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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0810 MDT Thursday September 3 2026
This forecast is for Thursday, September 3, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 77.4 F/25.2 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1082 ft/min (5.5 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18438 ft MSL (12111 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 90.0 F/32.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1015 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 16429 ft MSL (10102 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 09/04....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:38:31 / 19:28:03 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 12 hr 49 min 32 sec (769 min 32 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:03:17 MDT... 62.34 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 09/03/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15831 ft MSL (9504 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16312 ft MSL (9985 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17743 ft MSL (11416 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -0.1
K index......................... +23.6
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.5 -87.7 230 40 20 3.3 1.8 74.4 166.0 25.1 M M
45000 -59.5 -75.1 240 48 25 6.8 3.8 62.8 145.1 19.5 M M
40000 -49.2 -56.6 250 50 26 6.9 3.8 56.6 133.9 16.6 M M
38000 -45.0 -49.0 245 49 25 7.0 3.8 54.0 129.2 15.2 M M
36000 -40.8 -41.4 240 47 24 7.0 3.9 52.1 125.7 14.1 M M
34000 -36.1 -33.0 240 39 20 7.0 3.9 49.3 120.7 12.5 M M
32000 -31.8 -25.2 245 32 17 7.4 4.0 47.4 117.3 11.4 M M
30000 -27.2 -17.0 245 28 15 7.8 4.3 45.6 114.1 10.3 M M
29000 -24.8 -12.6 245 26 14 7.8 4.3 44.9 112.9 9.9 M M
28000 -22.5 -8.5 245 25 13 7.7 4.2 44.3 111.7 9.5 M M
27000 -20.2 -4.4 245 23 12 7.7 4.2 43.4 110.1 8.9 M M
26000 -17.9 -0.2 245 22 11 7.7 4.2 42.7 108.8 8.4 M M
25000 -15.5 4.1 250 21 11 7.6 4.2 42.0 107.7 8.0 M M
24000 -13.3 8.1 250 19 10 7.3 4.0 41.1 105.9 7.3 M M
23000 -11.1 12.0 250 18 9 7.3 4.0 40.2 104.4 6.6 M M
22000 -8.9 16.0 255 16 8 6.5 3.6 39.4 103.0 6.1 M M
21000 -7.4 18.7 255 17 9 5.3 2.9 37.8 100.1 4.7 M M
20000 -5.8 21.6 255 17 9 5.5 3.0 36.3 97.3 3.4 M M
19500 -5.1 22.8 255 17 9 5.9 3.3 35.6 96.1 2.7 M M
19000 -4.5 23.9 255 18 9 2.1 1.1 33.9 93.1 1.2 M M
18500 -4.3 24.3 255 19 10 2.1 1.1 32.6 90.7 -0.1 1080 5.5
18000 -3.9 25.0 255 20 10 5.5 3.0 31.6 88.9 -1.2 1053 5.4
17500 -3.1 26.4 250 21 11 5.6 3.1 30.9 87.6 -1.9 1015 5.2
17000 -2.3 27.9 245 21 11 6.3 3.5 30.2 86.3 -2.6 977 5.0
16500 -1.3 29.7 240 21 11 7.3 4.0 29.7 85.5 -3.0 931 4.7
16000 -0.2 31.6 230 21 11 7.3 4.0 29.3 84.8 -3.4 884 4.5
15500 0.9 33.6 225 21 11 8.2 4.5 29.0 84.2 -3.8 836 4.2
15000 2.1 35.8 225 20 10 8.1 4.5 28.8 83.8 -4.1 787 4.0
14500 3.3 37.9 220 19 10 8.9 4.9 28.5 83.4 -4.4 736 3.7
14000 4.6 40.3 220 19 10 9.0 4.9 28.4 83.1 -4.6 682 3.5
13500 5.9 42.6 225 18 9 8.5 4.6 28.3 82.9 -4.7 628 3.2
13000 7.1 44.8 225 16 8 8.1 4.4 28.0 82.4 -5.0 576 2.9
12500 8.3 46.9 225 13 7 7.9 4.4 27.8 82.0 -5.2 525 2.7
12000 9.5 49.1 235 10 5 7.7 4.2 27.4 81.4 -5.6 475 2.4
11500 10.7 51.3 250 8 4 8.1 4.4 27.1 80.8 -5.9 425 2.2
11000 11.8 53.2 275 7 4 7.4 4.1 26.8 80.3 -6.2 375 1.9
10500 12.9 55.2 300 7 4 7.4 4.0 26.5 79.7 -6.6 327 1.7
10250 13.5 56.3 310 8 4 7.4 4.1 26.3 79.3 -6.8 304 1.5
10000 14.0 57.2 315 10 5 7.9 4.3 26.1 79.0 -7.0 280 1.4
9750 14.6 58.3 320 11 6 7.8 4.3 26.0 78.8 -7.2 255 1.3
9500 15.2 59.4 325 12 6 8.2 4.5 25.8 78.5 -7.3 231 1.2
9250 15.8 60.4 325 14 7 9.1 5.0 25.8 78.4 -7.4 205 1.0
9000 16.4 61.5 325 15 8 8.0 4.4 25.7 78.3 -7.5 178 0.9
8750 17.0 62.6 325 16 8 6.7 3.7 25.5 77.9 -7.8 155 0.8
8500 17.5 63.5 325 17 9 7.7 4.2 25.3 77.5 -8.0 132 0.7
8250 18.1 64.6 325 17 9 8.7 4.7 25.2 77.3 -8.1 106 0.5
8000 18.7 65.7 325 17 9 8.3 4.5 25.1 77.2 -8.2 80 0.4
7750 19.3 66.7 320 18 9 8.2 4.5 25.0 76.9 -8.4 54 0.3
7500 19.9 67.8 320 18 9 5.9 3.2 24.8 76.6 -8.6 30 0.2
7250 20.2 68.4 320 16 8 3.5 1.9 24.4 75.9 -9.0 13 0.1
7000 20.5 68.9 315 15 8 5.1 2.8 24.0 75.1 -9.4 M M
6750 20.9 69.6 315 14 7 1.9 1.0 23.6 74.4 -9.9 M M
6500 20.6 69.1 310 11 6 -11.5 -6.3 22.5 72.6 -10.9 M M
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
09/03/2026 at 0900 MDT | 09/03/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.0 | CAPE... +0.1 LI... +0.3
