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Ceiling Height Forecast
Visibility Forecast
24 Hour Aviation Hazards Summary
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Lowest Expected Flight Conditions

Local Aviation Hazards


Local Area Aviation Weather Discussion

.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 110 AM Friday...

Snow associated with surface low pressure was moving 
southeastward across the area, the low associated with a 
mid/upper-level shortwave trough extending westward out of 
elongated low pressure along the Mason-Dixon line.

IFR to MVFR conditions in snow had already improved at PKB, and
should do likewise through 08Z elsewhere, although any ceiling
improvement to VFR will be brief, and BKW will have IFR ceilings
through much of the TAF period.

Light southwest surface flow will shift to light west before
dawn as the surface low passes, and then strengthen and become
increasingly gusty from the west during the day Friday. As
moderate northwest flow aloft becomes stronger during the day
Friday, enhanced upslope and diurnal heating will result in
showers becoming increasingly widespread Friday, especially
during the afternoon. However, the boundary layer will warm due
to the diurnal heating, and the arrival of warmer air.

As a result, the showers will take the form of rain with
primarily MVFR conditions across the lowlands, and IFR snow at
EKN late Friday morning through most of the afternoon, and MVFR
to IFR in snow at BKW Friday afternoon, will at least mix with
rain at both of those sites Friday evening. However, ceilings
should settle into IFR most everywhere Friday night. Friday 
night will be warmer than the current overnight, with 
temperatures above freezing all TAF sites.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...
     
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

Area Forecast Discussion  

AVIATION FORECAST CONFIDENCE

Updated: 336 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024
UTC 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
EST 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
CRW H M M H H H H H H H H H
HTS H M M M H H H H H H H H
BKW H M H H H M H H H H H H
EKN H H H H H H M L L L L L
PKB H H H H H H H H H H H H
CKB H H H H H H H M M L L M

Experimental table of flight category objectively shows consistency
of WFO forecast to available model information:
H = HIGH: TAF consistent with all models or all but one model.
M = MEDIUM: TAF has varying level of consistency with models.
L = LOW: TAF inconsistent with all models or all but one model.


Local Ceiling & Visibility Forecasts

  • The ceiling height and visibility forecasts below are updated every 6 hours.  Please enlarge the graphics by clicking on the images below to view details and time of the forecasts.  Additional hourly forecast can be accessed here.
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Airport Specific Weather Information & Forecasts

  • TAFs and METARs can be accessed where available from the map below, along with other aviation relevant guidance. For airports without TAFs, hourly weather graphs from the National Digital Forecast Database are provided. This information is intended for situational awareness purposes only.

                                TAF Airport Airports with TAFs        |        Other Airports without TAFs

 

Additional Local Information

Regional/National Information