157 FXUS66 KSEW 021111 AFDSEW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 311 AM PST Sun Nov 2 2025 .SYNOPSIS... Showers drying up today as a weak upper level ridge builds over the area tonight. Next system moving inland mainly to the south Monday. The system will try and lift north into Western Washington Monday night into Tuesday. Organized front arriving Tuesday night into Wednesday but with the jet aimed into Northern California/Southern Oregon this system will be weakening as it moves into the state. A more consolidated system moving into the area late in the week. && .SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... Welcome to the big dark. Satellite imagery shows mostly cloudy skies over Western Washington early this morning. Doppler radar has some showers west of Puget Sound as well as around Stevens Pass in a dying convergence zone. Temperatures at 3 am/11z mostly in the 40s with some upper 30s in locations where the skies have mostly cleared out. A little break in the action today for the most part. Showers this morning will dissipate this afternoon as a weak upper level ridge builds into the area ahead of the next system. Plenty of low level moisture around keeping skies mostly cloudy a good part of the day. Highs around normal, in the mid 50s. Break continuing tonight with the weak upper level ridge moving through and the next system still offshore. Clearing will allow the colder locations to drop into the mid to upper 30s with the remainder of the area in the lower to mid 40s. Next system, still west of 140W this morning, will move into Oregon Monday with the northern portion of the system over Southwest Washington and the Puget Sound area in the afternoon. Chance of rain from about Everett south in the afternoon. Cloudy skies over the rest of Western Washington. Highs in the lower to mid 50s. System trying to lift north into Western Washington Monday night. Next system moving quickly across the Eastern Pacific will throw up a temporary upper level ridge ahead of it making it hard of the system to get into the area. Best chance for rain from Tacoma south. The northeasterly movement of the system will spread chance pops in the north all the way to the Canadian border. Lows in the lower to mid 40s. System kicking out to the east Tuesday morning as the temporary upper level ridge ahead of the next front builds over the area. Warm front approaching from the southwest late in the day but still over Oregon by late afternoon. Chance pops in the morning for the system moving out and chance pops in the afternoon for the approaching warm front. Warm front pushing a little bit warmer air over the area but with plenty of cloud cover highs will stay in the 50s and lower 60s. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... Warm front lifting into the area from the southwest Tuesday night with rain spreading over the entire area. Snow levels rising to the 6000 to 7500 foot range. Southerly flow aloft not a great precipitation producer in the Cascades except on the volcanoes. Lows Tuesday night in the mid 40s to lower 50s. With the jet aimed into Northern California/Southern Oregon the trailing cold front will stall over Western Washington Wednesday making for a wet day. Winds increasing along the coast and over the Northwest Interior with wind advisory speeds possible. Highs in the upper 50s. Cold front slowly moving east Wednesday night. Model solutions begin to show some inconsistencies Thursday into Friday with the timing of the arrival of the rain out ahead of the next system. The ECMWF is faster ( Thursday arrival ) versus the GFS ( Thursday night arrival ). This system looks to be another...you guessed it...atmospheric river. Ensembles favor the faster timing so forecast wording rain at times Thursday and Friday. Hydrology wise the system looks progressive at this point which could limit the flooding concerns to the flood prone Skokomish. Front moving through Friday. Operational runs starting to build an upper level ridge for Friday night into Saturday. Ensemble solutions still have a few wet solutions so will go with just chance pops Friday night into Saturday. Felton && .AVIATION... Westerly flow aloft today will become southwesterly tonight as another upper trough approaches the region. Weakening surface gradients and abundant low level moisture will lead to areas of MVFR ceilings this morning. These will lift and scatter by this afternoon. KSEA...Broken 015-025 ceilings though late morning will scatter out to VFR this afternoon. Surface winds southerly 7 to 10 knots this morning will shift to north/northeasterly 5 to 8 knots after 00Z. && .MARINE... Surface ridging over the coastal waters will shift inland tonight with the flow turning offshore. A weak surface trough moving northeastward off the Oregon coast will dissipate as it moves onshore over Western Washington Monday night. A broad and deep area of low pressure will move into the offshore waters Tuesday night. A vigorous frontal system associated with a sub 980 millibar surface low lifting northward toward Haida Gwaii is expected to produce headlines for all waters Tuesday night through Wednesday night. Gales are likely for the coastal waters as well as the Strait of Juan de Fuca and adjacent waters during this period. A series of additional fronts will follow into the end of the week maintaining very active conditions. Hazardous seas will be the predominant condition over the coastal waters throughout the week ahead. Seas of 12 to 15 feet this morning will gradually subside below 10 feet briefly Monday night or early Tuesday before building back to 15 to 20 feet Wednesday through the end of week. 27 && .HYDROLOGY... The upper reaches of the rivers flowing out of the Cascades crested Saturday evening or early this morning below flood stage. The crest will make its` way downstream this morning with the rivers remaining in their banks. The Skokomish river fell below flood stage at 130 am this morning ( gauge reading 16.4 feet, flood stage 16.5 feet ). This is the only river close to flood stage. The Skokomish will continue to recede this morning. The flood watch for Skagit, Snohomish and King county has been cancelled. Break in the hydrologically significant precipitation the next couple of days. Rivers rising again with the system Tuesday night into Wednesday but at this time the rainfall does not look like it will be enough to cause any flooding problems. A wetter system later in the week could cause the Skokomish River to flood again and push some of the rivers flowing out of the Cascades into action stage. Felton && .SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...None. PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM PST this evening for Grays Harbor Bar. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM PST this afternoon for West Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca. Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM PST Monday for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm- Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm. && $$