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +25.4 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +26.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.4 -85.7 230 38 20 3.4 1.9 | -65.1 -85.2 225 40 20 3.0 1.6
45000 -58.8 -73.8 240 46 24 6.1 3.3 | -58.7 -73.7 235 46 24 6.3 3.5
40000 -49.5 -57.1 250 47 24 6.7 3.7 | -49.1 -56.4 250 48 25 6.6 3.6
38000 -45.5 -49.9 250 47 24 6.7 3.7 | -45.2 -49.4 245 48 24 6.6 3.6
36000 -41.5 -42.7 250 46 24 6.9 3.8 | -40.7 -41.3 245 46 24 7.1 3.9
34000 -36.6 -33.9 245 38 19 7.3 4.0 | -36.4 -33.5 240 40 21 7.2 4.0
32000 -32.2 -26.0 240 30 16 7.4 4.0 | -32.1 -25.8 235 35 18 7.2 3.9
30000 -27.7 -17.9 240 26 13 7.5 4.1 | -27.9 -18.2 235 28 15 7.0 3.9
29000 -25.5 -13.9 235 24 12 7.5 4.1 | -25.8 -14.4 230 25 13 7.0 3.9
28000 -23.2 -9.8 235 22 11 7.6 4.2 | -23.6 -10.5 230 22 11 7.7 4.2
27000 -21.0 -5.8 235 20 10 7.6 4.2 | -21.3 -6.3 225 20 10 7.6 4.2
26000 -18.7 -1.7 230 19 10 7.6 4.2 | -19.0 -2.2 215 18 9 7.6 4.2
25000 -16.4 2.5 225 17 9 7.6 4.2 | -16.7 1.9 210 17 9 7.5 4.1
24000 -14.1 6.6 225 16 8 7.7 4.2 | -14.5 5.9 210 16 8 7.3 4.0
23000 -11.8 10.8 225 14 7 7.7 4.2 | -12.4 9.7 210 16 8 7.4 4.0
22000 -9.5 14.9 220 13 7 6.9 3.8 | -10.2 13.6 215 15 8 6.4 3.5
21000 -7.7 18.1 225 13 7 6.1 3.3 | -8.6 16.5 210 16 8 5.5 3.0
20000 -6.0 21.2 230 13 7 6.2 3.4 | -6.6 20.1 210 17 9 5.7 3.1
19500 -5.1 22.8 230 14 7 6.5 3.6 | -5.9 21.4 210 17 9 6.1 3.3
19000 -4.2 24.4 235 14 7 3.8 2.1 | -5.0 23.0 210 17 9 6.4 3.5
18500 -3.7 25.3 235 15 8 3.8 2.1 | -4.1 24.6 215 17 9 6.6 3.6
18000 -3.2 26.2 240 16 8 4.5 2.5 | -3.2 26.2 215 18 9 5.2 2.9
17500 -2.6 27.3 240 17 9 4.6 2.5 | -2.5 27.5 225 18 9 5.4 3.0
17000 -2.0 28.4 240 18 9 5.5 3.0 | -1.7 28.9 230 18 9 6.0 3.3
16500 -1.2 29.8 240 19 10 6.3 3.4 | -0.8 30.6 230 18 9 6.5 3.5
16000 -0.3 31.5 240 20 10 6.4 3.5 | 0.1 32.2 235 18 9 6.6 3.6
15500 0.7 33.3 240 20 10 7.9 4.3 | 1.1 34.0 235 18 9 7.8 4.3
15000 1.9 35.4 240 20 10 7.7 4.2 | 2.2 36.0 235 17 9 7.8 4.3
14500 3.0 37.4 240 20 10 8.7 4.8 | 3.2 37.8 235 16 8 6.5 3.6
14000 4.3 39.7 235 19 10 8.7 4.8 | 4.2 39.6 240 13 7 6.5 3.5
13500 5.6 42.1 235 18 9 8.4 4.6 | 5.2 41.4 245 11 6 8.2 4.5
13000 6.8 44.2 240 16 8 8.2 4.5 | 6.5 43.7 250 9 5 9.0 4.9
12500 8.1 46.6 240 14 7 8.2 4.5 | 7.9 46.2 255 8 4 9.3 5.1
12000 9.3 48.7 245 13 6 8.1 4.4 | 9.3 48.7 255 8 4 9.5 5.2
11500 10.5 50.9 250 11 6 7.3 4.0 | 10.7 51.3 255 7 4 9.3 5.1
11000 11.7 53.1 260 10 5 8.4 4.6 | 12.1 53.8 260 7 4 9.6 5.3
10500 12.9 55.2 275 9 5 7.4 4.1 | 13.5 56.3 265 7 4 8.9 4.9
10250 13.4 56.1 280 9 5 7.0 3.8 | 14.2 57.6 265 7 3 8.9 4.9
10000 14.0 57.2 290 9 5 8.1 4.5 | 14.9 58.8 265 7 3 10.0 5.5
9750 14.6 58.3 300 9 5 8.1 4.5 | 15.6 60.1 270 7 3 9.6 5.3
9500 15.2 59.4 310 10 5 8.1 4.5 | 16.4 61.5 270 7 3 10.4 5.7
9250 15.8 60.4 315 10 5 8.3 4.6 | 17.2 63.0 275 6 3 11.2 6.2
9000 16.3 61.3 320 11 5 7.0 3.9 | 18.0 64.4 275 6 3 9.8 5.4
8750 16.8 62.2 320 11 6 5.7 3.2 | 18.7 65.7 280 6 3 8.6 4.7
8500 17.2 63.0 325 11 6 6.7 3.7 | 19.3 66.7 280 6 3 9.7 5.3
8250 17.8 64.0 320 11 6 7.2 4.0 | 20.1 68.2 280 6 3 10.5 5.8
8000 18.3 64.9 320 11 6 7.2 4.0 | 20.9 69.6 285 6 3 10.2 5.6
7750 18.8 65.8 320 11 6 7.5 4.1 | 21.6 70.9 285 6 3 10.1 5.5
7500 19.4 66.9 315 11 5 8.7 4.8 | 22.4 72.3 285 6 3 10.3 5.7
7250 20.1 68.2 315 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 23.2 73.8 285 6 3 10.8 5.9
7000 20.8 69.4 315 10 5 9.0 4.9 | 24.0 75.2 290 6 3 9.9 5.4
6750 21.5 70.7 315 10 5 11.1 6.1 | 24.7 76.5 290 6 3 12.3 6.7
6500 22.5 72.5 315 9 5 16.9 9.3 | 26.0 78.8 290 6 3 21.2 11.6
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
09/03/2026 at 1500 MDT | 09/03/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +140.6 LI... -1.2 | CAPE... +49.0 LI... -1.0
CINH... -0.4 K Index... +31.6 | CINH... -34.5 K Index... +27.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.0 -86.8 225 39 20 3.1 1.7 | -66.1 -87.0 220 39 20 3.4 1.8
45000 -59.3 -74.7 230 45 23 6.7 3.7 | -59.4 -74.9 230 47 24 6.2 3.4
40000 -49.3 -56.7 245 48 25 6.5 3.5 | -49.8 -57.6 250 55 28 7.3 4.0
38000 -45.4 -49.7 245 47 24 6.5 3.6 | -45.4 -49.7 245 49 25 7.3 4.0
36000 -40.9 -41.6 245 46 24 8.4 4.6 | -40.5 -40.9 240 42 22 8.0 4.4
34000 -35.7 -32.3 235 43 22 8.7 4.8 | -35.7 -32.3 240 39 20 8.1 4.4
32000 -30.6 -23.1 225 42 21 7.6 4.2 | -30.9 -23.6 235 36 19 7.9 4.3
30000 -27.4 -17.3 220 31 16 5.3 2.9 | -26.3 -15.3 230 39 20 7.7 4.2
29000 -25.8 -14.4 215 26 13 5.2 2.9 | -24.1 -11.4 230 41 21 7.7 4.3
28000 -24.0 -11.2 210 22 11 8.4 4.6 | -22.0 -7.6 225 41 21 5.4 3.0
