Storm surge flooding will continue through tonight in the Outer Banks in North Carolina as Hurricane Erin continues to move away from the U.S. Wind gusts up to tropical storm force are possible along the Mid-Atlantic and southern New England coasts through Friday. A dangerous, record heat wave will continue across the Desert Southwest and the Central Valley of California through Saturday. Read More >
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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0722 MDT Thursday August 21 2025
This forecast is for Thursday, August 21, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 76.5 F/24.7 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 952 ft/min (4.8 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17357 ft MSL (11026 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 89.0 F/32.1 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 13814 ft MSL (7483 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 08/22....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:29:06 / 19:44:56 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 15 min 50 sec (795 min 50 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:07:01 MDT... 66.80 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/21/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16676 ft MSL (10345 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15370 ft MSL (9039 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16113 ft MSL (9782 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -2.4
K index......................... +22.6
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.9 -90.2 035 8 4 0.9 0.5 72.4 162.3 24.2 M M
45000 -62.2 -80.0 035 11 6 8.2 4.5 58.6 137.4 17.1 M M
40000 -49.9 -57.8 030 15 7 7.9 4.3 55.3 131.6 16.1 M M
38000 -45.2 -49.4 030 15 8 7.9 4.3 53.6 128.5 15.3 M M
36000 -39.8 -39.6 030 16 8 8.1 4.5 52.2 125.9 14.7 M M
34000 -35.0 -31.0 035 18 9 8.1 4.5 50.6 123.2 14.0 M M
32000 -30.1 -22.2 035 19 10 8.1 4.5 49.6 121.3 13.5 M M
30000 -25.2 -13.4 035 19 10 8.1 4.5 48.2 118.7 12.7 M M
29000 -22.7 -8.9 035 19 10 8.1 4.4 47.6 117.7 12.5 M M
28000 -20.6 -5.1 035 19 10 5.6 3.1 46.7 116.0 11.8 M M
27000 -18.9 -2.0 035 20 10 5.7 3.1 45.0 113.1 10.7 M M
26000 -17.2 1.0 035 21 11 5.7 3.1 43.6 110.4 9.6 M M
25000 -15.5 4.1 035 21 11 6.1 3.4 42.2 108.0 8.6 M M
24000 -13.6 7.5 040 21 11 6.3 3.4 40.8 105.5 7.5 M M
23000 -11.7 10.9 040 21 11 6.3 3.4 39.6 103.3 6.6 M M
22000 -9.9 14.2 045 21 11 6.1 3.4 38.4 101.2 5.6 M M
21000 -8.1 17.4 050 24 12 6.1 3.3 37.0 98.7 4.5 M M
20000 -5.8 21.6 055 28 14 6.1 3.4 35.5 95.9 3.2 M M
19500 -4.9 23.2 055 29 15 5.1 2.8 34.8 94.7 2.7 M M
19000 -4.3 24.3 055 30 15 5.3 2.9 34.0 93.2 1.8 M M
18500 -3.7 25.3 050 30 16 6.1 3.4 33.3 91.9 1.0 M M
18000 -2.7 27.1 045 29 15 7.4 4.0 32.8 91.1 0.5 M M
17500 -1.7 28.9 040 28 14 7.3 4.0 32.4 90.3 0.0 M M
17000 -0.6 30.9 040 26 14 7.8 4.3 32.0 89.6 -0.3 910 4.6
16500 0.6 33.1 035 25 13 7.9 4.4 31.7 89.1 -0.6 860 4.4
16000 1.8 35.2 030 23 12 7.8 4.3 31.4 88.6 -0.9 810 4.1
15500 2.8 37.0 025 21 11 7.3 4.0 31.0 87.8 -1.4 765 3.9
15000 3.7 38.7 020 19 10 7.4 4.1 30.6 87.1 -1.9 721 3.7
14500 4.7 40.5 015 17 9 7.0 3.8 30.2 86.4 -2.4 676 3.4
14000 5.7 42.3 005 15 8 7.1 3.9 29.8 85.6 -2.8 632 3.2
13500 6.7 44.1 355 13 7 6.5 3.5 29.3 84.7 -3.4 589 3.0
13000 7.6 45.7 350 11 6 6.4 3.5 28.7 83.7 -3.9 546 2.8
12500 8.5 47.3 340 10 5 6.5 3.6 28.2 82.8 -4.5 504 2.6
12000 9.5 49.1 330 9 5 6.5 3.6 27.7 81.9 -5.0 460 2.3
11500 10.4 50.7 325 8 4 7.4 4.1 27.2 81.0 -5.5 416 2.1
11000 11.4 52.5 315 7 4 5.9 3.2 26.8 80.2 -6.0 372 1.9
10500 12.3 54.1 305 6 3 7.6 4.2 26.2 79.1 -6.6 330 1.7
10250 13.0 55.4 295 5 2 8.2 4.5 26.1 79.0 -6.7 304 1.5
10000 13.5 56.3 285 4 2 6.2 3.4 25.9 78.6 -6.9 281 1.4
9750 13.9 57.0 270 4 2 6.1 3.3 25.6 78.1 -7.2 260 1.3
9500 14.4 57.9 255 3 2 6.6 3.6 25.3 77.6 -7.5 239 1.2
9250 14.9 58.8 240 3 2 7.2 4.0 25.1 77.2 -7.8 217 1.1
9000 15.4 59.7 220 4 2 6.6 3.6 24.9 76.9 -8.0 195 1.0
8750 15.8 60.4 210 4 2 6.1 3.3 24.6 76.4 -8.3 174 0.9
8500 16.2 61.2 200 4 2 6.0 3.3 24.4 75.9 -8.6 154 0.8
8250 16.7 62.1 190 4 2 5.7 3.1 24.1 75.3 -9.0 134 0.7
8000 17.1 62.8 180 4 2 6.1 3.4 23.8 74.8 -9.3 114 0.6
7750 17.5 63.5 170 4 2 5.5 3.0 23.5 74.3 -9.6 94 0.5
7500 17.8 64.0 165 4 2 3.9 2.2 23.1 73.6 -10.1 77 0.4
7250 18.1 64.6 155 4 2 3.0 1.6 22.6 72.7 -10.6 62 0.3
7000 18.3 64.9 150 3 2 4.8 2.6 22.1 71.8 -11.1 48 0.2
6750 18.5 65.3 135 3 1 -3.7 -2.0 21.6 70.9 -11.7 35 0.2
