Forecaster's
Discussion:

County-by-County
Forecast:

Daily Co-operative Station
Observation Summary:

Public Information
Statement:

All NWS State College Text Statements/Forecasts:

Latest PA Weather Summary:

113
AWUS81 KCTP 081057
RWSCTP
PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-
049>053-056>059-063>066-090100-

Regional Weather Summary
National Weather Service State College PA
557 AM EST Sun Nov 8 2026

A notable rebound in temperature will occur today as early morning
clouds, that blanketed the region for the past 24 hours, clear
out for the midday and afternoon hours thanks to a weak ridge of
high pressure at the surface and aloft.

It will be breezy though with west to southwest wind gusts today
ranging through the 20s (MPH).

Another upper level disturbance and weak cold front will move
quickly southeast from the Great Lakes following this ridge of
high pressure.

This weather feature will spread clouds across the region later
tonight into Monday morning with occasional showers focused
primarily across the Northern Mountains of Pennsylvania, where
rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 tenths of an inch are likely. Very
little in the way of measurable rain is expected to the south of
Interstate 80. Northwest winds on Monday could gust as high as 35
to 40 mph.

Dry and somewhat milder conditions will occur Tuesday and
Wednesday with a mix of sun and clouds and still a moderately
gusty wind from the southwest to west on Tuesday.

High temperatures today will range from the 50s across the north
and west, to the lower 60s throughout the low country of
south-central and southeastern Pennsylvania. Lows tonight will be
mainly in the mid 30s to low 40s. Highs on Monday will vary from
the upper 40s and low 50s across the higher terrain of the north
and west, to the lower 60s in the Greater Philadelphia area.

$$

Lambert

Latest Forecaster's Discussion:

645
FXUS61 KCTP 080953
AFDCTP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
453 AM EST Sun Nov 8 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
* No significant changes

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Seasonably cool today into the upcoming week with the bulk
of showers from the next, fast-moving upper level disturbance
confined to the Northern Mountains of PA late tonight and Monday
morning

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Seasonably cool today into the upcoming week with
the bulk of showers from the next, fast-moving upper level
disturbance confined to the Northern Mountains of PA late
tonight and Monday morning

A weak ridge of high pressure at the surface and aloft will move
over Pennsylvania today, leading to a gradual backing of the
wind from the west to the southwest by the midday hours.

Non-precipitating, shallow stratocu clouds blanketing much of
the region early today will clear out for about a 7 to 9 hour
period this afternoon and evening before another fast moving
upper level disturbance and weak cold front moves southeast from
the Great Lakes. This next weather feature will spread clouds
across the region later tonight into Monday morning with
occasional showers focused primarily across the Northern
Mountains of Pennsylvania. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 tenths of
an inch are likely across the Northwest Mountains of PA tonight
and Monday Morning with much lighter amounts further to the
Southeast.

A few brief showers could sneak into areas of the
state south of Interstate 80 late tonight and early Monday.

Otherwise, it will be breezy and cooler through early in the
upcoming week. Wind gusts today will range through the 20s (mph)
but northwest winds on Monday could gust as high as 35 and 40
mph.

There is a growing model signal for a more substantial long
wave trough to carve out over the eastern U.S. by the end of
the week. While still very preliminary given the extended
forecast length and associated uncertainly/low confidence, it
appears the coldest air of the Fall season will attempt to
expand southward late next week with the upper trough and could
be a factor with a potential coastal storm supplying a swath of
precipitation including accumulating snow particularly in the
higher elevations.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Typical westerly postfrontal upslope flow pattern stays locked
in through Sunday morning with IFR to LIFR conds at KBFD/KJST
and MVFR conds at KUNV/KAOO/KIPT. Periods of drizzle are likely
in the central and western mountains through daybreak. Frequent
wind gusts 20-25kt from 260-300 degrees are expected through
Sunday. Improvements to VFR are expected by late Sunday morning
as low-level moisture clears out, giving way to sunshine with
some high clouds for the afternoon.

Another upper-level low will swing across the Northeastern US
Sunday night through Monday and bring a return of lower clouds
and -SHRA across our area. Flight restrictions will be most
likely at KBFD (MVFR to IFR) and KJST (mainly MVFR), with
intermittent MVFR possible across the Ridge and Valley region
(KAOO/KUNV/KIPT) and VFR favored across the Lower Susquehanna
Valley (KMDT/KLNS). Over NW PA (KBFD), cold air aloft may even
support graupel in a few showers during this timeframe.
Additionally, wind shear may approach LLWS thresholds across
south-central PA (primarily KJST/KAOO/KUNV) Sunday night as
westerly winds in the lowest 1000-1500 ft approach 35-40 kts.

Outlook...

Tue-Wed...Mainly VFR with SW to W winds gusting up to around
15-25 kts during the daytime.

Thu...Leaning sub-VFR with rain and snow possible into late next
week.

&&

.CLIMATE...
The sun set at 5PM Saturday 11/7 in State College, marked the
beginning of a 2 month stretch during which sunsets will occur
before 5PM.

It has been one of the warmest starts to November on record in
central PA. Here are the average temperature rankings from Nov.
1-5th:


SITE AVG Temp Rank
Harrisburg 57.9F #13th warmest
Williamsport 55.8F #7th warmest
Altoona 57.9F #6th warmest
Bradford 54.6F #5th warmest
State College 57.1F #4th warmest
Johnstown 59.1F #2nd warmest *since 2000

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

WHAT HAS CHANGED...Lambert/Steinbugl
KEY MESSAGES...Lambert/Steinbugl
DISCUSSION...Lambert/Steinbugl
AVIATION...Steinbugl/Colbert/Teare
CLIMATE...Steinbugl

Latest Public Information Statement:

885
NOUS41 KCTP 042225
PNSCTP
PAZ005-051000-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
525 PM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT BRADFORD...

A record high temperature of 74 degrees was set at Bradford
Regional Airport today. This ties the old record high of 74
set in 2003.

The weather record at Bradford Regional Airport started in 1957.


$$