27000 -21.5 -6.7 210 20 11 8.1 4.4 | -20.3 -4.5 220 36 19 5.7 3.1
26000 -19.1 -2.4 210 19 10 8.1 4.4 | -18.6 -1.5 210 32 16 5.7 3.1
25000 -16.6 2.1 210 17 9 7.6 4.2 | -16.9 1.6 200 28 15 6.1 3.3
24000 -14.6 5.7 215 16 8 6.9 3.8 | -14.9 5.2 200 24 12 6.9 3.8
23000 -12.5 9.5 220 15 8 6.9 3.8 | -12.9 8.8 205 20 10 6.9 3.8
22000 -10.5 13.1 225 15 8 6.3 3.5 | -10.8 12.6 210 16 8 6.6 3.6
21000 -8.9 16.0 225 15 8 5.5 3.0 | -9.1 15.6 210 17 8 6.2 3.4
20000 -7.0 19.4 225 15 8 5.6 3.1 | -6.9 19.6 210 17 9 6.3 3.4
19500 -6.2 20.8 225 15 8 4.6 2.5 | -6.0 21.2 215 18 9 6.5 3.6
19000 -5.8 21.6 220 14 7 3.4 1.8 | -5.0 23.0 215 19 10 6.8 3.7
18500 -5.4 22.3 220 13 7 2.9 1.6 | -4.0 24.8 215 19 10 6.8 3.7
18000 -4.7 23.5 215 12 6 7.8 4.3 | -3.0 26.6 215 19 10 7.1 3.9
17500 -3.6 25.5 215 11 6 7.7 4.2 | -1.9 28.6 215 19 10 7.1 3.9
17000 -2.5 27.5 210 10 5 8.0 4.4 | -0.9 30.4 215 18 9 7.3 4.0
16500 -1.3 29.7 210 9 5 8.4 4.6 | 0.2 32.4 210 16 8 7.6 4.2
16000 -0.1 31.8 215 8 4 8.4 4.6 | 1.3 34.3 205 13 7 7.6 4.2
15500 1.1 34.0 215 8 4 8.9 4.9 | 2.4 36.3 195 11 6 8.1 4.4
15000 2.4 36.3 220 7 4 8.8 4.9 | 3.5 38.3 190 9 5 8.1 4.4
14500 3.8 38.8 225 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 4.7 40.5 185 8 4 8.2 4.5
14000 5.2 41.4 225 7 4 9.6 5.3 | 5.9 42.6 185 6 3 8.2 4.5
13500 6.7 44.1 230 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 7.1 44.8 185 5 3 8.4 4.6
13000 8.1 46.6 230 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 8.3 46.9 195 4 2 8.6 4.7
12500 9.5 49.1 235 7 4 9.7 5.3 | 9.6 49.3 210 3 2 8.7 4.8
12000 11.0 51.8 235 7 4 9.9 5.4 | 10.9 51.6 235 3 2 8.9 4.9
11500 12.5 54.5 235 7 4 9.4 5.1 | 12.3 54.1 255 4 2 8.6 4.7
11000 13.8 56.8 240 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 13.6 56.5 265 5 3 8.9 4.9
10500 15.2 59.4 240 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 14.9 58.8 275 7 3 8.5 4.7
10250 16.0 60.8 245 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 15.5 59.9 275 8 4 8.2 4.5
10000 16.7 62.1 245 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 16.1 61.0 280 9 5 8.4 4.6
9750 17.4 63.3 245 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 16.7 62.1 280 10 5 8.3 4.5
9500 18.1 64.6 245 9 4 10.3 5.7 | 17.3 63.1 280 11 6 8.7 4.8
9250 18.9 66.0 250 9 5 11.5 6.3 | 18.0 64.4 280 12 6 10.0 5.5
9000 19.8 67.6 250 9 5 10.0 5.5 | 18.8 65.8 280 13 7 9.3 5.1
8750 20.4 68.7 255 9 5 8.6 4.7 | 19.4 66.9 280 13 7 8.1 4.4
8500 21.1 70.0 255 9 5 9.5 5.2 | 20.0 68.0 280 14 7 8.8 4.8
8250 21.9 71.4 255 10 5 10.5 5.8 | 20.7 69.3 280 15 8 9.8 5.4
8000 22.6 72.7 255 10 5 10.1 5.5 | 21.4 70.5 280 15 8 9.8 5.4
7750 23.3 73.9 260 10 5 8.6 4.7 | 22.1 71.8 280 16 8 8.9 4.9
7500 24.0 75.2 260 10 5 9.9 5.4 | 22.8 73.0 280 16 8 9.3 5.1
7250 24.8 76.6 260 10 5 11.5 6.3 | 23.5 74.3 280 16 8 10.0 5.5
7000 25.7 78.3 260 11 5 10.9 6.0 | 24.3 75.7 280 17 9 10.1 5.5
6750 26.5 79.7 260 11 6 11.3 6.2 | 25.0 77.0 280 17 9 9.7 5.3
6500 27.5 81.5 260 11 5 17.6 9.6 | 25.8 78.4 280 17 9 11.1 6.1
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0808 MDT Thursday September 3 2026
This forecast is for Thursday, September 3, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 79.3 F/26.3 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1317 ft/min (6.7 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18255 ft MSL (12579 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 92.0 F/33.8 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 16016 ft MSL (10340 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 09/04....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:40:57 / 19:30:35 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 12 hr 49 min 38 sec (769 min 38 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:05:46 MDT... 62.26 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 09/03/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15654 ft MSL (9978 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15816 ft MSL (10140 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17253 ft MSL (11577 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -0.2
K index......................... +25.8
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.4 -87.5 230 42 21 4.2 2.3 77.0 170.5 25.8 M M
45000 -58.9 -74.0 240 50 26 6.4 3.5 66.0 150.9 20.7 M M
40000 -49.3 -56.7 245 53 27 6.7 3.7 58.8 137.9 17.2 M M
38000 -45.3 -49.5 245 52 27 6.7 3.7 56.0 132.8 15.7 M M
36000 -40.7 -41.3 240 50 26 7.2 4.0 53.5 128.3 14.3 M M
