National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Missouri Basin River Forecast Center
Water Supply Statement
Issued in cooperation with the Natural
Resources Conservation Service
Issued:  May 17, 2017

 

 

                   May 1, 2017 Spring and Summer Streamflow Forecasts

 

                                       

                         Missouri River Basin Mountain Snowpack as of May 1, 2017

 

Upper Missouri Basin

The high elevation snow pack in the Upper Missouri Basin as of May 1
was near to above average. The snow pack above Fort Peck, Montana was
100 percent. The snow pack in the St. Mary Basin was 125 percent, and the
Milk River Basin was 124 percent.

April precipitation across the Upper Missouri Basin was near to above average.
Basin precipitation summaries for the Missouri Basin include: Milk St. Mary,
134 percent; Milk Canada, 147 percent; Lower Milk, 88 percent; above Toston,
132 percent; Toston to Ft. Peck, 133 percent.

 

April 2017 Upper Missouri Mean Precip            Oct-Apr WY2017 Upper Missouri Mean Precip

 

Stream flow in the Upper Missouri Basin is forecast to be
above average during the upcoming Spring and Summer.
Runoff is expected to range around 125 percent of average

for the Missouri Basin above Fort Peck, Montana.

 


  Upper Missouri May 1, 2017 Spring and Summer Streamflow Forecasts

 

Of the four major irrigation reservoirs in Montana; Lima
Reservoir had 138 percent average storage, Clark Canyon was
holding 97 percent of average water, Gibson Reservoir had 74
percent of average stored water, and Fresno Reservoir had
117 percent of average stored water.

The major hydroelectric reservoirs in Montana (Canyon Ferry and
Fort Peck), had monthend storage in the average to above
average range; 106 and 119 percent of average water, respectively.



Yellowstone Basin 

 

The high elevation snow pack in the Yellowstone Basin was above average
on May 1. The snow pack in the Upper Yellowstone Basin was 156 percent
of average. The snow packs in the Wind, Bighorn, and Shoshone Basins were 236,
149, and 147 percent of average, respectively. The snow packs in the Tongue
and Powder basins were 138 and 157 percent of average, respectively.

Precipitation during April was above average. The upper Yellowstone
River Basin received 157 percent of average precipitation while the
Lower Yellowstone River Basin reported 130 percent of average. The
Bighorn Basin received 253 percent of average precipitation while the
Wind River Basin received 215 percent of average. The Little Bighorn -
Upper Tongue Basin received 248 percent of average and the Powder River
had 220 percent of average precipitation.



 April 2017 Yellowstone Mean Precip                 Oct-Apr WY2017 Yellowstone Mean Precip
 

Forecast stream flow in the Yellowstone Basin are above average
for the upcoming Spring and Summer.  Stream flow for the 
Yellowstone River above Sidney, Montana is forecast to be 
about 160 percent of average.  Flow in the Tongue Basin is expected 
to be 130 percent of average.  Flows in the Powder River are expected 
to be about 137 percent of average.

Monthend storage at Boysen Reservoir was 89 percent of average.  
Stored water in Buffalo Bill Reservoir was 106 percent of average.  
Monthend storage was 94 percent of average at Bighorn Reservoir.

 


    Yellowstone May 1, 2017 Spring and Summer Streamflow Forecasts

 

Platte Basin 


The high elevation snow pack in the Upper North Platte Basin was 
92 percent of average on May 1.  The snow pack in the North Platte 
Basin below Seminoe Reservoir was 101 percent of average.  The snow 
pack in the South Platte Basin was 95 percent of average.

Precipitation during April in the Upper North Platte Basin was 112 
percent of average.  In the Lower North Platte Basin, precipitation 
was 136 percent of average.  The North Platte Plains below Guernsy 
Reservoir had 138 percent.  The South Platte Mountains had 105 
percent whereas the Plains had 139 percent of average April precipitation.




 

 April 2017 Platte Mean Precip                          Oct-Apr WY2017 Platte Mean Precip

 

Stream flow in the Platte Basin is forecast to be near
average during the upcoming Spring and Summer. Runoff
for streams above Seminoe Reservoir are expected to be
about 130 percent of average. Streams in the South Platte
Basin above South Platte, Colorado can expect 63 percent
of average flow. For the remainder of the South Platte
basin, flows are expected near 72 percent.

Stored water in the South Platte Basin was 106 percent of average
on May 1.