354 FXUS66 KPQR 021533 AAA AFDPQR Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Portland OR 732 AM PST Sun Nov 2 2025 Updated short term forecast and PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. .SYNOPSIS...Conditions trend drier through today but this reprieve won`t last long. The next round of rain moves into the region Monday morning as a compact surface low develops offshore and passes quickly through the PacNW. Another brief break is expected for much of Tuesday before the pattern really ramps up. A broad trough sets up over the northeastern Pacific and PacNW with several lows and associate cold fronts traverse the area. Wednesday and Thursday will see moderate rain with gusty south winds 35 to 45 mph inland. && .UPDATE...Areas of dense fog have developed early Sunday morning across portions of the Willamette Valley, Portland metro, lower Columbia, Cowlitz Valley and Coast Range valleys. Dense Fog Advisories have been issued where webcams, satellite and surface weather observations show the most widespread fog. These advisories are in effect until 11 AM PST Sunday. If you need to commute this morning in the aforementioned areas, slow down when driving through dense fog and allow yourself some extra time. -23 && .DISCUSSION...Now through Friday...Residual moisture and a weak upper level disturbance passing over the area is supporting light scattered showers. Showers are expected to dissipate sunday morning as surface high pressure builds into the area from the southwest. This transient area of high pressure will support mainly dry conditions through Sunday with winds shifting from westerly to northerly Sunday night as a thermal trough forms over western OR. Confidence has increased for a quick moving low supporting by a shortwave trough to move through the PacNW on Monday. Exact location and strength of the low is still uncertain but rainfall is expected to be on the lighter side compared to recent storms. Totals Monday morning through early Tuesday in the Willamette Valley and around the Portland metro are expected to be between 0.25-0.50 inches. Along the coast and Coast Range, totals closer to 0.50-0.75 inches expected and in the Cascades and Cascade Foothills, expect 0.75-1.0 inches. Models continue to show good agreement in the large-scale synoptic pattern that sets up by mid-week with a broad upper level trough over the northeast Pacific and PacNW. The smaller scale features such as surface low location and intensity along with embedded shortwaves vary among the models and their ensemble members. There is also agreement that their will be two distinct surges of moisture into the PacNW, one Tuesday night through Wednesday and another late Thursday into Friday. Exact intensity and duration vary but IVT values generally peak close to 750 kg/ms for both surges with a drop to less than 250 kg/ms between the two surges Wednesday night into Thursday morning. GEFS and ECMWF ensembles both point the the first surge lasting 12 to 15 hours (IVT between 500 and 750 kg/ms) while the second surge is slightly shorter at 9 to 12 hours for the same IVT values. The peak of the second surge could be slightly higher than the first, possibly above 750 kg/ms but this would be short lived at less than 3 hours. In short, 48-60 hours of rainfall, with 2 periods of potential heavy rain and a 6 to 12 hour period of relief from heavy rain in between. Given the prevailing southerly to southwesterly flow during this system, orographic enhancement will be modest, keeping rainfall rates limited. While no flooding concerns are currently anticipated for rivers or urban areas, there is still low to moderate confidence on forecasted rainfall rates, so continue to monitor these discussion updates. This system also brings the potential for elevated winds, with current guidance suggesting a 40-60% chance of wind gusts exceeding 35 mph on Wednesday and Thursday for the inland areas. Additionally, for notably impactful wind gusts around 45 mph for inland areas, guidance suggests a 10-20% chance for Wednesday and Thursday. Friday, there is moderate agreement between ensemble clusters that the overall pattern will turn zonal. Beyond Friday, there is little agreement between clusters regarding pattern, strength, or timing. -19 && .AVIATION...Radar imagery and terminal observations as of late Saturday evening depicts scattered showers entering the coast with predominately VFR conditions across the region. Expect these scattered showers to enter the central and northern Willamette Valley around 06-09z Sun, while the southern Valley remains mostly clear. A moist low level surface will support low stratus development early Sunday morning across the Valley. Guidance suggests a 40-60% chance for IFR/MVFR CIGs across the Valley between 13-18z Sun. Conditions are expected to improve to VFR with clearing skies as daytime heating progresses after 18-19z Sun. Light and variable winds overnight turn more northerly to northeasterly around 5-10 kt in the afternoon. KPDX AND APPROACHES...Predominately VFR conditions through the TAF period, with a 30-50% chance for IFR/MVFR CIGs between 13-18z Sun. Light and variable winds under 5 kt overnight, turning more northerly Sunday around 4-7 kt. -10 && .MARINE...Winds have decreased significantly Saturday afternoon behind the cold front. West to northwest winds are expected to remain below 15 kts. A long period westerly swell 17-19 feet at 15-17 seconds moved into the waters this morning, supporting hazardous seas conditions. The swell will slowly ease this afternoon back to the low teens by this evening. A Hazardous Seas Warnings remains in effect through 8 PM PDT this evening across all coastal waters. While brief high pressure passes overhead Sunday into Monday, winds will become more variable by midday Sunday before turning north to northeast as a thermal trough forms over the coast, which could cause a brief period of increased winds late Sunday. Seas are expected to remain around 10-12 ft at 13-14 seconds through much of the period. A Small Craft Advisory has been issued for 8 PM PDT this evening through 4 PM PST Monday. The middle of next week will see the return of an active pattern as a couple of frontal systems could cause strong Gales or even Storm force winds along with increased seas. Looking at 24 hour probabilities, there`s over 90% chance of Gales (gusts > 34 kts) in the far outer waters on Tuesday then spreading over all of the coastal waters for Wednesday and Thursday. The probability for Storm Force gusts (> 55 mph) is around 25-50% chance each day Tuesday through Thursday. Looking at 3 hour probabilities, we see two waves of elevated winds with a 40-60% chance of Gales Tuesday evening into early Wednesday and again on Thursday, with these probabilities staying elevated along the inner waters in between. For Storm force gusts, the probability is around 10% for each wave. Seas are also expected to increase, with mainly wind driven seas pushing into the mid to upper teens by Wednesday. There is still plenty of uncertainty in exact details but the active pattern is expected to persist. -03 && .BEACH HAZARDS...A westerly swell of 11-14 ft at 14-15 seconds will bring a high threat of sneaker waves through Monday along the North and Central Oregon Coast, and the South Washington Coast. Caution should be used when in or near the water. Always keep an eye on the waves, and be especially watchful of children and pets. Those participating in razor clam digs should exercise caution. A couple mid to lake week systems may bring another high threat of sneaker waves to the North and Central Oregon Coast and the South Washington Coast late Wednesday into at least Friday. Depending on swell height and period, conditions may warrant a High Surf Advisory for some time. This potential will continue to be monitored in future forecasts.-19/10 && .PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OR...Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM PST this morning for ORZ104-105- 108-109-114-117-118. WA...Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM PST this morning for WAZ202-204. PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM PST Monday for PZZ210-251>253- 271>273. && $$ www.weather.gov/portland Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSPortland x.com/NWSPortland

