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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0721 MDT Wednesday July 1 2026
This forecast is for Wednesday, July 1, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 75.1 F/23.9 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1338 ft/min (6.8 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 20724 ft MSL (14394 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 89.0 F/32.1 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0930 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 18407 ft MSL (12077 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Thursday 07/02..... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:53:59 / 20:21:56 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 27 min 57 sec (867 min 57 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:07:58 MDT... 77.96 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/01/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 14887 ft MSL (8557 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 18510 ft MSL (12180 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 19922 ft MSL (13592 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -0.4
K index......................... +24.0
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.0 -79.6 225 32 17 2.0 1.1 83.4 182.1 30.6 M M
45000 -58.3 -72.9 220 49 25 3.6 2.0 66.4 151.5 22.0 M M
40000 -52.3 -62.1 230 43 22 7.2 4.0 53.6 128.5 14.8 M M
38000 -48.0 -54.4 225 46 23 7.3 4.0 51.1 124.0 13.5 M M
36000 -43.6 -46.5 225 48 25 7.3 4.0 49.3 120.7 12.6 M M
34000 -38.9 -38.0 225 46 24 7.0 3.9 46.6 115.9 11.0 M M
32000 -34.6 -30.3 225 45 23 7.0 3.9 44.6 112.4 9.8 M M
30000 -30.2 -22.4 225 43 22 7.4 4.0 42.6 108.7 8.4 M M
29000 -28.0 -18.4 225 43 22 7.4 4.0 41.7 107.1 7.8 M M
28000 -25.8 -14.4 225 42 22 7.0 3.9 41.0 105.7 7.3 M M
27000 -23.9 -11.0 225 41 21 6.6 3.6 39.6 103.4 6.4 M M
26000 -21.9 -7.4 225 40 20 6.6 3.6 38.4 101.2 5.4 M M
25000 -19.9 -3.8 225 38 20 6.6 3.6 37.4 99.2 4.6 M M
24000 -18.0 -0.4 225 36 19 6.4 3.5 36.1 97.0 3.6 M M
23000 -16.1 3.0 230 34 17 6.4 3.5 34.9 94.8 2.6 M M
22000 -14.2 6.4 230 31 16 6.6 3.6 33.8 92.8 1.7 M M
21000 -12.4 9.7 230 29 15 5.6 3.1 32.4 90.2 0.5 M M
20000 -10.8 12.6 230 26 13 5.7 3.1 30.9 87.6 -0.8 1289 6.5
19500 -10.0 14.0 230 24 13 5.7 3.1 30.3 86.5 -1.4 1249 6.3
19000 -8.7 16.3 225 23 12 5.9 3.2 29.3 84.7 -2.4 1190 6.0
18500 -7.9 17.8 220 24 12 6.0 3.3 28.6 83.5 -3.0 1151 5.8
18000 -7.1 19.2 215 24 13 6.4 3.5 28.0 82.4 -3.7 1111 5.6
17500 -6.2 20.8 215 24 12 6.6 3.6 27.5 81.4 -4.3 1069 5.4
17000 -5.3 22.5 215 24 12 6.9 3.8 27.0 80.5 -4.8 1028 5.2
16500 -4.1 24.6 215 24 12 8.9 4.9 26.7 80.0 -5.2 978 5.0
16000 -2.9 26.8 215 23 12 8.8 4.8 26.5 79.7 -5.4 925 4.7
15500 -1.6 29.1 215 23 12 9.4 5.2 26.4 79.5 -5.6 871 4.4
15000 -0.2 31.6 210 22 11 9.5 5.2 26.4 79.4 -5.7 815 4.1
14500 1.2 34.2 210 21 11 9.1 5.0 26.3 79.4 -5.8 758 3.9
14000 2.6 36.7 215 20 10 8.9 4.9 26.2 79.1 -5.9 703 3.6
13500 3.9 39.0 220 18 9 8.7 4.8 26.0 78.8 -6.1 649 3.3
13000 5.2 41.4 225 16 8 8.3 4.6 25.8 78.4 -6.3 596 3.0
12500 6.4 43.5 230 14 7 8.3 4.6 25.6 78.0 -6.5 543 2.8
12000 7.7 45.9 240 13 7 8.6 4.7 25.4 77.7 -6.7 490 2.5
11500 9.0 48.2 245 12 6 8.4 4.6 25.2 77.4 -6.9 436 2.2
11000 10.3 50.5 255 11 6 8.6 4.7 25.0 77.0 -7.1 383 1.9
10500 11.6 52.9 260 10 5 8.4 4.6 24.8 76.7 -7.3 329 1.7
10250 12.2 54.0 265 10 5 8.2 4.5 24.7 76.5 -7.5 303 1.5
10000 12.8 55.0 270 9 5 8.6 4.7 24.6 76.3 -7.6 277 1.4
9750 13.5 56.3 270 9 5 8.7 4.8 24.5 76.1 -7.7 250 1.3
9500 14.2 57.6 275 9 5 8.7 4.8 24.4 76.0 -7.7 223 1.1
9250 14.8 58.6 280 9 4 9.2 5.0 24.4 75.9 -7.8 195 1.0
9000 15.5 59.9 285 8 4 8.5 4.7 24.3 75.8 -7.9 167 0.8
8750 16.1 61.0 285 8 4 7.7 4.2 24.2 75.5 -8.0 142 0.7
8500 16.7 62.1 290 8 4 7.8 4.3 24.0 75.2 -8.2 117 0.6
8250 17.3 63.1 290 8 4 7.4 4.1 23.9 75.0 -8.4 92 0.5
8000 17.8 64.0 290 8 4 7.2 3.9 23.7 74.6 -8.6 69 0.3
7750 18.3 64.9 290 8 4 7.3 4.0 23.5 74.3 -8.8 45 0.2
7500 18.9 66.0 290 7 4 6.2 3.4 23.3 73.9 -9.0 22 0.1
7250 19.2 66.6 290 7 3 4.6 2.5 22.9 73.3 -9.4 4 0.0
7000 19.5 67.1 285 5 3 4.4 2.4 22.5 72.6 -9.9 M M
6750 19.8 67.6 280 4 2 3.9 2.1 22.1 71.8 -10.3 M M
6500 19.7 67.5 260 3 1 -11.9 -6.5 21.3 70.3 -11.2 M M
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/01/2026 at 0900 MDT | 07/01/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +0.9 | CAPE... +20.4 LI... +0.4
