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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0742 MDT Wednesday August 12 2026
This forecast is for Wednesday, August 12, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 81.7 F/27.6 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1380 ft/min (7.0 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 19064 ft MSL (12744 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 93.0 F/34.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 16386 ft MSL (10066 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Thursday 08/13..... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:22:09 / 19:55:52 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 33 min 42 sec (813 min 42 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:09:00 MDT... 69.71 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/12/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16580 ft MSL (10260 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16206 ft MSL (9886 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17629 ft MSL (11309 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.3
K index......................... +26.0
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.4 -87.5 295 10 5 1.9 1.0 75.8 168.4 24.8 M M
45000 -60.6 -77.1 110 2 1 6.9 3.8 61.1 141.9 17.3 M M
40000 -50.1 -58.2 125 20 10 7.4 4.1 55.2 131.3 14.5 M M
38000 -45.6 -50.1 125 20 11 7.4 4.1 53.0 127.4 13.3 M M
36000 -41.2 -42.2 120 21 11 7.3 4.0 51.4 124.6 12.5 M M
34000 -36.9 -34.4 115 20 10 7.1 3.9 48.9 120.1 11.0 M M
32000 -32.2 -26.0 110 20 10 7.1 3.9 46.8 116.3 9.7 M M
30000 -27.9 -18.2 115 17 9 7.1 3.9 44.5 112.2 8.2 M M
29000 -25.8 -14.4 115 15 8 7.1 3.9 43.6 110.5 7.6 M M
28000 -23.7 -10.7 120 13 7 6.9 3.8 42.6 108.8 6.9 M M
27000 -21.7 -7.1 130 11 5 6.9 3.8 41.5 106.7 6.0 M M
26000 -19.6 -3.3 145 8 4 6.9 3.8 40.4 104.8 5.2 M M
25000 -17.6 0.3 170 7 4 7.4 4.1 39.5 103.2 4.5 M M
24000 -15.2 4.6 175 11 6 7.9 4.3 38.8 101.8 3.9 M M
23000 -12.8 9.0 175 15 8 7.9 4.3 38.1 100.6 3.4 M M
22000 -10.4 13.3 175 19 10 7.2 3.9 37.5 99.6 3.0 M M
21000 -8.4 16.9 165 19 10 6.5 3.6 36.3 97.3 2.0 M M
20000 -6.5 20.3 155 19 10 6.5 3.6 35.2 95.3 1.0 M M
19500 -5.5 22.1 150 20 10 6.5 3.6 34.7 94.4 0.6 M M
19000 -4.6 23.7 145 19 10 6.0 3.3 34.1 93.3 0.1 M M
18500 -3.8 25.2 145 18 9 6.2 3.4 33.5 92.2 -0.6 1143 5.8
18000 -2.5 27.5 140 15 8 6.1 3.4 32.6 90.6 -1.5 1083 5.5
17500 -1.7 28.9 140 12 6 6.4 3.5 32.0 89.6 -2.1 1043 5.3
17000 -0.8 30.6 145 8 4 7.7 4.3 31.4 88.6 -2.8 1003 5.1
16500 0.4 32.7 155 5 3 8.8 4.8 31.3 88.3 -3.0 950 4.8
16000 1.7 35.1 185 3 1 8.9 4.9 31.1 88.1 -3.2 898 4.6
15500 2.9 37.2 230 3 1 8.8 4.8 31.0 87.8 -3.5 846 4.3
15000 4.2 39.6 250 4 2 8.9 4.9 30.8 87.5 -3.7 794 4.0
14500 5.4 41.7 255 6 3 8.4 4.6 30.7 87.2 -3.9 743 3.8
14000 6.6 43.9 255 7 3 8.4 4.6 30.4 86.8 -4.2 692 3.5
13500 7.8 46.0 255 7 4 8.4 4.6 30.2 86.4 -4.5 641 3.3
13000 9.1 48.4 265 8 4 8.4 4.6 30.0 86.0 -4.7 589 3.0
12500 10.3 50.5 270 8 4 8.5 4.7 29.8 85.7 -5.0 538 2.7
12000 11.5 52.7 275 9 4 8.6 4.7 29.6 85.3 -5.2 485 2.5
11500 12.8 55.0 285 9 5 8.9 4.9 29.4 85.0 -5.4 432 2.2
11000 14.1 57.4 290 10 5 8.3 4.6 29.3 84.7 -5.6 378 1.9
10500 15.4 59.7 295 11 6 7.5 4.1 29.1 84.4 -5.8 326 1.7
10250 15.9 60.6 300 11 6 6.9 3.8 28.9 83.9 -6.1 304 1.5
10000 16.4 61.5 300 12 6 7.8 4.3 28.7 83.6 -6.3 280 1.4
9750 17.0 62.6 300 12 6 7.6 4.2 28.5 83.3 -6.4 255 1.3
9500 17.5 63.5 300 12 6 7.7 4.2 28.4 83.1 -6.6 231 1.2
9250 18.1 64.6 300 12 6 7.7 4.2 28.2 82.8 -6.8 207 1.1
9000 18.6 65.5 300 11 6 6.1 3.4 28.0 82.4 -7.0 185 0.9
8750 19.0 66.2 300 11 6 5.1 2.8 27.7 81.8 -7.4 166 0.8
8500 19.4 66.9 300 10 5 5.2 2.9 27.3 81.2 -7.8 147 0.7
8250 19.7 67.5 300 10 5 5.1 2.8 27.0 80.5 -8.2 129 0.7
8000 20.1 68.2 295 10 5 4.8 2.6 26.6 79.9 -8.6 111 0.6
7750 20.4 68.7 295 9 5 4.6 2.5 26.2 79.2 -9.0 94 0.5
7500 20.7 69.3 295 9 5 3.3 1.8 25.8 78.4 -9.4 78 0.4
7250 20.8 69.4 295 8 4 1.8 1.0 25.2 77.4 -10.1 66 0.3
7000 21.0 69.8 295 7 4 2.6 1.4 24.7 76.4 -10.7 55 0.3
6750 21.1 70.0 295 6 3 -0.8 -0.4 24.1 75.3 -11.3 44 0.2
6500 20.5 68.9 295 5 2 -15.0 -8.3 22.8 73.0 -12.6 53 0.3
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/12/2026 at 0900 MDT | 08/12/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +206.9 LI... -0.4 | CAPE... +593.9 LI... -2.8
