May 17th Day 2 Convective Outlook on May 17th, 1995

ZCZC MKCSWODY2 000
ACUS2 KMKC 171746
MKC AC 171746

2ND DAY SEVERE OUTLOOK...REF AFOS NMCGPH98O.
GEN TSTMS NOT INCLUDED.

VALID 181200Z - 191200Z

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVR PTNS OF MS..AL..TN..KY..SRN IL
SRN OH..WV..VA..MD AND DE. AREA IS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
20 SE ORF 20 N DAN 25 N HSS 20 W TYS 30 W CHA 25 NNE CKL 30 WNW LUL
15 E ESF MLU 20 W GLH 45 E PBF 25 ENE P02 MVN 15 SE BMG HGR ACY.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM PSX
LFK HOT 10 E HRO 30 N SGF COU BMI 25 S FWA 15 SSE CAK PSB JFK
...CONT... 30 ESE EWN SOP CLT 15 ESE AND MCN ABY 20 SE TLH.

ANOTHER DAY OF WIDESPREAD SVR TSTMS EXPCD TMW OVR MUCH OF THE
TN/OHIO VLY RGN AS VIGOROUS UPR LVL LOW/ASSOCD VORT MAX MOVS NEWD
ACRS LWR MS VLY INTO ERN TN VLY. MDLS INDC SWLY-ORIENTED SPD MAXIMA
AT BOTH LOW AND MIDDLE LVLS WL BE ALIGNED IN PARALLEL FASHION S OF
SFC LOW...WHICH IS PROGD TO TRACK FM CNTRL MO TO SRN NY DURG PD.
FCST WIND FIELDS MAINTAIN STG SPD SHEAR ALG JET AXIS FM TN VLY TO
MID ATLC RGN WITH 75KT H5 JET OVR 60KT H85 JET. LOCALLY BACKED
BOUNDARY LYR FLOW S/E OF SFC LOW WL CREATE ENVIRONMENT FOR STG BOW-
ECHOES WITH ACCOMPANYING ISOLD TORNADOES ACRS MDT RISK RGN. SVR
TSTMS CUD BE ONGOING AT BGN OF PD OVR LWR MS VLY WITH RE-
INTENSIFICATION LKLY FARTHER E ALG/FNTL BNDRY WHICH WL SWEEP EWD
ACRS KY/TN/MS. AMS IN THIS RGN WL BE QUITE MOIST AND UNSTBL WITH
CAPES ARND 2500 J/KG. PRONOUNCED DRY INTRUSION IN MID LVLS WL
ENHANCE SVR PTNL AS THE STORMS RACE INTO THE TN/OHIO VLYS. 

FARTHER E...STG CNVGNC ALG E-W SFC BNDRY WL ACT AS FOCUS FOR DVLPMT
SVR TSTMS AS AMS BCMS EXTREMELY UNSTBL WITH CONT INFLUX OF MOIST
AND QUITE WRM AIR ACRS MID ATL RGN. CAPES ABV 4000 J/KG WERE NOTED
BY 19/00Z ACRS PTNS OF VA INTO DELMARVA RGN. WSWLY JET ABV FNTL SFC
WL INCR SHEAR AND SVR PTNL THRU THE AFTN/EVE HRS.      
 
..GRANT.. 05/17/95