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Erin Strengthens to a Hurricane; Heavy Rainfall Possible in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, the Upper Midwest, South Texas

Hurricane Erin may bring isolated flash and urban flooding, landslides or mudslides, and possible tropical storm conditions to Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands this weekend. Scattered thunderstorms and heavy rainfall may bring areas of flooding this weekend over the Upper Midwest. A tropical disturbance will bring locally heavy rain and mainly urban flash flooding to far southern Texas. Read More >

Overview

A pronounced cold front sagged south of Canada, colliding with a warm and humid air mass across central Minnesota on August 3, 2024. Surface temperatures reached the upper 80s/lower 90s with dew points in the low to mid 70s. This created an unstable environment, featuring instability exceeding 4000-5000 J/kg of MLCAPE and steep mid-level lapse rates between 8.0-9.0°C/km.

A pair of strong supercells formed along the front over central Minnesota during the late afternoon and travelled south-southeast through the evening. Initial storms produced very large hail up to 3 inches in diameter, with sporadic reports of wind damage. An EF-1 tornado impacted Melrose, MN as the supercells travelled through Stearns County. 

***This page will continue to be updated as more information comes in***

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