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Another Round of Heavy Rain and Mountain Snow in California; Snow in the Great Lakes and Northeast

Another round of heavy rainfall will renew concerns for additional flash flooding and landslides in southern California around burn scars and coastal mountain ranges. A low pressure system is bringing enhanced snowfall downwind from the lower Great Lakes into the Northeast mountain ranges. Above average temperatures will challenge or break daily record high temperatures across the southern Plains. Read More >

Recreation Forecasts

Latest Hot Air Balloon Text Forecast

We'd like to know how you use this forecast. Please send a note to our Warning Coordination Meteorologist, Aaron Woodward. Thanks!

                        
010
SXUS43 KUNR 212001
RECUNR

Afternoon Hot Air Balloon Forecast
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
101 PM MST Fri Nov 21 2025

This forecast is information to assist pilots and aircrews for flight planning
and is not to be considered as a sole source of information to meet all
preflight actions. Pilots should receive a complete preflight briefing from a
Flight Service Station (1-800-WXBRIEF) or online via 1800wxbrief.com.

...HERE IS THE AFTERNOON HOT AIR BALLOON FORECAST
FOR THE HOT SPRINGS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...

.THIS AFTERNOON...
    Sunset:                          421 PM.

    Surface Wind Forecast:           3 PM...250/13G25 mph.
                                     5 PM...250/09 mph.

    Boundary Layer Wind:             3 PM...250/22 mph. Depth 1900 ft.
                                     5 PM...260/15 mph. Depth 500 ft.

    RAP Winds (approx. 4 PM):              250ft...270/08 mph.
                                           500ft...270/14 mph.
                                          1000ft...280/18 mph.
                                          2000ft...280/19 mph.
                                          3000ft...290/20 mph.

    Surface Lifted Index:            3 PM...+3.
                                     6 PM...+5.

    Density Altitude:                3 PM...4217 ft.
                                     5 PM...3880 ft.

    Additional Weather Info:         clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                                     unrestricted visibilities.


.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    Sunrise:        657 AM.
    Weather:        clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                    unrestricted visibilities.
    Surface Wind:   6 AM...250/08G16 mph.
                    8 AM...250/08G16 mph.
    Boundary Wind:  6 AM...270/15 mph. Depth 500 ft.
                    8 AM...260/15 mph. Depth 500 ft.

    RAP Winds (approx. 6 AM):  250ft...270/07 mph.
                               500ft...320/14 mph.
                              1000ft...330/23 mph.
                              2000ft...320/30 mph.
                              3000ft...320/34 mph.

This forecast is not routinely updated or amended outside of any scheduled
issuances.

&&

Additional aviation observations and forecasts are available at
aviationweather.gov. You can also read the local aviation forecast discussion
at https://www.aviationweather.gov/fcstdisc.

$$

WFO UNR



                

Note: "Boundary layer" above refers to the planetary boundary layer, or the layer within which the effects of friction are significant (courtesy of the NWS Glossary). The depth of this layer will vary throughout the day, typically reaching its maximum depth in the afternoon and minimum depth overnight.

Link: Vertical Wind Profile for Hot Springs Municipal Airport (courtesy CWSU Seattle)

 

The soundings below show temperature (in red) and dew point (in green) at decreasing pressures (increasing heights) throughout the atmosphere.

Winds (in knots; 1 knot = 1.15078 mph) are shown at right.
Pennants or flags correspond to 50 kt, long barbs represent 10 kt, and short barbs represent 5 kt. Winds are also colored by magnitude.
The shaft points to the direction from which the wind is blowing. More information about wind barbs can be found here.

 

Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City (courtesy NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research)


Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City (courtesy NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research)

 

 

Forecast Soundings for the Hot Springs Municipal Airport (click to zoom)

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