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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
539 AM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-051000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
539 AM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025

SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING THREAT TO INCREASE TODAY, WITH
FLOODING THREAT CONTINUING SATURDAY...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Elevated.
    AREA...Far Southeast Oklahoma into Western Arkansas.
    ONSET...This Afternoon.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Significant.
AREA...Mainly Along and South of Interstate 44.
ONSET...Ongoing.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...This Afternoon.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Critical.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Late Tonight.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will continue this morning
across eastern Oklahoma into western Arkansas, with an elevated
severe weather risk. Large hail to 2 inches in diameter is the
primary threat, with locally damaging winds also possible.

After a relative lull in the storm activity around midday,
thunderstorms are expected to redevelop during the afternoon
across far eastern Oklahoma into western Arkansas near a
retreating frontal boundary, with an elevated to significant risk
of severe weather. If the frontal boundary retreats far enough to
the north, environmental conditions will favor all modes of
severe weather, including large hail, locally damaging winds, and
tornadoes. This threat will shift to the east early this evening.

Multiple rounds of thunderstorms between today and Saturday are
expected to yield rainfall totals in the 4 to 8 inch range across
far southeast Oklahoma into west central Arkansas, with 3 to 5
inches across the rest of southeast Oklahoma into far northwest
Arkansas. Isolated totals over 8 inches are possible. The heavy
rainfall is likely to result in some dangerous flash flooding and
main-stem river flooding that will likely linger into early next
week.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...
           Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY...Winter Weather Potential...High Wind Potential.
MONDAY through THURSDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Rain may mix with or change to snow across parts of northeast
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas before ending late Saturday night
into early Sunday. As mentioned above, main-stem river flooding
will likely linger into early next week, otherwise an extended
period of quiet weather is expected next week.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Severe weather and flooding impacts are likely to impact parts of
eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas now through the weekend.
Multiple periods of response may be required.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
446 AM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-051000-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
446 AM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025 /346 AM MDT Fri Apr 4 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The probability of widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
423 AM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
050930-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
423 AM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Some snow is possible tonight. Little or no accumulation is
expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected on Saturday across
portions of the outlook area.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
340 AM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-050845-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
340 AM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A few thunderstorms could impact southeast Kansas this afternoon
and evening but strong or severe storms are not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Snow may mix with rain at times Saturday night into early Sunday.
Little or no snow accumulation is expected at this time.

Widespread sub-freezing temperatures are expected late Saturday
night into early Sunday morning and again late Sunday night into
Monday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
321 AM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-050830-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
321 AM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Moderate tornado risk.
  Enhanced hail risk.
  Slight thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Significant lightning risk.
  Extreme excessive rainfall risk
  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

Thunderstorms will move back into the area this morning and
overspread the region. Some small hail will be possible with the
stronger storms this morning. As a warm front approaches the area,
hail to the size of quarters will be possible earlier in the
afternoon. If the front can make it into south central Missouri
later this afternoon, then all modes of severe storms will be
possible south of that front including tornadoes and large hail to
the size of golf balls.

In addition to the severe storm potential, very heavy rain and
flooding will be possible today and tonight, with the best chances
for excessive rain and flooding, along and southeast of the
Interstate 44 corridor.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Heavy rainfall and flooding is likely to continue on Saturday.
Storm system total amounts of at least 3 to 6 inches, with higher
amounts of 8 to 10 inches are possible. This could result in
significant flooding and flash flooding.  A Flood Watch is in
effect for areas along and southeast of Interstate 44.

Cold temperatures will move into the area late in the weekend
which could bring sub-freezing temperatures on Sunday night and
again on Monday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and this evening
over south central Missouri, most likely southeast of a Branson to
Salem line.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Lindenberg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
318 AM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-050830-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
318 AM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Showers expected today...some thunderstorms possible south of I-70
 this afternoon and evening however no hazardous weather is
 expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

 Rain may mix with snow Saturday night into Sunday morning however no
 accumulation is expected

 Freeze conditions are possible Sunday morning through Tuesday
 morning


 Please go to weather.gov/eax/hwo for more information on
 potential weather hazards.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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