Flash Flood Warning
Flash Flood Warning
NMC027-162245-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FF.W.0089.250716T1952Z-250716T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
152 PM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
The South Fork burn scar in...
South Central Lincoln County in central New Mexico...
* Until 445 PM MDT.
* At 152 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain over the South Fork Burn Scar. Between 0.25 and 0.5
inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 0.5
inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing
or expected to begin shortly.
Excessive rainfall over the burn scar will impact Upper Canyon,
Brady Canyon, and Perk Canyon as well as the Cedar Creek, Eagle
Creek and Rio Ruidoso drainages. Impacts will include but are not
limited to all nearby reservoirs, bridges, culverts and roadways.
Impacts to areas along the Rio Ruidoso may extend downstream of
Ruidoso Downs. The debris flow can consist of rock, mud, vegetation
and other loose materials.
HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
producing flash flooding in and around the South Fork
Burn Scar.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
the South Fork Burn Scar.
* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Ruidoso, Ruidoso Downs, Alto, Glencoe and Hollywood.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
This is a life threatening situation. Heavy rainfall will cause
extensive and severe flash flooding of creeks, streams and ditches
in the South Fork Burn Scar. Severe debris flows can also be
anticipated across roads. Roads and driveways may be washed away in
places. If you encounter flood waters, climb to safety.
&&
LAT...LON 3342 10571 3342 10566 3344 10563 3340 10561
3338 10562 3339 10564 3334 10564 3333 10563
3336 10556 3338 10553 3343 10543 3341 10543
3333 10555 3331 10559 3331 10573 3339 10573
3339 10578 3341 10578
FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
$$
Shoemake
Flood Watch
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
140 PM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
NMZ214-215-229-170800-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FA.A.0026.250717T1800Z-250718T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-East Slopes Sangre de Cristo
Mountains-Northeast Highlands-
140 PM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...
* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.
* WHERE...Portions of north central and northeast New Mexico,
including the following areas, in north central New Mexico, East
Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains and Southern Sangre de Cristo
Mountains. In northeast New Mexico, Northeast Highlands.
* WHEN...From Thursday afternoon through Thursday evening.
* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.
Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur
in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be
flooded. Storm drains and ditches may become clogged with debris.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- A disturbance crossing in rich monsoon flow will produce
numerous showers and thunderstorms on Thursday afternoon and
evening. Stronger storms will be capable of producing rain
at rates over 1 inch per hour. Recent burn scars, and
locations where the ground is already saturated from recent
heavy rainfall, will at greatest risk for rapid runoff and
flash flooding.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.
&&
$$
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
140 PM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
NMZ226-170800-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FA.A.0026.250717T1800Z-250718T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
South Central Mountains-
140 PM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.
* WHERE...A portion of central New Mexico, including the following
area, South Central Mountains.
* WHEN...Thursday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.
Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water
crossings may be flooded. Storm drains and ditches may become
clogged with debris. Extensive street flooding and flooding of
creeks and rivers are possible.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- A disturbance crossing in rich monsoon flow will produce
numerous showers and thunderstorms Thursday afternoon.
Stronger storms will be capable of producing rain at rates
over 1 inch per hour. Recent burn scars will have the
greatest risk for rapid runoff and flash flooding.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.
&&
$$
44
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
254 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025
OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-171000-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
254 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
Thunderstorms are expected overnight, especially across the
northern Panhandles. These storms may produce locally heavy
rainfall and flooding. A localized area of rainfall reaching 3-5
inches can not be ruled out in an near the Oklahoma and northwest
Texas Panhandle areas through tonight. In addition, there is a
marginal risk for severe storm impacts with damaging wind being
the greatest threat, however hail up to one inch diameter can not
be ruled out.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
Scattered thunderstorms are expected again on Thursday. Locally
heavy rainfall and lighting are expected to be the greatest
threats, however a few disorganized briefly severe storms can not
be ruled out. Thunderstorm chances will be very low for the
weekend and may increase again early next week.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.
$$
MJG
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1242 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025
TXZ021>044-171745-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-
Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum-
Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1242 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Isolated thunderstorms are possible over night for the far southern
Texas Panhandle. The threat for severe storms is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible in parts of the area Thursday
afternoon and evening. Greatest chances will be in the southwest
Panhandle and western South Plains.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1138 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
COZ058>089-093>099-171745-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1138 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop along the
mountains by mid afternoon, and push across the valleys and plains
through mid to late evening. Some storms along the I-25 corridor
and across the plains are expected to become strong to severe,
with damaging winds up to 70 mph and large hail up to 2 inches in
diameter, and a brief tornado can not be ruled out. In addition
to the severe weather threat, locally heavy rain capable of
producing localized flash flooding will also be possible.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday
Showers and thunderstorms will be possible across all of the
region during the afternoon hours of Thursday through the weekend.
The main concerns these days will be flash flooding, especially
in the mountains. Storms will be less in coverage early next week.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be likely over portions of the region.
$$
10/SIMCOE
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
310 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-170915-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains-
Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-Upper Gunnison River Valley-
Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-Northwest San Juan Mountains-
Southwest San Juan Mountains-Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains-
Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
310 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Colorado, southwest
Colorado, west central Colorado, east central Utah, northeast Utah
and southeast Utah.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Hot and dry conditions keep temperatures trending a few degrees
above average. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms on the
terrain increase this afternoon with dry lightning and gusty outflows
possible under collapsing storms. Wildfire smoke will remain visible
across the central and southern areas of the CWA.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
Hot and dry conditions continue into early next week. Afternoon
showers and storms on terrain will remain in the forecast with
increasing in coverage through Saturday. Conditions dry out Sunday
into early next week with a return of near critical fire weather
conditions. Wildfire smoke will remain visible for much of eastern
Utah and western Colorado though the wetting rains could help
diminish smoke.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
