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Heavy Precipitation in the West; Wintry Mix in the North; Fire Weather in the High Plains

Pacific moisture will continue to bring locally heavy coastal/lower elevation rain and heavy mountain snow to the West Coast and portions of the Intermountain West through Monday. A wintry mix will create hazardous travel across the northern Plains and Upper Midwest into early Monday. Dry, gusty winds are resulting in elevated to critical fire weather in the south/central High Plains. Read More >

The Climate Prediction Center has issued an El Niño Watch. Though conditions are currently neutral, there is a 62% chance of an El Niño developing during the May to July time period. The range of possibilities toward the end of the year includes a 40% chance of a strong El Niño to a 10% chance of no El Niño. 

El Niño is an area of above-average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean.  Over Indonesia, rainfall tends to become reduced while rainfall increases over the tropical Pacific. The low-level surface winds, which normally blow from east to west along the equator, instead weaken or, in some cases, start blowing the other direction. These changes over the tropical Pacific can effect atmospheric circulations that then translate through the atmosphere and affect weather patterns far away from the tropics.

For more information on El Niño and La Niña, see our 1-Stop El Niño/La Niña page.