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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0715 MDT Thursday April 9 2026
This forecast is for Thursday, April 9, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 67.1 F/19.5 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1603 ft/min (8.1 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 22546 ft MSL (16208 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 78.0 F/26.0 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 18272 ft MSL (11934 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 04/10....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:39:22 / 19:31:36 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 12 hr 52 min 14 sec (772 min 14 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:05:29 MDT... 62.79 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 04/09/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 12903 ft MSL (6565 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 18507 ft MSL (12169 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 19867 ft MSL (13529 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -1.7
K index......................... +17.7
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.4 -78.5 265 39 20 1.7 0.9 89.7 193.4 37.4 M M
45000 -59.2 -74.6 260 40 21 -2.0 -1.1 70.9 159.6 28.2 M M
40000 -61.8 -79.2 250 38 20 -1.6 -0.9 43.8 110.9 12.2 M M
38000 -59.4 -74.9 245 35 18 6.4 3.5 38.6 101.5 9.0 M M
36000 -55.5 -67.9 240 32 16 6.4 3.5 35.8 96.5 7.2 M M
34000 -50.5 -58.9 240 30 15 8.8 4.8 33.8 92.8 6.0 M M
32000 -45.2 -49.4 240 30 15 8.8 4.8 33.0 91.5 5.6 M M
30000 -40.0 -40.0 245 27 14 8.5 4.6 32.2 90.0 5.1 M M
29000 -37.4 -35.3 250 25 13 8.5 4.6 31.7 89.0 4.7 M M
28000 -34.9 -30.8 250 22 12 8.4 4.6 31.3 88.3 4.5 M M
27000 -32.6 -26.7 255 21 11 6.6 3.6 30.5 86.9 3.9 M M
26000 -30.6 -23.1 260 20 10 6.6 3.6 29.3 84.7 3.0 M M
25000 -28.6 -19.5 265 19 10 6.6 3.6 28.1 82.6 2.1 M M
24000 -26.6 -15.9 270 18 10 7.3 4.0 27.1 80.8 1.2 M M
23000 -24.5 -12.1 265 17 9 7.2 3.9 26.1 79.0 0.4 M M
22000 -22.3 -8.1 265 16 8 7.2 4.0 25.2 77.4 -0.3 1559 7.9
21000 -20.1 -4.2 265 15 8 7.8 4.3 24.4 76.0 -1.0 1463 7.4
20000 -17.8 -0.0 270 15 8 7.8 4.3 23.7 74.7 -1.7 1364 6.9
19500 -16.0 3.2 270 15 8 7.8 4.3 23.3 73.9 -2.1 1289 6.5
19000 -14.9 5.2 270 15 8 7.3 4.0 23.0 73.3 -2.4 1240 6.3
18500 -13.9 7.0 270 16 8 7.0 3.8 22.5 72.4 -2.9 1195 6.1
18000 -12.9 8.8 265 17 9 7.1 3.9 22.0 71.6 -3.4 1150 5.8
17500 -11.9 10.6 265 17 9 6.3 3.5 21.5 70.7 -3.9 1107 5.6
17000 -11.0 12.2 265 17 9 6.4 3.5 20.9 69.6 -4.5 1065 5.4
16500 -10.0 14.0 265 16 8 8.0 4.4 20.4 68.8 -5.0 1020 5.2
16000 -8.8 16.2 265 15 7 8.5 4.7 20.2 68.4 -5.2 968 4.9
15500 -7.5 18.5 265 13 7 9.0 4.9 20.0 68.1 -5.4 915 4.6
15000 -6.1 21.0 265 11 6 9.7 5.3 20.0 68.0 -5.5 857 4.4
14500 -4.6 23.7 270 10 5 9.7 5.3 20.0 68.0 -5.5 799 4.1
14000 -3.2 26.2 270 9 5 9.7 5.3 20.0 68.0 -5.6 741 3.8
13500 -1.7 28.9 270 8 4 9.7 5.3 20.0 68.0 -5.6 682 3.5
13000 -0.2 31.6 270 7 3 9.8 5.4 20.0 68.0 -5.6 624 3.2
12500 1.2 34.2 270 6 3 9.8 5.4 20.0 68.0 -5.6 565 2.9
12000 2.7 36.9 270 5 3 9.8 5.4 20.0 68.0 -5.7 506 2.6
11500 4.2 39.6 265 5 3 9.8 5.4 20.0 68.0 -5.7 447 2.3
11000 5.6 42.1 265 5 2 9.5 5.2 20.0 68.0 -5.7 389 2.0
10500 7.0 44.6 265 5 3 9.5 5.2 19.9 67.9 -5.8 332 1.7
10250 7.7 45.9 260 5 3 9.5 5.2 19.9 67.9 -5.8 303 1.5
10000 8.5 47.3 265 5 3 9.3 5.1 19.9 67.8 -5.9 274 1.4
9750 9.1 48.4 260 5 3 9.1 5.0 19.8 67.7 -5.9 246 1.3
9500 9.8 49.6 260 6 3 8.9 4.9 19.8 67.6 -6.0 219 1.1
9250 10.5 50.9 260 6 3 9.9 5.4 19.8 67.6 -6.0 191 1.0
9000 11.2 52.2 260 6 3 8.8 4.8 19.8 67.6 -6.0 161 0.8
8750 11.8 53.2 260 6 3 6.7 3.7 19.6 67.2 -6.3 138 0.7
8500 12.3 54.1 260 7 3 7.1 3.9 19.4 66.9 -6.5 115 0.6
8250 12.8 55.0 255 7 3 4.9 2.7 19.1 66.4 -6.8 93 0.5
8000 13.0 55.4 255 7 3 2.8 1.5 18.6 65.5 -7.3 79 0.4
7750 13.2 55.8 250 6 3 2.2 1.2 18.1 64.6 -7.8 66 0.3
7500 13.3 55.9 250 6 3 0.6 0.3 17.5 63.4 -8.5 56 0.3
7250 13.2 55.8 245 5 2 -1.2 -0.6 16.7 62.1 -9.3 50 0.3
7000 13.1 55.6 230 3 2 -2.7 -1.5 15.8 60.5 -10.2 47 0.2
6750 12.9 55.2 195 2 1 0.1 0.0 14.9 58.9 -11.1 45 0.2
6500 12.7 54.9 150 2 1 -9.9 -5.4 14.0 57.3 -12.1 42 0.2
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
04/09/2026 at 0900 MDT | 04/09/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.1 | CAPE... +27.9 LI... -1.0
