National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Missouri Basin River Forecast Center
Water Supply Statement
Issued in cooperation with the Natural
Resources Conservation Service
Issued:  April 18, 2018

 

 

                   April 1, 2018 Spring and Summer Streamflow Forecasts

 

                                       

                         Missouri River Basin Mountain Snowpack as of April 1, 2018

 

Upper Missouri Basin

The high elevation snow pack in the Upper Missouri Basin as of April 1
was above average. The snow pack above Fort Peck, Montana was
144 percent. The snow pack in the St. Mary Basin was 136 percent, and the
Milk River Basin was 164 percent.

March precipitation across the Upper Missouri Basin was near to above average.
Basin precipitation summaries for the Missouri Basin include: Milk St. Mary,
82 percent; Milk Canada, 108 percent; Lower Milk, 194 percent; above Toston,
123 percent; Toston to Ft. Peck, 129 percent.

 

March 2018 Upper Missouri Mean Precip            Oct-Mar WY2018 Upper Missouri Mean Precip

 

Stream flow in the Upper Missouri Basin is forecast to be
above average during the upcoming Spring and Summer.
The St. Mary River is forecast to have 111 percent of average
April-September flows. Runoff is expected to range around
135 percent of average for the Missouri Basin above Fort Peck,
Montana.

 


  Upper Missouri April 1, 2018 Spring and Summer Streamflow Forecasts

 

Of the four major irrigation reservoirs in Montana; Lima
Reservoir had 177 percent average storage, Clark Canyon was
holding 122 percent of average water, Gibson Reservoir had 24
percent of average stored water, and Fresno Reservoir had
77 percent of average stored water.

The major hydroelectric reservoirs in Montana (Canyon Ferry and
Fort Peck), had monthend storage in the average to above
average range; 93 and 118 percent of average water, respectively.



Yellowstone Basin 

 

The high elevation snow pack in the Yellowstone Basin was above average
on April 1. The snow pack in the Upper Yellowstone Basin was 152 percent
of average. The snow packs in the Wind, Bighorn, and Shoshone Basins were 118,
134, and 144 percent of average, respectively. The snow packs in the Tongue
and Powder basins were 109 and 125 percent of average, respectively.

Precipitation during March was near to above average. The upper Yellowstone
River Basin received 96 percent of average precipitation while the
Lower Yellowstone River Basin reported 113 percent of average. The
Bighorn Basin received 80 percent of average precipitation while the
Wind River Basin received 98 percent of average. The Little Bighorn -
Upper Tongue Basin received 95 percent of average and the Powder River
had 142 percent of average precipitation.



 March 2018 Yellowstone Mean Precip                 Oct-Mar WY2018 Yellowstone Mean Precip
 

Forecast stream flow in the Yellowstone Basin ranged from near 
to above average for the upcoming Spring and Summer.  Stream flow 
for the Yellowstone River above Sidney, Montana is forecast to be 
about 155 percent of average.  Flow in the Tongue Basin is expected 
to be 100 percent of average.  Flows in the Powder River are expected 
to be about 120 percent of average.

Monthend storage at Boysen Reservoir was 109 percent of average.  
Stored water in Buffalo Bill Reservoir was 121 percent of average.  
Monthend storage was 96 percent of average at Bighorn Reservoir.

 


    Yellowstone April 1, 2018 Spring and Summer Streamflow Forecasts

 

Platte Basin 


The high elevation snow pack in the Upper North Platte Basin was 
89 percent of average on April 1.  The snow pack in the North Platte 
Basin below Seminoe Reservoir was 92 percent of average.  The snow 
pack in the South Platte Basin was 83 percent of average.

Precipitation during March in the Upper North Platte Basin was 81 
percent of average.  In the Lower North Platte Basin, precipitation 
was 96 percent of average.  The North Platte Plains below Guernsy 
Reservoir had 149 percent.  The South Platte Mountains had 71 
percent whereas the Plains had 73 percent of average March 
precipitation.




 

 March 2018 Platte Mean Precip                          Oct-Mar WY2018 Platte Mean Precip

 

Stream flow in the Platte Basin is forecast to be below 
average during the upcoming Spring and Summer. Runoff
for streams above Seminoe Reservoir are expected to be
about 90 percent of average. Streams in the South Platte
Basin above South Platte, Colorado can expect 40 percent
of average flow. For the remainder of the South Platte
basin, flows are expected near 60 percent.

Stored water in the South Platte Basin was 106 percent of average
on April 1.



