National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Erin Strengthens to a Hurricane; Heavy Rainfall Possible in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, the Upper Midwest, South Texas

Hurricane Erin may bring isolated flash and urban flooding, landslides or mudslides, and possible tropical storm conditions to Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands this weekend. Scattered thunderstorms and heavy rainfall may bring areas of flooding this weekend over the Upper Midwest. A tropical disturbance will bring locally heavy rain and mainly urban flash flooding to far southern Texas. Read More >

TTAA00 KMPX 172200
WRKBLN

HOT AIR BALLOON FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
416 AM CDT SUN AUG 17 2025

MNZ060-172130-
Hennepin-
FOR THE TWIN CITIES METRO AREA
416 AM CDT Sun Aug 17 2025


DATE                                                 SUN 08/17/25       /
CDT        4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 9A 10 11 12 1P 2P 3P 4P 5P 6P 7P 8P 9P 10 11 12 1A 2A 3A

TEMP       68 67 67 67 67 68 69 70 72 74 75 76 77 76 76 76 75 74 73 73 72 73 72 72
HT INDEX   68 67 67 67 67 68 69 70 72 74 75 76 77 76 76 76 75 74 73 73 72 73 72 72
SFC WDIR    E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E SE SE SE SE SE SE
SFC WSPD    7  7  7  8  8  9  9  9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  9  9  9  9  9  9  9  9  9
SFC WGUST  14 15 16 16 17 17 17 18 18 19 20 20 20 20 19 18 17 18 18 18 17 17 17 17

500FT WDIR  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E SE  E  E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  S  S
500FT WSPD 10 13 15 15 15 15 15 15 17 18 17 17 16 17 17 17 15 12 10 12 16 17 14 10
1KFT WDIR   E SE  E  E  E SE  E  E  E  E SE  E  E SE SE SE SE SE  S  S  S  S  S  S
1KFT WSPD  17 19 22 23 22 19 18 17 20 22 20 20 19 20 21 23 21 18 16 19 24 28 25 22
3KFT WDIR  SE  S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  S  S  S  S  S  S  S SW SW SW
3KFT WSPD  11 10  8  9 14 16 14 13 16 19 19 18 19 21 22 24 25 24 23 26 29 30 27 23

SKY COVER  BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV BK OV OV BK BK BK BK BK
 POP6HR    |        34       |        24       |        51       |        69       

SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                    
AUGUST 17 2025........SUNRISE   618 AM CDT   SUNSET   815 PM CDT     
AUGUST 18 2025........SUNRISE   619 AM CDT   SUNSET   814 PM CDT     

KMSP 170854Z 1709/1812 09011KT P6SM BKN013
     FM171000 10012KT P6SM VCTS BKN015CB
     FM171200 10012KT P6SM BKN015 PROB30 1720/1724 4SM -TSRA BR
      BKN025CB
     FM180000 12012KT 6SM -RA BR BKN018
      TEMPO 1800/1804 3SM -TSRA BR BKN025CB
&&

TEMP...2M TEMPERATURE. HT INDEX...HEAT INDEX IF 60 DEGREES OR HIGHER. 
SFC.....SURFACE. 500FT...500 FEET AGL. 1KFT...1000 FEET AGL. 3KFT...3000 FEET AGL. 
WDIR....WIND DIRECTION. WSPD...WIND SPEED IN KTS. WGST...WIND GUST IN KTS.
POP6HR..6-HOUR PROBABILITY OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION (0.01 INCH OR MORE).

NOTE: + is 100 PERCENT PROBABILITY 

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF SCHEDULED ISSUANCES.

$$

MNZ063-172130-
Washington-
FOR EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA
416 AM CDT Sun Aug 17 2025


DATE                                                 SUN 08/17/25       /
CDT        4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 9A 10 11 12 1P 2P 3P 4P 5P 6P 7P 8P 9P 10 11 12 1A 2A 3A

TEMP       66 66 66 66 66 67 68 70 71 73 74 76 76 76 76 75 74 72 71 71 71 71 70 70
HT INDEX   66 66 66 66 66 67 68 70 71 73 74 76 76 76 76 75 74 72 71 71 71 71 70 70
SFC WDIR    E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E SE SE SE SE SE SE
SFC WSPD    6  6  7  7  8  9  9  9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  9  9  9  9 10 10  9 10 10
SFC WGUST  13 14 14 14 15 16 17 17 17 18 18 18 19 19 18 17 17 17 18 18 18 18 18 18

500FT WDIR  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E SE SE  E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
500FT WSPD 11 11 14 16 16 15 14 15 15 17 17 15 15 15 16 15 14 13 13 15 17 18 16 13
1KFT WDIR   E SE SE  E  E SE  E  E  E  E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  S  S  S
1KFT WSPD  18 18 20 23 22 19 17 17 18 19 19 18 18 18 20 21 20 20 20 23 27 29 27 24
3KFT WDIR  SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  S  S  S  S  S  S SW SW SW
3KFT WSPD   7  7  7  6 10 13 13 12 13 15 17 16 17 18 19 21 22 24 25 27 28 29 27 26