CINH... -0.1 K Index... +19.1 | CINH... -0.5 K Index... +20.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.2 -78.2 260 40 20 2.2 1.2 | -60.7 -77.3 260 41 21 1.5 0.8
45000 -58.3 -72.9 250 44 23 -2.5 -1.4 | -58.9 -74.0 260 43 22 -2.2 -1.2
40000 -61.5 -78.7 245 36 19 -2.0 -1.1 | -61.8 -79.2 255 35 18 -1.8 -1.0
38000 -59.3 -74.7 245 34 18 6.1 3.3 | -59.5 -75.1 255 33 17 6.5 3.5
36000 -55.2 -67.4 235 32 17 6.1 3.3 | -55.1 -67.2 250 32 17 6.5 3.5
34000 -50.8 -59.4 235 31 16 8.5 4.7 | -51.0 -59.8 250 30 16 7.3 4.0
32000 -45.7 -50.3 240 29 15 8.5 4.7 | -46.6 -51.9 255 28 14 7.3 4.0
30000 -40.8 -41.4 250 27 14 7.9 4.3 | -41.8 -43.2 260 26 13 8.7 4.8
29000 -38.4 -37.1 255 25 13 7.9 4.3 | -39.2 -38.6 260 25 13 8.7 4.8
28000 -36.1 -33.0 265 24 12 7.9 4.3 | -36.5 -33.7 265 24 12 8.7 4.8
27000 -33.7 -28.7 270 23 12 8.3 4.5 | -34.0 -29.2 265 24 12 8.2 4.5
26000 -31.2 -24.2 270 22 11 8.3 4.5 | -31.6 -24.9 270 24 12 8.2 4.5
25000 -28.7 -19.7 270 21 11 8.3 4.5 | -29.1 -20.4 270 24 12 8.2 4.5
24000 -26.3 -15.3 270 19 10 7.0 3.8 | -26.7 -16.1 270 23 12 7.7 4.2
23000 -24.2 -11.6 270 17 9 7.1 3.9 | -24.4 -11.9 270 21 11 7.8 4.3
22000 -22.1 -7.8 270 14 7 7.1 3.9 | -22.0 -7.6 275 20 10 7.7 4.2
21000 -20.0 -4.0 270 13 7 6.9 3.8 | -20.0 -4.0 270 18 9 5.5 3.0
20000 -17.9 -0.2 265 16 8 7.0 3.8 | -18.1 -0.6 265 15 8 5.7 3.1
19500 -16.4 2.5 265 18 9 7.1 3.9 | -17.3 0.9 260 14 7 5.8 3.2
19000 -15.4 4.3 265 19 10 6.4 3.5 | -16.4 2.5 255 13 7 8.0 4.4
18500 -14.5 5.9 260 18 9 6.1 3.4 | -15.1 4.8 255 13 7 8.8 4.8
18000 -13.7 7.3 255 18 9 6.3 3.4 | -13.8 7.2 255 13 7 8.9 4.9
17500 -12.7 9.1 255 17 9 7.8 4.3 | -12.4 9.7 250 12 6 9.2 5.1
17000 -11.5 11.3 255 15 8 7.6 4.2 | -11.0 12.2 250 12 6 9.2 5.1
16500 -10.3 13.5 255 13 7 8.9 4.9 | -9.7 14.5 250 12 6 9.4 5.2
16000 -9.0 15.8 255 11 6 9.1 5.0 | -8.2 17.2 250 12 6 9.4 5.2
15500 -7.6 18.3 260 9 5 9.4 5.2 | -6.8 19.8 250 11 6 9.4 5.1
15000 -6.1 21.0 260 9 5 9.8 5.4 | -5.4 22.3 250 11 6 9.3 5.1
14500 -4.7 23.5 260 8 4 9.8 5.4 | -4.0 24.8 250 11 6 9.4 5.2
14000 -3.2 26.2 255 8 4 9.8 5.4 | -2.6 27.3 250 11 6 9.6 5.2
13500 -1.7 28.9 255 8 4 9.8 5.4 | -1.2 29.8 250 11 6 9.6 5.3
13000 -0.2 31.6 255 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 0.3 32.5 250 11 6 9.7 5.3
12500 1.2 34.2 255 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 1.7 35.1 250 11 6 9.7 5.3
12000 2.7 36.9 255 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 3.2 37.8 250 11 6 9.7 5.3
11500 4.1 39.4 255 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 4.6 40.3 250 11 6 9.2 5.0
11000 5.5 41.9 255 8 4 8.6 4.7 | 6.0 42.8 250 11 5 9.8 5.4
10500 6.8 44.2 260 9 4 8.5 4.7 | 7.5 45.5 250 10 5 9.7 5.3
10250 7.5 45.5 260 9 5 9.3 5.1 | 8.2 46.8 250 10 5 9.6 5.3
10000 8.2 46.8 265 9 5 9.3 5.1 | 8.9 48.0 250 10 5 9.8 5.4
9750 8.8 47.8 265 9 5 8.6 4.7 | 9.7 49.5 250 10 5 10.0 5.5
9500 9.5 49.1 265 10 5 8.8 4.8 | 10.4 50.7 250 10 5 9.9 5.4
9250 10.1 50.2 265 10 5 8.8 4.8 | 11.2 52.2 250 10 5 11.2 6.2
9000 10.8 51.4 265 10 5 7.8 4.3 | 12.0 53.6 255 10 5 10.5 5.8
8750 11.3 52.3 265 10 5 6.9 3.8 | 12.7 54.9 255 10 5 8.7 4.8
8500 11.8 53.2 265 10 5 6.7 3.7 | 13.4 56.1 250 10 5 9.5 5.2
8250 12.3 54.1 265 9 5 4.7 2.6 | 14.2 57.6 250 10 5 10.5 5.8
8000 12.5 54.5 270 8 4 3.3 1.8 | 15.0 59.0 255 9 5 10.8 5.9
7750 12.7 54.9 270 7 4 2.2 1.2 | 15.7 60.3 255 9 5 9.8 5.4
7500 12.9 55.2 270 6 3 1.9 1.1 | 16.5 61.7 250 9 5 9.9 5.4
7250 13.0 55.4 270 5 2 2.9 1.6 | 17.2 63.0 250 9 5 10.3 5.7
7000 13.2 55.8 270 3 2 2.7 1.5 | 18.0 64.4 250 9 5 10.3 5.6
6750 13.4 56.1 260 2 1 5.1 2.8 | 18.8 65.8 250 9 4 10.9 6.0
6500 14.1 57.4 250 1 1 12.4 6.8 | 19.8 67.6 250 8 4 17.7 9.7
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
04/09/2026 at 1500 MDT | 04/09/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +59.6 LI... -0.6 | CAPE... +69.1 LI... -0.5
CINH... -0.8 K Index... +18.8 | CINH... -1.5 K Index... +21.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.9 -77.6 265 44 23 1.3 0.7 | -60.9 -77.6 265 42 22 1.4 0.8
45000 -59.3 -74.7 275 41 21 -1.4 -0.7 | -59.0 -74.2 275 38 19 -1.7 -1.6
40000 -61.1 -78.0 270 37 19 -1.1 -0.6 | -61.4 -78.5 280 40 21 -1.4 -0.8
38000 -58.8 -73.8 275 35 18 5.9 3.2 | -58.6 -73.5 285 41 21 6.2 3.4
36000 -54.9 -66.8 275 34 18 5.9 3.2 | -54.9 -66.8 290 42 22 6.2 3.4
34000 -50.8 -59.4 275 33 17 7.7 4.2 | -50.6 -59.1 290 40 20 8.0 4.4
32000 -46.2 -51.2 275 32 16 7.7 4.2 | -45.8 -50.4 290 34 18 8.0 4.4
30000 -41.4 -42.5 275 30 15 8.1 4.4 | -41.0 -41.8 290 29 15 7.9 4.3