   North Platte Streamflow Fcst          South Platte Streamflow Fcst


 
PRECIPITATION MAPS
April 2017  WY 2017
April 2017 Precipitation Percent of 1981-2010 Average WY2017 Precipitation as Percent of 1981-2010 Average
April 2017 Basin Mean Precipitation          WY2017 Basin Mean Precipitation
April 2017 MBRFC Basin Mean Precipitation      WY2017 MBRFC Basin Mean Precipitation

 

 

Water Supply Forecast
NWS Missouri Basin River Forecast Center
Pleasant Hill, Missouri

1200 CST Thursday May 4 2017

Data current as of: May 2 2017

Missouri/Yellowstone/Platte River Basin Forecasts

                                        50%   %   10%  90%  AVG
Forecast Point                  Period (KAF) AVG (KAF)(KAF)(KAF)
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Boysen Reservoir Inflow         Apr-Sep 1659 225% 1979 1486 736
SBDW4N
Bighorn R at Kane               Apr-Sep 2961 201% 3486 2604 1472
LVEW4N
Greybull R nr Meeteetse         Apr-Sep 301  131%  371 258  231
MEEW4N
Buffalo Bill Reservoir Inflow   Apr-Sep 1060 137% 1218 968  774
CDYW4N
St Mary R nr Babb               Apr-Sep 473  122% 541  399  388
SMYM8N
St Mary R at Int Boundary       Apr-Sep 545  123% 645  455  443
SMBM8N
Milk R nr Cutbank               Apr-Sep 22   81%  74   14   27
PDBM8N
Milk R at Eastern Crossing      Apr-Sep 37   83%  124  21   45
ERNM8N
North Platte R nr Northgate     Apr-Sep 334  178% 410  278  188
NGTC2
Encampment R nr Encampment      Apr-Sep 194  126% 227  175  154
ERCW4
Encampment R nr Encampment      Apr-Sep 202  125% 235  183  161
ECRW4N
Rock Ck nr Arlington            Apr-Sep 61   140% 70   54   44
KCRW4
Rock Ck nr Arlington            Apr-Sep 62   141% 71   55   44
KCRW4N
Seminoe Reservoir Inflow WY     Apr-Sep 881  137% 1072 732  645
SETW4
Seminoe Reservoir Inflow WY     Apr-Sep 1027 129% 1217 887  794
SETW4N
Laramie R nr Woods              Apr-Sep 73   136% 112  54   54
WODW4
Laramie R nr Woods              Apr-Sep 106  122% 146  88   87
WODW4N
Little Laramie R nr Filmore     Apr-Sep 47   97%  60   39   48
SMTW4
Little Laramie R nr Filmore     Apr-Sep 49   97%  62   41   50
SMTW4N
Antero Reservoir Inflow         Apr-Sep 11   74%  14   9    15
ANRC2N
Spinney Mountain Res Inflow     Apr-Sep 36   68%  58   25   53
SPYC2N
Elevenmile Canyon Res Inflow    Apr-Sep 37   64%  62   26   57
EVNC2N
Cheesman Lake Inflow            Apr-Sep 54   51%  99   39   106
CHEC2N
South Platte R at South Platte  Apr-Sep 100  53%  173  74   188
SPTC2N
Bear Ck at Morrison             Apr-Sep 10   61%  19   7    16
MRRC2N
Clear Ck at Golden              Apr-Sep 66   62%  116  52   106
GLDC2N
St Vrain Ck at Lyons            Apr-Sep 77   84%  114  64   92
LNSC2N
Boulder Ck nr Orodell           Apr-Sep 36   71%  64   29   50
OROC2N
S Boulder Ck nr Eldorado Spr    Apr-Sep 17   48%  42   11   35
BELC2N
Cache La Poudre at Canyon Mouth Apr-Sep 184  95%  250  159  195
FTDC2N
Lima Reservoir Inflow           Apr-Sep 45   86%  66   30   52
LRRM8N
Clark Canyon Reservoir Inflow   Apr-Sep 138  99%  210  95   140
CLKM8N
Beaverhead R at Barretts        Apr-Sep 172  100% 251  124  172
BARM8N
Ruby R Reservoir Inflow         Apr-Sep 76   96%  96   64   79
ALRM8N
Big Hole R nr Melrose           Apr-Sep 865  190% 1100 721  455
