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Guide to decoding the forecast below.

028
FNUS81 KBGM 141932
FWMBGM

FCST,301011,250715,13,1,85,54,,,SSE,02,,87,64,100,52,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250716,13,2,85,63,,,SSW,05,,88,68,97,47,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250717,13,8,84,64,,,WSW,08,,87,69,100,61,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250718,13,2,76,70,,,NW,06,,86,66,97,61,7,0,N
FCST,301011,250719,13,1,80,54,,,W,05,,82,60,93,53,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250720,13,2,79,69,,,WSW,06,,83,65,97,51,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250721,13,2,79,59,,,NW,06,,82,63,97,58,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250715,13,1,83,53,,,NNW,03,,85,63,100,51,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250716,13,2,84,61,,,SSW,05,,86,66,97,50,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250717,13,8,80,72,,,WSW,06,,86,69,100,57,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250718,13,2,73,72,,,NW,06,,83,66,100,67,8,0,N
FCST,300171,250719,13,1,76,55,,,NW,05,,78,57,100,54,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250720,13,2,75,72,,,SW,06,,79,62,97,52,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250721,13,2,75,64,,,NW,06,,78,61,100,62,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250715,13,2,86,61,,,E,02,,88,67,100,59,6,0,N
FCST,361802,250716,13,2,86,67,,,SSW,03,,88,70,100,59,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250717,13,2,86,67,,,WSW,04,,87,71,100,63,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250718,13,2,85,63,,,WNW,03,,88,71,100,61,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250719,13,1,83,55,,,WNW,03,,86,64,93,53,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250720,13,2,80,73,,,SSW,03,,85,66,100,51,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250721,13,2,81,63,,,NW,03,,82,66,100,61,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250715,13,1,83,62,,,ENE,02,,84,65,100,61,6,0,N
FCST,360791,250716,13,2,81,70,,,SSW,05,,84,68,100,61,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250717,13,8,81,72,,,WSW,08,,83,68,100,67,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250718,13,2,77,72,,,WNW,06,,83,67,100,67,5,0,N
FCST,360791,250719,13,2,78,59,,,WNW,05,,79,60,97,58,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250720,13,2,76,75,,,SW,06,,79,64,100,56,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250721,13,2,76,67,,,NW,06,,77,63,100,66,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250715,13,1,85,61,,,NNE,01,,88,65,100,57,5,0,N
FCST,360792,250716,13,2,84,69,,,SSW,03,,90,68,100,56,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250717,13,8,83,72,,,WSW,05,,88,69,100,63,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250718,13,2,81,70,,,WNW,05,,88,69,100,63,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250719,13,2,81,58,,,WNW,03,,84,61,97,55,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250720,13,2,80,72,,,SW,04,,86,65,100,53,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250721,13,2,79,65,,,NNW,04,,84,64,100,61,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250715,13,1,85,61,,,E,02,,85,65,100,59,3,0,N
FCST,360151,250716,13,2,84,69,,,SSW,04,,87,69,100,59,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250717,13,8,83,73,,,WSW,05,,85,70,100,67,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250718,13,2,79,73,,,NW,04,,85,69,100,70,7,0,N
FCST,360151,250719,13,2,80,59,,,WNW,04,,81,61,100,58,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250720,13,2,79,76,,,SW,04,,82,65,100,56,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250721,13,2,79,65,,,NNW,04,,80,64,100,64,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250715,13,2,84,65,,,E,02,,84,65,100,65,6,0,N
FCST,361031,250716,13,2,84,72,,,SSW,04,,85,68,100,63,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250717,13,2,84,71,,,WSW,06,,85,69,100,67,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250718,13,2,82,69,,,WNW,05,,85,69,97,65,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250719,13,2,82,57,,,WNW,03,,82,62,93,56,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250720,13,2,79,75,,,SSW,04,,83,64,100,55,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250721,13,2,79,65,,,NNW,05,,80,64,100,62,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250715,13,1,83,59,,,SE,03,,84,65,97,57,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250716,13,2,82,70,,,SSW,06,,85,70,90,55,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250717,13,8,81,73,,,WSW,10,,83,70,97,67,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250718,13,2,71,82,,,NNW,09,,82,67,93,72,8,0,N
FCST,300971,250719,13,1,76,61,,,NNW,08,,77,59,96,60,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250720,13,2,76,76,,,SW,09,,78,64,93,58,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250721,13,2,75,70,,,NNW,09,,78,64,97,69,0,0,N

 
    
                        

645

FNUS51 KBGM 141931

FWFBGM



Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA

National Weather Service Binghamton NY

330 PM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025



.SYNOPSIS... A frontal boundary will slowly move eastward across

the area  leading to additional showers and thunderstorms into

this  evening. Storms will be slow moving and produce torrential

downpours. High pressure looks to briefly build into the region

on Tuesday before another frontal system approaches mid to late

week, with renewed shower and thunderstorm chances. Temperatures

will remain above average, with very warm humid conditons

persisting through Thursday.





NYZ210-150800-

Leatherstocking-

330 PM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025



                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed



Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy

Precip Type           Tstms        None         None         Tstms

Chance Precip (%)     40           0            0            50

Chance of Thunder (%) 40           0            0            50

Temp (24h trend)      63 (-5)      86 (+4)      64           88

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      44 (-17)     100          54

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Precip Amount         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.02

Precip Duration       1                                      1

Precip Begin          6 PM                                   8 AM

Precip End            9 PM                                   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             5190                      4810

Transport Wnd (mph)                W  5                      SW 10

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  39460                     59170

DSI                   2            2            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     12                        7

ADI early             14 Gen Poor  11 Poor      18 Gen Poor  37 Fair

ADI late              3 Very Poor  27 Fair      3 Very Poor  55 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       7            9            6            7

Max LVORI late        8            2            7            3



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of

thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.

Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. West

winds around 5 mph.

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in

the upper 50s. Highs around 80. North winds around 5 mph.

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.

Southeast winds around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance

of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.

Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ038-039-043-150800-

Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-

Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,

and Tunkhannock

330 PM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025



                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed



Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy

Precip Type           Tstms        None         None         Tstms

Chance Precip (%)     60           0            0            60

Chance of Thunder (%) 50           0            0            50

Temp (24h trend)      64 (-4)      87 (+5)      66           87

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      51 (-14)     100          63

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Precip Amount         0.13         0.00         0.00         0.04

Precip Duration       1                                      4

Precip Begin          6 PM                                   8 AM

Precip End            2 AM                                   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             5440                      4420

Transport Wnd (mph)                W  5                      S 12

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  26950                     56820

DSI                   2            2            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     11                        5

ADI early             8 Poor       10 Poor      18 Gen Poor  37 Fair

ADI late              2 Very Poor  25 Fair      3 Very Poor  59 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       9            9            7            9

Max LVORI late        10           3            8            3



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South

winds around 5 mph.

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 80. West winds

around 5 mph.

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows

around 60. Highs in the lower 80s. North winds around 5 mph.

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. South winds

around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance

of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. Chance

of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ044-047-150800-

Lackawanna-Luzerne-

Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre

330 PM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025



                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None         Tstms

Chance Precip (%)     90           20           0            70

Chance of Thunder (%) 50           20           0            50

Temp (24h trend)      64 (-4)      88 (+5)      66           88

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      54 (-11)     100          59

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Precip Amount         0.20         0.00         0.00         0.08

Precip Duration       3            0                         4

Precip Begin          6 PM         2 PM                      8 AM

Precip End            2 AM         5 PM                      Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4620                      4040

Transport Wnd (mph)                W  3                      SW 13

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  17030                     51910

DSI                   2            2            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     9                         5

ADI early             7 Poor       11 Poor      11 Poor      31 Fair

ADI late              2 Very Poor  16 Gen Poor  3 Very Poor  50 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       9            9            7            8

Max LVORI late        10           3            9            3



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of

thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.

Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.

West winds around 5 mph.

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows

in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. North winds around

5 mph.

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of

thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.

Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance

of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.

Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ040-048-072-150800-

Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-

Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,

and Honesdale

330 PM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025



                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy

Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None         Tstms

Chance Precip (%)     80           20           0            60

Chance of Thunder (%) 20           20           0            50

Temp (24h trend)      65 (-3)      86 (+4)      66           87

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      52 (-17)     100          63

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Precip Amount         0.23         0.00         0.00         0.08

Precip Duration       3            0                         4

Precip Begin          6 PM         2 PM                      8 AM

Precip End            4 AM         6 PM                      Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             5170                      4220

Transport Wnd (mph)                W  3                      SW 10

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  21330                     55660

DSI                   2            2            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     9                         5

ADI early             8 Poor       16 Gen Poor  15 Gen Poor  36 Fair

ADI late              3 Very Poor  22 Fair      3 Very Poor  46 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       10           9            7            10

Max LVORI late        10           3            9            3



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of

thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.

Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.

West winds around 5 mph.

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in

the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest winds around

5 mph.

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. South winds

around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance

of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. Chance

of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.



$$

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed	Forecast

Drought MonitorExpandCollapse

U.S. Drought Monitor

Seasonal Drought Assessment

Palmer Drought Severity

Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse

One Day Precipitation Totals	Three Day Precipitation Totals	Five Day Precipitation Totals
24-Hr Observed Precipition	48-Hr Observed Precipition	72-Hr Observed Precipition

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip	14-Day Precip	30-Day Precip
60-Day Precip	90-Day Precip	Since April 1 Precip	Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Precip	12-Month Precip	24-Month Precip	36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Precip	Year-to-Date Precip	Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip Dept	14-Day Precip Dept	30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Precip Dept	90-Day Precip Dept	Since April 1 Precip Dept	Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Precip Dept	12-Month Precip Dept	24-Month Precip Dept	36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Precip Dept	Year-to-Date Precip Dept	Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip % Norm	14-Day Precip % Norm	30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precip % Norm	90-Day Precip % Norm	Since April 1 Precip % Norm	Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precip % Norm	12-Month Precip % Norm	24-Month Precip % Norm	36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm	Year-to-Date Precip % Norm	Water-Year Precip % Norm

Additional Resources:

Precipitation Mapper
Interactive Snowfall Information
Regional Snow Analysis
CoCoRaHS Precipitation Reports
NWS Binghamton Winter Weather

Climate and Fire Weather Outlook

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

6-10 Day Temp

6-10 Day Precip

8-14 Day Temp

8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

One Month Temp

One Month Precip

Three Month Temp

Three Month Precip

Fire Potential OutlooksExpandCollapse

Current Fire Potential

One Month Outlook

Two- to Three-Month Fire Potential Outlook

Two-Three Month Outlook

Fire DangerExpandCollapse

NY State Fire Danger Ratings

Observed Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Forecast Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Additional Resources:

GACC Eastern Area Weekly Outlook
GACC Eastern Area Monthly Outlook
Predictive Services 7-Day Significant Fire Potential

Fire Weather Watch:

Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.