29000 -39.0 -38.2 275 29 15 8.1 4.4 | -38.7 -37.7 290 27 14 7.9 4.3
28000 -36.6 -33.9 275 28 14 8.1 4.4 | -36.3 -33.3 290 25 13 7.9 4.4
27000 -34.1 -29.4 275 27 14 8.0 4.4 | -33.9 -29.0 290 23 12 8.3 4.5
26000 -31.7 -25.1 275 26 13 8.1 4.4 | -31.4 -24.5 285 22 11 8.3 4.5
25000 -29.3 -20.7 275 25 13 8.1 4.4 | -28.9 -20.0 285 21 11 8.3 4.5
24000 -27.0 -16.6 270 23 12 6.9 3.8 | -26.5 -15.7 285 20 10 6.9 3.8
23000 -24.9 -12.8 270 20 10 7.0 3.9 | -24.4 -11.9 280 20 11 7.1 3.9
22000 -22.8 -9.0 270 17 9 7.1 3.9 | -22.3 -8.1 275 21 11 7.2 4.0
21000 -20.6 -5.1 265 15 8 8.1 4.4 | -20.1 -4.2 270 20 10 8.5 4.7
20000 -18.3 -0.9 255 14 7 8.1 4.5 | -16.9 1.6 265 17 9 8.6 4.7
19500 -16.5 2.3 245 13 7 8.2 4.5 | -15.7 3.7 265 15 8 8.6 4.7
19000 -15.3 4.5 240 13 7 8.8 4.8 | -14.4 6.1 260 14 7 8.4 4.6
18500 -13.9 7.0 240 13 7 9.0 4.9 | -13.2 8.2 255 13 7 8.4 4.6
18000 -12.6 9.3 240 13 7 9.1 5.0 | -12.0 10.4 250 11 6 8.5 4.7
17500 -11.2 11.8 240 13 7 9.5 5.2 | -10.6 12.9 250 11 6 9.4 5.2
17000 -9.8 14.4 240 13 7 9.5 5.2 | -9.2 15.4 245 11 5 9.3 5.1
16500 -8.4 16.9 240 13 7 9.5 5.2 | -7.8 18.0 245 11 5 9.8 5.4
16000 -6.9 19.6 240 13 7 9.6 5.2 | -6.3 20.7 245 10 5 9.8 5.4
15500 -5.5 22.1 240 13 7 9.6 5.2 | -4.8 23.4 245 10 5 9.7 5.3
15000 -4.1 24.6 240 13 7 9.6 5.2 | -3.4 25.9 245 10 5 9.7 5.3
14500 -2.6 27.3 240 13 7 9.6 5.3 | -1.9 28.6 245 10 5 9.7 5.3
14000 -1.2 29.8 240 13 7 9.6 5.3 | -0.5 31.1 245 10 5 9.8 5.4
13500 0.2 32.4 240 13 7 9.6 5.3 | 1.0 33.8 245 11 5 9.8 5.4
13000 1.7 35.1 240 13 7 9.4 5.2 | 2.4 36.3 245 11 5 9.5 5.2
12500 3.1 37.6 240 13 7 9.4 5.2 | 3.9 39.0 250 11 5 9.4 5.2
12000 4.5 40.1 245 13 7 9.6 5.3 | 5.3 41.5 250 11 6 10.1 5.5
11500 5.9 42.6 245 14 7 9.9 5.4 | 6.8 44.2 250 11 6 10.0 5.5
11000 7.4 45.3 245 14 7 9.7 5.3 | 8.3 46.9 250 11 6 9.7 5.3
10500 8.9 48.0 250 14 7 9.8 5.4 | 9.8 49.6 250 11 6 9.9 5.4
10250 9.6 49.3 250 14 7 9.5 5.2 | 10.5 50.9 250 11 6 9.1 5.0
10000 10.3 50.5 250 14 7 9.5 5.2 | 11.1 52.0 255 11 6 9.1 5.0
9750 11.0 51.8 255 14 7 9.9 5.4 | 11.9 53.4 255 11 6 10.1 5.5
9500 11.8 53.2 255 15 7 9.4 5.1 | 12.6 54.7 255 11 6 9.5 5.2
9250 12.5 54.5 255 15 8 11.3 6.2 | 13.4 56.1 255 11 6 10.9 6.0
9000 13.4 56.1 255 15 8 10.7 5.9 | 14.2 57.6 255 11 6 10.6 5.8
8750 14.1 57.4 260 15 8 8.5 4.7 | 14.9 58.8 255 11 6 9.1 5.0
8500 14.7 58.5 260 15 8 9.1 5.0 | 15.6 60.1 255 11 6 9.5 5.2
8250 15.4 59.7 260 15 8 9.9 5.4 | 16.3 61.3 255 11 6 9.6 5.2
8000 16.2 61.2 260 15 8 10.5 5.8 | 17.1 62.8 260 12 6 9.8 5.4
7750 17.0 62.6 265 15 8 10.0 5.5 | 17.8 64.0 260 12 6 9.9 5.4
7500 17.7 63.9 265 15 8 10.3 5.6 | 18.5 65.3 260 11 6 9.9 5.4
7250 18.5 65.3 265 15 8 10.8 5.9 | 19.3 66.7 260 11 6 9.8 5.4
7000 19.3 66.7 265 15 8 11.3 6.2 | 20.0 68.0 260 11 6 9.9 5.4
6750 20.2 68.4 265 15 8 9.9 5.4 | 20.8 69.4 260 11 6 9.8 5.4
6500 21.0 69.8 265 15 8 14.5 8.0 | 21.5 70.7 260 11 6 11.3 6.2
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0709 MDT Thursday April 9 2026
This forecast is for Thursday, April 9, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 69.8 F/21.0 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1551 ft/min (7.9 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 21642 ft MSL (15960 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 81.0 F/27.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1130 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 18323 ft MSL (12641 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 04/10....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:41:48 / 19:34:08 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 12 hr 52 min 20 sec (772 min 20 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:07:58 MDT... 62.70 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 04/09/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 12862 ft MSL (7180 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 18735 ft MSL (13053 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 19907 ft MSL (14225 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -1.0
K index......................... +16.7
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.3 -78.3 265 39 20 1.3 0.7 92.3 198.2 37.7 M M
45000 -59.7 -75.5 255 40 20 -1.5 -0.8 72.5 162.5 28.0 M M
40000 -61.5 -78.7 245 36 18 -1.1 -0.6 46.4 115.6 12.7 M M
38000 -59.2 -74.6 240 34 18 6.2 3.4 41.1 106.0 9.4 M M
36000 -55.1 -67.2 240 33 17 6.2 3.4 37.7 99.8 7.3 M M
34000 -50.7 -59.3 235 31 16 8.6 4.7 35.7 96.3 6.1 M M
