  -1.4   0.8  -2.2  -1.4   0.3   0.5   1.1
1815   1.6   1.0   0.5   0.4   0.6   1.8  -1.0   1.3  -1.8  -1.3   0.7  -0.1   0.5
1818   2.6   1.6   0.1  -0.0  -0.0   1.4  -0.9   1.3  -1.5  -1.4  -0.1  -0.0   0.1
1821   2.3   2.2  -0.2  -0.4  -0.2   0.7  -1.1   0.9  -0.9  -1.1  -1.5  -1.2  -0.1
1900   2.5   2.9  -0.4  -0.9  -0.6  -0.1  -1.5   0.3   0.0  -0.3  -3.0  -2.5  -0.5
1903   2.7   3.2  -0.7  -1.2  -1.1  -0.0  -1.0   0.6   0.3  -0.1  -3.2  -2.9  -1.2
1906   2.3   2.7  -0.8  -0.9  -1.2  -0.3  -0.4   0.5  -0.2  -0.6  -3.0  -2.9  -1.9
1909   1.7   2.1  -0.8  -0.6  -0.8  -0.5  -0.5   0.3  -0.8  -1.0  -2.6  -2.6  -2.1
1912   1.2   1.5  -0.6  -0.8  -0.8  -0.3  -1.5   0.3  -1.7  -1.7  -1.8  -2.1  -1.8
1915   0.7   1.2  -0.4  -0.7  -0.6   0.3  -4.2   0.7  -2.6  -2.3  -0.9  -1.3  -1.4
1918  -0.3   0.3  -1.0   0.1  -1.0  -0.6  -5.0   0.4  -3.1  -2.8  -0.9  -0.8   0.2
1921  -0.2   0.6  -0.3   0.1  -0.4  -0.9  -5.5  -0.6  -2.9  -2.7  -1.5  -0.5   1.1
2000  -0.0   0.6  -0.3   0.4  -0.2  -0.9  -5.1  -0.6  -2.7  -2.5  -1.5  -0.4   2.3
2003   0.3   1.4  -0.0   0.3   0.2  -0.1  -4.6  -0.1  -2.4  -2.3  -1.4   0.0   2.9
2006   0.5   1.1   0.2   0.1   0.3   0.2  -3.8   0.0  -1.9  -1.9  -0.9  -0.3   2.9
2009   0.5   0.4   0.4   0.4   0.5   0.7  -3.0   0.4  -1.9  -1.9   0.3   0.3   2.6
2012   0.3   0.1   0.7   0.7   0.8   0.7  -2.1  -0.0  -1.6  -1.7   0.6   0.6   1.6