6500 17.4 63.3 125 2 1 -22.6 -12.4 19.8 67.7 -13.5 58 0.3
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/21/2025 at 0900 MDT | 08/21/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +0.1 LI... -0.4 | CAPE... +114.4 LI... -1.3
CINH... -6.1 K Index... +21.5 | CINH... -36.6 K Index... +19.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -68.6 -91.5 045 10 5 1.7 1.0 | -68.4 -91.1 045 11 6 2.2 1.2
45000 -62.2 -80.0 035 10 5 8.1 4.4 | -61.8 -79.2 020 11 6 7.8 4.3
40000 -50.1 -58.2 035 14 7 7.9 4.3 | -50.1 -58.2 030 12 6 7.9 4.4
38000 -44.8 -48.6 035 16 8 7.9 4.3 | -45.3 -49.5 030 12 6 8.0 4.4
36000 -40.1 -40.2 035 18 9 8.5 4.7 | -39.9 -39.8 035 14 7 8.3 4.6
34000 -35.0 -31.0 035 19 10 8.5 4.7 | -34.9 -30.8 040 17 9 8.3 4.5
32000 -29.9 -21.8 040 21 11 8.3 4.6 | -29.9 -21.8 045 20 10 8.2 4.5
30000 -24.9 -12.8 040 22 11 8.3 4.6 | -25.0 -13.0 050 22 11 8.1 4.5
29000 -22.4 -8.3 040 23 12 8.3 4.5 | -22.6 -8.7 055 23 12 8.1 4.4
28000 -20.2 -4.4 040 23 12 5.8 3.2 | -20.4 -4.7 055 23 12 5.8 3.2
27000 -18.4 -1.1 040 22 12 5.9 3.2 | -18.7 -1.7 045 22 11 5.9 3.2
26000 -16.7 1.9 035 22 11 5.9 3.3 | -16.9 1.6 040 21 11 5.9 3.3
25000 -15.0 5.0 035 21 11 5.7 3.1 | -15.1 4.8 035 21 11 5.7 3.1
24000 -13.3 8.1 035 22 11 5.7 3.1 | -13.5 7.7 030 21 11 5.6 3.1
23000 -11.7 10.9 035 22 11 5.7 3.1 | -11.8 10.8 030 22 11 5.7 3.1
22000 -10.0 14.0 035 22 11 5.8 3.2 | -10.1 13.8 030 22 11 6.2 3.4
21000 -8.1 17.4 045 22 11 5.9 3.2 | -8.2 17.2 035 23 12 6.3 3.5
20000 -5.9 21.4 055 23 12 5.9 3.2 | -5.9 21.4 045 24 12 6.3 3.5
19500 -4.9 23.2 060 24 12 6.9 3.8 | -4.9 23.2 045 25 13 7.2 3.9
19000 -3.8 25.2 055 24 13 7.1 3.9 | -3.8 25.2 045 26 13 7.3 4.0
18500 -2.7 27.1 055 25 13 7.0 3.9 | -2.7 27.1 045 26 14 7.3 4.0
18000 -1.9 28.6 050 25 13 5.8 3.2 | -1.6 29.1 045 26 13 7.3 4.0
17500 -1.1 30.0 045 24 13 6.1 3.3 | -0.6 30.9 040 26 13 7.3 4.0
17000 -0.2 31.6 040 24 12 6.8 3.7 | 0.5 32.9 040 25 13 6.9 3.8
16500 0.7 33.3 035 23 12 7.1 3.9 | 1.4 34.5 035 23 12 7.0 3.8
16000 1.6 34.9 035 21 11 7.5 4.1 | 2.4 36.3 035 22 11 7.1 3.9
15500 2.7 36.9 030 21 11 8.0 4.4 | 3.3 37.9 030 20 10 7.3 4.0
15000 3.8 38.8 025 20 10 8.2 4.5 | 4.3 39.7 030 18 9 7.6 4.2
14500 4.8 40.6 020 20 10 6.9 3.8 | 5.2 41.4 025 17 9 7.3 4.0
14000 5.8 42.4 015 20 10 7.1 3.9 | 6.3 43.3 020 17 9 7.5 4.1
13500 6.7 44.1 005 19 10 6.7 3.7 | 7.3 45.1 015 16 8 6.7 3.7
13000 7.7 45.9 360 18 9 6.6 3.6 | 8.2 46.8 010 15 8 6.7 3.7
12500 8.7 47.7 350 17 9 6.9 3.8 | 9.1 48.4 360 13 7 5.4 3.0
12000 9.7 49.5 345 15 8 7.0 3.8 | 9.7 49.5 350 9 5 5.0 2.7
11500 10.8 51.4 335 13 7 7.4 4.1 | 10.5 50.9 335 6 3 8.1 4.5
11000 11.7 53.1 330 11 6 5.7 3.2 | 11.9 53.4 325 5 3 8.9 4.9
10500 12.6 54.7 325 9 5 7.5 4.1 | 13.2 55.8 320 4 2 9.4 5.2
10250 13.2 55.8 320 8 4 8.1 4.4 | 13.9 57.0 320 4 2 9.4 5.2
10000 13.7 56.7 315 7 4 6.3 3.4 | 14.6 58.3 315 4 2 9.0 5.0
9750 14.2 57.6 315 7 3 6.1 3.4 | 15.3 59.5 315 3 2 9.0 5.0
9500 14.6 58.3 310 6 3 6.7 3.7 | 16.0 60.8 315 3 2 9.8 5.4
9250 15.2 59.4 300 5 3 7.4 4.0 | 16.8 62.2 310 3 1 10.5 5.8
9000 15.7 60.3 290 4 2 6.7 3.7 | 17.5 63.5 310 2 1 9.8 5.4
8750 16.1 61.0 275 4 2 5.9 3.3 | 18.2 64.8 305 2 1 9.5 5.2
8500 16.5 61.7 255 3 2 4.7 2.6 | 18.9 66.0 305 2 1 9.6 5.3
8250 16.8 62.2 240 3 2 4.4 2.4 | 19.7 67.5 300 1 1 9.6 5.3
8000 17.1 62.8 225 3 2 3.0 1.6 | 20.4 68.7 295 1 1 9.7 5.3
7750 17.2 63.0 205 3 2 3.2 1.8 | 21.1 70.0 290 1 0 10.1 5.6
7500 17.6 63.7 200 3 2 7.6 4.2 | 21.9 71.4 285 1 0 10.6 5.8
7250 18.2 64.8 195 3 2 9.3 5.1 | 22.7 72.9 000 0 0 11.1 6.1
7000 18.9 66.0 195 3 2 8.0 4.4 | 23.5 74.3 000 0 0 9.5 5.2
6750 19.5 67.1 190 3 2 10.7 5.8 | 24.2 75.6 180 1 0 13.2 7.3
6500 20.5 68.9 190 3 2 17.3 9.5 | 25.6 78.1 160 1 0 24.8 13.6
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
08/21/2025 at 1500 MDT | 08/21/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +345.0 LI... -2.1 | CAPE... +9.6 LI... -1.8
CINH... -3.4 K Index... +24.0 | CINH... -11.3 K Index... +27.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -68.2 -90.8 050 12 6 1.9 1.0 | -67.7 -89.9 055 7 4 2.4 1.3
45000 -61.9 -79.4 020 13 7 7.7 4.2 | -61.5 -78.7 020 13 6 6.6 3.6
40000 -50.4 -58.7 015 11 6 7.9 4.3 | -51.0 -59.8 020 16 8 8.7 4.8
38000 -45.6 -50.1 015 12 6 7.9 4.3 | -45.8 -50.4 020 17 9 8.7 4.8
36000 -40.2 -40.4 020 14 7 8.4 4.6 | -39.9 -39.8 020 18 9 8.0 4.4
34000 -35.2 -31.4 025 16 8 8.4 4.6 | -35.2 -31.4 025 16 8 8.0 4.4
32000 -30.1 -22.2 035 19 10 8.5 4.7 | -30.4 -22.7 030 15 8 8.2 4.5
30000 -25.0 -13.0 045 20 10 8.6 4.7 | -25.4 -13.7 035 15 8 8.2 4.5
