Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
525 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026
ARZ001-002-010-011-119-120-129-219-220-229-OKZ049-053-055>071-
073>075-154-172-176-254-272-276-354-376-241030-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Northern Crawford-
Northern Franklin-North and Central Sebastian-Southern Crawford-
Central and Southern Franklin-Southern Sebastian-Pushmataha-
Choctaw-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-
Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair-
Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Western Osage-
Northern Sequoyah-Northern Le Flore-Northeast Osage-
Central and Southern Sequoyah-Central Le Flore-Southeast Osage-
Southern Le Flore-
525 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...This Morning.
DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far Southeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...This Afternoon.
DISCUSSION...
A few showers and perhaps a thunderstorm or two may move across
areas near the Kansas border this morning into early afternoon.
Heat index values will climb to near or just above 100 degrees
this afternoon across far southeast Oklahoma.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY and SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
SUNDAY through WEDNESDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Shower and thunderstorm chances will increase across parts of
northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas Friday and Friday night
before ending Saturday morning. Increasing dew points Friday will
result in afternoon heat index values over 100 degrees in many
places, especially where rain does not occur. The heat will
intensify this weekend into early next week, with heat index
values from 105 to 115 degrees likely each afternoon across much
of the area. Heat headlines will be required this weekend into
next week.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0505 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-241005-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0505 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.KEY MESSAGES...
- 30-50% rain chances this morning along and west of I-49/I-29
as the decaying remnants of showers in the Central Plains push
into eastern Kansas and western Missouri.
- Widespread measurable rainfall expected late tonight into
Friday, with accumulations up to an inch in most locations.
Localized corridors up to 2-4" will be possible, which would
increase flash flood concerns for these locations.
- Temperatures return to the upper 90s this weekend, with 100+
degree heat indices making a comeback as well.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
408 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-240915-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
408 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
east central Kansas, south central Kansas and southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Scattered thunderstorms will continue this morning for portions of
central, south central, and eastern Kansas. Heavy rainfall and
frequent lightning are possible with the strongest thunderstorms.
Additional thunderstorms are expected this evening into tonight
across the entire forecast area. Heavy rainfall and frequent
lightning are possible with the strongest thunderstorms.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday
Showers and thunderstorms will continue into Friday. No severe
weather is expected.
Dangerous afternoon heat indices greater than 105 degrees are
possible this weekend into next week.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.
&&
For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
231 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026
KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-240745-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
231 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Kansas, east central
Kansas, north central Kansas and northeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Localized heavy rainfall will be possible across north-central and
central Kansas this morning, which may lead to flooding of creeks
and streams.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
Another round of heavy rainfall into early Friday could lead to
additional flooding of area creeks and streams.
Heat index values of 100 to 105 degrees will be possible Saturday
afternoon, with heat index values of 105 to 110 degrees possible
Sunday and Monday afternoon.
&&
Spotters are encouraged to report rainfall amounts over one inch and
any flooding to the National Weather Service in Topeka.
&&
More detailed information can be found at:
www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
158 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-240700-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
158 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Limited lightning risk.
Limited excessive rainfall risk
DISCUSSION...
20 to 40 percent chances for showers and a few thunderstorms
through this morning into the early afternoon, generally along and
west of Interstate 49. Additional 30 to 50 percent chances for
showers and thunderstorms overnight tonight. Localized heavy
rainfall and flooding is possible across portions of the area,
especially in areas that see repeated thunderstorms.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
40 to 70 percent chances for showers and thunderstorms through
Friday into Saturday morning. Localized heavy rainfall and
flooding is possible across portions of the area, especially in
areas that see repeated thunderstorms.
Heat is expected to return to the region on Sunday into early
next week. Increasing confidence for highs in the middle 90s to
near 100, with heat index values around 100 to 110 degrees.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Perez
