National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Snow in the Southern Rockies; Heavy Rain and Severe Weather in the Southern Plains; Fire Weather Conditions in Southern California

Widespread snow, with periods of heavy snowfall, and gusty winds will create difficult to impossible travel across New Mexico and eastern Colorado through overnight Friday. The same system will bring heavy rain, severe weather, and windy conditions across the Southern Plains. Critical wildfire conditions persist across California where Red flag warnings are in effect. warnings are in effect Read More >

PEAC Research


A major focus of ongoing applied research at PEAC is the investigation of statistical correlations between ENSO and sea level. Seasonal sea level forecasts, discussion and verification are issued every 3 months in the Pacific ENSO Update newsletter.

Statistical studies on regional climatology and the ENSO cycle are underway at the University of Guam (UOG) and the University of Hawaii (UH). This cooperative research activity is being led by the Water and Environmental Research Institute (WERI) of the UOG, through a sub-grant from PEAC. The studies aim to develop ENSO-related impact criteria for the Islands, through examination of:

  • Historical floods and droughts, their causes, impacts on agriculture, and other information concerning water resources in each regional area;
  • The pattern of severe weather phenomena such as hurricanes and typhoons in each regional area;
  • The distribution of commercially important fish species within each regional area, in cooperation with NOAA's National Marine Fisheries Service; and
  • Relationships with the ENSO cycle, with an aim for developing predictive forecasts of 6 - 18 month lead times for the region.

Publications

The following papers are related to ongoing PEAC research and available for download:

PEAC & Hazards Mitigation

ENSO & Recent High Sea Levels

Sea Level Extremes and GEV

Seasonal Sea-level Forecasts

ENSO & Sea-level Variability

ENSO & Rainfall Variability

ENSO & Climate Change

Other