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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
309 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-192115-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
309 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms in southern MO and
IL through the early evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms are possible again late Wednesday night through
Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

$$

BSH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
236 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-191545-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
236 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Patchy fog is possible areawide late tonight with areas north of
Highway 50 having the highest chances. Visibilities less than 1 mile
are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Patchy fog is possible areawide Wednesday morning with areas north
of Highway 50 having the highest chances. Visibilities less than 1
mile are possible.

Showers and embedded thunderstorm chances return for late Wednesday
night through Friday. A few strong storms are possible late
Wednesday night into Thursday morning, with dime to nickel size hail
possible with the stronger storms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
147 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-191100-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
147 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025 /247 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible across the Quad State
late this afternoon through this evening. A few strong to severe
storms will be possible over southeast Missouri and much of the
Purchase Area of west Kentucky. Damaging winds, large hail, and
even a tornado or two will be possible with any severe storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

A chance of thunderstorms returns late Wednesday night in
southeast Missouri and continues intermittently over much of the
region Thursday through Friday night. Locally heavy rainfall and
lightning will be the primary concerns through the period.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation cannot be ruled out later this afternoon and
into the evening over southeast Missouri and the Purchase Area of
west Kentucky.

$$

DRS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
121 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-191930-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
121 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Areas of fog will be possible late tonight into Wednesday morning
across especially from highway 65 and eastward. Visibililty may
drop below a mile at times.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The fog will likely dissipate by mid morning with a clearing sky.

Widespread moderate to heavy rain will occur at times from
Wednesday night through Friday as showers and thunderstorms move
across the area. Severe storms are not expected across the area at
this time. Localized flooding may be possible for locations which
received multiple rounds of heavy rain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Lindenberg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1258 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191900-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1258 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Relatively drier air moving in behind a frontal boundary across
northeast Oklahoma will at least locally elevate the fire weather
danger for a time this afternoon. The threat is still low overall
with generally light northwesterly winds limiting spread rates,
but the well above normal temperatures and cured fuels will allow
for a limited threat this afternoon.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...No Hazards.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY...Heavy Rain Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Shower and thunderstorm chances return Wednesday evening and
overnight ahead of an approaching low pressure system from the
desert southwest. An isolated severe potential develops Wednesday
evening before instability begins to weaken overnight. Widespread
showers and a few embedded thunderstorms continue Thursday and
Thursday night, with a heavy rain threat that may lead to an
increase in flood concerns. This precipitation is forecast to
begin tapering off Friday once the low pressure system moves over
the region and a cold front moves through eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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