Area Forecast Discussion

    
                        

882

FXUS63 KSGF 312304

AFDSGF



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Springfield MO

504 PM CST Wed Dec 31 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Low temperatures tonight for New Year`s Eve will be in the

  upper 20s to lower 30s.



- Increasing confidence in highs to be near to above normal,

  ranging from the upper 40s to lower 60s into the end of the

  week and the coming weekend.



- Next chances for widespread precipitation hold off until the

  middle to end of next week.



&&



.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...

Issued at 114 PM CST Wed Dec 31 2025



We`ll end the year with sunny skies and highs in the low to mid

50s across the area. Winds have now switched out of the

west and will gust up to 20 mph through the afternoon. New

Year`s Eve night will be clear and cool with lows in the upper

20s to lower 30s. Another warm day is expected for most to

start the new year as a warm front starts to slide into our

area. This front will bring a temperature spread of 8-10 degrees

for the daytime highs. The front looks to set up near I-44 with

warmer temperatures in the upper 50s near the MO/AR border and

sunny skies while temperatures north of the front will be in the

40s with partly cloudy skies. How warm the temperatures get

will be dependent on where the warm front decides to set up.



&&



.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

Issued at 114 PM CST Wed Dec 31 2025



A warm front will still be in place over the area on Friday and will

bring quite the temperature gradient for the end of the week. The

front will be situated near central MO and temperatures north of the

front will be in the upper 40s and temperatures south of the front

near the the MO/AR border will be warmer in the upper 50s with

mostly cloudy skies. Cold front moves through Friday evening

but will only drop temperatures for Saturday. Model guidance has

struggled with the placement of the passing surface low. Now,

there is low (20-30%) chance of rain over southeastern MO that

could occur just before the front passes through by late

morning/afternoon hours. No severe weather is anticipated and

rainfall amounts will be low <0.10". Highs Saturday will be in

the upper 40s to lower 50s with skies clearing through the day.

High pressure builds in for the start of next week with highs

well above average hitting almost 70 degrees for far southern

MO. Long-term ensemble members are showing a hint of a pattern

change by the middle of next week. We`ll have to keep tabs on

that as it gets closer.



&&



.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...

Issued at 504 PM CST Wed Dec 31 2025



VFR conditions through the TAF period. Modestly breezy west-

southwest winds this evening will become light overnight as

they shift to the east. Scattered low clouds will develop across

central Missouri tonight but likely stay north of the

terminals. Otherwise, some high clouds move overhead during the

day on Thursday.



&&



.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

KS...None.

MO...None.



&&



$$



SHORT TERM...Soria

LONG TERM...Soria

AVIATION...Didio