Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
452 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-162300-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
452 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight.
POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and West Central Arkansas.
ONSET...After Midnight.
FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing...Improving After Sunset.
DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably warm temperatures and lower humidity will continue to
create limited fire weather danger into early evening across
portions of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Fire weather
concerns should decrease through this evening as humidity values
recover.
A weak frontal boundary will also sag southward over eastern
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas through tonight. Low level
moisture ahead of the front along with light winds will increase
the potential for fog development late tonight into early Sunday
morning. The greater potential is across mainly portions of
southeast Oklahoma into west central Arkansas after midnight
tonight. Conditions should improve through the morning hours
Sunday.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY...High Wind Potential.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
FRIDAY...No Hazards.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible early Monday
morning and again Monday night into early Tuesday. Shower
and thunderstorm chances increase area wide Tuesday night into
the day Wednesday with widespread rains Wednesday night through
Thursday. A few strong to severe storms are possible along
with heavy rainfall. Excessive rainfall amounts are possible
by Thursday night with both flash flooding and main stem
river flooding potential.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0504 AM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-161104-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0504 AM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Above-normal conditions today with highs mostly in the 70s.
- Slightly elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon primarily
north of I-70.
- Temperatures trend cooler starting Sunday, with precipitation
chances (20-50%) returning Monday.
$$
