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Ceiling Height Forecast
Visibility Forecast
24 Hour Aviation Hazards Summary
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Lowest Expected Flight Conditions

Local Aviation Hazards


Local Area Aviation Weather Discussion

.AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 445 AM Friday...

A mixed bag of flight conditions exists across the region to 
start this TAF period. In the north (KPKB/KCKB), partial 
clearing overnight combined with light winds has allowed patchy 
fog to form which has been in and out of these terminals. They
may continue to bounce around until IFR stratus arrives from the
north shortly after daybreak. Elsewhere, largely VFR/MVFR
conditions are present at this hour.

A warm front lifting northward will spread rain showers across
the area today. Precipitation is expected to reach KHTS and KBKW
around 14Z-15Z, spreading northeast to KCRW, KEKN, KPKB, and 
KCKB between 15Z and 18Z. Ceilings will gradually lower into 
the MVFR range this morning, worsening to IFR shortly after
steady rain begins. Visibilities within the rain will generally
range from 3SM to 6SM through this afternoon, though heavier 
bursts could briefly reduce visibilities to IFR as well.

Flight conditions will deteriorate significantly this evening
(after 00Z) as the boundary layer saturates and heavier rain 
moves into the region. Widespread IFR ceilings are forecast to 
develop at all terminals with IFR/LIFR visibilities likely 
overnight in heavier rain and fog.

Winds will remain generally light (5-10KT) and southeasterly to
southerly at the surface. A strengthening low-level jet 
(35-45KTs at 2kft) will introduce a threat for LLWS at most 
terminals after 00Z Saturday.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...
     
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

Area Forecast Discussion  

AVIATION FORECAST CONFIDENCE

Updated: 445 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
UTC 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
EST 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
CRW H H H H H H H H H H H H
HTS H H H M H H H H H H H H
BKW H H H H H H H H H H H H
EKN H H H H H H H H H H H H
PKB L M H M M M M H M H H H
CKB L L M M M L M H H H H H

Experimental table of flight category objectively shows consistency
of WFO forecast to available model information:
H = HIGH: TAF consistent with all models or all but one model.
M = MEDIUM: TAF has varying level of consistency with models.
L = LOW: TAF inconsistent with all models or all but one model.


Local Ceiling & Visibility Forecasts

  • The ceiling height and visibility forecasts below are updated every 6 hours.  Please enlarge the graphics by clicking on the images below to view details and time of the forecasts.  Additional hourly forecast can be accessed here.
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Airport Specific Weather Information & Forecasts

  • TAFs and METARs can be accessed where available from the map below, along with other aviation relevant guidance. For airports without TAFs, hourly weather graphs from the National Digital Forecast Database are provided. This information is intended for situational awareness purposes only.

                                TAF Airport Airports with TAFs        |        Other Airports without TAFs

 

Additional Local Information

Regional/National Information