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Heavy Rainfall and Severe Thunderstorm Threats for the Plains and Southeast

A frontal boundary extending from the western High Plains to the Southeast will focus additional showers and thunderstorms this weekend. Some of these storms may become severe, alongside frequent lightning, and isolated instances of flash flooding. Meanwhile dry conditions will continue for the Great Basin where fire weather concerns linger. For the mid-Atlantic and Northeast, seasonable weather. Read More >

 

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Latest Soaring Forecasts
 

Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0723 MDT Friday August 1 2025

This forecast is for Friday, August 1, 2025:

If the trigger temperature of 74.6 F/23.6 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 1171 ft/min (5.9 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 17121 ft MSL (10789 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 84.0 F/29.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1145 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 13358 ft MSL (7025 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 08/02..... Poor


Remarks... 

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:14:00 / 20:06:39 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 52 min 38 sec (832 min 38 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:19 MDT... 72.67 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/01/2025 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 15589 ft MSL (9257 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13102 ft MSL (6770 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 14522 ft MSL (8190 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.8
K index......................... +28.2

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -66.2 -87.2   275   21   11   3.5   1.9   75.8 168.5    27.9      M    M
 45000  -59.4 -74.9   275   32   17   6.3   3.4   63.9 147.0    22.2      M    M
 40000  -49.9 -57.8   275   31   16   6.6   3.6   56.5 133.7    18.7      M    M
 38000  -45.9 -50.6   270   33   17   6.6   3.6   53.6 128.4    17.2      M    M
 36000  -41.5 -42.7   265   36   19   6.5   3.6   50.9 123.6    15.8      M    M
 34000  -37.6 -35.7   255   32   16   6.6   3.6   48.0 118.4    14.0      M    M
 32000  -33.6 -28.5   245   28   14   7.0   3.8   45.7 114.3    12.6      M    M
 30000  -29.2 -20.6   265   24   12   7.4   4.0   43.7 110.6    11.3      M    M
 29000  -27.0 -16.6   275   22   12   7.4   4.0   42.8 109.1    10.8      M    M
 28000  -24.7 -12.5   280   21   11   8.0   4.4   42.0 107.7    10.3      M    M
 27000  -22.4  -8.3   280   19   10   7.9   4.4   41.3 106.3     9.8      M    M
 26000  -20.0  -4.0   280   16    8   7.9   4.4   40.6 105.1     9.4      M    M
 25000  -17.6   0.3   280   14    7   7.4   4.0   40.1 104.1     9.1      M    M
 24000  -15.5   4.1   280   15    8   7.1   3.9   39.0 102.1     8.2      M    M
 23000  -13.5   7.7   280   15    8   7.2   3.9   38.0 100.4     7.4      M    M
 22000  -11.4  11.5   275   16    8   5.9   3.2   37.1  98.8     6.7      M    M
 21000   -9.9  14.2   285   14    7   5.2   2.9   35.4  95.8     5.3      M    M
 20000   -8.0  17.6   295   12    6   5.3   2.9   33.5  92.3     3.7      M    M
 19500   -7.2  19.0   300   11    6   4.7   2.6   32.8  91.0     3.0      M    M
 19000   -6.6  20.1   315   11    6   4.7   2.6   31.9  89.3     2.2      M    M
 18500   -6.0  21.2   335   11    6   5.0   2.7   31.0  87.8     1.3      M    M
 18000   -5.1  22.8   340   12    6   7.0   3.9   30.4  86.7     0.7      M    M
 17500   -4.1  24.6   350   13    7   6.9   3.8   29.9  85.9     0.3      M    M
 17000   -3.1  26.4   350   14    7   7.8   4.3   29.5  85.1    -0.2    952  4.8
 16500   -2.0  28.4   345   13    7   8.0   4.4   29.2  84.5    -0.5    903  4.6
 16000   -0.8  30.6   340   12    6   8.1   4.4   28.9  84.0    -0.8    854  4.3
 15500    0.3  32.5   325   12    6   8.2   4.5   28.6  83.5    -1.1    804  4.1
 15000    1.5  34.7   310   11    6   8.2   4.5   28.4  83.1    -1.4    754  3.8
 14500    2.5  36.5   300   11    6   6.3   3.4   28.0  82.3    -1.9    709  3.6
 14000    3.4  38.1   290   10    5   6.4   3.5   27.4  81.4    -2.4    667  3.4
 13500    4.4  39.9   280    9    5   7.6   4.2   27.0  80.6    -2.9    623  3.2
 13000    5.5  41.9   275    7    3   7.6   4.1   26.6  79.9    -3.3    575  2.9
 12500    6.7  44.1   270    5    2   8.3   4.6   26.3  79.4    -3.6    526  2.7
 12000    7.9  46.2   255    4    2   8.4   4.6   26.1  79.0    -3.8    474  2.4
 11500    9.2  48.6   225    3    2   8.8   4.9   26.0  78.7    -4.1    421  2.1
 11000   10.2  50.4   200    4    2   6.1   3.4   25.6  78.0    -4.5    374  1.9
 10500   11.2  52.2   185    5    3   8.3   4.5   25.1  77.2    -4.9    330  1.7
 10250   11.9  53.4   180    6    3   8.4   4.6   25.0  77.1    -5.1    304  1.5
 10000   12.4  54.3   175    7    4   6.1   3.3   24.8  76.7    -5.3    281  1.4
  9750   12.8  55.0   175    8    4   5.2   2.9   24.5  76.1    -5.6    262  1.3
  9500   13.1  55.6   170    8    4   4.7   2.6   24.1  75.5    -6.0    244  1.2
  9250   13.4  56.1   165    9    5   4.6   2.5   23.7  74.7    -6.5    228  1.2
  9000   13.7  56.7   165   10    5   3.6   2.0   23.3  74.0    -7.0    212  1.1
  8750   13.8  56.8   160   10    5   2.5   1.4   22.8  73.0    -7.5    200  1.0
  8500   14.0  57.2   155   11    5   3.1   1.7   22.3  72.1    -8.1    187  1.0
  8250   14.2  57.6   145   11    6   3.2   1.7   21.8  71.2    -8.6    173  0.9
  8000   14.4  57.9   140   12    6   3.1   1.7   21.3  70.3    -9.2    160  0.8
  7750   14.7  58.5   135   12    6   3.9   2.2   20.8  69.4    -9.7    145  0.7
  7500   15.0  59.0   130   12    6   4.7   2.6   20.4  68.7   -10.2    129  0.7
  7250   15.3  59.5   130   11    6   4.6   2.5   20.0  68.0   -10.6    112  0.6
  7000   15.6  60.1   130   10    5   4.8   2.6   19.6  67.3   -11.0     96  0.5
  6750   15.9  60.6   130    8    4   3.6   2.0   19.2  66.6   -11.5     79  0.4
  6500   16.0  60.8   135    6    3   1.1   0.6   18.6  65.5   -12.1     69  0.3
  6250      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * * 

