National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Areas of Severe Thunderstorms, Critical Fire Weather, and HeatRisk for Monday

Isolated severe thunderstorms with locally damaging wind gusts and hail are possible Monday across parts of the Southeast U.S. Elevated to critical fire weather including gusty winds and low relative humidity is forecast Monday over much of the northern Great Plains. Above normal temperatures in the Southeast and Southwest U.S. will bring moderate to isolated major HeatRisk Monday. Read More >

Overall, the month of January in Southwest Lower Michigan is expected to be warmer and wetter than normal.  That is not to say we will not have periods of very cold temperatures,  but that the warmer periods, when the entire month is averaged, will prevail.  For the last 10 Januarys, 5 were warmer than normal, 2 were colder than normal and 3 where near normal between 2011 and 2020.  As for precipitation, there was 5 Januarys that were wetter than normal, 4 were near normal and there was 1 below normal precipitation for the Januarys between 2011 and 2020.  There is clearly a trend toward wetter Januarys.  This used area wide data all of our long term climate stations averaged together.