580 FXUS66 KMFR 021217 AFDMFR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 417 AM PST Sun Nov 2 2025 .DISCUSSION (Today through Saturday)... Key Points: * Today: Break in activity * Monday/Tuesday: Another weak front with light rainfall * Tuesday through Friday: Weak to moderate atmospheric river event(s) leading to impacts from both rainfall and strong winds * Not expecting snowfall impacts Further Details: A mostly zonal pattern aloft will remain in place through early next week. There will be weak energy embedded within this zonal flow, and as PVA spreads across the forecast area, there will be light rainfall both Monday and Tuesday ahead of a deeper and strong low pressure system coming Wednesday. Not expecting much if any impacts here, but light rainfall will spread across westside areas with lesser chances over the eastside. Areas in Curry County, western Siskiyou County, and Cascades will likely see the highest rainfall amounts. These areas have a 50%-85% too see 0.50/24hrs Monday into Tuesday. This will be more of a warm front situation pushing north from California before the main cold front comes in Wednesday. This will result in high snowfall levels, so snowfall will not be a concern. In fact, we are not expecting any snowfall impacts this upcoming week. An incoming atmospheric river event will lead to widespread rainfall for much of the upcoming week Tuesday onward. The probability for rainfall amounts of 0.50"/24hrs Tuesday afternoon to Wednesday afternoon is about 85%-95% for areas along the Cascades and west to the coast. This is where the brunt of the moisture will be as eastside areas will see far less amounts, but northern California has about 40%-95% chance for 0.50"/24hrs with the lesser amounts being across Modoc County. This same stretch Tuesday afternoon to Wednesday afternoon will likely be the highest 24 hours rainfall amounts. The probability for 2.00"/24hrs is 50%-90% for western Siskiyou County, Curry County, and southwestern parts of Josephine County. At this time, we are not expecting thunderstorms. Additionally, King Tides are expected Nov 4-9 which could bring additional impacts to the coast as this system enters the region. Additional rainfall is expected Thursday and Friday. Of note is the 72 hour period ending Friday morning when areas of Curry County could end up seeing several inches of rainfall. The probability for 5.00" over 72 hours is 30%-70% with higher chances along/near the coast. There will be a Marginal Risk of excessive rainfall for these areas. Again, rivers are not forecast to go into any actionable stage so we are not expecting widespread river flooding. Its going to be a rainy period and there will likely be nuisance type flooding and ponding on roadways which could create hazardous road conditions through this stretch of weather thanks to an incoming atmospheric river event. && .AVIATION (12Z TAFs)... MVFR and IFR conditions will persist this morning with improving conditions expected this afternoon. VFR should be common this afternoon. However, conditions will likely deteriorate overnight again with fog and low clouds potentially impacting the terminals. -Guerrero && .MARINE...Updated 800 PM PDT Saturday, November 1, 2025...Steep seas will persist through at least Monday. Seas will be dominated by west- northwest swell. However, wind seas will mix with swell on Sunday afternoon and Sunday night as gusty northerly winds develop. A strong front approaches late Tuesday, then moves across the area Tuesday night and Wednesday. This is followed by another strong front on Thursday. These fronts will bring the potential for gales. Additionally, expect building west swell late Wednesday and Thursday which combined with wind seas may result in dangerous and chaotic high to very high seas. This may result in hazardous seas and dangerous bar crossings. We will be monitoring this period and updating as confidence increases in the timing and details. && .BEACH HAZARDS...Updated 1030 PM PDT Saturday, November 1, 2025...Hazardous beach conditions are possible on Thursday as a strong storm is expected to bring a large long period west swell to the coast. This may result in large breaking waves of around 23 to 26 ft. High Surf conditions may be elevated by high "King" tides during this time period. This situation may create hazardous conditions along the Southern Oregon Coast on Thursday. Impacts could include large breaking waves within the surf zone, which could inundate beaches and low lying shorelines as well as damage exposed coastal infrastructure. Waves could wash over rocks and jetties, and sweep unsuspecting people out to see. During high surf conditions, avoid area beaches and exposed coastal areas. Never turn your back on the ocean! Additionally, low lying streets susceptible to impacts from King tides and high surf may become flooded. Never drive through flooded waters. While there is still some uncertainty in the exact details, this looks to be a potentially dangerous situation setting up along the coast. We will continue to monitor and update the forecast as this storm near. && .MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OR...CA...None. PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM PST Monday for PZZ350-356-370-376. && $$

473 FXUS66 KEKA 020737 AFDEKA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Eureka CA 1237 AM PDT Sun Nov 2 2025 .SYNOPSIS...Dry weather expected today. Wet weather returns on Monday. Strong storm to bring potentially damaging winds, heavy rain and increased risk for urban and small stream flooding Tuesday night and Wednesday. Rain and potential flooding impacts to continue on Thursday before rain tapers off on Friday. && .KEY MESSAGES... - Light to moderate rainfall returns on Monday. - Strong Atmospheric River to bring strong and damaging winds, heavy rainfall and a risk for urban and small stream flooding. - Higher than normal tides next week with storm surge, promoting coastal flooding expected in Humboldt Bay-North Spit and Crescent City. && .DISCUSSION... Dry and quiet weather conditions expected today (Sunday Nov 2). Breezy northwesterly winds are forecast to develop over the coastal headlands in the afternoon as surface high pressure strengthens in the wake of a cold front. Interior high temperatures are expected to be generally in the 70`s. Any areas that do have fog will likely be slow to clear and high temps may be lower than forecast. For the coastal areas, after the morning stratus, mostly sunny skies are expected, allowing highs to warm to the low to mid 60`s. Light to moderate rain will return mid to late morning for Del Norte County and in the