           08/01/2025 at 0900 MDT          |       08/01/2025 at 1200 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...  +515.0    LI...       -2.8        | CAPE...  +894.9    LI...       -3.8
CINH...   -64.0    K Index... +24.6        | CINH...    -4.3    K Index... +25.7
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -65.5 -85.9  280  19 10   2.7   1.5 | -65.8 -86.4  270  18  9   2.5   1.4
 45000 -59.4 -74.9  280  30 15   6.3   3.4 | -59.8 -75.6  275  31 16   6.5   3.6
 40000 -49.9 -57.8  285  29 15   6.7   3.7 | -50.0 -58.0  275  29 15   6.4   3.5
 38000 -45.8 -50.4  275  30 16   6.7   3.7 | -45.7 -50.3  275  32 17   6.4   3.5
 36000 -41.3 -42.3  265  33 17   6.6   3.6 | -41.8 -43.2  270  35 18   7.8   4.3
 34000 -37.3 -35.1  265  34 18   6.6   3.6 | -37.1 -34.8  275  37 19   7.8   4.3
 32000 -33.4 -28.1  265  35 18   6.9   3.8 | -32.4 -26.3  275  38 20   7.1   3.9
 30000 -29.1 -20.4  275  30 16   7.1   3.9 | -28.6 -19.5  280  32 16   6.4   3.5
 29000 -26.9 -16.4  285  28 14   7.1   3.9 | -26.6 -15.9  285  28 15   6.4   3.5
 28000 -24.7 -12.5  290  26 13   7.8   4.3 | -24.6 -12.3  285  25 13   7.1   3.9
 27000 -22.4  -8.3  285  22 11   7.8   4.3 | -22.5  -8.5  280  21 11   7.1   3.9
 26000 -20.1  -4.2  280  18  9   7.8   4.3 | -20.4  -4.7  270  18  9   7.1   3.9
 25000 -17.8  -0.0  275  15  8   7.0   3.8 | -18.3  -0.9  265  15  8   7.0   3.8
 24000 -15.8   3.6  280  15  8   6.6   3.6 | -16.2   2.8  270  15  8   7.0   3.8
 23000 -13.8   7.2  285  15  8   6.6   3.6 | -14.1   6.6  280  15  8   7.0   3.8
 22000 -11.8  10.8  290  15  8   6.0   3.3 | -12.0  10.4  290  15  8   6.4   3.5
 21000 -10.1  13.8  295  14  7   6.0   3.3 |  -9.7  14.5  295  14  7   6.4   3.5
 20000  -8.0  17.6  305  12  6   6.4   3.5 |  -7.9  17.8  300  12  6   6.6   3.6
 19500  -7.2  19.0  310  11  6   5.9   3.2 |  -6.9  19.6  305  12  6   6.7   3.7
 19000  -6.3  20.7  325   9  5   5.8   3.2 |  -6.0  21.2  305  11  6   6.8   3.7
 18500  -5.5  22.1  340   9  4   6.0   3.3 |  -5.1  22.8  315  10  5   6.8   3.7
 18000  -4.4  24.1  355   9  4   7.3   4.0 |  -4.1  24.6  320   9  5   6.8   3.7
 17500  -3.4  25.9  005   9  5   7.3   4.0 |  -3.1  26.4  330   8  4   6.7   3.7
 17000  -2.3  27.9  010  10  5   7.3   4.0 |  -2.0  28.4  340   7  4   7.7   4.2
 16500  -1.3  29.7  010  10  5   7.3   4.0 |  -0.9  30.4  340   7  4   7.8   4.3
 16000  -0.2  31.6  010  10  5   7.0   3.8 |   0.3  32.5  345   7  4   7.4   4.1
 15500   0.7  33.3  360   9  5   6.6   3.6 |   1.3  34.3  340   8  4   7.1   3.9
 15000   1.6  34.9  355   9  5   6.8   3.7 |   2.3  36.1  335   8  4   7.1   3.9
 14500   2.7  36.9  340  10  5   8.5   4.7 |   3.3  37.9  330   8  4   7.4   4.1
 14000   3.8  38.8  330  10  5   8.5   4.7 |   4.3  39.7  325   9  5   7.4   4.1
 13500   4.9  40.8  320  11  5   7.0   3.8 |   5.4  41.7  320   9  5   7.7   4.2
 13000   5.9  42.6  315  10  5   7.0   3.9 |   6.4  43.5  315   9  4   7.8   4.3
 12500   7.0  44.6  310   8  4   7.7   4.2 |   7.5  45.5  310   8  4   6.9   3.8
 12000   8.1  46.6  305   7  4   7.7   4.2 |   8.5  47.3  295   7  3   6.8   3.8
 11500   9.3  48.7  290   6  3   8.9   4.9 |   9.4  48.9  275   5  3   7.0   3.8
 11000  10.4  50.7  270   5  3   6.4   3.5 |  10.1  50.2  245   5  2   4.9   2.7
 10500  11.4  52.5  245   5  3   7.6   4.2 |  11.0  51.8  225   5  3   9.8   5.4
 10250  11.9  53.4  230   6  3   7.3   4.0 |  11.7  53.1  220   5  3  10.1   5.5
 10000  12.4  54.3  215   6  3   5.5   3.0 |  12.4  54.3  215   5  3   8.2   4.5
  9750  12.7  54.9  205   7  3   4.8   2.6 |  13.0  55.4  210   5  3   8.5   4.7
  9500  13.0  55.4  195   7  4   4.7   2.6 |  13.7  56.7  210   5  3   9.4   5.1
  9250  13.3  55.9  185   8  4   4.7   2.6 |  14.4  57.9  205   5  3   9.6   5.3
  9000  13.6  56.5  180   9  5   4.2   2.3 |  15.1  59.2  205   5  3   9.4   5.2
  8750  13.9  57.0  175  10  5   3.2   1.7 |  15.8  60.4  205   5  3   9.6   5.2
  8500  14.0  57.2  170  10  5   2.6   1.4 |  16.5  61.7  200   5  3   9.7   5.3
  8250  14.1  57.4  165   9  5   3.0   1.6 |  17.2  63.0  200   5  3   9.8   5.4
  8000  14.3  57.7  165   8  4   1.5   0.8 |  17.9  64.2  200   5  3   9.6   5.3
  7750  14.4  57.9  160   8  4   5.6   3.1 |  18.6  65.5  195   5  3   9.8   5.4
  7500  15.0  59.0  160   7  4  10.1   5.5 |  19.4  66.9  195   5  3  10.3   5.6
  7250  15.7  60.3  160   7  4   8.9   4.9 |  20.1  68.2  195   5  3   9.8   5.4
  7000  16.4  61.5  160   7  3   9.4   5.2 |  20.9  69.6  190   5  3  11.1   6.1
  6750  17.2  63.0  160   6  3  12.4   6.8 |  21.9  71.4  190   5  2  15.2   8.3
  6500  18.2  64.8  160   6  3  16.8   9.2 |  23.1  73.6  190   5  2  18.0   9.9
  6250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           08/01/2025 at 1500 MDT          |       08/01/2025 at 1800 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...  +781.6    LI...       -3.4        | CAPE...  +762.5    LI...       -2.1
CINH...    -0.5    K Index... +32.9        | CINH...   -49.8    K Index... +28.9
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -66.0 -86.8  265  18  9   2.8   1.5 | -66.1 -87.0  280  16  8   2.8   1.5
 45000 -59.5 -75.1  275  31 16   6.8   3.8 | -59.6 -75.3  290  28 14   6.7   3.7
 40000 -49.1 -56.4  285  33 17   5.7   3.1 | -49.3 -56.7  295  30 15   6.0   3.3
 38000 -45.6 -50.1  280  36 19   5.7   3.1 | -45.7 -50.3  295  32 17   6.0   3.3
 36000 -42.1 -43.8  280  38 20   8.3   4.6 | -41.9 -43.4  290  34 17   8.2   4.5
 34000 -37.1 -34.8  285  35 18   8.2   4.5 | -37.1 -34.8  300  32 16   8.0   4.4
 32000 -32.2 -26.0  290  32 17   7.6   4.2 | -32.3 -26.1  305  30 15   8.0   4.4
 30000 -27.9 -18.2  295  34 17   7.1   3.9 | -27.5 -17.5  310  29 15   8.0   4.4
 29000 -25.8 -14.4  300  34 18   7.1   3.9 | -25.1 -13.2  315  29 15   8.0   4.4
 28000 -23.8 -10.8  300  33 17   6.0   3.3 | -22.8  -9.0  320  28 15   6.6   3.6
 27000 -22.0  -7.6  295  28 14   6.1   3.3 | -20.8  -5.4  320  27 14   6.6   3.6
 26000 -20.2  -4.4  290  23 12   6.1   3.3 | -18.9  -2.0  325  25 13   6.6   3.6
 25000 -18.3  -0.9  280  19 10   7.1   3.9 | -16.9   1.6  330  24 12   6.6   3.6
 24000 -16.1   3.0  285  19 10   7.5   4.1 | -14.9   5.2  330  24 12   6.7   3.6
 23000 -13.8   7.2  285  18 10   7.5   4.1 | -12.9   8.8  325  23 12   6.7   3.7
 22000 -11.2  11.8  290  17  9   5.8   3.2 | -10.4  13.3  320  21 11   6.8   3.7
 21000  -9.4  15.1  295  15  8   5.9   3.2 |  -8.4  16.9  315  18  9   6.8   3.7
 20000  -7.7  18.1  305  13  6   6.0   3.3 |  -6.4  20.5  305  15  8   7.0   3.8
 19500  -6.8  19.8  305  12  6   5.5   3.0 |  -5.5  22.1  300  13  7   6.1   3.4
 19000  -6.1  21.0  305  11  5   5.7   3.2 |  -4.6  23.7  290  12  6   6.2   3.4
 18500  -5.3  22.5  300  10  5   6.3   3.5 |  -3.8  25.2  275  11  6   6.4   3.5
 18000  -4.4  24.1  300   9  5   7.2   3.9 |  -2.9  26.8  265  11  6   6.8   3.7
 17500  -3.4  25.9  295   9  5   7.2   4.0 |  -2.0  28.4  255  12  6   7.0   3.8
 17000  -2.4  27.7  290   9  5   8.2   4.5 |  -1.1  30.0  250  13  7   5.7   3.2
 16500  -1.2  29.8  285   9  5   8.3   4.6 |  -0.3  31.5  250  14  7   5.7   3.1
 16000  -0.0  32.0  280  10  5   8.1   4.4 |   0.5  32.9  255  15  8   6.6   3.6
 15500   1.0  33.8  280  10  5   7.9   4.3 |   1.6  34.9  260  15  8   8.1   4.4
 15000   2.1  35.8  275  10  5   8.0   4.4 |   2.8  37.0  260  15  8   8.2   4.5
 14500   3.3  37.9  270  10  5   8.6   4.7 |   4.0  39.2  265  15  8   9.5   5.2
 14000   4.5  40.1  265   9  5   8.5   4.6 |   5.4  41.7  265  15  8   9.5   5.2
 13500   5.8  42.4  265   9  5   9.5   5.2 |   6.8  44.2  265  14  7   9.1   5.0
 13000   7.1  44.8  260   8  4   9.4   5.1 |   8.1  46.6  270  14  7   9.1   5.0
 12500   8.5  47.3  255   8  4   9.4   5.2 |   9.4  48.9  275  13  7   9.0   4.9
 12000   9.9  49.8  250   7  4   9.0   4.9 |  10.7  51.3  275  12  6   8.8   4.8
 11500  11.5  52.7  245   7  4  11.7   6.4 |  12.2  54.0  280  11  6  10.3   5.7
 11000  12.9  55.2  240   7  3   8.1   4.4 |  13.5  56.3  285  10  5   8.2   4.5
 10500  14.3  57.7  235   6  3  11.9   6.5 |  14.8  58.6  285  10  5  10.2   5.6
 10250  15.2  59.4  230   6  3  10.6   5.8 |  15.5  59.9  290   9  5   9.6   5.3
 10000  15.8  60.4  230   6  3   7.4   4.1 |  16.1  61.0  290   8  4   7.6   4.2
  9750  16.4  61.5  225   6  3   8.4   4.6 |  16.7  62.1  295   8  4   8.0   4.4
  9500  17.1  62.8  220   5  3   9.9   5.4 |  17.3  63.1  295   7  4   8.8   4.8
  9250  17.8  64.0  215   5  3  10.5   5.8 |  18.0  64.4  300   6  3   9.3   5.1
  9000  18.6  65.5  210   5  3   9.1   5.0 |  18.7  65.7  300   5  3   8.4   4.6
  8750  19.2  66.6  205   5  3   8.8   4.8 |  19.3  66.7  305   5  2   8.0   4.4
  8500  19.9  67.8  200   5  3   9.9   5.4 |  19.9  67.8  315   4  2   8.5   4.6
  8250  20.7  69.3  190   5  3  10.1   5.6 |  20.5  68.9  330   3  2   8.6   4.7
  8000  21.4  70.5  185   5  3   9.6   5.3 |  21.1  70.0  355   3  2   8.4   4.6
  7750  22.1  71.8  180   5  3   9.6   5.3 |  21.7  71.1  015   3  2   7.3   4.0
  7500  22.9  73.2  175   5  3  10.3   5.7 |  22.2  72.0  035   4  2   6.5   3.6
  7250  23.6  74.5  175   6  3  10.0   5.5 |  22.6  72.7  045   6  3   6.5   3.6
  7000  24.4  75.9  170   6  3  11.1   6.1 |  23.0  73.4  050   8  4   6.4   3.5
  6750  25.4  77.7  165   6  3  15.5   8.5 |  23.5  74.3  055  10  5   5.9   3.2
  6500  26.6  79.9  160   6  3  19.5  10.7 |  23.8  74.8  055  10  5   5.4   2.9
  6250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local 
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial 
issuance. 

