A Slight Risk of severe covers much of the state with a smaller area of Enhanced Risk across roughly the northern half of Arkansas. Synoptically, a powerful compact storm system is expected to pass just north and west of the state during the afternoon into the nighttime hours today and tonight. Large hail, damaging winds, and even tornadoes will be possible during this time. Northern Arkansas has a slightly better probability of severe weather due to the location of the cold front and warm front interface in conjunction with the passing upper level disturbance, thus the enhanced risk area mentioned above.