MLRM8
Big Hole R nr Melrose           Apr-Sep 926  182% 1158 780  507
MLRM8N
Hebgen Reservoir Inflow         Apr-Sep 563  156% 619  498  360
HBDM8N
Ennis Reservoir Inflow          Apr-Sep 878  136% 974  759  646
ELMM8N
Gallatin R nr Gateway           Apr-Sep 482  109% 598  392  443
GLGM8
Gallatin R nr Gateway           Apr-Sep 482  114% 598  392  424
GLGM8N
Gallatin R at Logan             Apr-Sep 497  131% 684  382  380
LOGM8
Gallatin R at Logan             Apr-Sep 632  124% 794  532  511
LOGM8N
Missouri R at Toston            Apr-Sep 3012 138% 3657 2524 2187
TOSM8N
Missouri R at Fort Benton       Apr-Sep 4144 122% 5172 3525 3396
FBNM8N
Missouri R nr Virgelle          Apr-Sep 4628 121% 5929 3995 3810
VRGM8N
Missouri R nr Landusky          Apr-Sep 4843 122% 6289 4202 3956
LDKM8N
Missouri R blw Ft Peck Dam      Apr-Sep 5019 121% 6474 4349 4153
FPKM8N
Gibson Reservoir Inflow         Apr-Sep 670  206% 815  615  326
AGSM8N
Marias R nr Shelby              Apr-Sep 399  190% 549  326  210
SHLM8N
Musselshell R at Harlowton      Apr-Sep 35   57%  60   18   62
HLWM8N
Yellowstone R at Yellowstone Lk Apr-Sep 1402 210% 1489 1291 666
YLOW4APR
Yellowstone R at Yellowstone Lk Apr-Sep 1596 199% 1679 1450 803
YLOW4N
Yellowstone R at Corwin Springs Apr-Sep 2687 173% 2916 2492 1555
CORM8
Yellowstone R at Corwin Springs Apr-Sep 2988 166% 3213 2758 1802
CORM8N
Yellowstone R at Livingston     Apr-Sep 2945 160% 3212 2742 1845
LIVM8
Yellowstone R at Livingston     Apr-Sep 3310 154% 3580 3069 2152
LIVM8N
Yellowstone R at Billings       Apr-Sep 4766 150% 5416 4364 3183
BILM8
Yellowstone R at Billings       Apr-Sep 5737 138% 6373 5308 4156
BILM8N
Yellowstone R at Miles City     Apr-Sep 10454 146% 1169596587160
MILM8N
Yellowstone R at Sidney         Apr-Sep 10926 146% 12372100657478
SIDM8N
Boulder R at Big Timber         Apr-Sep 227   98%  263  202  231
BTMM8
Boulder R at Big Timber         Apr-Sep 331  102%  364  300  324
BTMM8N
Stillwater R nr Absarokee       Apr-Sep 631  126%  715  576  500
SRAM8
Stillwater R nr Absarokee       Apr-Sep 690  125%  773  638  550
SRAM8N
Clarks Fk Yelwstone R nr Belfry Apr-Sep 913  183%  1013 849  498
BFYM4
Clarks Fk Yelwstone R nr Belfry Apr-Sep 869  153%  967  803  566
BFYM4N
Bighorn R nr St Xavier          Apr-Sep 4149 178%  4890 3721 2332
STXM8N
Little Bighorn R nr Hardin      Apr-Sep 97   109%  133  82   89
HRDM8N
Tongue R nr Dayton              Apr-Sep 121  140%  153  96   86
DAYW4N
Tongue R nr Decker              Apr-Sep 270  124%  374  216  218
DSLM8N
Tongue R Reservoir Inflow       Apr-Sep 271  124%  378  217  218
DKRM8N
Powder R nr Locate              Apr-Sep 353  143%  470  292  247
MHDM8
Powder R nr Locate              Apr-Sep 383  137%  509  316  279
LOCM8N

Locations with an "N" suffix indicate natural flows excluding
stream augmentations

KAF: Thousands of acre-feet

%AVG: Current 50%/avg

AVG: Average (50%) seasonal runoff volume as simulated by the river
forecast model considering a continuous simulation of the basin
response to historic climate data (observed precipitation and
temperatures) over the period of 1979-2001

The 50%, 10%, and 90% columns indicate the probablility that the
actual volume will exceed the forecast for the valid time period