Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
518 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-212330-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
518 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and West-Central Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DISCUSSION...
Periods of showers and thunderstorms will continue through this
evening before tapering off from west to east late tonight. A
couple strong to severe thunderstorms are possible through this
evening, mainly across southeast Oklahoma and west central
Arkansas, where a very low tornado threat may briefly develop.
Locally heavy rainfall will also remain possible, which may lead
to localized flash flooding, especially if additional rounds of
heavy rain occur in the same parts of far southeast Oklahoma that
saw heavy rainfall last night.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...No Hazards.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Another upper level storm system looks to affect the area Sunday
and Monday bringing another round of showers and storms and the
potential for locally heavy rainfall.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
306 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-212115-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
306 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
There is a chance for thunderstorms tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
Thunderstorms are possible Friday and Friday night.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.
$$
Carney
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
301 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-212115-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
301 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Limited lightning risk.
Elevated excessive rainfall risk
Significant Fog risk.
DISCUSSION...
Additional showers and thunderstorms will move through the region
into tonight. Some embedded thunderstorms could bring intense
rainfall rates. There may be localized rate-driven flash flood
concerns in areas that see prolonged periods of heavy rainfall.
A very moist environment will be favorable for fog formation in
places that are not actively receiving precipitation. Fog could
be locally dense, dropping visibility below a half mile.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
Showers and isolated storms will continue into Friday. Storms are
not expected to be severe.
Additional fog development may occur Friday and Saturday mornings.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Hatch
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
Issued by National Weather Service Topeka KS
229 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-212030-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
229 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected this
afternoon and tonight. Severe storms are not expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated this afternoon or tonight.
&&
For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
159 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-212000-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
159 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025 /259 PM EST Thu Nov 20 2025/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Outside of rain showers, areas of low clouds and fog may reduce
visibilities at times tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday
Showers and thunderstorms are possible across most of the area
Friday. The main threats will be lightning and heavy downpours.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed.
$$