29000 -22.4 -8.3 045 21 11 8.5 4.7 | -23.0 -9.4 035 15 8 8.2 4.5
28000 -20.1 -4.2 045 21 11 6.5 3.6 | -20.7 -5.3 030 16 8 7.1 3.9
27000 -18.1 -0.6 040 21 11 6.6 3.6 | -18.6 -1.5 025 17 9 7.1 3.9
26000 -16.1 3.0 035 22 11 6.6 3.6 | -16.5 2.3 020 19 10 7.2 3.9
25000 -14.2 6.4 035 22 11 4.8 2.6 | -14.5 5.9 015 21 11 5.7 3.1
24000 -13.0 8.6 030 22 11 4.1 2.2 | -13.0 8.6 015 18 9 5.1 2.8
23000 -11.8 10.8 030 21 11 4.1 2.2 | -11.5 11.3 015 16 8 5.1 2.8
22000 -10.6 12.9 030 21 11 6.2 3.4 | -10.0 14.0 020 14 7 5.2 2.9
21000 -8.5 16.7 035 24 12 6.9 3.8 | -8.4 16.9 035 14 7 5.3 2.9
20000 -6.0 21.2 045 27 14 6.9 3.8 | -6.4 20.5 060 16 8 5.3 2.9
19500 -4.9 23.2 045 28 14 7.3 4.0 | -5.6 21.9 065 16 8 5.8 3.2
19000 -3.8 25.2 045 29 15 7.4 4.0 | -4.7 23.5 065 16 8 6.0 3.3
18500 -2.8 27.0 050 30 15 7.4 4.1 | -3.9 25.0 070 15 8 6.1 3.3
18000 -1.7 28.9 050 31 16 7.8 4.3 | -2.8 27.0 075 13 7 8.4 4.6
17500 -0.5 31.1 050 31 16 7.9 4.3 | -1.7 28.9 075 11 5 8.2 4.5
17000 0.5 32.9 050 31 16 6.7 3.7 | -0.5 31.1 075 8 4 9.0 5.0
16500 1.3 34.3 045 26 14 6.7 3.6 | 0.9 33.6 075 6 3 9.3 5.1
16000 2.2 36.0 045 22 11 7.3 4.0 | 2.2 36.0 070 4 2 9.0 4.9
15500 3.2 37.8 045 18 9 8.3 4.6 | 3.4 38.1 070 4 2 7.9 4.3
15000 4.4 39.9 045 14 7 8.4 4.6 | 4.5 40.1 065 3 2 7.8 4.3
14500 5.5 41.9 040 11 6 8.3 4.5 | 5.8 42.4 060 4 2 9.1 5.0
14000 6.7 44.1 040 9 5 8.3 4.6 | 7.1 44.8 055 5 2 9.0 4.9
13500 7.9 46.2 040 7 3 8.8 4.8 | 8.4 47.1 055 5 3 9.2 5.1
13000 9.2 48.6 045 5 3 8.9 4.9 | 9.8 49.6 060 6 3 9.3 5.1
12500 10.5 50.9 045 4 2 9.3 5.1 | 11.2 52.2 060 7 4 9.3 5.1
12000 11.9 53.4 050 4 2 9.6 5.3 | 12.5 54.5 065 8 4 9.3 5.1
11500 13.3 55.9 055 3 2 9.5 5.2 | 13.9 57.0 070 9 5 9.4 5.2
11000 14.8 58.6 060 3 2 9.5 5.2 | 15.3 59.5 070 10 5 9.0 4.9
10500 16.2 61.2 065 3 1 9.0 4.9 | 16.6 61.9 075 11 6 8.5 4.7
10250 16.8 62.2 070 3 1 9.3 5.1 | 17.2 63.0 070 12 6 8.3 4.6
10000 17.6 63.7 075 3 1 10.3 5.6 | 17.8 64.0 070 12 6 9.0 4.9
9750 18.3 64.9 085 3 1 10.0 5.5 | 18.5 65.3 065 13 7 8.9 4.9
9500 19.1 66.4 090 3 1 10.0 5.5 | 19.1 66.4 065 13 7 8.5 4.7
9250 19.8 67.6 095 3 1 9.8 5.4 | 19.7 67.5 060 14 7 7.9 4.4
9000 20.5 68.9 100 3 1 9.4 5.2 | 20.3 68.5 055 14 7 7.3 4.0
8750 21.2 70.2 105 3 2 9.0 4.9 | 20.8 69.4 050 15 8 6.8 3.7
8500 21.9 71.4 110 3 2 9.8 5.4 | 21.3 70.3 045 15 8 7.2 4.0
8250 22.7 72.9 115 4 2 10.4 5.7 | 21.9 71.4 040 15 8 7.6 4.2
8000 23.4 74.1 115 4 2 10.2 5.6 | 22.5 72.5 040 16 8 7.3 4.0
7750 24.2 75.6 120 4 2 10.1 5.5 | 23.0 73.4 035 16 8 7.5 4.1
7500 24.9 76.8 120 4 2 10.3 5.6 | 23.5 74.3 030 17 9 2.4 1.3
7250 25.7 78.3 125 5 2 10.8 5.9 | 23.4 74.1 030 18 9 -1.3 -0.7
7000 26.5 79.7 125 5 3 9.7 5.3 | 23.4 74.1 025 19 10 -1.3 -0.7
6750 27.3 81.1 125 5 3 12.2 6.7 | 23.1 73.6 025 21 11 -5.6 -3.0
6500 28.5 83.3 130 5 3 21.7 11.9 | 22.6 72.7 025 21 11 -4.2 -2.3
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0719 MDT Thursday August 21 2025
This forecast is for Thursday, August 21, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 79.7 F/26.5 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1249 ft/min (6.3 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17787 ft MSL (12108 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 93.0 F/34.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1000 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 13889 ft MSL (8210 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 08/22....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:31:31 / 19:47:30 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 15 min 59 sec (795 min 59 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:09:31 MDT... 66.69 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/21/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16622 ft MSL (10943 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15374 ft MSL (9695 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16244 ft MSL (10564 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -2.7
K index......................... +27.4
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -68.3 -90.9 040 5 2 1.2 0.7 74.0 165.2 23.7 M M
45000 -62.3 -80.1 040 8 4 8.2 4.5 60.6 141.0 16.9 M M
40000 -50.1 -58.2 035 11 6 8.0 4.4 57.3 135.1 15.8 M M
38000 -44.8 -48.6 030 13 7 8.0 4.4 55.4 131.7 15.0 M M
36000 -40.0 -40.0 030 14 7 8.2 4.5 54.2 129.6 14.5 M M
34000 -35.1 -31.2 035 15 8 8.2 4.5 52.7 126.8 13.7 M M
32000 -30.2 -22.4 040 17 9 8.2 4.5 51.7 125.0 13.3 M M
30000 -25.3 -13.5 040 17 9 8.2 4.5 50.3 122.5 12.6 M M
