National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Fire Weather Banner

LATEST NWS FIRE WEATHER ANNUAL OPERATING PLANS

 

Spot Forecast

Spot request, click on icon to make request.
Click on the icon

Fire Weather Dashboard

Fire weather dashboard, click on the icon.
Click on the icon.

 

Fire Weather Dashboard for known/upcoming Prescribed Burn Projects:

Cicero RX (Onondaga County NY)

When a briefing has been issued, the book icon below will be opened.  Click on the open book to view a PDF containing the briefing.

Briefing icon

No briefing in effect.

The National Weather Service office in Binghamton, New York is responsible for issuing Fire Weather Forecasts, Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches for parts of Central New York and Northeast Pennsylvania as shown in the image below.  

County Warning Area or CWA map

 

A hourly weather graph forecast can be generated by going to the Hourly Graph website.


Guide to decoding the forecast below.


387
FNUS81 KBGM 121932
FWMBGM

FCST,301011,240713,13,2,87,52,1,3,NW,04,,90,65,100,50,0,0,N
FCST,301011,240714,13,1,90,45,3,2,W,04,,93,63,97,42,0,0,N
FCST,301011,240715,13,2,90,56,2,3,W,09,,93,66,90,42,0,0,N
FCST,301011,240716,13,2,90,54,3,3,W,09,,92,68,90,52,0,0,N
FCST,301011,240717,13,1,83,56,3,3,WNW,06,,93,67,90,52,0,0,N
FCST,301011,240718,13,2,78,50,3,2,NNW,05,,85,58,93,48,0,0,N
FCST,301011,240719,13,1,79,48,1,1,N,03,,80,56,93,46,0,0,N
FCST,300171,240713,13,2,81,64,1,2,WNW,04,,83,64,100,58,0,0,N
FCST,300171,240714,13,1,84,49,2,2,W,03,,86,60,97,47,0,0,N
FCST,300171,240715,13,2,85,63,2,3,WSW,06,,87,64,90,47,0,0,N
FCST,300171,240716,13,2,84,66,3,3,WSW,08,,87,66,97,59,0,0,N
FCST,300171,240717,13,2,77,65,3,3,W,06,,86,65,97,62,0,0,N
FCST,300171,240718,13,2,74,57,3,2,NW,05,,79,56,93,55,0,0,N
FCST,300171,240719,13,1,74,52,1,1,NNW,04,,76,55,96,50,0,0,N
FCST,361802,240713,13,2,85,66,3,3,SSW,02,,87,68,100,63,0,0,N
FCST,361802,240714,13,1,89,51,3,1,W,02,,91,66,100,49,0,0,N
FCST,361802,240715,13,1,91,53,1,3,WSW,05,,92,68,97,47,0,0,N
FCST,361802,240716,13,1,94,52,3,3,WSW,05,,96,69,93,50,0,0,N
FCST,361802,240717,13,2,89,58,3,3,W,05,,96,69,97,50,0,0,N
FCST,361802,240718,13,2,79,57,3,3,NNW,03,,90,63,97,53,0,0,N
FCST,361802,240719,13,1,79,52,2,1,NNW,01,,83,60,93,51,0,0,N
FCST,360791,240713,13,2,82,67,3,3,NW,03,,83,65,100,65,0,0,N
FCST,360791,240714,13,1,85,57,3,2,W,04,,87,64,97,55,0,0,N
FCST,360791,240715,13,2,85,63,2,3,WSW,09,,88,66,90,55,0,0,N
FCST,360791,240716,13,2,88,59,3,3,WSW,10,,89,67,93,57,0,0,N
FCST,360791,240717,13,2,82,64,3,3,W,09,,89,67,93,57,0,0,N
FCST,360791,240718,13,2,74,62,3,3,NNW,05,,84,59,93,61,0,0,N
FCST,360791,240719,13,1,75,58,2,1,NW,03,,77,57,93,55,0,0,N
FCST,360792,240713,13,2,86,61,3,3,NW,02,,90,66,100,55,0,0,N
FCST,360792,240714,13,1,89,52,3,2,W,03,,92,65,97,49,0,0,N
FCST,360792,240715,13,2,89,60,2,3,WSW,05,,94,67,87,44,0,0,N
FCST,360792,240716,13,2,92,55,3,3,WSW,06,,95,68,90,51,0,0,N
FCST,360792,240717,13,2,87,61,3,3,W,06,,96,69,90,51,0,0,N
FCST,360792,240718,13,2,78,58,3,3,NNW,03,,90,61,93,54,0,0,N
FCST,360792,240719,13,1,79,53,2,1,NNW,03,,84,59,90,47,0,0,N
FCST,360151,240713,13,2,86,63,2,3,NW,03,,87,66,100,61,0,0,N
FCST,360151,240714,13,1,88,55,3,2,W,03,,89,65,100,53,0,0,N
FCST,360151,240715,13,2,88,64,2,3,WSW,05,,91,67,93,52,0,0,N
FCST,360151,240716,13,2,90,61,3,3,WSW,06,,91,69,97,59,0,0,N
FCST,360151,240717,13,2,84,65,3,3,W,05,,91,69,93,59,0,0,N
FCST,360151,240718,13,1,78,59,3,3,NNW,04,,84,60,93,58,0,0,N
FCST,360151,240719,13,1,78,56,2,1,NNW,03,,79,58,93,54,0,0,N
FCST,361031,240713,13,2,84,68,3,3,W,02,,85,67,100,65,0,0,N
FCST,361031,240714,13,1,88,54,3,1,W,03,,89,64,100,52,0,0,N
FCST,361031,240715,13,1,89,58,1,3,WSW,05,,90,66,97,50,0,0,N
FCST,361031,240716,13,2,92,56,3,3,WSW,08,,93,67,93,52,0,0,N
FCST,361031,240717,13,2,86,59,3,3,W,06,,93,68,97,52,0,0,N
FCST,361031,240718,13,2,77,60,3,3,NNW,03,,88,61,97,55,0,0,N
FCST,361031,240719,13,1,77,57,2,1,N,03,,80,58,93,54,0,0,N
FCST,300971,240713,13,2,82,64,1,2,NNW,05,,83,66,97,62,0,0,N
FCST,300971,240714,13,1,84,51,2,2,W,04,,85,64,97,49,0,0,N
FCST,300971,240715,13,2,85,67,2,3,WSW,09,,86,67,90,49,0,0,N
FCST,300971,240716,13,2,84,65,3,3,WSW,10,,86,69,90,63,0,0,N
FCST,300971,240717,13,2,76,65,3,3,WNW,09,,86,67,93,63,0,0,N
FCST,300971,240718,13,2,73,59,3,1,NNW,08,,77,59,90,59,0,0,N
FCST,300971,240719,13,1,74,54,1,1,N,05,,75,58,93,54,0,0,N



