Flood Warning
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
1041 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
Withlacoochee At US 41 Dunnellon affecting Levy and Citrus
Counties.
Withlacoochee At SR 200 Holder affecting Citrus County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued late tonight by 100 AM EST.
&&
FLC017-220645-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLDF1.2.ER.241010T2330Z.241102T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1041 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Withlacoochee at SR 200 Holder.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 9.0 feet, Arrowhead subdivision floods with water in
homes.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:45 AM EST Thursday the stage was 9.2 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 9:45 AM EST Thursday was 9.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 8.6 feet Sunday
morning.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
9.2 feet on 10/04/1964.
- https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Withlacoochee
SR 200 Holde 8.0 9.2 Thu 9 am 9.0 8.8 8.5 8.2 MSG
&&
LAT...LON 2879 8224 2898 8244 2907 8237 2879 8215
$$
TBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
1041 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
Withlacoochee At US 41 Dunnellon affecting Levy and Citrus
Counties.
Withlacoochee At SR 200 Holder affecting Citrus County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued late tonight by 100 AM EST.
&&
FLC017-075-220600-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-241122T0600Z/
/DNLF1.1.ER.241121T0015Z.000000T0000Z.241122T0000Z.NO/
1041 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Withlacoochee at US 41 Dunnellon.
* WHEN...Until just after midnight tonight.
* IMPACTS...At 29.0 feet, Docks and boat ramps flood.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:45 AM EST Thursday the stage was 29.0 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 29.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 29.0
feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage this
evening.
- Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
29.0 feet on 10/02/1979.
- https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Withlacoochee
US 41 Dunnello 29.0 29.0 Thu 9 am 28.9 28.9 28.8 28.8 MSG
&&
LAT...LON 2898 8244 2902 8248 2909 8244 2907 8237
$$
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
858 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Astor affecting Lake and Volusia Counties.
.River levels on the St Johns near Astor are forecast to hover
around 3 feet as winds behind a passing cold front become north to
northwesterly. The river is then forecast to resume a slow decline
early next week as winds become lighter. Residents and interests
along the Saint Johns River should continue to expect prolonged
flood impacts.
For the St. Johns River...including Astor...Moderate flooding is
forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this evening at 1000 PM EST.
&&
FLC069-127-220300-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASTF1.3.ER.240905T2237Z.241012T1215Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
858 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Astor.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 3.0 feet, Water approaches or may enter lowest homes
on or near Wildhog Road and nearby canals. Flooding reaches the
parking lot of the Juno Trail Apartments. Flooding on portions of
Alligator Road and Holiday Road. Lowest lying yards along Blue
Creek are flooded. Roads at Astor Landing Campground and Lake
Dexter Boat Ramp begin to flood. Water enters lower homes closest
to the river on McPherson Lane.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:30 AM EST Thursday the stage was 3.0 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 2.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 7:30 AM EST Thursday was 3.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to remain near to just below
3.0 feet through this weekend.
- Flood stage is 2.3 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
St Johns River
Astor 2.3 3.0 Thu 7 am 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8
&&
LAT...LON 2908 8150 2932 8169 2935 8157 2910 8142
$$
Ulrich
Small Craft Advisory
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
120 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
GMZ850-853-856-870-873-876-221200-
/O.CON.KTBW.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-241122T1200Z/
Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-
120 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...
* WHAT...North winds 20 to 25 knots and seas 5 to 8 feet
expected.
* WHERE...Tampa Bay waters, Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs
to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM, Coastal waters from Englewood
to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM, Waters from Tarpon Springs to
Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM and Waters from Englewood to
Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Friday.
* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.
&&
$$
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1249 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
AMZ450-452-454-220800-
/O.EXT.KJAX.SC.Y.0060.000000T0000Z-241123T1200Z/
Coastal waters from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach FL out
20 NM-
Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL out
20 NM-
Coastal waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL out 20 NM-
1249 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY...
* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt.
* WHERE...Southeast Georgia and Northeast Florida coastal waters
from Altamaha Sound GA to Flagler Beach FL out to 20 NM.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Saturday.
* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.
&&
$$
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1249 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
AMZ470-472-474-220800-
/O.CON.KJAX.SC.Y.0060.000000T0000Z-241123T1200Z/
Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to
60 NM-
Waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
1249 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...
* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and
seas 5 to 7 ft.
* WHERE...Southeast Georgia and Northeast Florida coastal waters
from Altamaha Sound GA to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Saturday.
* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.
&&
$$
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Miami FL
244 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
AMZ650-651-670-671-221000-
/O.EXT.KMFL.SC.Y.0047.241121T1200Z-241123T0900Z/
Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM
excluding the territorial waters of Bahamas-
244 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
4 AM EST SATURDAY...
* WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and
seas 5 to 8 ft expected.
* WHERE...Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach
FL out 20 NM, Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean
Reef FL out 20 NM, Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield
Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM and Waters from Deerfield Beach to
Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM excluding the territorial
waters of Bahamas.
* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 4 AM EST Saturday.
* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.
&&
$$
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
144 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
AMZ550-222100-
/O.EXT.KMLB.SC.Y.0056.000000T0000Z-241123T0400Z/
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-
144 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST FRIDAY...
* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30
knots and seas 4 to 7 feet.
* WHERE...Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm.
* WHEN...Until 11 PM EST Friday.
* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.
&&
$$
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
144 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
AMZ552-555-222100-
/O.EXT.KMLB.SC.Y.0056.000000T0000Z-241122T2100Z/
Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-
144 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY...
* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30
knots and seas 4 to 7 feet.
* WHERE...Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm
and Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm.
* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST Friday.
* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.
&&
$$
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
144 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
AMZ570-572-575-222100-
/O.CON.KMLB.SC.Y.0056.000000T0000Z-241123T0900Z/
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-
144 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...
* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30
knots and seas 5 to 8 feet.
* WHERE...Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm,
Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm and
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm.
* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Saturday.
* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.
&&
$$
Rip Current Statement
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
123 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
FLZ050-151-155-160-162-165-230000-
/O.CON.KTBW.RP.S.0028.000000T0000Z-241123T0000Z/
Pinellas-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-
Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Lee-
123 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...
* WHAT...For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents
expected.
* WHERE...Pinellas, Coastal Hillsborough, Coastal Manatee,
Coastal Sarasota, Coastal Charlotte and Coastal Lee Counties.
* WHEN...For the High Rip Current Risk, through Friday evening.
* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away
from shore into deeper water.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and
float. Don`t swim against the current. If able, swim in a
direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the
shore and call or wave for help.
&&
$$
Beach Hazards Statement
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
141 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
FLZ141-154-159-164-347-447-647-747-220900-
/O.CAN.KMLB.RP.S.0037.000000T0000Z-241121T0800Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.BH.S.0023.241121T0641Z-241122T0900Z/
Coastal Volusia-Coastal Indian River-Coastal Saint Lucie-
Coastal Martin-Mainland Northern Brevard-
Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-Mainland Southern Brevard-
Southern Brevard Barrier Islands-
141 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
* WHAT...A strong, southward-flowing longshore current is expected
to develop at all central Florida Atlantic beaches today, along
with a moderate risk for dangerous rip currents.
* WHERE...Coastal Volusia, Coastal Brevard, Coastal Indian River,
Coastal Saint Lucie, and Coastal Martin counties.
* WHEN...Through late tonight.
* IMPACTS...The southward-flowing current could pull swimmers into
deeper water, making them more susceptible to dangerous rip
currents. This will also generate strong rip currents near
piers, jetties, and reefs.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and
float. Don`t swim against the current. If able, swim in a
direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the
shore and call or wave for help.
&&
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Miami FL
835 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
221345-
Lake Okeechobee-Biscayne Bay-
Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM
excluding the territorial waters of Bahamas-Glades-Hendry-
Inland Palm Beach County-Metro Palm Beach County-
Coastal Collier County-Inland Collier County-Inland Broward County-
Metro Broward County-Inland Miami-Dade County-
Metropolitan Miami Dade-Mainland Monroe-Coastal Palm Beach County-
Coastal Broward County-Coastal Miami Dade County-Far South Miami-
Dade County-
Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
835 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
...High Risk of Rip Currents for the Gulf Beaches...
...Hazardous Marine Conditions: Local Waters...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters,
southeast Florida, southern Florida, southwest Florida and Gulf of
Mexico.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Rip Currents: There is a high risk of rip currents for the Gulf
beaches, and a moderate risk for the Palm Beaches.
Marine: Hazardous marine conditions across the Atlantic and Gulf
waters with elevated winds and seas.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
An elevated rip current risk will continue Friday along the Gulf and
Palm Beaches.
Cautionary to hazardous marine conditions continue across the local
waters on Friday.
Low temperatures are expected to fall into the 40s through the
weekend around the lake region and portions of interior South
Florida.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
415 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-
164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747-220000-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia-
Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Osceola-Okeechobee-Coastal Volusia-
Southern Lake-Coastal Indian River-Coastal Saint Lucie-
Coastal Martin-Inland Northern Brevard-Inland Indian River-
Inland Saint Lucie-Inland Martin-Mainland Northern Brevard-
Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-Inland Southern Brevard-
Mainland Southern Brevard-Southern Brevard Barrier Islands-
415 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Florida.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
.RIP CURRENT AND SURF IMPACT...
A moderate risk of life-threatening rip currents exists at all
central Florida Atlantic beaches today. In addition, a strong,
southward-flowing longshore current will be present. Always swim
near a lifeguard and never enter the water alone.
.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
Hazardous boating conditions will develop through the day as
northwest winds increase to 15 to 25 knots. Seas are forecast to
build, reaching 4 to 7 feet nearshore and 5 to 8 feet offshore. A
Small Craft Advisory is in effect for the local waters out to 60
nautical miles.
.FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
Breezy to gusty northwest winds will combine with low relative
humidity to produce fire sensitive conditions today, especially
along and north of Interstate 4.
.RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
The Saint Johns River near Astor is forecast to briefly climb to
near Moderate Flood Stage as northerly winds increase. Residents
and interests along the river should continue to expect prolonged
flood impacts.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
At least a moderate risk of rip currents is expected at the
central Florida Atlantic beaches from Friday into the weekend.
Boating conditions will remain hazardous on Friday before
gradually improving Friday night and Saturday.
Cooler air is forecast to remain over east central Florida into
the weekend. Minimum wind chill values in the mid 30s to mid 40s
are expected Friday and Saturday morning.
Sensitive fire weather conditions are forecast to persist into the
weekend. Low relative humidity and breezy conditions Friday will
produce an increased fire danger.
Residents and interests along the Saint Johns River near Astor
will continue to experience minor to moderate flood impacts for
the foreseeable future.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.
$$
Schaper
