National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rain and Flash Flooding Concerns in California; Heavy Snow in the Sierra

An atmospheric river will bring heavy rainfall to lower elevations of California this week, and heavy snow to the Sierra Nevada mountains. Flash flooding, some of which may be locally considerable, will be a concern on the western foothills of the Sierra Nevada mountains through Tuesday. Landslides, rockfalls and mudslides are possible in the Southern California mountains. Read More >

High Confidence for Heavy Rainfall, with thunderstorms as showers and thunderstorms encroach from the Southwest to the Northeast. The period of heaviest precipitation that could lead to flooding will be from 4a PST until 12pm PST.
Severe Thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts, flooding rainfall and hail. From 4a Wed to 4a Thu, highest confidence is Wednesday morning and Wednesday afternoon. There is a 5% Probability of Damaging Winds and a 2% Probability of a Tornado in the Central Valley on Wednesday. Any percent chance of a Tornado or Damaging Winds is very unusual in the Central Valley.
40% Probability of Flash Flooding near Frazier Park and extreme southern Kern County, including Tejon Pass Wednesday. 15% Probability of rainfall causing Flash Flooding in the Foothills and Eastern Kern County. 5% Probability of Flash Flooding for the the rest of the Central Valley Wednesday and Thursday. Although this may seem like a small chance, these values are very unusual for the Central Valley, and only happen a few times a year.
Rapid rises on rivers and smaller streams and waterways across the Central Valley.

 

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