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Guide to decoding the forecast below.

763
FNUS81 KBGM 171932
FWMBGM

FCST,301011,251018,13,2,66,46,,,S,08,,68,41,89,43,0,0,N
FCST,301011,251019,13,2,69,61,,,S,14,,71,49,89,40,0,0,N
FCST,301011,251020,13,2,56,64,,,WNW,12,,73,46,100,56,15,3,N
FCST,301011,251021,13,2,59,53,,,SSW,11,,61,38,90,51,0,0,N
FCST,301011,251022,13,2,51,64,,,W,11,,62,39,100,49,0,0,N
FCST,301011,251023,13,2,53,59,,,W,09,,55,38,100,57,0,0,N
FCST,301011,251024,13,2,53,62,,,W,09,,56,38,100,52,0,0,N
FCST,300171,251018,13,2,61,53,,,S,06,,62,37,92,43,0,0,N
FCST,300171,251019,13,2,69,59,,,SSE,13,,70,46,84,50,0,0,N
FCST,300171,251020,13,2,53,79,,,W,11,,72,47,100,56,11,8,N
FCST,300171,251021,13,2,58,54,,,S,10,,59,38,100,53,0,0,N
FCST,300171,251022,13,2,49,69,,,W,11,,60,39,100,51,7,0,N
FCST,300171,251023,13,2,49,70,,,W,10,,52,38,100,64,0,0,N
FCST,300171,251024,13,2,49,72,,,WSW,09,,52,36,100,59,0,0,N
FCST,361802,251018,13,2,64,44,,,SSW,02,,65,39,89,32,0,0,N
FCST,361802,251019,13,2,72,60,,,SSE,08,,74,43,100,43,0,0,N
FCST,361802,251020,13,2,59,68,,,W,08,,75,49,100,56,11,3,N
FCST,361802,251021,13,1,63,50,,,SSW,06,,64,40,98,48,0,0,N
FCST,361802,251022,13,2,57,56,,,WNW,08,,65,40,100,47,0,0,N
FCST,361802,251023,13,2,58,50,,,W,05,,59,39,94,49,0,0,N
FCST,361802,251024,13,2,56,61,,,W,06,,60,39,100,48,0,0,N
FCST,360791,251018,13,2,61,50,,,SW,05,,63,39,85,45,0,0,N
FCST,360791,251019,13,2,66,68,,,SSE,13,,67,46,96,46,0,0,N
FCST,360791,251020,13,2,53,76,,,W,13,,68,46,100,63,10,3,N
FCST,360791,251021,13,1,58,55,,,SSW,11,,59,39,91,53,0,0,N
FCST,360791,251022,13,2,49,69,,,W,12,,60,40,97,52,0,0,N
FCST,360791,251023,13,2,51,61,,,W,10,,52,38,100,59,0,0,N
FCST,360791,251024,13,2,49,73,,,W,09,,53,39,96,56,0,0,N
FCST,360792,251018,13,2,64,48,,,SW,04,,67,41,89,44,0,0,N
FCST,360792,251019,13,2,69,65,,,SSE,13,,72,47,94,44,0,0,N
FCST,360792,251020,13,2,56,73,,,W,11,,74,48,100,57,10,3,N
FCST,360792,251021,13,2,61,55,,,SSW,09,,63,40,92,52,0,0,N
FCST,360792,251022,13,2,52,65,,,W,10,,64,41,95,51,0,0,N
FCST,360792,251023,13,2,54,60,,,W,08,,57,39,97,55,0,0,N
FCST,360792,251024,13,2,53,71,,,W,06,,58,40,96,52,0,0,N
FCST,360151,251018,13,2,65,48,,,SSW,05,,66,39,92,45,0,0,N
FCST,360151,251019,13,2,71,62,,,SSE,12,,71,47,96,43,0,0,N
FCST,360151,251020,13,2,56,72,,,W,10,,73,47,100,57,10,3,N
FCST,360151,251021,13,2,61,53,,,SSW,08,,61,39,96,51,0,0,N
FCST,360151,251022,13,2,53,62,,,W,09,,63,39,100,50,0,0,N
FCST,360151,251023,13,2,53,61,,,W,06,,54,38,100,59,0,0,N
FCST,360151,251024,13,2,53,68,,,WSW,06,,56,38,100,54,0,0,N
FCST,361031,251018,13,2,63,48,,,SSW,04,,63,38,89,36,0,0,N
FCST,361031,251019,13,2,70,64,,,SSE,10,,71,42,100,45,0,0,N
FCST,361031,251020,13,2,58,71,,,W,10,,72,48,100,59,11,3,N
FCST,361031,251021,13,1,61,52,,,SSW,08,,62,38,100,50,0,0,N
FCST,361031,251022,13,1,54,60,,,WNW,09,,63,40,100,49,0,0,N
FCST,361031,251023,13,2,56,54,,,W,08,,57,38,99,51,0,0,N
FCST,361031,251024,13,2,55,65,,,W,06,,58,37,100,50,0,0,N
FCST,300971,251018,13,2,63,55,,,S,10,,64,43,82,54,0,0,N
FCST,300971,251019,13,2,69,63,,,SSE,19,,70,53,77,48,0,0,N
FCST,300971,251020,13,2,53,81,,,WNW,14,,70,49,100,61,11,7,N
FCST,300971,251021,13,2,57,60,,,SSW,13,,57,41,86,59,0,0,N
FCST,300971,251022,13,2,49,73,,,W,13,,58,42,93,59,0,0,N
FCST,300971,251023,13,2,51,66,,,W,11,,52,41,96,63,0,0,N
FCST,300971,251024,13,2,51,73,,,W,11,,52,41,97,63,0,0,N