The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at

                   North Latitude:  34.9781667 deg
                   West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
                   Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive 
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of 
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it 
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above 
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain 
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger 
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of 
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158 
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions. 

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the 
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum 
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It 
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures 
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet 
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.  

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
  
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights: 
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the 
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor  

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which 
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough 
     movements.

042613

Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0723 MDT Friday August 1 2025

This forecast is for Friday, August 1, 2025:

If the trigger temperature of 77.4 F/25.2 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 1238 ft/min (6.3 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 17348 ft MSL (11675 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 88.0 F/31.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1145 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 12916 ft MSL (7243 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 08/02..... Poor


Remarks... 

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:16:23 / 20:09:15 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 52 min 53 sec (832 min 53 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:12:49 MDT... 72.53 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/01/2025 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 15529 ft MSL (9856 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13491 ft MSL (7818 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 14705 ft MSL (9032 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.2
K index......................... +29.7

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -66.0 -86.8   275   20   10   3.3   1.8   78.4 173.2    27.9      M    M
 45000  -59.4 -74.9   275   34   17   6.4   3.5   66.1 151.1    22.1      M    M
 40000  -49.8 -57.6   280   33   17   6.6   3.6   58.9 138.0    18.7      M    M
 38000  -45.4 -49.7   270   34   18   6.6   3.6   55.6 132.0    17.0      M    M
 36000  -41.4 -42.5   265   35   18   6.8   3.7   53.2 127.8    15.7      M    M
 34000  -37.3 -35.1   260   35   18   6.9   3.8   50.6 123.0    14.2      M    M
 32000  -33.2 -27.8   255   34   18   7.1   3.9   48.5 119.4    12.9      M    M
 30000  -28.9 -20.0   265   31   16   7.3   4.0   46.4 115.5    11.6      M    M
 29000  -26.7 -16.1   270   29   15   7.3   4.0   45.5 113.9    11.1      M    M
 28000  -24.5 -12.1   275   27   14   6.9   3.8   44.6 112.3    10.5      M    M
 27000  -22.4  -8.3   275   24   12   7.0   3.8   43.5 110.2     9.7      M    M
 26000  -20.3  -4.5   275   20   10   7.0   3.8   42.4 108.4     9.0      M    M
 25000  -18.3  -0.9   275   17    9   7.0   3.8   41.5 106.8     8.4      M    M
 24000  -16.2   2.8   275   16    8   7.0   3.8   40.4 104.7     7.5      M    M
 23000  -13.6   7.5   275   15    8   7.0   3.8   39.1 102.5     6.5      M    M
 22000  -11.7  10.9   275   13    7   5.6   3.0   38.1 100.5     5.7      M    M
 21000  -10.1  13.8   275   11    6   5.8   3.2   36.6  97.9     4.4      M    M
 20000   -8.4  16.9   280    8    4   5.9   3.2   35.3  95.5     3.2      M    M
 19500   -7.6  18.3   285    7    4   5.5   3.0   34.6  94.3     2.6      M    M
 19000   -6.9  19.6   300    6    3   5.3   2.9   33.8  92.9     1.9      M    M
 18500   -6.1  21.0   320    6    3   5.3   2.9   33.1  91.6     1.2      M    M
 18000   -5.2  22.6   330    6    3   7.1   3.9   32.5  90.5     0.6      M    M
 17500   -4.2  24.4   340    6    3   6.9   3.8   32.0  89.6     0.1      M    M
 17000   -3.2  26.2   340    7    3   7.3   4.0   31.5  88.8    -0.3   1005  5.1
 16500   -2.2  28.0   335    7    3   7.5   4.1   31.2  88.1    -0.7    958  4.9
 16000   -1.1  30.0   330    7    4   7.6   4.2   30.8  87.4    -1.1    911  4.6
 15500    0.0  32.0   315    7    4   7.9   4.3   30.5  86.8    -1.4    863  4.4
 15000    1.2  34.2   305    8    4   7.8   4.3   30.2  86.3    -1.8    814  4.1
 14500    2.3  36.1   300    8    4   8.4   4.6   29.9  85.8    -2.1    764  3.9
 14000    3.5  38.3   290    8    4   8.4   4.6   29.7  85.4    -2.4    714  3.6
 13500    4.7  40.5   285    8    4   8.1   4.5   29.4  85.0    -2.6    663  3.4
 13000    5.9  42.6   280    8    4   8.1   4.4   29.2  84.5    -2.9    613  3.1
 12500    7.1  44.8   275    8    4   8.1   4.4   28.9  84.0    -3.2    563  2.9
 12000    8.3  46.9   270    7    4   8.1   4.4   28.6  83.5    -3.5    513  2.6
 11500    9.4  48.9   260    6    3   7.9   4.3   28.4  83.1    -3.8    463  2.4
 11000   10.6  51.1   250    5    3   7.8   4.3   28.0  82.5    -4.2    414  2.1
 10500   11.7  53.1   235    5    3   6.7   3.7   27.7  81.9    -4.5    367  1.9
 10250   12.1  53.8   225    5    2   6.1   3.4   27.4  81.4    -4.8    346  1.8
 10000   12.5  54.5   215    4    2   6.4   3.5   27.2  80.9    -5.1    325  1.7
  9750   13.0  55.4   205    4    2   6.5   3.6   26.9  80.4    -5.4    305  1.5
  9500   13.4  56.1   190    5    2   4.2   2.3   26.6  79.9    -5.7    285  1.4
  9250   13.6  56.5   185    4    2   4.1   2.2   26.1  79.0    -6.3    271  1.4
  9000   14.0  57.2   175    5    2   6.0   3.3   25.8  78.4    -6.6    252  1.3
  8750   14.4  57.9   165    5    3   5.4   3.0   25.4  77.8    -7.0    233  1.2
  8500   15.1  59.2   160    4    2   4.8   2.6   24.7  76.5    -7.8    197  1.0
  8250   15.4  59.7   155    4    2   5.2   2.8   24.4  75.8    -8.2    179  0.9
  8000   15.8  60.4   150    4    2   5.3   2.9   24.0  75.2    -8.5    161  0.8
  7750   16.2  61.2   145    4    2   5.7   3.1   23.7  74.6    -8.9    142  0.7
  7500   16.6  61.9   140    3    2   5.7   3.1   23.4  74.1    -9.2    121  0.6
  7250   17.0  62.6   130    3    2   4.4   2.4   23.0  73.5    -9.6    103  0.5
  7000   17.3  63.1   110    3    1   4.0   2.2   22.6  72.7   -10.1     88  0.4
  6750   17.6  63.7   100    3    1   4.3   2.3   22.2  71.9   -10.6     72  0.4
  6500   17.8  64.0   095    3    1   4.4   2.4   21.8  71.2   -11.0     56  0.3
  6250   18.1  64.6   085    3    1   3.7   2.1   21.4  70.5   -11.5     39  0.2
  6000   18.3  64.9   075    3    1   0.6   0.3   20.8  69.5   -12.1     29  0.1
  5750   18.1  64.6   070    2    1  -2.1  -1.2   20.0  68.0   -13.0     25  0.1
  5500      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * * 

