Severe Weather and Heavy Rainfall from the Midwest to the Ohio Valley; Mid-Summer Heat Continues

Severe thunderstorm and heavy rainfall threats will persist from the Midwest to Lower Great Lakes through Monday, shifting into the Ohio Valley and Central Appalachians Monday evening into Tuesday. Mid-summer heat will continue across much of the CONUS this week, with record highs possible well into the 100s across the south-central High Plains. Read More >

ENSO Indices

ENSO Regions

Southern Oscillation Index (SOI)
standardized anomaly of the mean sea level pressure difference between Tahiti and Darwin

traditional ENSO index
correlates strongly with SST anomaly indices

NOAA Oceanic Niño Index (ONI)
sea surface temperature anomaly index for Niño 3.4 (5°N to 5°S, 170°W to 120°W)

onset of El Niño declared when Niño 3.4 anomaly exceeds +0.5°C for 3-month period
to be "full-fledged" El Niño (or La Niña), onset conditions must be met for 5 consecutive 3-month periods

Japanese Meteorological Agency ENSO Index (JMA)
sea surface temperature anomaly index for Niño 3 (4°N to 4°S, 150°W to 90°W)

less noisy than traditional SOI and more vigorous than NOAA ONI
anomalies must exceed 0.5°C for 6 consecutive 5-month periods

Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI)
weighted anomaly average of 6 meteorological variables in the tropical Pacific

sea surface temperature
sea level pressure
surface air temperature
components of surface wind
- zonal component
- meridional component
total cloudiness fraction of the sky

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