CINH... -78.9 K Index... +27.8 | CINH... -0.1 K Index... +32.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.2 -87.2 125 2 1 2.6 1.4 | -65.2 -85.4 220 9 4 2.0 1.1
45000 -60.0 -76.0 145 8 4 6.2 3.4 | -59.8 -75.6 205 10 5 6.4 3.5
40000 -50.4 -58.7 170 12 6 7.4 4.1 | -49.9 -57.8 200 7 4 7.4 4.0
38000 -45.9 -50.6 160 13 7 7.4 4.1 | -45.5 -49.9 195 8 4 7.4 4.0
36000 -41.5 -42.7 155 14 7 7.4 4.1 | -41.1 -42.0 190 8 4 7.3 4.0
34000 -37.1 -34.8 140 18 9 7.4 4.0 | -36.4 -33.5 195 11 6 7.0 3.8
32000 -32.1 -25.8 125 23 12 7.3 4.0 | -32.2 -26.0 195 13 7 6.9 3.8
30000 -27.8 -18.0 120 22 11 7.2 3.9 | -28.2 -18.8 170 14 7 6.6 3.6
29000 -25.7 -14.3 115 21 11 7.2 4.0 | -26.3 -15.3 160 15 8 6.6 3.6
28000 -23.6 -10.5 115 20 10 6.6 3.6 | -24.3 -11.7 155 16 8 7.1 3.9
27000 -21.6 -6.9 115 17 9 6.7 3.7 | -22.2 -8.0 155 15 8 7.1 3.9
26000 -19.6 -3.3 115 14 7 6.7 3.7 | -20.1 -4.2 155 14 7 7.1 3.9
25000 -17.6 0.3 115 11 6 7.4 4.1 | -18.0 -0.4 150 13 7 7.7 4.2
24000 -15.1 4.8 130 8 4 8.1 4.4 | -15.5 4.1 155 11 6 8.2 4.5
23000 -12.7 9.1 150 6 3 8.1 4.5 | -13.0 8.6 165 10 5 8.2 4.5
22000 -10.3 13.5 190 5 3 7.3 4.0 | -10.5 13.1 170 8 4 6.6 3.6
21000 -8.3 17.1 175 9 5 6.7 3.7 | -9.0 15.8 190 10 5 5.2 2.9
20000 -6.3 20.7 175 13 7 6.7 3.7 | -7.5 18.5 205 12 6 5.3 2.9
19500 -5.4 22.3 170 15 8 6.9 3.8 | -6.7 19.9 210 14 7 5.3 2.9
19000 -4.8 23.4 170 15 8 1.8 1.0 | -6.1 21.0 210 14 7 4.0 2.2
18500 -4.6 23.7 170 14 7 2.5 1.4 | -5.4 22.3 200 12 6 4.5 2.5
18000 -4.3 24.3 165 13 7 5.3 2.9 | -4.5 23.9 200 10 5 8.9 4.9
17500 -2.7 27.1 170 9 4 7.8 4.3 | -3.3 26.1 200 9 5 8.5 4.7
17000 -1.6 29.1 175 6 3 8.8 4.8 | -2.1 28.2 200 8 4 9.2 5.1
16500 -0.2 31.6 185 4 2 9.4 5.2 | -0.6 30.9 200 7 4 9.7 5.3
16000 1.2 34.2 200 3 2 9.4 5.2 | 0.8 33.4 205 6 3 9.6 5.3
15500 2.5 36.5 230 3 2 8.9 4.9 | 2.1 35.8 215 6 3 8.6 4.7
15000 3.7 38.7 255 4 2 9.0 4.9 | 3.4 38.1 230 5 3 8.6 4.7
14500 5.0 41.0 265 5 3 8.6 4.7 | 4.7 40.5 240 5 3 9.6 5.2
14000 6.2 43.2 270 6 3 8.6 4.7 | 6.1 43.0 255 5 3 9.6 5.3
13500 7.5 45.5 275 7 3 9.0 4.9 | 7.4 45.3 260 5 3 9.2 5.1
13000 8.9 48.0 280 7 3 9.1 5.0 | 8.8 47.8 265 5 3 9.1 5.0
12500 10.2 50.4 285 7 4 8.5 4.6 | 10.1 50.2 270 6 3 9.2 5.0
12000 11.4 52.5 290 7 4 7.9 4.3 | 11.5 52.7 270 6 3 9.3 5.1
11500 12.5 54.5 295 8 4 8.6 4.7 | 12.8 55.0 275 6 3 9.8 5.4
11000 13.8 56.8 295 8 4 7.7 4.2 | 14.3 57.7 275 7 3 9.4 5.2
10500 15.0 59.0 295 9 4 7.1 3.9 | 15.7 60.3 275 7 4 9.1 5.0
10250 15.4 59.7 295 9 4 6.6 3.6 | 16.4 61.5 275 7 4 9.2 5.0
10000 16.0 60.8 295 9 4 7.4 4.1 | 17.1 62.8 275 7 4 9.9 5.4
9750 16.5 61.7 290 8 4 7.4 4.1 | 17.8 64.0 275 8 4 9.5 5.2
9500 17.0 62.6 290 8 4 6.9 3.8 | 18.5 65.3 275 8 4 10.3 5.7
9250 17.5 63.5 285 8 4 6.0 3.3 | 19.3 66.7 275 8 4 11.2 6.1
9000 17.8 64.0 285 8 4 4.8 2.6 | 20.1 68.2 275 9 4 9.9 5.4
8750 18.1 64.6 280 8 4 3.5 1.9 | 20.8 69.4 275 9 5 9.0 5.0
8500 18.3 64.9 270 7 4 5.0 2.8 | 21.5 70.7 275 9 5 9.4 5.2
8250 18.8 65.8 270 7 4 6.3 3.5 | 22.2 72.0 275 9 5 9.5 5.2
8000 19.2 66.6 265 7 4 7.0 3.8 | 22.9 73.2 275 10 5 9.9 5.4
7750 19.8 67.6 260 7 4 8.4 4.6 | 23.7 74.7 275 10 5 10.6 5.8
7500 20.4 68.7 255 7 3 9.2 5.0 | 24.5 76.1 275 10 5 10.7 5.9
7250 21.1 70.0 255 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 25.3 77.5 275 10 5 10.9 6.0
7000 21.8 71.2 255 6 3 9.2 5.1 | 26.1 79.0 275 10 5 10.3 5.7
6750 22.5 72.5 250 6 3 11.0 6.0 | 26.9 80.4 275 10 5 11.8 6.5
6500 23.5 74.3 250 6 3 16.5 9.1 | 28.1 82.6 275 10 5 21.9 12.0
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
08/12/2026 at 1500 MDT | 08/12/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +154.2 LI... -2.0 | CAPE... +228.6 LI... -1.5
CINH... -0.7 K Index... +32.0 | CINH... -11.3 K Index... +31.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.9 -86.6 245 11 6 1.6 0.9 | -66.5 -87.7 255 11 6 2.1 1.1
45000 -60.4 -76.7 250 13 7 7.1 3.9 | -60.7 -77.3 260 13 7 6.8 3.7
40000 -49.8 -57.6 270 9 5 6.9 3.8 | -50.3 -58.5 285 18 9 7.8 4.3
38000 -45.7 -50.3 260 11 5 6.9 3.8 | -45.6 -50.1 285 22 11 7.8 4.3
36000 -41.6 -42.9 255 12 6 7.1 3.9 | -40.9 -41.6 285 26 13 7.7 4.2
34000 -36.4 -33.5 245 15 8 7.8 4.3 | -35.9 -32.6 275 25 13 7.5 4.1
32000 -31.7 -25.1 235 17 9 7.6 4.2 | -31.4 -24.5 265 25 13 7.6 4.2
30000 -27.3 -17.1 230 18 9 7.4 4.0 | -26.8 -16.2 260 22 11 7.8 4.3
29000 -25.1 -13.2 230 18 9 7.4 4.0 | -24.5 -12.1 255 20 10 7.8 4.3
28000 -22.9 -9.2 225 18 9 6.9 3.8 | -22.2 -8.0 250 19 10 7.8 4.3