   North Platte Streamflow Fcst          South Platte Streamflow Fcst


 
PRECIPITATION MAPS
March 2018  WY 2018
March 2018 Precipitation Percent of 1981-2010 Average WY2018 Precipitation as Percent of 1981-2010 Average
March 2018 Basin Mean Precipitation          WY2018 Basin Mean Precipitation
March 2018 MBRFC Basin Mean Precipitation      WY2018 MBRFC Basin Mean Precipitation

 

 

000
FGUS63 KKRF 031437
ESPKRF

WATER SUPPLY FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER
PLEASANT HILL MISSOURI

0935 CST TUESDAY APRIL 03 2018

DATA CURRENT AS OF: APRIL 03 2018

MISSOURI/YELLOWSTONE/PLATTE RIVER BASIN FORECASTS

                                         50%    %    10%   90%   AVG
FORECAST POINT                  PERIOD  (KAF)  AVG  (KAF) (KAF) (KAF)
---------------------------------------------------------------------
BOYSEN RESERVOIR INFLOW         APR-SEP  1503  139%  2080  1186  1082
SBDW4N
BIGHORN R AT KANE               APR-SEP  2308  131%  3129  1839  1760
LVEW4N
GREYBULL R NR MEETEETSE         APR-SEP  282   99%   377   214   284
MEEW4N
BUFFALO BILL RESERVOIR INFLOW   APR-SEP  1034  156%  1164  878   662
CDYW4N
ST MARY R NR BABB               APR-SEP  481   110%  565   406   437
SMYM8N
ST MARY R AT INT BOUNDARY       APR-SEP  570   112%  691   480   507
SMBM8N
MILK R NR CUTBANK               APR-SEP  42    119%  122   27    35
PDBM8N
MILK R AT EASTERN CROSSING      APR-SEP  88    144%  246   61    61
ERNM8N
NORTH PLATTE R NR NORTHGATE     APR-SEP  195   86%   337   128   227
NGTC2
ENCAMPMENT R NR ENCAMPMENT      APR-SEP  91    55%   126   72    166
ERCW4
ENCAMPMENT R NR ENCAMPMENT      APR-SEP  100   58%   135   81    174
ECRW4N
ROCK CK NR ARLINGTON            APR-SEP  44    96%   52    34    45
KCRW4
ROCK CK NR ARLINGTON            APR-SEP  44    96%   53    34    46
KCRW4N
SEMINOE RESERVOIR INFLOW WY     APR-SEP  546   73%   782   382   744
SETW4
SEMINOE RESERVOIR INFLOW WY     APR-SEP  692   77%   925   518   897
SETW4N
LARAMIE R NR WOODS              APR-SEP  46    75%   79    25    61
WODW4
LARAMIE R NR WOODS              APR-SEP  81    84%   114   56    97
WODW4N
LITTLE LARAMIE R NR FILMORE     APR-SEP  65    129%  83    50    50
SMTW4
LITTLE LARAMIE R NR FILMORE     APR-SEP  67    128%  85    52    53
SMTW4N
ANTERO RESERVOIR INFLOW         APR-SEP  5     34%   10    3     16
ANRC2N
SPINNEY MOUNTAIN RES INFLOW     APR-SEP  20    34%   35    13    59
SPYC2N
ELEVENMILE CANYON RES INFLOW    APR-SEP  22    34%   41    14    65
EVNC2N
CHEESMAN LAKE INFLOW            APR-SEP  41    33%   91    27    123
CHEC2N
SOUTH PLATTE R AT SOUTH PLATTE  APR-SEP  79    38%   179   54    209
SPTC2N
BEAR CK AT MORRISON             APR-SEP  8     41%   21    5     19
MRRC2N
CLEAR CK AT GOLDEN              APR-SEP  68    62%   117   46    110
GLDC2N
ST VRAIN CK AT LYONS            APR-SEP  54    56%   85    39    96
LNSC2N
BOULDER CK NR ORODELL           APR-SEP  31    57%   68    22    54
OROC2N
S BOULDER CK NR ELDORADO SPR    APR-SEP  19    50%   37    11    38
BELC2N
CACHE LA POUDRE AT CANYON MOUTH APR-SEP  147   72%   225   103   205
FTDC2N
LIMA RESERVOIR INFLOW           APR-SEP  50    75%   83    32    66
LRRM8N
CLARK CANYON RESERVOIR INFLOW   APR-SEP  135   77%   222   95    176
CLKM8N
BEAVERHEAD R AT BARRETTS        APR-SEP  175   83%   267   130   209
BARM8N
RUBY R RESERVOIR INFLOW         APR-SEP  105   117%  126   80    90
ALRM8N
BIG HOLE R NR MELROSE           APR-SEP  849   162%  1172  697   523