afternoon for northern Humboldt and portions of northern Trinty on Monday as the next in a series of fronts impacts the area with rain. This front should push southward during the evening and overnight hours Monday and provide modest amounts of rain to Mendocino and Lake Counties as well. Generally, light to locally moderate rainfall and breezy to gusty south winds are expected with this first system. The next shortwave trough will rapidly approach on Tue and precipitation will once again increase throughout by afternoon and evening Tue. A second, stronger system will intensify Tuesday night into Wednesday as a potent upstream trough deepens and a surface cyclone spins up offshore in response. Ensemble means and deterministic GFS and ECMWF remain in a good agreement with the deep trough becoming negatively tilted by 12Z Wed. This will send a plume of high PWATS and high IVT into NW CA. Ensemble means indicate a moderate AR while control runs indicate a stronger atmospheric river event. Heavy rainfall is probable. Strong damaging south winds are also probable (60-80% chance) as surface pressure gradient tighten Tuesday night and a low level jet at 925mb up to 70 kts develops along the coast. A well-mixed boundary layer near or along the surface front will allow for higher momentum air to mix down to the surface. There is a 40-60% chance of gusts greater than 40 mph for the lowest elevations widespread. For higher elevations and coastal headlands, NBM indicates a 60-90% chance for wind gusts greater than 55 mph in Del Norte and Humboldt counties. ECMWF ensemble mean 6 hourly wind gusts are over 50 mph for the Del Norte Coast, specifically CEC and over 40 mph for the greater Humboldt Bay area, ACV, EKA and FOT. There are more extreme members from 55-70 mph in the ECMWF distribution. Stronger wind gusts over 60 mph are highly probable over the coastal mountains. A wind advisory will be necessary while a high wind warning remains less certain (less than 50% chance). Gusts over 55 mph is a sure thing for many of our wind prone ridges and venturi-effect RAWS, specifically in the King Range. Regarding precipitation, substantial rain is expected for much of the area Tuesday through Thursday, with the heaviest rates likely Tuesday night into Wednesday. The probability of 6 hours precipitation greater than 1 inch is 40-70% for Del Norte and Humboldt counties from 10 PM Tue to 10 AM Wednesday. While 25-40% for Mendocino and Trinity counties, and limited to 10-15% chance for Lake County. Colder temperatures aloft behind the frontal passage could support greater instability with heavy rain showers and possibly thunderstorms continuing Wednesday afternoon and evening or into Thursday. There is a fairly large spread in precipitation estimates. Comparing the low end and high end amounts (25th and 75th percentile) for 48 hour precipitation (4 AM Tuesday to 4 AM Thursday). The high-end amounts from NBM (75th percentile) for 48 hr of precipitation (4 AM Tuesday to 4 AM Thursday) indicates 2.5 to 4.0 inches in Del Norte, Humboldt and Trinity counties, with locally up to 4.5 inches over exposed ridges. While 1.5 to 2.5 inches for Mendocino and Lake counties, with heaviest along the coast. The low end precipitation (25th percentile) suggest 1.0 to 2.50 inches, with locally up to 3.0 inches over the southwest windward facing terrain. Details will become clearer in the coming days. This an unusually strong AR event for early November and will need to be watched for the possibility of urban and small stream flooding. Another plume of moisture will take aim on the Pacific NW Thu-Fri and bring another round of moderate to locally heavy rain to NW CA. There are considerable timing difference with large spreads in 12-24 hour rain amounts. Once again urban and small stream flooding will be possible as well as rock and mudslides in steep terrain. A break in the parade of storms is forecast later on Friday into Saturday as the flow amplifies in advance of another trough that is forecast to dig over the central Pacific. This next trough may bring more light to moderate rain as early as Sat. The frontal boundary may stall offshore and take til Sun to arrive. && .AVIATION...06Z TAFs...A weak front continues to traverse Northwest California bringing IFR to LIFR conditions and light rain. Light rain and IFR/LIFR conditions will persist for KACV through very early Sunday morning as the front moves southeast. The front has already moved out of KCEC with ceilings lifting and visibility improving. The marine layer is expected to deepen in the wake of the weak front and last through Sunday morning. IFR to LIFR conditions, with areas of fog will linger longer for the interior and areas south around Fort Bragg. Northerly winds will increase behind the frontal passage. UKI is currently forecast to remain VFR with no precipitation expected. Some soundings depict lower level moisture entering the valley. The main threat for stratus intrusion will be if the marine layer deepens enough to spill over from the west, but confidence is low that this will occur. JJW/JLW && .MARINE...The large swell that peaked between 13 to 16 feet at 16 to 18 seconds Saturday afternoon will continue to slowly subside into Monday. A smaller reinforcing NW swell will then begin to move in Monday. Northerly winds will increase early Sunday morning behind a weak front. Gusts up to 30 kts are forecast by early Sunday morning for mainly the outer waters beyond 10 nm. Combined sea heights from the short period seas and fading WNW swell may near 14 ft Sunday. The northerly winds will quickly ease late Sunday. An area of low pressure will clip the waters Monday. Southerly winds will gust up to 30 kts Monday and into Tuesday for a small portion of the northern outer zone 470 as it passes. A strong frontal system will begin moving in Tuesday when southerly winds quickly strengthen. Strong Gale conditions are likely, with Storm force gusts over 50 kts possible and forecast Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. JJW/JLW && .BEACH HAZARDS...The large, long period WNW swell continues to subside early Sunday morning. The sneaker wave risk will come to an end early Sunday morning as the wave energy decays. && .COASTAL FLOODING...Starting on Tuesday, astronomical high tides will exceed 8 ft at the North Spit tide gauge. The highest tides, at around 8.5 ft will occur in the late mornings through midday on Thursday and Friday. Moderate to strong southerly winds are forecast through this timeframe, and will further contribute to a positive tidal anomaly. Water levels may reach 10 ft at North Spit when high tides align with the strong southerly winds. Currently, the strongest southerly winds are forecast Wednesday morning. Expect Coastal Flood Advisory issuance, with the possibility of a Coastal Flood Warning if confidence increase of the southerly wind anomaly. JJW/JLW && .EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA... Beach Hazards Statement until 4 AM PDT Sunday for CAZ101- 103-104-109. NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS... Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Monday for PZZ450-455- 470-475. && $$ NOTE: The full forecast discussion is now regularly issued between 10 am/pm and 1 pm/am. Additional updates will be issued as needed. Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/eureka Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: https://www.facebook.com/NWSEureka https://www.twitter.com/NWSEureka For forecast zone information see the forecast zone map online: https://www.weather.gov/images/eka/zonemap.png

