Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
513 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-182315-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
513 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far Northeast Oklahoma and Far Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...This Evening.
DISCUSSION...
Late this evening and overnight tonight, the thunderstorm
potential increases over parts of far northeast Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas. Instability along with veering wind profiles
will help to create a limited strong to severe potential into the
overnight hours, with hail being the main threat. Precipitation
should taper off and exit early Tuesday morning ahead of a weak
boundary moving into the region.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY...No Hazards.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...No Hazards.
SUNDAY...Heavy Rain Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Shower and thunderstorm chances return Wednesday afternoon once
low level moisture begins to increase over the region, ahead of an
approaching low pressure system from the Desert Southwest. An
isolated severe potential develops Wednesday afternoon into
Wednesday night before instability begins to weaken across eastern
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Widespread rain showers and
chances for embedded thunder continue Thursday and Thursday night
with a heavy rain threat that could lead to an increase in flood
concerns. This precipitation is forecast to begin tapering off
Friday once the low pressure system moves over the region and a
cold front drops through eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
326 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
182130-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
326 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
A few patches of dense fog may develop overnight tonight.
Visibilities in some areas could temporarily drop below a mile.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
A few patches of dense fog could impact the early morning hours
of Tuesday. Visibilities in some places may temporarily drop
below a mile.
&&
More information may be obtained at the following web page:
https://www.weather.gov/hastings
$$
Stump
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
158 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-182000-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
158 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Marginal hail risk.
Limited lightning risk.
Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.
Elevated fire weather risk.
DISCUSSION...
Gusty winds will remain possible the afternoon into the early
evening with some gusts of 25 to 35 mph. An elevated fire risk
will persist into the early evening over the eastern Ozarks where
relative humidity values sink into the 20s and 30s this afternoon.
Strong to severe storms will be exiting the area to the north in
central MO this afternoon. Large hail will be possible with the
stronger storms until they push out of the area.
Additional storms will be possible late tonight as a warm front
moves into the area. Some storms may be capable of hail to the
size of quarters.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Widespread moderate to heavy rain will occur at times from late
Wednesday into Friday as showers and thunderstorms move across
the area. Severe storms are not expected across the area at this
time. Localized flooding may be possible for locations which
received multiple rounds of heavy rain.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Lindenberg
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0505 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-181105-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0505 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Precipitation chances (30-60%) return this afternoon/evening
with the highest chances occurring along and east of I-35. A
few isolated thunderstorms cannot be ruled out primarily for
central Missouri.
- Above-normal temperatures are expected through most of the
week.
- More widespread chances for precip arrive Wednesday night and
could persist into Friday with the best chances coming
Thursday.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
318 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-180930-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
318 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025 /218 AM MST Mon Nov 17 2025/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Elevated fire weather concerns exist this afternoon with the
combination of gusty westerly winds and low relative humidity.
Greatest overlap of these conditions will be west of Route 283.
Any fires that happen to ignite may be difficult to maintain and
get under control.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
Late week storm system is expected to bring widespread rainfall
across southwest and south central Kansas where some moderate to significant
accumulations will be possible.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation not anticipated.
$$