29000 -22.8 -9.0 040 17 9 8.2 4.5 49.8 121.6 12.3 M M
28000 -20.6 -5.1 035 17 9 5.2 2.9 48.9 120.0 11.7 M M
27000 -19.0 -2.2 035 18 9 5.4 3.0 47.1 116.8 10.5 M M
26000 -17.4 0.7 030 18 9 5.5 3.0 45.5 114.0 9.3 M M
25000 -15.8 3.6 030 19 10 6.0 3.3 44.1 111.4 8.2 M M
24000 -13.4 7.9 040 17 9 6.4 3.5 42.4 108.4 7.0 M M
23000 -11.4 11.5 050 17 9 6.4 3.5 41.3 106.3 6.1 M M
22000 -9.6 14.7 055 17 9 5.6 3.1 40.0 104.0 5.1 M M
21000 -7.9 17.8 060 20 11 5.8 3.2 38.5 101.4 3.8 M M
20000 -6.3 20.7 060 24 12 6.0 3.3 37.2 99.0 2.6 M M
19500 -5.4 22.3 060 25 13 5.9 3.2 36.6 97.9 2.1 M M
19000 -4.7 23.5 060 25 13 6.0 3.3 35.9 96.7 1.4 M M
18500 -3.9 25.0 055 24 13 6.1 3.3 35.3 95.5 0.7 M M
18000 -2.9 26.8 055 24 12 7.4 4.1 34.8 94.6 0.2 M M
17500 -1.9 28.6 050 22 11 7.3 4.0 34.4 93.9 -0.3 1021 5.2
17000 -0.9 30.4 045 21 11 7.8 4.3 34.0 93.2 -0.7 975 5.0
16500 0.3 32.5 040 19 10 8.1 4.4 33.7 92.7 -1.0 925 4.7
16000 1.4 34.5 035 17 9 8.1 4.5 33.4 92.2 -1.3 876 4.4
15500 2.6 36.7 030 16 8 7.9 4.3 33.1 91.6 -1.6 828 4.2
15000 3.7 38.7 020 15 8 8.0 4.4 32.8 91.1 -2.0 780 4.0
14500 4.7 40.5 015 14 7 7.1 3.9 32.5 90.5 -2.4 733 3.7
14000 5.8 42.4 005 13 7 7.1 3.9 32.0 89.7 -2.9 688 3.5
13500 6.8 44.2 360 12 6 7.0 3.8 31.6 88.9 -3.3 642 3.3
13000 7.8 46.0 350 10 5 6.9 3.8 31.1 88.1 -3.8 597 3.0
12500 8.8 47.8 330 8 4 6.5 3.6 30.7 87.3 -4.2 552 2.8
12000 9.7 49.5 320 7 4 6.1 3.4 30.1 86.2 -4.8 510 2.6
11500 10.6 51.1 300 6 3 6.5 3.6 29.5 85.2 -5.4 469 2.4
11000 11.6 52.9 285 6 3 7.1 3.9 29.1 84.4 -5.9 423 2.2
10500 12.6 54.7 265 5 3 7.0 3.8 28.7 83.6 -6.3 378 1.9
10250 13.2 55.8 255 5 3 7.3 4.0 28.5 83.2 -6.5 355 1.8
10000 13.7 56.7 245 5 3 7.4 4.1 28.3 82.9 -6.7 331 1.7
9750 14.2 57.6 240 5 3 7.5 4.1 28.1 82.6 -6.9 308 1.6
9500 14.8 58.6 230 5 3 7.0 3.8 27.9 82.3 -7.1 284 1.4
9250 15.3 59.5 220 5 3 7.4 4.0 27.7 81.9 -7.4 262 1.3
9000 15.8 60.4 215 5 3 8.2 4.5 27.6 81.6 -7.6 237 1.2
8750 17.0 62.6 205 5 2 7.5 4.1 27.3 81.1 -7.9 188 1.0
8500 17.6 63.7 205 4 2 7.3 4.0 27.1 80.8 -8.1 164 0.8
8250 18.1 64.6 195 3 2 7.9 4.3 26.9 80.5 -8.3 140 0.7
8000 18.7 65.7 185 3 1 7.8 4.3 26.8 80.2 -8.5 115 0.6
7750 19.2 66.6 170 2 1 7.4 4.1 26.6 80.0 -8.6 91 0.5
7500 19.8 67.6 140 1 1 6.6 3.6 26.4 79.6 -8.9 68 0.3
7250 20.2 68.4 090 1 1 5.4 3.0 26.2 79.1 -9.2 47 0.2
7000 20.6 69.1 085 2 1 4.4 2.4 25.8 78.4 -9.6 30 0.2
6750 20.8 69.4 080 3 1 3.8 2.1 25.4 77.6 -10.0 13 0.1
6500 21.1 70.0 080 3 1 3.4 1.9 24.9 76.8 -10.5 M M
6250 21.4 70.5 075 3 2 3.5 1.9 24.4 76.0 -11.0 M M
6000 21.4 70.5 075 3 2 -3.1 -1.7 23.8 74.8 -11.7 M M
5750 20.2 68.4 075 3 2 -38.1 -20.9 21.8 71.2 -13.7 5 0.0
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/21/2025 at 0900 MDT | 08/21/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... -0.5 | CAPE... +135.5 LI... -1.3
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +26.8 | CINH... -63.2 K Index... +25.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -68.5 -91.3 075 9 5 1.5 0.8 | -68.3 -90.9 050 9 5 1.6 0.9
45000 -62.4 -80.3 055 7 4 8.0 4.4 | -62.1 -79.8 025 8 4 7.9 4.4
40000 -50.4 -58.7 040 11 5 8.2 4.5 | -50.2 -58.4 035 9 5 7.8 4.3
38000 -44.9 -48.8 040 12 6 8.2 4.5 | -45.0 -49.0 035 10 5 7.9 4.3
36000 -40.0 -40.0 045 13 7 8.2 4.5 | -40.2 -40.4 040 11 6 8.4 4.6
34000 -35.0 -31.0 045 16 8 8.2 4.5 | -35.2 -31.4 050 13 7 8.4 4.6
32000 -30.1 -22.2 045 19 10 8.4 4.6 | -30.1 -22.2 055 16 8 8.4 4.6
30000 -25.0 -13.0 045 19 10 8.4 4.6 | -25.1 -13.2 055 17 9 8.4 4.6
29000 -22.5 -8.5 045 19 10 8.4 4.6 | -22.6 -8.7 055 18 9 8.4 4.6
28000 -20.3 -4.5 045 19 10 5.3 2.9 | -20.3 -4.5 055 18 9 5.7 3.1
27000 -18.7 -1.7 045 19 10 5.5 3.0 | -18.6 -1.5 050 19 10 5.8 3.2
26000 -17.1 1.2 040 19 10 5.5 3.0 | -16.9 1.6 045 19 10 5.8 3.2
25000 -15.5 4.1 040 20 10 6.1 3.3 | -15.2 4.6 040 20 10 5.6 3.1
24000 -13.2 8.2 040 19 10 6.3 3.5 | -13.2 8.2 035 20 11 5.5 3.0
23000 -11.3 11.7 040 19 10 6.3 3.5 | -11.6 11.1 030 21 11 5.6 3.1
22000 -9.5 14.9 040 19 10 5.7 3.1 | -9.8 14.4 030 21 11 6.7 3.7
21000 -7.7 18.1 050 20 10 5.7 3.2 | -7.9 17.8 040 21 11 6.6 3.6
20000 -6.0 21.2 055 22 11 5.7 3.2 | -5.9 21.4 045 20 10 6.6 3.6
19500 -5.2 22.6 055 22 11 6.3 3.5 | -4.9 23.2 050 20 11 6.8 3.8
19000 -4.2 24.4 055 23 12 6.6 3.6 | -3.9 25.0 050 21 11 6.9 3.8
18500 -3.3 26.1 055 23 12 6.6 3.6 | -2.9 26.8 050 21 11 7.0 3.8
18000 -2.3 27.9 050 23 12 6.9 3.8 | -1.9 28.6 050 21 11 7.1 3.9
17500 -1.4 29.5 050 22 11 7.0 3.8 | -0.9 30.4 050 21 11 7.1 3.9
17000 -0.4 31.3 045 21 11 7.5 4.1 | 0.2 32.4 050 21 11 7.6 4.2
16500 0.7 33.3 040 20 10 7.8 4.3 | 1.2 34.2 045 21 11 7.9 4.3
