National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Locally Heavy Rainfall for the Carolinas; Thunderstorms and Fire Weather Concerns for Intermountain West

Heavy rainfall from scattered thunderstorms is expected across the Southwest, Intermountain West, and Plains. Isolated dry thunderstorms may initiate additional fires across the west. The coastal Carolinas may experience flash floods in the coming days due to repeated thunderstorms. Additionally, a wave of intense summer heat will hit the Southern Plains and central Gulf Coast States this week. Read More >


Soaring Forecast


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE DALLAS - FORT WORTH AREA. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR DFW           DATE... 09/15/24...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -2.0
       5000 FT MSL........ 1.0
       6000 FT MSL........ 1.5
      10000 FT MSL........ 8.0
      15000 FT MSL........ 8.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 2800 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 3700 FT MSL
DFW MAX TEMPERATURE....... 92 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 93 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 201 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          2000 FT MSL..... 125 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 140 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 275 DEGREES AT 09 KNOTS
          5000 FT MSL..... 270 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 280 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 300 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 340 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 005 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          11000 FT MSL.... 355 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 025 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          13000 FT MSL.... 030 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 035 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          15000 FT MSL.... 025 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 040 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          17000 FT MSL.... 030 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          18000 FT MSL.... 330 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 040 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          22000 FT MSL.... 315 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 325 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 305 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 280 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 305 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 290 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          29000 FT MSL.... 295 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE AMARILLO - PANHANDLE REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR AMA           DATE... 09/15/24...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -17.5
       5000 FT MSL........ -6.5
       6000 FT MSL........ -4.5
      10000 FT MSL........ -2.0
      15000 FT MSL........ -0.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 8400 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 15700 FT MSL
AMA MAX TEMPERATURE....... 96 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 89 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 646 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          4000 FT MSL..... 225 DEGREES AT 28 KNOTS
          5000 FT MSL..... 220 DEGREES AT 32 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 195 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 195 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 185 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 195 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          10000 FT MSL.... 185 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          11000 FT MSL.... 235 DEGREES AT 02 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 105 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          13000 FT MSL.... 140 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 125 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          15000 FT MSL.... 140 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 155 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          17000 FT MSL.... 130 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          18000 FT MSL.... 125 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          19000 FT MSL.... 065 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 095 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          21000 FT MSL.... 145 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          22000 FT MSL.... 210 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 220 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          24000 FT MSL.... 275 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 300 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 325 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 315 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          29000 FT MSL.... 300 DEGREES AT 23 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE MIDLAND - WEST TEXAS REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR MAF           DATE... 09/15/24...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -11.5
       5000 FT MSL........ -6.5
       6000 FT MSL........ -3.5
      10000 FT MSL........ 1.0
      15000 FT MSL........ 3.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 6100 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 8100 FT MSL
MAF MAX TEMPERATURE....... 93 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 91 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 311 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          3000 FT MSL..... 185 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 180 DEGREES AT 27 KNOTS
          5000 FT MSL..... 175 DEGREES AT 25 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 185 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 145 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 140 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 145 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          10000 FT MSL.... 145 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          11000 FT MSL.... 150 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 140 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          13000 FT MSL.... 145 DEGREES AT 25 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 155 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 130 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          17000 FT MSL.... 120 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          19000 FT MSL.... 095 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 090 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          21000 FT MSL.... 145 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 285 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 290 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 320 DEGREES AT 23 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 310 DEGREES AT 32 KNOTS
          29000 FT MSL.... 315 DEGREES AT 35 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 325 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 315 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          29000 FT MSL.... 300 DEGREES AT 23 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE SHREVEPORT - EAST TEXAS REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR SHV           DATE... 09/15/24...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -6.0
       5000 FT MSL........ -1.0
       6000 FT MSL........ 1.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 5.0
      15000 FT MSL........ 11.0

