Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
804 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-190215-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
804 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Marginal hail risk.
Limited lightning risk.
Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.
DISCUSSION...
Gusty winds will remain possible through tonight and into tomorrow
with some gusts of 25 to 35 mph.
Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible late tonight as a
warm front moves into the area. Some storms may be capable of
hail to the size of quarters.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Widespread moderate to heavy rain will occur at times from late
Wednesday into Friday as showers and thunderstorms move across
the area. Severe storms are not expected across the area at this
time. Localized flooding may be possible for locations which
received multiple rounds of heavy rain.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Melto
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
513 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-182315-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
513 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far Northeast Oklahoma and Far Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...This Evening.
DISCUSSION...
Late this evening and overnight tonight, the thunderstorm
potential increases over parts of far northeast Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas. Instability along with veering wind profiles
will help to create a limited strong to severe potential into the
overnight hours, with hail being the main threat. Precipitation
should taper off and exit early Tuesday morning ahead of a weak
boundary moving into the region.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY...No Hazards.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...No Hazards.
SUNDAY...Heavy Rain Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Shower and thunderstorm chances return Wednesday afternoon once
low level moisture begins to increase over the region, ahead of an
approaching low pressure system from the Desert Southwest. An
isolated severe potential develops Wednesday afternoon into
Wednesday night before instability begins to weaken across eastern
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Widespread rain showers and
chances for embedded thunder continue Thursday and Thursday night
with a heavy rain threat that could lead to an increase in flood
concerns. This precipitation is forecast to begin tapering off
Friday once the low pressure system moves over the region and a
cold front drops through eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
248 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-182100-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
248 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
There is a chance of thunderstorms tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Additional thunderstorms are possible Tuesday and again Wednesday
night through Friday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Kimble
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1247 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-181900-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
1247 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025 /147 PM EST Mon Nov 17 2025/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Scattered thunderstorms are expected late tonight. A few stronger
storms could produce small hail.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected Tuesday.
Scattered small hail and isolated large hail is possible with
stronger storms Tuesday morning.
Scattered thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening
will pose a greater risk of severe weather. Scattered large hail
and an isolated tornado is possible.
Isolated thunderstorms are possible Wednesday night through
Friday. Strong storms are possible Thursday into Friday, along
with brief heavy rain.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed on Tuesday.
$$
DW
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0505 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-181105-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0505 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Precipitation chances (30-60%) return this afternoon/evening
with the highest chances occurring along and east of I-35. A
few isolated thunderstorms cannot be ruled out primarily for
central Missouri.
- Above-normal temperatures are expected through most of the
week.
- More widespread chances for precip arrive Wednesday night and
could persist into Friday with the best chances coming
Thursday.
$$