16000 1.7 35.1 035 19 10 7.9 4.3 | 2.3 36.1 045 20 10 8.0 4.4
15500 2.8 37.0 025 18 9 7.6 4.2 | 3.4 38.1 040 20 10 8.0 4.4
15000 3.9 39.0 020 18 9 7.7 4.2 | 4.6 40.3 035 19 10 8.2 4.5
14500 4.9 40.8 015 17 9 7.1 3.9 | 5.6 42.1 035 19 10 7.0 3.8
14000 5.9 42.6 010 17 9 7.1 3.9 | 6.6 43.9 030 18 9 7.1 3.9
13500 6.9 44.4 005 16 8 7.0 3.8 | 7.6 45.7 025 17 9 6.6 3.6
13000 7.9 46.2 360 15 7 6.9 3.8 | 8.5 47.3 020 15 8 6.5 3.6
12500 8.9 48.0 350 13 7 6.8 3.7 | 9.4 48.9 015 14 7 6.5 3.5
12000 9.9 49.8 340 11 6 6.7 3.7 | 10.3 50.5 010 11 6 6.4 3.5
11500 10.9 51.6 325 10 5 6.7 3.7 | 11.2 52.2 360 9 5 6.7 3.7
11000 11.9 53.4 315 8 4 6.7 3.6 | 12.2 54.0 355 7 3 7.0 3.8
10500 12.9 55.2 300 7 4 6.8 3.7 | 13.3 55.9 350 5 2 8.8 4.8
10250 13.4 56.1 290 6 3 6.7 3.7 | 14.0 57.2 350 4 2 8.8 4.8
10000 13.8 56.8 280 5 3 6.5 3.6 | 14.6 58.3 345 3 2 8.5 4.6
9750 14.3 57.7 270 5 2 6.7 3.7 | 15.2 59.4 335 3 1 8.7 4.8
9500 14.8 58.6 255 4 2 6.3 3.5 | 15.9 60.6 325 2 1 8.1 4.5
9250 15.2 59.4 240 4 2 6.6 3.6 | 16.5 61.7 315 2 1 8.9 4.9
9000 15.7 60.3 230 4 2 7.1 3.9 | 17.2 63.0 305 2 1 9.8 5.4
8750 16.7 62.1 205 4 2 6.0 3.3 | 18.6 65.5 285 2 1 8.2 4.5
8500 17.2 63.0 200 3 2 6.4 3.5 | 19.2 66.6 275 2 1 8.7 4.8
8250 17.7 63.9 190 3 2 8.3 4.6 | 20.0 68.0 270 2 1 11.1 6.1
8000 18.3 64.9 180 3 1 8.0 4.4 | 20.7 69.3 265 2 1 10.5 5.8
7750 18.9 66.0 175 3 1 6.4 3.5 | 21.5 70.7 260 3 1 9.5 5.2
7500 19.3 66.7 165 2 1 5.9 3.2 | 22.2 72.0 260 3 1 9.2 5.0
7250 19.8 67.6 155 1 1 8.0 4.4 | 22.9 73.2 260 3 1 11.1 6.1
7000 20.4 68.7 145 1 1 8.8 4.8 | 23.8 74.8 255 3 2 11.3 6.2
6750 21.1 70.0 135 1 1 8.8 4.8 | 24.6 76.3 255 3 2 10.1 5.5
6500 21.8 71.2 135 1 1 8.9 4.9 | 25.3 77.5 255 3 2 10.0 5.5
6250 22.4 72.3 130 1 1 9.2 5.0 | 26.1 79.0 255 3 2 9.5 5.2
6000 23.2 73.8 125 1 0 12.9 7.1 | 26.9 80.4 255 3 2 14.5 7.9
5750 24.6 76.3 130 1 0 28.3 15.5 | 29.1 84.4 255 4 2 53.8 29.5
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
08/21/2025 at 1500 MDT | 08/21/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +366.2 LI... -2.3 | CAPE... +101.5 LI... -1.6
CINH... -10.2 K Index... +27.2 | CINH... -23.7 K Index... +32.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -68.1 -90.6 055 10 5 2.1 1.2 | -68.2 -90.8 050 4 2 1.9 1.1
45000 -61.8 -79.2 025 10 5 7.4 4.1 | -62.0 -79.6 015 10 5 7.5 4.1
40000 -50.6 -59.1 015 10 5 7.9 4.4 | -50.7 -59.3 035 13 7 8.1 4.5
38000 -45.2 -49.4 020 11 6 7.9 4.4 | -45.2 -49.4 025 13 7 8.1 4.5
36000 -40.4 -40.7 020 12 6 8.4 4.6 | -40.3 -40.5 015 14 7 8.1 4.5
34000 -35.4 -31.7 030 13 7 8.4 4.6 | -35.4 -31.7 010 15 7 8.1 4.5
32000 -30.3 -22.5 040 14 7 8.5 4.7 | -30.6 -23.1 010 15 8 8.4 4.6
30000 -25.2 -13.4 050 15 8 8.6 4.7 | -25.5 -13.9 015 16 8 8.5 4.6
29000 -22.6 -8.7 050 15 8 8.5 4.7 | -23.0 -9.4 015 17 9 8.4 4.6
28000 -20.3 -4.5 050 16 8 6.1 3.3 | -20.6 -5.1 020 18 9 6.9 3.8
27000 -18.5 -1.3 045 16 8 6.2 3.4 | -18.6 -1.5 020 20 10 7.0 3.8
26000 -16.6 2.1 040 17 9 6.2 3.4 | -16.5 2.3 020 21 11 7.0 3.9
25000 -14.8 5.4 035 19 10 5.2 2.9 | -14.5 5.9 020 23 12 6.5 3.6
24000 -13.4 7.9 035 19 10 4.6 2.5 | -12.7 9.1 020 21 11 6.2 3.4
23000 -11.8 10.8 030 20 10 4.7 2.6 | -11.0 12.2 025 20 10 6.3 3.5
22000 -10.2 13.6 035 20 10 7.0 3.9 | -8.8 16.2 030 17 9 5.3 2.9
21000 -8.2 17.2 035 21 11 6.9 3.8 | -7.3 18.9 040 12 6 5.5 3.0
20000 -6.2 20.8 040 21 11 6.9 3.8 | -5.7 21.7 060 8 4 5.5 3.0
19500 -5.2 22.6 045 21 11 7.2 4.0 | -4.9 23.2 075 7 4 6.4 3.5
19000 -4.1 24.6 045 21 11 7.4 4.0 | -3.9 25.0 085 7 3 6.9 3.8
18500 -3.0 26.6 045 22 11 7.4 4.1 | -2.9 26.8 095 6 3 7.0 3.8
18000 -2.0 28.4 045 22 11 7.8 4.3 | -2.0 28.4 110 6 3 6.6 3.6
17500 -0.9 30.4 045 21 11 7.8 4.3 | -1.0 30.2 120 6 3 6.6 3.6
17000 0.3 32.5 045 21 11 8.1 4.5 | -0.1 31.8 130 6 3 6.7 3.7
16500 1.4 34.5 045 20 10 8.3 4.5 | 0.9 33.6 135 7 3 6.8 3.7
16000 2.6 36.7 045 19 10 8.3 4.6 | 1.9 35.4 140 7 3 7.0 3.9
15500 3.8 38.8 050 18 10 8.5 4.6 | 3.1 37.6 140 7 4 9.5 5.2
15000 5.0 41.0 050 17 9 8.5 4.7 | 4.5 40.1 140 7 4 9.4 5.1
14500 6.2 43.2 050 16 8 8.4 4.6 | 5.9 42.6 140 7 4 9.6 5.3
14000 7.4 45.3 050 14 7 8.5 4.6 | 7.4 45.3 140 7 4 9.6 5.3
13500 8.6 47.5 055 12 6 8.5 4.7 | 8.8 47.8 140 7 4 9.5 5.2
13000 9.8 49.6 055 10 5 8.5 4.7 | 10.2 50.4 135 7 4 9.4 5.2
12500 11.0 51.8 060 8 4 8.8 4.8 | 11.6 52.9 135 7 4 9.4 5.2
12000 12.3 54.1 060 7 4 9.0 4.9 | 13.0 55.4 130 8 4 9.4 5.2
11500 13.6 56.5 065 5 3 9.1 5.0 | 14.4 57.9 125 8 4 9.2 5.1
11000 15.0 59.0 065 4 2 9.2 5.0 | 15.7 60.3 125 8 4 8.6 4.7
10500 16.3 61.3 065 3 2 9.1 5.0 | 17.1 62.8 120 8 4 10.3 5.6
