Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
523 AM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
523 AM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...Early Afternoon.
DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop again
early to mid afternoon, with the highest coverage across western
Arkansas. Severe weather is not expected, but gusty winds and
locally heavy rainfall may occur with the strongest thunderstorms.
The potential for thunderstorm development will decrease by mid to
late evening.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm and Heavy Rain Potential.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Afternoon and evening thunderstorm development is again expected
on Tuesday across mainly far eastern Oklahoma and into western
Arkansas. Toward the middle to latter part of this week, multiple
rounds of thunderstorms are expected as an upper level trough
moves into and lingers across the central United States. While a
very low chance of severe weather will exist during this time
frame, an increased potential for heavy rainfall currently
appears to the more substantial threat. The potential for isolated
thunderstorms will extend into the weekend.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
423 AM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-160930-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
423 AM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Limited lightning risk.
DISCUSSION...
Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected across
the area today. Severe weather is not expected, though stronger
storms could produce wind gusts of 30 to 40 miles per hour.
Lightning will be the main hazard.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Scattered afternoon thunderstorms will be possible again Tuesday
before more widespread rain arrives Wednesday through late week.
Total rainfall amounts are expected to remain low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Nelson
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
310 AM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-160815-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
310 AM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
A few isolated hit-or-miss thunderstorms are possible this afternoon
and evening across central and eastern Kansas. The strongest
activity will be capable of small hail, 50 mph winds, and locally
heavy rain.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
A few isolated thunderstorms remain possible Tuesday afternoon and
evening.
An unsettled weather pattern is expected late Tuesday night through
the weekend, with off-and-on scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms expected across the region. While a handful of strong
to severe thunderstorms are possible throughout this period, the
primary concern will be periodic heavy rainfall and potential
flooding concerns.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.
&&
For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict
$$
