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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
457 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-051100-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
457 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Slight risk for flash flooding in southeastern portions of the
forecast area with 2+ inches of rain possible through tonight.

Slight risk for severe weather in the aforementioned area this
evening as well, with damaging winds being the main possible threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

More detailed information can be accessed at...
https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
442 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-
032>034-041>044-053>055-061-051445-
Mitchell-Howard-Winneshiek-Allamakee-Floyd-Chickasaw-Fayette-
Clayton-Wabasha-Dodge-Olmsted-Winona-Mower-Fillmore-Houston-
Taylor-Clark-Buffalo-Trempealeau-Jackson-La Crosse-Monroe-Juneau-
Adams-Vernon-Crawford-Richland-Grant-
442 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast
Minnesota...northeast Iowa and southwest into central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

An isolated thunderstorm is possible today and tonight, mainly
over northeast Iowa and southwest Wisconsin. Occasional lightning
strikes would be the main hazard.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

There is a low probability for thunderstorms around midday
Tuesday towards central Wisconsin. If storms manage to form,
there is a risk that they could become severe with damaging winds
and a brief tornado possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

No action needed.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

No webinar is scheduled.

$$

KDS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
426 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-051030-
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Iowa-Johnson-
Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Jefferson-
Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-
Whiteside-Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-
Warren-Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
426 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northwest Illinois...west central Illinois...east
central Iowa...northeast Iowa...southeast Iowa and northeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

The wet weather pattern will continue into Tuesday morning.
Additional rainfall totals of a half inch to 2 inches or more are
expected, with the highest amounts east of the Mississippi River.
The moderate to heavy rainfall could lead to ponding of water in
low-lying and poor drainage areas, and to rises on area creeks,
streams, and tributary rivers.

There continues to be a Slight Risk (level 1 of 4) for excessive
rainfall tonight, and a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for severe
storms south of Interstate 80 for this evening and tonight. The
primary threat is localized damaging winds. There is also a low
chance for a brief tornado.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

Strong southwest winds are expected on Tuesday with gusts around
40 mph possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed tonight south of Interstate 80.

GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY:

Toward the northeast at 40 to 50 MPH.

$$

Uttech

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
356 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-051000-
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
356 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue through early
morning, particularly over southeastern Wisconsin.

Additional widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected
tonight. Additional bouts of heavy rainfall are possible, leading
to the potential for additional minor river rises and localized
urban and small stream flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

An isolated severe storm is possible late Tuesday morning and
afternoon. Damaging wind gusts and a brief, weak tornado are the
primary concerns.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
354 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

ILZ027-029-036-037-040>042-047>051-051000-
Knox-Peoria-Fulton-Tazewell-Schuyler-Mason-Logan-Cass-Menard-Scott-
Morgan-Sangamon-
354 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois and west
central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Occasional showers and thunderstorms are expected today and tonight.
Some periods of heavier rain will be possible, particularly early
this morning and again late this evening into the overnight hours.
In addition, a few strong to severe storms are possible late this
evening and tonight. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary concern
but an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out, mainly over the lower
Illinois River Valley.

South winds gusting 30 to 40 mph with occasional gusts up to 45 mph
will be possible today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Showers and a few storms will continue through the first part of the
day Tuesday, but will gradually taper off from the west.

Winds gusts of 30 to 45 mph out of the south to southwest will
continue Tuesday. This could create difficult travel conditions for
high profile vehicles.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed late this evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
354 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

ILZ028-030-031-038-043>046-052>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-051000-
Stark-Marshall-Woodford-McLean-De Witt-Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-
Christian-Macon-Moultrie-Douglas-Coles-Edgar-Shelby-Cumberland-Clark-
Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
354 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois, east
central Illinois and southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Occasional showers and thunderstorms are expected today and tonight.
Some periods of heavier rain will be possible, particularly early
this morning and again late this evening into the overnight hours.

South winds gusting 30 to 40 mph with occasional gusts up to 45 mph
will be possible today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Showers and a few storms will continue Tuesday, but will gradually
taper off from the west through the latter half of the day.

Winds gusts of 30 to 45 mph out of the south to southwest will
continue Tuesday. This could create difficult travel conditions for
high profile vehicles.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.

$$

Deubelbeiss

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville IL
349 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

ILZ003>006-008-010>013-019>021-023-032-033-039-103>108-INZ001-002-
010-011-019-051000-
Winnebago-Boone-McHenry-Lake IL-Ogle-Lee-De Kalb-Kane-DuPage-
La Salle-Kendall-Grundy-Kankakee-Livingston-Iroquois-Ford-
Northern Cook-Central Cook-Southern Cook-Northern Will-
Southern Will-Eastern Will-Lake IN-Porter-Newton-Jasper-Benton-
349 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024 /449 AM EST Mon Nov 4 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northeast Illinois and northwest Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated Flooding Risk.
  Limited Thunderstorm Risk...with an associated:
     Level 1 of 5 Damaging Wind Risk...up to 60 mph.
  Limited Non Thunderstorm Wind Risk.

DISCUSSION...

There is a slight chance of thunderstorms this afternoon.

Thunderstorm chances will increase tonight. There is a very low,
around 5 percent chance, of a localized severe weather threat
developing tonight. If severe weather were to occur, localized
damaging winds would be the primary threat.

Of greater concern, areas of heavy rainfall are likely tonight.
Rainfall could be sufficient in localized areas to result in flash
flooding of low lying and poor drainage areas.

Finally, winds could gust to around 40 mph for a time this
morning south of I-80. Also, wind gusts over 40 mph are possible
tonight, especially in the Chicago area and south and east of the
I-57 corridor, including northwest Indiana.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Tuesday...
  Limited Thunderstorm Risk.
  Elevated Non Thunderstorm Wind Risk.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Due to the very low threat of severe weather, spotter
  activation is not expected tonight. However, any reports of
  flooding, damaging winds, and measured heavy rainfall totals
  would be greatly appreciated.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
305 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-050915-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
305 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Thunderstorms are expected today and tonight. Some could be severe,
mainly in central Missouri this evening. The primary threats are
damaging winds and a few tornadoes, along with locally heavy
rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Thunderstorms end Tuesday morning. Otherwise no hazardous weather is
expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Kimble

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
303 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-051300-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-
Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Appanoose-Davis-
303 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight

A few thunderstorms are possible at times, but severe weather is
not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

A slight change of thunderstorms will persist Tuesday morning, but
severe weather is not expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$


Hydrologic Outlook


Hydrologic Outlook
ILC007-031-037-043-063-089-093-097-099-103-111-141-197-201-042000-

Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Chicago IL
415 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

...Heavy Rainfall Could Lead to Localized Flooding Tonight...

An approaching storm system will interact with a record moist and
unseasonably warm air mass to bring the threat of locally very heavy
rainfall tonight. While there are uncertainties exactly where, there
are indications that a swath of 2 to potentially over 4 inches of
rain could occur somewhere over northern Illinois tonight.

Despite the ongoing drought and resultant low stream flow and below
average soil moisture; if rainfall on the higher end of the forecast
range were to occur, it would likely result in flash flooding,
particularly of low lying and flood prone areas. If rainfall totals
on the lower end of the forecast range were to occur, some minor
flooding could still occur.

Very heavy rainfall and flash flooding are possible, but not yet
certain. Persons should closely monitor forecasts including the
possibility of flood watches, warnings, and advisories. Clear storm
drains and gutters of leaf debris to allow storm waters to drain.

$$

- Izzi

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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