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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
230 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-161930-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
230 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated lightning risk.
  Limited excessive rainfall risk

DISCUSSION...

Scattered shower and thunderstorm chances today, mainly south of
Interstate 44 and east of Highway 65. While severe weather is
not expected, lightning and locally heavy rainfall will be
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Daily afternoon shower and thunderstorm chances through the
end of the week. While severe weather is not expected, lightning
and locally heavy rainfall will be possible.

Temperatures climb back to around 90 by midweek, continuing to
gradually increase into the lower 90s through the weekend. Heat
index values will gradually increase this week, reaching the
100-105 degree this weekend into early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Titus

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
144 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
144 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Mainly Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and West Central Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will continue this afternoon,
especially from southeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas. Severe
weather is not expected, but locally heavy rainfall remains
possible with the strongest storms. Heat index values from 100 to
105 degrees will be common this afternoon across eastern Oklahoma
and west central Arkansas.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
FRIDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
SUNDAY and MONDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are forecast both Wednesday
and Thursday. A weak cold front will attempt to move into
northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas on Thursday and may
provide a corridor of slightly higher thunderstorm chances. The
front will quickly lose definition with heat intensifying from
late week through next weekend. Heat index values of 100 to 105
degrees will be common during the afternoons across a large
part of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas, with some values
exceeding 105 degrees later this weekend into early next week.
Any outdoor activities should plan for higher heat stress
conditions.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
521 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-161030-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
521 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Fog is possible across southeast Kansas early this morning.

Heat indices may rise to near 100 over parts of central Kansas this
afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorm chances will return from Wednesday night through
Saturday. A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible
Wednesday night and Thursday along with locally heavy rain.

Heat indices will climb above 100 degrees on Wednesday and again
Saturday through Monday across much of the area.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
334 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-160845-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
334 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /234 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a very minimal chance for isolated thunderstorms across
west central Kansas and central Kansas in vicinity of the I-70
corridor tonight. However, severe potential is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

There is a marginal risk for strong to severe thunderstorms across
west central Kansas and portions of southwest Kansas late Wednesday.
The strongest storms will be capable of producing damaging winds in
excess of 60 to 70 mph. Quarter to half dollar size hail will also
be possible.

Thunderstorms will be also be possible Thursday. However, severe
potential is uncertain this far out.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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