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Thunderstorms in the Mid-Mississippi Valley and Florida; Fire Weather Concerns in the Northern Plains

Isolated severe storms capable of hail and gusty winds are possible mainly this evening across portions of the mid-Mississippi Valley. Clusters of thunderstorms may produce isolated flash flooding in the Florida peninsula. Elevated fire weather risk is possible in the Northern Plains into western Minnesota. Read More >

Recreation Forecasts

Latest Hot Air Balloon Text Forecast

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SXUS43 KUNR 100901
RECUNR

Morning Hot Air Balloon Forecast
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
301 AM MDT Sun May 10 2026

This forecast is information to assist pilots and aircrews for flight planning
and is not to be considered as a sole source of information to meet all
preflight actions. Pilots should receive a complete preflight briefing from a
Flight Service Station (1-800-WXBRIEF) or online via 1800wxbrief.com.

...HERE IS THE MORNING HOT AIR BALLOON FORECAST
FOR THE HOT SPRINGS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...

.THIS MORNING...
    Sunrise:                         532 AM.

    Surface Wind Forecast:           5 AM...250/07 mph.
                                     7 AM...250/07 mph.

    Boundary Layer Wind:             7 AM...260/12 mph. Depth 400 ft.
                                     9 AM...280/13 mph. Depth 800 ft.

    RAP Winds (at 6 AM):              250ft...290/11 mph.
                                      500ft...300/17 mph.
                                     1000ft...300/16 mph.
                                     2000ft...300/15 mph.
                                     3000ft...300/13 mph.

    Surface Lifted Index:            6 AM...+4.
                                     9 AM...+4.

    Density Altitude:                5 AM...2984 ft.
                                     7 AM...3515 ft.

    Additional Weather Info:         clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                                     unrestricted visibilities.


.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
    Sunset:         806 PM.

    Weather:        clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                    unrestricted visibilities.

    Surface Wind:   5 PM...040/07G14 mph.
                    7 PM...070/06 mph.

    Boundary Wind:  5 PM...310/13 mph. Depth 7100 ft.
                    7 PM...050/13 mph. Depth 500 ft.

    RAP Winds (at 5 PM):  250ft...070/06 mph.
                          500ft...070/06 mph.
                         1000ft...070/05 mph.
                         2000ft...060/03 mph.
                         3000ft...350/02 mph.


.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    Surface Wind Forecast:           5 AM...240/05 mph.
                                     7 AM...240/09G16 mph.

    RAP Winds (at 6 AM):              250ft...120/05 mph.
                                      500ft...170/18 mph.
                                     1000ft...180/24 mph.
                                     2000ft...200/25 mph.
                                     3000ft...210/23 mph.

    Additional Weather Info:         clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                                     unrestricted visibilities.


This forecast is not routinely updated or amended outside of any scheduled
issuances.

&&

Additional aviation observations and forecasts are available at
aviationweather.gov. You can also read the local aviation forecast discussion
at https://www.aviationweather.gov/fcstdisc.

$$

WFO UNR



                

Note: "Boundary layer" above refers to the planetary boundary layer, or the layer within which the effects of friction are significant (courtesy of the NWS Glossary). The depth of this layer will vary throughout the day, typically reaching its maximum depth in the afternoon and minimum depth overnight.

Link: Vertical Wind Profile for Hot Springs Municipal Airport (courtesy CWSU Seattle)

 

The soundings below show temperature (in red) and dew point (in green) at decreasing pressures (increasing heights) throughout the atmosphere.

Winds (in knots; 1 knot = 1.15078 mph) are shown at right.
Pennants or flags correspond to 50 kt, long barbs represent 10 kt, and short barbs represent 5 kt. Winds are also colored by magnitude.
The shaft points to the direction from which the wind is blowing. More information about wind barbs can be found here.

 

Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City (courtesy NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research)


Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City (courtesy NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research)

 

 

Forecast Soundings for the Hot Springs Municipal Airport (click to zoom)

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