Latest PA Weather Summary:
339
AWUS81 KCTP 171007
RWSCTP
PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-
049>053-056>059-063>066-180015-
Regional Weather Summary
National Weather Service State College PA
507 AM EST Tue Feb 17 2026
Milder air streaming in from the west from the surface up through
several thousand feet above ground will bring plenty of clouds and
perhaps a few brief light rain showers today, mainly over the
Northern Mountains of the state. Some breaks in the clouds across
parts of the Laurel Highlands and Greater Pittsburgh area to start
the day will spread gradually northeast into Central PA this
afternoon.
Look for much milder high temperatures today, ranging from the
mid and upper 40s across the North to the low and mid 50s over
South Central and Southwestern PA.
Another mainly cloudy and mild night will follow for tonight with
Wednesday`s high temperatures nearly a carbon copy of today.
This current warming trend will continue through Thursday, with
much of the Commonwealth expected to see high temperatures in the
50s both Wednesday and Thursday.
A series of fast moving low pressure systems will bring some rain
to the Keystone state at times this week. The most widespread
rain is expected across the north on Wednesday and again late
Thursday into Friday. The rain may mix with snow Thursday and
Friday across northeastern Pennsylvania.
$$
Latest Forecaster's Discussion:
248
FXUS61 KCTP 170830
AFDCTP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
330 AM EST Tue Feb 17 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
*Dense Fog Advisory expanded to Lebanon County
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Feeling more like early Spring than late Winter this week
2) Periods of rain Wednesday, Thursday night into Friday
3) Mixed/wintry precipitation Thursday night into Friday and
plowable snow possible on Sunday
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Feeling more like early Spring than late Winter
this week
Following one of the coldest first 2 weeks of February on
record, mild weather for this time of year will be in place this
week with daily max/min temperature anomalies running 10-20
degrees above the historical average. Conditions will feel more
like early Spring than late Winter. Depending on the time of
arrival and coverage of precipitation later this week, daytime
temps may not get as quite as warm as currently forecast, but
will still be above normal.
The transition to a milder pattern this week is accompanied by
low clouds and fog as stagnant, warmer air moves over the
colder/snow covered ground. The lower Susquehanna Valley has
been socked-in and also experiencing poor air quality due to the
inversion and very weak sfc flow/calm wind. 07Z observations
indicate a blend of shallow stratus and fog with visibility
generally 1-3 miles. Schuylkill County (and vicinity) is a
common exception in this pattern due to elevated terrain and
often times more prone to locally dense fog particularly along
the I-81 corridor. RWIS data indicates dense fog with visibility
around 500ft (~1/10th of a mile) has also backed into Lebanon
County at the I-81/I-78 interchange and therefore we expanded
dense fog advisory.
KEY MESSAGE 2: Periods of rain Wednesday, Thursday night into
Friday
Following one of the driest first 2 weeks of February on
record, much needed periods of rainfall are likely on Wednesday
and again Thursday night into Friday. Total QPF during the mid
to late week period ranges between 0.50 to 1.00 inches with the
highest amounts shaded toward the NW portion of the fcst area.
While we do not expect the rainfall to cause flooding, the
warmer temperatures and increased flows on rivers and streams
should increase the risk of ice jams at least on the margin.
KEY MESSAGE 3: Mixed/wintry precipitation Thursday night into
Friday and plowable snow possible on Sunday
Model guidance continues to indicate a overrunning wintry/icy
mix on the leading edge of returning precip late Thursday night
into Friday. This would impact travel conditions for the Friday
morning commute. We may begin to message the risk of slippery
travel in the HWO.
There is an emerging risk of plowable snow on Sunday, although
the specifics on the strength and track of the associated low
pressure/coastal system are still very uncertain. Continue to
monitor the forecast.
Guidance signals continue to favor a seasonably colder end to
the weekend and start to the last week of February. The cool
down appears to be transitory and not long lasting heading into
the second half of next week/end of the month.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A few to several Deg C of warm advection streaming in from the
West-Northwest (within the 2-5 kft AGL layer) will create broad
scale, gentle upward vertical motion across the bulk of PA.
