Prior to every flight, pilots should gather all information vital to the nature of the flight. This site is informational in nature and is designed to assist pilots and aircrews for flight planning and weather familiarization. It may be used in conjunction with other preflight information sources needed to satisfy all the requirements of 14 CFR 91.103 and is not to be considered as a sole source of information to meet all preflight action. Pilots can complete their regulatory-compliant preflight briefing by using other automated resources or from Flight Service at www.1800wxbrief.com or by calling 1-800-WX-BRIEF.
.AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 130 AM Sunday...
The progression of a complex low pressure system continues to
impede on our airspace today in the form of showers and
thunderstorms initially, then wintry precipitation late tonight.
Starting this morning, a wave of showers have entered into the
western extent of the area, supporting localized MVFR ceilings.
Radar at the time of writing also shows a line of thunderstorms
evolving along the Kentucky/Tennessee border. This will be an
area to closely monitor over the next few hours to see how this
line of developing storms unfolds. Storms are progged to arrive
to our western terminals shortly after 10Z this morning then
press across the area fairly quickly. This could support
damaging wind gusts, small hail, and perhaps some rotation that
could spawn tornadoes.
Once this first line treks eastward, a brief break in
precipitation transpires ahead of the cold front anticipated for
late this afternoon into the evening. One final line of
thunderstorms could cross overhead, then quickly followed by the
frontal passage. Winds will veer out of the west/northwest in
its wake, with temperatures turning much colder, and could yield
wintry precipitation along the higher terrain very late in the
TAF period.
Strong gradient winds remain present through today before the
cold front. Gusts of 20 to 30kts remain plausible at all
terminals this morning and afternoon, then easing in intensity
late tonight as the pressure gradient relaxes.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium to high.
AVIATION FORECAST CONFIDENCE
Updated: 342 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025 |
UTC | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
EDT | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
CRW | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H |
HTS | M | M | M | M | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H |
BKW | H | H | H | H | H | M | H | M | H | H | M | H |
EKN | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H |
PKB | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | M | L | H | H |
CKB | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | L | H |
6 AM | 7 AM | 8 AM | 9 AM | 10 AM | 11 AM | |
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6 AM | 7 AM | 8 AM | 9 AM | 10 AM | 11 AM | |
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