32000 -45.6 -50.1 240 30 15 8.6 4.7 34.7 94.5 5.5 M M
30000 -40.6 -41.1 250 27 14 8.1 4.4 33.6 92.6 4.9 M M
29000 -38.2 -36.8 250 24 12 8.1 4.4 32.9 91.3 4.4 M M
28000 -35.8 -32.4 255 22 11 8.1 4.4 32.4 90.3 4.0 M M
27000 -33.3 -27.9 260 20 10 8.1 4.5 31.8 89.2 3.6 M M
26000 -30.9 -23.6 265 18 10 8.1 4.5 31.1 88.0 3.1 M M
25000 -28.5 -19.3 270 17 9 8.1 4.5 30.5 87.0 2.6 M M
24000 -26.1 -15.0 270 16 8 6.8 3.7 29.9 85.8 2.2 M M
23000 -23.6 -10.5 270 16 8 6.9 3.8 28.5 83.3 1.0 M M
22000 -21.5 -6.7 270 16 8 6.8 3.8 27.5 81.5 0.2 M M
21000 -19.4 -2.9 265 16 8 7.5 4.1 26.6 79.9 -0.6 1481 7.5
20000 -17.1 1.2 260 18 9 7.6 4.2 25.8 78.5 -1.3 1384 7.0
19500 -16.0 3.2 260 18 9 7.5 4.1 25.5 77.9 -1.6 1336 6.8
19000 -14.9 5.2 260 19 10 6.3 3.5 25.2 77.3 -1.9 1287 6.5
18500 -14.2 6.4 255 19 10 4.6 2.5 24.3 75.7 -2.8 1253 6.4
18000 -13.6 7.5 250 20 10 4.4 2.4 23.4 74.1 -3.6 1220 6.2
17500 -12.8 9.0 250 19 10 8.2 4.5 22.8 73.0 -4.3 1180 6.0
17000 -11.6 11.1 255 18 9 8.0 4.4 22.5 72.5 -4.6 1130 5.7
16500 -10.4 13.3 255 17 9 8.8 4.8 22.2 72.0 -4.8 1079 5.5
16000 -9.0 15.8 260 16 8 9.3 5.1 22.1 71.8 -4.9 1023 5.2
15500 -7.6 18.3 265 15 8 9.3 5.1 22.1 71.7 -5.0 966 4.9
15000 -6.2 20.8 270 14 7 9.4 5.2 22.0 71.6 -5.1 909 4.6
14500 -4.8 23.4 270 13 7 9.4 5.2 22.0 71.5 -5.2 852 4.3
14000 -3.4 25.9 275 12 6 9.5 5.2 21.9 71.4 -5.3 795 4.0
13500 -2.0 28.4 275 12 6 9.4 5.2 21.9 71.4 -5.3 738 3.7
13000 -0.6 30.9 275 11 6 9.7 5.3 21.8 71.3 -5.4 681 3.5
12500 0.9 33.6 275 10 5 9.7 5.3 21.8 71.3 -5.4 623 3.2
12000 2.3 36.1 275 9 5 9.5 5.2 21.8 71.2 -5.5 565 2.9
11500 3.7 38.7 275 9 4 9.5 5.2 21.7 71.1 -5.6 508 2.6
11000 5.1 41.2 270 8 4 9.2 5.0 21.7 71.1 -5.6 451 2.3
10500 6.5 43.7 270 7 4 9.5 5.2 21.6 70.9 -5.8 395 2.0
10250 7.2 45.0 270 7 3 9.7 5.3 21.6 70.9 -5.8 366 1.9
10000 7.9 46.2 265 6 3 9.1 5.0 21.6 70.8 -5.8 338 1.7
9750 8.6 47.5 265 6 3 8.9 4.9 21.5 70.7 -5.9 310 1.6
9500 9.3 48.7 265 6 3 9.1 5.0 21.4 70.6 -6.0 283 1.4
9250 9.9 49.8 260 6 3 8.8 4.8 21.4 70.5 -6.0 255 1.3
9000 10.6 51.1 260 6 3 8.3 4.5 21.3 70.3 -6.2 229 1.2
8750 11.8 53.2 260 6 3 8.6 4.7 21.0 69.8 -6.4 178 0.9
8500 12.4 54.3 260 6 3 6.0 3.3 20.9 69.6 -6.6 152 0.8
8250 12.7 54.9 260 6 3 4.6 2.5 20.5 68.9 -7.0 135 0.7
8000 13.1 55.6 260 6 3 6.3 3.5 20.2 68.3 -7.3 115 0.6
7750 13.6 56.5 255 6 3 5.9 3.3 19.9 67.8 -7.6 94 0.5
7500 14.0 57.2 255 6 3 4.7 2.6 19.6 67.3 -7.9 74 0.4
7250 14.3 57.7 250 5 3 3.0 1.7 19.1 66.4 -8.4 59 0.3
7000 14.5 58.1 245 5 2 2.9 1.6 18.6 65.5 -9.0 46 0.2
6750 14.7 58.5 235 5 2 2.8 1.5 18.1 64.5 -9.5 32 0.2
6500 14.8 58.6 220 4 2 1.7 0.9 17.5 63.5 -10.1 20 0.1
6250 15.0 59.0 210 4 2 3.3 1.8 16.9 62.5 -10.7 9 0.0
6000 15.0 59.0 200 4 2 -5.5 -3.0 16.3 61.3 -11.4 M M
5750 12.5 54.5 175 3 2 -79.0 -43.3 13.0 55.5 -14.7 68 0.3
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
04/09/2026 at 0900 MDT | 04/09/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.8 | CAPE... +0.3 LI... +1.8
CINH... -0.1 K Index... +18.7 | CINH... -0.5 K Index... +19.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.0 -77.8 260 38 20 1.9 1.0 | -60.3 -76.5 260 40 21 1.6 0.9
45000 -58.5 -73.3 255 43 22 -2.4 -1.3 | -58.3 -72.9 260 44 23 -3.1 -1.7
40000 -61.5 -78.7 250 37 19 -1.9 -1.1 | -62.3 -80.1 265 36 19 -2.6 -1.4
38000 -59.4 -74.9 245 34 18 6.2 3.4 | -59.5 -75.1 260 33 17 6.9 3.8
36000 -55.2 -67.4 240 32 16 6.2 3.4 | -55.4 -67.7 260 30 15 6.9 3.8
34000 -51.0 -59.8 240 29 15 7.7 4.2 | -51.0 -59.8 260 27 14 7.7 4.2
32000 -46.4 -51.5 250 27 14 7.7 4.2 | -46.4 -51.5 260 26 13 7.7 4.2
30000 -41.5 -42.7 255 25 13 8.7 4.8 | -41.6 -42.9 260 25 13 8.2 4.5
29000 -38.9 -38.0 260 25 13 8.7 4.8 | -39.2 -38.6 260 25 13 8.2 4.5
28000 -36.3 -33.3 260 24 13 8.7 4.8 | -36.7 -34.1 260 26 13 8.2 4.5
27000 -33.8 -28.8 265 24 12 8.1 4.5 | -34.3 -29.7 260 26 13 8.1 4.4
26000 -31.3 -24.3 265 23 12 8.2 4.5 | -31.9 -25.4 265 26 13 8.1 4.4
25000 -28.9 -20.0 265 23 12 8.2 4.5 | -29.5 -21.1 265 25 13 8.1 4.4
24000 -26.5 -15.7 265 22 11 7.6 4.2 | -26.4 -15.5 265 25 13 8.5 4.7
23000 -23.6 -10.5 270 21 11 7.7 4.2 | -23.8 -10.8 270 24 12 8.6 4.7
22000 -21.3 -6.3 270 21 11 7.7 4.2 | -21.2 -6.2 270 23 12 8.6 4.7
21000 -19.2 -2.6 270 20 10 6.6 3.6 | -19.0 -2.2 265 21 11 6.9 3.8
20000 -17.3 0.9 265 20 10 6.7 3.7 | -17.0 1.4 260 20 10 6.9 3.8
19500 -16.3 2.7 265 20 10 6.7 3.7 | -15.9 3.4 260 20 10 6.9 3.8
19000 -15.3 4.5 260 20 10 6.1 3.3 | -14.9 5.2 255 19 10 6.0 3.3
18500 -14.6 5.7 255 20 10 5.4 3.0 | -14.2 6.4 250 18 9 5.3 2.9