This will help to maintain plenty of layered clouds with low
bases (IFR to LIFR CIGS with IFR to MVFR VSBYs) across much of
Central PA through this morning.
Conditions should be mainly VFR at KJST and KAOO for the bulk of
the TAF period. However, periods of MVFR CIGS are expected
there.
Conditions today will be slow to improve with VFR not likely
area wide. The best chance for VFR will be over the southeast at
MDT and LNS after 18Z.
Outlook...
Wed...IFR -RA/cigs N, MVFR -RA/cigs elsewhere.
Thu...Dry early, then rain later in the day with
restrictions possible.
Fri...Rain with restrictions likely. Some snow may mix in over
northern PA.
Sat...Lingering rain and snow showers.
&&
.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for PAZ058-059.
&&
$$
WHAT HAS CHANGED...Steinbugl
KEY MESSAGES...Steinbugl
DISCUSSION...Steinbugl
AVIATION...Lambert
Latest Public Information Statement:
313
NOUS41 KCTP 161522
PNSCTP
PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-
063>066-170322-
Public Information Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
1022 AM EST Mon Feb 16 2026
...SNOWFALL REPORTS...
Location Amount Time/Date Provider
...Pennsylvania...
...Dauphin County...
Hershey 2.1 NW 0.5 in 0700 AM 02/16 COCORAHS
Middletown 2.9 NW 0.3 in 0800 AM 02/16 COCORAHS
Middletown 3.5 E 0.3 in 0800 AM 02/16 COCORAHS
2 NNE Rockville 0.1 in 0657 AM 02/16
Linglestown 0.7 NNE T in 0700 AM 02/16 COCORAHS
1 WSW Middletown T in 0700 AM 02/16 Trained Spotter
...Lancaster County...
Denver 0.3 in 1135 PM 02/15
Landisville 0.8 WSW 0.2 in 0700 AM 02/16 COCORAHS
Lititz 0.3 WNW 0.2 in 0800 AM 02/16 COCORAHS
Landisville 1.2 ESE T in 0700 AM 02/16 COCORAHS
Strasburg 0.4 ESE T in 0700 AM 02/16 COCORAHS
...Lebanon County...
Lebanon 4.8 N 0.8 in 0600 AM 02/16 COCORAHS
Lebanon 1.3 SW 0.7 in 0700 AM 02/16 COCORAHS
Lebanon 0.5 in 1100 PM 02/15 Trained Spotter
Palmyra 2.1 S 0.5 in 0700 AM 02/16 COCORAHS
...Montour County...
Danville 2.4 E 0.8 in 0130 AM 02/16 COCORAHS
...Northumberland County...
Muncy 4.7 SSE 0.3 in 0700 AM 02/16 COCORAHS
Milton 2.0 S T in 0800 AM 02/16 COCORAHS
...Schuylkill County...
2 WSW Hometown 3.0 in 0230 AM 02/16 Trained Spotter
1.4 N Mahanoy City 3.0 in 0730 AM 02/16 COOP
3 NE Tremont 2.0 in 1203 AM 02/16 Public
2 SW Auburn 2.0 in 0700 AM 02/16 COCORAHS
Tremont 0.3 NNW 1.1 in 0800 AM 02/16 COCORAHS
Auburn 0.1 WNW 0.8 in 0815 AM 02/16 COCORAHS
Valley View 0.5 W 0.5 in 0600 AM 02/16 COCORAHS
...Sullivan County...
Laporte 0.9 in 0755 AM 02/16 COOP
...Tioga County...
1.3 NE Leonard Harrison SP T in 0700 AM 02/16 COOP
...Union County...
Lewisburg T in 0700 AM 02/16 COOP
...York County...