27000 -20.8 -5.4 215 17 9 7.0 3.8 | -19.8 -3.6 240 18 9 7.9 4.3
26000 -18.8 -1.8 200 17 9 7.0 3.8 | -17.4 0.7 235 18 9 7.9 4.3
25000 -16.7 1.9 190 18 9 7.2 3.9 | -15.0 5.0 230 17 9 6.9 3.8
24000 -14.5 5.9 185 16 8 7.5 4.1 | -13.5 7.7 220 13 7 5.1 2.8
23000 -12.3 9.9 185 15 8 7.5 4.1 | -12.0 10.4 210 9 5 5.2 2.9
22000 -10.2 13.6 185 13 7 6.4 3.5 | -10.5 13.1 185 6 3 5.9 3.2
21000 -8.8 16.2 190 10 5 5.0 2.7 | -8.6 16.5 165 5 3 6.8 3.7
20000 -7.4 18.7 200 7 4 5.0 2.7 | -6.7 19.9 145 5 3 6.9 3.8
19500 -6.7 19.9 210 6 3 4.7 2.6 | -5.7 21.7 135 5 3 7.0 3.9
19000 -5.2 22.6 220 5 3 7.9 4.4 | -4.3 24.3 135 6 3 6.8 3.7
18500 -4.1 24.6 225 5 2 8.2 4.5 | -3.3 26.1 135 6 3 6.9 3.8
18000 -3.0 26.6 230 5 3 7.0 3.8 | -2.4 27.7 140 7 4 5.6 3.1
17500 -2.0 28.4 230 6 3 7.1 3.9 | -1.7 28.9 145 7 4 5.6 3.1
17000 -1.0 30.2 230 7 3 7.2 4.0 | -0.9 30.4 145 8 4 6.1 3.3
16500 0.1 32.2 230 7 4 7.4 4.0 | 0.1 32.2 150 8 4 7.0 3.8
16000 1.2 34.2 225 7 4 7.4 4.0 | 1.1 34.0 155 8 4 6.7 3.7
15500 2.4 36.3 225 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 2.4 36.3 160 8 4 10.3 5.7
15000 3.9 39.0 225 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 3.8 38.8 165 8 4 10.0 5.5
14500 5.3 41.5 225 8 4 9.9 5.4 | 5.3 41.5 170 8 4 10.1 5.6
14000 6.8 44.2 220 9 4 9.9 5.5 | 6.9 44.4 175 8 4 10.2 5.6
13500 8.3 46.9 220 9 5 9.8 5.4 | 8.4 47.1 185 8 4 10.0 5.5
13000 9.7 49.5 215 9 5 9.7 5.3 | 9.9 49.8 190 8 4 9.8 5.4
12500 11.2 52.2 215 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 11.3 52.3 200 9 4 9.8 5.4
12000 12.6 54.7 215 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 12.8 55.0 205 9 5 9.8 5.4
11500 14.1 57.4 215 10 5 10.1 5.5 | 14.2 57.6 215 10 5 9.5 5.2
11000 15.6 60.1 215 11 6 9.7 5.3 | 15.6 60.1 220 10 5 9.5 5.2
10500 17.1 62.8 210 11 6 8.8 4.8 | 17.1 62.8 225 11 6 9.5 5.2
10250 17.7 63.9 210 11 6 9.0 4.9 | 17.8 64.0 230 12 6 9.5 5.2
10000 18.4 65.1 210 12 6 10.5 5.8 | 18.5 65.3 230 12 6 9.4 5.2
9750 19.2 66.6 210 12 6 10.0 5.5 | 19.2 66.6 235 13 7 9.4 5.2
9500 20.0 68.0 210 12 6 10.4 5.7 | 19.9 67.8 235 14 7 9.5 5.2
9250 20.7 69.3 210 12 6 10.6 5.8 | 20.6 69.1 235 14 7 9.8 5.4
9000 21.5 70.7 210 13 7 9.8 5.4 | 21.3 70.3 240 15 8 8.9 4.9
8750 22.2 72.0 210 13 7 9.2 5.0 | 21.9 71.4 240 16 8 8.1 4.5
8500 22.9 73.2 210 13 7 9.5 5.2 | 22.5 72.5 240 17 9 8.3 4.6
8250 23.6 74.5 210 13 7 10.1 5.5 | 23.1 73.6 245 18 9 8.1 4.5
8000 24.4 75.9 210 13 7 9.9 5.5 | 23.7 74.7 245 20 10 8.0 4.4
7750 25.1 77.2 210 14 7 9.2 5.1 | 24.3 75.7 245 21 11 7.9 4.3
7500 25.8 78.4 210 14 7 9.6 5.3 | 24.8 76.6 245 22 11 7.9 4.4
7250 26.6 79.9 210 14 7 10.3 5.6 | 25.4 77.7 245 22 11 8.1 4.4
7000 27.3 81.1 210 14 7 10.6 5.8 | 26.0 78.8 245 22 11 8.3 4.5
6750 28.1 82.6 210 13 7 10.1 5.5 | 26.6 79.9 245 21 11 8.6 4.7
6500 28.9 84.0 210 13 7 13.1 7.2 | 27.3 81.1 245 21 11 11.3 6.2
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0738 MDT Wednesday August 12 2026
This forecast is for Wednesday, August 12, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 83.4 F/28.5 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1383 ft/min (7.0 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18535 ft MSL (12868 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 94.0 F/34.9 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 14444 ft MSL (8777 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Thursday 08/13..... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:24:33 / 19:58:27 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 33 min 54 sec (813 min 54 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:11:30 MDT... 69.58 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/12/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16406 ft MSL (10739 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15578 ft MSL (9911 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16767 ft MSL (11100 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.9
K index......................... +30.2
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.1 -88.8 305 9 5 1.8 1.0 77.0 170.6 25.1 M M
45000 -61.2 -78.2 050 2 1 7.3 4.0 62.4 144.4 17.7 M M
40000 -50.2 -58.4 130 16 8 7.7 4.2 57.3 135.2 15.5 M M
38000 -45.5 -49.9 125 18 9 7.7 4.2 55.4 131.7 14.5 M M
36000 -40.9 -41.6 115 19 10 7.5 4.1 54.1 129.3 13.9 M M
34000 -36.3 -33.3 115 19 10 6.8 3.7 51.1 123.9 12.2 M M
32000 -32.3 -26.1 120 19 10 7.1 3.9 49.0 120.2 10.9 M M