CINH... -0.8 K Index... +12.8 | CINH... -6.1 K Index... +23.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.6 -80.7 220 28 15 2.5 1.4 | -62.8 -81.0 235 33 17 3.4 1.9
45000 -58.2 -72.8 230 42 22 3.9 2.2 | -57.8 -72.0 240 43 22 3.2 1.8
40000 -51.9 -61.4 230 41 21 6.9 3.8 | -52.4 -62.3 230 42 22 7.2 4.0
38000 -47.8 -54.0 225 45 23 6.9 3.8 | -47.6 -53.7 230 45 23 7.2 4.0
36000 -43.1 -45.6 225 49 25 6.9 3.8 | -43.2 -45.8 230 48 24 7.2 4.0
34000 -39.1 -38.4 225 48 25 6.7 3.7 | -39.2 -38.6 230 48 25 6.7 3.7
32000 -35.0 -31.0 225 46 24 6.7 3.7 | -35.1 -31.2 225 48 24 6.7 3.7
30000 -30.5 -22.9 225 45 23 7.6 4.2 | -30.5 -22.9 225 46 24 7.9 4.3
29000 -28.2 -18.8 225 45 23 7.6 4.2 | -28.1 -18.6 225 45 23 7.9 4.3
28000 -25.9 -14.6 220 44 23 6.8 3.7 | -25.8 -14.4 225 44 23 6.7 3.7
27000 -24.2 -11.6 220 42 21 5.8 3.2 | -24.1 -11.4 225 41 21 5.5 3.0
26000 -22.5 -8.5 220 39 20 5.8 3.2 | -22.5 -8.5 225 37 19 5.5 3.0
25000 -20.7 -5.3 220 37 19 5.6 3.1 | -20.8 -5.4 225 33 17 5.3 2.9
24000 -18.7 -1.7 220 34 17 7.1 3.9 | -18.9 -2.0 225 30 16 6.9 3.8
23000 -16.6 2.1 220 30 16 7.1 3.9 | -16.8 1.8 220 28 14 6.9 3.8
22000 -14.5 5.9 220 27 14 7.2 3.9 | -14.8 5.4 215 26 13 6.9 3.8
21000 -12.5 9.5 220 25 13 6.6 3.6 | -12.6 9.3 215 24 12 7.3 4.0
20000 -10.5 13.1 215 23 12 6.6 3.6 | -9.9 14.2 205 22 11 7.3 4.0
19500 -9.1 15.6 215 21 11 6.6 3.6 | -8.9 16.0 200 21 11 7.3 4.0
19000 -8.0 17.6 215 21 11 7.3 4.0 | -7.8 18.0 200 20 10 7.4 4.1
18500 -6.9 19.6 215 20 10 7.3 4.0 | -6.7 19.9 200 20 10 7.5 4.1
18000 -5.9 21.4 215 20 10 7.5 4.1 | -5.7 21.7 200 19 10 5.3 2.9
17500 -4.8 23.4 220 20 10 7.6 4.2 | -5.1 22.8 205 18 10 5.0 2.7
17000 -3.6 25.5 220 20 10 7.5 4.1 | -4.5 23.9 215 18 9 6.0 3.3
16500 -2.6 27.3 225 21 11 6.7 3.7 | -3.5 25.7 215 18 9 8.3 4.5
16000 -1.7 28.9 225 21 11 6.8 3.7 | -2.3 27.9 220 17 9 8.1 4.4
15500 -0.7 30.7 230 23 12 7.2 3.9 | -1.0 30.2 220 17 9 9.7 5.3
15000 0.3 32.5 230 24 12 7.3 4.0 | 0.4 32.7 220 17 9 9.6 5.3
14500 1.3 34.3 230 25 13 8.1 4.5 | 1.8 35.2 220 17 9 9.5 5.2
14000 2.5 36.5 230 25 13 8.6 4.7 | 3.2 37.8 220 17 9 9.5 5.2
13500 3.7 38.7 225 25 13 8.8 4.8 | 4.7 40.5 220 17 9 9.4 5.2
13000 5.0 41.0 225 24 12 8.9 4.9 | 6.1 43.0 220 17 9 9.4 5.1
12500 6.3 43.3 225 22 11 8.8 4.8 | 7.5 45.5 220 17 9 9.4 5.2
12000 7.6 45.7 225 21 11 8.4 4.6 | 8.9 48.0 220 17 9 9.7 5.3
11500 8.9 48.0 225 19 10 8.3 4.6 | 10.3 50.5 225 17 9 9.7 5.3
11000 10.1 50.2 230 17 9 7.6 4.2 | 11.8 53.2 225 17 9 9.5 5.2
10500 11.2 52.2 240 15 8 7.7 4.2 | 13.2 55.8 225 17 9 9.7 5.3
10250 11.8 53.2 245 14 7 8.2 4.5 | 13.9 57.0 225 17 9 10.0 5.5
10000 12.5 54.5 245 13 7 8.7 4.7 | 14.7 58.5 225 17 9 9.9 5.4
9750 13.1 55.6 245 12 6 8.5 4.7 | 15.4 59.7 225 17 9 9.8 5.4
9500 13.8 56.8 250 11 6 8.8 4.8 | 16.1 61.0 225 16 8 10.2 5.6
9250 14.5 58.1 250 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 16.9 62.4 225 16 8 11.5 6.3
9000 15.2 59.4 250 9 5 9.4 5.2 | 17.8 64.0 225 16 8 10.2 5.6
8750 15.9 60.6 250 9 5 8.5 4.7 | 18.5 65.3 225 16 8 8.6 4.7
8500 16.5 61.7 250 8 4 9.0 4.9 | 19.1 66.4 225 16 8 9.5 5.2
8250 17.2 63.0 250 8 4 9.2 5.1 | 19.9 67.8 225 16 8 10.7 5.9
8000 17.9 64.2 250 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 20.7 69.3 225 16 8 10.6 5.8
7750 18.7 65.7 250 7 4 10.1 5.6 | 21.5 70.7 225 16 8 9.5 5.2
7500 19.4 66.9 250 7 4 10.3 5.6 | 22.2 72.0 225 15 8 10.1 5.5
7250 20.2 68.4 250 7 3 10.3 5.6 | 23.0 73.4 225 15 8 10.9 6.0
7000 21.0 69.8 250 6 3 10.1 5.6 | 23.8 74.8 225 15 8 10.7 5.9
6750 21.7 71.1 245 6 3 10.3 5.6 | 24.6 76.3 225 14 7 11.3 6.2
6500 22.6 72.7 245 6 3 13.7 7.5 | 25.7 78.3 225 14 7 21.2 11.6
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/01/2026 at 1500 MDT | 07/01/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +100.9 LI... -1.4 | CAPE... +44.0 LI... -0.4
CINH... -0.2 K Index... +22.7 | CINH... -1.6 K Index... +23.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.6 -80.7 235 44 23 3.0 1.6 | -61.4 -78.5 230 36 18 3.0 1.6
45000 -58.1 -72.6 235 50 26 2.9 1.6 | -57.3 -71.1 225 46 23 2.3 1.3
40000 -53.0 -63.4 225 38 20 8.0 4.4 | -53.1 -63.6 225 37 19 7.5 4.1
38000 -48.2 -54.8 230 41 21 8.1 4.4 | -48.0 -54.4 225 40 20 7.4 4.1
36000 -42.7 -44.9 230 44 23 8.0 4.4 | -43.6 -46.5 230 42 22 7.4 4.1
34000 -38.7 -37.7 230 46 24 6.5 3.6 | -39.0 -38.2 230 42 21 7.6 4.2
32000 -34.8 -30.6 230 48 25 6.4 3.5 | -34.5 -30.1 230 41 21 7.6 4.2
30000 -30.4 -22.7 230 47 24 7.6 4.2 | -30.2 -22.4 230 38 20 6.9 3.8
29000 -28.1 -18.6 230 47 24 7.6 4.2 | -28.1 -18.6 230 37 19 6.9 3.8