SKY COVER  BK BK BK BK BK OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
 POP6HR    |        17       |        17       |        33       |        70       

SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                    
AUGUST 17 2025........SUNRISE   618 AM CDT   SUNSET   815 PM CDT     
AUGUST 18 2025........SUNRISE   619 AM CDT   SUNSET   814 PM CDT     

KRNH 170520Z 1706/1806 08006KT P6SM SCT025 BKN045
      TEMPO 1706/1709 BKN025
     FM170900 09010KT P6SM BKN018
     FM172100 12010G17KT P6SM BKN025 PROB30 1721/1724 4SM -TSRA BR
      BKN035CB
     FM180000 12009KT 6SM -RA BR BKN025
      TEMPO 1800/1804 3SM -TSRA BR BKN035CB
&&

TEMP...2M TEMPERATURE. HT INDEX...HEAT INDEX IF 60 DEGREES OR HIGHER. 
SFC.....SURFACE. 500FT...500 FEET AGL. 1KFT...1000 FEET AGL. 3KFT...3000 FEET AGL. 
WDIR....WIND DIRECTION. WSPD...WIND SPEED IN KTS. WGST...WIND GUST IN KTS.
POP6HR..6-HOUR PROBABILITY OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION (0.01 INCH OR MORE).

NOTE: + is 100 PERCENT PROBABILITY 

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF SCHEDULED ISSUANCES.

$$

MNZ049-172130-
Stearns-
FOR CENTRAL MINNESOTA
416 AM CDT Sun Aug 17 2025


DATE                                                 SUN 08/17/25       /
CDT        4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 9A 10 11 12 1P 2P 3P 4P 5P 6P 7P 8P 9P 10 11 12 1A 2A 3A

TEMP       64 64 63 63 63 64 65 66 68 70 71 72 73 72 73 72 72 70 69 69 69 69 69 69
HT INDEX   64 64 63 63 63 64 65 66 68 70 71 72 73 72 73 72 72 70 69 69 69 69 69 69
SFC WDIR    E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E SE  E  E SE SE
SFC WSPD    9  9  9 10 10 11 11 12 12 12 13 12 12 12 12 11 11 10 10  9  8  8  7  7
SFC WGUST  17 18 19 19 20 21 21 22 22 23 22 23 23 22 22 21 20 19 19 18 17 15 14 14

500FT WDIR  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
500FT WSPD  9 10 10 11 11 11 12 13 12 12 15 16 16 14 12 10 10 10 10  8  7  6  7  9
1KFT WDIR   E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  S  S  S  S
1KFT WSPD  17 19 20 21 20 18 20 21 19 19 24 26 26 25 21 20 19 19 18 16 14 14 17 21
3KFT WDIR  SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  S  S  S SW SW SW SW
3KFT WSPD  13 17 17 15 17 20 19 19 20 21 24 27 29 30 27 27 26 23 22 23 25 26 25 24

SKY COVER  BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK OV OV BK BK OV OV OV BK BK BK BK
 POP6HR    |        36       |        44       |        70       |        85       

SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                    
AUGUST 17 2025........SUNRISE   620 AM CDT   SUNSET   820 PM CDT     
AUGUST 18 2025........SUNRISE   621 AM CDT   SUNSET   818 PM CDT     

KSTC 170520Z 1706/1806 06008G17KT P6SM OVC007
     FM170900 08010KT P6SM OVC009
     FM171200 08010KT P6SM BKN025 PROB30 1718/1722 5SM -TSRA
      OVC018CB
     FM172200 10011KT 6SM -RA BR BKN018
      TEMPO 1722/1802 3SM TSRA BR SCT018 BKN025CB
&&

TEMP...2M TEMPERATURE. HT INDEX...HEAT INDEX IF 60 DEGREES OR HIGHER. 
SFC.....SURFACE. 500FT...500 FEET AGL. 1KFT...1000 FEET AGL. 3KFT...3000 FEET AGL. 
WDIR....WIND DIRECTION. WSPD...WIND SPEED IN KTS. WGST...WIND GUST IN KTS.
POP6HR..6-HOUR PROBABILITY OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION (0.01 INCH OR MORE).

