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Locally Heavy Rainfall for the Carolinas; Thunderstorms and Fire Weather Concerns for Intermountain West

Heavy rainfall from scattered thunderstorms is expected across the Southwest, Intermountain West, and Plains. Isolated dry thunderstorms may initiate additional fires across the west. The coastal Carolinas may experience flash floods in the coming days due to repeated thunderstorms. Additionally, a wave of intense summer heat will hit the Southern Plains and central Gulf Coast States this week. Read More >

Automatically generated image showing areas of convective inhibition.

 

Thumbnail of automatically generated image showing areas of convective inhibition. Thumbnail of automatically generated image showing areas of convective inhibition. Thumbnail of automatically generated image showing areas of convective inhibition.
Hour - 1 Hour - 2 Hour -3

4 Panel Display | Animated Loop

CIN 

The image is a surface based measurement of Convective INhibition (CIN) or what is sometimes more commonly referred to as the strength of the cap.  The value is capped off at 500 J/KG.  In cases where there is no surface based CAPE available this parameter is set to 500 J/KG.

The yellow contours are the Lid Strength Index (LSI).  This is another measure of how strong the cap is.  It shows the thermal difference between a lifted surface parcel and the warmest part of the cap.  Higher values indicate a more stable layer.

In general, the Cap is said to be breakable when CIN is 30 J/Kg or less and/or the LSI is 2 degrees or less.  A negative LSI is rare, but is indicative of freely buoyant low level instability.

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