28000 -25.8 -14.4 230 46 24 6.7 3.7 | -26.0 -14.8 230 36 18 6.3 3.5
27000 -24.1 -11.4 230 41 21 5.7 3.1 | -24.3 -11.7 235 33 17 5.7 3.1
26000 -22.4 -8.3 230 37 19 5.7 3.1 | -22.6 -8.7 235 30 15 5.7 3.1
25000 -20.6 -5.1 230 32 17 5.7 3.1 | -20.9 -5.6 240 27 14 5.7 3.1
24000 -18.9 -2.0 230 29 15 5.7 3.1 | -19.0 -2.2 240 24 12 6.8 3.7
23000 -17.2 1.0 225 26 14 5.8 3.2 | -17.1 1.2 240 21 11 6.9 3.8
22000 -15.5 4.1 225 24 12 6.0 3.3 | -15.1 4.8 240 19 10 7.0 3.8
21000 -13.6 7.5 220 22 11 7.0 3.8 | -13.0 8.6 240 18 9 7.4 4.1
20000 -11.1 12.0 220 21 11 7.2 4.0 | -10.3 13.5 230 18 9 7.5 4.1
19500 -10.1 13.8 215 20 10 7.7 4.2 | -9.2 15.4 230 18 9 7.6 4.2
19000 -8.9 16.0 215 20 10 9.1 5.0 | -8.0 17.6 225 18 10 8.3 4.6
18500 -7.5 18.5 215 20 10 9.1 5.0 | -6.8 19.8 225 19 10 8.3 4.5
18000 -6.2 20.8 215 19 10 9.3 5.1 | -5.6 21.9 225 19 10 8.8 4.8
17500 -4.8 23.4 215 19 10 9.3 5.1 | -4.2 24.4 225 19 10 9.0 4.9
17000 -3.4 25.9 215 19 10 9.4 5.2 | -2.9 26.8 225 19 10 9.1 5.0
16500 -2.0 28.4 215 19 10 9.7 5.3 | -1.5 29.3 225 19 10 9.8 5.4
16000 -0.5 31.1 215 19 10 9.7 5.3 | 0.0 32.0 225 19 10 9.8 5.4
15500 0.9 33.6 215 19 10 9.5 5.2 | 1.5 34.7 225 19 10 9.8 5.4
15000 2.3 36.1 215 19 10 9.5 5.2 | 3.0 37.4 225 19 10 9.8 5.4
14500 3.7 38.7 215 19 10 9.4 5.1 | 4.4 39.9 225 19 10 9.8 5.4
14000 5.1 41.2 215 19 10 9.3 5.1 | 5.9 42.6 225 20 10 9.8 5.4
13500 6.5 43.7 215 20 10 9.4 5.2 | 7.4 45.3 225 20 10 9.7 5.3
13000 8.0 46.4 215 20 10 9.6 5.3 | 8.8 47.8 225 20 10 9.7 5.3
12500 9.4 48.9 215 20 10 9.6 5.3 | 10.3 50.5 225 20 10 9.8 5.4
12000 10.8 51.4 215 20 10 9.6 5.3 | 11.8 53.2 230 21 11 10.0 5.5
11500 12.3 54.1 215 20 10 9.6 5.3 | 13.3 55.9 230 21 11 9.4 5.1
11000 13.7 56.7 215 20 10 9.7 5.3 | 14.7 58.5 230 21 11 10.0 5.5
10500 15.1 59.2 220 20 10 10.0 5.5 | 16.2 61.2 230 21 11 9.4 5.2
10250 15.9 60.6 220 20 10 10.0 5.5 | 16.9 62.4 230 21 11 9.5 5.2
10000 16.6 61.9 220 20 10 9.6 5.3 | 17.6 63.7 230 21 11 10.1 5.6
9750 17.3 63.1 220 20 11 9.6 5.3 | 18.4 65.1 230 22 11 10.0 5.5
9500 18.1 64.6 220 20 11 9.9 5.5 | 19.1 66.4 230 22 11 10.0 5.5
9250 18.8 65.8 220 20 11 11.1 6.1 | 19.9 67.8 230 22 11 10.8 5.9
9000 19.7 67.5 220 20 11 10.3 5.6 | 20.7 69.3 230 22 11 10.2 5.6
8750 20.4 68.7 220 20 11 9.1 5.0 | 21.4 70.5 230 22 11 9.1 5.0
8500 21.1 70.0 220 20 11 9.6 5.3 | 22.1 71.8 230 22 11 9.4 5.2
8250 21.8 71.2 220 20 11 10.4 5.7 | 22.8 73.0 230 22 11 10.0 5.5
8000 22.6 72.7 220 20 10 10.5 5.8 | 23.6 74.5 230 22 11 10.1 5.6
7750 23.4 74.1 220 20 10 10.0 5.5 | 24.3 75.7 230 22 11 9.5 5.2
7500 24.1 75.4 220 20 10 10.3 5.6 | 25.0 77.0 230 22 11 9.7 5.3
7250 24.9 76.8 220 20 10 10.6 5.8 | 25.8 78.4 230 21 11 10.5 5.8
7000 25.7 78.3 220 19 10 11.1 6.1 | 26.6 79.9 230 21 11 11.0 6.1
6750 26.5 79.7 220 19 10 9.5 5.2 | 27.4 81.3 230 20 10 9.6 5.2
6500 27.4 81.3 220 19 10 16.3 8.9 | 28.1 82.6 230 20 10 11.9 6.6
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0721 MDT Wednesday July 1 2026
This forecast is for Wednesday, July 1, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 77.2 F/25.1 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1367 ft/min (6.9 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 20483 ft MSL (14804 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 91.0 F/33.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0930 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 17136 ft MSL (11457 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Thursday 07/02..... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:56:19 / 20:24:35 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 28 min 16 sec (868 min 16 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:27 MDT... 77.81 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/01/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 14990 ft MSL (9311 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 18548 ft MSL (12869 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 19539 ft MSL (13860 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -1.2
K index......................... +21.0
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.4 -80.3 230 35 18 3.8 2.1 85.1 185.2 30.8 M M
45000 -56.8 -70.2 225 48 25 3.4 1.9 71.1 160.0 24.1 M M
40000 -51.4 -60.5 230 47 24 6.3 3.5 57.5 135.6 16.6 M M
38000 -47.6 -53.7 230 49 25 6.2 3.4 54.1 129.3 14.7 M M
36000 -43.5 -46.3 230 53 27 6.2 3.4 51.0 123.8 12.9 M M
34000 -39.5 -39.1 225 52 27 6.6 3.6 48.2 118.7 11.2 M M