Mount Wolf 1.0 SE 0.1 in 0800 AM 02/16 COCORAHS
York Haven 2.3 WNW 0.1 in 0800 AM 02/16 COCORAHS
&&
**METADATA**
:2/16/2026,0700 AM, PA, Dauphin, Linglestown 0.7 NNE, , , 40.3523, -76.7894, SNOW_24, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0700 AM, PA, Dauphin, 1 WSW Middletown, , , 40.1947, -76.7529, SNOW_24, 0.001, Inch, Trained Spotter, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0657 AM, PA, Dauphin, 2 NNE Rockville, , , 40.3432, -76.8888, SNOW, 0.1, Inch, null, Storm total snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0800 AM, PA, Dauphin, Middletown 2.9 NW, , , 40.2349, -76.7617, SNOW_24, 0.3, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0800 AM, PA, Dauphin, Middletown 3.5 E, , , 40.207, -76.6634, SNOW_24, 0.3, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0700 AM, PA, Dauphin, Hershey 2.1 NW, , , 40.3022, -76.6745, SNOW_24, 0.5, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0700 AM, PA, Lancaster, Landisville 1.2 ESE, , , 40.0832, -76.3995, SNOW_24, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0700 AM, PA, Lancaster, Strasburg 0.4 ESE, , , 39.9808, -76.178, SNOW_24, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0700 AM, PA, Lancaster, Landisville 0.8 WSW, , , 40.0913, -76.4254, SNOW_24, 0.2, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0800 AM, PA, Lancaster, Lititz 0.3 WNW, , , 40.1556, -76.3095, SNOW_24, 0.2, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/15/2026,1135 PM, PA, Lancaster, Denver, , , 40.2357, -76.1393, SNOW, 0.3, Inch, null, Storm total snowfall,
:2/15/2026,1100 PM, PA, Lebanon, Lebanon, , , 40.3413, -76.4233, SNOW_24, 0.5, Inch, Trained Spotter, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0700 AM, PA, Lebanon, Palmyra 2.1 S, , , 40.2798, -76.5992, SNOW_24, 0.5, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0700 AM, PA, Lebanon, Lebanon 1.3 SW, , , 40.3297, -76.4416, SNOW_24, 0.7, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0600 AM, PA, Lebanon, Lebanon 4.8 N, , , 40.4099, -76.4158, SNOW_24, 0.8, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0130 AM, PA, Montour, Danville 2.4 E, , , 40.9677, -76.5669, SNOW_24, 0.8, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0800 AM, PA, Northumberland, Milton 2.0 S, , , 40.9795, -76.8534, SNOW_24, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0700 AM, PA, Northumberland, Muncy 4.7 SSE, , , 41.1361, -76.7651, SNOW_24, 0.3, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0600 AM, PA, Schuylkill, Valley View 0.5 W, , , 40.6437, -76.5485, SNOW_24, 0.5, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0815 AM, PA, Schuylkill, Auburn 0.1 WNW, , , 40.5967, -76.0979, SNOW_24, 0.8, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0800 AM, PA, Schuylkill, Tremont 0.3 NNW, , , 40.6338, -76.3937, SNOW_24, 1.1, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,1203 AM, PA, Schuylkill, 3 NE Tremont, , , 40.655, -76.3546, SNOW_24, 2.0, Inch, Public, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0700 AM, PA, Schuylkill, 2 SW Auburn, , , 40.573, -76.119, SNOW_24, 2, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0230 AM, PA, Schuylkill, 2 WSW Hometown, , , 40.814801, -76.031112, SNOW_24, 3.0, Inch, Trained Spotter, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0730 AM, PA, Schuylkill, 1.4 N Mahanoy City, , , 40.8333, -76.1333, SNOW_24, 3, Inch, COOP, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0755 AM, PA, Sullivan, Laporte, , , 41.4247, -76.4925, SNOW_24, 0.9, Inch, COOP, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0700 AM, PA, Tioga, 1.3 NE Leonard Harrison SP, , , 41.7003, -77.3894, SNOW_24, 0.001, Inch, COOP, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0700 AM, PA, Union, Lewisburg, , , 40.9486, -76.8783, SNOW_24, 0.001, Inch, COOP, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0800 AM, PA, York, Mount Wolf 1.0 SE, , , 40.0488, -76.6948, SNOW_24, 0.1, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall,
:2/16/2026,0800 AM, PA, York, York Haven 2.3 WNW, , , 40.1184, -76.7581, SNOW_24, 0.1, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall,
Observations are collected from a variety of sources with varying
equipment and exposures. We thank all volunteer weather observers
for their dedication. Not all data listed are considered official.
$$
MRS
|