           08/01/2025 at 0900 MDT          |       08/01/2025 at 1200 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...  +342.9    LI...       -1.9        | CAPE...  +649.5    LI...       -3.2
CINH...   -99.3    K Index... +29.3        | CINH...   -29.9    K Index... +28.2
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -66.2 -87.2  275  21 11   2.8   1.5 | -65.6 -86.1  265  18  9   2.3   1.3
 45000 -59.8 -75.6  275  34 17   6.8   3.7 | -59.5 -75.1  270  31 16   6.9   3.8
 40000 -49.7 -57.5  280  31 16   6.5   3.6 | -49.1 -56.4  275  32 17   5.7   3.1
 38000 -45.3 -49.5  275  33 17   6.5   3.6 | -45.7 -50.3  275  35 18   5.7   3.1
 36000 -41.4 -42.5  270  36 18   6.8   3.7 | -42.1 -43.8  275  37 19   7.9   4.3
 34000 -37.4 -35.3  265  38 19   6.8   3.7 | -37.3 -35.1  275  37 19   8.1   4.4
 32000 -33.3 -27.9  265  40 20   6.8   3.7 | -32.5 -26.5  275  36 19   7.4   4.1
 30000 -29.2 -20.6  275  34 18   6.8   3.7 | -28.5 -19.3  280  33 17   6.5   3.6
 29000 -27.2 -17.0  285  32 17   6.8   3.7 | -26.6 -15.9  285  31 16   6.5   3.6
 28000 -25.1 -13.2  285  29 15   7.4   4.0 | -24.6 -12.3  290  29 15   6.4   3.5
 27000 -22.9  -9.2  285  24 13   7.3   4.0 | -22.7  -8.9  285  25 13   6.5   3.5
 26000 -20.7  -5.3  280  19 10   7.3   4.0 | -20.8  -5.4  280  21 11   6.5   3.6
 25000 -18.5  -1.3  270  15  8   7.4   4.0 | -18.9  -2.0  270  18  9   6.8   3.8
 24000 -15.8   3.6  275  16  8   7.4   4.1 | -16.2   2.8  275  16  8   7.1   3.9
 23000 -13.5   7.7  280  16  8   7.4   4.1 | -14.1   6.6  280  15  8   7.1   3.9
 22000 -11.4  11.5  280  16  8   5.7   3.1 | -12.0  10.4  285  15  8   6.4   3.5
 21000  -9.7  14.5  280  14  7   6.1   3.3 | -10.1  13.8  290  13  7   6.5   3.6
 20000  -8.0  17.6  285  12  6   6.5   3.6 |  -8.2  17.2  295  12  6   6.5   3.6
 19500  -7.2  19.0  285  10  5   5.9   3.2 |  -7.2  19.0  295  12  6   7.1   3.9
 19000  -6.4  20.5  285   9  5   5.6   3.1 |  -6.2  20.8  295  10  5   7.3   4.0
 18500  -5.6  21.9  290   8  4   5.6   3.1 |  -5.2  22.6  295   9  5   7.5   4.1
 18000  -4.8  23.4  300   6  3   6.0   3.3 |  -4.2  24.4  295   8  4   7.0   3.8
 17500  -4.0  24.8  310   5  3   6.0   3.3 |  -3.2  26.2  290   7  3   7.1   3.9
 17000  -3.1  26.4  325   4  2   7.0   3.8 |  -2.2  28.0  290   5  3   7.2   4.0
 16500  -2.0  28.4  330   4  2   7.3   4.0 |  -1.2  29.8  290   4  2   7.3   4.0
 16000  -1.0  30.2  340   4  2   7.5   4.1 |  -0.1  31.8  295   3  2   7.4   4.1
 15500   0.1  32.2  330   4  2   7.9   4.4 |   1.0  33.8  295   3  2   7.8   4.3
 15000   1.2  34.2  325   5  3   7.9   4.3 |   2.1  35.8  300   3  2   7.8   4.3
 14500   2.4  36.3  315   6  3   8.5   4.7 |   3.2  37.8  305   4  2   8.1   4.5
 14000   3.6  38.5  310   6  3   8.5   4.6 |   4.4  39.9  310   4  2   8.1   4.5
 13500   4.8  40.6  305   6  3   8.3   4.5 |   5.6  42.1  315   4  2   8.3   4.6
 13000   6.0  42.8  300   6  3   8.3   4.6 |   6.8  44.2  320   4  2   8.4   4.6
 12500   7.2  45.0  295   6  3   7.9   4.4 |   7.9  46.2  320   4  2   7.8   4.3
 12000   8.4  47.1  280   5  3   7.8   4.3 |   9.0  48.2  305   3  1   7.6   4.2
 11500   9.5  49.1  265   4  2   7.4   4.1 |  10.1  50.2  285   2  1   7.2   4.0
 11000  10.5  50.9  245   4  2   7.3   4.0 |  11.1  52.0  240   2  1   7.4   4.0
 10500  11.5  52.7  230   5  2   6.3   3.5 |  11.9  53.4  215   3  2   5.1   2.8
 10250  12.0  53.6  220   5  2   6.9   3.8 |  12.3  54.1  210   4  2   6.1   3.3
 10000  12.5  54.5  215   5  2   6.9   3.8 |  12.7  54.9  205   4  2   5.9   3.3
  9750  12.9  55.2  210   5  3   6.9   3.8 |  13.1  55.6  200   4  2   5.8   3.2
  9500  13.4  56.1  205   5  3   5.5   3.0 |  13.4  56.1  195   4  2   5.4   3.0
  9250  13.7  56.7  205   4  2   5.3   2.9 |  14.5  58.1  195   4  2   9.7   5.3
  9000  14.6  58.3  190   4  2   5.7   3.1 |  15.2  59.4  195   4  2   9.1   5.0
  8750  14.9  58.8  190   4  2   4.4   2.4 |  15.9  60.6  195   4  2   8.4   4.6
  8500  15.2  59.4  190   3  1   4.0   2.2 |  16.5  61.7  195   4  2   9.1   5.0
  8250  15.5  59.9  180   2  1   4.3   2.4 |  17.2  63.0  195   4  2  10.5   5.8
  8000  15.8  60.4  160   2  1   4.7   2.6 |  18.0  64.4  200   4  2  10.1   5.6
  7750  16.1  61.0  145   1  1   5.3   2.9 |  18.7  65.7  200   3  2   9.6   5.3
  7500  16.5  61.7  130   1  1   5.7   3.1 |  19.4  66.9  200   3  2   9.7   5.3
  7250  16.9  62.4  105   1  1   7.6   4.2 |  20.2  68.4  205   3  2  10.5   5.8
  7000  17.5  63.5  085   2  1   9.1   5.0 |  21.0  69.8  210   3  2  10.5   5.7
  6750  18.2  64.8  085   2  1   9.3   5.1 |  21.7  71.1  210   3  2  10.2   5.6
  6500  18.9  66.0  085   1  1   8.9   4.9 |  22.5  72.5  210   3  2   9.7   5.3
  6250  19.6  67.3  085   1  1  10.3   5.6 |  23.2  73.8  215   3  2  12.0   6.6
  6000  20.4  68.7  080   1  1  14.5   8.0 |  24.4  75.9  215   3  2  20.1  11.0
  5750  21.5  70.7  080   1  1  12.6   6.9 |  26.0  78.8  220   3  2  20.5  11.2
