Extreme Fire Weather Concerns; Severe Thunderstorms from the Plains to Mississippi Valley

Extremely critical fire weather concerns for portions of the southern High Plans as strong wind and very dry conditions could result in rapid spread of any fires. Meanwhile, severe thunderstorms are expected once again across areas of the Central and Southern Plains, then spreading in the Mississippi Valley regions on Monday. Damaging winds, very large hail and strong tornadoes are possible. Read More >

RGV Climate Outlooks/El Niño/La Niña Sources

The following are links to Climate Outlooks and sources of El Niño/Southern Oscillation information for the Rio Grande Valley, and general regional and national information.

Rio Grande Valley

Winter 2017/18 Outlook: Warm and Dry Has It? La Niña, Persistence Lend Confidence to an Expected Warm/Dry Winter
November 2017 to January 2018 Outlook: RGV Forecast Near Certain for a Record Warm Year in 2017
Late Autumn/Early Winter 2017 Outlook: Heading Toward A Record Warm 2017: RGV Forecast Becoming More Confident for Such an Outcome
Autumn 2017 Outlook: The "Dry's" Have It? September Holds Key to RGV Autumn; Drier than Wetter is the Lean
Late Summer/Early Autumn 2017 Outlook: Record RGV Heat to Continue through Early Autumn; Rainfall Forecast Difficult and Could Be Dry
Late Summer 2017 Outlook: Record 2017 Heat to Continue through Late Summer...But Will Rain Arrive in September? Predictive Data in Two Camps
Summer 2017 Outlook: Record 2017 Heat to Continue through August
Early Summer 2017 Outlook: Early to Mid Summer Heat to Continue into June; Rainfall Uncertain but Leaning Dry
Late Spring 2017 Outlook: The Heat Goes On...and On. Will Periodic Rains Continue?
Spring 2017 Outlook: Winter 2016/2017 Set a New Warm Record for the Valley. The Beat Goes on for Spring, But Will the Rains Come, Too?
Early Spring 2017 Outlook: Ditto the Outlook for January to March, with No Freeze Likely
Late Winter 2017 Outlook: Warm and Dry to Dominate with Worsening Drought Likely; Freeze Can’t Be Ruled Out Early
Winter 2016/2017 Outlook: Warmer and Drier, but Wild Cards and Possible Freeze in the Deck
Late Autumn/Early Winter 2016/2017 Outlook: Endless Summer Ends, Now What? Drier and Warmer Weather Expected to Prevail with Worsening Drought
Autumn 2016 Outlook: September Swelter, Limited Rainfall, Building Drought?
Early Autumn 2016 Outlook: La Canícula to Reign into mid August, but will it Rain in September?
Late Summer 2016 Outlook: Searing Canícula Brings Hot and Dry Start, but For How Long?
Summer 2016 Outlook: The Heat is On, Still
Early Summer 2016 Outlook: Enough Rain to Keep Things Honest, but "Lean" is to the Hot Side
Late Spring 2016 Outlook: Leaning Toward a Warmer and Drier than Normal Period, with Plenty of Uncertainty, as El Niño Wanes
Spring 2016 Outlook: Dry Weather Dominated the RGV Winter. More on the Way through May?
Early Spring 2016 Outlook: Fits...and Starts? Dry Weather Dominated January 2016. What Happens Now?
Late Winter/Early Spring 2016 Outlook: Does the Rain Return in January and February 2016?
Winter 2016 Outlook: El Niño Locks in Wet Forecast, but How Much Rain?
Early Winter 2015/2016 Outlook: El Niño Took Flight in October; More Rain, Cooler Than Average Temperatures Ahead
Late Autumn 2015 Outlook: October Should Transition to a Wetter and Cooler November and December
Autumn 2015 Outlook: Heat Continues through September; Will El Niño Bring Back the Rain Thereafter?
Early Autumn 2015 Outlook: Heat Rolls on Early; September and October Remain a Potentially Wetter Wild Card
Late Summer 2015 Outlook: Dry Weather (finally) Ahead for the Rio Grande Valley?
Summer 2015 Outlook: Will El Niño Bring Drier Weather, or Does Atmosphere Have More Wet Cards to Play?
Early Summer 2015 Outlook: Flooding Rain, Wind and Hail Likely to Continue in May and Perhaps June
Late Spring 2015 Outlook: Wet and Wild: Late Spring Offers More Rain and Increasing Thunderstorm Threat
Spring 2015 Outlook: Does Cool, Damp Start Become a Severe Finish?
Early Spring 2015 Outlook: Cool Confidence: Does January 2015’s Pattern Hold into Spring 2015 for RGV?
Late Winter/Early Spring 2015 Outlook: After Warm December, Do El Niño, Other Factors Return the Chill to Valley?
Winter 2014/2015 Outlook: Wet and Cool, Again? Confidence Increasing for Some Similarities with 2009/10, 2013/14
Late Autumn/Early Winter 2014 Outlook: Likelihood for Weak El Niño Brings Hope for More Rain
Late Autumn 2014 Outlook: Will Wet Trend Continue Through December?
Autumn 2014 Outlook: September’s Wild Card May Determine the Trend of Autumn
End of Summer/Early Autumn 2014 Outlook: Hot and Generally Dry; Whither the Tropics?
Late Summer 2014 Outlook: Hot, or Not? El Niño, Long Term Trends Suggest So, but Confidence Lower
Summer 2014 Outlook: Heaven Before Hell? Will El Niño Bring Summer Heat and Drought
Early Summer 2014 Outlook: Hotter than H–e–...? Developing El Nino, Other Factors Increase Confidence for Summer Swelter
Late Spring 2014 Outlook: Still Warm and Generally Dry? Confidence Lowering after Continued Cool Weather in March
Spring 2014 Outlook: Warm and Generally Dry Trend Expected
Early Spring 2014 Outlook: Will Helpful Rains of November/December 2013 Be A Memory by April?
Late Winter/Early Spring 2014 Outlook: Confidence Grows a Bit for a Warm and Dry Period
Winter 2013/14 Outlook: Warm, Generally Dry Weather Expected but Uncertainty Increases
Late Autumn/Early Winter 2013 Outlook: Confidence Grows for a Warm, Dry Trend
Autumn 2013 Outlook: Continued Warm, Return to Dry?
Late Summer 2013 Update: Will September Live Up to Its Wet History?
Mid Summer 2013 Update: Helter Skelter: Another Hot Summer – Is There Some Hope for Rain?
Summer 2013 Outlook: Cruel Summer? RGV Drought to Intensify Again Amid Above Average Temperatures
Late Spring/Summer 2013 Outlook: Exceptional Drought to Continue; Water Crisis May Reach Critical Mass
Spring 2013 Outlook Update: Drought to Become Exceptional, Water Crisis Could Become Dire
Spring 2013 Outlook: Drought Worsens, Heat Increases, Water Crisis Sets In
Winter 2012/2013 Outlook: Warm and Dry; Drought Holding with a Few Freezes Possible
November 2012: A Warm and Dry Month Leaning Toward a Similar Early Winter
Mid January 2012: Here Comes Trouble? Early Spring Will Extend Devastating Drought
Late December 2011: A Theory on Why Drought Took a Time Out
El Niño Southern Oscillation Box/Whisker Temperature Analysis, Deep S. Texas (Default: Jan. – Mar.)
El Niño Southern Oscillation Box/Whisker Precipitation Analysis, Deep S. Texas (Default: Jan. – Mar.)

Regional/National:

Follow us on Facebook

Follow us on YouTube