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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0723 MDT Monday August 11 2025
This forecast is for Monday, August 11, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 79.1 F/26.2 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1348 ft/min (6.8 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 19955 ft MSL (13637 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 86.0 F/30.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1115 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1500 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 11030 ft MSL (4713 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 08/12...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:21:34 / 19:56:42 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 35 min 7 sec (815 min 7 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:09:08 MDT... 69.93 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/11/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15904 ft MSL (9586 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16654 ft MSL (10336 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17190 ft MSL (10873 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -2.1
K index......................... +24.3
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.1 -79.8 345 18 9 0.7 0.4 83.6 182.4 31.7 M M
45000 -60.2 -76.4 335 31 16 2.7 1.5 63.9 146.9 21.4 M M
40000 -55.5 -67.9 320 38 20 7.1 3.9 49.0 120.3 12.9 M M
38000 -51.1 -60.0 320 37 19 7.2 4.0 46.5 115.7 11.5 M M
36000 -46.8 -52.2 320 35 18 7.1 3.9 44.7 112.4 10.5 M M
34000 -40.9 -41.6 325 33 17 9.1 5.0 43.6 110.5 10.0 M M
32000 -35.4 -31.7 330 31 16 9.1 5.0 43.3 110.0 10.0 M M
30000 -30.0 -22.0 330 32 16 9.0 4.9 42.6 108.6 9.7 M M
29000 -27.3 -17.1 330 32 17 9.0 4.9 42.3 108.2 9.6 M M
28000 -24.7 -12.5 330 32 16 6.8 3.7 42.0 107.6 9.5 M M
27000 -22.9 -9.2 330 29 15 6.2 3.4 40.6 105.0 8.4 M M
26000 -21.0 -5.8 330 25 13 6.2 3.4 39.3 102.7 7.5 M M
25000 -19.1 -2.4 330 22 11 6.0 3.3 38.1 100.6 6.6 M M
24000 -17.8 -0.0 320 20 10 4.3 2.4 36.1 97.0 5.0 M M
23000 -16.6 2.1 300 20 10 4.5 2.5 34.1 93.5 3.3 M M
22000 -15.4 4.3 285 21 11 5.5 3.0 32.4 90.3 1.7 M M
21000 -13.3 8.1 290 20 10 7.4 4.1 31.4 88.5 0.8 M M
20000 -11.1 12.0 295 20 10 7.4 4.1 30.6 87.1 0.1 M M
19500 -10.0 14.0 295 20 10 7.3 4.0 30.2 86.4 -0.2 1315 6.7
19000 -8.8 16.2 295 19 10 9.0 4.9 30.0 86.0 -0.5 1264 6.4
18500 -6.8 19.8 295 18 9 8.8 4.8 29.7 85.5 -0.7 1183 6.0
18000 -5.5 22.1 290 17 9 9.3 5.1 29.6 85.3 -0.8 1128 5.7
17500 -4.1 24.6 290 16 8 9.3 5.1 29.6 85.2 -0.9 1073 5.4
17000 -2.7 27.1 285 15 8 9.3 5.1 29.5 85.1 -1.0 1017 5.2
16500 -1.4 29.5 280 14 7 9.2 5.1 29.4 84.9 -1.2 961 4.9
16000 -0.0 32.0 275 14 7 9.3 5.1 29.3 84.8 -1.3 906 4.6
15500 1.3 34.3 270 13 7 9.6 5.2 29.3 84.7 -1.4 850 4.3
15000 2.7 36.9 265 13 7 9.6 5.2 29.2 84.6 -1.4 793 4.0
14500 4.1 39.4 260 12 6 9.2 5.1 29.2 84.5 -1.5 737 3.7
14000 5.5 41.9 260 13 6 9.2 5.1 29.1 84.4 -1.6 681 3.5
13500 6.8 44.2 255 13 7 9.0 4.9 29.0 84.2 -1.7 626 3.2
13000 8.1 46.6 255 13 7 8.9 4.9 28.9 84.0 -1.9 572 2.9
12500 9.5 49.1 255 14 7 8.5 4.7 28.7 83.7 -2.0 518 2.6
12000 10.6 51.1 255 14 7 8.0 4.4 28.5 83.2 -2.3 468 2.4
11500 11.8 53.2 260 15 8 8.0 4.4 28.2 82.7 -2.6 418 2.1
11000 12.9 55.2 255 16 8 6.9 3.8 27.8 82.1 -3.0 371 1.9
10500 13.9 57.0 255 17 9 6.7 3.7 27.4 81.3 -3.5 325 1.7
10250 14.4 57.9 255 18 9 6.5 3.6 27.1 80.9 -3.8 304 1.5
10000 14.8 58.6 255 18 9 7.1 3.9 26.9 80.5 -4.0 282 1.4
9750 15.4 59.7 255 19 10 7.0 3.9 26.7 80.1 -4.2 259 1.3
9500 15.9 60.6 250 19 10 7.2 4.0 26.5 79.7 -4.5 237 1.2
9250 16.4 61.5 250 19 10 7.7 4.2 26.3 79.4 -4.7 213 1.1
9000 17.0 62.6 250 19 10 7.0 3.8 26.2 79.1 -4.9 189 1.0
8750 17.4 63.3 250 19 10 6.4 3.5 25.9 78.6 -5.1 168 0.9
8500 17.9 64.2 250 19 10 6.1 3.4 25.7 78.2 -5.4 146 0.7
8250 18.3 64.9 245 18 9 5.6 3.1 25.4 77.6 -5.7 126 0.6
8000 18.7 65.7 245 17 9 5.2 2.8 25.0 77.1 -6.0 106 0.5
7750 19.1 66.4 245 16 8 5.1 2.8 24.7 76.4 -6.4 88 0.4
7500 19.4 66.9 240 15 8 2.3 1.2 24.3 75.7 -6.8 71 0.4
7250 19.5 67.1 235 13 7 -0.4 -0.2 23.5 74.4 -7.6 63 0.3
7000 19.5 67.1 230 11 6 1.1 0.6 22.8 73.1 -8.3 55 0.3
6750 19.5 67.1 220 10 5 -2.3 -1.2 22.1 71.8 -9.0 47 0.2
6500 18.9 66.0 200 7 4 -14.1 -7.7 20.8 69.4 -10.3 57 0.3
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/11/2025 at 0900 MDT | 08/11/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +109.4 LI... -1.7 | CAPE... +6.9 LI... -0.1