 
    
                        

412

FNUS51 KBGM 171931

FWFBGM



Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA

National Weather Service Binghamton NY

330 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025



.SYNOPSIS... *A frosty morning gives way to increasing clouds

today as high  pressure maintains its grip on upstate NY. *A few

showers tonight and tomorrow will be accompanied by  moderating

temperatures for Saturday and Sunday. *Multiple rounds of showers

will buffet the region Sunday night  and Monday with winds

gusting 25 to 40mph.





NYZ210-180800-

Leatherstocking-

330 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025



                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun



Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy

Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Showers

Chance Precip (%)     0            0            10           30

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      34 (+3)      65 (+10)     44           73

RH % (24h trend)      96 (-4)      41 (+9)      96           47

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 4-8        S 8-12 G22

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      S 3-7        S 5-9 G18    S 12-16 G25

Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03

Precip Duration                                 0            1

Precip Begin                                    2 AM         Continuing

Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2320                      3680

Transport Wnd (mph)                S  8                      S 30

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  27370                     141080

DSI                   1            1            1            1

Sunshine Hours                     7                         5

ADI early             20 Gen Poor  11 Poor      11 Poor      44 Gen Good

ADI late              3 Very Poor  17 Gen Poor  7 Poor       79 Good

Max LVORI early       5            6            4            5

Max LVORI late        5            2            4            1



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.MONDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s.

Chance of showers near 100 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.

Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around 40.

Highs in the lower 50s. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest

winds 5 to 10 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain

showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. West

winds around 10 mph.

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers.

Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds around

5 mph.



$$



PAZ038-039-043-180800-

Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-

Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,

and Tunkhannock

330 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025



                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun



Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy

Precip Type           None         None         None         Showers

Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            40

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      37 (+5)      67 (+10)     45           72

RH % (24h trend)      96 (-4)      42 (+4)      93           53

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 4-8        S 8-12 G22

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      S 3-7        S 5-9 G18    S 12-16 G25

Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05

Precip Duration                                              1

Precip Begin                                                 2 PM

Precip End                                                   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2190                      3870

Transport Wnd (mph)                S 10                      S 30

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  24860                     120620

DSI                   1            1            1            1

Sunshine Hours                     6                         4

ADI early             23 Fair      10 Poor      14 Gen Poor  49 Gen Good

ADI late              2 Very Poor  22 Fair      7 Poor       79 Good

Max LVORI early       5            6            4            5

Max LVORI late        6            2            5            3



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.MONDAY...Showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.

