National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Regional Outbreaks of Severe Weather Through Early Next Week; Early Season Heat Wave across the South

Active spring pattern across the center of our nation with several episodes of severe weather and heavy rainfall expected into next week. The potential for very large hail, long track tornadoes, severe wind gusts, frequent cloud to ground lightning strikes and flash flooding are in the outlook. Furthermore, dangerous early season heat wave continues for the Gulf Coast states into early next week. Read More >

TTAA00 KMPX 162200
WRKBLN

HOT AIR BALLOON FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
416 AM CDT WED JUL 16 2025

MNZ060-162130-
Hennepin-
FOR THE TWIN CITIES METRO AREA
416 AM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025


DATE                                                 WED 07/16/25       /
CDT        4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 9A 10 11 12 1P 2P 3P 4P 5P 6P 7P 8P 9P 10 11 12 1A 2A 3A

TEMP       69 68 66 66 65 64 65 64 64 63 63 64 63 62 61 59 59 58 57 56 56 55 55 54
HT INDEX   69 68 66 66 65 64 65 64 64 63 63 64 63 62 61                           
SFC WDIR    N  N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
SFC WSPD    6  7  8  8  9  9 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 10  9  8  7  6  6
SFC WGUST  13 14 14 15 16 16 18 17 17 18 18 19 19 19 20 21 20 19 17 17 16 14 14 13

500FT WDIR  N  N NE NE NE NE NE  N  N NE NE  N  N  N  N NE  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
500FT WSPD  7  8  7  7  8  7  8 10 11 13 14 14 15 16 17 17 17 16 14 13 12 11 12 12
1KFT WDIR  NE  N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  N  N  N NE NE  N  N  N NE NE NE NE
1KFT WSPD   8  9 10 10 10  9 10 12 14 15 17 17 18 20 22 22 21 19 18 18 18 18 19 20
3KFT WDIR  SE SW SW SW  W  W  N NE NE  E  E NE NE  N  N  N  N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
3KFT WSPD   3  4  7  7  6  4  3  4  4  4  5  4  4  6 11 15 17 18 19 22 26 29 29 29

SKY COVER  OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC SC FW FW
 POP6HR    |        82       |        52       |        21       |        14       

SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                    
JULY 16 2025..........SUNRISE   542 AM CDT   SUNSET   855 PM CDT     
JULY 17 2025..........SUNRISE   543 AM CDT   SUNSET   854 PM CDT     

KMSP 160909Z 1609/1712 08007KT 6SM -SHRA BR VCTS SCT050CB BKN080
      TEMPO 1609/1610 2SM -TSRA BR BKN030CB
     FM161000 05006KT 5SM -SHRA BR SCT012 OVC030
      TEMPO 1610/1612 3SM -TSRA BKN016CB
     FM161400 02010KT 5SM -RA BR OVC012
     FM162200 01010G18KT P6SM OVC015
     FM170500 01007KT P6SM SCT020
&&

TEMP...2M TEMPERATURE. HT INDEX...HEAT INDEX IF 60 DEGREES OR HIGHER. 
SFC.....SURFACE. 500FT...500 FEET AGL. 1KFT...1000 FEET AGL. 3KFT...3000 FEET AGL. 
WDIR....WIND DIRECTION. WSPD...WIND SPEED IN KTS. WGST...WIND GUST IN KTS.
POP6HR..6-HOUR PROBABILITY OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION (0.01 INCH OR MORE).

NOTE: + is 100 PERCENT PROBABILITY 

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF SCHEDULED ISSUANCES.

$$

MNZ063-162130-
Washington-
FOR EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA
416 AM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025


DATE                                                 WED 07/16/25       /
CDT        4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 9A 10 11 12 1P 2P 3P 4P 5P 6P 7P 8P 9P 10 11 12 1A 2A 3A

TEMP       69 68 66 66 66 65 66 66 65 65 64 66 64 63 62 60 59 58 57 56 55 55 54 53
HT INDEX   69 68 66 66 66 65 66 66 65 65 64 66 64 63 62 60                        
SFC WDIR    N  N  N  N NE NE NE NE NE NE  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
SFC WSPD    5  5  6  7  8  8  9  9  9 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 10  9  8  7  6  6
SFC WGUST  10 11 13 14 14 14 16 16 16 17 18 19 19 19 18 19 18 18 18 17 15 13 13 13

500FT WDIR  N  N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
500FT WSPD  7  8  7  7  7  7  8  9  9 10 13 13 14 16 17 17 16 15 14 13 12 12 12 13
1KFT WDIR   N  N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N NE NE
1KFT WSPD   9  9  9 10 10  9 10 11 11 12 15 16 17 19 21 22 21 19 18 18 18 19 20 21
3KFT WDIR   S  W  W  W NW  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E NE  N  N  N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
3KFT WSPD   5  5  4  3  3  2  4  5  5  5  5  5  4  4  7 11 13 14 15 20 24 28 29 29