CINH... -146.7 K Index... +19.1 | CINH... -1.9 K Index... +19.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.0 -81.4 355 10 5 0.1 0.0 | -64.4 -83.9 340 10 5 0.2 0.1
45000 -61.3 -78.3 340 21 11 3.9 2.1 | -62.2 -80.0 340 18 9 4.3 2.4
40000 -54.9 -66.8 320 30 15 7.0 3.9 | -55.3 -67.5 315 25 13 7.3 4.0
38000 -50.6 -59.1 325 30 15 7.2 3.9 | -50.9 -59.6 315 26 13 7.4 4.0
36000 -46.3 -51.3 325 30 15 7.1 3.9 | -45.9 -50.6 315 27 14 7.6 4.2
34000 -40.9 -41.6 325 29 15 8.1 4.4 | -41.0 -41.8 315 27 14 8.2 4.5
32000 -36.1 -33.0 325 28 15 8.1 4.4 | -36.1 -33.0 310 27 14 8.2 4.5
30000 -30.5 -22.9 330 27 14 9.5 5.2 | -31.0 -23.8 315 25 13 8.4 4.6
29000 -27.6 -17.7 330 26 14 9.5 5.2 | -28.5 -19.3 315 24 12 8.5 4.6
28000 -24.8 -12.6 335 26 13 7.6 4.1 | -26.0 -14.8 320 24 12 8.4 4.6
27000 -22.7 -8.9 335 24 12 7.3 4.0 | -23.5 -10.3 320 24 12 8.4 4.6
26000 -20.5 -4.9 335 23 12 7.3 4.0 | -20.9 -5.6 325 24 12 8.4 4.6
25000 -18.3 -0.9 335 21 11 6.8 3.7 | -18.4 -1.1 325 24 12 7.9 4.4
24000 -16.8 1.8 325 19 10 4.6 2.5 | -16.6 2.1 325 22 11 5.9 3.2
23000 -15.5 4.1 310 18 9 4.7 2.6 | -14.8 5.4 315 20 10 5.9 3.2
22000 -14.2 6.4 300 17 9 5.3 2.9 | -13.1 8.4 310 18 9 5.7 3.1
21000 -12.3 9.9 290 16 8 6.4 3.5 | -11.5 11.3 295 17 8 5.4 2.9
20000 -10.5 13.1 285 15 8 6.4 3.5 | -10.0 14.0 280 16 8 5.4 3.0
19500 -9.5 14.9 280 15 8 6.3 3.4 | -8.8 16.2 265 17 9 6.3 3.4
19000 -8.5 16.7 280 15 8 8.5 4.6 | -7.7 18.1 265 16 8 7.2 3.9
18500 -6.6 20.1 280 17 9 8.2 4.5 | -6.7 19.9 260 15 8 7.1 3.9
18000 -5.3 22.5 285 18 9 9.1 5.0 | -5.6 21.9 260 14 7 8.0 4.4
17500 -4.0 24.8 285 18 9 9.1 5.0 | -4.4 24.1 265 13 7 8.0 4.4
17000 -2.6 27.3 285 19 10 9.3 5.1 | -3.2 26.2 265 12 6 8.2 4.5
16500 -1.2 29.8 280 19 10 9.5 5.2 | -2.0 28.4 275 11 6 8.3 4.6
16000 0.2 32.4 280 18 9 9.5 5.2 | -0.8 30.6 280 10 5 8.4 4.6
15500 1.6 34.9 280 18 9 9.5 5.2 | 0.5 32.9 285 10 5 9.3 5.1
15000 3.1 37.6 280 17 9 9.5 5.2 | 1.9 35.4 285 10 5 9.2 5.1
14500 4.4 39.9 280 16 8 8.8 4.8 | 3.2 37.8 290 9 5 9.2 5.1
14000 5.7 42.3 280 15 8 8.8 4.8 | 4.6 40.3 290 9 5 9.2 5.1
13500 7.0 44.6 280 14 7 8.6 4.7 | 6.0 42.8 290 9 5 9.6 5.3
13000 8.2 46.8 285 14 7 8.5 4.7 | 7.4 45.3 295 9 5 9.7 5.3
12500 9.4 48.9 285 13 7 8.2 4.5 | 8.9 48.0 295 9 5 9.5 5.2
12000 10.5 50.9 285 12 6 7.8 4.3 | 10.3 50.5 295 9 5 9.2 5.1
11500 11.7 53.1 290 11 6 7.1 3.9 | 11.6 52.9 295 9 5 10.4 5.7
11000 12.7 54.9 285 11 6 7.5 4.1 | 13.2 55.8 295 9 5 9.2 5.1
10500 13.7 56.7 275 11 6 6.1 3.4 | 14.6 58.3 295 9 5 8.8 4.8
10250 14.1 57.4 275 12 6 4.4 2.4 | 15.3 59.5 295 9 5 9.2 5.1
10000 14.4 57.9 270 12 6 5.1 2.8 | 16.0 60.8 295 9 5 10.5 5.8
9750 14.7 58.5 270 12 6 5.1 2.8 | 16.8 62.2 295 9 5 10.1 5.6
9500 15.1 59.2 265 13 7 5.4 3.0 | 17.5 63.5 295 9 5 10.4 5.7
9250 15.5 59.9 265 13 7 5.7 3.1 | 18.3 64.9 295 9 5 10.6 5.8
9000 15.9 60.6 265 13 7 6.7 3.7 | 19.1 66.4 295 9 5 9.9 5.4
8750 16.4 61.5 265 13 6 7.5 4.1 | 19.8 67.6 295 9 5 9.3 5.1
8500 17.0 62.6 265 12 6 7.7 4.2 | 20.5 68.9 295 9 5 9.6 5.3
8250 17.5 63.5 265 12 6 8.0 4.4 | 21.2 70.2 295 9 5 9.6 5.3
8000 18.1 64.6 265 12 6 8.4 4.6 | 22.0 71.6 295 9 5 9.9 5.4
7750 18.8 65.8 265 12 6 9.4 5.2 | 22.7 72.9 295 9 5 10.3 5.6
7500 19.5 67.1 265 11 6 9.8 5.4 | 23.5 74.3 295 9 5 10.5 5.7
7250 20.3 68.5 265 11 6 10.0 5.5 | 24.3 75.7 295 9 5 10.8 5.9
7000 21.0 69.8 265 10 5 9.5 5.2 | 25.1 77.2 295 9 5 10.0 5.5
6750 21.7 71.1 265 10 5 11.0 6.0 | 25.9 78.6 295 9 5 12.9 7.1
6500 22.7 72.9 265 9 5 16.4 9.0 | 27.2 81.0 295 9 4 23.4 12.8
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
08/11/2025 at 1500 MDT | 08/11/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +1.1 LI... -0.0 | CAPE... +1.9 LI... +1.5
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +15.0 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +11.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.6 -80.7 350 12 6 -0.0 -0.0 | -63.3 -81.9 030 7 4 1.2 0.6
45000 -61.1 -78.0 325 18 9 3.6 2.0 | -60.3 -76.5 355 11 5 3.9 2.2
40000 -55.2 -67.4 305 21 11 7.2 3.9 | -53.9 -65.0 330 11 6 6.9 3.8
38000 -50.8 -59.4 305 23 12 7.3 4.0 | -49.7 -57.5 315 14 7 7.0 3.8
36000 -45.9 -50.6 300 25 13 7.5 4.1 | -45.0 -49.0 305 17 9 7.4 4.1
34000 -41.1 -42.0 305 24 13 8.0 4.4 | -40.1 -40.2 300 18 9 8.2 4.5
32000 -36.3 -33.3 305 24 12 8.0 4.4 | -35.1 -31.2 295 18 9 8.2 4.5
30000 -31.5 -24.7 305 23 12 8.1 4.4 | -30.7 -23.3 305 18 9 7.3 4.0
29000 -29.1 -20.4 310 23 12 8.1 4.4 | -28.5 -19.3 315 18 9 7.3 4.0
28000 -26.6 -15.9 310 22 11 8.5 4.7 | -26.3 -15.3 320 18 10 8.3 4.6
27000 -24.1 -11.4 315 22 11 8.6 4.7 | -23.7 -10.7 315 19 10 8.4 4.6
