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Guide to decoding the forecast below.

736
FNUS81 KBGM 152032
FWMBGM

FCST,301011,251116,13,2,39,57,,,WNW,16,,55,37,100,54,5,0,N
FCST,301011,251117,13,2,36,51,,,WNW,12,,40,26,74,49,0,0,N
FCST,301011,251118,13,2,40,53,,,WNW,05,,42,27,81,47,0,0,N
FCST,301011,251119,13,2,40,62,,,NNW,04,,43,25,100,50,0,0,N
FCST,301011,251120,13,2,45,64,,,S,05,,46,24,100,55,0,0,N
FCST,301011,251121,13,2,48,72,,,SSW,08,,50,33,100,60,0,0,N
FCST,301011,251122,13,2,49,71,,,WSW,08,,52,39,100,66,0,0,N
FCST,300171,251116,13,2,35,77,,,WNW,16,,50,34,100,58,10,0,N
FCST,300171,251117,13,2,31,73,,,WNW,12,,37,24,88,69,0,0,N
FCST,300171,251118,13,2,35,72,,,W,09,,37,25,96,69,0,0,N
FCST,300171,251119,13,2,36,70,,,NW,05,,38,22,100,67,0,0,N
FCST,300171,251120,13,2,40,71,,,SSW,05,,41,22,100,64,0,0,N
FCST,300171,251121,13,6,45,77,,,SSW,08,,47,31,100,67,0,0,N
FCST,300171,251122,13,2,46,77,,,WSW,09,,48,37,100,73,10,0,N
FCST,361802,251116,13,1,45,48,,,WNW,11,,52,42,100,47,4,0,N
FCST,361802,251117,13,2,41,44,,,WNW,09,,46,29,69,41,0,0,N
FCST,361802,251118,13,2,44,45,,,WNW,05,,45,28,78,39,0,0,N
FCST,361802,251119,13,1,45,54,,,NNW,03,,47,28,96,42,0,0,N
FCST,361802,251120,13,1,47,56,,,SW,03,,48,26,100,49,0,0,N
FCST,361802,251121,13,2,51,69,,,SW,05,,53,33,100,52,0,0,N
FCST,361802,251122,13,2,55,64,,,W,05,,57,42,100,61,0,0,N
FCST,360791,251116,13,2,38,60,,,WNW,18,,50,37,100,54,6,0,N
FCST,360791,251117,13,2,35,50,,,WNW,16,,39,27,71,49,0,0,N
FCST,360791,251118,13,2,38,55,,,WNW,09,,39,25,84,47,0,0,N
FCST,360791,251119,13,1,40,64,,,NNW,05,,41,26,100,52,0,0,N
FCST,360791,251120,13,2,43,64,,,SW,05,,44,27,100,60,0,0,N
FCST,360791,251121,13,2,46,76,,,SSW,08,,47,33,100,60,0,0,N
FCST,360791,251122,13,2,49,74,,,W,09,,50,41,100,71,0,0,N
FCST,360792,251116,13,2,42,57,,,WNW,16,,54,39,100,50,5,0,N
FCST,360792,251117,13,2,39,46,,,WNW,12,,45,28,69,43,0,0,N
FCST,360792,251118,13,2,41,55,,,W,05,,44,27,85,41,0,0,N
FCST,360792,251119,13,1,43,62,,,NNW,03,,46,28,100,51,0,0,N
FCST,360792,251120,13,2,46,64,,,SW,03,,49,28,100,56,0,0,N
FCST,360792,251121,13,2,50,75,,,SSW,05,,53,34,100,56,0,0,N
FCST,360792,251122,13,2,52,72,,,WSW,06,,55,42,100,65,0,0,N
FCST,360151,251116,13,2,42,55,,,WNW,13,,53,40,100,53,6,0,N
FCST,360151,251117,13,2,39,48,,,WNW,10,,43,27,72,46,0,0,N
FCST,360151,251118,13,2,42,52,,,WNW,05,,42,27,81,44,0,0,N
FCST,360151,251119,13,2,43,62,,,NNW,03,,44,26,100,49,0,0,N
FCST,360151,251120,13,2,46,65,,,S,04,,46,26,100,57,0,0,N
FCST,360151,251121,13,2,50,72,,,SSW,05,,51,34,100,60,0,0,N
FCST,360151,251122,13,2,52,70,,,WSW,06,,53,40,100,64,0,0,N
FCST,361031,251116,13,1,44,52,,,WNW,14,,51,40,100,51,5,0,N
FCST,361031,251117,13,2,39,46,,,WNW,11,,44,27,71,44,0,0,N
FCST,361031,251118,13,2,42,48,,,WNW,05,,43,26,81,42,0,0,N
FCST,361031,251119,13,1,44,58,,,NNW,04,,44,26,100,47,0,0,N
FCST,361031,251120,13,1,46,60,,,SSW,03,,46,26,100,53,0,0,N
FCST,361031,251121,13,2,50,73,,,SW,05,,51,33,100,56,0,0,N
FCST,361031,251122,13,2,54,69,,,W,06,,55,41,100,65,0,0,N
FCST,300971,251116,13,2,35,72,,,WNW,20,,51,35,100,65,7,0,N
FCST,300971,251117,13,2,33,70,,,WNW,16,,36,27,81,69,0,0,N
FCST,300971,251118,13,2,37,65,,,WNW,10,,37,28,88,64,0,0,N
FCST,300971,251119,13,2,38,70,,,NNW,05,,38,26,100,64,0,0,N
FCST,300971,251120,13,2,41,72,,,S,06,,42,27,100,67,0,0,N
FCST,300971,251121,13,2,46,79,,,S,11,,47,34,100,67,0,0,N
FCST,300971,251122,13,2,45,79,,,WSW,11,,48,40,100,76,0,0,N