18000 -13.8 7.2 250 19 10 5.4 2.9 | -13.5 7.7 245 17 9 5.3 2.9
17500 -12.9 8.8 245 19 10 8.2 4.5 | -12.6 9.3 240 16 8 7.3 4.0
17000 -11.7 10.9 245 18 9 8.0 4.4 | -11.6 11.1 240 15 8 7.2 3.9
16500 -10.6 12.9 240 17 9 8.1 4.4 | -10.5 13.1 240 14 7 8.4 4.6
16000 -9.3 15.3 245 16 8 8.2 4.5 | -9.2 15.4 240 14 7 8.8 4.8
15500 -8.1 17.4 245 14 7 8.6 4.7 | -7.9 17.8 240 14 7 9.1 5.0
15000 -6.7 19.9 250 13 7 9.9 5.4 | -6.5 20.3 240 13 7 9.7 5.3
14500 -5.2 22.6 255 12 6 9.8 5.4 | -5.0 23.0 240 13 7 9.7 5.3
14000 -3.7 25.3 260 11 6 9.8 5.4 | -3.6 25.5 240 13 6 9.5 5.2
13500 -2.2 28.0 265 11 6 9.8 5.4 | -2.1 28.2 240 12 6 9.5 5.2
13000 -0.8 30.6 270 10 5 9.5 5.2 | -0.7 30.7 240 12 6 9.7 5.3
12500 0.7 33.3 275 10 5 9.5 5.2 | 0.8 33.4 240 11 6 9.7 5.3
12000 2.1 35.8 280 10 5 9.5 5.2 | 2.2 36.0 245 10 5 9.4 5.2
11500 3.5 38.3 280 9 5 9.5 5.2 | 3.6 38.5 245 10 5 9.5 5.2
11000 4.9 40.8 285 9 5 9.2 5.0 | 5.0 41.0 245 9 5 9.1 5.0
10500 6.3 43.3 285 9 4 9.7 5.3 | 6.4 43.5 250 8 4 9.7 5.3
10250 7.0 44.6 280 8 4 9.9 5.4 | 7.2 45.0 250 8 4 9.8 5.4
10000 7.7 45.9 280 8 4 8.7 4.8 | 7.8 46.0 250 7 4 8.8 4.8
9750 8.4 47.1 275 8 4 8.5 4.7 | 8.5 47.3 250 7 4 8.7 4.8
9500 9.0 48.2 275 7 4 8.8 4.8 | 9.2 48.6 250 7 3 9.2 5.1
9250 9.7 49.5 270 7 4 8.5 4.7 | 9.9 49.8 245 6 3 9.3 5.1
9000 10.3 50.5 265 7 4 7.8 4.3 | 11.2 52.2 245 6 3 8.6 4.7
8750 11.4 52.5 255 6 3 8.1 4.5 | 11.8 53.2 245 6 3 8.3 4.6
8500 12.0 53.6 255 6 3 5.4 3.0 | 12.4 54.3 245 6 3 8.3 4.5
8250 12.2 54.0 245 6 3 4.4 2.4 | 13.0 55.4 240 6 3 9.3 5.1
8000 12.7 54.9 240 6 3 6.4 3.5 | 13.8 56.8 240 6 3 9.9 5.4
7750 13.1 55.6 235 6 3 5.5 3.0 | 14.5 58.1 240 5 3 9.6 5.3
7500 13.5 56.3 230 5 3 3.6 2.0 | 15.2 59.4 240 5 3 9.4 5.2
7250 13.7 56.7 220 5 3 4.0 2.2 | 15.9 60.6 240 5 3 10.0 5.5
7000 14.1 57.4 215 5 3 5.5 3.0 | 16.7 62.1 240 5 3 10.5 5.8
6750 14.4 57.9 210 5 3 4.9 2.7 | 17.5 63.5 245 5 3 10.2 5.6
6500 14.8 58.6 200 5 2 4.3 2.4 | 18.2 64.8 245 5 3 10.5 5.7
6250 15.1 59.2 195 5 2 6.0 3.3 | 19.0 66.2 245 5 2 9.5 5.2
6000 15.8 60.4 195 4 2 12.6 6.9 | 19.8 67.6 245 5 2 13.3 7.3
5750 17.0 62.6 195 4 2 21.4 11.7 | 21.7 71.1 245 4 2 47.9 26.3
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
04/09/2026 at 1500 MDT | 04/09/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +20.2 LI... -0.1 | CAPE... +30.4 LI... +0.1
CINH... -0.9 K Index... +19.9 | CINH... -20.0 K Index... +20.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.3 -76.5 265 43 22 1.3 0.7 | -60.6 -77.1 265 42 22 0.5 0.3
45000 -58.7 -73.7 270 46 24 -2.8 -1.5 | -60.0 -76.0 275 43 22 -1.4 -0.8
40000 -62.3 -80.1 270 38 20 -2.3 -1.3 | -61.9 -79.4 285 39 20 -1.6 -0.9
38000 -59.5 -75.1 275 36 19 6.8 3.8 | -58.8 -73.8 290 40 20 6.7 3.7
36000 -55.4 -67.7 275 35 18 6.8 3.8 | -54.8 -66.6 290 40 21 6.7 3.7
34000 -50.9 -59.6 280 33 17 8.0 4.4 | -50.4 -58.7 290 39 20 8.1 4.4
32000 -46.2 -51.2 280 31 16 8.0 4.4 | -45.5 -49.9 290 34 18 8.1 4.4
30000 -41.3 -42.3 280 28 15 8.3 4.5 | -40.8 -41.4 285 31 16 7.9 4.3
29000 -38.8 -37.8 280 27 14 8.3 4.5 | -38.4 -37.1 285 30 16 7.9 4.3
28000 -36.4 -33.5 280 25 13 8.3 4.5 | -36.0 -32.8 280 30 15 7.9 4.3
27000 -33.9 -29.0 280 24 12 8.1 4.5 | -33.7 -28.7 275 29 15 8.1 4.4
26000 -31.4 -24.5 280 24 13 8.1 4.5 | -31.2 -24.2 275 28 14 8.1 4.4
25000 -29.0 -20.2 275 25 13 8.2 4.5 | -28.8 -19.8 270 26 14 8.1 4.4
24000 -26.6 -15.9 275 25 13 7.1 3.9 | -25.9 -14.6 270 25 13 7.5 4.1
23000 -24.0 -11.2 270 24 12 7.3 4.0 | -23.6 -10.5 270 23 12 7.6 4.1
22000 -21.8 -7.2 270 23 12 7.4 4.1 | -21.4 -6.5 265 21 11 7.6 4.2
21000 -19.6 -3.3 265 23 12 7.6 4.2 | -19.0 -2.2 265 19 10 8.4 4.6
20000 -17.4 0.7 260 22 11 7.7 4.2 | -16.5 2.3 270 17 9 8.5 4.7
19500 -16.3 2.7 255 22 11 7.7 4.2 | -15.3 4.5 270 16 8 8.5 4.7
19000 -15.1 4.8 255 22 11 7.8 4.3 | -14.1 6.6 275 15 8 8.1 4.4
18500 -14.0 6.8 255 21 11 7.9 4.3 | -13.0 8.6 275 15 8 7.7 4.2
18000 -12.8 9.0 250 19 10 7.9 4.3 | -11.8 10.8 280 14 7 7.6 4.2
17500 -11.6 11.1 250 18 9 8.6 4.7 | -10.7 12.7 280 14 7 8.0 4.4
17000 -10.3 13.5 250 17 9 8.5 4.7 | -9.5 14.9 280 13 7 7.9 4.3
16500 -9.1 15.6 245 16 8 9.1 5.0 | -8.3 17.1 280 13 7 9.1 5.0
16000 -7.7 18.1 245 16 8 9.3 5.1 | -6.8 19.8 280 12 6 9.6 5.3
15500 -6.3 20.7 245 15 8 9.5 5.2 | -5.4 22.3 280 12 6 9.7 5.3
15000 -4.8 23.4 245 15 8 9.8 5.4 | -3.9 25.0 280 11 6 10.0 5.5
14500 -3.3 26.1 245 14 7 9.8 5.4 | -2.4 27.7 280 11 5 10.0 5.5
14000 -1.9 28.6 240 14 7 9.6 5.3 | -1.0 30.2 275 10 5 9.5 5.2