26000 -21.5 -6.7 320 22 11 8.6 4.7 | -21.2 -6.2 315 20 10 8.4 4.6
25000 -18.9 -2.0 325 22 11 8.1 4.5 | -18.7 -1.7 315 21 11 8.1 4.4
24000 -16.9 1.6 320 20 10 6.7 3.7 | -16.6 2.1 310 20 11 6.9 3.8
23000 -14.9 5.2 310 18 9 6.7 3.7 | -14.5 5.9 310 20 10 6.9 3.8
22000 -12.9 8.8 305 16 8 6.0 3.3 | -12.5 9.5 310 20 10 6.8 3.8
21000 -11.5 11.3 300 13 7 4.9 2.7 | -10.5 13.1 310 21 11 6.7 3.7
20000 -10.1 13.8 300 10 5 5.0 2.7 | -8.5 16.7 310 23 12 6.8 3.7
19500 -9.4 15.1 300 8 4 4.6 2.5 | -7.5 18.5 310 24 12 6.7 3.7
19000 -7.8 18.0 300 7 3 8.4 4.6 | -6.0 21.2 305 23 12 7.3 4.0
18500 -6.6 20.1 300 6 3 8.4 4.6 | -4.9 23.2 305 21 11 7.3 4.0
18000 -5.2 22.6 300 6 3 9.6 5.3 | -3.8 25.2 305 19 10 7.6 4.2
17500 -3.8 25.2 300 6 3 9.6 5.2 | -2.7 27.1 305 16 8 7.6 4.2
17000 -2.4 27.7 295 6 3 9.6 5.3 | -1.6 29.1 310 13 7 8.3 4.5
16500 -0.9 30.4 295 6 3 9.6 5.3 | -0.2 31.6 310 12 6 9.0 4.9
16000 0.5 32.9 295 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 1.1 34.0 310 11 6 9.0 4.9
15500 2.0 35.6 295 6 3 9.6 5.2 | 2.5 36.5 310 10 5 9.8 5.4
15000 3.4 38.1 290 6 3 9.6 5.2 | 4.0 39.2 310 10 5 9.7 5.3
14500 4.8 40.6 290 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 5.4 41.7 310 10 5 9.5 5.2
14000 6.3 43.3 290 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 6.8 44.2 310 10 5 9.4 5.2
13500 7.7 45.9 290 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 8.3 46.9 310 9 5 9.6 5.3
13000 9.2 48.6 285 6 3 9.8 5.4 | 9.7 49.5 305 9 5 9.8 5.4
12500 10.6 51.1 285 7 3 9.6 5.3 | 11.2 52.2 305 9 5 9.7 5.3
12000 12.0 53.6 285 7 4 9.4 5.2 | 12.6 54.7 305 9 5 9.5 5.2
11500 13.4 56.1 285 8 4 10.0 5.5 | 14.1 57.4 305 9 5 10.4 5.7
11000 14.9 58.8 285 8 4 9.4 5.2 | 15.6 60.1 300 9 5 9.5 5.2
10500 16.4 61.5 285 9 5 9.2 5.1 | 17.1 62.8 300 9 5 8.3 4.6
10250 17.1 62.8 285 10 5 9.4 5.2 | 17.6 63.7 300 10 5 8.7 4.8
10000 17.8 64.0 285 10 5 10.1 5.5 | 18.4 65.1 300 10 5 10.8 5.9
9750 18.6 65.5 285 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 19.2 66.6 295 10 5 10.2 5.6
9500 19.3 66.7 285 11 6 10.3 5.7 | 20.0 68.0 295 10 5 10.3 5.7
9250 20.1 68.2 285 11 6 10.9 6.0 | 20.7 69.3 295 10 5 10.0 5.5
9000 20.9 69.6 285 12 6 9.9 5.5 | 21.5 70.7 295 10 5 9.4 5.2
8750 21.6 70.9 285 12 6 9.2 5.1 | 22.2 72.0 295 10 5 9.1 5.0
8500 22.3 72.1 285 12 6 9.6 5.3 | 22.8 73.0 290 10 5 9.4 5.2
8250 23.0 73.4 285 13 7 9.7 5.3 | 23.6 74.5 290 10 5 9.9 5.4
8000 23.8 74.8 285 13 7 10.0 5.5 | 24.3 75.7 290 10 5 10.1 5.5
7750 24.5 76.1 285 13 7 10.5 5.8 | 25.1 77.2 290 10 5 10.2 5.6
7500 25.3 77.5 285 13 7 10.6 5.8 | 25.8 78.4 285 10 5 9.9 5.4
7250 26.1 79.0 285 14 7 10.7 5.9 | 26.6 79.9 285 10 5 9.5 5.2
7000 26.9 80.4 285 14 7 10.2 5.6 | 27.3 81.1 285 10 5 9.5 5.2
6750 27.7 81.9 285 14 7 12.0 6.6 | 28.0 82.4 285 10 5 10.6 5.8
6500 28.9 84.0 285 13 7 22.0 12.1 | 28.9 84.0 285 10 5 13.5 7.4
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0722 MDT Monday August 11 2025
This forecast is for Monday, August 11, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 81.3 F/27.4 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1526 ft/min (7.8 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 21425 ft MSL (15761 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 92.0 F/33.8 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1130 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 12182 ft MSL (6518 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 08/12...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:23:58 / 19:59:17 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 35 min 19 sec (815 min 19 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:11:37 MDT... 69.81 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/11/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16059 ft MSL (10395 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16602 ft MSL (10938 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17551 ft MSL (11887 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.4
K index......................... +19.7
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.3 -81.9 350 20 10 0.5 0.2 84.0 183.2 29.8 M M
45000 -61.3 -78.3 335 32 16 3.5 1.9 64.3 147.8 19.5 M M
40000 -55.5 -67.9 320 34 18 7.4 4.1 51.2 124.1 12.0 M M
38000 -51.0 -59.8 325 34 18 7.5 4.1 48.9 120.0 10.8 M M
36000 -45.9 -50.6 330 34 17 7.8 4.3 47.2 116.9 9.8 M M
34000 -40.7 -41.3 330 32 17 8.7 4.8 46.0 114.7 9.2 M M
32000 -35.5 -31.9 330 30 16 8.6 4.7 45.3 113.6 8.9 M M
30000 -30.0 -22.0 330 31 16 9.2 5.1 44.7 112.5 8.7 M M