  5500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           08/01/2025 at 1500 MDT          |       08/01/2025 at 1800 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...  +629.3    LI...       -2.4        | CAPE...  +286.6    LI...       -1.7
CINH...    -6.3    K Index... +28.7        | CINH...    -3.8    K Index... +30.4
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -66.1 -87.0  260  19 10   2.7   1.5 | -66.0 -86.8  275  15  8   2.7   1.5
 45000 -59.7 -75.5  275  33 17   6.8   3.7 | -59.8 -75.6  280  27 14   6.5   3.6
 40000 -49.3 -56.7  285  37 19   5.9   3.2 | -49.6 -57.3  285  31 16   6.3   3.4
 38000 -45.8 -50.4  285  38 20   5.9   3.2 | -45.8 -50.4  285  33 17   6.3   3.4
 36000 -42.1 -43.8  280  39 20   8.1   4.4 | -42.0 -43.6  280  35 18   8.4   4.6
 34000 -37.3 -35.1  285  36 19   8.1   4.4 | -37.0 -34.6  295  32 16   8.3   4.5
 32000 -32.4 -26.3  290  33 17   7.7   4.2 | -32.0 -25.6  305  31 16   7.7   4.2
 30000 -28.1 -18.6  295  34 18   7.2   4.0 | -27.7 -17.9  310  28 14   7.4   4.0
 29000 -25.9 -14.6  300  35 18   7.2   4.0 | -25.5 -13.9  310  27 14   7.4   4.0
 28000 -23.8 -10.8  300  34 17   6.2   3.4 | -23.3  -9.9  315  25 13   6.7   3.7
 27000 -21.9  -7.4  300  29 15   6.3   3.5 | -21.3  -6.3  320  23 12   6.7   3.7
 26000 -20.0  -4.0  295  24 12   6.3   3.5 | -19.3  -2.7  325  22 11   6.7   3.7
 25000 -17.6   0.3  295  19 10   7.2   4.0 | -17.3   0.9  325  20 10   6.9   3.8
 24000 -15.5   4.1  295  18  9   7.2   3.9 | -14.7   5.5  325  19 10   7.0   3.8
 23000 -13.3   8.1  295  18  9   7.2   3.9 | -12.6   9.3  320  17  9   7.0   3.8
 22000 -11.3  11.7  295  16  8   6.6   3.6 | -10.6  12.9  315  17  9   6.3   3.4
 21000  -9.3  15.3  295  14  7   6.7   3.7 |  -8.8  16.2  310  16  8   6.4   3.5
 20000  -7.3  18.9  300  12  6   6.7   3.7 |  -6.9  19.6  305  16  8   6.6   3.6
 19500  -6.3  20.7  305  11  6   5.9   3.2 |  -6.0  21.2  305  16  8   6.3   3.4
 19000  -5.5  22.1  305  10  5   5.8   3.2 |  -5.1  22.8  300  17  9   6.2   3.4
 18500  -4.7  23.5  310   9  5   5.9   3.2 |  -4.3  24.3  300  17  9   6.3   3.5
 18000  -3.7  25.3  305   9  4   7.2   3.9 |  -3.3  26.1  300  18  9   6.9   3.8
 17500  -2.8  27.0  300   9  4   7.2   4.0 |  -2.3  27.9  300  18  9   6.8   3.7
 17000  -1.8  28.8  295   9  4   7.6   4.2 |  -1.4  29.5  300  17  9   7.4   4.0
 16500  -0.7  30.7  290   8  4   7.7   4.2 |  -0.3  31.5  300  16  8   7.5   4.1
 16000   0.4  32.7  280   8  4   7.9   4.4 |   0.7  33.3  300  15  8   7.6   4.2
 15500   1.5  34.7  275   7  4   8.2   4.5 |   1.8  35.2  295  13  7   7.7   4.2
 15000   2.7  36.9  270   6  3   8.2   4.5 |   2.9  37.2  295  12  6   7.7   4.2
 14500   3.9  39.0  265   6  3   8.4   4.6 |   4.1  39.4  290  10  5   8.8   4.8
 14000   5.1  41.2  260   5  3   8.5   4.6 |   5.3  41.5  285   9  4   8.6   4.7
 13500   6.2  43.2  255   4  2   7.6   4.2 |   6.6  43.9  275   8  4   9.4   5.1
 13000   7.3  45.1  240   4  2   7.6   4.2 |   8.0  46.4  270   7  4   9.4   5.1
 12500   8.3  46.9  230   4  2   8.4   4.6 |   9.4  48.9  265   7  4   9.3   5.1
 12000   9.6  49.3  225   5  2   8.7   4.8 |  10.8  51.4  260   7  3   9.3   5.1
 11500  10.8  51.4  220   5  3   9.0   4.9 |  12.1  53.8  255   7  3   9.3   5.1
 11000  12.1  53.8  220   5  3   9.1   5.0 |  13.5  56.3  250   6  3   9.0   4.9
 10500  13.5  56.3  220   6  3   9.3   5.1 |  15.0  59.0  250   6  3  10.5   5.7
 10250  14.1  57.4  220   6  3   9.4   5.2 |  15.7  60.3  250   6  3   9.5   5.2
 10000  14.8  58.6  220   6  3   9.4   5.2 |  16.4  61.5  245   6  3   9.9   5.4
  9750  15.5  59.9  220   6  3   9.2   5.1 |  17.2  63.0  245   6  3   9.3   5.1
  9500  16.2  61.2  220   6  3   8.4   4.6 |  17.8  64.0  245   6  3   8.0   4.4
  9250  17.5  63.5  220   7  3  10.1   5.5 |  18.4  65.1  240   6  3   9.3   5.1
  9000  18.3  64.9  220   7  3   9.8   5.4 |  19.2  66.6  240   6  3  10.8   5.9
  8750  19.0  66.2  220   7  4   9.4   5.1 |  20.0  68.0  240   6  3  10.4   5.7
  8500  19.7  67.5  220   7  4   9.7   5.3 |  20.7  69.3  235   6  3   8.1   4.4
  8250  20.4  68.7  220   7  4  10.3   5.7 |  21.3  70.3  235   6  3   9.0   5.0
  8000  21.2  70.2  225   7  4  10.0   5.5 |  22.1  71.8  230   6  3  11.6   6.4
  7750  21.9  71.4  225   7  4   9.6   5.3 |  22.9  73.2  230   7  3  10.5   5.7
  7500  22.6  72.7  220   7  4   9.8   5.4 |  23.6  74.5  230   7  3   8.9   4.9
  7250  23.4  74.1  220   7  4  10.7   5.9 |  25.0  77.0  225   7  3  11.3   6.2
  7000  24.2  75.6  225   7  4  10.7   5.9 |  25.9  78.6  225   7  3  10.9   6.0
  6750  25.0  77.0  225   7  4  10.4   5.7 |  26.6  79.9  220   7  3   9.4   5.2
  6500  25.7  78.3  225   7  4  10.0   5.5 |  27.3  81.1  220   7  3   9.4   5.1
  6250  26.5  79.7  220   7  4  11.6   6.4 |  28.1  82.6  220   7  3  10.5   5.7
  6000  27.6  81.7  225   7  4  20.2  11.1 |  29.0  84.2  215   6  3  15.2   8.3
  5750  29.6  85.3  225   7  4  36.1  19.8 |  30.4  86.7  215   6  3  24.0  13.1
  5500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance. 

