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WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 262
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
319 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2025

ARC047-087-131-OKC079-170000-
/O.CON.KTSA.TO.A.0262.000000T0000Z-250517T0000Z/

TORNADO WATCH 262 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ARKANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS

MADISON

IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS

FRANKLIN              SEBASTIAN

IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 1 COUNTY

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA

LE FLORE

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF CHARLESTON, FORT SMITH, HUNTSVILLE,
OZARK, AND POTEAU.

$$

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 262
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
223 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2025

MOC065-067-091-105-125-149-153-161-169-203-213-215-225-229-170000-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.A.0262.000000T0000Z-250517T0000Z/

TORNADO WATCH 262 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN MISSOURI THIS WATCH INCLUDES 14 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL MISSOURI

MARIES                PULASKI

IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI

PHELPS

IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI

DENT                  HOWELL                OREGON
SHANNON               TEXAS

IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI

DOUGLAS               LACLEDE               OZARK
TANEY                 WEBSTER               WRIGHT

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ALTON, AVA, BANGERT, BENDAVIS,
BIRCH TREE, BRANSON, COUCH, DARIEN, DAWSON, DOGWOOD, DUNCAN,
EDGEWATER BEACH, FORSYTH, FORT LEONARD WOOD, GLADDEN, GOODHOPE,
GRAFF, GREER, HOLLISTER, HOWES, HUGGINS, JADWIN, KIRBYVILLE,
LAKE SPRING, LAQUEY, LEBANON, LYNCHBURG, MANSFIELD, MARSHFIELD,
MONTIER, MOUNTAIN GROVE, NORTHVIEW, NORTHWYE, OZARK BEACH, PLATO,
POMONA, POTTERSVILLE, POWERSITE, ROBY, ROGERSVILLE, ROLLA, ROME,
SALEM, SEYMOUR, SILOAM SPRINGS, SOUTH FORK, SQUIRES, TERESITA,
THAYER, THOMASVILLE, VANZANT, VICHY, WASOLA, WAYNESVILLE,
WEST PLAINS, WHITE CHURCH, WILDERNESS, AND WINONA.

$$

LINDENBERG

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 262
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1155 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2025

TORNADO WATCH 262 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR THE
 FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

ARC005-007-009-015-023-029-033-047-049-063-065-067-071-075-083-
087-089-101-115-121-127-129-131-135-137-141-143-149-170000-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0262.250516T1655Z-250517T0000Z/

AR
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAXTER               BENTON              BOONE
CARROLL              CLEBURNE            CONWAY
CRAWFORD             FRANKLIN            FULTON
INDEPENDENCE         IZARD               JACKSON
JOHNSON              LAWRENCE            LOGAN
MADISON              MARION              NEWTON
POPE                 RANDOLPH            SCOTT
SEARCY               SEBASTIAN           SHARP
STONE                VAN BUREN           WASHINGTON
YELL
$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
237 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-171945-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
237 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Enhanced tornado risk.
  Moderate hail risk.
  Enhanced thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited lightning risk.
  Limited excessive rainfall risk
  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.
  Elevated fire weather risk.

DISCUSSION...

Strong to severe thunderstorms continue over south central and
central Missouri through the late afternoon. All modes of severe
weather will remain possible with the storms that remain over the
area. Large hail up to 3 inches in diameter, damaging wind gusts
up to 80 mph and tornadoes remain possible through the late
afternoon.

Clearing should take place behind a cold front and will end the
severe weather risk over the area.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Additional rounds of thunderstorms are possible Saturday night
through Tuesday. Some of these storms may be strong to severe.
Additionally, there is the potential for localized heavy rainfall
and flooding with this activity.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation may be needed throughout the remainder of the
afternoon for the eastern Ozarks, generally southeast of a Fort
Leonard Wood to Branson line.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Lindenberg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
127 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
127 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing Through Mid Evening.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing Through Mid Evening.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing Through Late Afternoon.

DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorm chances remain across southeast Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas this afternoon into early evening as a cold
front sags southeast across the region. The greater storm
potential continues to be on the east and southeastern fringes of
the forecast area in far southeast Oklahoma and west central
Arkansas. An unstable atmosphere will allow for any storm
development to quickly become severe with large hail to the size
of tennis balls and damaging wind gusts up to 75 mph as the
primary threats. A limited tornado potential also exists. Storm
chances as well as severe potentials weaken after sunset and move
off to the east and southeast mid evening.

Behind the cold front, westerly winds gusting 15 to around 25 mph
will continue through late afternoon and then should weaken this
evening.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
MONDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy
         Rain Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY...High Wind Potential.
THURSDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Unsettled weather will continue through Tuesday with several
rounds of thunderstorms expected. Storm chances increase mid to
late morning Saturday in southeast Oklahoma and spread over the
region into Saturday night. Severe storm potential also increases
again during the day Saturday for eastern Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas and remain possible into Saturday night. Greater storm
and severe potentials are likely in the Sunday evening through
Tuesday time frame before the main low pressure system finally
exits the region. In addition to the severe weather potential,
locally heavy rainfall may also occur each day through Tuesday.


weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
840 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025

ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-171000-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
840 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

More showers and thunderstorms will develop late this morning
through this afternoon and evening. Severe weather will be possible
with this activity across much of the state. However...the best
potential for seeing severe thunderstorms will be across the
northeast third of the area. Very large hail up to or greater than
baseball size...and damaging winds possibly in excess of 70 mph will
be the main threats. A few tornadoes will also be
possible...especially across northeast Arkansas. While widespread
heavy rainfall isn`t expected...locally heavy rainfall could result
in some flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

More severe weather will be possible on Saturday as activity from
Oklahoma and Texas moves into southwestern sections of the state
Saturday afternoon/evening. Very large hail and some damaging
winds will be the primary threats expected with the strongest
thunderstorms. Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible.

The potential for organized severe weather does decrease for
Sunday into Monday...but thunderstorms will remain possible. A few
thunderstorms could be strong to severe as well on Sunday and
Monday. However...the potential for more organized severe weather
looks to return for Tuesday as a new stronger storm system moves
across the region.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation may be needed through tonight.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

55/mid shift

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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