29000 -27.3 -17.1 335 32 17 9.2 5.1 44.6 112.2 8.7 M M
28000 -24.6 -12.3 335 33 17 7.3 4.0 44.4 111.9 8.6 M M
27000 -22.6 -8.7 335 31 16 6.5 3.6 43.1 109.5 7.7 M M
26000 -20.7 -5.3 335 29 15 6.5 3.6 41.9 107.4 6.8 M M
25000 -18.7 -1.7 335 27 14 6.5 3.6 40.8 105.4 6.0 M M
24000 -17.5 0.5 325 24 12 3.7 2.0 38.7 101.6 4.3 M M
23000 -16.5 2.3 315 20 10 3.9 2.1 36.5 97.7 2.4 M M
22000 -15.0 5.0 295 18 9 7.0 3.8 34.1 93.4 0.3 M M
21000 -12.7 9.1 295 19 10 7.9 4.3 33.4 92.1 -0.3 1473 7.5
20000 -10.3 13.5 300 20 10 7.9 4.3 32.8 91.0 -0.9 1373 7.0
19500 -9.2 15.4 300 20 10 8.0 4.4 32.5 90.5 -1.1 1323 6.7
19000 -7.9 17.8 295 20 10 8.3 4.6 32.2 90.0 -1.4 1272 6.5
18500 -6.7 19.9 295 21 11 8.2 4.5 32.0 89.6 -1.6 1220 6.2
18000 -5.4 22.3 295 21 11 9.3 5.1 31.8 89.2 -1.8 1166 5.9
17500 -4.0 24.8 295 21 11 9.4 5.2 31.7 89.1 -1.9 1110 5.6
17000 -2.6 27.3 290 21 11 9.4 5.2 31.7 89.0 -1.9 1053 5.3
16500 -1.2 29.8 290 20 10 9.5 5.2 31.6 88.9 -2.0 996 5.1
16000 0.2 32.4 290 19 10 9.5 5.2 31.6 88.9 -2.0 938 4.8
15500 1.6 34.9 290 19 10 9.4 5.1 31.5 88.8 -2.1 882 4.5
15000 3.0 37.4 285 18 9 9.4 5.1 31.5 88.7 -2.2 825 4.2
14500 4.4 39.9 285 17 9 9.5 5.2 31.4 88.6 -2.2 769 3.9
14000 5.8 42.4 280 16 8 9.5 5.2 31.4 88.5 -2.3 712 3.6
13500 7.2 45.0 275 16 8 9.2 5.1 31.4 88.4 -2.4 655 3.3
13000 8.5 47.3 275 16 8 8.9 4.9 31.2 88.2 -2.6 602 3.1
12500 9.8 49.6 270 16 8 8.7 4.8 31.1 87.9 -2.8 549 2.8
12000 10.9 51.6 270 15 8 7.9 4.3 30.8 87.5 -3.1 499 2.5
11500 12.0 53.6 275 14 7 7.8 4.3 30.5 87.0 -3.5 451 2.3
11000 13.0 55.4 275 12 6 6.2 3.4 30.1 86.1 -4.0 408 2.1
10500 13.9 57.0 275 11 6 7.4 4.0 29.6 85.3 -4.5 365 1.9
10250 14.4 57.9 275 11 5 6.4 3.5 29.4 84.9 -4.7 342 1.7
10000 14.8 58.6 270 10 5 5.3 2.9 29.1 84.3 -5.1 323 1.6
9750 15.2 59.4 265 10 5 5.4 3.0 28.7 83.7 -5.4 304 1.5
9500 15.6 60.1 260 10 5 6.2 3.4 28.4 83.1 -5.8 285 1.4
9250 16.1 61.0 255 10 5 6.7 3.7 28.2 82.7 -6.0 263 1.3
9000 16.5 61.7 245 10 5 6.0 3.3 27.9 82.2 -6.3 242 1.2
8750 17.0 62.6 240 11 6 6.5 3.6 27.6 81.7 -6.6 221 1.1
8500 17.4 63.3 235 11 6 5.3 2.9 27.4 81.3 -6.9 200 1.0
8250 17.8 64.0 230 13 6 6.0 3.3 27.0 80.6 -7.3 182 0.9
8000 18.3 64.9 225 13 7 7.8 4.3 26.8 80.3 -7.5 159 0.8
7750 19.4 66.9 215 15 8 6.7 3.7 26.5 79.7 -7.9 111 0.6
7500 19.9 67.8 210 16 8 4.9 2.7 26.2 79.1 -8.2 91 0.5
7250 20.2 68.4 210 17 9 5.2 2.9 25.8 78.5 -8.6 73 0.4
7000 20.6 69.1 210 17 9 5.5 3.0 25.5 77.9 -9.0 53 0.3
6750 21.0 69.8 205 16 8 5.2 2.8 25.2 77.3 -9.3 34 0.2
6500 21.4 70.5 200 16 8 4.7 2.6 24.8 76.6 -9.7 16 0.1
6250 21.7 71.1 200 15 8 4.6 2.5 24.4 75.9 -10.1 M M
6000 21.9 71.4 195 13 7 -0.9 -0.5 23.9 75.0 -10.7 M M
5750 21.0 69.8 190 8 4 -28.4 -15.6 22.3 72.1 -12.3 5 0.0
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/11/2025 at 0900 MDT | 08/11/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +13.3 LI... -0.5 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.4
CINH... -75.0 K Index... +9.7 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +11.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.4 -82.1 355 13 7 -0.4 -0.2 | -64.0 -83.2 360 10 5 0.5 0.3
45000 -62.0 -79.6 340 24 12 4.2 2.3 | -61.8 -79.2 345 19 10 3.9 2.2
40000 -55.2 -67.4 325 28 15 7.3 4.0 | -55.4 -67.7 320 26 13 7.4 4.0
38000 -50.2 -58.4 330 29 15 7.4 4.1 | -50.4 -58.7 320 27 14 7.4 4.1
36000 -45.8 -50.4 330 29 15 7.6 4.2 | -46.0 -50.8 315 28 14 7.6 4.2
34000 -40.9 -41.6 325 29 15 8.1 4.4 | -41.1 -42.0 310 27 14 8.2 4.5
32000 -36.1 -33.0 320 28 15 8.0 4.4 | -36.1 -33.0 310 25 13 8.2 4.5
30000 -30.6 -23.1 325 26 13 9.3 5.1 | -31.1 -24.0 315 24 12 8.3 4.6
29000 -27.8 -18.0 330 25 13 9.3 5.1 | -28.7 -19.7 315 23 12 8.3 4.6
28000 -25.1 -13.2 335 24 12 8.2 4.5 | -26.2 -15.2 320 23 12 8.5 4.6
27000 -22.8 -9.0 335 25 13 7.9 4.3 | -23.6 -10.5 320 22 12 8.5 4.7
26000 -20.4 -4.7 335 26 13 7.9 4.3 | -21.1 -6.0 325 23 12 8.5 4.7
25000 -18.1 -0.6 335 26 14 7.7 4.2 | -18.5 -1.3 325 23 12 8.4 4.6
24000 -16.2 2.8 335 26 13 5.8 3.2 | -16.4 2.5 325 22 11 6.8 3.8
23000 -14.0 6.8 325 25 13 5.9 3.2 | -13.8 7.2 330 21 11 6.9 3.8
22000 -12.3 9.9 320 25 13 5.3 2.9 | -11.9 10.6 330 21 11 5.5 3.0
21000 -10.8 12.6 310 21 11 5.2 2.9 | -10.4 13.3 315 19 10 5.2 2.8
20000 -9.3 15.3 295 19 10 5.3 2.9 | -8.9 16.0 305 18 10 5.3 2.9
19500 -8.6 16.5 285 19 10 5.9 3.2 | -8.2 17.2 295 18 10 5.8 3.2
19000 -7.6 18.3 285 18 9 7.3 4.0 | -7.2 19.0 295 18 9 7.0 3.9
18500 -6.5 20.3 280 18 9 7.2 4.0 | -6.2 20.8 290 17 9 7.0 3.8
18000 -5.4 22.3 285 17 9 8.3 4.5 | -5.1 22.8 285 16 8 7.2 4.0
