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The National Weather Service office in Binghamton, New York is responsible for issuing Fire Weather Forecasts, Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches for parts of Central New York and Northeast Pennsylvania as shown in the image below.

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Guide to decoding the forecast below.

529
FNUS81 KBGM 052032
FWMBGM

FCST,301011,241206,13,1,28,47,1,1,WNW,11,,34,18,77,46,0,0,N
FCST,301011,241207,13,2,31,62,1,1,W,08,,33,20,88,44,0,0,N
FCST,301011,241208,13,2,43,62,1,1,SW,10,,44,26,78,56,0,0,N
FCST,301011,241209,13,2,45,86,1,1,SSW,09,,47,35,96,58,0,5,N
FCST,301011,241210,13,2,50,75,1,1,SSW,06,,52,39,100,71,0,0,N
FCST,301011,241211,13,2,41,70,1,1,WNW,06,,52,34,96,67,0,0,N
FCST,301011,241212,13,1,32,56,1,1,W,09,,43,23,78,54,0,0,N
FCST,300171,241206,13,2,23,64,1,1,WNW,12,,31,16,92,62,13,0,N
FCST,300171,241207,13,2,28,73,1,1,W,08,,30,17,92,62,0,0,N
FCST,300171,241208,13,2,38,72,1,1,SW,09,,39,22,88,68,0,0,N
FCST,300171,241209,13,8,41,88,1,1,SSW,08,,42,31,96,67,0,5,N
FCST,300171,241210,13,2,46,81,1,1,S,06,,48,37,100,79,10,0,N
FCST,300171,241211,13,2,40,73,1,1,WNW,06,,48,34,100,70,0,0,N
FCST,300171,241212,13,2,29,64,1,1,W,10,,41,22,85,63,0,0,N
FCST,361802,241206,13,0,30,40,1,1,NW,10,,35,20,74,37,0,0,N
FCST,361802,241207,13,1,35,50,1,1,W,05,,37,19,84,37,0,0,N
FCST,361802,241208,13,1,44,52,1,1,WSW,06,,46,24,81,47,0,0,N
FCST,361802,241209,13,8,46,80,1,1,SSW,03,,47,30,100,49,0,5,N
FCST,361802,241210,13,2,54,77,1,1,S,03,,55,38,100,74,6,0,N
FCST,361802,241211,13,2,51,77,1,1,W,04,,55,41,100,74,0,0,N
FCST,361802,241212,13,1,37,52,1,1,WNW,06,,52,26,89,50,0,0,N
FCST,360791,241206,13,1,25,51,1,1,NW,14,,29,18,81,50,0,0,N
FCST,360791,241207,13,2,28,65,1,1,W,10,,29,17,88,50,0,0,N
FCST,360791,241208,13,1,39,64,1,1,WSW,11,,40,23,78,60,0,0,N
FCST,360791,241209,13,2,42,92,1,1,SW,08,,44,32,96,62,0,5,N
FCST,360791,241210,13,2,49,85,1,1,S,06,,50,38,100,79,0,0,N
FCST,360791,241211,13,2,44,83,1,1,WNW,08,,50,39,100,80,0,0,N
FCST,360791,241212,13,1,30,64,1,1,W,11,,45,23,89,63,0,0,N
FCST,360792,241206,13,1,29,47,1,1,NW,11,,35,18,84,44,0,0,N
FCST,360792,241207,13,2,31,60,1,1,W,08,,34,18,84,42,0,0,N
FCST,360792,241208,13,2,42,60,1,1,WSW,08,,45,24,75,54,0,0,N
FCST,360792,241209,13,2,45,88,1,1,SSW,05,,48,32,96,55,0,5,N
FCST,360792,241210,13,2,52,81,1,1,S,05,,55,39,100,74,0,0,N
FCST,360792,241211,13,2,47,80,1,1,WNW,06,,55,40,100,74,0,0,N
FCST,360792,241212,13,1,33,62,1,1,W,08,,50,23,88,58,0,0,N
FCST,360151,241206,13,1,28,47,1,1,WNW,10,,33,18,78,46,0,0,N
FCST,360151,241207,13,2,32,61,1,1,W,05,,33,19,84,42,0,0,N
FCST,360151,241208,13,1,43,61,1,1,SW,06,,44,25,84,56,0,0,N
FCST,360151,241209,13,2,46,85,1,1,SSW,05,,46,33,96,58,0,5,N
FCST,360151,241210,13,2,51,81,1,1,S,05,,52,40,100,79,0,0,N
FCST,360151,241211,13,2,45,73,1,1,NW,05,,52,38,100,73,0,0,N
FCST,360151,241212,13,1,33,59,1,1,W,06,,46,23,89,56,0,0,N
FCST,361031,241206,13,0,29,43,1,1,NW,12,,32,18,74,42,0,0,N
FCST,361031,241207,13,1,33,53,1,1,W,08,,34,17,88,41,0,0,N
FCST,361031,241208,13,1,43,55,1,1,WSW,08,,43,23,84,49,0,0,N
FCST,361031,241209,13,8,45,83,1,1,SSW,05,,46,29,100,53,0,5,N
FCST,361031,241210,13,2,52,78,1,1,SSW,05,,53,37,100,74,6,0,N
FCST,361031,241211,13,2,49,78,1,1,WNW,06,,53,40,100,74,0,0,N
FCST,361031,241212,13,1,35,54,1,1,WNW,08,,50,25,89,52,0,0,N
FCST,300971,241206,13,2,24,63,1,1,WNW,16,,29,18,92,60,0,0,N
FCST,300971,241207,13,2,28,75,1,1,W,10,,29,20,88,54,0,0,N
FCST,300971,241208,13,2,39,75,1,1,SW,11,,40,26,85,72,0,0,N
FCST,300971,241209,13,2,41,99,1,1,SSW,11,,42,35,100,73,0,5,N
FCST,300971,241210,13,2,47,86,1,1,S,10,,47,39,100,83,0,0,N
FCST,300971,241211,13,2,37,83,1,1,WNW,10,,47,34,100,79,0,0,N
FCST,300971,241212,13,2,29,68,1,1,W,12,,38,24,89,66,0,0,N