613 FXUS66 KMTR 021151 AFDMTR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 351 AM PST Sun Nov 2 2025 ...New AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 124 AM PDT Sun Nov 2 2025 - Quiet and warm continues today with hazardous beach conditions along Pacific Coast beaches - Beneficial rainfall expected late Tuesday into Wednesday morning. Highest totals North Bay. - Potential for gusty winds with cold frontal passage Wednesday morning, 40-50 mph across Bay Area and North Bay. && .SHORT TERM... Issued at 124 AM PDT Sun Nov 2 2025 (Today and tonight) Another warm and quiet day today before things start to change for the week. Afternoon highs about 5-7 degrees above normal away from the coast, near normal along the coast. Patchy dense fog this morning along coastal areas will mimic yesterday morning, but give way to clear skies by mid-morning. && .LONG TERM... Issued at 124 AM PDT Sun Nov 2 2025 (Monday through Saturday) Once again no major changes to the forecast from previous. This does hint towards higher confidence in the current forecast from simply moving closer to the event. A couple of items to note now that some details are more clear. Thunder chances are increasing Wednesday morning along the surface front. This would primarily affect North Bay counties at this juncture, but still can`t rule out the possibility of a rumble of thunder or two across the greater Bay Area by late Wednesday morning. Prior to Wednesday morning, there is a chance for showers across the northern portions of the North Bay through Tuesday. This is a smaller chance and the showers would be lighter in general, but these showers along the warm front are typically efficient rain makers despite their lackluster appearance on radar (lookup warm rain vs. cold rain processes if your curious). Despite this system not really "stalling", we can sometimes see these features act as a precursor for flooding impacts once the heavier rain associated with the cold front arrives. The North Bay is currently teetering on the edge of this axis of warm frontal showers Tuesday, so we`ll need to keep an eye on that when assessing the potential for local flooding impacts. Still looking at wind being more of a problem across the North Bay and Bay Area as a whole. 50-60 kt flow at 850 mb will translate across the region Wednesday morning along the cold front. This will likely result in 40-50 mph gusts as the front passes. Wind impacts lessen as you go move south. Still too early to nail down Wind Advisory decisions, but Wednesday morning certainly looks like it could be a candidate for areas north of San Jose and through the North Bay. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 347 AM PST Sun Nov 2 2025 Currently a mixed bag of LIFR-VFR at the terminals with patchy LIFR stratus and dense fog being reported across the region. As this is a shallow and thin cloud layer, VFR is expected by late-morning. Slightly more optimistic persistence forecast on tap tonight with the help of dry air filtering into the region. Vicinity of SFO...Currently VFR with southerly flow. Moderate confidence that VFR will hang on through the morning with the help of a shallow marine layer that will be unable to sneak through the San Bruno Gap. The area to watch this morning will be the patch of stratus that has developed just to the north of SJC as there is a chance that it expands quickly enough to reach the terminal. Winds will back through the morning before westerly flow sets in with the afternoon sea breeze. 40% chance for a sub-VFR ceiling to develop at the terminal tonight. SFO Bridge Approach...The San Mateo Bridge Approach will be impacted earlier and potentially later than SFO itself due to the location of the LIFR stratus patch. Monterey Bay Terminals...Currently VFR with easterly flow at MRY and VFR with drainage flow at SNS. Dense fog has been pushed out to the Monterey Bay with the help of the winds. As long as an Otter Eddy doesn`t develop, VFR is expected to prevail through the morning with LIFR conditions lingering in the area. IFR conditions are expected to return tonight. && .MARINE... (Today through Friday) Issued at 347 AM PST Sun Nov 2 2025 Fresh to strong northerly breezes will prevail today, diminishing to become a moderate northwesterly breeze tomorrow. Widespread hazardous conditions will develop Tuesday night and continue through Wednesday with near-gale force southerly winds with gale force gusts, rough to very rough seas, rainfall, and a chance for thunderstorms. && .BEACHES... Issued at 347 AM PST Sun Nov 2 2025 A long period northwesterly swell will bring an increased risk for sneaker waves, rip currents, and breaking waves of up to 20 feet to Pacific Coast beaches through tomorrow. High surf conditions are possible, especially at the west and northwest facing beaches. Remember, sneaker waves can unexpectedly run significantly farther up the beach than normal, including over rocks and jetties. Rip currents are typically more frequent and stronger in the vicinity of jetties, inlets, and piers. Swimmers should always swim near a lifeguard. Stay off the rocks, remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions, and never turn your back on the ocean! && .MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA...Beach Hazards Statement through late Monday night for CAZ006-505- 509-529-530. PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PST this evening for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm. Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 9 PM PST this evening for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm. Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PST Monday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM-Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm. && $$ SHORT TERM...Behringer LONG TERM....Behringer AVIATION...Sarment MARINE...Sarment Visit us at www.weather.gov/sanfrancisco Follow us on Facebook, X, and YouTube at: www.facebook.com/nwsbayarea x.com/nwsbayarea www.youtube.com/nwsbayarea