NOTE: + is 100 PERCENT PROBABILITY 

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF SCHEDULED ISSUANCES.

$$

WIZ028-172130-
Eau Claire-
FOR WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN
416 AM CDT Sun Aug 17 2025


DATE                                                 SUN 08/17/25       /
CDT        4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 9A 10 11 12 1P 2P 3P 4P 5P 6P 7P 8P 9P 10 11 12 1A 2A 3A

TEMP       66 65 65 65 65 66 68 70 71 73 74 76 76 76 76 75 73 71 70 69 68 67 66 65
HT INDEX   66 65 65 65 65 66 68 70 71 73 74 76 76 76 76 75 73 71 70 69 68 67 66 65
SFC WDIR    E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E SE  E  E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
SFC WSPD    5  5  5  6  6  6  7  7  7  7  7  7  8  8  8  7  7  8  8  8  8  8  8  8
SFC WGUST  13 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 15 17 17 18 18 18 18 18 18

500FT WDIR  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
500FT WSPD  9 11 11 12 13 15 12 11 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 13 14 15 15 15 15 14 13 13
1KFT WDIR   E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
1KFT WSPD  16 15 16 18 18 18 14 12 13 12 12 13 13 14 15 17 20 23 24 25 24 23 22 21
3KFT WDIR   E  E SE  E  E  E  E  E  E  E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  S  S  S  S  S  S SW
3KFT WSPD   6  5  5  4  4  7  8  9  9  9  9 11 12 13 14 16 16 16 17 18 20 22 24 25

SKY COVER  BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV
 POP6HR    |        15       |        12       |        19       |        53       

SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                    
AUGUST 17 2025........SUNRISE   611 AM CDT   SUNSET   808 PM CDT     
AUGUST 18 2025........SUNRISE   612 AM CDT   SUNSET   807 PM CDT     

KEAU 170520Z 1706/1806 05005KT P6SM FEW040
     FM171000 06005KT P6SM BKN024
     FM171400 09007KT P6SM BKN022
     FM172100 11009KT P6SM BKN029 PROB30 1722/1804 4SM -TSRA
      OVC015CB
     FM180400 12009KT 6SM -RA BR BKN030=
&&

TEMP...2M TEMPERATURE. HT INDEX...HEAT INDEX IF 60 DEGREES OR HIGHER. 
SFC.....SURFACE. 500FT...500 FEET AGL. 1KFT...1000 FEET AGL. 3KFT...3000 FEET AGL. 
WDIR....WIND DIRECTION. WSPD...WIND SPEED IN KTS. WGST...WIND GUST IN KTS.
POP6HR..6-HOUR PROBABILITY OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION (0.01 INCH OR MORE).

NOTE: + is 100 PERCENT PROBABILITY 

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF SCHEDULED ISSUANCES.

$$

MNZ093-172130-
Freeborn-
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA
416 AM CDT Sun Aug 17 2025


DATE                                                 SUN 08/17/25       /
CDT        4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 9A 10 11 12 1P 2P 3P 4P 5P 6P 7P 8P 9P 10 11 12 1A 2A 3A

TEMP       72 72 71 71 72 72 75 77 79 81 83 84 85 84 82 81 77 76 75 74 74 74 73 73
HT INDEX   72 72 71 71 72 72 75 77 80 87 91 93 95 93 90 85 77 76 75 74 74 74 73 73
SFC WDIR    E  E  E  E  E  E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  S SE
SFC WSPD    5  5  5  5  6  7  8  8  9  9  9  9  9  9  9  8  8  8  9  9  9  9  9  8
SFC WGUST  12 12 12 13 13 13 14 15 15 16 16 17 16 17 16 15 15 16 16 17 17 17 17 17

500FT WDIR  E  E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
500FT WSPD  7  6  7  8  9 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 10  9  8  7  7  8 11 13 15 16 15
1KFT WDIR   E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
1KFT WSPD  11 11 15 16 17 17 16 15 15 14 15 16 16 15 15 15 15 17 20 23 26 29 29 28
3KFT WDIR  SW  W SW SW SW SW SW SW  S  S  S  S  S  S  S  S  S  S  S  S SW SW SW SW
3KFT WSPD   7  7  6  7  8 10 10  9 12 13 15 17 19 19 19 20 21 23 24 25 25 25 26 26

SKY COVER  BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK
 POP6HR    |        18       |        8        |        33       |        41       

SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                    
AUGUST 17 2025........SUNRISE   617 AM CDT   SUNSET   810 PM CDT     
AUGUST 18 2025........SUNRISE   618 AM CDT   SUNSET   809 PM CDT     

KRST 170525Z 1706/1806 08007KT P6SM VCTS OVC010CB
     FM170700 08010KT P6SM VCTS OVC008CB PROB30 1707/1712 1SM
      +TSRA
      OVC007CB
     FM171400 11012KT P6SM BKN015
&&

TEMP...2M TEMPERATURE. HT INDEX...HEAT INDEX IF 60 DEGREES OR HIGHER. 
SFC.....SURFACE. 500FT...500 FEET AGL. 1KFT...1000 FEET AGL. 3KFT...3000 FEET AGL. 
WDIR....WIND DIRECTION. WSPD...WIND SPEED IN KTS. WGST...WIND GUST IN KTS.
POP6HR..6-HOUR PROBABILITY OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION (0.01 INCH OR MORE).

NOTE: + is 100 PERCENT PROBABILITY 

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF SCHEDULED ISSUANCES.

$$