National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression in the Gulf; Severe Thunderstorms Monday

Tropical Depression Two is expected to gradually strengthen and could bring tropical storm conditions to the Florida Panhandle beginning late Monday. Areas of flash flooding will be possible through Thursday along the eastern and central Gulf Coast. Severe thunderstorms will develop and move along a cold front crossing the Upper Midwest Monday, and through the Ohio Valley/Mid-Atlantic on Tuesday. Read More >

Thunderstorms are possible (15-30% chance) over northern SD late this afternoon and into the evening hours. The storms will initially develop in north central SD and south central ND before moving quickly to the southeast. As the storms move southeast of US-12, they will diminish.
Storms on Friday will have a conditional risk, meaning that storms may or may not form. Storm formation may be limited by "The Cap", or a layer of warm air above the surface. It is only if rising air con overcome this cap that storms may develop.