Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
550 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
171200-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
550 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
Weakening thunderstorms move in from the west this evening into
tonight. Severe weather is unlikely.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
Late Saturday night into Sunday morning, areas of frost will
become possible, mainly for the northwest half of the forecast
area, or along and northwest of a line from Phillipsburg, Kansas
to Columbus, Nebraska. This includes the Tri-Cities. Low
temperatures around 33 to 38 degrees are expected in these areas.
&&
More information may be obtained at the following web page:
https://www.weather.gov/hastings
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
350 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-172100-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
350 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Tonight
There is a slight chance for showers or thunderstorms late tonight
across central Kansas, strong or severe storms are not expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday
Chances for thunderstorms will increase for south-central and
southeastern Kansas for Friday night through Saturday morning. A
few strong to marginally severe storms are possible.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.
&&
For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
230 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-171930-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
230 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Elevated fire weather risk.
DISCUSSION...
Some gusty southeast winds at 15 to 25 mph will combine with
humidity levels dipping into the 30 to 40 percent range west of
U.S. 65 to produce some elevated fire weather conditions this
afternoon.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
A strong cold front will push through the area on Saturday. Ahead
of the front, showers and thunderstorms will be possible. Some of
these storms may become strong to severe with damaging wind and
large hail as the main severe weather risks. An isolated tornado
risk can not be ruled out.
Heavy rain will accompany the storms and if enough training of
storms occurrs ahead of the front, then a localized flood risk
will be possible.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Lindenberg
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1220 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1220 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected through tonight.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.
MONDAY...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A strong upper level system is expected to translate from the
western states into the Plains Friday through Saturday. The
associated cold front is expected to move through eastern Oklahoma
and northwestern Arkansas on Saturday. Low level moisture will
increase ahead of the weather system Friday and Friday night,
setting the stage for multiple rounds of thunderstorms across the
area Friday night and Saturday. The first round of strong to
potentially severe thunderstorms is expected to move into eastern
Oklahoma late Friday night. These storms should develop over
portions of Kansas into northwestern Oklahoma Friday afternoon and
evening, and move toward our area overnight. Some of this
activity will persist into Saturday morning, with another round of
thunderstorms expected to develop along and ahead of the
approaching cold front on Saturday. Strong wind fields will exist
over the area and the amount of instability that is able to
develop will be dependent on the amount of clouds and lingering
rain from the earlier activity. Even though uncertainties exist
with this scenario, there is potential for severe weather across
far eastern Oklahoma and northwestern Arkansas Saturday.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0508 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-171008-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0508 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.KEY MESSAGES...
* Well above normal temperatures in the mid 70s to mid 80s
continue through Saturday
- At this point in the season, to around 15 deg above normal
* Next chance for thunderstorms arrives late Friday afternoon
into Friday night and may continue into Saturday
- A few strong to isolated severe storms will be possible
- Main Threats: Strong wind 50 to 60 mph and hail up to
quarter size
- Where: Primarily eastern KS and western MO
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
320 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-170830-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
320 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025 /220 AM MDT Thu Oct 16 2025/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
There is a marginal risk of strong to severe thunderstorms this
afternoon west northwest of Garden City between 3 pm and 9 pm.
Isolated wind gusts up to 60 mph and quarter size hail will be
possible.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday
There is a marginal risk for strong to severe thunderstorms
Friday east of a Coldwater to Pratt line. Main hazards will be
wind gusts up to 60 mph and hail.
Sunday morning we are currently monitoring the potential for the
first frost of the season to occur. Exact locations are still
somewhat unclear but temperatures are expected to fall into the
30s early Sunday morning west of highway 283.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated late today or Friday.
$$
