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Hawaii and Guam Concerns; Severe Weather for the Plains; Heavy Snow for Sierra-Nevada

Heavy rainfall capable of causing flash flooding will continue to impact Hawaii through Monday. Severe thunderstorms and heavy rain are possible in parts of Texas and the southern Plains and the Upper Great Lakes. Heavy mountain snow continues in California's Sierra Nevada and rain with gusty winds to lower elevations. Super Typhoon Sinlaku will impact the Marianas through midweek. Read More >

Recreation Forecasts

Latest Hot Air Balloon Text Forecast

We'd like to know how you use this forecast. Please send a note to our Warning Coordination Meteorologist, Aaron Woodward. Thanks!

                        
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SXUS43 KUNR 172002
RECUNR

Afternoon Hot Air Balloon Forecast
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
201 PM MDT Fri Apr 17 2026

This forecast is information to assist pilots and aircrews for flight planning
and is not to be considered as a sole source of information to meet all
preflight actions. Pilots should receive a complete preflight briefing from a
Flight Service Station (1-800-WXBRIEF) or online via 1800wxbrief.com.

...HERE IS THE AFTERNOON HOT AIR BALLOON FORECAST
FOR THE HOT SPRINGS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...

.THIS AFTERNOON...
    Sunset:                          739 PM.

    Surface Wind Forecast:           4 PM...310/22G37 mph.
                                     6 PM...320/21G35 mph.

    Boundary Layer Wind:             4 PM...310/36 mph. Depth 9600 ft.
                                     6 PM...310/33 mph. Depth 9600 ft.

    RAP Winds (approx. 5 PM):              250ft...310/21 mph.
                                           500ft...310/26 mph.
                                          1000ft...310/29 mph.
                                          2000ft...310/30 mph.
                                          3000ft...310/31 mph.

    Surface Lifted Index:            4 PM...+3.
                                     7 PM...+2.

    Density Altitude:                4 PM...3497 ft.
                                     6 PM...3400 ft.

    Additional Weather Info:         ceilings around 7000 feet AGL,
                                     unrestricted visibilities,
                                     20 percent chance of precipitation.


.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    Sunrise:        604 AM.
    Weather:        clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                    unrestricted visibilities.
    Surface Wind:   6 AM...270/10G17 mph.
                    8 AM...280/15G26 mph.
    Boundary Wind:  6 AM...280/17 mph. Depth 600 ft.
                    8 AM...300/29 mph. Depth 2500 ft.

    RAP Winds (approx. 6 AM):  250ft...280/08 mph.
                               500ft...300/19 mph.
                              1000ft...300/24 mph.
                              2000ft...310/26 mph.
                              3000ft...310/26 mph.

This forecast is not routinely updated or amended outside of any scheduled
issuances.

&&

Additional aviation observations and forecasts are available at
aviationweather.gov. You can also read the local aviation forecast discussion
at https://www.aviationweather.gov/fcstdisc.

$$

WFO UNR



                

Note: "Boundary layer" above refers to the planetary boundary layer, or the layer within which the effects of friction are significant (courtesy of the NWS Glossary). The depth of this layer will vary throughout the day, typically reaching its maximum depth in the afternoon and minimum depth overnight.

Link: Vertical Wind Profile for Hot Springs Municipal Airport (courtesy CWSU Seattle)

 

The soundings below show temperature (in red) and dew point (in green) at decreasing pressures (increasing heights) throughout the atmosphere.

Winds (in knots; 1 knot = 1.15078 mph) are shown at right.
Pennants or flags correspond to 50 kt, long barbs represent 10 kt, and short barbs represent 5 kt. Winds are also colored by magnitude.
The shaft points to the direction from which the wind is blowing. More information about wind barbs can be found here.

 

Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City (courtesy NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research)


Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City (courtesy NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research)

 

 

Forecast Soundings for the Hot Springs Municipal Airport (click to zoom)

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