SKY COVER  OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC SC FW
 POP6HR    |        76       |        67       |        25       |        21       

SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                    
JULY 16 2025..........SUNRISE   542 AM CDT   SUNSET   855 PM CDT     
JULY 17 2025..........SUNRISE   543 AM CDT   SUNSET   854 PM CDT     

KRNH 160538Z 1606/1706 VRB04KT P6SM -SHRA SCT050 BKN080
     FM160800 03008KT 6SM -SHRA BR SCT010 OVC018
      TEMPO 1608/1611 2SM -TSRA BR BKN016CB
     FM161100 03007KT 4SM -SHRA BR OVC008
     FM162000 02009KT P6SM OVC012
&&

TEMP...2M TEMPERATURE. HT INDEX...HEAT INDEX IF 60 DEGREES OR HIGHER. 
SFC.....SURFACE. 500FT...500 FEET AGL. 1KFT...1000 FEET AGL. 3KFT...3000 FEET AGL. 
WDIR....WIND DIRECTION. WSPD...WIND SPEED IN KTS. WGST...WIND GUST IN KTS.
POP6HR..6-HOUR PROBABILITY OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION (0.01 INCH OR MORE).

NOTE: + is 100 PERCENT PROBABILITY 

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF SCHEDULED ISSUANCES.

$$

MNZ049-162130-
Stearns-
FOR CENTRAL MINNESOTA
416 AM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025


DATE                                                 WED 07/16/25       /
CDT        4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 9A 10 11 12 1P 2P 3P 4P 5P 6P 7P 8P 9P 10 11 12 1A 2A 3A

TEMP       63 62 61 61 61 60 60 60 60 60 61 61 60 60 59 58 59 57 57 56 55 54 53 52
HT INDEX   63 62 61 61 61 60 60 60 60 60 61 61 60 60                              
SFC WDIR    N NE NE NE NE  N  N  N NE NE NE  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
SFC WSPD    8  8  8  9  9 10 10 10 10 10 11 10 10 10  9  8  7  6  5  4  4  3  3  3
SFC WGUST  16 17 17 17 18 18 20 19 19 19 19 19 18 18 18 17 15 12 10  9  9  9  7  8

500FT WDIR NE NE NE  N  N  N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  N NE NE NE  N  N  N  N NW
500FT WSPD  9  8  6  8 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 10  9  8  6  5  4  4  4  5
1KFT WDIR  NE NE NE NE  N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
1KFT WSPD  16 14 11 13 17 19 19 20 19 19 18 17 17 17 17 17 15 13 11 10 10 10 10  9
3KFT WDIR   E  E  E  E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  N
3KFT WSPD   8 12 13  9 10 15 17 19 18 17 16 17 18 18 19 20 20 19 18 18 18 18 18 17

SKY COVER  OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC
 POP6HR    |        68       |        31       |        27       |        8        

SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                    
JULY 16 2025..........SUNRISE   543 AM CDT   SUNSET   901 PM CDT     
JULY 17 2025..........SUNRISE   544 AM CDT   SUNSET   900 PM CDT     

KSTC 160533Z 1606/1706 02007KT 6SM -SHRA BR OVC015
      TEMPO 1606/1608 3SM -TSRA BKN015CB
     FM161000 03009KT 6SM -SHRA BR OVC008
     FM161400 01011KT 6SM -SHRA BR OVC012
     FM161800 35010KT P6SM OVC015
     FM162200 34010KT P6SM BKN020
     FM170400 34010KT P6SM SCT020
&&

TEMP...2M TEMPERATURE. HT INDEX...HEAT INDEX IF 60 DEGREES OR HIGHER. 
SFC.....SURFACE. 500FT...500 FEET AGL. 1KFT...1000 FEET AGL. 3KFT...3000 FEET AGL. 
WDIR....WIND DIRECTION. WSPD...WIND SPEED IN KTS. WGST...WIND GUST IN KTS.
POP6HR..6-HOUR PROBABILITY OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION (0.01 INCH OR MORE).

NOTE: + is 100 PERCENT PROBABILITY 

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF SCHEDULED ISSUANCES.

$$

WIZ028-162130-
Eau Claire-
FOR WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN
416 AM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025


DATE                                                 WED 07/16/25       /
CDT        4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 9A 10 11 12 1P 2P 3P 4P 5P 6P 7P 8P 9P 10 11 12 1A 2A 3A

TEMP       70 69 69 70 70 71 72 72 73 72 71 72 69 68 67 63 62 61 59 59 58 57 57 56
HT INDEX   70 69 69 70 70 71 72 72 73 72 71 72 69 68 67 63 62 61                  
SFC WDIR   NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
SFC WSPD    2  3  3  4  5  5  6  6  6  6  6  7  8  9  9 10 10  9  9  8  8  8  7  7
SFC WGUST   7  7  8  9  9 10 12 12 14 14 15 16 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 16 16 16 15 15