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 4100 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 5500 FT MSL
SHV MAX TEMPERATURE....... 93 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 88 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 308 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          1000 FT MSL..... 050 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 055 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 035 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 340 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          5000 FT MSL..... 315 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 340 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 315 DEGREES AT 28 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 315 DEGREES AT 27 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 325 DEGREES AT 32 KNOTS
          10000 FT MSL.... 330 DEGREES AT 37 KNOTS
          11000 FT MSL.... 335 DEGREES AT 33 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 345 DEGREES AT 32 KNOTS
          13000 FT MSL.... 360 DEGREES AT 33 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 355 DEGREES AT 31 KNOTS
          15000 FT MSL.... 360 DEGREES AT 26 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 360 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          17000 FT MSL.... 005 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          18000 FT MSL.... 330 DEGREES AT 09 KNOTS
          19000 FT MSL.... 330 DEGREES AT 09 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 320 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          21000 FT MSL.... 310 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          22000 FT MSL.... 315 DEGREES AT 23 KNOTS
          24000 FT MSL.... 290 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 290 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 285 DEGREES AT 29 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 295 DEGREES AT 38 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE BROWNSVILLE - DEEP SOUTH TEXAS REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR BRO           DATE... 09/15/24...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ 0.5
       5000 FT MSL........ 2.5
       6000 FT MSL........ 4.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 9.0
      15000 FT MSL........ 15.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 1000 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 2600 FT MSL
BRO MAX TEMPERATURE....... 90 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 93 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 175 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          1000 FT MSL..... 150 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 150 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 150 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 155 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 165 DEGREES AT 09 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 150 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 145 DEGREES AT 09 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 130 DEGREES AT 09 KNOTS
          11000 FT MSL.... 105 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 140 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 180 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          15000 FT MSL.... 180 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 205 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 255 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 270 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 255 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 260 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 270 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          19000 FT MSL.... 330 DEGREES AT 09 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 320 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          21000 FT MSL.... 310 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          22000 FT MSL.... 315 DEGREES AT 23 KNOTS
          24000 FT MSL.... 290 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 290 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 285 DEGREES AT 29 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 295 DEGREES AT 38 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE CORPUS CHRISTI - MID-TEXAS GULF COAST REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR CRP           DATE... 09/15/24...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ 0.0
       5000 FT MSL........ 4.0
       6000 FT MSL........ 7.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 11.0
      15000 FT MSL........ 14.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 100 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 2900 FT MSL
CRP MAX TEMPERATURE....... 88 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 91 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 190 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          1000 FT MSL..... 170 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 170 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 170 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 180 DEGREES AT 09 KNOTS
          5000 FT MSL..... 165 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 110 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 130 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 115 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 105 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          10000 FT MSL.... 125 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          11000 FT MSL.... 100 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 115 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          13000 FT MSL.... 095 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 125 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 245 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          17000 FT MSL.... 230 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          18000 FT MSL.... 280 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 290 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          21000 FT MSL.... 295 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          22000 FT MSL.... 300 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 300 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS
          24000 FT MSL.... 295 DEGREES AT 25 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 290 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 270 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 290 DEGREES AT 26 KNOTS
          29000 FT MSL.... 290 DEGREES AT 26 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE DEL RIO - BIG BEND/EWARDS PLATEAU REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR DRT           DATE... 09/15/24...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -7.5
       5000 FT MSL........ -3.0
       6000 FT MSL........ -2.5
      10000 FT MSL........ 3.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 9.0

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 5000 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 7500 FT MSL
DRT MAX TEMPERATURE....... 95 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 89 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 366 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          2000 FT MSL..... 190 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 200 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 170 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          5000 FT MSL..... 140 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 140 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 140 DEGREES AT 24 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 135 DEGREES AT 30 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 130 DEGREES AT 30 KNOTS
          10000 FT MSL.... 115 DEGREES AT 33 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 095 DEGREES AT 24 KNOTS
          13000 FT MSL.... 090 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 350 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          15000 FT MSL.... 295 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 310 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          17000 FT MSL.... 275 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 270 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          22000 FT MSL.... 255 DEGREES AT 29 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 270 DEGREES AT 31 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 240 DEGREES AT 39 KNOTS
          22000 FT MSL.... 300 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 300 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS
          24000 FT MSL.... 295 DEGREES AT 25 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 290 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 270 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 290 DEGREES AT 26 KNOTS
          29000 FT MSL.... 290 DEGREES AT 26 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________