30000 -27.6 -17.7 120 17 9 7.8 4.3 47.2 116.9 9.8 M M
29000 -25.3 -13.5 120 16 8 7.8 4.3 46.5 115.7 9.3 M M
28000 -23.1 -9.6 120 14 7 6.0 3.3 45.7 114.2 8.8 M M
27000 -21.3 -6.3 130 13 7 6.1 3.4 44.2 111.5 7.7 M M
26000 -19.5 -3.1 140 11 6 6.2 3.4 42.8 109.1 6.7 M M
25000 -17.7 0.1 150 10 5 6.6 3.6 41.6 106.9 5.8 M M
24000 -15.4 4.3 160 12 6 7.6 4.2 40.7 105.3 5.1 M M
23000 -13.1 8.4 170 15 8 7.6 4.2 40.0 103.9 4.5 M M
22000 -10.8 12.6 175 18 9 7.2 3.9 39.3 102.7 4.0 M M
21000 -8.4 16.9 165 18 9 6.4 3.5 37.8 100.0 2.8 M M
20000 -6.5 20.3 155 19 10 6.4 3.5 36.6 98.0 1.8 M M
19500 -5.5 22.1 155 19 10 5.9 3.3 36.1 97.0 1.3 M M
19000 -4.8 23.4 155 17 9 5.3 2.9 35.4 95.6 0.6 M M
18500 -4.1 24.6 155 14 7 5.5 3.0 34.6 94.3 -0.2 1176 6.0
18000 -3.3 26.1 155 11 6 7.3 4.0 34.0 93.2 -0.8 1137 5.8
17500 -2.3 27.9 170 7 4 7.5 4.1 33.6 92.5 -1.3 1092 5.5
17000 -1.3 29.7 195 5 3 7.9 4.4 33.2 91.8 -1.8 1048 5.3
16500 -0.2 31.6 210 5 2 8.5 4.7 33.0 91.4 -2.1 998 5.1
16000 1.0 33.8 220 4 2 8.5 4.7 32.8 91.0 -2.4 948 4.8
15500 2.3 36.1 230 4 2 9.0 4.9 32.6 90.7 -2.6 896 4.6
15000 3.5 38.3 245 5 2 9.0 4.9 32.5 90.5 -2.8 843 4.3
14500 4.8 40.6 255 5 3 8.7 4.8 32.4 90.3 -3.0 790 4.0
14000 6.1 43.0 265 5 3 8.7 4.8 32.2 89.9 -3.2 737 3.7
13500 7.4 45.3 275 6 3 8.6 4.7 32.0 89.6 -3.3 684 3.5
13000 8.7 47.7 280 7 3 8.6 4.7 31.8 89.3 -3.6 631 3.2
12500 9.9 49.8 285 7 4 8.4 4.6 31.6 89.0 -3.8 578 2.9
12000 11.1 52.0 290 8 4 8.1 4.4 31.4 88.5 -4.0 528 2.7
11500 12.3 54.1 295 8 4 8.0 4.4 31.1 88.0 -4.3 477 2.4
11000 13.4 56.1 295 9 4 7.2 3.9 30.8 87.4 -4.7 429 2.2
10500 14.6 58.3 300 9 4 8.8 4.8 30.5 86.9 -5.0 380 1.9
10250 15.2 59.4 305 9 5 8.0 4.4 30.4 86.7 -5.1 353 1.8
10000 15.7 60.3 310 9 5 7.1 3.9 30.2 86.4 -5.3 330 1.7
9750 16.3 61.3 315 9 5 7.1 3.9 30.0 86.0 -5.5 307 1.6
9500 16.8 62.2 320 10 5 8.1 4.4 29.8 85.7 -5.7 283 1.4
9250 17.4 63.3 320 10 5 7.9 4.4 29.7 85.5 -5.8 257 1.3
9000 17.9 64.2 325 10 5 6.6 3.6 29.5 85.1 -6.1 235 1.2
8750 18.4 65.1 330 10 5 7.5 4.1 29.3 84.7 -6.3 212 1.1
8500 18.9 66.0 330 11 6 5.3 2.9 29.1 84.4 -6.6 190 1.0
8250 19.2 66.6 335 12 6 4.6 2.5 28.7 83.6 -7.0 174 0.9
8000 19.6 67.3 335 12 6 6.1 3.4 28.3 83.0 -7.4 155 0.8
7750 20.4 68.7 340 11 6 5.8 3.2 27.8 82.0 -8.0 116 0.6
7500 20.8 69.4 340 11 5 5.3 2.9 27.4 81.4 -8.4 96 0.5
7250 21.2 70.2 335 10 5 4.8 2.6 27.1 80.7 -8.8 78 0.4
7000 21.5 70.7 335 9 5 4.5 2.5 26.7 80.1 -9.2 61 0.3
6750 21.8 71.2 335 8 4 5.2 2.8 26.3 79.4 -9.6 44 0.2
6500 22.2 72.0 330 7 3 5.6 3.1 26.0 78.8 -10.0 25 0.1
6250 22.6 72.7 320 5 3 5.7 3.1 25.7 78.2 -10.3 5 0.0
6000 22.9 73.2 325 4 2 0.9 0.5 25.3 77.5 -10.8 M M
5750 22.0 71.6 290 2 1 -32.2 -17.7 23.6 74.6 -12.5 9 0.0
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/12/2026 at 0900 MDT | 08/12/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +140.4 LI... -0.9 | CAPE... +580.1 LI... -2.7
CINH... -105.8 K Index... +28.0 | CINH... -13.5 K Index... +29.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.7 -86.3 205 2 1 2.4 1.3 | -65.5 -85.9 235 9 5 1.9 1.0
45000 -59.9 -75.8 155 7 4 6.1 3.3 | -60.1 -76.2 220 10 5 6.6 3.6
40000 -50.5 -58.9 170 10 5 7.2 3.9 | -50.0 -58.0 235 8 4 7.6 4.2
38000 -46.2 -51.2 160 12 6 7.2 3.9 | -45.4 -49.7 225 9 5 7.6 4.2
36000 -41.9 -43.4 150 13 7 7.3 4.0 | -40.3 -40.5 210 10 5 6.8 3.7
34000 -36.9 -34.4 135 16 8 7.6 4.2 | -36.4 -33.5 200 9 5 6.6 3.6
32000 -32.3 -26.1 130 18 9 7.6 4.2 | -32.5 -26.5 185 9 5 6.7 3.7
30000 -27.7 -17.9 130 17 9 7.8 4.3 | -28.3 -18.9 170 11 6 7.1 3.9
29000 -25.4 -13.7 130 16 8 7.8 4.3 | -26.2 -15.2 165 12 6 7.1 3.9
28000 -23.1 -9.6 135 15 8 7.2 4.0 | -24.1 -11.4 155 13 7 6.7 3.7
27000 -20.9 -5.6 130 15 7 7.3 4.0 | -22.1 -7.8 150 13 7 6.8 3.7
26000 -18.8 -1.8 125 14 7 7.3 4.0 | -20.1 -4.2 140 14 7 6.8 3.7
25000 -16.6 2.1 125 14 7 7.0 3.8 | -18.1 -0.6 135 15 8 7.1 3.9
24000 -14.7 5.5 130 12 6 6.3 3.5 | -15.8 3.6 145 14 7 7.8 4.3
23000 -12.8 9.0 140 10 5 6.3 3.5 | -13.4 7.9 155 12 6 7.8 4.3
22000 -10.8 12.6 155 9 4 6.3 3.5 | -10.6 12.9 175 11 6 5.8 3.2
21000 -8.5 16.7 170 12 6 6.4 3.5 | -8.9 16.0 190 12 6 5.9 3.2
20000 -6.6 20.1 175 15 8 6.4 3.5 | -7.2 19.0 205 13 7 5.8 3.2
19500 -5.7 21.7 175 16 8 5.3 2.9 | -6.3 20.7 210 14 7 5.4 3.0
19000 -5.2 22.6 175 15 8 3.8 2.1 | -5.7 21.7 205 13 7 4.9 2.7
18500 -4.8 23.4 170 15 8 3.6 2.0 | -5.1 22.8 195 13 7 4.9 2.7
18000 -4.0 24.8 170 13 7 8.3 4.6 | -4.3 24.3 190 12 6 7.7 4.2
