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Guide to decoding the forecast below.

000
FNUS81 KBGM 191931
FWMBGM

FCST,301011,250920,13,1,71,33,,,E,04,,75,39,100,32,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250921,13,2,72,54,,,S,09,,75,46,100,29,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250922,13,2,73,63,,,SSW,08,,76,55,100,49,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250923,13,2,73,69,,,SW,05,,77,57,100,58,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250924,13,2,68,68,,,NNW,06,,76,56,100,64,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250925,13,1,67,61,,,NNE,06,,71,49,100,59,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250926,13,1,68,57,,,S,05,,71,48,100,55,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250920,13,1,67,35,,,NE,04,,70,37,96,33,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250921,13,1,69,50,,,S,08,,71,41,100,32,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250922,13,2,70,64,,,SSW,08,,73,51,93,46,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250923,13,2,69,77,,,SW,06,,74,55,100,59,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250924,13,2,65,71,,,NW,06,,72,54,100,68,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250925,13,1,65,65,,,N,06,,68,48,100,60,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250926,13,1,67,58,,,S,06,,69,46,100,55,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250920,13,1,73,38,,,ENE,03,,81,47,86,36,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250921,13,2,72,48,,,SE,03,,76,46,100,36,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250922,13,2,73,60,,,SSW,03,,74,50,100,44,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250923,13,2,77,68,,,SW,04,,79,56,100,56,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250924,13,2,74,64,,,NW,03,,79,58,100,62,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250925,13,2,68,64,,,N,04,,76,52,100,58,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250926,13,1,71,53,,,SE,03,,73,50,100,51,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250920,13,1,71,40,,,E,04,,74,45,86,39,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250921,13,2,66,58,,,SE,06,,73,48,100,38,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250922,13,2,68,70,,,SSW,06,,69,50,100,53,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250923,13,2,71,78,,,SW,06,,72,56,100,66,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250924,13,2,68,73,,,NW,06,,73,57,100,70,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250925,13,2,64,69,,,N,06,,69,50,100,65,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250926,13,1,66,61,,,SSE,05,,68,49,100,58,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250920,13,1,74,39,,,NE,02,,81,47,89,37,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250921,13,2,71,55,,,SSE,05,,78,51,100,36,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250922,13,2,72,66,,,SSW,05,,76,52,96,48,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250923,13,2,74,74,,,SW,04,,77,58,100,60,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250924,13,2,71,70,,,NW,04,,78,58,100,66,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250925,13,2,68,66,,,N,04,,75,53,100,61,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250926,13,1,69,60,,,SSE,04,,72,51,100,56,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250920,13,1,73,40,,,ENE,02,,76,40,100,38,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250921,13,2,71,58,,,S,05,,76,48,100,36,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250922,13,2,72,68,,,SSW,05,,74,54,100,53,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250923,13,2,74,75,,,SW,05,,75,58,100,62,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250924,13,2,69,73,,,NNW,04,,75,57,100,71,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250925,13,2,68,68,,,N,04,,71,50,100,65,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250926,13,1,69,61,,,SSE,04,,70,49,100,58,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250920,13,1,73,41,,,E,04,,79,46,86,38,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250921,13,2,70,54,,,SE,05,,74,46,100,38,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250922,13,2,71,64,,,SSW,05,,72,48,100,48,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250923,13,2,76,71,,,SW,05,,76,55,100,59,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250924,13,2,72,67,,,NW,05,,77,57,100,64,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250925,13,2,68,64,,,NNE,04,,73,50,100,61,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250926,13,1,70,56,,,SSE,04,,71,48,100,53,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250920,13,1,67,38,,,ENE,05,,68,44,93,37,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250921,13,1,70,58,,,S,12,,71,49,96,37,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250922,13,2,72,68,,,SSW,10,,73,57,93,55,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250923,13,2,70,80,,,SW,08,,73,58,100,66,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250924,13,2,64,81,,,NNW,09,,72,57,100,76,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250925,13,2,64,70,,,N,08,,65,51,100,68,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250926,13,1,67,64,,,S,08,,68,50,100,62,0,0,N

 
    
                        

171

FNUS51 KBGM 191931

FWFBGM



Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA

National Weather Service Binghamton NY

330 PM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025



.SYNOPSIS... High pressure remains in control of our weather

through  the weekend, with dry and mostly clear conditions

expected. The  upper level ridge breaks down by early to mid

week, bringing  increasing chance for showers and plenty of

clouds to the region.





NYZ210-200800-

Leatherstocking-

330 PM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025



                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun



Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy

Precip Type           None         None         None         None

Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            0

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      38 (-17)     71 (+2)      39           74

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      27 (-11)     100          38

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SE 3-7

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 6-10

Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00

Precip Duration

Precip Begin

Precip End

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4200                      4510

Transport Wnd (mph)                NE  5                     S 13

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  25980                     66350

DSI                   2            2            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     10                        7

ADI early             35 Fair      16 Gen Poor  14 Gen Poor  38 Fair

ADI late              4 Very Poor  20 Gen Poor  5 Very Poor  59 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       5            6            4            7

Max LVORI late        6            2            6            1



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.

