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Special Weather Statement


Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
452 PM MDT Thu Oct 17 2024

NMZ201>241-181000-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-
Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Espanola Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-
Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-
Southwest Chaves County-San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
452 PM MDT Thu Oct 17 2024

...STRONG STORM SYSTEM TO BRING SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE
WEATHER FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND...

A potent upper level low pressure system will drop into Arizona
Friday into Saturday before lifting north of New Mexico on Sunday.
This system will bring in significant moisture and strong thunderstorms
to the eastern plains of New Mexico while spreading colder air
and rain and snow showers to northwestern and north central areas
of the state.

Repeated rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms are expected in
the eastern plains each day Friday, Saturday and Sunday. Storms
will be capable of producing very heavy rainfall, frequent
lightning, damaging winds and large hail. Areas of flash flooding
will also be possible in these eastern areas of the state, and
perhaps on the Hermits Peak-Calf Canyon wildfire burn scar too.

Colder temperatures will also begin spilling into far western New
Mexico Friday night, advancing farther east over the state each
day through Sunday night. Many locations will observe their
coldest temperatures of the season thus far, and a few areas will
dip below freezing for the fist time this fall. The colder
temperatures will lower snow levels with light amounts expected
over the western mountains and highlands of New Mexico while the
northern peaks of the state receive a few to several inches of
accumulation, mainly above 8,500 feet.

Breezy to windy conditions will also arrive, especially on Friday
over the southwestern to central areas of the state. Blowing dust
may develop in vulnerable, dry lower elevation areas.

Residents and travelers of New Mexico are urged to stay tuned to
the latest weather forecast at weather.gov/abq or through your
preferred media outlet. Any follow up statements, advisories,
watches or warnings can also be found from these sources.

$$

33


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
218 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-190730-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
218 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

.Fire Weather...
Elevated fire weather conditions are expected during the afternoon
on Friday across northwestern Oklahoma.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

.Thunderstorms...
A few thunderstorms are possible early Saturday morning and then
again from Sunday into Monday, mainly across western into northern
Oklahoma. Severe weather is not currently expected.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
929 PM MDT Thu Oct 17 2024

COZ058>089-093>099-190330-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
929 PM MDT Thu Oct 17 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Showers will persist overnight for most of the region. Snow showers
are expected along the mountains tonight, with 1-3 inches of snow.
While totals will remain relatively low, slick roads along the
mountains will still be possible. Otherwise scattered light showers
are expected across the region, though mostly west of the I-25
corridor.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

An approaching storm system will bring significant new snow to
all of the higher terrain Friday through Sunday morning, with the
highest amounts expected across the peaks of the eastern San Juan
Mts and La Garita Mts. Snow levels will initially be at around 10k
feet through Friday morning, then lower to 8500 to 9000 feet
Friday night and last into Sunday. In addition, south to southwest
winds gusting to 35 to 40 mph at times will produce areas of
blowing snow and low visibility over mountain passes.

Showers and thunderstorms will spread to the eastern plains
Friday afternoon and evening, with some of the thunderstorms
potentially becoming strong, especially along the eastern border.

There is the threat of heavy rainfall across the far eastern
plains on Saturday, roughly from Crowley County to eastern Las
Animas County, and areas east.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters will not be needed today or tonight.

$$

SIMCOE/27

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
514 AM CDT Thu Oct 17 2024

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-181015-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
514 AM CDT Thu Oct 17 2024 /414 AM MDT Thu Oct 17 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Near-critical fire weather conditions will occur today as south
winds range 20 to 30 mph with gusts 40 to 50 mph at times. Despite
relative humidity not reaching critical levels of 15 percent or
lower, fire behavior will be aggressive and very difficult to
manage should an open flame get out of control.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Strong south winds will continue through the weekend ahead of a
deep upper level storm system, however higher Gulf of Mexico
moisture will move in, so fire weather conditions will not be as
high as today.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Storm spotters are not expected to be needed today and tonight.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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