17500 -2.8 27.0 170 10 5 8.4 4.6 | -3.2 26.2 185 11 6 7.8 4.3
17000 -1.6 29.1 180 7 4 8.5 4.7 | -2.1 28.2 180 9 5 8.5 4.7
16500 -0.4 31.3 190 6 3 8.7 4.7 | -0.7 30.7 180 9 5 9.5 5.2
16000 0.8 33.4 205 5 3 8.7 4.8 | 0.7 33.3 185 8 4 9.5 5.2
15500 2.0 35.6 220 5 2 8.5 4.7 | 2.1 35.8 185 8 4 9.3 5.1
15000 3.2 37.8 230 5 3 8.6 4.7 | 3.4 38.1 195 7 4 9.4 5.1
14500 4.5 40.1 240 5 3 8.9 4.9 | 4.8 40.6 200 7 4 9.1 5.0
14000 5.8 42.4 245 5 3 8.9 4.9 | 6.1 43.0 210 6 3 9.0 4.9
13500 7.1 44.8 250 6 3 8.6 4.7 | 7.5 45.5 220 6 3 8.8 4.8
13000 8.3 46.9 260 6 3 8.3 4.5 | 8.7 47.7 230 5 3 8.6 4.7
12500 9.5 49.1 270 6 3 8.1 4.5 | 9.9 49.8 240 5 2 8.3 4.5
12000 10.6 51.1 280 6 3 7.8 4.3 | 11.0 51.8 245 5 2 7.4 4.1
11500 11.8 53.2 290 7 3 7.8 4.3 | 12.0 53.6 250 5 2 7.4 4.1
11000 12.9 55.2 305 7 4 7.4 4.1 | 13.0 55.4 250 5 2 7.1 3.9
10500 14.0 57.2 315 8 4 7.8 4.3 | 14.1 57.4 250 5 3 8.4 4.6
10250 14.6 58.3 320 8 4 7.2 3.9 | 14.7 58.5 255 5 3 8.9 4.9
10000 15.1 59.2 320 9 4 6.8 3.7 | 15.4 59.7 250 5 3 9.0 5.0
9750 15.6 60.1 325 9 5 6.7 3.7 | 16.0 60.8 250 5 3 8.9 4.9
9500 16.1 61.0 330 10 5 7.5 4.1 | 16.7 62.1 250 5 3 9.4 5.2
9250 16.6 61.9 330 10 5 6.8 3.7 | 17.4 63.3 250 5 3 9.8 5.4
9000 17.0 62.6 330 10 5 5.4 2.9 | 18.1 64.6 250 6 3 9.4 5.2
8750 17.4 63.3 330 9 5 6.0 3.3 | 18.8 65.8 250 6 3 9.9 5.4
8500 17.8 64.0 330 9 5 4.9 2.7 | 19.5 67.1 250 6 3 8.4 4.6
8250 18.2 64.8 325 8 4 5.0 2.7 | 20.1 68.2 250 6 3 9.1 5.0
8000 18.6 65.5 320 7 4 6.0 3.3 | 21.7 71.1 245 6 3 10.8 5.9
7750 19.4 66.9 300 6 3 6.2 3.4 | 22.5 72.5 245 6 3 9.6 5.3
7500 19.8 67.6 295 6 3 7.6 4.2 | 23.1 73.6 245 6 3 8.8 4.8
7250 20.5 68.9 290 5 3 9.1 5.0 | 23.9 75.0 245 6 3 10.6 5.8
7000 21.2 70.2 285 5 3 9.7 5.3 | 24.7 76.5 245 6 3 11.4 6.2
6750 21.9 71.4 280 5 3 9.4 5.2 | 25.5 77.9 245 6 3 10.5 5.8
6500 22.6 72.7 275 5 3 9.4 5.1 | 26.3 79.3 245 6 3 10.3 5.6
6250 23.3 73.9 275 5 3 9.6 5.2 | 27.0 80.6 245 6 3 9.9 5.4
6000 24.0 75.2 275 5 3 13.0 7.1 | 27.9 82.2 245 6 3 15.2 8.3
5750 25.5 77.9 270 5 3 31.3 17.2 | 30.2 86.4 245 6 3 55.7 30.6
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
08/12/2026 at 1500 MDT | 08/12/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +112.7 LI... +0.1 | CAPE... +100.3 LI... -1.4
CINH... -3.8 K Index... +29.1 | CINH... -72.4 K Index... +28.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.0 -86.8 250 9 5 1.5 0.8 | -66.8 -88.2 255 13 7 2.3 1.3
45000 -60.5 -76.9 250 11 6 7.3 4.0 | -61.0 -77.8 255 13 7 6.6 3.6
40000 -49.6 -57.3 260 10 5 7.3 4.0 | -50.8 -59.4 295 13 7 8.3 4.6
38000 -45.3 -49.5 270 12 6 7.3 4.0 | -45.8 -50.4 280 17 9 8.3 4.6
36000 -40.4 -40.7 280 14 7 6.9 3.8 | -40.2 -40.4 275 22 12 7.9 4.4
34000 -36.3 -33.3 265 15 8 6.8 3.7 | -35.5 -31.9 270 23 12 7.9 4.3
32000 -32.2 -26.0 250 16 8 7.2 3.9 | -30.8 -23.4 265 23 12 7.8 4.3
30000 -27.4 -17.3 245 16 8 8.1 4.4 | -26.4 -15.5 250 22 11 7.5 4.1
29000 -25.0 -13.0 240 15 8 8.1 4.4 | -24.2 -11.6 245 21 11 7.5 4.1
28000 -22.7 -8.9 240 15 8 7.3 4.0 | -22.0 -7.6 240 20 11 6.7 3.7
27000 -20.5 -4.9 225 14 7 7.3 4.0 | -20.0 -4.0 235 18 9 6.7 3.7
26000 -18.3 -0.9 215 14 7 7.3 4.0 | -18.0 -0.4 230 15 8 6.7 3.7
25000 -16.1 3.0 205 15 8 7.1 3.9 | -16.0 3.2 225 13 7 6.7 3.7
24000 -14.1 6.6 195 14 7 6.6 3.6 | -14.0 6.8 220 12 6 6.5 3.5
23000 -12.2 10.0 190 13 6 6.7 3.7 | -12.1 10.2 215 12 6 6.5 3.5
22000 -9.7 14.5 180 12 6 6.8 3.8 | -9.7 14.5 205 11 6 6.0 3.3
21000 -7.7 18.1 185 10 5 6.9 3.8 | -8.0 17.6 195 8 4 5.9 3.3
20000 -5.7 21.7 195 9 5 6.9 3.8 | -6.3 20.7 170 6 3 6.0 3.3
19500 -4.7 23.5 200 8 4 5.7 3.1 | -5.5 22.1 150 6 3 6.1 3.4
19000 -4.3 24.3 205 8 4 2.8 1.5 | -4.6 23.7 140 5 3 6.6 3.6
18500 -4.0 24.8 205 8 4 2.8 1.6 | -3.7 25.3 130 5 3 6.6 3.6
18000 -3.5 25.7 210 9 4 6.3 3.4 | -2.7 27.1 125 5 3 7.6 4.2
17500 -2.5 27.5 210 9 5 6.8 3.8 | -1.6 29.1 125 5 2 7.8 4.3
17000 -1.6 29.1 205 9 5 7.4 4.0 | -0.5 31.1 130 4 2 8.0 4.4
16500 -0.4 31.3 205 10 5 8.8 4.8 | 0.7 33.3 135 4 2 8.3 4.5
16000 0.9 33.6 205 10 5 8.6 4.7 | 1.9 35.4 145 3 2 8.2 4.5
15500 2.2 36.0 200 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 3.1 37.6 155 3 1 8.5 4.7
15000 3.6 38.5 200 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 4.4 39.9 165 3 2 8.6 4.7
14500 5.0 41.0 200 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 5.6 42.1 175 3 2 8.6 4.7
14000 6.5 43.7 200 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 6.9 44.4 180 4 2 8.7 4.8