 
    
                        

369

FNUS51 KBGM 152031

FWFBGM



Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA

National Weather Service Binghamton NY

330 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025



.SYNOPSIS...  A cold frontal boundary will move through the

region tonight bringing a round of rain showers. Colder air will

move into the region Sunday and Monday with some lake effect snow

showers. Weak low pressure slides to our south Tuesday night with

high pressure building in for the middle of next week.





NYZ210-160900-

Leatherstocking-

330 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025



                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Snow Showers Snow Showers

Chance Precip (%)     90           60           60           40

Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      36 (+11)     40 (-11)     24           36

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      55 (+14)     92           48

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 6-10 G18   W 14-18 G29  W 12-16 G26  NW 11-15 G25

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 9-13 G23   W 14-18 G29  NW 11-15 G24 NW 10-14 G23

Precip Amount         0.36         0.14         0.08         0.04

Precip Duration       7            5            8            3

Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4370                      4160

Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 38                     NW 32

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  214200                    163290

DSI                   1            1            2            1

Sunshine Hours                     2                         1

ADI early             14 Gen Poor  92 Good      43 Gen Good  84 Good

ADI late              28 Fair      100 Good     40 Fair      85 Good

Max LVORI early       5            4            3            4

Max LVORI late        5            3            4            2



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow

showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. West

winds around 10 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of snow showers. Lows

in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds around

5 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers. Lows

in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. North winds around 5 mph.

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely and a chance of snow.

Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Chance of

precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper

30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 70 percent. South

winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ038-039-043-160900-

Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-

Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,

and Tunkhannock

330 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025



                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy

Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Snow Showers None

Chance Precip (%)     90           30           30           0

Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      37 (+9)      41 (-12)     26           40

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      50 (-2)      85           42

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 6-10 G23  W 13-17 G26  NW 12-16 G24 NW 10-14 G26

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 8-12 G24   NW 13-17 G26 NW 11-15 G23 NW 9-13 G24

Precip Amount         0.13         0.03         0.02         0.00

Precip Duration       6            2            2

Precip Begin          6 PM         7 AM         Continuing

Precip End            4 AM         Continuing   6 AM

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             5820                      5640

Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 40                     NW 32

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  230220                    170380

DSI                   1            1            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     3                         3

ADI early             14 Gen Poor  125 Very Good44 Gen Good  100 Good

ADI late              23 Fair      131 Very Good44 Gen Good  102 Very Good

Max LVORI early       6            4            3            3

Max LVORI late        6            1            3            1



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the

lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of snow showers.

Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. North winds around

5 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain and snow

showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid 40s. North winds

around 5 mph.

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower 30s.

Highs in the lower 50s. Chance of rain 60 percent. South winds

around 5 mph.

