Brownsville/Rio Grande Valley, TX

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New: May-July 2026 Outlook: Hotter than normal temperatures are favored to continue into the upcoming summer season; precipitation remains a toss-up; drought, heat risk increases, occasional heavy rain/flooding, & water supply issues remain in focus

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Last Map Update: Thu, May 21, 2026 at 6:26:17 am CDT

Watches, Warnings & Advisories

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Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Flash Flood Warning

Severe Weather Statement

Special Marine Warning

Flood Watch

Marine Weather Statement

Isolated-Severe Storms Tonight Into Thursday AM

Heavy Rain Today and Thursday

Heavy Rainfall And Flooding Possible This Weekend

Beachcast

5-Day Outlook

Today

Another round of strong to severe thunderstorms is possible late tonight into early tomorrow morning across portions of Deep South Texas. Damaging winds (58+ mph) are the main threat for any severe storm, though large hail (1+ inch) and heavy rain are possible as well.

There is as much as a low to medium (20-40%) chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly across the Rio Grande Plains and the Northern Ranchlands, capable of producing heavy rain today into late tonight. There is a medium (40-70%) chance of showers and thunderstorms on Thursday, leading to a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 4) of excessive rainfall across all of Deep South Texas. Isolated flash flooding or ponding on the roadways are possible.

In addition to the potential for heavy rain tonight into Thursday, there is a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 4) for excessive rainfall on Saturday for most of Deep South Texas, and a Slight Risk (Level 2 of 4) for excessive rainfall for much of Kenedy and extreme northeast Brooks County. Meanwhile, on Sunday, there is a Marginal Risk for excessive rainfall for areas along and east of IH-69C/US-281. Rainfall over this time period will most likely be between 1 to 2 inches, with locally heavier amounts of 3 to 4 inches. Continue to check back for updates to the forecast.

There is a Moderate Risk of rip currents at area beaches today.

There is a low to medium chance of showers and thunderstorms each day through the Holiday weekend and into early next week. Locally heavy rainfall across Deep South Texas will be possible Saturday and Sunday.

Here are the forecast high temperatures and rain chances for Deep South Texas today.

*Current Observations ( )*
*Location*	*Sky/Weather*	*Temp*	*Dewpt*	RH	*Wind*	*Baro*	*Remarks*
Brownsville	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Harlingen	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
McAllen	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Bayview	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Weslaco	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Edinburg	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Zapata	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Hebbronville	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Falfurrias	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Laredo	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Kingsville	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Alice	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Notes: *In the Location column, click on links for a list of recent observations at sites of interest. A new window will open.* *In the Wind column, the letter indicates direction the wind blows from (N=North, E=East, S=South, W=West, NE=Northeast, etc). VRB is "variable" and G is "gust". Wind speeds are in MPH.* *In the Baro (pressure) column, values are in inches.* *In the Remarks column, HX is the Heat Index and WCI is Wind Chill Index (if shown). These are "Feels Like" temperatures. VSB is Visibility. "N/A" will be displayed if values are not available.*

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