Southeast winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance

of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.

Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows

in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around 5 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows

in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds around 5 mph.

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the

upper 40s. Highs around 70. North winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ038-039-043-200800-

Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-

Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,

and Tunkhannock

330 PM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025



                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun



Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy

Precip Type           None         None         None         None

Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            0

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      40 (-14)     74 (0)       46           73

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      31 (-9)      100          48

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  N 3-7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SE 3-7

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 4-8

Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00

Precip Duration

Precip Begin

Precip End

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4840                      4600

Transport Wnd (mph)                E  5                      S 12

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  23410                     54010

DSI                   2            2            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     10                        6

ADI early             41 Gen Good  16 Gen Poor  14 Gen Poor  40 Fair

ADI late              4 Very Poor  20 Gen Poor  6 Very Poor  57 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       5            7            4            9

Max LVORI late        7            2            9            1



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers. Lows in

the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around

5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of

thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.

Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows

in the upper 50s. Highs around 70. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows

around 50. Highs in the upper 60s. North winds around 5 mph.

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the

upper 40s. Highs around 70. North winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ044-047-200800-

Lackawanna-Luzerne-

Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre

330 PM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025



                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun



Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy

Precip Type           None         None         None         None

Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            0

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      43 (-11)     77 (0)       48           74

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      32 (-5)      100          43

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  N 3-7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SE 3-7

Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00

Precip Duration

Precip Begin

Precip End

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             5320                      4700

Transport Wnd (mph)                SE  3                     S 10

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  25880                     48380

DSI                   2            2            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     10                        6

ADI early             43 Gen Good  18 Gen Poor  17 Gen Poor  39 Fair

ADI late              5 Very Poor  23 Fair      5 Very Poor  50 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       4            6            4            9

Max LVORI late        6            2            9            2



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid

70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of

thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.

Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows

in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds around

5 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows

in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. North winds around

5 mph.

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in

the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ040-048-072-200800-

Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-

Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,

and Honesdale

330 PM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025



                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun



Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy

Precip Type           None         None         None         None

Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            0

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      41 (-15)     73 (-3)      43           71

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      34 (-8)      100          44

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SE 3-7

Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00

Precip Duration

Precip Begin

Precip End

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4880                      4530

Transport Wnd (mph)                SE  5                     SE 10

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  23720                     46510

DSI                   2            2            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     10                        6

ADI early             48 Gen Good  20 Gen Poor  18 Gen Poor  39 Fair

ADI late              5 Very Poor  26 Fair      4 Very Poor  52 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       5            7            5            9

Max LVORI late        7            2            9            1



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 70s.

Southeast winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. South

winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight

chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the

lower 70s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. West winds around

5 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows

around 50. Highs in the upper 60s. North winds around 5 mph.

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the

upper 40s. Highs around 70. North winds around 5 mph.



$$

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed	Forecast

Drought MonitorExpandCollapse

U.S. Drought Monitor

Seasonal Drought Assessment

Palmer Drought Severity

Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse

One Day Precipitation Totals	Three Day Precipitation Totals	Five Day Precipitation Totals
24-Hr Observed Precipition	48-Hr Observed Precipition	72-Hr Observed Precipition

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip	14-Day Precip	30-Day Precip
60-Day Precip	90-Day Precip	Since April 1 Precip	Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Precip	12-Month Precip	24-Month Precip	36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Precip	Year-to-Date Precip	Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip Dept	14-Day Precip Dept	30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Precip Dept	90-Day Precip Dept	Since April 1 Precip Dept	Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Precip Dept	12-Month Precip Dept	24-Month Precip Dept	36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Precip Dept	Year-to-Date Precip Dept	Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip % Norm	14-Day Precip % Norm	30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precip % Norm	90-Day Precip % Norm	Since April 1 Precip % Norm	Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precip % Norm	12-Month Precip % Norm	24-Month Precip % Norm	36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm	Year-to-Date Precip % Norm	Water-Year Precip % Norm

Additional Resources:

Precipitation Mapper
Interactive Snowfall Information
Regional Snow Analysis
CoCoRaHS Precipitation Reports
NWS Binghamton Winter Weather

Climate and Fire Weather Outlook

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

6-10 Day Temp

6-10 Day Precip

8-14 Day Temp

8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

One Month Temp

One Month Precip

Three Month Temp

Three Month Precip

Fire Potential OutlooksExpandCollapse

Current Fire Potential

One Month Outlook

Two- to Three-Month Fire Potential Outlook

Two-Three Month Outlook

Fire DangerExpandCollapse

NY State Fire Danger Ratings

Observed Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Forecast Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Additional Resources:

GACC Eastern Area Weekly Outlook
GACC Eastern Area Monthly Outlook
Predictive Services 7-Day Significant Fire Potential

Fire Weather Watch:

Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.