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Ceiling Height Forecast
Visibility Forecast
24 Hour Aviation Hazards Summary
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Lowest Expected Flight Conditions

Local Aviation Hazards


Local Area Aviation Weather Discussion

.AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 130 AM Sunday...

The progression of a complex low pressure system continues to
impede on our airspace today in the form of showers and
thunderstorms initially, then wintry precipitation late tonight.

Starting this morning, a wave of showers have entered into the
western extent of the area, supporting localized MVFR ceilings.
Radar at the time of writing also shows a line of thunderstorms
evolving along the Kentucky/Tennessee border. This will be an
area to closely monitor over the next few hours to see how this
line of developing storms unfolds. Storms are progged to arrive
to our western terminals shortly after 10Z this morning then
press across the area fairly quickly. This could support
damaging wind gusts, small hail, and perhaps some rotation that
could spawn tornadoes.

Once this first line treks eastward, a brief break in
precipitation transpires ahead of the cold front anticipated for
late this afternoon into the evening. One final line of
thunderstorms could cross overhead, then quickly followed by the
frontal passage. Winds will veer out of the west/northwest in
its wake, with temperatures turning much colder, and could yield
wintry precipitation along the higher terrain very late in the
TAF period.

Strong gradient winds remain present through today before the
cold front. Gusts of 20 to 30kts remain plausible at all
terminals this morning and afternoon, then easing in intensity
late tonight as the pressure gradient relaxes.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY...
     
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium to high.

Area Forecast Discussion  

AVIATION FORECAST CONFIDENCE

Updated: 342 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025
UTC 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
EDT 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
CRW H H H H H H H H H H H H
HTS M M M M H H H H H H H H
BKW H H H H H M H M H H M H
EKN H H H H H H H H H H H H
PKB H H H H H H H H M L H H
CKB H H H H H H H H H H L H

Experimental table of flight category objectively shows consistency
of WFO forecast to available model information:
H = HIGH: TAF consistent with all models or all but one model.
M = MEDIUM: TAF has varying level of consistency with models.
L = LOW: TAF inconsistent with all models or all but one model.


Local Ceiling & Visibility Forecasts

  • The ceiling height and visibility forecasts below are updated every 6 hours.  Please enlarge the graphics by clicking on the images below to view details and time of the forecasts.  Additional hourly forecast can be accessed here.
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Airport Specific Weather Information & Forecasts

  • TAFs and METARs can be accessed where available from the map below, along with other aviation relevant guidance. For airports without TAFs, hourly weather graphs from the National Digital Forecast Database are provided. This information is intended for situational awareness purposes only.

                                TAF Airport Airports with TAFs        |        Other Airports without TAFs

 

Additional Local Information

Regional/National Information