34000 -36.3 -33.3 240 44 23 7.3 4.0 51.2 124.2 13.1 M M
32000 -31.9 -25.4 245 38 20 7.4 4.1 49.6 121.2 12.1 M M
30000 -27.4 -17.3 245 34 17 7.6 4.2 47.7 117.8 11.0 M M
29000 -25.1 -13.2 245 32 16 7.6 4.2 46.9 116.4 10.5 M M
28000 -22.8 -9.0 245 30 15 7.6 4.1 46.2 115.1 10.1 M M
27000 -20.6 -5.1 245 29 15 7.6 4.1 45.2 113.4 9.4 M M
26000 -18.3 -0.9 245 28 14 7.6 4.1 44.4 112.0 8.9 M M
25000 -16.1 3.0 245 27 14 7.5 4.1 43.7 110.7 8.4 M M
24000 -13.9 7.0 250 25 13 7.2 4.0 42.7 108.9 7.7 M M
23000 -11.7 10.9 250 23 12 7.2 4.0 41.8 107.2 7.0 M M
22000 -9.2 15.4 255 20 10 5.3 2.9 40.6 105.1 6.1 M M
21000 -7.7 18.1 255 20 10 5.1 2.8 38.9 102.0 4.6 M M
20000 -6.2 20.8 255 20 10 5.1 2.8 37.3 99.1 3.3 M M
19500 -5.5 22.1 255 20 10 4.6 2.5 36.5 97.8 2.6 M M
19000 -5.1 22.8 250 20 10 3.1 1.7 35.4 95.8 1.6 M M
18500 -4.7 23.5 250 21 11 3.5 1.9 34.3 93.8 0.4 M M
18000 -4.3 24.3 250 21 11 4.5 2.5 33.3 92.0 -0.6 1099 5.6
17500 -3.7 25.3 240 22 11 4.8 2.6 32.5 90.4 -1.5 1066 5.4
17000 -3.1 26.4 235 23 12 5.6 3.1 31.6 88.9 -2.3 1033 5.2
16500 -2.0 28.4 230 23 12 8.2 4.5 31.2 88.2 -2.7 986 5.0
16000 -0.8 30.6 225 23 12 8.1 4.4 31.0 87.7 -3.0 936 4.8
15500 0.4 32.7 225 23 12 8.6 4.7 30.7 87.3 -3.3 885 4.5
15000 1.6 34.9 220 22 11 8.6 4.7 30.5 87.0 -3.5 832 4.2
14500 2.9 37.2 220 21 11 8.6 4.7 30.4 86.7 -3.7 780 4.0
14000 4.2 39.6 225 19 10 8.6 4.7 30.2 86.3 -3.9 727 3.7
13500 5.4 41.7 225 18 9 8.3 4.6 30.0 86.0 -4.1 675 3.4
13000 6.6 43.9 230 15 8 7.8 4.3 29.7 85.4 -4.4 624 3.2
12500 7.8 46.0 235 13 6 7.8 4.3 29.4 84.9 -4.7 574 2.9
12000 9.0 48.2 240 11 5 7.8 4.3 29.1 84.3 -5.0 524 2.7
11500 10.1 50.2 250 9 5 7.8 4.3 28.8 83.8 -5.3 475 2.4
11000 11.3 52.3 260 8 4 8.0 4.4 28.5 83.3 -5.7 425 2.2
10500 12.4 54.3 275 7 3 7.1 3.9 28.2 82.7 -6.0 377 1.9
10250 12.9 55.2 295 7 4 7.0 3.8 28.0 82.3 -6.3 355 1.8
10000 13.4 56.1 305 8 4 7.5 4.1 27.8 82.0 -6.5 331 1.7
9750 14.0 57.2 310 9 4 7.3 4.0 27.6 81.6 -6.7 307 1.6
9500 14.5 58.1 320 9 5 7.8 4.3 27.4 81.3 -6.9 284 1.4
9250 15.1 59.2 325 11 6 7.6 4.2 27.3 81.1 -7.0 259 1.3
9000 15.6 60.1 330 12 6 7.0 3.8 27.1 80.7 -7.2 236 1.2
8750 16.2 61.2 330 13 7 7.2 3.9 26.8 80.3 -7.5 213 1.1
8500 17.2 63.0 335 16 8 7.1 3.9 26.4 79.6 -7.9 167 0.8
8250 17.7 63.9 335 17 9 7.4 4.0 26.2 79.2 -8.1 143 0.7
8000 18.3 64.9 340 17 9 7.5 4.1 26.1 78.9 -8.3 120 0.6
7750 18.8 65.8 340 17 9 6.9 3.8 25.9 78.6 -8.5 96 0.5
7500 19.3 66.7 340 17 9 6.3 3.5 25.6 78.2 -8.8 75 0.4
7250 19.8 67.6 340 17 9 6.7 3.7 25.4 77.7 -9.1 53 0.3
7000 20.3 68.5 340 16 8 7.0 3.8 25.2 77.3 -9.3 30 0.2
6750 20.8 69.4 340 14 7 6.8 3.7 25.0 76.9 -9.6 8 0.0
6500 21.3 70.3 345 12 6 6.5 3.6 24.7 76.5 -9.8 M M
6250 21.7 71.1 345 10 5 6.3 3.5 24.5 76.1 -10.1 M M
6000 22.0 71.6 350 9 5 -0.5 -0.3 24.1 75.3 -10.6 M M
5750 20.9 69.6 345 5 2 -35.4 -19.4 22.3 72.1 -12.4 M M
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
09/03/2026 at 0900 MDT | 09/03/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.2 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.0
CINH... -9.4 K Index... +26.4 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +26.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.0 -85.0 235 40 21 2.9 1.6 | -64.6 -84.3 230 38 20 3.1 1.7
45000 -58.8 -73.8 245 47 24 6.2 3.4 | -58.5 -73.3 235 47 24 5.8 3.2
40000 -49.4 -56.9 245 50 26 6.6 3.6 | -49.5 -57.1 245 54 28 6.7 3.7
38000 -45.4 -49.7 245 49 25 6.6 3.6 | -45.1 -49.2 245 52 27 6.7 3.7
36000 -41.0 -41.8 245 48 25 7.0 3.9 | -41.1 -42.0 240 50 26 7.0 3.8
34000 -36.7 -34.1 240 42 22 7.1 3.9 | -36.8 -34.2 235 45 23 7.1 3.9
32000 -32.4 -26.3 235 36 19 7.3 4.0 | -32.6 -26.7 230 40 21 7.2 3.9
30000 -27.9 -18.2 235 31 16 7.6 4.2 | -28.3 -18.9 225 33 17 7.2 3.9
29000 -25.6 -14.1 235 28 14 7.6 4.2 | -26.1 -15.0 225 30 15 7.2 3.9
28000 -23.4 -10.1 235 26 13 7.6 4.2 | -24.0 -11.2 220 27 14 7.7 4.2
27000 -21.1 -6.0 230 25 13 7.6 4.2 | -21.6 -6.9 220 25 13 7.7 4.2
26000 -18.8 -1.8 230 23 12 7.6 4.2 | -19.3 -2.7 220 23 12 7.7 4.2
25000 -16.6 2.1 230 22 12 7.6 4.2 | -17.0 1.4 215 21 11 7.7 4.2
24000 -14.3 6.3 230 21 11 7.5 4.1 | -14.8 5.4 215 20 10 7.6 4.2
23000 -12.1 10.2 230 19 10 7.5 4.1 | -11.9 10.6 215 19 10 7.6 4.2
22000 -9.3 15.3 230 17 9 6.0 3.3 | -9.8 14.4 215 18 9 6.0 3.3
21000 -7.6 18.3 225 17 9 6.0 3.3 | -8.0 17.6 220 19 10 6.0 3.3
20000 -5.9 21.4 225 18 9 6.1 3.3 | -6.3 20.7 225 19 10 6.1 3.4
19500 -5.0 23.0 220 18 9 5.6 3.1 | -5.5 22.1 225 19 10 5.8 3.2
19000 -4.4 24.1 225 19 10 4.6 2.5 | -4.7 23.5 230 20 10 5.2 2.9
