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.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
While showers thunderstorms were generally weakening and moving
east, out of the northeast mountains, as of 06Z this morning,
very warm and humid air in place, and weak mid/upper-level
disturbances could result in new showers and thunderstorms there
this morning, which would most likely impact EKN and perhaps
CKB.
There is greater confidence in a cluster of thunderstorms over
the midwest of 06Z this morning moving into, or redeveloping
in, the middle Ohio Valley and central Appalachians this
afternoon. if they weaken this morning and redevelop this
afternoon, there is a greater chance they can be strong to
severe. MVFR/IFR are possible on direct hits of heavier showers
and storms.
The Storm Prediction Center has a Slight Risk for Severe
Thunderstorms in and near the mountains, with a Marginal Risk
back over the middle Ohio Valley and down along the Tug Fork,
for this afternoon and early this evening. The main threat is
damaging wind, but hail is also possible.
Thunderstorms should weaken and move east, out of the northeast
mountains, around sunset this evening.
Light southwest surface flow will be a bit stronger and could
become gusty for a time this afternoon. Thunderstorms this
afternoon can produce strong to damaging wind gusts. Light west
flow aloft this morning will become light southwest this
afternoon, and then moderate southwest tonight.
Clearing early this morning, with locally heavy rainfall that
fell Wednesday, could induce at least patchy fog, but given the
aforementioned flow, any fog that does form will limited, and
dissipate quickly after sunrise.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.
AVIATION FORECAST CONFIDENCE
| Updated: 440 AM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026 |
| UTC | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| EDT | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| CRW | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H |
| HTS | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H |
| BKW | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H |
| EKN | H | H | H | H | M | M | M | H | H | H | H | H |
| PKB | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H |
| CKB | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H |
| 3 AM | 4 AM | 5 AM | 6 AM | 7 AM | 8 AM | |
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| 3 AM | 4 AM | 5 AM | 6 AM | 7 AM | 8 AM | |
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