17500 -4.1 24.6 285 17 9 8.4 4.6 | -4.0 24.8 285 15 8 7.3 4.0
17000 -2.9 26.8 285 17 9 8.6 4.7 | -3.0 26.6 285 14 7 7.5 4.1
16500 -1.6 29.1 285 17 9 9.0 4.9 | -1.8 28.8 290 13 7 7.9 4.4
16000 -0.2 31.6 290 17 9 8.9 4.9 | -0.6 30.9 295 13 7 7.9 4.3
15500 1.1 34.0 290 17 9 9.0 4.9 | 0.6 33.1 300 13 7 8.3 4.6
15000 2.4 36.3 290 17 9 9.0 4.9 | 1.9 35.4 305 13 7 8.3 4.6
14500 3.7 38.7 290 16 8 8.6 4.7 | 3.1 37.6 305 14 7 8.7 4.8
14000 5.0 41.0 290 15 8 8.5 4.7 | 4.4 39.9 310 14 7 8.8 4.8
13500 6.3 43.3 295 15 8 8.5 4.7 | 5.8 42.4 310 15 7 8.8 4.8
13000 7.5 45.5 300 14 7 8.4 4.6 | 7.1 44.8 310 14 7 8.7 4.8
12500 8.8 47.8 305 14 7 8.4 4.6 | 8.4 47.1 310 13 7 8.5 4.7
12000 10.0 50.0 310 14 7 8.3 4.5 | 9.5 49.1 315 12 6 8.1 4.4
11500 11.3 52.3 315 14 7 8.2 4.5 | 10.7 51.3 315 11 6 8.3 4.5
11000 12.5 54.5 315 14 7 7.4 4.0 | 12.0 53.6 315 10 5 9.1 5.0
10500 13.6 56.5 320 13 7 7.6 4.2 | 13.3 55.9 320 10 5 9.1 5.0
10250 14.1 57.4 320 13 7 6.9 3.8 | 14.0 57.2 315 9 5 9.1 5.0
10000 14.6 58.3 320 12 6 6.4 3.5 | 14.7 58.5 320 9 5 9.1 5.0
9750 15.0 59.0 320 11 6 6.7 3.7 | 15.4 59.7 320 9 5 8.8 4.8
9500 15.5 59.9 320 11 5 6.6 3.6 | 16.0 60.8 320 9 5 10.0 5.5
9250 15.9 60.6 310 9 5 6.1 3.3 | 16.8 62.2 315 9 4 10.3 5.7
9000 16.2 61.2 305 8 4 5.7 3.1 | 17.5 63.5 320 9 4 9.3 5.1
8750 16.6 61.9 300 7 4 6.1 3.4 | 18.2 64.8 320 8 4 9.9 5.5
8500 17.0 62.6 290 7 3 5.2 2.9 | 19.0 66.2 320 8 4 8.3 4.6
8250 17.3 63.1 280 6 3 5.8 3.2 | 19.5 67.1 320 8 4 8.9 4.9
8000 17.8 64.0 270 6 3 7.1 3.9 | 21.1 70.0 320 8 4 10.5 5.8
7750 18.7 65.7 245 6 3 6.0 3.3 | 21.9 71.4 320 8 4 9.7 5.3
7500 19.1 66.4 240 7 3 5.3 2.9 | 22.5 72.5 320 8 4 9.3 5.1
7250 19.6 67.3 230 7 4 8.1 4.4 | 23.3 73.9 320 8 4 10.7 5.9
7000 20.2 68.4 230 7 4 9.2 5.1 | 24.1 75.4 320 7 4 11.2 6.2
6750 20.9 69.6 225 8 4 9.1 5.0 | 24.9 76.8 320 7 4 10.4 5.7
6500 21.6 70.9 225 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 25.7 78.3 320 7 4 10.2 5.6
6250 22.3 72.1 225 8 4 9.4 5.2 | 26.4 79.5 320 7 4 9.7 5.3
6000 23.0 73.4 225 7 4 13.2 7.3 | 27.3 81.1 320 7 3 15.1 8.3
5750 24.6 76.3 225 7 4 34.1 18.7 | 29.6 85.3 315 6 3 56.3 30.9
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
08/11/2025 at 1500 MDT | 08/11/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.6 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.3
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +12.0 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +12.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.2 -81.8 340 13 7 0.2 0.1 | -62.8 -81.0 035 9 5 1.5 0.9
45000 -61.4 -78.5 325 18 9 3.8 2.1 | -59.6 -75.3 355 11 6 3.5 1.9
40000 -55.1 -67.2 305 22 11 7.1 3.9 | -53.4 -64.1 310 20 11 6.5 3.6
38000 -50.3 -58.5 300 23 12 7.2 4.0 | -49.6 -57.3 305 21 11 6.5 3.6
36000 -46.0 -50.8 300 23 12 7.4 4.1 | -45.7 -50.3 295 22 11 6.8 3.7
34000 -41.1 -42.0 305 23 12 8.1 4.5 | -40.8 -41.4 295 20 10 8.2 4.5
32000 -36.2 -33.2 310 22 12 8.2 4.5 | -35.8 -32.4 295 18 9 8.3 4.6
30000 -31.5 -24.7 310 22 11 7.8 4.3 | -31.2 -24.2 310 16 8 7.6 4.2
29000 -29.2 -20.6 310 22 11 7.9 4.3 | -29.0 -20.2 325 16 8 7.6 4.2
28000 -26.8 -16.2 310 22 11 8.6 4.7 | -26.7 -16.1 335 16 8 8.3 4.5
27000 -24.2 -11.6 315 21 11 8.8 4.8 | -24.1 -11.4 330 18 9 8.5 4.7
26000 -21.6 -6.9 320 21 11 8.8 4.8 | -21.6 -6.9 325 19 10 8.5 4.7
25000 -19.0 -2.2 325 21 11 8.6 4.7 | -19.0 -2.2 325 20 11 8.4 4.6
24000 -16.7 1.9 325 20 10 7.4 4.1 | -16.4 2.5 320 21 11 6.9 3.8
23000 -14.0 6.8 325 19 10 7.4 4.1 | -14.3 6.3 320 22 11 6.9 3.8
22000 -11.8 10.8 320 18 9 6.4 3.5 | -12.3 9.9 315 22 12 6.8 3.7
21000 -10.0 14.0 315 19 10 6.2 3.4 | -10.3 13.5 295 25 13 6.9 3.8
20000 -8.2 17.2 305 20 10 6.2 3.4 | -8.3 17.1 285 29 15 7.0 3.8
19500 -7.2 19.0 305 21 11 5.6 3.0 | -7.3 18.9 280 31 16 7.1 3.9
19000 -6.6 20.1 300 19 10 3.9 2.1 | -6.3 20.7 275 29 15 7.3 4.0
18500 -6.1 21.0 300 18 9 3.7 2.0 | -5.2 22.6 275 27 14 7.3 4.0
18000 -5.4 22.3 300 17 9 7.5 4.1 | -4.1 24.6 275 25 13 8.3 4.6
17500 -4.2 24.4 295 15 8 7.9 4.3 | -2.8 27.0 280 22 11 8.5 4.7
17000 -3.0 26.6 295 14 7 8.3 4.6 | -1.6 29.1 280 19 10 8.7 4.8
16500 -1.7 28.9 295 13 7 9.3 5.1 | -0.2 31.6 285 17 9 9.2 5.0
16000 -0.3 31.5 295 13 6 9.3 5.1 | 1.2 34.2 285 16 8 9.2 5.0
15500 1.1 34.0 295 12 6 9.6 5.3 | 2.6 36.7 290 14 7 9.3 5.1
15000 2.6 36.7 295 12 6 9.6 5.3 | 4.0 39.2 295 13 7 9.3 5.1
14500 4.0 39.2 295 12 6 9.6 5.3 | 5.4 41.7 300 12 6 9.5 5.2
14000 5.5 41.9 295 11 6 9.6 5.3 | 6.8 44.2 300 12 6 9.5 5.2
13500 6.9 44.4 295 11 6 9.7 5.3 | 8.2 46.8 305 11 6 9.6 5.3
13000 8.4 47.1 295 11 5 9.7 5.3 | 9.7 49.5 310 11 6 9.6 5.3