13500 7.9 46.2 200 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 8.1 46.6 185 5 2 8.8 4.8
13000 9.3 48.7 200 11 5 9.4 5.1 | 9.5 49.1 190 5 3 9.1 5.0
12500 10.7 51.3 200 11 6 9.4 5.2 | 10.8 51.4 190 6 3 9.1 5.0
12000 12.1 53.8 200 11 6 9.6 5.3 | 12.1 53.8 195 7 4 9.0 4.9
11500 13.6 56.5 200 11 6 9.6 5.3 | 13.5 56.3 195 9 4 9.1 5.0
11000 15.0 59.0 200 11 6 9.3 5.1 | 14.7 58.5 195 10 5 8.1 4.5
10500 16.4 61.5 200 11 6 9.9 5.4 | 16.0 60.8 195 12 6 8.8 4.8
10250 17.1 62.8 200 12 6 9.7 5.3 | 16.6 61.9 195 13 7 8.7 4.8
10000 17.9 64.2 200 12 6 9.7 5.3 | 17.2 63.0 195 14 7 8.4 4.6
9750 18.6 65.5 200 12 6 9.5 5.2 | 17.9 64.2 195 15 8 8.7 4.8
9500 19.3 66.7 200 12 6 10.1 5.5 | 18.5 65.3 195 16 8 7.6 4.2
9250 20.1 68.2 200 12 6 9.8 5.4 | 19.0 66.2 200 17 9 7.0 3.8
9000 20.7 69.3 200 12 6 9.2 5.1 | 19.5 67.1 200 18 9 7.6 4.2
8750 21.4 70.5 205 12 6 9.0 4.9 | 20.1 68.2 200 18 9 7.4 4.1
8500 22.1 71.8 205 12 6 10.5 5.8 | 20.6 69.1 200 19 10 7.7 4.2
8250 23.7 74.7 205 13 6 9.6 5.3 | 21.6 70.9 205 20 10 6.3 3.5
8000 24.4 75.9 205 13 7 10.1 5.6 | 22.1 71.8 205 20 10 6.6 3.6
7750 25.2 77.4 205 13 7 9.5 5.2 | 22.5 72.5 205 20 10 6.3 3.5
7500 25.9 78.6 205 13 7 9.2 5.1 | 23.0 73.4 210 21 11 6.0 3.3
7250 26.6 79.9 205 13 7 10.2 5.6 | 23.5 74.3 210 21 11 7.2 3.9
7000 27.4 81.3 205 13 7 10.8 5.9 | 24.0 75.2 210 21 11 7.9 4.3
6750 28.2 82.8 205 13 7 10.6 5.8 | 24.6 76.3 210 21 11 7.8 4.3
6500 29.0 84.2 205 13 7 10.8 5.9 | 25.2 77.4 215 21 11 8.1 4.4
6250 30.0 86.0 205 13 7 17.8 9.8 | 25.9 78.6 215 20 10 12.3 6.8
6000 31.7 89.1 205 12 6 28.7 15.8 | 27.1 80.8 215 18 9 19.2 10.6
5750 33.5 92.3 210 11 6 9.6 5.3 | 28.2 82.8 220 16 8 7.0 3.8
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0743 MDT Wednesday August 12 2026
This forecast is for Wednesday, August 12, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 81.1 F/27.3 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1056 ft/min (5.4 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17962 ft MSL (11520 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 91.0 F/33.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 14287 ft MSL (7845 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Thursday 08/13..... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:21:29 / 19:57:18 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 35 min 49 sec (815 min 49 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:09:23 MDT... 69.07 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/12/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16975 ft MSL (10533 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16894 ft MSL (10452 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17503 ft MSL (11061 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.6
K index......................... +22.3
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.8 -88.2 295 9 4 2.3 1.3 74.5 166.2 24.8 M M
45000 -60.8 -77.4 115 6 3 6.4 3.5 60.2 140.3 17.5 M M
40000 -50.8 -59.4 125 28 14 7.9 4.3 53.6 128.4 14.2 M M
38000 -46.0 -50.8 120 27 14 7.9 4.3 51.8 125.3 13.3 M M
36000 -41.3 -42.3 115 27 14 7.5 4.1 50.7 123.2 12.8 M M
34000 -37.0 -34.6 115 23 12 7.1 3.9 48.2 118.8 11.3 M M
32000 -32.7 -26.9 110 20 10 7.1 3.9 46.3 115.4 10.2 M M
30000 -28.0 -18.4 120 17 9 7.9 4.3 44.6 112.3 9.1 M M
29000 -25.1 -13.2 125 16 8 7.9 4.3 43.8 110.8 8.6 M M
28000 -22.9 -9.2 130 14 7 6.2 3.4 42.9 109.2 8.0 M M
27000 -21.0 -5.8 140 13 7 6.2 3.4 41.5 106.7 7.0 M M
26000 -19.1 -2.4 145 13 6 6.3 3.4 40.2 104.4 6.0 M M
25000 -17.2 1.0 155 12 6 7.6 4.1 39.1 102.3 5.2 M M
24000 -14.8 5.4 155 13 7 8.1 4.4 38.4 101.1 4.6 M M
23000 -12.4 9.7 155 14 7 8.1 4.4 37.8 100.0 4.2 M M
22000 -10.0 14.0 155 15 8 7.0 3.9 37.2 99.0 3.8 M M
21000 -8.0 17.6 155 16 8 6.8 3.7 36.1 97.0 2.8 M M
20000 -6.0 21.2 155 17 9 6.8 3.7 35.1 95.1 1.9 M M
19500 -5.0 23.0 155 17 9 6.8 3.7 34.6 94.3 1.5 M M
19000 -4.0 24.8 155 16 8 6.8 3.7 34.1 93.4 1.0 M M
18500 -3.0 26.6 155 15 8 6.9 3.8 33.6 92.5 0.6 M M
18000 -2.0 28.4 160 14 7 6.7 3.7 33.1 91.6 0.1 M M
17500 -1.1 30.0 165 11 6 6.8 3.7 32.6 90.7 -0.5 1019 5.2
17000 -0.1 31.8 175 9 5 7.0 3.9 32.1 89.8 -1.0 976 5.0
16500 0.9 33.6 185 7 4 7.9 4.3 31.7 89.1 -1.4 930 4.7
16000 2.0 35.6 195 6 3 8.0 4.4 31.4 88.6 -1.8 883 4.5
15500 3.1 37.6 210 5 3 8.4 4.6 31.2 88.1 -2.2 835 4.2
15000 4.3 39.7 225 4 2 8.4 4.6 30.9 87.7 -2.5 784 4.0
14500 5.4 41.7 240 4 2 8.2 4.5 30.7 87.3 -2.8 734 3.7