18500 -3.8 25.2 230 19 10 4.9 2.7 | -4.0 24.8 230 20 10 5.3 2.9
18000 -3.3 26.1 230 20 10 2.7 1.5 | -3.3 26.1 230 19 10 4.7 2.6
17500 -3.0 26.6 235 21 11 2.7 1.5 | -2.7 27.1 235 19 10 4.7 2.6
17000 -2.7 27.1 240 22 11 4.0 2.2 | -2.1 28.2 240 18 9 5.4 3.0
16500 -1.8 28.8 240 22 11 7.2 4.0 | -1.1 30.0 240 18 9 7.0 3.9
16000 -0.8 30.6 240 22 11 7.0 3.8 | -0.1 31.8 240 17 9 6.9 3.8
15500 0.3 32.5 240 22 11 8.8 4.8 | 0.9 33.6 240 17 9 7.8 4.3
15000 1.6 34.9 235 22 11 8.7 4.8 | 2.0 35.6 235 18 9 7.8 4.3
14500 2.8 37.0 235 21 11 8.1 4.4 | 3.1 37.6 235 18 9 7.7 4.2
14000 4.0 39.2 235 19 10 7.9 4.4 | 4.1 39.4 230 18 9 7.6 4.2
13500 5.2 41.4 240 18 9 8.1 4.5 | 5.2 41.4 230 18 9 7.6 4.2
13000 6.4 43.5 240 16 8 8.4 4.6 | 6.4 43.5 230 16 8 7.6 4.2
12500 7.7 45.9 245 14 7 8.1 4.5 | 7.5 45.5 230 15 8 7.7 4.2
12000 8.8 47.8 250 12 6 7.4 4.1 | 8.7 47.7 230 13 7 7.8 4.3
11500 9.9 49.8 250 11 5 7.4 4.0 | 9.9 49.8 235 10 5 7.5 4.1
11000 10.9 51.6 255 9 5 6.7 3.7 | 10.8 51.4 240 8 4 5.8 3.2
10500 11.9 53.4 265 7 4 6.9 3.8 | 11.7 53.1 255 5 3 7.1 3.9
10250 12.4 54.3 275 7 3 7.0 3.8 | 12.3 54.1 265 5 2 8.1 4.4
10000 12.9 55.2 290 7 3 6.9 3.8 | 12.9 55.2 275 4 2 8.1 4.4
9750 13.4 56.1 305 7 4 7.1 3.9 | 13.5 56.3 285 4 2 8.0 4.4
9500 13.9 57.0 315 8 4 6.5 3.6 | 14.1 57.4 295 4 2 8.3 4.6
9250 14.4 57.9 320 9 5 6.7 3.7 | 14.7 58.5 305 5 2 9.3 5.1
9000 14.9 58.8 330 10 5 7.2 4.0 | 15.5 59.9 305 5 3 9.5 5.2
8750 15.5 59.9 330 11 6 7.4 4.1 | 16.9 62.4 310 5 3 8.3 4.6
8500 16.0 60.8 335 12 6 6.1 3.3 | 17.5 63.5 315 6 3 8.7 4.8
8250 16.4 61.5 340 13 7 6.2 3.4 | 18.2 64.8 315 6 3 10.5 5.8
8000 17.5 63.5 340 13 7 7.9 4.3 | 19.0 66.2 315 6 3 10.4 5.7
7750 18.1 64.6 340 13 7 7.4 4.1 | 19.7 67.5 320 7 3 9.6 5.3
7500 18.6 65.5 340 13 7 7.4 4.1 | 20.4 68.7 320 7 3 9.1 5.0
7250 19.2 66.6 340 13 7 9.1 5.0 | 21.1 70.0 320 7 4 10.6 5.8
7000 19.9 67.8 340 12 6 9.8 5.4 | 22.0 71.6 320 7 4 11.1 6.1
6750 20.6 69.1 340 12 6 9.3 5.1 | 22.8 73.0 320 7 4 10.5 5.7
6500 21.3 70.3 340 12 6 9.2 5.1 | 23.5 74.3 320 8 4 10.5 5.8
6250 22.0 71.6 340 11 6 9.1 5.0 | 24.3 75.7 320 8 4 9.2 5.1
6000 22.7 72.9 340 11 6 12.3 6.8 | 25.1 77.2 320 8 4 13.9 7.6
5750 24.3 75.7 340 9 5 34.1 18.7 | 27.4 81.3 320 8 4 60.9 33.4
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
09/03/2026 at 1500 MDT | 09/03/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +125.1 LI... -1.0 | CAPE... +103.9 LI... -1.3
CINH... -9.6 K Index... +31.0 | CINH... -86.6 K Index... +29.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.2 -85.4 220 39 20 3.6 2.0 | -65.1 -85.2 225 42 22 3.6 2.0
45000 -58.7 -73.7 235 48 25 5.5 3.0 | -58.8 -73.8 235 52 27 5.2 2.8
40000 -50.2 -58.4 250 59 30 6.8 3.7 | -50.6 -59.1 255 60 31 7.2 4.0
38000 -45.6 -50.1 240 53 27 6.8 3.7 | -45.7 -50.3 250 52 27 7.2 4.0
36000 -41.5 -42.7 230 49 25 8.4 4.6 | -41.4 -42.5 240 45 23 8.1 4.4
34000 -36.2 -33.2 225 46 23 9.0 4.9 | -36.4 -33.5 240 42 21 8.3 4.6
32000 -30.8 -23.4 220 42 22 8.2 4.5 | -31.5 -24.7 235 38 20 8.3 4.5
30000 -27.7 -17.9 225 30 15 5.1 2.8 | -26.8 -16.2 225 36 19 8.0 4.4
29000 -26.1 -15.0 230 24 12 5.1 2.8 | -24.4 -11.9 220 35 18 8.0 4.4
28000 -24.5 -12.1 235 18 10 7.6 4.1 | -22.2 -8.0 215 35 18 6.6 3.6
27000 -22.2 -8.0 230 18 9 7.7 4.2 | -20.2 -4.4 215 33 17 6.5 3.6
26000 -19.9 -3.8 220 17 9 7.7 4.2 | -18.3 -0.9 215 31 16 6.5 3.6
25000 -17.6 0.3 215 17 9 7.6 4.2 | -15.9 3.4 210 29 15 6.2 3.4
24000 -15.4 4.3 215 17 9 7.4 4.1 | -14.2 6.4 205 28 14 6.1 3.3
23000 -12.6 9.3 220 17 9 7.5 4.1 | -12.4 9.7 200 26 14 6.1 3.3
22000 -10.5 13.1 220 17 9 5.9 3.3 | -10.6 12.9 200 25 13 6.2 3.4
21000 -8.8 16.2 220 17 9 5.8 3.2 | -8.8 16.2 195 26 13 6.3 3.5
20000 -7.2 19.0 220 18 9 5.9 3.3 | -7.0 19.4 195 26 14 6.3 3.5
19500 -6.4 20.5 220 18 9 6.1 3.3 | -6.1 21.0 195 27 14 6.3 3.4
19000 -5.5 22.1 220 18 9 6.3 3.4 | -5.2 22.6 195 26 13 5.9 3.2
18500 -4.6 23.7 220 17 9 6.2 3.4 | -4.4 24.1 190 25 13 5.9 3.2
18000 -3.7 25.3 220 17 9 6.5 3.6 | -3.6 25.5 190 24 13 5.6 3.1
17500 -2.8 27.0 220 16 8 6.6 3.6 | -2.8 27.0 185 24 12 5.5 3.0
17000 -1.8 28.8 220 16 8 6.6 3.6 | -2.0 28.4 185 24 12 5.7 3.1
16500 -0.9 30.4 220 16 8 6.8 3.7 | -1.0 30.2 185 24 12 7.3 4.0
16000 0.1 32.2 220 16 8 6.8 3.7 | 0.1 32.2 185 23 12 7.1 3.9
15500 1.1 34.0 220 16 8 7.4 4.0 | 1.1 34.0 185 22 12 8.0 4.4
15000 2.1 35.8 220 15 8 7.3 4.0 | 2.3 36.1 190 22 11 8.0 4.4
14500 3.2 37.8 220 14 7 7.5 4.1 | 3.5 38.3 190 21 11 8.0 4.4
14000 4.3 39.7 220 13 6 7.6 4.2 | 4.6 40.3 195 19 10 8.0 4.4