12500 9.8 49.6 295 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 11.1 52.0 310 10 5 9.6 5.3
12000 11.3 52.3 295 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 12.5 54.5 315 10 5 9.6 5.3
11500 12.7 54.9 295 10 5 9.5 5.2 | 14.0 57.2 320 10 5 9.6 5.2
11000 14.1 57.4 295 9 5 9.0 4.9 | 15.4 59.7 320 9 5 8.9 4.9
10500 15.5 59.9 295 9 5 10.7 5.8 | 16.8 62.2 325 9 5 10.7 5.8
10250 16.3 61.3 295 9 4 9.8 5.4 | 17.6 63.7 325 9 5 10.0 5.5
10000 17.0 62.6 295 8 4 9.2 5.1 | 18.3 64.9 325 9 5 9.4 5.2
9750 17.7 63.9 290 8 4 9.1 5.0 | 19.0 66.2 330 9 5 9.4 5.2
9500 18.4 65.1 290 8 4 10.2 5.6 | 19.7 67.5 330 9 4 10.0 5.5
9250 19.2 66.6 290 8 4 10.6 5.8 | 20.5 68.9 330 9 4 10.2 5.6
9000 19.9 67.8 290 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 21.2 70.2 335 8 4 9.5 5.2
8750 20.7 69.3 290 7 4 10.3 5.7 | 22.0 71.6 335 8 4 10.2 5.6
8500 21.4 70.5 290 7 4 8.2 4.5 | 22.7 72.9 335 8 4 8.0 4.4
8250 22.0 71.6 290 6 3 8.9 4.9 | 23.2 73.8 335 8 4 8.5 4.7
8000 22.8 73.0 290 6 3 11.2 6.2 | 24.0 75.2 340 8 4 10.9 6.0
7750 24.4 75.9 290 6 3 9.8 5.4 | 24.8 76.6 340 8 4 10.5 5.8
7500 25.1 77.2 285 6 3 8.9 4.9 | 26.3 79.3 345 8 4 8.7 4.8
7250 25.8 78.4 285 5 3 10.6 5.8 | 27.0 80.6 345 8 4 9.8 5.4
7000 26.6 79.9 285 5 3 11.3 6.2 | 27.7 81.9 345 8 4 10.6 5.8
6750 27.4 81.3 285 5 2 10.5 5.8 | 28.5 83.3 350 7 4 10.1 5.6
6500 28.2 82.8 285 5 2 10.2 5.6 | 29.3 84.7 350 7 4 10.0 5.5
6250 29.0 84.2 280 4 2 9.8 5.4 | 30.0 86.0 350 7 4 9.3 5.1
6000 29.8 85.6 280 4 2 14.6 8.0 | 30.7 87.3 355 7 3 12.0 6.6
5750 32.0 89.6 275 4 2 52.8 28.9 | 32.3 90.1 355 6 3 36.1 19.8
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0723 MDT Monday August 11 2025
This forecast is for Monday, August 11, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 79.6 F/26.5 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1612 ft/min (8.2 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 22650 ft MSL (16215 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 90.0 F/32.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1130 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 18793 ft MSL (12358 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 08/12...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:20:53 / 19:58:09 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 37 min 16 sec (817 min 16 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:09:31 MDT... 69.29 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/11/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15891 ft MSL (9456 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 17089 ft MSL (10654 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 18664 ft MSL (12229 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.0
K index......................... +20.2
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.2 -81.8 345 19 10 1.0 0.6 81.6 178.8 29.2 M M
45000 -60.6 -77.1 340 33 17 3.4 1.8 63.0 145.4 19.5 M M
40000 -55.1 -67.2 325 38 20 7.0 3.9 49.4 120.9 11.6 M M
38000 -51.0 -59.8 325 37 19 7.0 3.8 46.7 116.0 10.1 M M
36000 -46.3 -51.3 330 37 19 7.1 3.9 44.4 112.0 8.7 M M
34000 -41.1 -42.0 330 35 18 8.8 4.8 43.3 109.9 8.1 M M
32000 -35.8 -32.4 335 33 17 8.8 4.8 42.7 108.9 7.9 M M
30000 -30.4 -22.7 335 33 17 9.1 5.0 42.0 107.7 7.5 M M
29000 -27.7 -17.9 335 33 17 9.1 5.0 41.8 107.3 7.5 M M
28000 -25.0 -13.0 335 34 17 7.3 4.0 41.7 107.0 7.4 M M
27000 -23.2 -9.8 335 30 15 6.1 3.3 40.2 104.3 6.3 M M
26000 -21.4 -6.5 335 26 13 6.1 3.3 38.8 101.8 5.3 M M
25000 -19.6 -3.3 335 22 11 6.4 3.5 37.5 99.5 4.3 M M
24000 -18.3 -0.9 325 19 10 4.0 2.2 35.5 96.0 2.7 M M
23000 -16.8 1.8 305 18 9 4.2 2.3 33.0 91.3 0.4 M M
22000 -15.6 3.9 290 19 10 6.6 3.6 31.2 88.2 -1.2 1562 7.9
21000 -13.3 8.1 290 19 10 7.8 4.3 30.4 86.8 -1.9 1463 7.4
20000 -11.0 12.2 285 19 10 7.8 4.3 29.8 85.6 -2.5 1364 6.9
19500 -9.8 14.4 285 19 10 8.0 4.4 29.5 85.1 -2.8 1314 6.7
19000 -8.5 16.7 285 19 10 9.2 5.0 29.3 84.8 -3.0 1261 6.4
18500 -7.2 19.0 285 19 10 9.1 5.0 29.2 84.6 -3.1 1205 6.1
18000 -5.8 21.6 285 19 10 9.1 5.0 29.1 84.4 -3.2 1150 5.8
17500 -4.5 23.9 280 19 10 9.1 5.0 29.0 84.2 -3.3 1095 5.6
17000 -3.1 26.4 275 19 10 9.2 5.0 28.9 84.0 -3.4 1040 5.3
16500 -1.7 28.9 275 19 10 9.5 5.2 28.8 83.9 -3.5 983 5.0
16000 -0.3 31.5 270 19 10 9.5 5.2 28.8 83.9 -3.6 926 4.7
15500 1.1 34.0 265 19 10 9.8 5.4 28.8 83.8 -3.7 869 4.4
15000 2.5 36.5 265 20 10 9.8 5.4 28.8 83.8 -3.7 811 4.1
14500 3.9 39.0 260 20 10 9.6 5.2 28.8 83.8 -3.7 754 3.8
14000 5.3 41.5 260 20 10 9.4 5.2 28.7 83.7 -3.9 698 3.5