13500 -0.5 31.1 240 13 7 9.6 5.3 | 0.4 32.7 275 9 5 9.6 5.2
13000 1.0 33.8 240 13 6 9.6 5.3 | 1.8 35.2 270 9 4 9.2 5.0
12500 2.4 36.3 240 12 6 9.6 5.3 | 3.2 37.8 265 8 4 9.2 5.0
12000 3.9 39.0 240 11 6 9.7 5.3 | 4.6 40.3 260 8 4 9.3 5.1
11500 5.3 41.5 235 11 6 9.8 5.3 | 6.0 42.8 255 7 4 9.3 5.1
11000 6.8 44.2 235 10 5 9.3 5.1 | 7.3 45.1 245 7 3 9.2 5.0
10500 8.2 46.8 235 10 5 10.0 5.5 | 8.7 47.7 235 6 3 9.6 5.3
10250 8.9 48.0 230 9 5 10.4 5.7 | 9.5 49.1 235 6 3 9.8 5.4
10000 9.7 49.5 230 9 5 9.7 5.3 | 10.2 50.4 230 6 3 9.4 5.2
9750 10.4 50.7 230 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 10.9 51.6 225 6 3 9.3 5.1
9500 11.1 52.0 225 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 11.6 52.9 220 6 3 9.5 5.2
9250 11.9 53.4 225 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 12.3 54.1 220 6 3 9.6 5.3
9000 12.6 54.7 225 7 4 9.8 5.4 | 13.0 55.4 215 7 3 9.2 5.0
8750 13.3 55.9 220 7 4 9.7 5.3 | 13.7 56.7 215 7 3 9.1 5.0
8500 14.1 57.4 220 6 3 10.0 5.5 | 15.0 59.0 205 7 4 10.3 5.6
8250 14.8 58.6 215 6 3 8.9 4.9 | 15.8 60.4 205 7 4 10.6 5.8
8000 16.2 61.2 210 6 3 10.8 5.9 | 16.6 61.9 205 7 4 9.2 5.1
7750 17.0 62.6 205 5 3 10.2 5.6 | 17.3 63.1 205 7 4 9.7 5.3
7500 17.7 63.9 205 5 2 9.4 5.1 | 18.0 64.4 205 7 4 8.8 4.8
7250 18.4 65.1 195 5 2 10.0 5.5 | 18.6 65.5 200 8 4 9.2 5.0
7000 19.2 66.6 195 4 2 11.1 6.1 | 19.4 66.9 200 8 4 10.0 5.5
6750 20.0 68.0 190 4 2 10.5 5.8 | 20.1 68.2 200 8 4 9.8 5.4
6500 20.8 69.4 185 4 2 10.5 5.8 | 20.8 69.4 200 8 4 9.7 5.3
6250 21.6 70.9 180 4 2 9.3 5.1 | 21.6 70.9 200 8 4 11.6 6.4
6000 22.3 72.1 175 4 2 13.4 7.4 | 22.6 72.7 200 7 4 15.1 8.3
5750 24.4 75.9 165 3 2 50.8 27.8 | 23.6 74.5 200 7 4 8.7 4.8
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0717 MDT Thursday April 9 2026
This forecast is for Thursday, April 9, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 65.1 F/18.4 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1346 ft/min (6.8 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 20375 ft MSL (13915 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 75.0 F/24.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 17060 ft MSL (10601 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 04/10....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:39:11 / 19:32:32 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 12 hr 53 min 21 sec (773 min 21 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:05:52 MDT... 62.15 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 04/09/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 12817 ft MSL (6357 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 19311 ft MSL (12851 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 19786 ft MSL (13326 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +0.0
K index......................... +17.2
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.9 -79.4 265 39 20 1.8 1.0 89.5 193.2 38.2 M M
45000 -59.4 -74.9 260 39 20 -1.7 -0.9 70.0 158.0 28.7 M M
40000 -61.6 -78.9 250 39 20 -1.3 -0.7 43.6 110.5 13.2 M M
38000 -59.1 -74.4 245 38 20 6.1 3.4 38.4 101.1 10.0 M M
36000 -55.5 -67.9 245 38 19 6.1 3.4 35.3 95.6 8.1 M M
34000 -51.2 -60.2 245 36 18 8.6 4.7 33.2 91.8 6.8 M M
32000 -46.1 -51.0 245 33 17 8.5 4.7 32.2 89.9 6.2 M M
30000 -40.5 -40.9 250 28 14 8.0 4.4 30.9 87.7 5.4 M M
29000 -38.1 -36.6 255 25 13 8.0 4.4 30.2 86.4 4.9 M M
28000 -35.7 -32.3 260 22 11 8.0 4.4 29.6 85.4 4.5 M M
27000 -33.2 -27.8 260 20 10 8.3 4.6 29.1 84.3 4.1 M M
26000 -30.7 -23.3 260 19 10 8.4 4.6 28.5 83.2 3.6 M M
25000 -28.2 -18.8 265 18 9 8.3 4.6 28.0 82.4 3.3 M M
24000 -25.8 -14.4 265 17 9 6.9 3.8 27.3 81.2 2.8 M M
23000 -23.7 -10.7 265 17 9 7.0 3.8 26.3 79.3 2.0 M M
22000 -21.6 -6.9 260 17 9 7.0 3.9 25.4 77.6 1.2 M M
21000 -19.5 -3.1 265 17 9 7.6 4.2 24.5 76.1 0.5 M M
20000 -17.2 1.0 265 17 9 7.6 4.2 23.7 74.7 -0.2 1311 6.7
19500 -16.1 3.0 265 17 9 7.6 4.2 23.4 74.0 -0.6 1262 6.4
19000 -14.9 5.2 265 17 9 7.5 4.1 23.0 73.5 -0.8 1213 6.2
18500 -13.9 7.0 265 18 9 6.8 3.7 22.6 72.6 -1.3 1168 5.9
18000 -12.9 8.8 265 20 10 7.0 3.8 22.1 71.7 -1.8 1124 5.7
17500 -12.0 10.4 265 21 11 6.1 3.4 21.6 70.8 -2.4 1081 5.5
17000 -11.1 12.0 265 22 11 6.1 3.3 20.9 69.6 -3.0 1041 5.3
16500 -10.3 13.5 265 23 12 7.0 3.8 20.3 68.5 -3.6 1000 5.1
16000 -9.0 15.8 265 22 11 8.7 4.8 20.0 68.1 -3.9 948 4.8
15500 -7.7 18.1 265 21 11 8.7 4.8 19.9 67.8 -4.1 894 4.5
15000 -6.4 20.5 265 20 10 9.5 5.2 19.8 67.6 -4.2 838 4.3