32000 -35.5 -31.9 225 52 27 6.7 3.6 45.8 114.5 9.7 M M
30000 -31.3 -24.3 225 50 26 7.3 4.0 43.7 110.6 8.3 M M
29000 -29.1 -20.4 225 49 25 7.3 4.0 42.8 109.0 7.7 M M
28000 -26.9 -16.4 225 48 25 7.1 3.9 42.0 107.5 7.2 M M
27000 -25.0 -13.0 225 46 23 6.3 3.4 40.6 105.0 6.2 M M
26000 -23.1 -9.6 225 43 22 6.3 3.5 39.3 102.7 5.2 M M
25000 -21.2 -6.2 225 41 21 6.3 3.4 38.1 100.5 4.2 M M
24000 -19.2 -2.6 225 39 20 6.8 3.7 36.9 98.4 3.3 M M
23000 -17.2 1.0 230 35 18 6.8 3.8 35.8 96.4 2.4 M M
22000 -14.7 5.5 230 32 16 6.7 3.7 34.6 94.3 1.5 M M
21000 -12.7 9.1 225 28 14 6.5 3.6 33.4 92.1 0.4 M M
20000 -10.8 12.6 225 24 13 6.6 3.6 32.3 90.1 -0.5 1317 6.7
19500 -9.8 14.4 225 23 12 6.5 3.6 31.8 89.2 -1.0 1273 6.5
19000 -8.8 16.2 220 21 11 7.2 3.9 31.3 88.3 -1.5 1229 6.2
18500 -7.8 18.0 220 21 11 7.2 3.9 30.8 87.5 -1.9 1183 6.0
18000 -6.8 19.8 215 20 11 7.5 4.1 30.4 86.7 -2.4 1138 5.8
17500 -5.7 21.7 215 21 11 7.9 4.3 30.1 86.1 -2.8 1090 5.5
17000 -4.6 23.7 210 22 12 8.0 4.4 29.8 85.6 -3.1 1042 5.3
16500 -3.5 25.7 210 23 12 7.3 4.0 29.4 84.9 -3.5 995 5.1
16000 -2.5 27.5 210 24 12 7.4 4.0 29.0 84.2 -4.0 949 4.8
15500 -1.4 29.5 210 24 12 8.5 4.7 28.7 83.6 -4.4 902 4.6
15000 -0.1 31.8 210 23 12 8.9 4.9 28.5 83.3 -4.5 847 4.3
14500 1.3 34.3 210 23 12 8.8 4.8 28.4 83.1 -4.7 793 4.0
14000 2.6 36.7 215 22 12 8.5 4.7 28.2 82.7 -4.9 740 3.8
13500 3.8 38.8 220 22 11 8.4 4.6 28.0 82.4 -5.1 687 3.5
13000 5.0 41.0 225 21 11 7.8 4.3 27.7 81.9 -5.3 636 3.2
12500 6.2 43.2 225 21 11 7.8 4.3 27.4 81.3 -5.7 586 3.0
12000 7.4 45.3 230 20 10 8.0 4.4 27.1 80.8 -6.0 537 2.7
11500 8.5 47.3 235 19 10 8.0 4.4 26.8 80.3 -6.3 487 2.5
11000 9.7 49.5 240 17 9 7.9 4.3 26.5 79.8 -6.6 437 2.2
10500 10.9 51.6 240 14 7 7.9 4.3 26.3 79.3 -6.9 387 2.0
10250 11.5 52.7 240 13 7 8.2 4.5 26.1 79.0 -7.1 362 1.8
10000 12.1 53.8 245 12 6 8.6 4.7 26.0 78.8 -7.2 336 1.7
9750 12.7 54.9 245 10 5 8.5 4.7 25.9 78.7 -7.3 309 1.6
9500 13.4 56.1 245 9 5 8.9 4.9 25.8 78.5 -7.4 283 1.4
9250 14.0 57.2 250 8 4 8.3 4.5 25.8 78.4 -7.5 255 1.3
9000 14.6 58.3 250 7 3 7.3 4.0 25.6 78.1 -7.7 231 1.2
8750 15.2 59.4 260 5 3 7.7 4.2 25.4 77.8 -7.9 207 1.0
8500 16.2 61.2 280 4 2 6.7 3.7 25.0 77.1 -8.3 160 0.8
8250 16.8 62.2 295 4 2 7.7 4.2 24.8 76.7 -8.5 136 0.7
8000 17.4 63.3 305 4 2 8.2 4.5 24.7 76.5 -8.6 111 0.6
7750 18.0 64.4 320 4 2 7.8 4.3 24.6 76.2 -8.8 85 0.4
7500 18.5 65.3 325 5 2 6.8 3.7 24.4 75.9 -9.0 61 0.3
7250 19.0 66.2 325 5 2 6.1 3.3 24.1 75.5 -9.3 40 0.2
7000 19.5 67.1 330 4 2 6.2 3.4 23.9 75.0 -9.6 19 0.1
6750 19.9 67.8 330 4 2 5.9 3.3 23.6 74.5 -9.9 M M
6500 20.3 68.5 330 3 2 4.9 2.7 23.3 73.9 -10.2 M M
6250 20.7 69.3 330 3 2 5.9 3.2 22.9 73.3 -10.6 M M
6000 20.9 69.6 330 2 1 -2.4 -1.3 22.5 72.4 -11.1 M M
5750 18.9 66.0 340 1 0 -63.1 -34.6 19.8 67.6 -13.9 M M
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/01/2026 at 0900 MDT | 07/01/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.8 | CAPE... +0.9 LI... +1.6
CINH... -0.8 K Index... +14.3 | CINH... -1.6 K Index... +16.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.8 -79.2 225 29 15 2.8 1.5 | -62.4 -80.3 230 30 15 2.9 1.6
45000 -57.2 -71.0 230 42 22 3.6 2.0 | -57.7 -71.9 240 42 22 3.8 2.1
40000 -51.6 -60.9 235 46 24 6.5 3.6 | -51.6 -60.9 235 43 22 6.7 3.7
38000 -47.3 -53.1 230 50 26 6.3 3.5 | -47.2 -53.0 235 46 24 6.6 3.6
36000 -43.5 -46.3 230 54 28 6.3 3.5 | -43.2 -45.8 235 49 25 6.6 3.6
34000 -39.5 -39.1 230 54 28 6.6 3.6 | -39.3 -38.7 235 50 26 6.4 3.5
32000 -35.6 -32.1 230 53 27 6.6 3.6 | -35.5 -31.9 230 51 26 6.4 3.5
30000 -31.3 -24.3 225 50 26 7.2 4.0 | -31.2 -24.2 225 49 25 7.4 4.1
29000 -29.2 -20.6 225 49 25 7.2 4.0 | -28.9 -20.0 225 48 25 7.4 4.1
28000 -27.0 -16.6 220 48 25 7.0 3.8 | -26.7 -16.1 225 46 24 6.9 3.8
27000 -25.1 -13.2 220 45 23 6.2 3.4 | -24.9 -12.8 225 43 22 5.7 3.1
26000 -23.3 -9.9 220 43 22 6.2 3.4 | -23.2 -9.8 225 39 20 5.7 3.1
25000 -21.4 -6.5 220 40 20 6.1 3.4 | -21.5 -6.7 225 35 18 5.6 3.1
24000 -19.3 -2.7 220 37 19 7.6 4.2 | -18.9 -2.0 220 32 17 7.5 4.1
23000 -16.5 2.3 220 34 18 7.6 4.2 | -16.7 1.9 220 31 16 7.5 4.1
22000 -14.2 6.4 220 32 16 7.1 3.9 | -14.5 5.9 215 29 15 7.4 4.1
21000 -12.4 9.7 220 29 15 6.2 3.4 | -12.3 9.9 215 28 15 7.4 4.0
20000 -10.5 13.1 220 27 14 6.2 3.4 | -10.1 13.8 215 27 14 7.4 4.0
19500 -9.6 14.7 220 25 13 6.3 3.4 | -9.0 15.8 215 26 14 7.4 4.1
19000 -8.7 16.3 220 25 13 6.2 3.4 | -7.9 17.8 215 26 13 7.3 4.0
18500 -7.8 18.0 220 25 13 6.2 3.4 | -6.8 19.8 215 26 13 7.3 4.0