 
    

425
FNUS51 KBGM 121931
FWFBGM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
330 PM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
A stalled frontal boundary located along the coast may bring
some showers to parts of the area this afternoon through
Saturday, mainly for the Poconos and Catskills. Elsewhere,
conditions will be mainly dry through the weekend. Temperatures
warm back up to the upper 80s to lower 90s heading into early
next week.


NYZ210-130800-
Leatherstocking-
330 PM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024

Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun

Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 20 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 64 (-1) 84 (+4) 60 87
RH % (24h trend) 100 (0) 53 (0) 100 43
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 4880 6100
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 8 W 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 48830 82360
DSI 2 2 2 2
Sunshine Hours 8 12
LAL 9-15 strikes 9-15 strikes 1-8 strikes No tstms
Haines Index 3 3 4 4
ADI early 18 Gen Poor 27 Fair 31 Fair 30 Fair
ADI late 4 Very Poor 46 Gen Good 2 Very Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI early 6 8 7 8
Max LVORI late 8 3 8 1

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

PAZ038-039-043-130800-
Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-
Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,
and Tunkhannock
330 PM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024

Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun

Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 64 (-1) 86 (+5) 63 89
RH % (24h trend) 100 (0) 55 (-1) 100 48
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.05 0.04 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2 0
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 7 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5830 6910
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 7 W 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 45010 95560
DSI 2 2 2 2
Sunshine Hours 8 12
LAL 9-15 strikes 9-15 strikes 1-8 strikes No tstms
Haines Index 3 4 3 4
ADI early 25 Fair 23 Fair 27 Fair 32 Fair
ADI late 4 Very Poor 44 Gen Good 2 Very Poor 99 Good
Max LVORI early 7 9 7 9
Max LVORI late 9 3 9 1

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$

PAZ044-047-130800-
Lackawanna-Luzerne-
Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre
330 PM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024

Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun

Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 50 50 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 65 (+1) 88 (+10) 64 91
RH % (24h trend) 100 (0) 50 (-5) 100 42
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.21 0.11 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2 0
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 8 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5430 7060
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 6 W 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 39010 82990
DSI 1 2 2 2
Sunshine Hours 7 13
LAL 9-15 strikes 9-15 strikes 1-8 strikes No tstms
Haines Index 3 3 4 4
ADI early 13 Gen Poor 15 Gen Poor 18 Gen Poor 30 Fair
ADI late 3 Very Poor 34 Fair 2 Very Poor 96 Good
Max LVORI early 8 9 7 8
Max LVORI late 9 3 9 1

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$

PAZ040-048-072-130800-
Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,
and Honesdale
330 PM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024

Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun

Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 60 50 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 66 (+2) 86 (+8) 64 88
RH % (24h trend) 100 (0) 55 (-7) 100 46
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.24 0.16 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 4 3 0
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 7 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5070 6570
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 6 W 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 33700 70740
DSI 1 2 2 2
Sunshine Hours 7 13
LAL 9-15 strikes 9-15 strikes 1-8 strikes No tstms
Haines Index 3 3 4 4
ADI early 16 Gen Poor 16 Gen Poor 25 Fair 27 Fair
ADI late 4 Very Poor 37 Fair 3 Very Poor 80 Good
Max LVORI early 9 9 7 8
Max LVORI late 9 3 9 1