10250 17.0 62.6 065 3 1 9.3 5.1 | 17.9 64.2 115 8 4 9.4 5.2
10000 17.7 63.9 065 2 1 9.4 5.1 | 18.6 65.5 115 8 4 9.2 5.0
9750 18.4 65.1 065 2 1 9.1 5.0 | 19.3 66.7 115 9 4 9.1 5.0
9500 19.1 66.4 070 1 1 10.1 5.6 | 19.9 67.8 110 9 4 9.5 5.2
9250 19.9 67.8 065 1 0 10.4 5.7 | 20.7 69.3 105 9 5 9.5 5.2
9000 20.6 69.1 060 1 0 9.4 5.1 | 21.3 70.3 105 10 5 9.0 4.9
8750 21.3 70.3 000 0 0 10.2 5.6 | 22.0 71.6 100 10 5 9.4 5.1
8500 22.0 71.6 000 0 0 7.8 4.3 | 22.7 72.9 100 11 5 8.4 4.6
8250 23.4 74.1 265 1 0 11.3 6.2 | 23.3 73.9 100 10 5 8.1 4.4
8000 24.2 75.6 260 1 1 11.0 6.0 | 23.9 75.0 095 11 6 8.8 4.8
7750 25.0 77.0 260 2 1 9.5 5.2 | 24.6 76.3 095 11 6 8.4 4.6
7500 25.6 78.1 260 2 1 8.5 4.7 | 25.2 77.4 090 12 6 9.4 5.1
7250 26.3 79.3 260 2 1 10.5 5.8 | 26.6 79.9 090 12 6 7.5 4.1
7000 27.1 80.8 260 3 1 10.8 5.9 | 27.1 80.8 085 12 6 6.9 3.8
6750 27.9 82.2 260 3 2 10.6 5.8 | 27.6 81.7 085 12 6 8.1 4.4
6500 28.7 83.7 260 3 2 11.0 6.0 | 28.3 82.9 085 12 6 9.3 5.1
6250 29.5 85.1 260 3 2 9.7 5.3 | 28.9 84.0 085 12 6 8.5 4.7
6000 30.3 86.5 260 3 2 14.4 7.9 | 29.6 85.3 085 10 5 10.9 6.0
5750 32.6 90.7 260 4 2 58.2 31.9 | 30.9 87.6 085 10 5 28.1 15.4
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
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DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0722 MDT Thursday August 21 2025
This forecast is for Thursday, August 21, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 76.4 F/24.7 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1211 ft/min (6.2 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18096 ft MSL (11642 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 90.0 F/32.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1000 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 14180 ft MSL (7726 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 08/22....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:28:39 / 19:46:10 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 17 min 31 sec (797 min 31 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:07:24 MDT... 66.16 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/21/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16775 ft MSL (10321 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15496 ft MSL (9042 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16448 ft MSL (9994 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.3
K index......................... +26.1
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.6 -89.7 035 5 3 1.0 0.6 72.5 162.5 24.0 M M
45000 -62.0 -79.6 015 8 4 7.9 4.4 58.5 137.4 16.8 M M
40000 -49.6 -57.3 005 13 7 7.7 4.2 54.4 130.0 15.2 M M
38000 -45.0 -49.0 010 14 7 7.7 4.2 52.6 126.7 14.3 M M
36000 -40.3 -40.5 015 14 7 8.5 4.7 51.3 124.4 13.7 M M
34000 -35.3 -31.5 020 16 8 8.4 4.6 50.0 122.1 13.1 M M
32000 -30.2 -22.4 025 18 9 8.2 4.5 49.2 120.6 12.8 M M
30000 -25.4 -13.7 025 17 9 8.1 4.5 47.8 118.0 12.0 M M
29000 -22.9 -9.2 030 17 9 8.1 4.4 47.2 117.0 11.7 M M
28000 -20.8 -5.4 030 17 9 5.1 2.8 46.3 115.4 11.1 M M
27000 -19.2 -2.6 030 17 9 5.3 2.9 44.5 112.2 9.8 M M
26000 -17.6 0.3 030 17 9 5.4 3.0 42.9 109.3 8.6 M M
25000 -15.6 3.9 030 17 9 6.8 3.8 41.2 106.1 7.2 M M
24000 -13.6 7.5 035 17 9 6.7 3.7 40.0 103.9 6.3 M M
23000 -11.6 11.1 045 16 8 6.7 3.7 38.9 102.0 5.4 M M
22000 -9.7 14.5 050 17 9 5.7 3.1 37.8 100.0 4.5 M M
21000 -8.0 17.6 050 19 10 5.9 3.2 36.3 97.4 3.3 M M
20000 -6.3 20.7 055 21 11 6.1 3.3 35.0 95.1 2.1 M M
19500 -5.4 22.3 055 22 11 6.3 3.4 34.4 94.0 1.5 M M
19000 -4.5 23.9 055 22 11 6.5 3.6 33.9 93.0 1.0 M M
18500 -3.6 25.5 050 22 11 6.5 3.6 33.3 92.0 0.4 M M
18000 -2.7 27.1 045 22 11 7.4 4.1 32.8 91.1 -0.1 1003 5.1
17500 -1.6 29.1 045 21 11 7.4 4.0 32.4 90.4 -0.5 957 4.9
17000 -0.6 30.9 040 20 10 7.7 4.2 32.1 89.7 -0.9 911 4.6
16500 0.6 33.1 035 18 9 8.0 4.4 31.7 89.1 -1.2 862 4.4
16000 1.7 35.1 030 17 9 8.0 4.4 31.5 88.6 -1.5 812 4.1
15500 2.8 37.0 020 16 8 7.8 4.3 31.1 88.1 -1.9 764 3.9
15000 3.9 39.0 015 16 8 7.9 4.3 30.8 87.5 -2.3 716 3.6
14500 5.0 41.0 010 15 8 7.4 4.0 30.5 86.9 -2.7 669 3.4
14000 6.0 42.8 360 15 8 7.4 4.0 30.1 86.2 -3.1 624 3.2
13500 7.1 44.8 355 15 8 6.9 3.8 29.7 85.5 -3.5 578 2.9
13000 8.0 46.4 350 15 8 6.7 3.7 29.2 84.6 -4.1 534 2.7
12500 9.0 48.2 345 14 7 6.3 3.5 28.7 83.7 -4.6 491 2.5
12000 9.9 49.8 335 12 6 5.9 3.2 28.1 82.6 -5.2 450 2.3
11500 10.7 51.3 325 11 6 6.3 3.4 27.5 81.5 -5.8 410 2.1
11000 12.0 53.6 310 8 4 5.3 2.9 26.6 79.8 -6.8 349 1.8