18000 -6.9 19.6 220 25 13 6.8 3.7 | -5.7 21.7 215 25 13 7.2 4.0
17500 -5.8 21.6 220 26 13 7.4 4.0 | -4.7 23.5 215 25 13 7.2 3.9
17000 -4.7 23.5 220 26 14 7.4 4.1 | -3.6 25.5 215 25 13 7.2 4.0
16500 -3.6 25.5 220 27 14 8.2 4.5 | -2.7 27.1 215 25 13 6.5 3.6
16000 -2.4 27.7 220 27 14 8.1 4.5 | -1.7 28.9 220 25 13 6.7 3.7
15500 -1.2 29.8 220 28 14 8.3 4.6 | -0.8 30.6 220 25 13 6.2 3.4
15000 0.0 32.0 220 28 14 8.4 4.6 | -0.0 32.0 215 24 12 6.3 3.4
14500 1.3 34.3 220 27 14 8.3 4.5 | 0.8 33.4 215 23 12 7.2 4.0
14000 2.5 36.5 220 26 14 8.1 4.5 | 2.0 35.6 215 21 11 8.3 4.5
13500 3.7 38.7 220 25 13 8.1 4.4 | 3.2 37.8 215 20 10 8.5 4.7
13000 4.8 40.6 220 24 12 7.8 4.3 | 4.5 40.1 215 19 10 9.3 5.1
12500 5.9 42.6 220 22 11 7.9 4.3 | 5.9 42.6 215 18 9 9.2 5.1
12000 7.0 44.6 220 21 11 7.8 4.3 | 7.3 45.1 215 17 9 9.6 5.3
11500 8.1 46.6 225 19 10 7.9 4.3 | 8.7 47.7 215 16 8 9.6 5.3
11000 9.3 48.7 230 17 9 7.9 4.3 | 10.1 50.2 215 16 8 9.1 5.0
10500 10.4 50.7 230 15 8 8.6 4.7 | 11.5 52.7 215 15 8 9.5 5.2
10250 11.1 52.0 235 14 7 8.7 4.8 | 12.2 54.0 215 15 8 9.6 5.3
10000 11.7 53.1 235 12 6 8.3 4.5 | 12.9 55.2 215 15 8 9.5 5.2
9750 12.3 54.1 235 11 6 8.2 4.5 | 13.6 56.5 215 15 8 9.4 5.2
9500 13.0 55.4 235 10 5 9.0 4.9 | 14.3 57.7 215 14 7 9.8 5.4
9250 13.7 56.7 240 9 5 8.9 4.9 | 15.1 59.2 215 14 7 9.9 5.4
9000 14.3 57.7 240 8 4 7.9 4.3 | 16.5 61.7 215 13 7 9.9 5.4
8750 14.9 58.8 240 7 4 8.5 4.7 | 17.2 63.0 215 13 7 8.7 4.8
8500 16.0 60.8 245 5 2 6.5 3.6 | 17.9 64.2 215 13 7 9.2 5.0
8250 16.6 61.9 250 4 2 8.1 4.5 | 18.6 65.5 215 13 6 10.7 5.9
8000 17.2 63.0 255 3 2 8.5 4.6 | 19.4 66.9 215 12 6 10.4 5.7
7750 17.8 64.0 265 3 1 7.9 4.4 | 20.2 68.4 220 12 6 10.3 5.6
7500 18.4 65.1 280 2 1 7.7 4.2 | 21.0 69.8 220 12 6 10.0 5.5
7250 19.0 66.2 290 2 1 9.3 5.1 | 21.7 71.1 220 11 6 10.3 5.7
7000 19.7 67.5 295 2 1 10.2 5.6 | 22.5 72.5 220 11 6 10.5 5.8
6750 20.5 68.9 300 2 1 9.8 5.4 | 23.3 73.9 220 11 6 10.4 5.7
6500 21.2 70.2 300 3 1 10.0 5.5 | 24.1 75.4 220 11 5 10.8 5.9
6250 21.9 71.4 305 3 1 9.3 5.1 | 24.9 76.8 220 10 5 9.6 5.3
6000 22.7 72.9 305 3 1 11.6 6.4 | 25.7 78.3 220 10 5 16.1 8.8
5750 24.2 75.6 305 3 1 33.9 18.6 | 28.4 83.1 225 9 5 68.7 37.7
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/01/2026 at 1500 MDT | 07/01/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +96.2 LI... -1.1 | CAPE... +35.7 LI... -0.3
CINH... -0.2 K Index... +22.6 | CINH... -7.5 K Index... +17.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.5 -80.5 235 40 21 2.9 1.6 | -61.3 -78.3 230 34 18 2.1 1.1
45000 -58.0 -72.4 235 49 25 3.2 1.8 | -57.7 -71.9 225 45 23 3.2 1.8
40000 -52.6 -62.7 225 38 20 7.6 4.1 | -51.9 -61.4 225 37 19 7.0 3.8
38000 -47.6 -53.7 230 43 22 7.5 4.1 | -47.6 -53.7 230 40 21 7.0 3.9
36000 -43.1 -45.6 235 47 24 7.5 4.1 | -43.4 -46.1 230 44 23 7.0 3.8
34000 -38.9 -38.0 235 48 25 6.9 3.8 | -39.0 -38.2 235 44 23 7.5 4.1
32000 -34.8 -30.6 235 48 25 6.9 3.8 | -34.5 -30.1 235 44 22 7.5 4.1
30000 -30.7 -23.3 230 47 24 6.7 3.7 | -30.7 -23.3 235 39 20 6.1 3.3
29000 -28.7 -19.7 230 46 24 6.7 3.7 | -28.8 -19.8 240 37 19 6.1 3.3
28000 -26.7 -16.1 230 45 23 6.5 3.6 | -27.0 -16.6 240 34 18 6.0 3.3
27000 -24.8 -12.6 230 42 22 6.1 3.3 | -25.3 -13.5 240 32 16 5.8 3.2
26000 -23.0 -9.4 230 39 20 6.1 3.3 | -23.5 -10.3 240 30 15 5.8 3.2
25000 -21.2 -6.2 230 35 18 6.2 3.4 | -21.8 -7.2 235 28 14 5.8 3.2
24000 -19.6 -3.3 230 32 17 5.1 2.8 | -19.5 -3.1 230 25 13 6.6 3.6
23000 -17.7 0.1 225 28 15 5.4 2.9 | -17.5 0.5 225 23 12 6.8 3.7
22000 -16.2 2.8 220 25 13 6.9 3.8 | -15.6 3.9 220 22 11 7.6 4.2
21000 -13.9 7.0 220 25 13 8.1 4.5 | -13.2 8.2 225 21 11 8.3 4.5
20000 -11.5 11.3 220 25 13 8.2 4.5 | -10.8 12.6 230 21 11 8.3 4.6
19500 -10.3 13.5 220 24 13 8.3 4.5 | -9.6 14.7 230 21 11 8.3 4.6
19000 -9.1 15.6 220 24 12 9.1 5.0 | -8.3 17.1 230 21 11 9.1 5.0
18500 -7.7 18.1 220 23 12 9.1 5.0 | -6.9 19.6 230 21 11 9.1 5.0
18000 -6.4 20.5 220 22 11 9.2 5.0 | -5.5 22.1 230 21 11 9.3 5.1
17500 -5.0 23.0 220 22 11 9.2 5.1 | -4.1 24.6 230 21 11 9.5 5.2
17000 -3.7 25.3 220 21 11 9.2 5.1 | -2.7 27.1 230 21 11 9.5 5.2
16500 -2.2 28.0 220 21 11 9.7 5.3 | -1.3 29.7 230 21 11 9.6 5.3
16000 -0.8 30.6 220 20 10 9.6 5.3 | 0.2 32.4 230 21 11 9.6 5.3
15500 0.6 33.1 220 20 10 9.5 5.2 | 1.6 34.9 230 21 11 9.6 5.3
15000 2.0 35.6 220 20 10 9.5 5.2 | 3.0 37.4 225 21 11 9.6 5.3
14500 3.5 38.3 220 20 10 9.5 5.2 | 4.5 40.1 225 21 11 9.6 5.3
14000 4.9 40.8 220 20 10 9.6 5.2 | 5.9 42.6 225 21 11 9.6 5.3