14500 -5.0 23.0 265 18 9 9.5 5.2 19.7 67.5 -4.2 781 4.0
14000 -3.6 25.5 265 16 8 9.1 5.0 19.7 67.4 -4.3 724 3.7
13500 -2.2 28.0 265 15 8 9.1 5.0 19.5 67.2 -4.4 669 3.4
13000 -0.8 30.6 270 13 7 9.1 5.0 19.4 67.0 -4.6 613 3.1
12500 0.5 32.9 270 12 6 9.1 5.0 19.3 66.8 -4.7 557 2.8
12000 2.6 36.7 275 10 5 9.4 5.1 19.2 66.6 -4.8 472 2.4
11500 4.0 39.2 275 9 5 8.8 4.9 19.1 66.4 -4.9 416 2.1
11000 5.3 41.5 270 8 4 8.8 4.8 19.0 66.1 -5.1 362 1.8
10500 6.6 43.9 265 7 4 9.3 5.1 18.8 65.9 -5.3 308 1.6
10250 7.3 45.1 255 6 3 8.6 4.7 18.8 65.8 -5.3 279 1.4
10000 7.9 46.2 250 6 3 7.4 4.1 18.6 65.5 -5.5 254 1.3
9750 8.5 47.3 240 5 3 7.9 4.3 18.5 65.2 -5.7 230 1.2
9500 9.1 48.4 225 5 3 7.2 4.0 18.3 65.0 -5.8 205 1.0
9250 9.6 49.3 225 5 2 6.6 3.6 18.1 64.6 -6.1 182 0.9
9000 10.1 50.2 220 4 2 6.8 3.7 17.8 64.1 -6.3 160 0.8
8750 10.6 51.1 210 4 2 6.9 3.8 17.6 63.7 -6.5 137 0.7
8500 11.1 52.0 200 3 2 6.6 3.6 17.4 63.3 -6.8 115 0.6
8250 11.5 52.7 195 3 2 5.4 3.0 17.1 62.8 -7.1 94 0.5
8000 11.9 53.4 185 2 1 4.2 2.3 16.7 62.1 -7.5 76 0.4
7750 12.2 54.0 165 2 1 3.2 1.8 16.3 61.3 -8.0 60 0.3
7500 12.4 54.3 145 2 1 4.9 2.7 15.8 60.5 -8.4 45 0.2
7250 12.9 55.2 135 2 1 5.4 2.9 15.5 59.9 -8.8 25 0.1
7000 13.3 55.9 125 2 1 6.8 3.8 15.2 59.3 -9.1 5 0.0
6750 13.4 56.1 115 2 1 -9.8 -5.4 14.6 58.3 -9.7 M M
6500 9.1 48.4 105 3 1 -99.0 -54.3 9.6 49.2 -14.8 115 0.6
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
04/09/2026 at 0900 MDT | 04/09/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.6 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.1
CINH... -0.1 K Index... +17.4 | CINH... -0.5 K Index... +18.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.9 -77.6 255 39 20 1.9 1.0 | -60.0 -76.0 260 39 20 0.8 0.4
45000 -58.3 -72.9 255 44 23 -2.6 -1.4 | -59.1 -74.4 265 42 21 -2.2 -1.2
40000 -61.8 -79.2 250 39 20 -2.1 -1.1 | -61.9 -79.4 260 39 20 -1.8 -1.0
38000 -59.5 -75.1 245 37 19 6.2 3.4 | -59.3 -74.7 255 36 19 6.3 3.5
36000 -55.7 -68.3 240 36 19 6.2 3.4 | -55.6 -68.1 250 34 18 6.3 3.5
34000 -51.6 -60.9 240 34 17 8.0 4.4 | -51.5 -60.7 250 32 16 7.5 4.1
32000 -46.8 -52.2 250 29 15 8.0 4.4 | -46.9 -52.4 255 29 15 7.5 4.1
30000 -41.3 -42.3 255 26 14 8.4 4.6 | -42.1 -43.8 260 27 14 8.7 4.8
29000 -38.8 -37.8 255 26 14 8.4 4.6 | -39.5 -39.1 260 27 14 8.7 4.8
28000 -36.2 -33.2 255 26 13 8.4 4.6 | -36.9 -34.4 260 26 13 8.7 4.8
27000 -33.7 -28.7 260 25 13 8.4 4.6 | -34.4 -29.9 260 25 13 8.0 4.4
26000 -31.2 -24.2 260 25 13 8.4 4.6 | -32.0 -25.6 265 25 13 8.0 4.4
25000 -28.7 -19.7 265 24 12 8.4 4.6 | -29.6 -21.3 265 24 13 8.0 4.4
24000 -26.3 -15.3 265 23 12 7.0 3.8 | -26.6 -15.9 265 24 12 7.9 4.3
23000 -24.2 -11.6 265 20 10 7.1 3.9 | -24.3 -11.7 265 22 11 7.9 4.3
22000 -22.1 -7.8 260 18 9 7.1 3.9 | -21.9 -7.4 265 21 11 7.9 4.4
21000 -19.9 -3.8 260 17 9 7.3 4.0 | -19.7 -3.5 265 20 10 7.0 3.9
20000 -17.7 0.1 260 18 9 7.4 4.0 | -17.6 0.3 270 18 10 7.1 3.9
19500 -16.7 1.9 260 18 10 7.3 4.0 | -16.6 2.1 270 18 9 7.1 3.9
19000 -15.6 3.9 260 19 10 7.0 3.9 | -15.6 3.9 270 17 9 7.0 3.8
18500 -14.7 5.5 260 19 10 5.8 3.2 | -14.6 5.7 270 17 9 6.9 3.8
18000 -13.9 7.0 260 20 10 5.9 3.2 | -13.6 7.5 265 17 9 7.0 3.8
17500 -12.9 8.8 255 20 10 7.6 4.2 | -12.5 9.5 265 18 9 7.6 4.1
17000 -11.8 10.8 255 19 10 7.8 4.3 | -11.5 11.3 260 18 9 7.6 4.1
16500 -10.6 12.9 255 18 9 8.2 4.5 | -10.3 13.5 255 18 9 8.3 4.5
16000 -9.3 15.3 255 16 8 8.7 4.8 | -9.1 15.6 255 17 9 8.7 4.8
15500 -8.0 17.6 260 15 8 8.8 4.8 | -7.8 18.0 250 17 9 8.8 4.8
15000 -6.7 19.9 260 14 7 9.2 5.1 | -6.4 20.5 250 16 8 9.3 5.1
14500 -5.3 22.5 260 13 6 9.1 5.0 | -5.0 23.0 250 16 8 9.3 5.1
14000 -3.9 25.0 260 12 6 9.5 5.2 | -3.6 25.5 250 15 8 9.5 5.2
13500 -2.5 27.5 260 11 6 9.5 5.2 | -2.2 28.0 245 14 7 9.4 5.2
13000 -1.1 30.0 255 10 5 9.6 5.2 | -0.8 30.6 245 14 7 9.5 5.2
12500 0.4 32.7 255 10 5 9.6 5.2 | 0.6 33.1 245 13 7 9.5 5.2
12000 2.6 36.7 250 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 2.1 35.8 245 13 7 9.5 5.2
11500 4.0 39.2 245 9 5 9.2 5.0 | 3.5 38.3 245 12 6 9.5 5.2
11000 5.4 41.7 245 9 5 9.5 5.2 | 4.9 40.8 245 12 6 9.5 5.2
10500 6.8 44.2 240 9 5 9.4 5.2 | 7.0 44.6 245 11 6 9.8 5.4
10250 7.5 45.5 240 9 5 8.7 4.8 | 7.8 46.0 245 11 6 9.8 5.4
10000 8.1 46.6 240 8 4 8.1 4.4 | 8.5 47.3 245 11 6 9.5 5.2
9750 8.7 47.7 240 8 4 8.5 4.7 | 9.2 48.6 245 11 6 9.4 5.2
9500 9.3 48.7 240 7 4 7.5 4.1 | 9.9 49.8 245 11 6 10.1 5.5
9250 9.8 49.6 235 7 4 6.5 3.6 | 10.7 51.3 245 11 5 10.1 5.5