MLRM8
BIG HOLE R NR MELROSE           APR-SEP  908   156%  1231  759   581
MLRM8N
HEBGEN RESERVOIR INFLOW         APR-SEP  585   141%  657   529   414
HBDM8N
ENNIS RESERVOIR INFLOW          APR-SEP  968   133%  1111  861   729
ELMM8N
GALLATIN R NR GATEWAY           APR-SEP  538   116%  697   445   464
GLGM8
GALLATIN R NR GATEWAY           APR-SEP  538   122%  697   445   442
GLGM8N
GALLATIN R AT LOGAN             APR-SEP  614   137%  860   488   448
LOGM8
GALLATIN R AT LOGAN             APR-SEP  751   129%  986   641   580
LOGM8N
MISSOURI R AT TOSTON            APR-SEP  3548  146%  4587  3053  2422
TOSM8N
MISSOURI R AT FORT BENTON       APR-SEP  5261  135%  6872  4638  3907
FBNM8N
MISSOURI R NR VIRGELLE          APR-SEP  5773  134%  7582  5091  4300
VRGM8N
MISSOURI R NR LANDUSKY          APR-SEP  6043  134%  7951  5363  4497
LDKM8N
MISSOURI R BLW FT PECK DAM      APR-SEP  6400  137%  8427  5664  4685
FPKM8N
GIBSON RESERVOIR INFLOW         APR-SEP  741   203%  935   665   365
AGSM8N
MARIAS R NR SHELBY              APR-SEP  381   127%  529   284   301
SHLM8N
MUSSELSHELL R AT HARLOWTON      APR-SEP  89    116%  162   37    77
HLWM8N
YELLOWSTONE R AT YELLOWSTONE LK APR-SEP  1177  171%  1334  1085  688
YLOW4APR
YELLOWSTONE R AT YELLOWSTONE LK APR-SEP  1421  164%  1555  1285  866
YLOW4N
YELLOWSTONE R AT CORWIN SPRINGS APR-SEP  2824  165%  3209  2567  1709
CORM8
YELLOWSTONE R AT CORWIN SPRINGS APR-SEP  3164  159%  3544  2885  1987
CORM8N
YELLOWSTONE R AT LIVINGSTON     APR-SEP  3159  158%  3663  2869  1995
LIVM8
YELLOWSTONE R AT LIVINGSTON     APR-SEP  3559  150%  4060  3244  2365
LIVM8N
YELLOWSTONE R AT BILLINGS       APR-SEP  5782  169%  6963  5129  3418
BILM8
YELLOWSTONE R AT BILLINGS       APR-SEP  6936  156%  8093  6269  4456
BILM8N
YELLOWSTONE R AT MILES CITY     APR-SEP  11378 150%  13751 10111 7597
MILM8N
YELLOWSTONE R AT SIDNEY         APR-SEP  12090 151%  15045 10680 7999
SIDM8N
BOULDER R AT BIG TIMBER         APR-SEP  307   128%  402   280   240
BTMM8
BOULDER R AT BIG TIMBER         APR-SEP  415   121%  509   386   342
BTMM8N
STILLWATER R NR ABSAROKEE       APR-SEP  695   131%  806   617   532
SRAM8
STILLWATER R NR ABSAROKEE       APR-SEP  757   128%  864   677   590
SRAM8N
CLARKS FK YELWSTONE R NR BELFRY APR-SEP  989   191%  1112  902   519
BFYM4
CLARKS FK YELWSTONE R NR BELFRY APR-SEP  1061  180%  1183  974   590
BFYM4N
BIGHORN R NR ST XAVIER          APR-SEP  3453  139%  4378  2853  2477
STXM8N
LITTLE BIGHORN R NR HARDIN      APR-SEP  150   147%  209   120   102
HRDM8N
TONGUE R NR DAYTON              APR-SEP  96    100%  123   70    96
DAYW4N
TONGUE R NR DECKER              APR-SEP  225   99%   328   170   227
DSLM8N
TONGUE R RESERVOIR INFLOW       APR-SEP  234   103%  340   178   228
DKRM8N
POWDER R NR LOCATE              APR-SEP  274   98%   500   196   280
MHDM8
POWDER R NR LOCATE              APR-SEP  465   147%  969   381   316
LOCM8N

LOCATIONS WITH AN "N" SUFFIX INDICATE NATURAL FLOWS EXCLUDING
STREAM AUGMENTATIONS

KAF: THOUSANDS OF ACRE-FEET

%AVG: CURRENT 50%/AVG

AVG: AVERAGE (50%) SEASONAL RUNOFF VOLUME AS SIMULATED BY THE
RIVER FORECAST MODEL CONSIDERING A CONTINUOUS SIMULATION OF THE
BASIN RESPONSE TO HISTORIC CLIMATE DATA (OBSERVED PRECIPITATION
AND TEMPERATURES) OVER THE PERIOD OF 1981-2010

THE 50%, 10% AND 90% COLUMNS INDICATE THE PROBABILITY THAT THE
ACTUAL VOLUME WILL EXCEED THE FORECAST FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MBRFC/WATER