13500 6.3 43.3 220 19 10 9.6 5.2 | 7.3 45.1 225 20 11 9.6 5.3
13000 7.8 46.0 220 19 10 9.6 5.3 | 8.8 47.8 220 20 10 9.7 5.3
12500 9.2 48.6 220 19 10 9.6 5.3 | 10.2 50.4 220 20 10 9.7 5.3
12000 10.6 51.1 215 18 9 9.6 5.2 | 11.7 53.1 220 20 10 9.6 5.3
11500 12.0 53.6 215 18 9 9.6 5.3 | 13.1 55.6 220 20 10 9.6 5.3
11000 13.4 56.1 215 17 9 9.0 4.9 | 14.6 58.3 220 20 10 9.6 5.3
10500 14.9 58.8 215 17 9 10.4 5.7 | 16.0 60.8 215 20 10 9.5 5.2
10250 15.6 60.1 215 17 9 10.1 5.5 | 16.7 62.1 215 19 10 9.6 5.3
10000 16.4 61.5 215 16 8 9.6 5.3 | 17.4 63.3 215 19 10 9.8 5.4
9750 17.1 62.8 210 16 8 9.7 5.3 | 18.2 64.8 215 19 10 9.9 5.5
9500 17.8 64.0 210 16 8 10.0 5.5 | 18.9 66.0 215 19 10 9.5 5.2
9250 18.6 65.5 210 16 8 9.8 5.4 | 19.6 67.3 215 19 10 9.2 5.0
9000 19.3 66.7 210 15 8 9.3 5.1 | 21.0 69.8 210 19 10 9.4 5.2
8750 20.0 68.0 210 15 8 9.2 5.0 | 21.7 71.1 210 19 10 9.7 5.3
8500 20.7 69.3 210 15 8 10.2 5.6 | 22.5 72.5 210 18 9 10.2 5.6
8250 21.5 70.7 205 15 8 10.6 5.8 | 23.2 73.8 210 18 9 10.0 5.5
8000 23.0 73.4 205 14 7 10.2 5.6 | 24.0 75.2 210 18 9 9.8 5.4
7750 23.7 74.7 205 14 7 9.7 5.3 | 24.7 76.5 210 18 9 9.9 5.4
7500 24.4 75.9 205 14 7 9.5 5.2 | 25.4 77.7 210 18 9 9.4 5.2
7250 25.2 77.4 200 13 7 10.6 5.8 | 26.1 79.0 205 17 9 9.6 5.3
7000 26.0 78.8 200 13 7 11.3 6.2 | 26.8 80.2 205 17 9 10.0 5.5
6750 26.8 80.2 200 13 6 10.7 5.8 | 27.6 81.7 205 17 9 9.9 5.5
6500 27.6 81.7 200 12 6 9.8 5.4 | 28.3 82.9 205 16 8 10.2 5.6
6250 28.5 83.3 200 12 6 16.7 9.2 | 29.2 84.6 205 16 8 13.0 7.1
6000 30.2 86.4 195 11 6 28.4 15.6 | 30.3 86.5 200 14 7 17.1 9.4
5750 31.9 89.4 195 10 5 7.6 4.2 | 31.4 88.5 200 13 6 10.0 5.5
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0722 MDT Wednesday July 1 2026
This forecast is for Wednesday, July 1, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 74.6 F/23.6 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1346 ft/min (6.8 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 20706 ft MSL (14254 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 87.0 F/31.0 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0945 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 18132 ft MSL (11680 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Thursday 07/02..... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:52:38 / 20:24:04 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 31 min 26 sec (871 min 26 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:08:21 MDT... 77.32 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/01/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 14991 ft MSL (8539 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 19221 ft MSL (12769 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 20240 ft MSL (13787 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -0.1
K index......................... +22.6
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.4 -80.3 235 38 20 3.4 1.9 83.3 181.9 31.2 M M
45000 -57.1 -70.8 225 53 27 3.3 1.8 67.7 153.9 23.6 M M
40000 -51.7 -61.1 225 48 25 6.3 3.4 54.2 129.5 16.0 M M
38000 -47.9 -54.2 225 49 25 6.2 3.4 50.8 123.4 14.1 M M
36000 -44.2 -47.6 225 51 26 6.2 3.4 48.1 118.6 12.5 M M
34000 -40.1 -40.2 225 51 26 6.9 3.8 45.5 113.8 10.9 M M
32000 -35.9 -32.6 225 51 26 7.0 3.8 43.3 110.0 9.6 M M
30000 -31.4 -24.5 225 49 25 7.8 4.3 41.5 106.7 8.4 M M
29000 -28.5 -19.3 220 49 25 7.8 4.3 40.6 105.0 7.8 M M
28000 -26.2 -15.2 220 48 25 6.8 3.8 39.9 103.9 7.4 M M
27000 -24.3 -11.7 225 46 24 6.1 3.3 38.4 101.1 6.3 M M
26000 -22.5 -8.5 225 44 22 6.1 3.3 37.0 98.6 5.2 M M
25000 -20.7 -5.3 230 42 21 6.0 3.3 35.8 96.4 4.2 M M
24000 -18.7 -1.7 230 40 20 6.9 3.8 34.6 94.3 3.3 M M
23000 -16.6 2.1 230 38 19 6.9 3.8 33.6 92.5 2.5 M M
22000 -14.6 5.7 230 35 18 6.8 3.8 32.7 90.8 1.7 M M
21000 -12.9 8.8 230 32 17 5.6 3.0 31.2 88.2 0.4 M M
20000 -11.3 11.7 225 29 15 5.7 3.1 29.8 85.6 -0.9 1291 6.6
19500 -10.5 13.1 220 28 14 5.7 3.1 29.1 84.4 -1.6 1253 6.4
19000 -9.6 14.7 220 27 14 7.1 3.9 28.5 83.3 -2.2 1212 6.2
18500 -8.6 16.5 215 27 14 7.3 4.0 28.1 82.6 -2.6 1166 5.9
18000 -7.6 18.3 210 28 14 7.6 4.2 27.7 81.8 -3.1 1121 5.7
17500 -6.4 20.5 210 28 14 8.5 4.7 27.4 81.4 -3.4 1071 5.4
17000 -5.2 22.6 205 27 14 8.5 4.7 27.2 81.0 -3.7 1020 5.2
16500 -4.0 24.8 205 27 14 8.6 4.7 27.0 80.6 -3.9 968 4.9
16000 -2.7 27.1 210 26 13 8.6 4.7 26.8 80.3 -4.2 915 4.6
15500 -1.4 29.5 210 25 13 8.4 4.6 26.7 80.0 -4.3 862 4.4
15000 -0.2 31.6 215 23 12 8.2 4.5 26.4 79.5 -4.6 811 4.1