945 FXUS66 KOTX 021226 AFDOTX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Spokane WA 426 AM PST Sun Nov 2 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Weather remains active through the week. && .SYNOPSIS... Relatively drier conditions return Sunday, then several storm systems will impact the region through the week, each bringing valley rain and high mountain snow. && .DISCUSSION... Today and tonight: Limited shower chances and breezy conditions are in the forecast, with seasonal temperatures. The Inland NW will remain in a fast zonal flow with a 150kt jet over the top of the region and this will carry a weak middle to upper wave by the area this morning. At the surface weak high pressure builds in, with a steady west to southwest flow. With a decent amount of rain over southeast WA/lower ID (over a quarter inch in spots) the boundary layer is decently moist. In combination with that mid-level impulse some lower to mid clouds are expected to expand over southeast WA and lower ID this morning, potentially lifting northward to southern Spokane and Kootenai county. Most guidance keep the deeper cloud cover south of there. With all there models paint of shower chances around the Idaho Panhandle and southeast WA, with the best chances east of CdA and south to the higher Palouse into the Central Panhandle. I did expand the PoPs a little more than than the NBM, which largely keeps it in the central Panhandle Mountains. Other precipitation is expected near the Cascades in the onshore flow. All of these precipitation chances will be highest this morning, before decreasing this afternoon. Snow levels will be around 3-4kft, lowest near the Cascades and Canadian border, so some light accumulations are forecast for places like Stevens, Washington, and Lookout Pass. Stevens Pass has the best chance of seeing 1-2 inches, while other areas are forecast to see an inch or less. Tonight the next system starts to nose in, increasing clouds across the region and bringing some limited precipitation chances late overnight and toward Monday AM. Temperatures will be in the upper 40s to low 50s this afternoon. Winds will be at around 10-15 mph with gusts of 20-25 mph through the afternoon. Monday through Saturday: The pattern turns more active with a series of frontal waves pushing by. The first and coolest system moves by Monday, with the main warm front lifting into the southern and low skimming by the southern third of WA and lower ID. This will bring limited lowland rain and mountain snow chances to the area Monday morning, with the better chances shifting to southeast WA/lower ID in the afternoon. Snow levels will between 2.5-3kft, except toward southeast W/lower ID where they are forecast to be between 3-5kft. Then Monday night into Tuesday a more robust system moves in, with a stronger low and supporting upper trough. This will expand higher precipitation chances across the area, with likely PoPS over near Cascade crest and southeast half of WA and much of the central and southern Panhandle. Snow levels are forecast to be between 3000 to 3500 feet over the Cascades and northern mountains and 3500-6000 feet from central and southeast WA to the central and southern Panhandle. This bring another chance for accumulating snow around the passes; early forecast shows 1-2 around Stevens, 1 inch around Washington and less than an inch at other passes. In the lowlands, rain amounts are forecast to be highest over southeast WA and central and southern ID, with 0.20-0.40 inches, while around 0.10 to 0.20 toward the Spokane/CdA area and less than 0.10 inches elsewhere. Wednesday to Friday another two systems track in, with Wednesday and Friday having the highest precipitation potential, with Thursday and then Saturday the drier days as the risk for precipitation does not end but the higher risk retreat to the mountains. Snow levels rise to around 6-8kft for the Wednesday system, then start to trend down Thursday into Friday so that by Friday into Saturday snow levels are around 4-5.5kft, locally toward 3.5 Friday night into Saturday AM. So the midweek system look like mostly rain and high mountain snow, except around Washington Pass where some light to moderate accumulations are forecast. while the Friday system looks more lowland rain and mountain snow, with potential impacts in the passes. It is still several days out, but models continue to suggest some moderate to heavy accumulations around Washington Pass, light to moderate around Stevens Pass and lighter accumulations elsewhere. These look like wet systems for the lowlands too, with between 0.10 to 0.50 with each system, with local higher around the mountains /Solveig && .AVIATION... 12Z TAFS: VFR conditions expected over much of the Inland Northwest today. The caveat will be the potential for some low stratus clouds to develop near KPUW into the Idaho Panhandle. Winds will be a little breezy, but are generally subsiding now that the cold front that pushed through on Friday is well on its way out and moving across Montana. High clouds will increase and thicken tonight. Very light precipitation in the form of flurries or sprinkles may fall in the Cascades and northern mountains by Monday morning, but not expected to bring much in the of impacts to airports as any precipitation won`t moisten the boundary layer up much. .FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Confidence remains high for VFR conditions today. The exception is at KPUW where there`s a 20% chance for broken stratus producing a cloud deck between 1,000-3,000 ft agl. between 13-18Z this morning. /SVH ----------------------- Confidence descriptors: Low - Less than a 30 percent chance Moderate - 30 to 70 percent chance High - Greater than a 70 percent chance For additional probabilistic information for NWS Spokane airports, please refer to the Aviation Dashboard on our webpage: https:/weather.gov/otx/avndashboard && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... Spokane 51 33 48 35 48 38 / 10 10 20 60 40 60 Coeur d`Alene 49 33 46 35 48 38 / 10 10 20 60 50 60 Pullman 48 33 45 37 50 39 / 20 0 30 70 50 50 Lewiston 56 38 50 42 55 45 / 10 0 20 70 40 40 Colville 51 27 46 27 47 28 / 10 0 20 40 30 60 Sandpoint 48 32 44 32 46 33 / 10 10 20 60 50 70 Kellogg 47 34 46 37 48 40 / 40 10 50 70 70 70 Moses Lake 55 36 50 35 51 39 / 10 10 20 50 30 80 Wenatchee 53 38 48 37 48 40 / 10 10 30 50 30 90 Omak 52 34 48 33 48 36 / 10 10 20 30 20 70 && .OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...None. ID...None. && $$

045 FXUS66 KPDT 021136 AFDPDT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pendleton OR 336 AM PST Sun Nov 2 2025 .DISCUSSION...Today through Monday: Current satellite and radar imagery shows weak rain showers developing along the WA Cascades with low to mid clouds passing across the eastern mountains. The rest of today will be briefly dry as the weak ridging continues through the PacNW with light winds and occasional breezes from the westerly flow aloft. Few to scattered clouds will prevail until this evening when cloudy skies return. Tomorrow is when rain showers will start off light along the Cascade gaps as the next system makes its way onshore. Around afternoon, the showers will then become widespread through evening hours with increased moisture support from the atmospheric river (AR). NBM CONUS suggested a 20-40% probability for wetting rain up to 0.15 inches over the crest of the Cascades for afternoon, but also 0.30 inches for the evening as well. There is even a 25-35% prob of 0.25 inches or higher for the Northern Blues of OR. Otherwise, the lower elevations will have lighter rain amounts. The models this time are in good agreement with the arrival of this system and the moisture level by AR. Winds will be generally light across the forecast area. Tuesday through Sunday: The atmospheric river (AR) will be the dominant factor for bringing additional moisture through Thursday into our area. A transient upper ridge will build over the PacNW Tuesday with widespread rain showers lingering from Monday`s system. Lower elevations may see QPF amounts up to 0.10 inches with the WA Cascades, Kittitas/Yakima Valley, and Simcoe Highlands having wetting rain amounts up to 0.20 inches or more (>50% confidence). This said, those mountain areas could experience slight to moderate heavy rainfall (<30% confidence). Wednesday and Thursday will remain as our windy days from the increased southwesterly