13500 6.7 44.1 255 20 10 9.2 5.0 28.7 83.6 -3.9 642 3.3
13000 7.9 46.2 255 20 10 8.6 4.7 28.5 83.3 -4.2 589 3.0
12500 9.2 48.6 255 20 10 8.6 4.7 28.4 83.0 -4.4 537 2.7
12000 10.4 50.7 255 19 10 8.1 4.5 28.1 82.6 -4.7 487 2.5
11500 11.6 52.9 260 18 9 9.5 5.2 27.9 82.1 -5.0 436 2.2
11000 13.0 55.4 265 17 9 7.5 4.1 27.7 81.9 -5.1 380 1.9
10500 14.2 57.6 270 15 8 7.4 4.1 27.5 81.4 -5.4 329 1.7
10250 14.7 58.5 270 15 8 6.0 3.3 27.2 81.0 -5.6 307 1.6
10000 15.1 59.2 270 14 7 6.2 3.4 26.9 80.5 -5.9 287 1.5
9750 16.0 60.8 265 13 7 6.8 3.7 26.4 79.6 -6.5 244 1.2
9500 16.4 61.5 260 12 6 4.4 2.4 26.2 79.1 -6.8 224 1.1
9250 16.6 61.9 255 11 6 3.6 2.0 25.7 78.2 -7.3 210 1.1
9000 17.0 62.6 250 10 5 5.1 2.8 25.3 77.5 -7.8 194 1.0
8750 17.3 63.1 240 9 5 4.7 2.6 24.9 76.8 -8.2 177 0.9
8500 17.6 63.7 235 8 4 4.4 2.4 24.5 76.2 -8.6 160 0.8
8250 17.9 64.2 225 6 3 4.5 2.5 24.1 75.4 -9.1 143 0.7
8000 18.3 64.9 215 5 3 5.7 3.1 23.8 74.8 -9.4 125 0.6
7750 18.7 65.7 190 4 2 5.1 2.8 23.5 74.2 -9.8 105 0.5
7500 19.0 66.2 175 4 2 3.3 1.8 23.0 73.5 -10.3 89 0.5
7250 19.1 66.4 160 4 2 2.2 1.2 22.5 72.5 -10.8 77 0.4
7000 19.3 66.7 150 4 2 4.5 2.4 22.0 71.6 -11.4 64 0.3
6750 19.5 67.1 140 4 2 -2.2 -1.2 21.5 70.7 -11.9 50 0.3
6500 17.5 63.5 130 4 2 -66.3 -36.4 18.8 65.8 -14.7 103 0.5
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/11/2025 at 0900 MDT | 08/11/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +9.3 LI... -0.8 | CAPE... +15.5 LI... -0.2
CINH... -93.4 K Index... +12.8 | CINH... -28.2 K Index... +15.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.4 -78.5 360 14 7 0.1 0.1 | -63.2 -81.8 340 6 3 0.3 0.2
45000 -60.1 -76.2 345 24 12 2.6 1.4 | -61.3 -78.3 340 18 9 3.8 2.1
40000 -55.6 -68.1 325 31 16 7.5 4.1 | -54.6 -66.3 325 27 14 7.1 3.9
38000 -50.6 -59.1 325 30 16 7.4 4.1 | -50.4 -58.7 320 28 14 7.1 3.9
36000 -46.2 -51.2 325 29 15 7.5 4.1 | -46.1 -51.0 315 29 15 7.2 3.9
34000 -41.4 -42.5 320 29 15 8.1 4.4 | -41.3 -42.3 315 27 14 8.1 4.5
32000 -36.5 -33.7 315 29 15 8.0 4.4 | -36.4 -33.5 310 26 13 8.1 4.5
30000 -31.1 -24.0 320 27 14 9.3 5.1 | -31.6 -24.9 315 25 13 8.1 4.5
29000 -28.3 -18.9 325 26 14 9.3 5.1 | -29.2 -20.6 315 25 13 8.1 4.5
28000 -25.5 -13.9 330 26 13 8.7 4.7 | -26.7 -16.1 320 25 13 8.5 4.6
27000 -23.0 -9.4 330 25 13 8.3 4.6 | -24.1 -11.4 320 25 13 8.6 4.7
26000 -20.5 -4.9 330 24 13 8.3 4.6 | -21.6 -6.9 320 25 13 8.6 4.7
25000 -18.0 -0.4 335 24 12 8.5 4.7 | -18.4 -1.1 325 26 13 7.6 4.2
24000 -15.8 3.6 330 22 11 5.5 3.0 | -16.3 2.7 320 23 12 6.8 3.7
23000 -14.2 6.4 325 20 10 5.5 3.0 | -14.3 6.3 320 20 10 6.8 3.7
22000 -12.6 9.3 315 19 10 5.0 2.8 | -12.3 9.9 320 17 9 5.6 3.1
21000 -11.2 11.8 305 18 9 4.8 2.7 | -10.9 12.4 305 16 8 5.0 2.7
20000 -9.9 14.2 290 18 9 4.9 2.7 | -9.4 15.1 295 15 8 5.1 2.8
19500 -9.2 15.4 280 19 10 5.3 2.9 | -8.7 16.3 290 15 8 5.3 2.9
19000 -8.2 17.2 280 18 9 7.5 4.1 | -7.8 18.0 285 15 8 6.5 3.6
18500 -7.1 19.2 275 18 9 7.4 4.0 | -6.9 19.6 280 15 8 6.4 3.5
18000 -6.0 21.2 275 17 9 8.3 4.5 | -5.9 21.4 280 15 8 7.6 4.2
17500 -4.7 23.5 280 17 9 8.6 4.7 | -4.7 23.5 280 15 7 8.0 4.4
17000 -3.4 25.9 280 17 9 8.7 4.8 | -3.5 25.7 280 14 7 8.1 4.5
16500 -2.1 28.2 280 17 9 9.3 5.1 | -2.3 27.9 280 14 7 8.7 4.8
16000 -0.7 30.7 285 17 9 9.2 5.1 | -1.0 30.2 285 14 7 8.6 4.7
15500 0.6 33.1 285 17 9 9.1 5.0 | 0.3 32.5 285 14 7 9.0 4.9
15000 2.0 35.6 285 17 9 9.1 5.0 | 1.7 35.1 290 14 7 9.0 4.9
14500 3.4 38.1 285 17 9 9.0 5.0 | 3.0 37.4 290 14 7 8.9 4.9
14000 4.7 40.5 290 17 9 9.0 4.9 | 4.3 39.7 295 14 7 8.9 4.9
13500 6.1 43.0 295 17 9 8.9 4.9 | 5.6 42.1 295 13 7 8.9 4.9
13000 7.4 45.3 295 16 8 8.7 4.8 | 6.9 44.4 295 13 6 9.0 4.9
12500 8.7 47.7 295 16 8 8.4 4.6 | 8.3 46.9 295 12 6 8.9 4.9
12000 9.7 49.5 295 15 8 5.9 3.2 | 9.4 48.9 290 10 5 8.1 4.5
11500 10.5 50.9 295 13 7 7.0 3.9 | 10.6 51.1 285 9 5 9.2 5.0
11000 11.4 52.5 290 11 6 5.2 2.8 | 12.0 53.6 285 8 4 8.7 4.8
10500 12.1 53.8 285 9 5 5.8 3.2 | 13.3 55.9 280 7 3 8.1 4.4
10250 12.5 54.5 275 9 5 6.1 3.3 | 14.5 58.1 270 6 3 10.0 5.5
10000 13.2 55.8 265 7 4 5.9 3.2 | 15.3 59.5 270 6 3 9.6 5.3
9750 13.6 56.5 260 7 3 6.0 3.3 | 16.0 60.8 265 5 3 9.7 5.3
9500 14.0 57.2 260 6 3 5.1 2.8 | 16.7 62.1 260 5 3 9.2 5.0
9250 14.4 57.9 260 5 3 6.4 3.5 | 17.3 63.1 260 5 2 9.5 5.2
9000 14.9 58.8 260 4 2 8.0 4.4 | 18.1 64.6 255 5 2 10.1 5.5
8750 15.5 59.9 255 4 2 7.5 4.1 | 18.8 65.8 250 5 2 9.9 5.4
8500 16.0 60.8 255 3 2 6.4 3.5 | 19.5 67.1 250 4 2 9.4 5.2
8250 16.5 61.7 260 2 1 6.6 3.6 | 20.2 68.4 245 4 2 9.7 5.3