14500 1.0 33.8 220 22 11 8.1 4.4 26.1 79.0 -4.9 760 3.9
14000 2.2 36.0 225 20 10 7.7 4.2 25.8 78.5 -5.2 709 3.6
13500 3.4 38.1 230 18 9 7.7 4.2 25.5 77.9 -5.5 659 3.3
13000 4.6 40.3 235 16 8 8.5 4.7 25.2 77.4 -5.7 607 3.1
12500 5.9 42.6 240 14 7 8.5 4.6 25.0 77.0 -5.9 553 2.8
12000 7.2 45.0 245 12 6 8.4 4.6 24.8 76.7 -6.1 499 2.5
11500 9.2 48.6 260 10 5 8.8 4.8 24.5 76.1 -6.4 419 2.1
11000 10.5 50.9 270 9 4 8.9 4.9 24.4 75.9 -6.5 363 1.8
10500 11.9 53.4 285 8 4 8.7 4.8 24.3 75.7 -6.7 307 1.6
10250 12.5 54.5 295 8 4 8.6 4.7 24.2 75.5 -6.8 281 1.4
10000 13.2 55.8 300 8 4 8.9 4.9 24.1 75.3 -6.8 253 1.3
9750 13.9 57.0 305 8 4 8.8 4.8 24.0 75.2 -6.9 226 1.1
9500 14.5 58.1 310 8 4 8.8 4.8 23.9 75.1 -7.0 199 1.0
9250 15.2 59.4 315 8 4 7.8 4.3 23.9 74.9 -7.1 172 0.9
9000 15.7 60.3 315 8 4 7.1 3.9 23.7 74.6 -7.3 148 0.8
8750 16.2 61.2 310 7 4 7.5 4.1 23.5 74.2 -7.5 125 0.6
8500 16.8 62.2 310 7 4 6.5 3.6 23.3 73.9 -7.7 101 0.5
8250 17.2 63.0 310 6 3 4.8 2.6 23.0 73.3 -8.1 82 0.4
8000 17.5 63.5 305 6 3 4.0 2.2 22.5 72.6 -8.5 65 0.3
7750 17.7 63.9 300 5 2 3.7 2.0 22.1 71.8 -9.0 51 0.3
7500 18.0 64.4 295 4 2 4.0 2.2 21.6 71.0 -9.6 36 0.2
7250 18.2 64.8 280 3 1 3.5 1.9 21.2 70.2 -10.1 21 0.1
7000 18.4 65.1 260 1 1 5.3 2.9 20.8 69.4 -10.6 7 0.0
6750 18.6 65.5 245 1 0 -3.4 -1.8 20.3 68.5 -11.2 M M
6500 16.2 61.2 130 1 1 -77.6 -42.6 17.1 62.9 -14.4 61 0.3
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/01/2026 at 0900 MDT | 07/01/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.1 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.1
CINH... -0.8 K Index... +13.9 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +15.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.1 -78.0 215 32 16 2.4 1.3 | -62.2 -80.0 220 32 17 3.2 1.7
45000 -57.3 -71.1 225 46 24 3.1 1.7 | -57.3 -71.1 235 44 22 3.4 1.9
40000 -52.3 -62.1 225 47 24 6.9 3.8 | -51.9 -61.4 230 47 24 6.5 3.6
38000 -47.8 -54.0 225 50 26 6.6 3.6 | -47.6 -53.7 230 48 25 6.3 3.5
36000 -43.9 -47.0 220 53 27 6.6 3.6 | -43.8 -46.8 230 49 25 6.3 3.4
34000 -39.8 -39.6 225 52 27 6.9 3.8 | -39.8 -39.6 230 50 26 6.8 3.7
32000 -35.6 -32.1 225 51 26 6.9 3.8 | -35.8 -32.4 225 52 27 6.8 3.7
30000 -31.3 -24.3 225 50 26 7.4 4.1 | -31.4 -24.5 225 50 26 7.3 4.0
29000 -29.1 -20.4 220 49 25 7.4 4.1 | -29.2 -20.6 225 48 25 7.3 4.0
28000 -26.9 -16.4 220 48 25 7.2 3.9 | -27.0 -16.6 225 46 24 7.0 3.9
27000 -25.0 -13.0 220 46 24 6.2 3.4 | -25.3 -13.5 225 43 22 5.8 3.2
26000 -23.1 -9.6 220 43 22 6.2 3.4 | -23.5 -10.3 225 40 21 5.8 3.2
25000 -21.3 -6.3 220 41 21 6.1 3.4 | -21.3 -6.3 220 36 18 6.2 3.4
24000 -18.7 -1.7 220 38 20 7.4 4.1 | -19.2 -2.6 220 34 17 7.5 4.1
23000 -16.4 2.5 225 36 19 7.4 4.1 | -16.9 1.6 220 32 17 7.5 4.1
22000 -14.2 6.4 225 34 17 7.1 3.9 | -14.7 5.5 215 30 16 7.5 4.1
21000 -12.3 9.9 225 32 16 6.4 3.5 | -12.5 9.5 215 29 15 7.6 4.2
20000 -10.4 13.3 225 29 15 6.4 3.5 | -10.2 13.6 210 28 14 7.6 4.2
19500 -9.5 14.9 225 28 15 6.4 3.5 | -9.1 15.6 210 27 14 7.6 4.2
19000 -8.5 16.7 225 27 14 6.7 3.7 | -8.0 17.6 210 27 14 7.2 3.9
18500 -7.5 18.5 220 27 14 6.8 3.7 | -6.9 19.6 210 26 14 7.2 3.9
18000 -6.5 20.3 220 26 13 6.8 3.7 | -5.8 21.6 210 26 13 6.8 3.7
17500 -5.5 22.1 220 26 13 6.9 3.8 | -4.9 23.2 215 25 13 6.4 3.5
17000 -4.6 23.7 220 26 13 7.0 3.8 | -4.0 24.8 215 25 13 6.5 3.6
16500 -3.5 25.7 220 26 13 7.2 4.0 | -3.2 26.2 215 25 13 5.8 3.2
16000 -2.5 27.5 220 27 14 7.3 4.0 | -2.4 27.7 220 24 12 6.0 3.3
15500 -1.5 29.3 220 27 14 7.9 4.3 | -1.5 29.3 220 23 12 8.0 4.4
15000 -0.3 31.5 220 27 14 8.2 4.5 | -0.3 31.5 220 22 11 8.6 4.7
14500 0.9 33.6 220 27 14 8.2 4.5 | 1.0 33.8 225 21 11 8.9 4.9
14000 2.1 35.8 225 26 13 8.0 4.4 | 2.4 36.3 225 21 11 9.4 5.2
13500 3.3 37.9 225 25 13 8.0 4.4 | 3.8 38.8 225 20 11 9.4 5.2
13000 4.4 39.9 230 22 11 7.9 4.3 | 5.2 41.4 225 20 10 9.5 5.2
12500 5.6 42.1 230 20 10 7.9 4.3 | 6.6 43.9 225 20 10 9.5 5.2
12000 6.8 44.2 235 17 9 8.3 4.6 | 8.0 46.4 225 19 10 9.4 5.2
11500 8.0 46.4 235 14 7 8.3 4.6 | 9.4 48.9 225 19 10 9.3 5.1
11000 9.3 48.7 240 11 6 8.9 4.9 | 11.5 52.7 225 18 9 9.6 5.3
10500 11.3 52.3 245 8 4 8.8 4.8 | 13.0 55.4 230 17 9 9.8 5.4
10250 11.9 53.4 245 7 4 8.6 4.7 | 13.7 56.7 230 17 9 9.8 5.4
10000 12.6 54.7 250 7 3 8.8 4.8 | 14.4 57.9 230 17 9 9.6 5.3
9750 13.2 55.8 255 6 3 8.7 4.8 | 15.2 59.4 230 17 9 9.5 5.2
9500 13.9 57.0 260 6 3 8.8 4.8 | 15.9 60.6 230 16 8 10.2 5.6
9250 14.6 58.3 265 5 3 8.6 4.7 | 16.7 62.1 230 16 8 10.3 5.7