winds aloft and the approaching negative tilted trough. These wind gusts (25-35 mph) will be over the eastern mountains extending to Central OR Wednesday and then mostly widespread across the forecast area Thursday. However, the most impactful wind gusts (35-45 mph) will be over Ochoco-John Day Highlands, Central OR and Foothills Southern Blue Mtns-OR during morning into evening hours for both days (30-40% confidence). If materializes, then these winds could reach the criteria for wind advisories. Friday into Saturday, an unsettled, wet pattern will remain active with Sunday giving us a break with dry conditions due to the upper ridge. Snow impacts will not be expected due to high snow levels (4000 feet and above) through the forecast period. Feaster/97 && .AVIATION...12z TAFs...VFR conditions expected. Any few-sct low clouds around this morning will clear out, giving way to light W/SW winds less than 12 kts for most of the day Sunday. A bkn-ovc mid- level cig will then build in later in the evening heading into Monday as the next weather system approaches. Winds will shift more north and easterly during the latter half of the TAF period as a result. 74 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... PDT 56 34 50 37 / 0 0 20 70 ALW 56 37 50 41 / 0 0 20 70 PSC 59 35 51 37 / 0 0 10 60 YKM 56 35 51 36 / 0 0 20 60 HRI 58 35 50 38 / 0 0 20 60 ELN 51 31 48 31 / 0 0 20 60 RDM 53 27 54 36 / 0 0 20 70 LGD 51 29 51 39 / 0 0 30 70 GCD 53 32 55 42 / 0 0 20 70 DLS 59 40 53 42 / 10 0 30 80 && .PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OR...None. WA...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...97 AVIATION...74

450 FXUS65 KREV 020844 AFDREV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Reno NV 144 AM PDT Sun Nov 2 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... * Dry weather continues with a slight cooling trend starting today. * Breezy winds return Monday and Tuesday with low chances of showers near the Oregon border and in NE CA. * Stronger winds, rain, and mountain snow is possible Wednesday into Thursday morning, but storm intensity and impacts are uncertain. && .DISCUSSION... We`ve got a record breaker on our hands! The Reno Intl Airport hit 78 yesterday afternoon, breaking the previous record of 77 and setting a new record for the month of November as well. Hopefully that`ll be the last high temperature record for the foreseeable future as cooler and wetter weather returns by midweek. This will help displace hazy valley mornings by Tuesday at the latest. Dry weather with calm winds today will give way to light shower chances and breezy afternoon winds Monday (late evening for shower chances) and Tuesday of this week as little shortwaves impact the region. The best shower chances will be in NE CA and in far N Washoe county along the OR border. Winds will gust up to 25-30 mph both days, with locally higher (up to 40-50 mph) on ridgetops. Stronger winds and greater chances for precip return in earnest Wednesday as a low pressure system off the northern CA coast moves inland. The name of the game will be widespread gusty winds (upwards of 40 mph) with locally higher on the ridgetops (upwards of 80 mph), high elevation snow, and rain. Snow levels look to be around 7500` at the lowest; any snow that accumulates will likely be slushy in nature as SLRs hover between 4-5:1. The timing of the frontal passage is hard to determine this far out; gusty winds will likely precede the front and restrict the amount of rain that falls in W NV valleys. However, once that front does push through sometime Wednesday, chances for rain in W NV will be greater. As we get closer to Wednesday, details on timing and amounts will be easier to resolve. Until then, plan on wet and cooler weather through the majority of the work week. -Giralte && .AVIATION... Morning inversions and valley haze may continue to reduce slantwise visibilities today. Otherwise, VFR conditions and light winds will prevail through the rest of today. -Giralte/Salas && .REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NV...None. CA...None. && $$

973 FXUS66 KSTO 011959 AFDSTO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Sacramento CA 1259 PM PDT Sat Nov 1 2025 For additional details on weather and expected impacts over the next 7 days, please visit weather.gov/sto/briefing. .KEY MESSAGES... - Dry and warm weather prevails through early next week - Active weather returns mid next week with showers, gusty southerly winds, isolated thunderstorms, mountain snow showers and slightly cooler temperatures. Low confidence on amounts. .DISCUSSION... Today...Dry and warm weather continue across interior NorCal this afternoon. Light, diurnal and terrain driven winds expected to continue as well. Sunday - Monday...Dry and warm weather continues to prevail over the weekend and into early next week. Light winds are generally expected. Patchy fog Sunday morning mainly in the northern San Joaquin Valley, with visibilities down to around 1 mile in some places. High temperatures are forecast to be in the 70s to around 80 across the Valley, foothills and mountains of interior NorCal. Tuesday - Friday...Ensemble guidance continues to indicate a pattern change for the middle of next week. There is still some uncertainty with the exact amounts and timing due to variability in the storm track. Forecast trends are beginning to settle on where the highest precipitation totals/impacts will be. A somewhat faster arrival time with showers arriving in the northern Sacramento Valley Monday night is appearing more likely, with most of the rain shower activity remaining north of I-80 Tuesday. The bulk of the rain arrives on Wednesday with widespread rain across the region. As preciously mentioned, models are beginning to hone in on Shasta County, the Northeast Foothills, the Sierra and southern Cascades, and the Coastal Range receiving the highest rain amounts. Snow levels generally above 7500 feet with this system, so the bulk of snowfall will be at Lassen NF and the peaks of the Sierra and southern Cascades. Minor impacts of wet/slick roads in the mountains Wednesday night as snow levels briefly fall to 7000 feet. We will likely begin messaging our forecast rain totals, wind gusts, and any snow totals tomorrow afternoon, when confidence should be higher, but a beneficial rain for NorCal appears the most likely scenario at this time. Other impacts include gusty southerly winds, isolated thunderstorms, slightly cooler temperatures, and mountain snow showers. Always remember to check your local weather forecast at weather.gov for updates! .AVIATION... General VFR conditions prevail across interior NorCal the next 24 hours. Some areas of BR are expected early Sunday, resulting periods of in MVFR conditions in the central/southern Sacramento Valley and northern San Joaquin Valley from 11z through 17z, with isolated patches of FG possible into the northern San Joaquin Valley. Light, variable surface winds less than 12 knots. && .STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$