 
    
                        

877

FNUS51 KBGM 052031

FWFBGM



Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA

National Weather Service Binghamton NY

330 PM EST Thu Dec 5 2024



.SYNOPSIS...

Lake effect snow will impact portions of Central NY tonight

into the weekend. Warmer conditions will finally return Sunday

and last into next week, with a frontal system bringing a chance

for rain Monday into Tuesday.





NYZ210-060900-

Leatherstocking-

330 PM EST Thu Dec 5 2024



                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           Snow Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers

Chance Precip (%)     80           40           30           50

Temp (24h trend)      15 (-12)     27 (-4)      16           31

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      44 (-10)     100          58

20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               NW 11-15 G23              W 6-10

20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  W 16-20 G35  W 9-13 G21   W 5-9 G17    W 4-8

Precip Amount         0.09         0.03         0.04         0.03

Precip Duration       7            2            2            2

Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4290                      3160

Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 28                     W 18

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  126330                    74450

DSI                   2            2            1            1

Sunshine Hours                     3                         3

LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms     No tstms

Haines Index          3            3            3            2

ADI early             29 Fair      73 Good      12 Poor      39 Fair

ADI late              23 Fair      75 Good      14 Gen Poor  43 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       4            3            3            4

Max LVORI late        4            3            5            3



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers.

Lows in the lower 20s. Highs around 40. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the

lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s. Chance of showers 70 percent.

Southeast winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the

upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Chance of showers 70 percent.

South winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers likely.

Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 40s. Chance of

precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and a chance of

snow showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the lower

30s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. West winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ038-039-043-060900-

Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-

Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,

and Tunkhannock

330 PM EST Thu Dec 5 2024



                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy

Precip Type           Snow Showers None         Snow Showers Snow Showers

Chance Precip (%)     30           0            30           10

Temp (24h trend)      16 (-10)     29 (-2)      17           33

RH % (24h trend)      92 (-8)      41 (-10)     100          54

20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               NW 11-15 G25              W 5-9 G17

20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  W 15-19 G36  NW 8-12 G22  W 4-8        W 4-8

Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.01

Precip Duration       2                         1            1

Precip Begin          6 PM                      6 PM         1 PM

Precip End            6 AM                      3 AM         Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4420                      3350

Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 25                     W 17

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  112480                    58400

DSI                   2            2            1            1

Sunshine Hours                     4                         3

LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms     No tstms

Haines Index          3            3            2            2

ADI early             33 Fair      72 Good      15 Gen Poor  36 Fair

ADI late              28 Fair      72 Good      11 Poor      41 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       4            3            4            4

Max LVORI late        3            2            5            3



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of snow showers.

Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds

5 to 10 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the

lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of showers 70 percent.

South winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.

Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 50. South winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely and a chance

of snow showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s.

Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of snow and rain

showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the lower 30s.

Northwest winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ044-047-060900-

Lackawanna-Luzerne-

Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre

330 PM EST Thu Dec 5 2024



                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat



Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy

Precip Type           Snow Showers None         None         None

Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      16 (-12)     31 (-1)      16           33

RH % (24h trend)      92 (-8)      39 (-4)      96           52

20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               NW 12-16 G28              W 6-10 G18

20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  W 15-19 G37  NW 9-13 G24  W 4-8 G17    W 4-8

Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00

Precip Duration       1

Precip Begin          6 PM

Precip End            3 AM

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4610                      3440

Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 25                     W 17

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  117710                    59890

DSI                   2            2            2            1

Sunshine Hours                     5                         4

LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms     No tstms

Haines Index          3            2            2            2

ADI early             31 Fair      76 Good      14 Gen Poor  42 Gen Good

ADI late              23 Fair      75 Good      10 Poor      42 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       3            3            3            4

Max LVORI late        3            2            4            3



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of snow showers. Lows in

the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds around

5 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows in the lower

30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Chance of showers 70 percent. South

winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.

Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. South winds around

5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the

upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Chance of showers 70 percent.

Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of snow and rain

showers. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid 30s.

Northwest winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ040-048-072-060900-

Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-

Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,

and Honesdale

330 PM EST Thu Dec 5 2024



                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat



Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy

Precip Type           Snow Showers Snow Showers None         None

Chance Precip (%)     30           10           0            0

Temp (24h trend)      17 (-11)     28 (-4)      17           33

RH % (24h trend)      96 (-4)      36 (-17)     100          47

20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               NW 12-16 G28              W 5-9

20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  W 15-19 G35  NW 9-13 G23  W 4-8        W 4-8

Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00

Precip Duration       2            0

Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing

Precip End            Continuing   9 AM

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4290                      3740

Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 29                     W 17

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  120780                    62750

DSI                   2            2            1            1

Sunshine Hours                     5                         4

LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms     No tstms

Haines Index          3            3            3            2

ADI early             34 Fair      81 Good      15 Gen Poor  45 Gen Good

ADI late              25 Fair      79 Good      9 Poor       45 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       3            3            3            4

Max LVORI late        3            2            5            3



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of snow showers.

Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds

around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows in the lower

30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of showers 70 percent. South

winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.

Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 50. South winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the

upper 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of showers 70 percent.

South winds around 5 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of snow and rain

showers. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 30s.

Northwest winds around 5 mph.



$$

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed	Forecast

Drought MonitorExpandCollapse

U.S. Drought Monitor

Seasonal Drought Assessment

Palmer Drought Severity

Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse

One Day Precipitation Totals	Three Day Precipitation Totals	Five Day Precipitation Totals
24-Hr Observed Precipition	48-Hr Observed Precipition	72-Hr Observed Precipition

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip	14-Day Precip	30-Day Precip
60-Day Precip	90-Day Precip	Since April 1 Precip	Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Precip	12-Month Precip	24-Month Precip	36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Precip	Year-to-Date Precip	Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip Dept	14-Day Precip Dept	30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Precip Dept	90-Day Precip Dept	Since April 1 Precip Dept	Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Precip Dept	12-Month Precip Dept	24-Month Precip Dept	36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Precip Dept	Year-to-Date Precip Dept	Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip % Norm	14-Day Precip % Norm	30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precip % Norm	90-Day Precip % Norm	Since April 1 Precip % Norm	Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precip % Norm	12-Month Precip % Norm	24-Month Precip % Norm	36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm	Year-to-Date Precip % Norm	Water-Year Precip % Norm

Additional Resources:

Precipitation Mapper
Interactive Snowfall Information
Regional Snow Analysis
CoCoRaHS Precipitation Reports
NWS Binghamton Winter Weather

Climate and Fire Weather Outlook

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

6-10 Day Temp

6-10 Day Precip

8-14 Day Temp

8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

One Month Temp

One Month Precip

Three Month Temp

Three Month Precip

Fire Potential OutlooksExpandCollapse

Current Fire Potential

One Month Outlook

Two- to Three-Month Fire Potential Outlook

Two-Three Month Outlook

Fire DangerExpandCollapse

NY State Fire Danger Ratings

Observed Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Forecast Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Additional Resources:

GACC Eastern Area Weekly Outlook
GACC Eastern Area Monthly Outlook
Predictive Services 7-Day Significant Fire Potential

Fire Weather Watch:

Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.