500FT WDIR  N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
500FT WSPD  3  4  5  6  6  6  7  9  5  3  3  4  5  8 10 12 12 12 11 10  9  9  9  9
1KFT WDIR  NW  N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  N NE  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
1KFT WSPD   5  6  9  9  9  8  9 12  7  3  4  4  5  9 13 17 17 16 15 16 17 18 19 19
3KFT WDIR  SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SE SE SE  S SE SE SE NE  N NW NW NW NW  N  N  N  N
3KFT WSPD  14 15 14 12  9  7  4  2  5  7  7  6  4  1  1  3  5  7  7  7  6  6 11 17

SKY COVER  BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK
 POP6HR    |        35       |        87       |        52       |        31       

SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                    
JULY 16 2025..........SUNRISE   535 AM CDT   SUNSET   848 PM CDT     
JULY 17 2025..........SUNRISE   536 AM CDT   SUNSET   847 PM CDT     

KEAU 160541Z 1606/1706 VRB03KT P6SM BKN100
     FM161000 VRB03KT 6SM -SHRA BR SCT020 BKN040
      TEMPO 1610/1613 3SM -TSRA BR BKN025CB
     FM161300 03006KT 5SM -SHRA BR OVC020
     FM162200 02009KT 6SM BR SCT007 OVC012=
&&

TEMP...2M TEMPERATURE. HT INDEX...HEAT INDEX IF 60 DEGREES OR HIGHER. 
SFC.....SURFACE. 500FT...500 FEET AGL. 1KFT...1000 FEET AGL. 3KFT...3000 FEET AGL. 
WDIR....WIND DIRECTION. WSPD...WIND SPEED IN KTS. WGST...WIND GUST IN KTS.
POP6HR..6-HOUR PROBABILITY OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION (0.01 INCH OR MORE).

NOTE: + is 100 PERCENT PROBABILITY 

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF SCHEDULED ISSUANCES.

$$

MNZ093-162130-
Freeborn-
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA
416 AM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025


DATE                                                 WED 07/16/25       /
CDT        4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 9A 10 11 12 1P 2P 3P 4P 5P 6P 7P 8P 9P 10 11 12 1A 2A 3A

TEMP       71 71 70 71 71 71 72 72 72 72 72 73 72 71 69 67 65 62 60 59 58 57 56 55
HT INDEX   71 71 70 71 71 71 72 72 72 72 72 73 72 71 69 67 65 62 60               
SFC WDIR   SE SE  S  S SE  E NE NE  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
SFC WSPD    4  4  4  3  3  3  3  4  5  6  7  8  9 10 10 10 10 10 10  9  9  8  8  8
SFC WGUST   9  9  9  9  8  8  7  9 10 11 14 15 17 17 18 18 18 17 17 16 16 15 15 15

500FT WDIR  S NW  N NE NE NE NE NE NE  N  N  N  N NW NW  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
500FT WSPD  2  2  4  5  6  6  5  6  7  8  8  8  9 11 11 12 12 12 11 11 11 11 11 11
1KFT WDIR   S SW  N NE NE NE NE NE NE  N  N  N  N NW  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
1KFT WSPD  15  9  6  8  9 10  7  9 10 11 11 10 12 15 17 19 19 19 18 18 18 18 18 18
3KFT WDIR  SW SW SW SW  S  E NE NE NE NE  N  N  N NW NW NW NW NW NW  N  N  N  N  N
3KFT WSPD  21 21 14  9  3  4  5  8  9 10 10 10 11 13 14 14 14 14 14 17 19 22 25 26

SKY COVER  BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK
 POP6HR    |        80       |        70       |        22       |        9        

SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                    
JULY 16 2025..........SUNRISE   543 AM CDT   SUNSET   849 PM CDT     
JULY 17 2025..........SUNRISE   544 AM CDT   SUNSET   848 PM CDT     

KRST 160536Z 1606/1706 17006KT P6SM BKN050
     FM161200 VRB05KT 5SM -SHRA OVC010 PROB30 1612/1616 2SM -TSRA
      OVC007CB
     FM161600 35011KT 3SM -SHRA OVC010
      TEMPO 1616/1620 2SM TSRA OVC005CB
     FM162000 35009KT P6SM VCSH BKN007
     FM162300 35008KT P6SM BKN007
&&

TEMP...2M TEMPERATURE. HT INDEX...HEAT INDEX IF 60 DEGREES OR HIGHER. 
SFC.....SURFACE. 500FT...500 FEET AGL. 1KFT...1000 FEET AGL. 3KFT...3000 FEET AGL. 
WDIR....WIND DIRECTION. WSPD...WIND SPEED IN KTS. WGST...WIND GUST IN KTS.
POP6HR..6-HOUR PROBABILITY OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION (0.01 INCH OR MORE).

NOTE: + is 100 PERCENT PROBABILITY 

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF SCHEDULED ISSUANCES.

$$