13500 5.4 41.7 220 11 6 8.1 4.4 | 5.8 42.4 195 18 9 8.1 4.4
13000 6.6 43.9 220 11 5 8.6 4.7 | 7.0 44.6 195 16 8 8.5 4.7
12500 7.9 46.2 225 10 5 8.8 4.8 | 8.3 46.9 195 14 7 8.5 4.7
12000 9.3 48.7 225 9 5 9.2 5.1 | 9.5 49.1 195 12 6 8.2 4.5
11500 10.6 51.1 225 9 4 9.2 5.0 | 10.7 51.3 195 10 5 8.2 4.5
11000 12.0 53.6 225 8 4 9.2 5.0 | 12.7 54.9 205 7 4 9.1 5.0
10500 13.4 56.1 225 8 4 10.0 5.5 | 13.9 57.0 215 7 3 8.0 4.4
10250 14.2 57.6 225 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 14.5 58.1 225 7 4 8.5 4.7
10000 14.9 58.8 225 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 15.1 59.2 235 8 4 9.0 4.9
9750 15.6 60.1 225 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 15.7 60.3 240 8 4 6.6 3.6
9500 16.3 61.3 225 8 4 9.4 5.1 | 16.1 61.0 245 9 4 5.9 3.2
9250 17.7 63.9 230 7 4 9.7 5.3 | 16.6 61.9 250 9 5 7.9 4.3
9000 18.4 65.1 230 7 4 9.7 5.3 | 17.1 62.8 255 10 5 7.3 4.0
8750 19.2 66.6 230 7 4 9.3 5.1 | 17.7 63.9 260 11 6 7.7 4.2
8500 19.8 67.6 230 7 4 9.7 5.3 | 18.2 64.8 265 13 7 7.3 4.0
8250 20.6 69.1 230 7 3 10.4 5.7 | 18.7 65.7 265 14 7 6.9 3.8
8000 21.4 70.5 230 7 3 10.3 5.6 | 19.2 66.6 265 15 8 7.2 4.0
7750 22.1 71.8 230 6 3 9.9 5.4 | 19.7 67.5 270 16 8 6.3 3.5
7500 22.8 73.0 230 6 3 9.6 5.2 | 20.1 68.2 270 17 9 4.6 2.5
7250 23.6 74.5 230 6 3 10.2 5.6 | 20.4 68.7 270 19 10 6.0 3.3
7000 24.4 75.9 230 6 3 10.5 5.7 | 20.9 69.6 270 20 10 7.1 3.9
6750 25.1 77.2 235 6 3 10.4 5.7 | 21.4 70.5 275 20 10 7.5 4.1
6500 25.9 78.6 230 6 3 10.9 6.0 | 22.0 71.6 275 21 11 9.1 5.0
6250 26.7 80.1 230 6 3 9.4 5.2 | 22.7 72.9 275 21 11 8.2 4.5
6000 27.4 81.3 230 5 3 13.1 7.2 | 23.3 73.9 275 20 10 9.7 5.3
5750 29.5 85.1 235 5 3 52.8 28.9 | 24.6 76.3 280 17 9 30.1 16.5
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0811 MDT Thursday September 3 2026
This forecast is for Thursday, September 3, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 76.5 F/24.7 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1098 ft/min (5.6 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18513 ft MSL (12060 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 88.0 F/31.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 16004 ft MSL (9552 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 09/04....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:38:22 / 19:28:57 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 12 hr 50 min 35 sec (770 min 35 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:03:40 MDT... 61.70 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 09/03/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15704 ft MSL (9251 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 17079 ft MSL (10626 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 18143 ft MSL (11690 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +1.2
K index......................... +24.1
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.8 -86.4 235 45 23 3.5 1.9 76.2 169.2 26.8 M M
45000 -58.7 -73.7 240 53 27 6.2 3.4 63.5 146.3 20.6 M M
40000 -49.2 -56.6 245 56 29 6.7 3.7 56.0 132.9 17.0 M M
38000 -45.2 -49.4 245 54 28 6.7 3.7 53.2 127.8 15.5 M M
36000 -41.1 -42.0 240 52 27 6.9 3.8 51.1 124.0 14.3 M M
34000 -36.8 -34.2 240 47 24 7.2 3.9 48.7 119.6 12.9 M M
32000 -32.5 -26.5 245 41 21 7.1 3.9 46.9 116.4 11.9 M M
30000 -27.7 -17.9 245 37 19 8.0 4.4 45.2 113.4 10.9 M M
29000 -24.7 -12.5 245 35 18 8.0 4.4 44.5 112.0 10.4 M M
28000 -22.4 -8.3 245 33 17 7.5 4.1 43.8 110.8 10.0 M M
27000 -20.1 -4.2 245 32 17 7.5 4.1 42.9 109.1 9.4 M M
26000 -17.9 -0.2 250 31 16 7.5 4.1 42.1 107.7 8.9 M M
25000 -15.6 3.9 250 30 16 7.3 4.0 41.4 106.4 8.4 M M
24000 -13.5 7.7 250 29 15 7.1 3.9 40.3 104.5 7.6 M M
23000 -11.3 11.7 250 27 14 7.1 3.9 39.4 102.8 6.9 M M
22000 -9.2 15.4 255 25 13 5.5 3.0 38.5 101.3 6.2 M M
21000 -8.0 17.6 250 24 12 4.3 2.4 36.5 97.6 4.5 M M
20000 -6.7 19.9 245 23 12 4.4 2.4 34.6 94.3 2.9 M M
19500 -6.1 21.0 245 22 12 4.5 2.5 33.8 92.8 2.1 M M
19000 -5.6 21.9 245 23 12 3.2 1.7 32.7 90.9 1.1 M M
18500 -5.2 22.6 245 24 12 3.7 2.0 31.6 89.0 0.0 M M
18000 -4.8 23.4 245 25 13 5.2 2.9 30.7 87.2 -1.0 1072 5.4
17500 -4.0 24.8 245 26 13 6.0 3.3 30.0 86.1 -1.6 1031 5.2
17000 -3.1 26.4 245 27 14 6.2 3.4 29.4 85.0 -2.2 990 5.0
16500 -2.1 28.2 240 27 14 8.2 4.5 29.0 84.2 -2.7 944 4.8
16000 -0.9 30.4 240 27 14 8.1 4.4 28.7 83.7 -3.0 894 4.5
15500 0.3 32.5 240 26 14 8.1 4.5 28.5 83.3 -3.3 843 4.3
15000 1.5 34.7 235 25 13 8.2 4.5 28.2 82.8 -3.6 793 4.0