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 90. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$




 

 

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed Forecast
WFAS 10-Hour Fuel Moisture - Observed / Computed (click left or right to view the Forecast 10-Hour Fuel Moisture) WFAS 10-Hour Fuel Moisture Computed 10-Hour Fuel Moisture)
WFAS 100-Hour Fuel Moisture - Observed / Computed WFAS 100-Hour Fuel Moisture - Forecast
WFAS 1000-Hour Fuel Moisture - Observed / Computed WFAS 1000-Hour Fuel Moisture - Forecast
WFAS - Keetch-Byram Drought Index

Drought MonitorExpandCollapse

U.S. Drought Monitor
U.S. Drought Monitor
Seasonal Drought Outlook
Seasonal Drought Assessment
Palmer Drought Severity
Palmer Drought Severity
Rain Needed to End Drought
Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse

One Day Precipitation Totals
One Day Precipitation Totals
Three Day Precipitation Totals
Three Day Precipitation Totals
Five Day Precipitation Totals
Five Day Precipitation Totals
24-Hr Observed Precipition
24-Hr Observed Precipition
48-Hr Observed Precipition
48-Hr Observed Precipition
72 hour observed precipitation
72-Hr Observed Precipition

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Total Precipitation
7-Day Precip
14-Day Total Precipitation
14-Day Precip
30-Day Total Precipitation
30-Day Precip
60-Day Total Precipitation
60-Day Precip
90-Day Total Precipitation
90-Day Precip
Total Precipitation since April 1st
Since April 1 Precip
Total Precipitation since July 1st
Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Total Precipitation
6-Month Precip
12-Month Total Precipitation
12-Month Precip
24-Month Total Precipitation
24-Month Precip
36-Month Total Precipitation
36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Total Precipitation
Month-to-Date Precip
Year-to-Date Total Precipitation
Year-to-Date Precip
Water-Year Total Precipitation
Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Total Precipitation Departure
7-Day Precip Dept
14-Day Total Precipitation Departure
14-Day Precip Dept
30-Day Total Precipitation Departure
30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Total Precipitation Departure
60-Day Precip Dept
90-Day Total Precipitation Departure
90-Day Precip Dept
Total Precipitation Departure since April 1st
Since April 1 Precip Dept
Total Precipitation Departure since July 1st
Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Total Precipitation Departure
6-Month Precip Dept
12-Month Total Precipitation Departure
12-Month Precip Dept
24-Month Total Precipitation Departure
24-Month Precip Dept
36-Month Total Precipitation Departure
36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Total Precipitation Departure
Month-to-Date Precip Dept
Year-to-Date Total Precipitation Departure
Year-to-Date Precip Dept
Water-Year Total Precipitation Departure
Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
7-Day Precip % Norm
14-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
14-Day Precip % Norm
30-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
60-Day Precip % Norm
90-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
90-Day Precip % Norm
Total Precipitation Since April 1st - Percentage of Normal
Since April 1 Precip % Norm
Total Precipitation Since July 1st - Percentage of Normal
Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
6-Month Precip % Norm
12-Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
12-Month Precip % Norm
24Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
24-Month Precip % Norm
36-Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm
Year-to-Date Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
Year-to-Date Precip % Norm
Water-Year Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
Water-Year Precip % Norm

 

Additional Resources:

Precipitation Mapper
Interactive Snowfall Information
Regional Snow Analysis
CoCoRaHS Precipitation Reports
NWS Binghamton Winter Weather
Climate and Fire Weather Outlook

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

CPC 6-10 Day Temperature Outlook
6-10 Day Temp
CPC 6-10 Day Precipitation Outlook
6-10 Day Precip
CPC 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook
8-14 Day Temp
CPC 8-14 Day Precipitation Outlook
8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

CPC One-Month Temperature Outlook
One Month Temp
CPC One-Month Precipitation Outlook
One Month Precip
CPC Three-Month Temperature Outlook
Three Month Temp
CPC Three-Month Precipitation Outlook
Three Month Precip

Fire Potential OutlooksExpandCollapse

Current Fire Potential
Current Fire Potential
One-Month Fire Potential Outlook
One Month Outlook
Two- to Three-Month Fire Potential Outlook
Two-Three Month Outlook

Fire DangerExpandCollapse

NY State Fire Danger Ratings
NY State Fire Danger Ratings
Eastern Area Observed Fire Danger Class
Observed Eastern Area Fire Danger Class
Eastern Area Forecast Fire Danger Class
Forecast Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

 

Additional Resources:

GACC Eastern Area Weekly Outlook
GACC Eastern Area Monthly Outlook
Predictive Services 7-Day Significant Fire Potential

Fire Weather Watch:

  • Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
  • A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

  • Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.