8000 17.0 62.6 270 2 1 8.3 4.5 | 21.0 69.8 245 4 2 10.6 5.8
7750 17.7 63.9 270 1 1 8.9 4.9 | 21.8 71.2 240 4 2 10.6 5.8
7500 18.3 64.9 275 1 1 9.3 5.1 | 22.6 72.7 240 4 2 10.2 5.6
7250 19.0 66.2 275 1 0 9.6 5.2 | 23.3 73.9 235 4 2 10.5 5.8
7000 19.7 67.5 280 1 0 8.8 4.8 | 24.1 75.4 235 4 2 9.4 5.1
6750 20.4 68.7 285 1 0 11.0 6.0 | 24.9 76.8 235 4 2 14.3 7.9
6500 21.8 71.2 285 1 0 33.2 18.2 | 27.2 81.0 230 4 2 59.3 32.5
08/11/2025 at 1500 MDT | 08/11/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +0.4 LI... -0.4 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... 0.0
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +10.0 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +10.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.3 -81.9 330 14 7 0.7 0.4 | -62.2 -80.0 020 10 5 0.8 0.4
45000 -60.9 -77.6 320 18 9 3.8 2.1 | -59.8 -75.6 355 14 7 3.5 1.9
40000 -54.8 -66.6 315 19 10 6.9 3.8 | -53.5 -64.3 300 17 9 6.9 3.8
38000 -50.2 -58.4 310 22 11 6.9 3.8 | -49.4 -56.9 310 16 8 6.9 3.8
36000 -46.1 -51.0 310 24 12 6.9 3.8 | -45.3 -49.5 320 16 8 6.9 3.8
34000 -41.6 -42.9 310 24 12 7.6 4.2 | -41.0 -41.8 325 15 8 7.2 3.9
32000 -37.0 -34.6 310 23 12 7.5 4.1 | -36.7 -34.1 335 15 8 7.0 3.9
30000 -32.0 -25.6 310 21 11 8.6 4.7 | -31.6 -24.9 330 16 8 8.9 4.9
29000 -29.4 -20.9 310 20 10 8.6 4.7 | -28.9 -20.0 330 16 8 8.9 4.9
28000 -26.8 -16.2 315 20 10 8.6 4.7 | -26.3 -15.3 325 16 8 8.3 4.5
27000 -24.3 -11.7 315 20 10 8.6 4.7 | -23.9 -11.0 325 17 9 8.0 4.4
26000 -21.7 -7.1 320 20 11 8.6 4.7 | -21.5 -6.7 320 18 9 8.0 4.4
25000 -19.1 -2.4 320 21 11 8.6 4.7 | -18.5 -1.3 320 19 10 7.1 3.9
24000 -16.6 2.1 320 20 10 6.7 3.6 | -16.6 2.1 315 19 10 6.6 3.6
23000 -14.6 5.7 315 19 10 6.7 3.7 | -14.6 5.7 310 19 10 6.7 3.7
22000 -12.7 9.1 315 17 9 5.3 2.9 | -12.7 9.1 305 19 10 6.4 3.5
21000 -11.3 11.7 305 14 7 4.8 2.6 | -10.9 12.4 310 16 8 6.3 3.4
20000 -10.0 14.0 295 12 6 4.9 2.7 | -9.1 15.6 315 14 7 6.4 3.5
19500 -9.3 15.3 285 11 6 5.9 3.2 | -8.2 17.2 315 13 7 7.0 3.8
19000 -8.1 17.4 285 11 5 9.2 5.0 | -6.9 19.6 315 12 6 9.4 5.1
18500 -6.7 19.9 280 10 5 9.0 4.9 | -5.6 21.9 315 12 6 9.3 5.1
18000 -5.4 22.3 280 10 5 9.5 5.2 | -4.2 24.4 310 12 6 9.2 5.0
17500 -3.9 25.0 280 10 5 9.6 5.3 | -2.8 27.0 305 11 6 9.1 5.0
17000 -2.5 27.5 280 10 5 9.6 5.3 | -1.4 29.5 300 11 6 9.2 5.0
16500 -1.0 30.2 275 10 5 9.7 5.3 | -0.0 32.0 295 11 6 9.3 5.1
16000 0.4 32.7 275 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 1.4 34.5 290 11 6 9.3 5.1
15500 1.9 35.4 275 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 2.8 37.0 285 11 6 9.5 5.2
15000 3.3 37.9 270 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 4.2 39.6 285 11 6 9.5 5.2
14500 4.7 40.5 270 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 5.6 42.1 280 11 6 9.6 5.2
14000 6.2 43.2 270 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 7.0 44.6 275 11 6 9.6 5.3
13500 7.6 45.7 265 9 5 9.6 5.3 | 8.5 47.3 275 12 6 9.7 5.3
13000 9.1 48.4 265 9 5 9.7 5.3 | 9.9 49.8 270 12 6 9.7 5.3
12500 10.5 50.9 260 9 5 9.7 5.3 | 11.4 52.5 270 12 6 9.7 5.3
12000 11.9 53.4 260 10 5 9.4 5.1 | 12.8 55.0 265 12 6 9.4 5.1
11500 13.4 56.1 255 10 5 10.0 5.5 | 14.2 57.6 265 13 7 10.1 5.5
11000 14.8 58.6 255 10 5 9.5 5.2 | 15.7 60.3 260 13 7 9.3 5.1
10500 16.3 61.3 250 10 5 10.1 5.5 | 17.1 62.8 260 13 7 9.8 5.4
10250 17.1 62.8 250 10 5 10.2 5.6 | 17.9 64.2 260 14 7 10.0 5.5
10000 17.8 64.0 245 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 18.6 65.5 260 14 7 9.6 5.3
9750 19.2 66.6 245 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 19.3 66.7 255 14 7 9.7 5.3
9500 20.0 68.0 245 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 20.8 69.4 255 14 7 9.4 5.1
9250 20.7 69.3 240 11 6 9.9 5.4 | 21.5 70.7 255 15 8 9.4 5.2
9000 21.5 70.7 240 11 6 10.1 5.6 | 22.2 72.0 255 15 8 9.8 5.4
8750 22.2 72.0 240 11 6 10.1 5.5 | 22.9 73.2 255 15 8 9.8 5.4
8500 23.0 73.4 240 11 6 9.8 5.4 | 23.7 74.7 250 15 8 9.4 5.2
8250 23.7 74.7 240 11 6 10.0 5.5 | 24.4 75.9 250 16 8 9.6 5.3
8000 24.5 76.1 240 11 6 10.6 5.8 | 25.1 77.2 250 16 8 10.5 5.7
7750 25.2 77.4 235 11 6 10.6 5.8 | 25.9 78.6 250 16 8 10.5 5.7
7500 26.0 78.8 235 11 6 10.4 5.7 | 26.7 80.1 250 16 8 9.8 5.4
7250 26.8 80.2 235 11 6 10.8 5.9 | 27.4 81.3 250 16 8 9.6 5.3
7000 27.6 81.7 235 11 6 9.4 5.1 | 28.1 82.6 250 16 8 9.5 5.2
6750 28.4 83.1 235 11 6 15.3 8.4 | 28.9 84.0 250 15 8 12.0 6.6
6500 31.1 88.0 230 10 5 69.7 38.2 | 30.3 86.5 245 13 7 32.0 17.6
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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