National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Weather and Heavy Rainfall Potential for the Plains; Coastal Low Across the mid-Atlantic

An upper trough and frontal boundary will focus showers and thunderstorms across portions of the Plains through early Monday; A few severe thunderstorms along with heavy rainfall are expected. Meanwhile, low pressure off the Southeast Coast will bring inclement weather across the mid-Atlantic coast through Monday. This system is forecast to meander off the coast then track inland early this week. Read More >

Overview

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Tropical Storm Nestor had its origins from an broad area of low pressure over the Bay of Campeche on October 17th, 2019. The system was classified a potential tropical cyclone on the 17th due to a high chance of development and short duration of time till impacts would be felt along the northern Gulf coast. The low pressure became Tropical Storm Nestor on Friday October 18th. Nestor was not a typical tropical cyclone, as after forming, the storm quickly began to interact with another upper level disturbance moving off the Texas coast. The two systems came together to produce a storm that was more a hybrid between a tropical cyclone and an ordinary extra-tropical cyclone.  During the day on Friday into Friday evening, a large area of rain/thunderstorms associated with Nestor overspread the region, persisting into Saturday morning. Many locations saw 1-4" of rainfall by the time all was said and done. Nestor also resulted in minor coastal flooding along the northeast Gulf of America coast, with many locations seeing tides of 2-4 feet above normal. However, Nestor will likely be most know in west-central and southwest Florida for a tornado outbreak. At least three tornadoes were confirmed, including a long-track EF-2 tornado that did considerable damage to parts of western Polk county.  

TS Nestor Advisory Summary

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Radar Loop 10/18/19 - 10/19/19

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Nestor Full Track