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at

                   North Latitude:  35.03806 deg
                   West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
                   Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of 
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive 
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of 
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it 
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above 
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain 
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger 
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of 
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158 
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions. 

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the 
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum 
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It 
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures 
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet 
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.  

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
  
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights: 
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the 
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor  

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which 
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough 
     movements.

042613

Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0724 MDT Friday August 1 2025

This forecast is for Friday, August 1, 2025:

If the trigger temperature of 73.5 F/23.1 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 1277 ft/min (6.5 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 18477 ft MSL (12021 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 86.0 F/30.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1100 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15447 ft MSL (8991 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 08/02..... Poor


Remarks... 

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:13:06 / 20:08:19 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 55 min 13 sec (835 min 13 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:42 MDT... 72.03 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/01/2025 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 15366 ft MSL (8910 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13624 ft MSL (7168 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15446 ft MSL (8990 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.1
K index......................... +28.2

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -64.9 -84.8   275   20   10   3.5   1.9   77.7 171.8    28.3      M    M
 45000  -58.6 -73.5   275   36   19   5.4   3.0   65.0 149.0    22.2      M    M
 40000  -50.2 -58.4   275   40   21   6.6   3.6   56.0 132.8    17.6      M    M
 38000  -45.7 -50.3   265   40   21   6.6   3.6   52.7 126.9    15.9      M    M
 36000  -41.8 -43.2   260   40   21   6.5   3.6   50.4 122.8    14.6      M    M
 34000  -37.9 -36.2   255   40   21   6.5   3.6   47.5 117.5    12.8      M    M
 32000  -34.0 -29.2   255   39   20   6.8   3.7   45.2 113.3    11.4      M    M
 30000  -29.5 -21.1   260   33   17   7.6   4.2   43.2 109.8    10.2      M    M
 29000  -27.2 -17.0   265   30   16   7.6   4.2   42.5 108.5     9.7      M    M
 28000  -24.9 -12.8   270   28   14   7.7   4.2   41.8 107.2     9.2      M    M
 27000  -22.6  -8.7   270   25   13   7.7   4.2   40.9 105.5     8.6      M    M
 26000  -20.3  -4.5   270   22   11   7.7   4.2   40.1 104.2     8.1      M    M
 25000  -17.5   0.5   270   19   10   6.5   3.6   39.2 102.5     7.5      M    M
 24000  -15.6   3.9   270   19   10   6.6   3.6   37.9 100.2     6.5      M    M
 23000  -13.7   7.3   275   20   10   6.6   3.6   36.8  98.2     5.6      M    M
 22000  -11.8  10.8   275   19   10   5.4   2.9   35.6  96.2     4.6      M    M
 21000  -10.2  13.6   280   16    8   5.5   3.0   34.1  93.3     3.2      M    M
 20000   -8.7  16.3   295   13    7   5.6   3.1   32.6  90.8     2.0      M    M
 19500   -7.9  17.8   300   12    6   5.7   3.1   32.0  89.6     1.3      M    M
 19000   -7.1  19.2   310   11    5   5.7   3.1   31.3  88.3     0.7      M    M
 18500   -6.3  20.7   325   10    5   5.7   3.1   30.6  87.1     0.0      M    M
 18000   -5.4  22.3   335   10    5   6.5   3.6   30.0  86.0    -0.6   1038  5.3
 17500   -4.5  23.9   340   10    5   6.5   3.6   29.4  85.0    -1.1    995  5.1
 17000   -3.6  25.5   350   10    5   6.9   3.8   28.9  84.0    -1.7    953  4.8
 16500   -2.6  27.3   345   10    5   7.2   3.9   28.4  83.2    -2.1    908  4.6
 16000   -1.6  29.1   345   10    5   7.3   4.0   28.0  82.4    -2.6    863  4.4
 15500   -0.4  31.3   335    9    5   8.3   4.6   27.7  81.9    -2.9    814  4.1
 15000    0.7  33.3   320    8    4   8.3   4.6   27.5  81.5    -3.2    764  3.9
 14500    1.9  35.4   305    8    4   8.2   4.5   27.2  81.0    -3.5    714  3.6
 14000    3.1  37.6   290    8    4   8.2   4.5   27.0  80.5    -3.8    664  3.4
 13500    4.3  39.7   280    9    5   7.8   4.3   26.7  80.1    -4.1    614  3.1
 13000    5.4  41.7   275    8    4   7.7   4.2   26.4  79.5    -4.5    566  2.9
 12500    6.5  43.7   270    7    4   7.8   4.3   26.1  78.9    -4.9    518  2.6
 12000    7.6  45.7   270    5    3   7.9   4.4   25.8  78.4    -5.2    469  2.4
 11500    8.8  47.8   280    3    1   7.8   4.3   25.5  77.9    -5.5    420  2.1
 11000   10.3  50.5   170    2    1   6.8   3.7   24.8  76.7    -6.2    352  1.8
 10500   11.3  52.3   155    5    3   6.7   3.7   24.4  75.9    -6.7    307  1.6
 10250   11.8  53.2   155    6    3   6.6   3.6   24.1  75.4    -7.0    285  1.4
 10000   12.3  54.1   155    7    4   6.6   3.6   23.9  75.0    -7.2    264  1.3
  9750   12.7  54.9   155    8    4   6.2   3.4   23.6  74.6    -7.5    242  1.2
  9500   13.2  55.8   155    9    5   5.8   3.2   23.3  74.0    -7.8    222  1.1
  9250   13.6  56.5   155   10    5   5.9   3.2   23.1  73.5    -8.2    202  1.0
  9000   14.0  57.2   155    9    5   5.9   3.2   22.7  72.9    -8.5    183  0.9
  8750   14.4  57.9   155    9    5   5.2   2.9   22.4  72.4    -8.9    164  0.8
  8500   14.7  58.5   150    9    5   4.8   2.6   22.1  71.7    -9.3    148  0.7
  8250   15.0  59.0   150    9    4   4.6   2.5   21.7  71.0    -9.8    131  0.7
  8000   15.3  59.5   150    8    4   4.0   2.2   21.3  70.3   -10.2    115  0.6
  7750   15.5  59.9   145    7    4   4.7   2.6   20.8  69.5   -10.7    100  0.5
  7500   15.9  60.6   145    6    3   5.0   2.8   20.5  68.9   -11.1     82  0.4
  7250   16.2  61.2   145    5    2   5.7   3.1   20.1  68.3   -11.5     65  0.3
  7000   16.6  61.9   140    4    2   3.7   2.0   19.8  67.7   -11.9     46  0.2
  6750   16.6  61.9   135    3    2  -2.5  -1.4   19.1  66.4   -12.7     39  0.2
  6500   16.4  61.5   115    2    1   5.7   3.1   18.3  65.0   -13.6     36  0.2