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows around 40. Highs

in the lower 50s. Chance of rain 60 percent. South winds around

5 mph.



$$



PAZ044-047-160900-

Lackawanna-Luzerne-

Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre

330 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025



                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy

Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Snow Showers None

Chance Precip (%)     90           30           20           0

Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      40 (+11)     43 (-11)     26           42

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      49 (+1)      78           41

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 6-10 G21  W 13-17 G29  NW 12-16 G26 NW 11-15 G28

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 8-12 G24   W 13-17 G29  W 11-15 G26  NW 10-14 G27

Precip Amount         0.15         0.02         0.01         0.00

Precip Duration       6            1            1

Precip Begin          6 PM         10 AM        Continuing

Precip End            5 AM         Continuing   1 AM

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             6260                      6010

Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 40                     NW 31

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  238260                    176470

DSI                   1            2            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     3                         4

ADI early             12 Poor      123 Very Good48 Gen Good  103 Very Good

ADI late              17 Gen Poor  131 Very Good39 Fair      104 Very Good

Max LVORI early       6            4            3            2

Max LVORI late        6            1            3            1



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the

lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of snow and rain

showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 40s. North winds

around 5 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain and snow

showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 40s. North

winds around 5 mph.

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in

the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. South winds around 5 mph.

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower

40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Chance of rain 60 percent. South winds

around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ040-048-072-160900-

Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-

Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,

and Honesdale

330 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025



                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Snow Showers None

Chance Precip (%)     90           30           20           0

Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      39 (+11)     43 (-9)      26           39

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      45 (-4)      88           39

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 5-9 G18   W 13-17 G27  W 12-16 G24  NW 11-15 G27

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 8-12 G23   NW 13-17 G27 W 12-16 G24  NW 10-14 G26

Precip Amount         0.22         0.03         0.01         0.00

Precip Duration       6            2            1

Precip Begin          6 PM         7 AM         Continuing

Precip End            5 AM         Continuing   6 AM

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             5480                      5180

Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 39                     NW 33

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  225650                    159010

DSI                   1            1            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     4                         3

ADI early             14 Gen Poor  114 Very Good52 Gen Good  106 Very Good

ADI late              22 Fair      121 Very Good49 Gen Good  106 Very Good

Max LVORI early       6            4            3            3

Max LVORI late        5            1            3            1



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the

lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of snow showers.

Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds

around 5 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid

40s. North winds around 5 mph.

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in

the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. Southeast winds around

5 mph.

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows around 40. Highs

in the lower 50s. Chance of rain 60 percent. South winds around

5 mph.



$$

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed	Forecast

Drought MonitorExpandCollapse

U.S. Drought Monitor

Seasonal Drought Assessment

Palmer Drought Severity

Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse

One Day Precipitation Totals	Three Day Precipitation Totals	Five Day Precipitation Totals
24-Hr Observed Precipition	48-Hr Observed Precipition	72-Hr Observed Precipition

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip	14-Day Precip	30-Day Precip
60-Day Precip	90-Day Precip	Since April 1 Precip	Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Precip	12-Month Precip	24-Month Precip	36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Precip	Year-to-Date Precip	Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip Dept	14-Day Precip Dept	30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Precip Dept	90-Day Precip Dept	Since April 1 Precip Dept	Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Precip Dept	12-Month Precip Dept	24-Month Precip Dept	36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Precip Dept	Year-to-Date Precip Dept	Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip % Norm	14-Day Precip % Norm	30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precip % Norm	90-Day Precip % Norm	Since April 1 Precip % Norm	Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precip % Norm	12-Month Precip % Norm	24-Month Precip % Norm	36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm	Year-to-Date Precip % Norm	Water-Year Precip % Norm

Additional Resources:

Precipitation Mapper
Interactive Snowfall Information
Regional Snow Analysis
CoCoRaHS Precipitation Reports
NWS Binghamton Winter Weather

Climate and Fire Weather Outlook

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

6-10 Day Temp

6-10 Day Precip

8-14 Day Temp

8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

One Month Temp

One Month Precip

Three Month Temp

Three Month Precip

Fire Potential OutlooksExpandCollapse

Current Fire Potential

One Month Outlook

Two- to Three-Month Fire Potential Outlook

Two-Three Month Outlook

Fire DangerExpandCollapse

NY State Fire Danger Ratings

Observed Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Forecast Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Additional Resources:

GACC Eastern Area Weekly Outlook
GACC Eastern Area Monthly Outlook
Predictive Services 7-Day Significant Fire Potential

Fire Weather Watch:

Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.