9000 15.2 59.4 270 5 3 8.4 4.6 | 17.4 63.3 230 16 8 9.7 5.3
8750 15.8 60.4 275 5 2 8.7 4.8 | 18.2 64.8 235 16 8 9.9 5.4
8500 16.4 61.5 280 5 2 7.1 3.9 | 18.9 66.0 235 15 8 10.1 5.5
8250 16.9 62.4 280 4 2 6.9 3.8 | 19.7 67.5 235 15 8 10.4 5.7
8000 17.5 63.5 285 4 2 8.9 4.9 | 20.4 68.7 235 15 8 10.4 5.7
7750 18.2 64.8 285 4 2 9.4 5.1 | 21.2 70.2 235 14 7 10.5 5.8
7500 18.9 66.0 290 4 2 9.4 5.2 | 22.0 71.6 235 14 7 10.7 5.9
7250 19.6 67.3 285 3 2 9.8 5.4 | 22.8 73.0 235 14 7 11.4 6.2
7000 20.3 68.5 285 3 2 9.2 5.0 | 23.6 74.5 240 13 7 9.3 5.1
6750 21.0 69.8 290 3 2 12.4 6.8 | 24.4 75.9 240 13 7 16.2 8.9
6500 22.7 72.9 290 3 2 38.7 21.2 | 27.5 81.5 240 12 6 81.8 44.9
07/01/2026 at 1500 MDT | 07/01/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +23.7 LI... -0.0 | CAPE... +48.0 LI... -0.2
CINH... -0.4 K Index... +22.3 | CINH... -22.6 K Index... +23.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.4 -80.3 235 39 20 2.4 1.3 | -61.3 -78.3 230 32 17 2.3 1.2
45000 -58.3 -72.9 230 49 25 3.5 1.9 | -57.6 -71.7 230 46 24 3.0 1.6
40000 -52.0 -61.6 225 42 22 7.4 4.0 | -52.2 -62.0 225 40 21 7.1 3.9
38000 -47.5 -53.5 225 45 23 7.4 4.1 | -47.9 -54.2 225 42 22 7.1 3.9
36000 -43.1 -45.6 230 49 25 7.5 4.1 | -43.6 -46.5 230 45 23 7.1 3.9
34000 -39.1 -38.4 230 49 25 6.6 3.6 | -39.3 -38.7 230 44 23 7.3 4.0
32000 -35.2 -31.4 230 49 25 6.6 3.6 | -34.9 -30.8 230 43 22 7.2 4.0
30000 -31.2 -24.2 230 48 25 6.7 3.7 | -31.4 -24.5 230 38 20 5.5 3.0
29000 -29.2 -20.6 230 47 24 6.7 3.7 | -29.7 -21.5 225 35 18 5.5 3.0
28000 -27.2 -17.0 230 46 24 6.6 3.6 | -28.1 -18.6 225 32 17 5.9 3.2
27000 -25.3 -13.5 230 43 22 6.1 3.4 | -25.9 -14.6 220 30 15 7.5 4.1
26000 -23.5 -10.3 230 39 20 6.1 3.4 | -23.2 -9.8 220 27 14 7.6 4.1
25000 -21.2 -6.2 230 34 17 6.3 3.5 | -21.0 -5.8 215 25 13 7.5 4.1
24000 -19.2 -2.6 225 32 16 7.0 3.8 | -18.9 -2.0 215 23 12 7.1 3.9
23000 -17.1 1.2 220 30 15 7.0 3.8 | -16.8 1.8 220 21 11 7.2 3.9
22000 -15.0 5.0 215 28 15 7.0 3.8 | -14.7 5.5 225 20 10 7.3 4.0
21000 -13.0 8.6 215 27 14 7.0 3.8 | -12.5 9.5 230 20 10 7.5 4.1
20000 -11.0 12.2 210 25 13 7.1 3.9 | -10.3 13.5 235 20 10 7.5 4.1
19500 -10.0 14.0 210 24 12 7.2 4.0 | -9.2 15.4 240 20 10 7.5 4.1
19000 -9.0 15.8 210 23 12 7.2 4.0 | -8.1 17.4 240 20 10 7.6 4.2
18500 -7.9 17.8 210 22 11 7.3 4.0 | -7.0 19.4 240 20 10 7.7 4.2
18000 -6.9 19.6 210 21 11 8.0 4.4 | -5.9 21.4 240 20 10 7.9 4.3
17500 -5.7 21.7 210 20 10 8.5 4.7 | -4.7 23.5 240 20 10 8.3 4.5
17000 -4.4 24.1 210 20 10 8.5 4.7 | -3.4 25.9 240 20 10 8.2 4.5
16500 -3.1 26.4 210 19 10 9.5 5.2 | -2.1 28.2 240 20 10 9.2 5.0
16000 -1.7 28.9 215 19 10 9.4 5.2 | -0.8 30.6 240 20 10 9.1 5.0
15500 -0.3 31.5 215 19 10 9.6 5.3 | 0.6 33.1 240 20 10 9.5 5.2
15000 1.2 34.2 215 19 10 9.6 5.3 | 2.0 35.6 240 19 10 9.7 5.3
14500 2.6 36.7 215 19 10 9.6 5.3 | 3.5 38.3 240 19 10 9.7 5.3
14000 4.0 39.2 215 19 10 9.6 5.3 | 4.9 40.8 235 19 10 9.5 5.2
13500 5.5 41.9 215 19 10 9.6 5.2 | 6.3 43.3 235 19 10 9.6 5.2
13000 6.9 44.4 215 19 10 9.4 5.2 | 7.8 46.0 235 18 9 9.8 5.4
12500 8.3 46.9 220 19 10 9.4 5.2 | 9.2 48.6 230 18 9 9.8 5.4
12000 9.7 49.5 220 19 10 9.9 5.4 | 11.4 52.5 225 18 9 9.4 5.2
11500 11.2 52.2 220 18 9 9.3 5.1 | 12.8 55.0 225 18 9 9.8 5.4
11000 13.3 55.9 225 18 9 9.7 5.3 | 14.2 57.6 225 18 9 9.5 5.2
10500 14.8 58.6 225 18 9 9.6 5.3 | 15.7 60.3 220 18 9 9.6 5.3
10250 15.5 59.9 230 18 9 9.8 5.4 | 16.4 61.5 220 18 9 9.6 5.3
10000 16.2 61.2 230 18 9 9.9 5.4 | 17.1 62.8 220 18 9 9.5 5.2
9750 16.9 62.4 230 18 9 9.7 5.3 | 17.8 64.0 220 18 9 9.5 5.2
9500 17.7 63.9 230 18 9 10.2 5.6 | 18.5 65.3 220 18 9 9.7 5.3
9250 18.5 65.3 230 18 9 10.3 5.6 | 19.2 66.6 215 19 10 9.8 5.4
9000 19.2 66.6 235 18 9 9.9 5.4 | 20.0 68.0 215 19 10 9.7 5.3
8750 19.9 67.8 235 18 9 10.1 5.5 | 20.7 69.3 215 19 10 9.7 5.3
8500 20.7 69.3 235 18 9 9.9 5.4 | 21.4 70.5 215 19 10 9.8 5.4
8250 21.4 70.5 235 18 9 10.1 5.5 | 22.1 71.8 215 19 10 9.9 5.4
8000 22.2 72.0 240 18 9 10.5 5.7 | 22.9 73.2 210 19 10 9.8 5.4
7750 23.0 73.4 240 17 9 10.5 5.8 | 23.6 74.5 210 19 10 9.7 5.3
7500 23.8 74.8 240 17 9 10.7 5.9 | 24.3 75.7 210 19 10 10.0 5.5
7250 24.6 76.3 240 17 9 11.5 6.3 | 25.1 77.2 210 19 10 10.7 5.9
7000 25.4 77.7 240 17 9 9.5 5.2 | 25.9 78.6 210 19 10 9.2 5.1
6750 26.2 79.2 245 16 8 16.4 9.0 | 26.6 79.9 210 18 9 11.9 6.5
6500 29.3 84.7 245 15 7 81.1 44.5 | 28.4 83.1 210 16 8 45.0 24.7
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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