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * * 

           08/01/2025 at 0900 MDT          |       08/01/2025 at 1200 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...  +370.5    LI...       -2.6        | CAPE...  +781.4    LI...       -3.7
CINH...   -73.0    K Index... +25.4        | CINH...   -19.0    K Index... +26.7
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -65.5 -85.9  280  23 12   3.1   1.7 | -65.0 -85.0  270  19 10   2.6   1.4
 45000 -59.1 -74.4  275  36 19   6.2   3.4 | -59.1 -74.4  275  35 18   6.2   3.4
 40000 -49.4 -56.9  280  36 19   6.4   3.5 | -49.5 -57.1  280  39 20   5.9   3.2
 38000 -45.5 -49.9  275  38 19   6.4   3.5 | -46.0 -50.8  275  40 21   5.9   3.2
 36000 -41.7 -43.1  265  39 20   6.6   3.6 | -42.4 -44.3  275  41 21   7.3   4.0
 34000 -37.7 -35.9  265  41 21   6.7   3.7 | -37.8 -36.0  270  40 21   7.8   4.3
 32000 -33.7 -28.7  270  43 22   6.7   3.7 | -33.1 -27.6  270  40 20   7.4   4.1
 30000 -29.7 -21.5  275  37 19   6.7   3.7 | -29.1 -20.4  275  34 18   6.7   3.7
 29000 -27.7 -17.9  280  34 17   6.7   3.7 | -27.1 -16.8  280  32 16   6.7   3.7
 28000 -25.6 -14.1  285  31 16   7.7   4.2 | -25.1 -13.2  285  29 15   6.5   3.5
 27000 -23.3  -9.9  280  25 13   7.6   4.2 | -23.2  -9.8  280  26 13   6.5   3.6
 26000 -21.1  -6.0  270  21 11   7.6   4.2 | -20.7  -5.3  270  21 11   6.5   3.6
 25000 -18.3  -0.9  260  17  9   7.1   3.9 | -18.7  -1.7  270  19 10   7.3   4.0
 24000 -16.1   3.0  265  17  9   7.1   3.9 | -16.6   2.1  270  18  9   7.3   4.0
 23000 -14.0   6.8  275  17  9   7.1   3.9 | -14.4   6.1  275  18  9   7.3   4.0
 22000 -12.0  10.4  280  17  9   5.3   2.9 | -12.3   9.9  280  17  9   6.3   3.4
 21000 -10.4  13.3  285  14  7   5.7   3.1 | -10.4  13.3  290  14  7   6.5   3.5
 20000  -8.9  16.0  290  11  6   6.1   3.3 |  -8.6  16.5  295  12  6   6.5   3.6
 19500  -8.1  17.4  295   9  5   6.5   3.6 |  -7.6  18.3  300  11  6   6.7   3.7
 19000  -7.1  19.2  300   8  4   6.6   3.6 |  -6.7  19.9  305  10  5   6.9   3.8
 18500  -6.1  21.0  305   6  3   6.6   3.6 |  -5.7  21.7  305   9  5   7.1   3.9
 18000  -5.1  22.8  315   5  3   8.0   4.4 |  -4.7  23.5  310   8  4   7.6   4.2
 17500  -3.9  25.0  325   5  3   7.9   4.3 |  -3.6  25.5  310   7  4   7.6   4.2
 17000  -2.8  27.0  330   5  2   7.7   4.2 |  -2.5  27.5  315   7  3   7.9   4.3
 16500  -1.7  28.9  330   5  2   7.6   4.2 |  -1.3  29.7  315   7  3   8.0   4.4
 16000  -0.6  30.9  330   5  3   7.5   4.1 |  -0.2  31.6  315   7  3   8.0   4.4
 15500   0.5  32.9  325   6  3   7.1   3.9 |   1.0  33.8  315   7  4   7.7   4.2
 15000   1.5  34.7  320   6  3   7.1   3.9 |   2.1  35.8  310   8  4   7.7   4.2
 14500   2.6  36.7  315   7  4   7.9   4.3 |   3.2  37.8  310   8  4   8.2   4.5
 14000   3.7  38.7  310   7  4   7.8   4.3 |   4.4  39.9  310   8  4   8.1   4.5
 13500   4.8  40.6  310   8  4   7.7   4.2 |   5.6  42.1  310   8  4   8.0   4.4
 13000   5.9  42.6  305   8  4   7.6   4.2 |   6.7  44.1  315   8  4   8.0   4.4
 12500   7.0  44.6  305   8  4   7.3   4.0 |   7.9  46.2  315   7  4   7.7   4.2
 12000   8.0  46.4  300   7  3   7.2   3.9 |   8.9  48.0  310   6  3   7.5   4.1
 11500   9.5  49.1  275   4  2   6.9   3.8 |  10.3  50.5  285   3  2   5.0   2.8
 11000  10.4  50.7  250   3  2   6.6   3.6 |  11.0  51.8  240   3  2   5.5   3.0
 10500  11.3  52.3  220   4  2   6.0   3.3 |  11.8  53.2  210   4  2   7.6   4.2
 10250  11.7  53.1  205   4  2   5.7   3.1 |  12.3  54.1  205   4  2   8.5   4.7
 10000  12.1  53.8  195   4  2   5.9   3.2 |  13.0  55.4  200   5  2   8.5   4.7
  9750  12.5  54.5  185   5  2   4.7   2.6 |  13.6  56.5  195   5  3   9.1   5.0
  9500  12.7  54.9  175   5  2   3.4   1.8 |  14.3  57.7  195   5  3   9.7   5.3
  9250  13.0  55.4  165   5  2   4.6   2.5 |  15.0  59.0  195   5  3   9.3   5.1
  9000  13.3  55.9  160   5  3   5.5   3.0 |  15.6  60.1  195   6  3   9.1   5.0
  8750  13.7  56.7  160   5  3   5.6   3.1 |  16.3  61.3  195   6  3   9.6   5.3
  8500  14.1  57.4  150   5  3   5.7   3.1 |  17.1  62.8  195   6  3   9.9   5.5
  8250  14.5  58.1  145   5  2   6.1   3.3 |  17.8  64.0  195   6  3   9.8   5.4
  8000  14.9  58.8  140   5  2   8.0   4.4 |  18.5  65.3  195   6  3  10.0   5.5
  7750  15.6  60.1  140   4  2   9.6   5.3 |  19.3  66.7  195   7  3  10.4   5.7
  7500  16.3  61.3  140   4  2  10.1   5.5 |  20.1  68.2  195   7  3  11.0   6.0
  7250  17.0  62.6  140   4  2   9.2   5.0 |  20.9  69.6  195   7  3   9.5   5.2
  7000  17.7  63.9  140   4  2  11.5   6.3 |  21.6  70.9  195   7  3  13.6   7.5
  6750  18.8  65.8  140   4  2  18.0   9.9 |  23.0  73.4  195   6  3  25.0  13.7
  6500  19.9  67.8  140   3  2   7.2   4.0 |  24.5  76.1  195   6  3   7.9   4.3