14500 2.7 36.9 235 24 12 8.3 4.5 28.0 82.3 -3.9 743 3.8
14000 3.9 39.0 235 22 11 8.4 4.6 27.7 81.9 -4.1 691 3.5
13500 5.2 41.4 235 21 11 8.4 4.6 27.5 81.5 -4.3 638 3.2
13000 6.4 43.5 240 19 10 8.1 4.4 27.3 81.1 -4.6 587 3.0
12500 7.6 45.7 245 16 8 8.1 4.5 27.0 80.6 -4.8 535 2.7
12000 8.8 47.8 255 15 7 8.2 4.5 26.8 80.2 -5.1 484 2.5
11500 10.7 51.3 275 12 6 8.0 4.4 26.4 79.6 -5.5 407 2.1
11000 11.8 53.2 290 11 5 7.9 4.3 26.1 79.0 -5.8 357 1.8
10500 13.0 55.4 305 10 5 7.8 4.3 25.8 78.5 -6.2 308 1.6
10250 13.6 56.5 305 10 5 7.8 4.3 25.7 78.2 -6.3 283 1.4
10000 14.1 57.4 315 9 5 7.7 4.2 25.5 77.9 -6.5 258 1.3
9750 14.7 58.5 320 9 4 7.9 4.3 25.4 77.7 -6.6 233 1.2
9500 15.3 59.5 330 8 4 7.1 3.9 25.2 77.4 -6.8 209 1.1
9250 15.8 60.4 330 8 4 7.2 4.0 25.0 77.0 -7.0 186 0.9
9000 16.4 61.5 335 8 4 8.0 4.4 24.8 76.7 -7.2 160 0.8
8750 17.0 62.6 335 8 4 7.7 4.3 24.7 76.4 -7.3 135 0.7
8500 17.6 63.7 340 7 4 6.3 3.4 24.5 76.1 -7.5 111 0.6
8250 18.0 64.4 340 7 3 4.9 2.7 24.2 75.5 -7.9 91 0.5
8000 18.4 65.1 340 6 3 4.7 2.6 23.8 74.8 -8.2 73 0.4
7750 18.7 65.7 340 6 3 4.5 2.5 23.4 74.1 -8.6 55 0.3
7500 19.1 66.4 340 5 3 4.9 2.7 23.0 73.4 -9.0 37 0.2
7250 19.4 66.9 340 4 2 4.5 2.5 22.6 72.8 -9.4 19 0.1
7000 19.8 67.6 335 4 2 5.3 2.9 22.3 72.1 -9.8 1 0.0
6750 20.0 68.0 340 3 2 -3.1 -1.7 21.7 71.1 -10.4 M M
6500 18.0 64.4 355 2 1 -61.8 -33.9 19.1 66.3 -13.1 39 0.2
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
09/03/2026 at 0900 MDT | 09/03/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.1 | CAPE... +0.1 LI... +0.9
CINH... -0.0 K Index... +25.5 | CINH... -2.5 K Index... +27.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.4 -83.9 240 43 22 2.2 1.2 | -64.2 -83.6 230 41 21 2.7 1.5
45000 -58.8 -73.8 245 52 27 6.2 3.4 | -58.5 -73.3 240 50 26 5.7 3.1
40000 -49.5 -57.1 250 55 28 6.3 3.5 | -49.8 -57.6 245 58 30 6.6 3.6
38000 -45.8 -50.4 245 53 27 6.3 3.5 | -45.3 -49.5 245 55 28 6.6 3.6
36000 -41.5 -42.7 245 51 26 7.0 3.8 | -41.4 -42.5 240 52 27 6.9 3.8
34000 -37.2 -35.0 240 44 23 7.2 4.0 | -37.2 -35.0 240 46 24 7.0 3.8
32000 -32.8 -27.0 235 37 19 7.3 4.0 | -33.0 -27.4 230 40 21 7.1 3.9
30000 -28.2 -18.8 235 33 17 7.7 4.2 | -28.6 -19.5 230 35 18 7.5 4.1
29000 -25.9 -14.6 235 31 16 7.7 4.2 | -26.3 -15.3 225 32 17 7.5 4.1
28000 -23.6 -10.5 235 29 15 7.7 4.2 | -24.1 -11.4 225 30 15 7.5 4.1
27000 -21.3 -6.3 235 28 14 7.7 4.2 | -21.8 -7.2 225 28 14 7.5 4.1
26000 -19.0 -2.2 240 26 14 7.7 4.2 | -19.6 -3.3 225 26 13 7.5 4.1
25000 -16.7 1.9 240 25 13 7.8 4.3 | -17.3 0.9 225 24 12 7.6 4.2
24000 -14.3 6.3 240 24 12 8.0 4.4 | -14.4 6.1 225 22 11 7.8 4.3
23000 -11.3 11.7 235 23 12 8.0 4.4 | -12.1 10.2 220 22 11 7.8 4.3
22000 -9.1 15.6 235 22 11 5.6 3.1 | -9.9 14.2 215 21 11 6.0 3.3
21000 -7.6 18.3 235 21 11 5.3 2.9 | -8.2 17.2 220 21 11 5.8 3.2
20000 -6.0 21.2 235 21 11 5.3 2.9 | -6.5 20.3 220 22 11 6.0 3.3
19500 -5.3 22.5 235 20 10 4.9 2.7 | -5.7 21.7 220 22 11 5.6 3.1
19000 -4.8 23.4 235 21 11 3.6 2.0 | -5.1 22.8 225 22 11 4.2 2.3
18500 -4.3 24.3 240 21 11 4.0 2.2 | -4.6 23.7 225 21 11 4.3 2.3
18000 -3.8 25.2 245 22 11 4.5 2.5 | -3.9 25.0 230 21 11 5.6 3.1
17500 -3.2 26.2 245 22 11 4.6 2.5 | -3.2 26.2 235 21 11 6.0 3.3
17000 -2.7 27.1 245 23 12 5.0 2.8 | -2.4 27.7 240 21 11 6.3 3.5
16500 -1.8 28.8 245 23 12 6.2 3.4 | -1.4 29.5 245 22 11 7.3 4.0
16000 -1.0 30.2 240 24 12 6.0 3.3 | -0.4 31.3 245 22 11 7.3 4.0
15500 0.1 32.2 240 25 13 8.8 4.8 | 0.7 33.3 245 21 11 7.0 3.8
15000 1.3 34.3 240 24 13 8.8 4.8 | 1.7 35.1 245 21 11 7.0 3.8
14500 2.6 36.7 235 24 12 8.5 4.7 | 2.7 36.9 240 20 10 7.6 4.2
14000 3.9 39.0 240 23 12 8.4 4.6 | 3.9 39.0 240 19 10 7.9 4.3
13500 5.1 41.2 240 21 11 8.3 4.6 | 5.0 41.0 240 17 9 8.1 4.5
13000 6.3 43.3 245 19 10 8.2 4.5 | 6.3 43.3 240 15 8 8.4 4.6
12500 7.6 45.7 245 18 9 8.0 4.4 | 7.6 45.7 245 14 7 8.2 4.5
12000 8.7 47.7 255 16 8 7.4 4.0 | 8.7 47.7 245 12 6 7.3 4.0
11500 9.8 49.6 260 14 7 8.2 4.5 | 9.8 49.6 255 10 5 8.2 4.5
11000 11.0 51.8 270 12 6 7.5 4.1 | 11.0 51.8 255 8 4 7.9 4.3
10500 12.1 53.8 280 10 5 7.3 4.0 | 12.8 55.0 265 6 3 8.5 4.6
10250 12.6 54.7 290 8 4 7.1 3.9 | 13.5 56.3 265 6 3 9.4 5.2
10000 13.8 56.8 310 6 3 7.8 4.3 | 14.2 57.6 270 6 3 9.2 5.1
9750 14.3 57.7 325 6 3 7.7 4.2 | 14.9 58.8 270 5 3 9.3 5.1
9500 14.9 58.8 340 6 3 7.1 3.9 | 15.6 60.1 270 5 3 9.2 5.0
9250 15.4 59.7 345 6 3 7.4 4.1 | 16.3 61.3 270 5 3 9.5 5.2
9000 16.0 60.8 355 6 3 8.3 4.6 | 17.0 62.6 275 5 3 9.8 5.4
