National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Dangerous Heat Builds and Expands; Critical Fire Weather for the Southwest; Severe Thunderstorms for Plains and Midwest

Dangerous to record breaking heat will build across the center of the nation and slowly build eastward this week. Wildfire conditions remain critical for the Southwest and portions of the Great Basin through Monday. For the northern Plains and upper Midwest, severe thunderstorms with the potential for large to very large hail and severe winds are the primary hazards. Read More >

Showers and thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening. Main threats include hail up to one inch in diameter and thunderstorm wind gusts up to 60 mph. Heavy rain is also possible. Best timing for this will be between 2 and 10 PM CDT.
There is a Marginal Risk (level 1 out of 5) for severe weather this afternoon and evening, mainly east of a line from Carpenter to Wallace to Peever to White Rock. Forecast movement of storms could be slow enough to result in localized heavy rainfall.
Have multiple ways to receive warnings this afternoon and evening.
Temperatures this Independence Day will be right around normal for this time of year. Expect highs in the 80s with clear or mostly clear skies this afternoon. Areas mainly east of the James River valley will have a chance for some afternoon thunderstorms, perhaps even an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm. Heavy rainfall could enter the picture this afternoon and evening as well. Any lingering showers or thunderstorms this evening should be dissipating in time for  fireworks viewing!