14000 6.6 43.9 250 5 3 8.0 4.4 30.4 86.8 -3.1 686 3.5
13500 7.7 45.9 260 6 3 8.2 4.5 30.2 86.3 -3.5 637 3.2
13000 8.9 48.0 270 6 3 8.5 4.7 30.0 85.9 -3.7 585 3.0
12500 10.2 50.4 275 7 4 8.5 4.7 29.8 85.6 -3.9 533 2.7
12000 11.4 52.5 280 8 4 7.9 4.3 29.5 85.1 -4.2 482 2.4
11500 12.6 54.7 285 8 4 8.6 4.7 29.2 84.6 -4.5 432 2.2
11000 14.4 57.9 295 8 4 7.7 4.2 28.8 83.9 -5.0 356 1.8
10500 15.5 59.9 300 8 4 6.4 3.5 28.5 83.3 -5.3 308 1.6
10250 15.9 60.6 300 7 4 5.9 3.3 28.2 82.7 -5.7 288 1.5
10000 16.4 61.5 305 7 4 6.8 3.7 27.9 82.3 -5.9 266 1.4
9750 16.8 62.2 305 7 4 6.9 3.8 27.7 81.8 -6.2 244 1.2
9500 17.3 63.1 310 7 3 5.4 3.0 27.4 81.4 -6.5 223 1.1
9250 17.6 63.7 310 6 3 5.2 2.9 27.1 80.7 -6.9 206 1.0
9000 18.1 64.6 315 6 3 6.6 3.6 26.8 80.2 -7.2 185 0.9
8750 18.6 65.5 320 6 3 6.3 3.4 26.5 79.7 -7.5 163 0.8
8500 19.0 66.2 325 6 3 5.2 2.9 26.2 79.2 -7.8 143 0.7
8250 19.3 66.7 330 5 3 4.4 2.4 25.8 78.5 -8.2 126 0.6
8000 19.7 67.5 335 5 2 4.9 2.7 25.5 77.8 -8.6 108 0.5
7750 20.0 68.0 340 5 2 4.8 2.6 25.1 77.2 -9.0 90 0.5
7500 20.4 68.7 345 4 2 4.9 2.7 24.7 76.5 -9.4 72 0.4
7250 20.7 69.3 350 4 2 4.3 2.4 24.3 75.8 -9.8 54 0.3
7000 21.1 70.0 360 4 2 5.0 2.8 23.9 75.1 -10.2 37 0.2
6750 21.2 70.2 005 3 2 -5.2 -2.8 23.4 74.0 -10.8 25 0.1
6500 18.8 65.8 020 3 1 -74.8 -41.0 20.2 68.4 -14.0 90 0.5
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/12/2026 at 0900 MDT | 08/12/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +54.2 LI... -0.2 | CAPE... +469.4 LI... -2.1
CINH... -107.2 K Index... +21.9 | CINH... -5.5 K Index... +27.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.1 -87.0 095 1 0 2.2 1.2 | -65.3 -85.5 200 8 4 1.6 0.9
45000 -60.3 -76.5 135 10 5 6.1 3.3 | -60.2 -76.4 185 10 5 6.4 3.5
40000 -50.8 -59.4 155 22 11 7.8 4.3 | -50.3 -58.5 190 11 6 7.7 4.2
38000 -46.1 -51.0 155 22 11 7.8 4.3 | -45.7 -50.3 170 12 6 7.7 4.2
36000 -41.4 -42.5 150 22 12 7.7 4.2 | -40.6 -41.1 150 14 7 6.9 3.8
34000 -36.9 -34.4 140 21 11 7.6 4.1 | -36.6 -33.9 150 14 7 6.6 3.6
32000 -32.3 -26.1 125 22 11 7.6 4.1 | -32.7 -26.9 150 14 7 6.7 3.7
30000 -27.8 -18.0 125 19 10 7.6 4.2 | -28.5 -19.3 150 19 10 7.1 3.9
29000 -25.5 -13.9 130 18 9 7.6 4.2 | -26.4 -15.5 145 21 11 7.1 3.9
28000 -22.8 -9.0 130 16 8 6.2 3.4 | -24.3 -11.7 145 23 12 7.3 4.0
27000 -20.9 -5.6 125 14 7 6.2 3.4 | -22.1 -7.8 145 21 11 7.3 4.0
26000 -19.1 -2.4 120 13 7 6.2 3.4 | -20.0 -4.0 145 19 10 7.3 4.0
25000 -17.1 1.2 115 11 6 7.1 3.9 | -17.8 -0.0 145 17 9 7.3 4.0
24000 -14.9 5.2 135 9 4 7.4 4.1 | -15.7 3.7 145 13 7 7.2 3.9
23000 -12.7 9.1 155 8 4 7.4 4.1 | -13.0 8.6 150 8 4 7.2 3.9
22000 -10.5 13.1 180 8 4 6.9 3.8 | -10.9 12.4 160 5 3 6.4 3.5
21000 -8.5 16.7 170 10 5 6.7 3.7 | -9.0 15.8 175 5 3 6.3 3.5
20000 -6.5 20.3 165 12 6 6.7 3.7 | -7.1 19.2 185 6 3 6.4 3.5
19500 -5.5 22.1 165 13 6 6.6 3.6 | -6.2 20.8 190 6 3 6.2 3.4
19000 -4.6 23.7 160 13 7 6.3 3.4 | -5.4 22.3 190 6 3 6.0 3.3
18500 -3.7 25.3 160 13 7 6.3 3.5 | -4.6 23.7 190 6 3 5.9 3.3
18000 -2.8 27.0 155 13 7 7.1 3.9 | -3.6 25.5 190 6 3 7.8 4.3
17500 -1.7 28.9 160 12 6 7.4 4.1 | -2.5 27.5 190 6 3 8.0 4.4
17000 -0.7 30.7 165 11 6 7.6 4.2 | -1.4 29.5 190 6 3 8.4 4.6
16500 0.4 32.7 170 9 5 8.2 4.5 | -0.1 31.8 200 5 2 9.2 5.1
16000 1.6 34.9 180 7 3 8.2 4.5 | 1.2 34.2 210 4 2 9.3 5.1
15500 2.8 37.0 195 5 3 8.8 4.8 | 2.5 36.5 225 3 2 9.1 5.0
15000 4.0 39.2 210 5 2 8.9 4.9 | 3.8 38.8 245 3 2 9.1 5.0
14500 5.3 41.5 220 5 2 8.6 4.7 | 5.1 41.2 260 4 2 9.0 5.0
14000 6.5 43.7 235 5 2 8.5 4.6 | 6.4 43.5 270 4 2 9.0 4.9
13500 7.6 45.7 250 5 3 8.6 4.7 | 7.7 45.9 275 5 3 8.8 4.8
13000 8.9 48.0 265 6 3 8.8 4.9 | 8.9 48.0 280 6 3 8.5 4.7
12500 10.2 50.4 280 7 4 8.8 4.8 | 10.2 50.4 285 7 3 8.4 4.6
12000 11.5 52.7 285 8 4 8.1 4.5 | 11.4 52.5 280 7 3 8.2 4.5
11500 12.7 54.9 285 8 4 8.6 4.7 | 12.6 54.7 280 7 4 9.1 5.0
11000 13.8 56.8 290 8 4 7.0 3.8 | 13.9 57.0 275 7 4 8.9 4.9
10500 15.3 59.5 295 6 3 5.6 3.1 | 15.3 59.5 275 7 4 8.3 4.6
10250 15.7 60.3 300 6 3 6.2 3.4 | 15.9 60.6 270 7 4 8.6 4.7
10000 16.2 61.2 310 5 3 6.5 3.5 | 17.3 63.1 270 7 4 9.5 5.2
9750 16.7 62.1 320 5 3 6.5 3.5 | 18.0 64.4 270 7 4 9.6 5.2
9500 17.1 62.8 325 5 2 5.7 3.1 | 18.7 65.7 265 7 4 9.5 5.2
9250 17.5 63.5 335 4 2 5.3 2.9 | 19.4 66.9 265 7 4 9.8 5.4
9000 17.9 64.2 340 5 2 5.7 3.1 | 20.1 68.2 265 7 4 9.9 5.5
8750 18.3 64.9 350 5 3 5.6 3.1 | 20.9 69.6 265 7 4 9.9 5.4
