Red Flag Warning
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Norman OK
223 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026
OKZ005-015-016-037-TXZ084-085-160200-
/O.CON.KOUN.FW.W.0027.000000T0000Z-260516T0200Z/
Woods-Dewey-Custer-Tillman-Foard-Wilbarger-
223 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR HOT, DRY, and WINDY CONDITIONS FOR WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...
* WINDS...South 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 10 percent.
* TEMPERATURES...Up to 102.
* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
Outdoor burning is not recommended.
* SEVERITY...
FUELS (ERC)...50th-69th percentile...3 (out of 5).
WEATHER...Near Critical...2 (out of 5).
FIRE ENVIRONMENT...5 (out of 10).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures will
contribute to extreme fire behavior.
&&
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
521 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-162045-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
521 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
east central Kansas, south central Kansas and southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Tonight
A few thunderstorms are possible late this evening, mainly west of
Interstate 135. If a storm or two can form, quarter size hail and 60
mph winds are possible. Most locations will likely remain
thunderstorm-free.
Additional thunderstorms are possible along Interstate 70, late this
evening into tonight. The strongest storms may produce hail up to
quarter size, wind gusts near 60 mph, and heavy rainfall.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday
A few isolated thunderstorms will remain possible late Saturday and
again late Sunday, mainly along and west of Interstate 135. Severe
weather is possible with any storms that form, but most locations
will likely stay thunderstorm-free.
Better chances for thunderstorms arrive late Monday afternoon
through night, with severe weather and heavy rainfall possible.
Additional hit-or-miss showers and thunderstorms are possible
Tuesday through week`s end, but severe weather is not expected with
this activity.
Very high grassfire danger is expected both Sunday and Monday
afternoons generally west of Interstate 135, due to strong south
winds, low humidity, and above average temperatures.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.
&&
For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
416 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
161200-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
416 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
A few severe storms will be possible between 5pm and midnight this
evening, mainly along and southeast of a line from York, Nebraska
to Osborne, Kansas. The strongest storms may produce hail up to
the size of ping pong balls with thunderstorm wind gusts near 60
MPH.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
There are several chances for thunderstorms Saturday, Sunday and
Monday. Severe weather is possible, especially Saturday evening
into the overnight and Sunday afternoon and evening. Very large
hail and damaging wind gusts will be the primary threats, but
tornadoes will also be possible, particularly on Sunday. Stay
tuned for forecast updates which will refine the expected
location, intensity and timing of any storm development.
Near-critical to critical fire weather conditions will return to
at least western and southwestern portions of the area this
weekend.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters are encouraged to report any size of hail or wind gusts
over 50 mph.
&&
More information may be obtained at the following web page:
https://www.weather.gov/hastings
$$
Thies
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
241 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026
KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-161945-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
241 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central,
north central, and northeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
There is a slight risk for severe thunderstorms this evening
for areas north of Interstate 70. If thunderstorms are able to
develop, they could be capable of producing large hail and
damaging winds. The most likely window for severe storms is
forecast to be from 6 to 11 pm this evening.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday
There is a conditional risk for severe thunderstorms during the
late afternoon and evening hours of Saturday and Sunday for mainly
north central Kansas. It is not certain that thunderstorms will
develop. But if they do they may be capable of large hail and
damaging winds.
A greater risk for severe thunderstorms is expected Monday and
could impact all of north central, northeast and east central
Kansas. Conditions are forecast to become favorable for supercell
thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, very large hail,
damaging winds and flash flooding. People will need to be weather
aware on Monday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters are encouraged to report severe weather to the National
Weather Service in Topeka.
&&
More detailed information can be found at:
www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf
$$
Wolters
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
134 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026
ARZ001-002-010-011-119-120-129-219-220-229-OKZ049-053-055>071-
073>075-154-172-176-254-272-276-354-376-161845-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Northern Crawford-
Northern Franklin-North and Central Sebastian-Southern Crawford-
Central and Southern Franklin-Southern Sebastian-Pushmataha-
Choctaw-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-
Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair-
Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Western Osage-
Northern Sequoyah-Northern Le Flore-Northeast Osage-
Central and Southern Sequoyah-Central Le Flore-Southeast Osage-
Southern Le Flore-
134 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DISCUSSION...
Isolated thunderstorms will remain possible through the
afternoon and into the overnight hours. Severe weather is not
expected at this time. Winds will continue to gust 20 to 30 mph
through the afternoon and evening.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY and SUNDAY...Thunderstorm and High Wind Potential.
MONDAY...Severe Thunderstorm and High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm and Heavy Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will remain possible
Saturday and Sunday. The risk of severe weather during this time
frame is very low. More widespread thunderstorms are expected
Monday into Tuesday as a slow moving cold front moves into
the region. Severe weather may develop along and ahead of the
cold front with a risk of locally heavy rainfall also possible.
The weather pattern may remain unsettled through mid to late
next week.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
120 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-161830-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
120 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Marginal thunderstorm wind damage risk.
Limited lightning risk.
DISCUSSION...
Storms are expected to move into the area late tonight. The
strongest storms will be across central Missouri with the main
hazard being damaging wind gusts. Additional scattered storms will
continue through the day on Saturday.
Some winds will continue to gust this afternoon and tonight up to
30 mph.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
While a dry period will be possible Saturday night into Sunday,
strong to severe storms will again be possible late Sunday night
into Tuesday as a front gradually shifts into and through the
area. Heavy rain will accompany the storms which may bring some
localized flooding to the area.
Gusty winds over 30 mph will be possible on Sunday and Monday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Lindenberg
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0506 AM CDT Fri May 15 2026
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-161006-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0506 AM CDT Fri May 15 2026
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Active weather pattern continues into early next week.
- Strong to severe storms will be possible tonight, primarily
across NW Kansas into NW Missouri.
- Marginal risk for strong to severe storms on Saturday and
Sunday, once again primarily for NW Missouri.
- Best chance for severe weather comes Monday afternoon into
late Monday night. All severe hazards will be possible.
- Locally moderate to heavy rainfall will also be possible.
- Chances for strong to severe storms may linger into Tuesday.
- Hot temperatures expected today through Monday.
$$