541 FXUS65 KMSO 020904 AFDMSO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Missoula MT 204 AM MST Sun Nov 2 2025 .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGES: - Cooler temperatures today, with breezy winds continuing. - Active weather pattern this coming week. Current radar and satellite images continues to show the cold front slowly moving southeast across west-central Montana and north-central Idaho. It will eventually reach southwest Montana by late morning to early afternoon. Temperatures this afternoon will be cooler compared to yesterday, where Missoula broke a record high with 68 degrees and Butte tied their record at 67. Breezy conditions will remain, with gusts between 15 to 25 mph throughout western Montana and north-central Idaho. Our next system arrives tomorrow with a surge of moisture and lower snow levels. The focus of this system looks to be more over north-central ID and west-central MT with anywhere from 0.25" to 0.75" of liquid precipitation through Tuesday. Minor impacts due to snow is expected over area passes along the ID/MT border early Monday. By the afternoon, snow levels will rise to around 6000 feet changing snow to rain for most locations. Forecast ensemble models are in agreement that an active weather pattern will remain over the Northern Rockies through the rest of the week, with Thursday and Friday likely being the two wettest days. Snow levels will remain relatively high, between 5000 to 6000 feet. && .AVIATION...Current radar and satellite images continues to shows the cold front slowly moving southeast across west-central Montana and north-central Idaho. It will eventually reach southwest Montana by late morning to early afternoon. All terminals can expect breezy conditions returning early this afternoon, with gusts between 20 to 25 kts from 02/1900Z-03/0100Z. && .MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MT...Lake Wind Advisory until 2 PM MST this afternoon for Flathead/Mission Valleys. ID...None. && $$

865 FXUS65 KBOI 021014 AFDBOI Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boise ID 314 AM MST Sun Nov 2 2025 .SHORT TERM...Today through Tuesday night...A weak front associated with a low pressure system to our north will bring isolated to scattered showers this morning north of a line from Rome OR to Fairfield ID. Showers will dissipate by late morning, and rainfall amounts will be minimal from this activity. Highs today will be 10-15 degrees cooler than Saturday behind the front. Despite the cooling, highs will still be a couple degrees above normal. Winds will be breezy today from the west to northwest with gusts 15-25 mph through the afternoon. Winds will become light this evening. Moist southwest flow will develop late Monday into Tuesday as a weak system moves through the Pacific Northwest. This will bring precipitation back to the area, with the highest chances (60-80%) across Baker County and the mountains of central Idaho. Precipitation amounts are still uncertain, but around 0.25-0.50" in the mountains is likely with locally up to 1 inch possible. Rainfall totals are expected to be closer to 0.10" or less across the lower elevations. Snow levels will remain high, ranging from 7000-7500 feet MSL across the north to 8500-9000 feet MSL near the Nevada border, resulting in mostly rain across the mountains. Temperatures will remain slightly above normal and winds will be locally breezy. .LONG TERM...Wednesday through Sunday...An elongated Pacific trough will arrive in the Pacific Northwest Wednesday, spreading warm frontal precip into east Oregon and west-central Idaho Wednesday morning. A significant plume of moisture will then arrive mid-day Wednesday as the trough negatively tilts and carries a cold front through the forecast area. Precipitation chances will increase to 60- 90% for the north and 20-50% for the south. Notable mid-level winds accompanying the trough will be responsible for valley shadowing effects, limiting precip in many valley locations while favoring upslope terrain such as the Central Idaho/Boise Mountains. Snow levels will begin around 7500-8500 feet MSL and lower to 6000-7000 feet MSL as precip persists through Thursday morning. Meanwhile, the next trough and moisture plume will be right on the heels of the previous and arrive later Thursday. This trough will be enhanced by a prominent and stacked westerly jet, supporting more shadowing effects for valley locations. The heaviest precip with this next trough is currently expected to be Thursday night through mid- day Friday, with snow levels oscillating between 5500 and 7500 feet MSL. Snow totals may become significant for Central Idaho/Boise Mountains above those elevations after both systems pass. Gusty winds are anticipated with both troughs, with temperatures decreasing to more seasonable values after Wednesday. Drier conditions will develop Saturday as a brief, high amplitude ridge follows, though temperatures will be slow to rebound until Sunday once southwest flow develops aloft. && .AVIATION...Weak rain showers with a cold front moving NW to SE, clearing this afternoon behind front. Areas of MVFR and mtn obscuration in low clouds/showers. Pockets of 20-30 kt low level wind shear with front. Surface winds: SW-SE 5-15 kt, then W-NW 5-15 kt behind front. Afternoon gusts to 15-25 kt. Winds aloft at 10kft MSL: W-SW 25-45 kt. KBOI...VFR. Lowering ceilings this AM. A 15% chance of light rain reaching ground between 02/13z-17z as a weak cold front passes. Becoming mostly clear in the afternoon. Surface winds SE 5-15 kt becoming NW 5-15 kt after the front passes. NW gusts around 20 kt this afternoon. && .BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ID...None. OR...None. && $$ www.weather.gov/Boise Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSBoise www.x.com/NWSBoise SHORT TERM...ST LONG TERM....SH AVIATION.....SH

951 FXUS65 KLKN 020701 AAA AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion...Updated National Weather Service Elko NV 1201 AM PDT Sun Nov 2 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1201 AM PDT Sun Nov 2 2025 * High pressure will bring quiet and dry fall-like weather into early next week * A weak weather system is expected to impact Northern Nevada during the mid-week portion of the forecast, resulting in breezy to windy conditions and light precipitation && .UPDATE... Issued at 1201 AM PDT Sun Nov 2 2025 The current forecast is on track. No changes are required. && .DISCUSSION... (Today through Friday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A quiet weather pattern will continue across northern and central Nevada for the next several days. A ridge of high pressure will bring fall afternoon temperatures and cool nights. Winds will be light. Readings will be in the 60s with lows in the 20s and 30s. By the mid-week portion, models are showing better agreement of another low pressure system moving over western U.S. with chances for active weather returning over the silver state. Light rain and snow showers are expected mainly over the northern sections of the forecast area. Winds will be breezy to windy on Wednesday though several degrees of cooling is expected with highs in the 50s and 60s and lows in the 20s and 30s. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Confidence remains high for dry and fair weather to continue into next week. Increasing confidence of active weather returning next week. No changes to NBM grids at this time. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions and light winds will continue through the upcoming 24 hour period. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...86 AVIATION...86 FIRE WEATHER...86