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Fire Weather in the Central and Southern Plains; Pacific Storms Impacting the West

Gusty to high winds and low relative humidity will bring elevated to critical fire weather to the central and southern Plains into Wednesday. Two Pacific storms will impact the western U.S. into Wednesday with gusty winds, low elevation rain, and heavy mountain snow. Read More >

Recreation Forecasts

Latest Hot Air Balloon Text Forecast

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SXUS43 KUNR 191001
RECUNR

Morning Hot Air Balloon Forecast
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
301 AM MST Thu Feb 19 2026

This forecast is information to assist pilots and aircrews for flight planning
and is not to be considered as a sole source of information to meet all
preflight actions. Pilots should receive a complete preflight briefing from a
Flight Service Station (1-800-WXBRIEF) or online via 1800wxbrief.com.

...HERE IS THE MORNING HOT AIR BALLOON FORECAST
FOR THE HOT SPRINGS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON...

.THIS MORNING...
    Sunrise:                         645 AM.

    Surface Wind Forecast:           6 AM...060/10 mph.
                                     8 AM...070/10 mph.

    Boundary Layer Wind:             7 AM...070/15 mph. Depth 1100 ft.
                                     9 AM...090/14 mph. Depth 1700 ft.

    RAP Winds (at 7 AM):              250ft...010/04 mph.
                                      500ft...360/06 mph.
                                     1000ft...340/08 mph.
                                     2000ft...300/09 mph.
                                     3000ft...300/12 mph.

    Surface Lifted Index:            6 AM...+20.
                                     9 AM...+20.

    Density Altitude:                6 AM...1262 ft.
                                     8 AM...1333 ft.

    Additional Weather Info:         ceilings around 2000 feet AGL,
                                     unrestricted visibilities,
                                     90 percent chance of precipitation.


.OUTLOOK FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
    Sunset:         527 PM.

    Weather:        ceilings around 1000 feet AGL,
                    unrestricted visibilities,
                    80 percent chance of precipitation.

    Surface Wind:   3 PM...360/08G15 mph.
                    5 PM...030/06 mph.

    Boundary Wind:  3 PM...360/14 mph. Depth 2000 ft.
                    5 PM...030/10 mph. Depth 1300 ft.

    RAP Winds (at 3 PM):  250ft...330/03 mph.
                          500ft...320/06 mph.
                         1000ft...320/09 mph.
                         2000ft...310/10 mph.
                         3000ft...300/12 mph.


.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    Surface Wind Forecast:           6 AM...290/03 mph.
                                     8 AM...270/05 mph.

    RAP Winds (at 7 AM):              250ft...250/01 mph.
                                      500ft...260/03 mph.
                                     1000ft...270/05 mph.
                                     2000ft...300/11 mph.
                                     3000ft...310/18 mph.

    Additional Weather Info:         scattered clouds at less than 1000 feet
AGL,
                                     unrestricted visibilities.


This forecast is not routinely updated or amended outside of any scheduled
issuances.

&&

Additional aviation observations and forecasts are available at
aviationweather.gov. You can also read the local aviation forecast discussion
at https://www.aviationweather.gov/fcstdisc.

$$

WFO UNR



                

Note: "Boundary layer" above refers to the planetary boundary layer, or the layer within which the effects of friction are significant (courtesy of the NWS Glossary). The depth of this layer will vary throughout the day, typically reaching its maximum depth in the afternoon and minimum depth overnight.

Link: Vertical Wind Profile for Hot Springs Municipal Airport (courtesy CWSU Seattle)

 

The soundings below show temperature (in red) and dew point (in green) at decreasing pressures (increasing heights) throughout the atmosphere.

Winds (in knots; 1 knot = 1.15078 mph) are shown at right.
Pennants or flags correspond to 50 kt, long barbs represent 10 kt, and short barbs represent 5 kt. Winds are also colored by magnitude.
The shaft points to the direction from which the wind is blowing. More information about wind barbs can be found here.

 

Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City (courtesy NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research)


Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City (courtesy NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research)

 

 

Forecast Soundings for the Hot Springs Municipal Airport (click to zoom)

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