10500 12.9 55.2 300 7 4 6.9 3.8 26.0 78.9 -7.3 307 1.6
10250 13.3 55.9 295 7 3 5.9 3.2 25.8 78.4 -7.6 286 1.5
10000 13.8 56.8 290 6 3 5.7 3.1 25.4 77.8 -7.9 266 1.4
9750 14.2 57.6 280 5 3 6.0 3.3 25.1 77.3 -8.3 246 1.3
9500 14.6 58.3 270 4 2 6.6 3.6 24.9 76.8 -8.6 225 1.1
9250 15.1 59.2 260 4 2 6.3 3.5 24.6 76.4 -8.8 204 1.0
9000 15.6 60.1 245 3 2 6.1 3.4 24.4 75.9 -9.2 184 0.9
8750 16.0 60.8 230 3 2 5.9 3.2 24.1 75.4 -9.5 163 0.8
8500 16.4 61.5 210 3 2 5.4 2.9 23.8 74.8 -9.8 144 0.7
8250 16.8 62.2 185 3 2 5.7 3.1 23.4 74.2 -10.2 125 0.6
8000 17.2 63.0 170 3 2 6.7 3.7 23.2 73.7 -10.5 104 0.5
7750 17.7 63.9 160 3 2 5.8 3.2 22.9 73.3 -10.8 83 0.4
7500 18.0 64.4 150 3 2 4.4 2.4 22.6 72.6 -11.2 66 0.3
7250 18.3 64.9 140 3 2 5.6 3.1 22.2 71.9 -11.6 48 0.2
7000 18.7 65.7 130 3 2 2.1 1.2 21.8 71.3 -12.0 30 0.2
6750 18.4 65.1 120 3 2 -9.0 -5.0 20.8 69.5 -13.0 31 0.2
6500 17.6 63.7 105 3 1 -10.6 -5.8 19.2 66.6 -14.7 50 0.3
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/21/2025 at 0900 MDT | 08/21/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... -0.5 | CAPE... +155.3 LI... -1.3
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +23.4 | CINH... -53.8 K Index... +20.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -68.3 -90.9 040 7 4 1.7 0.9 | -68.3 -90.9 025 8 4 1.9 1.1
45000 -62.1 -79.8 010 7 4 7.8 4.3 | -61.8 -79.2 355 9 5 7.9 4.3
40000 -49.8 -57.6 015 13 7 7.8 4.3 | -49.4 -56.9 010 8 4 7.8 4.3
38000 -45.1 -49.2 020 14 7 7.8 4.3 | -44.8 -48.6 015 10 5 7.8 4.3
36000 -40.3 -40.5 020 15 8 8.6 4.7 | -40.1 -40.2 020 11 6 8.4 4.6
34000 -35.2 -31.4 030 17 9 8.6 4.7 | -35.1 -31.2 025 13 7 8.3 4.6
32000 -30.1 -22.2 035 20 10 8.3 4.6 | -30.1 -22.2 030 15 8 8.1 4.4
30000 -25.1 -13.2 040 20 10 8.2 4.5 | -25.3 -13.5 045 17 9 8.0 4.4
29000 -22.7 -8.9 040 19 10 8.2 4.5 | -22.9 -9.2 050 18 9 8.0 4.4
28000 -20.5 -4.9 035 19 10 5.5 3.0 | -20.8 -5.4 050 19 10 5.8 3.2
27000 -18.8 -1.8 035 19 10 5.7 3.1 | -19.0 -2.2 045 19 10 6.0 3.3
26000 -16.7 1.9 025 18 9 5.7 3.1 | -17.2 1.0 040 19 10 6.0 3.3
25000 -15.0 5.0 025 18 9 6.0 3.3 | -15.0 5.0 035 19 10 5.5 3.0
24000 -13.3 8.1 025 18 9 6.0 3.3 | -13.3 8.1 035 20 10 5.6 3.1
23000 -11.5 11.3 025 18 9 6.0 3.3 | -11.7 10.9 030 20 10 5.7 3.1
22000 -9.7 14.5 030 18 9 6.1 3.3 | -9.9 14.2 030 20 10 6.9 3.8
21000 -7.9 17.8 040 19 10 6.1 3.3 | -7.9 17.8 035 20 10 6.8 3.7
20000 -6.1 21.0 050 20 10 6.1 3.3 | -6.0 21.2 035 20 10 6.8 3.8
19500 -5.2 22.6 055 21 11 6.7 3.7 | -5.0 23.0 035 20 10 7.0 3.8
19000 -4.2 24.4 050 21 11 7.1 3.9 | -3.9 25.0 040 21 11 7.1 3.9
18500 -3.1 26.4 050 22 11 7.2 3.9 | -2.9 26.8 040 22 11 7.1 3.9
18000 -2.1 28.2 050 22 11 7.3 4.0 | -1.8 28.8 040 22 11 7.5 4.1
17500 -1.1 30.0 045 21 11 7.4 4.1 | -0.7 30.7 040 22 11 7.5 4.1
17000 -0.1 31.8 045 21 11 7.7 4.2 | 0.4 32.7 035 22 11 7.7 4.2
16500 1.0 33.8 040 20 10 7.8 4.3 | 1.5 34.7 035 22 11 7.8 4.3
16000 2.1 35.8 035 19 10 7.9 4.3 | 2.6 36.7 035 21 11 7.9 4.3
15500 3.2 37.8 030 18 9 7.7 4.2 | 3.7 38.7 030 21 11 8.3 4.6
15000 4.3 39.7 020 18 9 7.9 4.3 | 4.9 40.8 030 20 10 8.4 4.6
14500 5.3 41.5 015 18 9 7.0 3.9 | 6.0 42.8 025 20 10 7.8 4.3
14000 6.3 43.3 010 18 9 7.0 3.9 | 7.1 44.8 025 19 10 7.8 4.3
13500 7.3 45.1 360 18 9 6.7 3.7 | 8.2 46.8 020 18 9 7.0 3.8
13000 8.2 46.8 355 18 9 6.5 3.6 | 9.1 48.4 015 16 8 6.5 3.6
12500 9.1 48.4 350 17 9 6.4 3.5 | 9.9 49.8 010 15 8 6.1 3.3
12000 10.0 50.0 345 16 8 6.3 3.5 | 10.7 51.3 010 12 6 5.6 3.1
11500 11.0 51.8 340 14 7 6.0 3.3 | 11.4 52.5 005 9 5 7.5 4.1
11000 12.3 54.1 330 11 6 5.8 3.2 | 13.1 55.6 360 8 4 7.0 3.9
10500 13.2 55.8 325 9 5 6.6 3.6 | 14.3 57.7 355 6 3 9.4 5.2
10250 13.6 56.5 320 9 4 5.6 3.1 | 15.0 59.0 355 5 3 8.9 4.9
10000 14.0 57.2 320 8 4 5.4 3.0 | 15.6 60.1 355 5 3 8.9 4.9
9750 14.4 57.9 315 7 4 5.9 3.2 | 16.3 61.3 350 5 2 9.3 5.1
9500 14.9 58.8 315 6 3 6.9 3.8 | 17.0 62.6 350 5 2 10.0 5.5
9250 15.4 59.7 320 5 3 6.0 3.3 | 17.8 64.0 345 4 2 9.6 5.3
9000 15.7 60.3 320 4 2 5.0 2.8 | 18.4 65.1 345 4 2 9.0 5.0
8750 16.1 61.0 315 3 2 5.3 2.9 | 19.1 66.4 340 4 2 9.5 5.2
8500 16.5 61.7 315 2 1 4.8 2.6 | 19.8 67.6 335 4 2 9.8 5.4
8250 16.8 62.2 335 1 1 5.9 3.2 | 20.6 69.1 335 3 2 10.0 5.5
8000 17.3 63.1 000 0 0 8.4 4.6 | 21.3 70.3 325 3 2 10.1 5.5
7750 18.0 64.4 000 0 0 8.9 4.9 | 22.1 71.8 320 3 2 10.3 5.7
7500 18.6 65.5 000 0 0 8.6 4.7 | 22.9 73.2 315 3 2 10.7 5.9
7250 19.2 66.6 125 1 0 8.3 4.6 | 23.7 74.7 315 3 2 10.2 5.6
7000 19.9 67.8 125 1 0 10.0 5.5 | 24.4 75.9 310 3 1 11.8 6.5
6750 20.8 69.4 135 1 0 15.3 8.4 | 25.5 77.9 300 3 1 19.5 10.7