8500 18.6 65.5 355 6 3 4.4 2.4 | 21.6 70.9 265 7 4 9.9 5.4
8250 18.9 66.0 355 6 3 5.2 2.8 | 22.4 72.3 265 7 4 10.2 5.6
8000 19.4 66.9 355 6 3 7.9 4.3 | 23.1 73.6 260 7 4 10.6 5.8
7750 20.1 68.2 350 6 3 8.7 4.8 | 23.9 75.0 260 7 4 10.6 5.8
7500 20.7 69.3 350 6 3 9.1 5.0 | 24.7 76.5 260 7 4 10.3 5.6
7250 21.4 70.5 350 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 25.5 77.9 260 7 4 10.6 5.8
7000 22.1 71.8 350 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 26.2 79.2 260 7 4 9.5 5.2
6750 22.9 73.2 345 5 3 12.9 7.1 | 27.0 80.6 260 7 4 15.6 8.5
6500 24.5 76.1 340 5 2 35.7 19.6 | 29.7 85.5 260 7 4 67.5 37.0
08/12/2026 at 1500 MDT | 08/12/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +208.3 LI... -1.3 | CAPE... +47.3 LI... -1.0
CINH... -1.5 K Index... +28.5 | CINH... -53.9 K Index... +29.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.0 -86.8 245 13 6 1.7 1.0 | -66.2 -87.2 245 14 7 2.1 1.1
45000 -60.5 -76.9 250 14 7 6.9 3.8 | -60.5 -76.9 255 14 7 6.7 3.7
40000 -50.0 -58.0 275 9 4 7.3 4.0 | -50.2 -58.4 280 14 7 7.7 4.2
38000 -45.6 -50.1 255 9 4 7.3 4.0 | -45.5 -49.9 290 14 7 7.7 4.2
36000 -40.7 -41.3 240 9 5 7.3 4.0 | -40.4 -40.7 295 13 7 7.4 4.1
34000 -36.3 -33.3 235 8 4 7.3 4.0 | -35.9 -32.6 275 14 7 7.4 4.0
32000 -32.0 -25.6 220 6 3 7.2 4.0 | -31.5 -24.7 255 16 8 7.4 4.1
30000 -27.8 -18.0 215 10 5 7.0 3.9 | -26.9 -16.4 255 17 9 7.7 4.2
29000 -25.7 -14.3 210 12 6 7.0 3.9 | -24.6 -12.3 255 18 9 7.7 4.2
28000 -23.6 -10.5 210 14 7 7.2 3.9 | -22.4 -8.3 255 19 10 7.4 4.1
27000 -21.5 -6.7 195 14 7 7.2 3.9 | -20.1 -4.2 250 16 8 7.4 4.1
26000 -19.3 -2.7 180 14 7 7.2 4.0 | -17.9 -0.2 240 14 7 7.4 4.1
25000 -17.2 1.0 170 16 8 7.3 4.0 | -15.7 3.7 230 13 6 7.1 3.9
24000 -15.0 5.0 165 14 7 7.3 4.0 | -13.9 7.0 215 13 7 6.2 3.4
23000 -12.3 9.9 160 11 5 7.3 4.0 | -11.7 10.9 195 14 7 6.4 3.5
22000 -10.2 13.6 150 8 4 5.9 3.3 | -10.0 14.0 185 16 8 6.2 3.4
21000 -8.5 16.7 155 5 3 5.9 3.3 | -8.2 17.2 200 17 9 6.1 3.3
20000 -6.9 19.6 165 3 1 6.1 3.4 | -6.5 20.3 210 17 9 6.2 3.4
19500 -6.1 21.0 185 1 1 6.4 3.5 | -5.7 21.7 215 18 9 6.1 3.4
19000 -5.1 22.8 205 2 1 7.0 3.8 | -4.8 23.4 215 18 9 5.9 3.2
18500 -4.2 24.4 215 3 2 7.0 3.8 | -4.0 24.8 220 18 9 5.9 3.2
18000 -3.1 26.4 215 4 2 8.1 4.4 | -3.1 26.4 225 18 9 6.3 3.5
17500 -2.0 28.4 220 6 3 8.3 4.5 | -2.2 28.0 225 18 9 6.5 3.6
17000 -0.8 30.6 220 7 3 8.6 4.7 | -1.3 29.7 225 17 9 6.9 3.8
16500 0.6 33.1 220 7 4 9.5 5.2 | -0.0 32.0 230 17 9 9.4 5.2
16000 2.0 35.6 220 8 4 9.4 5.2 | 1.4 34.5 230 17 9 9.2 5.1
15500 3.4 38.1 220 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 2.8 37.0 230 17 9 10.1 5.5
15000 4.8 40.6 220 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 4.3 39.7 235 17 9 10.1 5.6
14500 6.2 43.2 220 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 5.8 42.4 235 16 8 9.7 5.3
14000 7.6 45.7 220 9 4 9.6 5.3 | 7.2 45.0 235 15 8 9.3 5.1
13500 9.1 48.4 220 9 5 9.6 5.3 | 8.6 47.5 240 15 8 9.2 5.1
13000 10.5 50.9 220 9 5 9.6 5.3 | 9.9 49.8 240 14 7 9.1 5.0
12500 11.9 53.4 225 10 5 9.6 5.2 | 11.3 52.3 245 12 6 9.1 5.0
12000 13.3 55.9 225 10 5 9.4 5.1 | 12.5 54.5 250 11 6 8.4 4.6
11500 14.7 58.5 225 11 5 9.9 5.4 | 13.8 56.8 255 10 5 9.2 5.1
11000 16.2 61.2 225 11 6 9.4 5.1 | 15.1 59.2 265 8 4 8.1 4.4
10500 17.6 63.7 230 12 6 9.6 5.2 | 16.3 61.3 275 7 4 8.5 4.7
10250 18.3 64.9 230 12 6 9.9 5.4 | 17.0 62.6 280 6 3 8.9 4.9
10000 19.1 66.4 230 13 7 10.0 5.5 | 17.6 63.7 290 6 3 8.3 4.6
9750 20.5 68.9 230 14 7 10.0 5.5 | 18.2 64.8 295 5 3 8.1 4.4
9500 21.3 70.3 230 14 7 9.8 5.4 | 18.8 65.8 305 5 2 8.3 4.5
9250 22.0 71.6 230 14 7 9.9 5.4 | 20.0 68.0 330 4 2 8.4 4.6
9000 22.7 72.9 235 15 8 10.1 5.6 | 20.7 69.3 340 5 2 9.2 5.0
8750 23.5 74.3 235 15 8 10.2 5.6 | 21.3 70.3 350 5 2 9.1 5.0
8500 24.2 75.6 235 15 8 9.8 5.4 | 22.0 71.6 360 5 3 8.7 4.8
8250 25.0 77.0 235 16 8 10.2 5.6 | 22.6 72.7 005 6 3 9.0 4.9
8000 25.8 78.4 235 16 8 11.0 6.0 | 23.4 74.1 010 6 3 10.0 5.5
7750 26.6 79.9 235 16 8 11.0 6.0 | 24.1 75.4 015 6 3 10.2 5.6
7500 27.4 81.3 235 16 8 10.5 5.7 | 24.9 76.8 015 7 3 9.4 5.1
7250 28.1 82.6 235 16 8 10.6 5.8 | 25.5 77.9 020 7 4 8.8 4.8
7000 28.9 84.0 235 16 8 9.3 5.1 | 26.2 79.2 020 7 4 8.7 4.8
6750 29.7 85.5 235 16 8 16.6 9.1 | 26.8 80.2 020 7 4 10.6 5.8
6500 32.8 91.0 240 15 8 81.2 44.5 | 28.1 82.6 020 7 3 28.3 15.6
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
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