9000 10.3 50.5 235 6 3 6.6 3.6 | 11.4 52.5 245 10 5 9.5 5.2
8750 10.8 51.4 235 5 3 7.1 3.9 | 12.1 53.8 245 10 5 9.6 5.3
8500 11.3 52.3 230 4 2 5.3 2.9 | 12.8 55.0 240 10 5 9.6 5.3
8250 11.6 52.9 225 3 2 3.7 2.1 | 13.6 56.5 240 10 5 10.0 5.5
8000 12.0 53.6 220 2 1 5.5 3.0 | 14.3 57.7 240 10 5 10.4 5.7
7750 12.4 54.3 210 2 1 6.3 3.5 | 15.1 59.2 240 10 5 10.6 5.8
7500 12.9 55.2 190 1 1 5.7 3.1 | 15.9 60.6 240 10 5 10.3 5.7
7250 13.3 55.9 165 1 1 5.4 3.0 | 16.7 62.1 240 10 5 10.6 5.8
7000 13.7 56.7 140 1 1 6.7 3.7 | 17.4 63.3 240 9 5 9.0 4.9
6750 14.3 57.7 140 1 1 11.3 6.2 | 18.2 64.8 240 9 5 13.9 7.6
6500 15.5 59.9 145 1 1 20.7 11.4 | 20.6 69.1 240 8 4 65.1 35.7
04/09/2026 at 1500 MDT | 04/09/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +7.5 LI... +0.3 | CAPE... +19.5 LI... +0.4
CINH... -0.5 K Index... +17.1 | CINH... -27.8 K Index... +19.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.3 -76.5 265 41 21 1.0 0.5 | -60.5 -76.9 270 41 21 0.6 0.3
45000 -59.1 -74.4 270 40 20 -2.0 -1.1 | -59.8 -75.6 275 40 20 -1.3 -0.7
40000 -61.7 -79.1 275 37 19 -1.7 -0.9 | -61.4 -78.5 275 38 20 -1.1 -0.6
38000 -59.5 -75.1 275 37 19 6.5 3.5 | -58.7 -73.7 280 39 20 6.1 3.4
36000 -55.1 -67.2 280 37 19 6.5 3.5 | -55.1 -67.2 285 40 21 6.1 3.4
34000 -51.0 -59.8 275 36 19 7.5 4.1 | -50.8 -59.4 290 40 20 8.3 4.5
32000 -46.5 -51.7 270 34 17 7.5 4.1 | -45.9 -50.6 290 36 18 8.3 4.5
30000 -41.8 -43.2 270 31 16 8.0 4.4 | -41.2 -42.2 290 31 16 7.5 4.1
29000 -39.4 -38.9 270 29 15 8.0 4.4 | -38.9 -38.0 285 29 15 7.5 4.1
28000 -37.0 -34.6 270 27 14 8.0 4.4 | -36.7 -34.1 285 26 13 7.5 4.1
27000 -34.6 -30.3 275 25 13 8.1 4.4 | -34.4 -29.9 285 24 12 8.2 4.5
26000 -32.2 -26.0 275 24 12 8.1 4.4 | -32.0 -25.6 280 22 12 8.1 4.5
25000 -29.8 -21.6 275 23 12 8.1 4.4 | -28.9 -20.0 280 21 11 8.1 4.5
24000 -26.8 -16.2 275 21 11 7.9 4.3 | -26.5 -15.7 275 21 11 8.0 4.4
23000 -24.4 -11.9 275 20 10 7.9 4.3 | -24.2 -11.6 275 22 12 8.0 4.4
22000 -22.1 -7.8 275 19 10 8.0 4.4 | -21.8 -7.2 275 24 12 8.1 4.4
21000 -19.8 -3.6 280 18 10 7.6 4.2 | -19.4 -2.9 275 24 12 8.3 4.5
20000 -17.6 0.3 280 17 9 7.6 4.2 | -17.0 1.4 275 22 11 8.3 4.5
19500 -16.5 2.3 285 17 9 7.7 4.2 | -15.7 3.7 275 22 11 8.3 4.5
19000 -15.4 4.3 285 16 8 8.0 4.4 | -14.5 5.9 275 21 11 8.1 4.5
18500 -14.2 6.4 285 16 8 8.4 4.6 | -13.3 8.1 275 20 10 8.0 4.4
18000 -12.9 8.8 285 15 8 8.5 4.6 | -12.2 10.0 275 19 10 7.9 4.3
17500 -11.7 10.9 280 15 8 8.3 4.6 | -11.0 12.2 270 18 9 8.6 4.7
17000 -10.5 13.1 275 14 7 8.3 4.6 | -9.7 14.5 270 17 9 8.5 4.7
16500 -9.2 15.4 270 13 7 9.1 5.0 | -8.4 16.9 270 16 8 8.9 4.9
16000 -7.8 18.0 270 13 7 9.4 5.2 | -7.1 19.2 270 15 8 9.1 5.0
15500 -6.4 20.5 265 13 7 9.5 5.2 | -5.7 21.7 270 15 7 9.2 5.0
15000 -4.9 23.2 265 13 6 9.7 5.3 | -4.3 24.3 265 14 7 9.4 5.2
14500 -3.5 25.7 260 13 6 9.7 5.3 | -2.9 26.8 265 14 7 9.4 5.1
14000 -2.1 28.2 260 13 6 9.5 5.2 | -1.5 29.3 260 14 7 9.4 5.1
13500 -0.6 30.9 260 13 6 9.5 5.2 | -0.1 31.8 260 14 7 9.4 5.1
13000 0.8 33.4 255 13 6 9.6 5.2 | 1.3 34.3 255 14 7 9.4 5.2
12500 2.2 36.0 255 13 6 9.5 5.2 | 2.7 36.9 255 14 7 9.4 5.2
12000 3.6 38.5 255 13 7 9.7 5.3 | 4.1 39.4 255 14 7 9.6 5.3
11500 5.1 41.2 250 13 7 9.6 5.3 | 5.5 41.9 250 14 7 9.3 5.1
11000 6.5 43.7 250 13 7 9.5 5.2 | 7.6 45.7 250 14 7 9.7 5.3
10500 8.7 47.7 245 13 7 9.5 5.2 | 9.0 48.2 250 13 7 9.4 5.2
10250 9.4 48.9 245 14 7 9.6 5.3 | 9.7 49.5 250 14 7 9.2 5.0
10000 10.1 50.2 245 14 7 9.9 5.4 | 10.4 50.7 250 14 7 9.3 5.1
9750 10.8 51.4 245 14 7 9.6 5.3 | 11.1 52.0 245 14 7 9.2 5.0
9500 11.6 52.9 240 14 7 10.5 5.8 | 11.8 53.2 245 13 7 9.6 5.3
9250 12.4 54.3 240 14 7 10.5 5.7 | 12.5 54.5 245 12 6 9.7 5.3
9000 13.1 55.6 240 14 7 9.5 5.2 | 13.2 55.8 245 12 6 9.3 5.1
8750 13.8 56.8 240 14 7 9.8 5.4 | 13.9 57.0 245 12 6 9.5 5.2
8500 14.5 58.1 240 15 8 9.7 5.3 | 14.6 58.3 245 12 6 9.3 5.1
8250 15.3 59.5 240 15 8 10.1 5.5 | 15.3 59.5 245 11 6 9.2 5.1
8000 16.1 61.0 240 15 8 10.6 5.8 | 16.0 60.8 245 11 6 9.4 5.2
7750 16.9 62.4 240 14 7 10.8 5.9 | 16.7 62.1 245 11 5 9.5 5.2
7500 17.6 63.7 235 14 7 10.3 5.6 | 17.4 63.3 245 10 5 9.5 5.2
7250 18.4 65.1 235 14 7 10.3 5.6 | 18.1 64.6 245 10 5 9.7 5.3
7000 19.2 66.6 235 14 7 9.2 5.0 | 18.9 66.0 245 10 5 9.0 4.9
6750 19.9 67.8 235 14 7 14.9 8.2 | 19.5 67.1 245 9 5 10.2 5.6
6500 22.5 72.5 235 13 7 66.2 36.3 | 20.7 69.3 245 8 4 26.4 14.5
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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