8750 16.6 61.9 360 7 4 7.5 4.1 | 17.7 63.9 275 5 3 9.7 5.3
8500 17.1 62.8 005 7 4 5.1 2.8 | 18.4 65.1 280 5 3 9.5 5.2
8250 17.5 63.5 360 7 4 4.9 2.7 | 19.1 66.4 280 5 2 9.8 5.4
8000 17.9 64.2 360 7 4 6.5 3.5 | 19.9 67.8 280 5 2 10.4 5.7
7750 18.4 65.1 360 7 4 7.2 3.9 | 20.7 69.3 280 5 2 10.4 5.7
7500 19.0 66.2 355 7 3 7.7 4.2 | 21.4 70.5 280 5 2 10.3 5.6
7250 19.5 67.1 355 6 3 7.9 4.3 | 22.2 72.0 280 5 2 10.5 5.7
7000 20.1 68.2 350 6 3 8.8 4.8 | 23.0 73.4 280 5 2 9.7 5.3
6750 20.9 69.6 350 5 3 13.0 7.1 | 23.8 74.8 280 5 2 14.1 7.7
6500 22.2 72.0 340 4 2 24.5 13.4 | 25.8 78.4 280 5 2 49.3 27.1
09/03/2026 at 1500 MDT | 09/03/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +139.9 LI... -0.9 | CAPE... +156.2 LI... -1.6
CINH... -6.0 K Index... +28.4 | CINH... -19.4 K Index... +31.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.5 -84.1 225 40 21 3.2 1.8 | -64.5 -84.1 225 41 21 3.4 1.9
45000 -58.4 -73.1 235 49 25 5.5 3.0 | -58.3 -72.9 235 50 25 5.5 3.0
40000 -49.9 -57.8 245 60 31 6.7 3.7 | -49.8 -57.6 250 57 30 6.3 3.5
38000 -45.5 -49.9 240 58 30 6.7 3.7 | -45.6 -50.1 235 51 26 6.3 3.5
36000 -41.5 -42.7 235 57 29 7.9 4.3 | -41.8 -43.2 225 48 24 7.8 4.3
34000 -36.4 -33.5 235 54 28 8.4 4.6 | -36.8 -34.2 220 42 21 8.4 4.6
32000 -31.4 -24.5 235 51 26 8.2 4.5 | -31.8 -25.2 210 36 19 8.3 4.6
30000 -28.1 -18.6 230 39 20 5.4 3.0 | -27.3 -17.1 210 33 17 7.5 4.1
29000 -26.4 -15.5 230 33 17 5.4 3.0 | -25.1 -13.2 215 32 16 7.6 4.1
28000 -24.7 -12.5 230 27 14 7.8 4.3 | -22.9 -9.2 215 30 16 5.5 3.0
27000 -22.3 -8.1 225 26 13 8.1 4.4 | -21.4 -6.5 210 25 13 5.1 2.8
26000 -19.8 -3.6 225 25 13 8.1 4.4 | -19.9 -3.8 210 21 11 5.1 2.8
25000 -17.4 0.7 220 23 12 7.9 4.4 | -17.9 -0.2 205 16 8 8.1 4.4
24000 -14.6 5.7 220 22 11 7.4 4.0 | -15.2 4.6 205 16 8 9.1 5.0
23000 -12.5 9.5 220 21 11 7.4 4.0 | -12.4 9.7 205 16 8 9.1 5.0
22000 -10.4 13.3 225 20 11 5.9 3.2 | -9.9 14.2 200 17 9 5.7 3.1
21000 -8.8 16.2 225 20 10 5.7 3.1 | -8.5 16.7 210 15 8 4.8 2.7
20000 -7.2 19.0 230 19 10 5.8 3.2 | -7.2 19.0 220 13 7 5.0 2.7
19500 -6.4 20.5 230 19 10 6.0 3.3 | -6.5 20.3 225 12 6 5.2 2.8
19000 -5.5 22.1 235 18 9 6.4 3.5 | -5.7 21.7 230 12 6 6.0 3.3
18500 -4.6 23.7 235 18 9 6.4 3.5 | -4.9 23.2 230 12 6 6.0 3.3
18000 -3.7 25.3 240 17 9 6.4 3.5 | -4.0 24.8 230 11 6 6.7 3.7
17500 -2.8 27.0 240 17 9 6.4 3.5 | -3.0 26.6 230 11 6 6.9 3.8
17000 -1.9 28.6 245 16 8 6.6 3.6 | -2.0 28.4 225 11 6 7.1 3.9
16500 -0.9 30.4 245 16 8 7.0 3.9 | -0.9 30.4 225 11 6 7.9 4.3
16000 0.1 32.2 245 15 8 7.0 3.8 | 0.2 32.4 220 11 6 7.9 4.3
15500 1.1 34.0 245 15 8 7.7 4.2 | 1.4 34.5 220 11 6 8.0 4.4
15000 2.2 36.0 240 15 7 7.7 4.3 | 2.5 36.5 220 10 5 8.0 4.4
14500 3.4 38.1 240 14 7 7.9 4.3 | 3.7 38.7 225 10 5 8.2 4.5
14000 4.5 40.1 240 13 7 8.1 4.4 | 4.8 40.6 230 10 5 8.3 4.6
13500 5.7 42.3 245 12 6 8.5 4.6 | 6.0 42.8 240 10 5 8.4 4.6
13000 7.0 44.6 245 12 6 9.3 5.1 | 7.3 45.1 245 10 5 8.7 4.8
12500 8.4 47.1 245 11 6 9.3 5.1 | 8.6 47.5 245 10 5 8.8 4.8
12000 9.8 49.6 245 11 6 9.7 5.3 | 10.7 51.3 250 11 6 9.8 5.4
11500 11.3 52.3 245 11 6 9.2 5.0 | 12.0 53.6 250 12 6 8.8 4.9
11000 13.4 56.1 245 11 5 9.6 5.3 | 13.4 56.1 250 12 6 10.0 5.5
10500 14.8 58.6 245 11 5 9.4 5.1 | 14.9 58.8 250 12 6 9.3 5.1
10250 15.5 59.9 245 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 15.6 60.1 250 13 6 9.6 5.3
10000 16.2 61.2 245 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 16.3 61.3 250 13 7 9.7 5.3
9750 16.9 62.4 245 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 17.0 62.6 250 13 7 9.4 5.2
9500 17.6 63.7 245 10 5 10.2 5.6 | 17.7 63.9 250 13 7 10.4 5.7
9250 18.4 65.1 245 10 5 10.1 5.5 | 18.5 65.3 250 13 7 10.2 5.6
9000 19.1 66.4 245 10 5 9.6 5.2 | 19.2 66.6 250 13 7 9.0 5.0
8750 19.8 67.6 245 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 19.9 67.8 250 14 7 9.2 5.1
8500 20.6 69.1 245 10 5 10.1 5.5 | 20.6 69.1 250 14 7 9.8 5.4
8250 21.3 70.3 245 10 5 10.3 5.6 | 21.4 70.5 250 14 7 10.0 5.5
8000 22.1 71.8 245 10 5 10.1 5.5 | 22.1 71.8 250 14 7 9.2 5.1
7750 22.9 73.2 245 10 5 10.2 5.6 | 22.8 73.0 250 14 7 9.3 5.1
7500 23.6 74.5 245 10 5 10.5 5.8 | 23.5 74.3 250 14 7 10.2 5.6
7250 24.4 75.9 245 9 5 11.1 6.1 | 24.3 75.7 250 14 7 10.8 5.9
7000 25.2 77.4 245 9 5 9.2 5.0 | 25.0 77.0 250 14 7 8.9 4.9
6750 25.9 78.6 245 9 5 13.7 7.5 | 25.6 78.1 250 14 7 9.0 4.9
6500 28.3 82.9 245 8 4 63.4 34.8 | 26.8 80.2 250 12 6 28.5 15.6
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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