6500 22.0 71.6 145 1 0 14.6 8.0 | 27.4 81.3 295 3 1 32.4 17.8
08/21/2025 at 1500 MDT | 08/21/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +305.9 LI... -2.0 | CAPE... +68.4 LI... -0.5
CINH... -14.0 K Index... +28.7 | CINH... -191.9 K Index... +25.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -68.7 -91.7 040 8 4 2.0 1.1 | -67.9 -90.2 005 6 3 1.7 0.9
45000 -62.2 -80.0 020 9 5 7.9 4.3 | -62.0 -79.6 355 10 5 7.4 4.1
40000 -50.4 -58.7 025 9 4 7.8 4.3 | -50.6 -59.1 010 8 4 8.3 4.6
38000 -45.2 -49.4 015 11 6 7.8 4.3 | -45.0 -49.0 015 11 6 8.3 4.6
36000 -40.5 -40.9 010 13 7 8.4 4.6 | -40.1 -40.2 020 14 7 7.9 4.3
34000 -35.5 -31.9 025 15 8 8.3 4.6 | -35.3 -31.5 005 14 7 7.9 4.4
32000 -30.6 -23.1 035 16 8 8.6 4.7 | -30.6 -23.1 355 15 8 8.2 4.5
30000 -25.4 -13.7 045 17 9 8.7 4.8 | -25.6 -14.1 355 14 7 8.3 4.5
29000 -22.8 -9.0 050 18 9 8.7 4.8 | -23.2 -9.8 355 13 7 8.3 4.5
28000 -20.4 -4.7 050 18 9 6.5 3.6 | -20.9 -5.6 360 13 7 6.7 3.7
27000 -18.5 -1.3 050 18 9 6.7 3.6 | -18.9 -2.0 005 13 7 6.8 3.7
26000 -16.5 2.3 045 18 9 6.7 3.7 | -16.9 1.6 010 14 7 6.9 3.8
25000 -14.2 6.4 045 18 9 5.4 2.9 | -14.9 5.2 015 15 8 6.4 3.5
24000 -12.5 9.5 040 18 9 5.5 3.0 | -12.7 9.1 010 18 9 6.0 3.3
23000 -10.9 12.4 035 18 9 5.6 3.0 | -10.9 12.4 010 20 10 6.0 3.3
22000 -9.3 15.3 025 18 9 5.9 3.2 | -9.0 15.8 010 22 12 6.5 3.6
21000 -7.6 18.3 020 18 9 5.9 3.2 | -7.2 19.0 010 24 13 6.5 3.6
20000 -5.9 21.4 015 19 10 5.9 3.2 | -5.3 22.5 010 26 14 6.6 3.6
19500 -5.0 23.0 010 19 10 6.6 3.6 | -4.3 24.3 010 27 14 7.2 4.0
19000 -4.0 24.8 010 18 9 7.0 3.9 | -3.2 26.2 010 27 14 7.7 4.2
18500 -3.0 26.6 005 18 9 7.1 3.9 | -2.1 28.2 010 26 14 7.8 4.3
18000 -2.0 28.4 005 17 9 7.2 3.9 | -1.0 30.2 010 26 13 7.3 4.0
17500 -1.0 30.2 005 16 8 7.2 4.0 | 0.0 32.0 010 24 13 7.4 4.1
17000 0.1 32.2 360 15 8 7.4 4.1 | 1.1 34.0 010 23 12 7.5 4.1
16500 1.1 34.0 360 13 7 7.6 4.2 | 2.2 36.0 010 21 11 7.7 4.2
16000 2.2 36.0 360 12 6 7.7 4.2 | 3.3 37.9 010 18 9 7.7 4.2
15500 3.3 37.9 355 11 5 8.2 4.5 | 4.3 39.7 005 15 8 7.6 4.2
15000 4.5 40.1 355 10 5 8.2 4.5 | 5.4 41.7 360 12 6 7.6 4.2
14500 5.7 42.3 355 8 4 8.8 4.8 | 6.5 43.7 355 10 5 8.0 4.4
14000 7.0 44.6 350 7 4 8.8 4.8 | 7.7 45.9 350 8 4 8.1 4.4
13500 8.3 46.9 345 6 3 9.2 5.1 | 8.9 48.0 340 6 3 8.4 4.6
13000 9.7 49.5 345 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 10.2 50.4 345 5 3 8.6 4.7
12500 11.1 52.0 345 5 2 9.5 5.2 | 11.5 52.7 350 4 2 8.4 4.6
12000 12.5 54.5 340 4 2 9.5 5.2 | 12.7 54.9 020 4 2 7.9 4.3
11500 13.9 57.0 335 3 2 9.2 5.1 | 13.9 57.0 045 6 3 8.7 4.7
11000 15.3 59.5 335 2 1 9.5 5.2 | 15.1 59.2 065 7 3 7.6 4.2
10500 17.4 63.3 310 1 1 9.7 5.3 | 16.3 61.3 075 9 5 7.5 4.1
10250 18.1 64.6 300 1 0 9.7 5.3 | 17.4 63.3 085 12 6 7.5 4.1
10000 18.8 65.8 260 1 0 9.7 5.3 | 17.9 64.2 090 14 7 7.4 4.1
9750 19.5 67.1 215 1 0 9.7 5.3 | 18.4 65.1 095 15 8 7.4 4.1
9500 20.2 68.4 200 1 1 9.7 5.3 | 19.0 66.2 100 17 9 7.0 3.8
9250 21.0 69.8 200 1 1 9.6 5.3 | 19.4 66.9 100 18 9 5.0 2.7
9000 21.7 71.1 185 2 1 9.5 5.2 | 19.7 67.5 105 20 10 3.7 2.0
8750 22.4 72.3 180 2 1 9.6 5.3 | 19.9 67.8 105 22 11 4.4 2.4
8500 23.1 73.6 175 3 1 10.1 5.5 | 20.3 68.5 110 23 12 6.0 3.3
8250 23.9 75.0 180 3 2 10.1 5.5 | 20.7 69.3 110 24 12 5.9 3.3
8000 24.6 76.3 180 3 2 9.8 5.4 | 21.1 70.0 110 25 13 4.6 2.5
7750 25.3 77.5 175 3 2 10.1 5.5 | 21.3 70.3 115 25 13 4.0 2.2
7500 26.1 79.0 175 4 2 10.5 5.7 | 21.5 70.7 110 24 13 3.3 1.8
7250 26.9 80.4 175 4 2 10.8 5.9 | 21.7 71.1 110 24 12 3.2 1.7
7000 27.6 81.7 175 4 2 9.0 4.9 | 22.0 71.6 110 23 12 6.0 3.3
6750 28.3 82.9 175 4 2 12.8 7.0 | 22.6 72.7 110 22 12 10.4 5.7
6500 30.5 86.9 170 4 2 58.2 31.9 | 23.1 73.6 110 17 9 3.0 1.6
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Albuquerque (KABX) Radar Velocity Azimuth Display Wind Profile (Observed) |
Albuquerque Vertical Wind Profile (Forecast from Rapid Refresh Model)Lowest 2000 ft Above Ground LevelVertical Wind Profile (for lowest 2000 ft) |
Albuquerque Vertical Wind Profiler at Double Eagle Airport (Real-time observations)Note: The Wind Profiler is moved to Balloon Fiesta Park during Balloon FiestaDouble Eagle (Albuquerque) Vertical Wind Profiler |
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Map of Surface Observations (Including Winds) Once the map is loaded, click on an observation site for more details. |
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Phone Numbers for Up-to-the-Minute Airport Observations |
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