Chance of showers 90 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in

the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows

around 40. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers. Lows

in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in

the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ044-047-180800-

Lackawanna-Luzerne-

Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre

330 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025



                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun



Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy

Precip Type           None         None         None         Showers

Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            30

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      38 (+4)      67 (+9)      45           72

RH % (24h trend)      92 (+3)      40 (+4)      96           53

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SE 6-10 G20

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 4-8        S 11-15 G24

Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03

Precip Duration                                              1

Precip Begin                                                 2 PM

Precip End                                                   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2490                      3960

Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  8                     S 28

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  20380                     112360

DSI                   1            1            1            2

Sunshine Hours                     7                         4

ADI early             29 Fair      11 Poor      13 Gen Poor  39 Fair

ADI late              3 Very Poor  20 Gen Poor  6 Very Poor  72 Good

Max LVORI early       4            5            4            6

Max LVORI late        5            2            5            3



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.MONDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.

Chance of showers 90 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows around

40. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows

in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to

10 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the

mid 50s. West winds around 10 mph.

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers. Lows

around 40. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ040-048-072-180800-

Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-

Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,

and Honesdale

330 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025



                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun



Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy

Precip Type           None         None         None         Showers

Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            20

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      37 (+3)      66 (+9)      42           71

RH % (24h trend)      92 (+4)      43 (+10)     96           55

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SE 4-8 G17

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 9-13 G20

Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01

Precip Duration                                              0

Precip Begin                                                 2 PM

Precip End                                                   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2730                      3660

Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  7                     S 24

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  19030                     84920

DSI                   1            1            1            2

Sunshine Hours                     7                         5

ADI early             35 Fair      10 Poor      13 Gen Poor  44 Gen Good

ADI late              4 Very Poor  19 Gen Poor  4 Very Poor  61 Good

Max LVORI early       4            6            4            7

Max LVORI late        5            2            6            3



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.MONDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in

the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Chance of precipitation

90 percent. South winds around 10 mph.

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the

upper 30s. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows

in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in

the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in

the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds around 5 mph.



$$

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed	Forecast

Drought MonitorExpandCollapse

U.S. Drought Monitor

Seasonal Drought Assessment

Palmer Drought Severity

Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse

One Day Precipitation Totals	Three Day Precipitation Totals	Five Day Precipitation Totals
24-Hr Observed Precipition	48-Hr Observed Precipition	72-Hr Observed Precipition

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip	14-Day Precip	30-Day Precip
60-Day Precip	90-Day Precip	Since April 1 Precip	Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Precip	12-Month Precip	24-Month Precip	36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Precip	Year-to-Date Precip	Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip Dept	14-Day Precip Dept	30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Precip Dept	90-Day Precip Dept	Since April 1 Precip Dept	Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Precip Dept	12-Month Precip Dept	24-Month Precip Dept	36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Precip Dept	Year-to-Date Precip Dept	Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip % Norm	14-Day Precip % Norm	30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precip % Norm	90-Day Precip % Norm	Since April 1 Precip % Norm	Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precip % Norm	12-Month Precip % Norm	24-Month Precip % Norm	36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm	Year-to-Date Precip % Norm	Water-Year Precip % Norm

Additional Resources:

Precipitation Mapper
Interactive Snowfall Information
Regional Snow Analysis
CoCoRaHS Precipitation Reports
NWS Binghamton Winter Weather

Climate and Fire Weather Outlook

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

6-10 Day Temp

6-10 Day Precip

8-14 Day Temp

8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

One Month Temp

One Month Precip

Three Month Temp

Three Month Precip

Fire Potential OutlooksExpandCollapse

Current Fire Potential

One Month Outlook

Two- to Three-Month Fire Potential Outlook

Two-Three Month Outlook

Fire DangerExpandCollapse

NY State Fire Danger Ratings

Observed Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Forecast Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Additional Resources:

GACC Eastern Area Weekly Outlook
GACC Eastern Area Monthly Outlook
Predictive Services 7-Day Significant Fire Potential

Fire Weather Watch:

Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.