Dangerous Heat Builds and Expands; Critical Fire Weather for the Southwest; Severe Thunderstorms for Plains and Midwest

Dangerous to record breaking heat will build across the center of the nation and slowly build eastward this week. Wildfire conditions remain critical for the Southwest and portions of the Great Basin through Monday. For the northern Plains and upper Midwest, severe thunderstorms with the potential for large to very large hail and severe winds are the primary hazards. Read More >

PEAC Research

A major focus of ongoing applied research at PEAC is the investigation of statistical correlations between ENSO and sea level. Seasonal sea level forecasts, discussion and verification are issued every 3 months in the Pacific ENSO Update newsletter.

Statistical studies on regional climatology and the ENSO cycle are underway at the University of Guam (UOG) and the University of Hawaii (UH). This cooperative research activity is being led by the Water and Environmental Research Institute (WERI) of the UOG, through a sub-grant from PEAC. The studies aim to develop ENSO-related impact criteria for the Islands, through examination of:

Historical floods and droughts, their causes, impacts on agriculture, and other information concerning water resources in each regional area;
The pattern of severe weather phenomena such as hurricanes and typhoons in each regional area;
The distribution of commercially important fish species within each regional area, in cooperation with NOAA's National Marine Fisheries Service; and
Relationships with the ENSO cycle, with an aim for developing predictive forecasts of 6 - 18 month lead times for the region.