           08/01/2025 at 1500 MDT          |       08/01/2025 at 1800 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...  +532.4    LI...       -3.7        | CAPE...  +157.7    LI...       -0.9
CINH...   -73.5    K Index... +31.1        | CINH...   -50.2    K Index... +23.2
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -65.1 -85.2  265  21 11   2.8   1.5 | -65.5 -85.9  270  17  9   3.3   1.8
 45000 -59.2 -74.6  280  37 19   5.9   3.2 | -58.7 -73.7  280  30 15   6.4   3.5
 40000 -49.8 -57.6  285  42 21   6.3   3.5 | -49.0 -56.2  290  35 18   5.5   3.0
 38000 -46.0 -50.8  285  43 22   6.3   3.5 | -45.6 -50.1  295  38 20   5.5   3.0
 36000 -42.2 -44.0  285  44 23   7.6   4.2 | -42.2 -44.0  295  40 21   7.6   4.2
 34000 -37.4 -35.3  290  42 22   7.9   4.3 | -37.6 -35.7  295  40 20   7.8   4.3
 32000 -32.7 -26.9  295  41 21   7.8   4.3 | -32.9 -27.2  300  39 20   7.8   4.3
 30000 -28.2 -18.8  300  40 21   7.5   4.1 | -28.2 -18.8  305  37 19   7.8   4.3
 29000 -26.0 -14.8  300  40 21   7.5   4.1 | -25.9 -14.6  305  37 19   7.8   4.3
 28000 -23.9 -11.0  300  39 20   5.6   3.1 | -23.6 -10.5  305  35 18   6.5   3.6
 27000 -21.7  -7.1  295  34 17   5.8   3.2 | -21.6  -6.9  310  31 16   6.6   3.6
 26000 -20.0  -4.0  290  30 15   5.8   3.2 | -19.2  -2.6  310  25 13   6.6   3.6
 25000 -18.2  -0.8  285  27 14   6.4   3.5 | -17.1   1.2  310  22 11   7.3   4.0
 24000 -16.3   2.7  280  25 13   6.4   3.5 | -15.0   5.0  310  21 11   7.3   4.0
 23000 -14.4   6.1  275  24 12   6.4   3.5 | -12.8   9.0  305  19 10   7.3   4.0
 22000 -12.5   9.5  275  22 11   6.3   3.4 | -10.7  12.7  305  18  9   6.7   3.7
 21000 -10.6  12.9  270  18  9   6.3   3.5 |  -8.7  16.3  300  17  9   6.8   3.7
 20000  -8.8  16.2  265  14  7   6.4   3.5 |  -6.7  19.9  300  16  8   6.8   3.7
 19500  -7.9  17.8  265  12  6   6.9   3.8 |  -5.7  21.7  300  16  8   6.7   3.7
 19000  -6.8  19.8  265  11  6   7.3   4.0 |  -4.8  23.4  300  16  8   6.8   3.7
 18500  -5.8  21.6  260  10  5   7.4   4.1 |  -3.8  25.2  305  16  8   6.8   3.7
 18000  -4.8  23.4  260  10  5   7.7   4.2 |  -2.8  27.0  305  17  9   7.0   3.8
 17500  -3.7  25.3  260   9  5   7.8   4.3 |  -1.8  28.8  305  18  9   7.0   3.8
 17000  -2.6  27.3  255   9  4   7.7   4.2 |  -0.8  30.6  305  19 10   7.5   4.1
 16500  -1.5  29.3  255   8  4   7.7   4.3 |   0.3  32.5  305  19 10   7.7   4.2
 16000  -0.4  31.3  250   8  4   7.8   4.3 |   1.4  34.5  305  20 10   7.9   4.3
 15500   0.6  33.1  250   8  4   7.6   4.2 |   2.6  36.7  305  20 10   8.5   4.6
 15000   1.7  35.1  245   8  4   7.6   4.2 |   3.8  38.8  300  20 10   8.4   4.6
 14500   2.8  37.0  245   7  4   8.7   4.8 |   5.0  41.0  300  19 10   8.6   4.7
 14000   4.1  39.4  245   7  4   8.6   4.7 |   6.2  43.2  295  18  9   8.6   4.7
 13500   5.3  41.5  245   7  4   9.0   4.9 |   7.5  45.5  290  17  9   8.3   4.5
 13000   6.6  43.9  245   7  4   9.0   4.9 |   8.6  47.5  285  16  8   8.2   4.5
 12500   7.9  46.2  245   7  4   9.2   5.1 |   9.8  49.6  275  15  8   8.3   4.6
 12000   9.3  48.7  245   7  4   9.3   5.1 |  11.0  51.8  270  14  7   8.4   4.6
 11500  11.4  52.5  250   7  3   9.5   5.2 |  12.3  54.1  260  13  7   9.1   5.0
 11000  12.7  54.9  255   6  3   8.6   4.7 |  13.6  56.5  260  12  6   8.5   4.6
 10500  14.2  57.6  260   6  3   9.9   5.4 |  15.5  59.9  250  10  5   8.8   4.8
 10250  14.8  58.6  265   6  3   7.8   4.3 |  16.1  61.0  250   9  5   8.6   4.7
 10000  15.4  59.7  275   6  3   7.8   4.3 |  16.7  62.1  250   8  4   8.6   4.7
  9750  16.0  60.8  285   6  3   8.9   4.9 |  17.3  63.1  245   7  4   8.7   4.8
  9500  16.7  62.1  285   6  3  10.3   5.6 |  18.0  64.4  245   6  3   8.8   4.8
  9250  17.4  63.3  290   6  3   7.2   3.9 |  18.6  65.5  245   5  3   8.7   4.8
  9000  17.8  64.0  305   6  3   5.0   2.7 |  19.3  66.7  240   5  2   8.7   4.8
  8750  18.2  64.8  315   7  4   7.4   4.1 |  19.9  67.8  235   4  2   8.5   4.6
  8500  18.9  66.0  320   7  4   9.3   5.1 |  20.5  68.9  240   3  2   8.1   4.5
  8250  19.5  67.1  325   8  4   7.2   4.0 |  21.1  70.0  240   2  1   8.4   4.6
  8000  19.9  67.8  330   9  5   5.0   2.7 |  21.7  71.1  240   2  1   8.7   4.8
  7750  20.3  68.5  335  10  5   7.2   4.0 |  22.4  72.3  240   1  1   8.9   4.9
  7500  20.9  69.6  335  10  5   9.3   5.1 |  23.1  73.6  250   1  0   9.1   5.0
  7250  21.5  70.7  335  10  5   7.4   4.0 |  23.7  74.7  000   0  0   8.8   4.8
  7000  22.1  71.8  340  10  5  11.4   6.3 |  24.4  75.9  000   0  0  10.3   5.6
  6750  23.4  74.1  340  10  5  23.4  12.9 |  25.3  77.5  000   0  0  14.2   7.8
  6500  24.9  76.8  340  10  5  10.9   6.0 |  26.4  79.5  020   1  0  12.4   6.8
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local 
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial 
issuance. 

The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at

                   North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
                   West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
                   Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive 
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of 
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it 
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above 
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain 
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger 
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of 
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158 
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions. 

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the 
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum 
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It 
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures 
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet 
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.  

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
  
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights: 
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the 
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor  

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which 
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough 
     movements.

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Latest Upper Air Sounding from Albuquerque (Weather Balloon Data issued twice daily)


 
 

Latest Winds Aloft Over Albuquerque (Weather Balloon Data issued twice daily)

 


 

Albuquerque (KABX) Radar Velocity Azimuth Display Wind Profile (Observed)

Albuquerque Vertical Wind Profile (Forecast from Rapid Refresh Model)

Lowest 2000 ft Above Ground Level

Vertical Wind Profile (for lowest 2000 ft)

Albuquerque Vertical Wind Profiler at Double Eagle Airport (Real-time observations)

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Double Eagle (Albuquerque) Vertical Wind Profiler

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Phone Numbers for Up-to-the-Minute Airport Observations

  • Albuquerque International Sunport (KABQ): (505) 242-4044

  • Albuquerque Double Eagle II Airport (KAEG): (505) 842-2009

  • Grants-Milan Municipal Airport (KGNT): (505) 287-9890

  • Belen Regional Airport (KBRG): (505) 864-4375

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Albuquerque (ZAB) Center Weather Service Unit

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Wind Roses for Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) Sites

Diagram showing the relative frequency of wind direction and speed each airport