Storm Impacting the Northwest U.S.; Fire Weather Conditions in Southern California; Severe Weather in the South

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January 2018 Summary

Winter Season Update

January 2018 began exceptionally cold. On the heels of the coldest final 7 days of any December on record, record cold continued into the first couple days of January 2018. On the 1^st, Aberdeen recorded a daily record cold high of -9° and low of -32°, Mobridge recorded a daily record cold high of -8° and low of -30° and Pierre recorded a daily record cold high of -9° and low of -22°. Pierre also recorded a daily record cold low of -21° on the 2^nd. That said, a January Thaw overtook the area in the middle of the month when upper 40’s and even lower 50’s were common. Sisseton set a daily record high of 51° on the 19^th. On a whole for the month, temperatures were about average.

Regarding precipitation, it was another below average month. While a significant snowstorm affected much of southern South Dakota and Minnesota on the 21^st and 22^nd, the vast majority of the area ranged from 2 to 8 inches of snow below average. This means only 1-2” of snow fell these past 31 days, and in some cases less. Pierre recorded just a trace of snow which sets the record for least amount of snow for January. That said, a few scattered light rain events helped slightly in the overall moisture department thanks to a period of mild temperatures.

*January 2018*
Temperature Data	Aberdeen	Sisseton	Wheaton	Watertown
Warmest Temperature / Date	52°/ 19^th	51°/ 19^th	45°/ 21^st	48°/ 19^th
Coldest Temperature / Date	-32°/ 1^st	-18°/ 1^st	-25°/ 1^st	-25°/ 1^st
Average High / Departure from Normal	27.4°/ +4.9°	25.2°/ +2.2°	21.2°/ +1.8°	24.0°/ +1.8°
Average Low / Departure from Normal	3.3°/ +1.8°	6.6°/ +3.3°	3.1°/ +2.5°	3.6°/ +0.5°
Monthly Average / Departure from Normal	15.3°/ +3.3°	15.9°/ +2.8°	12.2°/ +2.2°	13.8°/ +1.1°
Precipitation Data
Monthly Precipitation / Departure from Normal	0.04”/-0.43”	0.10”/-0.33”	0.08”/-0.74”	0.11”/-0.41”
Most Precipitation in 24 hours / Date	0.03”/ 14^th	0.03”/ 8^th	0.05”/ 5^th	0.03”/21, 27^th
Monthly Snowfall / Departure from Normal	0.6” / -5.8”	0.5” / -7.9”	0.8” / -8.2”	1.7” / -3.6”
Most Snow in 24 hours / Date	0.4” / 14^th	0.3” / 14^th	0.5” / 5^th	0.5” / 27^th

Temperature Data	Pierre	Kennebec	Mobridge	Timber Lake
Warmest Temperature / Date	49°/ 19^th	48°/ 30^th	47°/ 20^th, 19^th	48°/ 30^th
Coldest Temperature / Date	-22°/ 1^st	-35°/ 1^st	-30°/ 1^st	-32°/ 1^st
Average High / Departure from Normal	30.4°/ +0.4°	31.4°/ -0.5°	28.7°/ +2.7°	27.3°/ -0.8°
Average Low / Departure from Normal	8.3°/ -1.5°	9.1°/ -1.0°	5.7°/ -0.4°	6.6°/ -1.2°
Monthly Average / Departure from Normal	19.3°/ -0.6°	20.5°/ -0.5°	17.2°/ +1.2°	17.0°/ -1.0°
Precipitation Data
Monthly Precipitation / Departure from Normal	0.08”/ -0.34”	0.22”/-0.17”	0.06”/-0.23”	0.15”/-0.28”
Most Precipitation in 24 hours / Date	0.02”/10,12,30	0.21”/ 21^st	0.03”/ 10^th	0.14”/ 11^th
Monthly Snowfall / Departure from Normal	Trace / -4.7”	3.2” / -1.6”	1.7” / -3.3”	1.7” / -3.9”
Most Snow in 24 hours / Date	Trace / 10-14^th, 27^th, 28^th	3.2” / 21^st	1.5” / 10^th	1.4” / 11^th

January average temperature (high and low combined) departures from normal, courtesy of the Midwestern Regional Climate Center

January total observed snowfall, courtesy of the Midwestern Regional Climate Center

January snowfall departures from normal, courtesy of the Midwestern Regional Climate Center

The lack of snow this January follows suit with the winter season as a whole. Particularly dry has been northeastern South Dakota and west central Minnesota, where 10-20" snow deficits exist. Seasonal totals as of February 1st include 5" at Aberdeen (16" below normal), 10.3" at Mobridge (5.7" below normal), 4.4" at Pierre (11.5" below normal), 8.1" at Watertown (11" below normal), and 4.8" at Sisseton (19.2" below normal). Is this record territory? Some are getting close. In terms of least amount of snow on record up to this point in the season (February 1st), Aberdeen ranks 8th (4.2" in 1898), Sisseton ranks tied 8th (0.4" in 1942), and Pierre ranks 7th (0.8" in 1983).

Looking ahead to February, indications are that the pattern may not change a whole lot. Generally above average temperatures and below average precipitation may persist, which would contribute further to the snow drought. Additionally, historically, seasons that began exceptionally slowly snow-wise also finished much below average. That said, it only takes one or two major winter storms to regain normalcy across the area, and with two plus months yet to go there's plenty of potential.

Seasonal snowfall totals across the United States, from the National Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center. Notice how the Northern Plains on a whole has generally seen its fair share of snow, northern South Dakota and west central Minnesota has simply missed out on opportunities.

A closer look at seasonal snowfall totals across the area, courtesy of the Midwestern Regional Climate Center

Seasonal snowfall departures across the area, courtesy of the Midwestern Regional Climate Center

For an even wider look at the winter season so far, we look to the Accumulated Winter Season Severity Index (AWSSI). It compares a combination of temperature and snow data from the current season to the historical database, and assigns severity categories for select locations. The goal is to provide perspective. As you can see below, this winter has been of "Moderate" severity thus far across the area.

Here's a more in depth look at Aberdeen and Pierre. As you can see, both locations are on the verge of a "Mild" winter.

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Storm Impacting the Northwest U.S.; Fire Weather Conditions in Southern California; Severe Weather in the South

January 2018 Summary: Below Average Snowfall Continues