February 1, 2024 Spring and Summer Streamflow Forecasts
Upper Missouri Basin
The high elevation snow pack in the Upper Missouri Basin as of February 1
was below average. The snow pack in the St. Mary Basin was 56 percent,
and the Milk River Basin was 59 percent.
January precipitation across the Upper Missouri Basin was mostly near to below
average. Basin precipitation summaries for the Missouri Basin include: Milk St.
Mary, 71 percent; Milk Canada, 118 percent; Lower Milk, 75 percent; above Toston,
76 percent; Toston to Ft. Peck, 95 percent.
January 2024 Upper Missouri Mean Precip Oct-Jan WY2024 Upper Missouri Mean Precip
Stream flow in the Upper Missouri Basin is forecast to be
below average during the upcoming Spring and Summer.
The St. Mary River is forecast to have 50 percent of average
April-September flows. Runoff is expected to range around
65 percent of average for the Missouri Basin above Fort Peck,
Montana.
Upper Missouri February 1, 2024 Spring and Summer Streamflow Forecasts
Of the four major irrigation reservoirs in Montana; Lima
Reservoir had 143 percent average storage, Clark Canyon was
holding 143 percent of average water, Gibson Reservoir had 30
percent of average stored water, and Fresno Reservoir had
41 percent of average stored water.
Yellowstone Basin
The high elevation snow pack in the Yellowstone Basin was below average
on February 1. The snow pack in the Upper Yellowstone Basin was 55 percent
of average. The snow packs in the Wind, Bighorn, and Shoshone Basins were 86,
74, and 73 percent of average, respectively. The snow packs in the Tongue
and Powder basins were 60 and 51 percent of average, respectively.
Precipitation during January was below average. The upper Yellowstone
River Basin received 57 percent of average precipitation while the
Lower Yellowstone River Basin reported 66 percent of average. The
Bighorn Basin received 52 percent of average precipitation while the
Wind River Basin received 61 percent of average. The Little Bighorn -
Upper Tongue Basin received 38 percent of average and the Powder River
had 48 percent of average precipitation.
January 2024 Yellowstone Mean Precip Oct-Jan WY2024 Yellowstone Mean Precip
Forecast stream flow in the Yellowstone Basin is below average
for the upcoming Spring and Summer. Stream flow for the
Yellowstone River above Sidney, Montana is forecast to be about
84 percent of average. Flow in the Tongue Basin is expected to be
79 percent of average. Flows in the Powder River are expected
to be about 68 percent of average.
Monthend storage at Boysen Reservoir was 107 percent of average.
Stored water in Buffalo Bill Reservoir was 107 percent of average.
Monthend storage was 100 percent of average at Bighorn Reservoir.
Yellowstone February 1, 2024 Spring and Summer Streamflow Forecasts
Platte Basin
The high elevation snow pack in the Upper North Platte Basin was
80 percent of average on February 1. The snow pack in the North Platte
Basin below Seminoe Reservoir was 85 percent of average. The snow
pack in the South Platte Basin was 90 percent of average.
Precipitation during January in the Upper North Platte Basin was 119
percent of average. In the Lower North Platte Basin, precipitation
was 94 percent of average. The North Platte Plains below Guernsy
Reservoir had 96 percent. The South Platte Mountains had 105
percent whereas the Plains had 86 percent of average January
precipitation.
January 2024 Platte Mean Precip Oct-Jan WY2024 Platte Mean Precip
Stream flow in the Platte Basin is forecast to be near
average during the upcoming Spring and Summer. Runoff
for streams above Seminoe Reservoir are expected to be
about 85 percent of average. Streams in the South Platte
Basin above South Platte, Colorado can expect 91 percent
of average flow. For the remainder of the South Platte
basin, flows are expected near 92 percent.
Stored water in the South Platte Basin was 105 percent of average
on February 1.
North Platte Streamflow Fcst South Platte Streamflow Fcst
WATER SUPPLY FORECAST NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MISSOURI 1219 CST MONDAY FEBRUARY 05, 2024 DATA CURRENT AS OF: FEBRUARY 01, 2024 MISSOURI/YELLOWSTONE/PLATTE RIVER BASIN FORECASTS 50% % 10% 90% AVG FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) -------------------------------------------------------------------- Boysen Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 695 97 1343 355 720 SBDW4 Boysen Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 1171 132 1882 727 890 SBDW4N Bighorn R at Kane Apr-Sep 1262 128 2089 735 985 LVEW4 Bighorn R at Kane Apr-Sep 1976 137 2904 1290 1440 LVEW4N Greybull R at Meeteetse Apr-Sep 293 149 400 180 196 MEEW4 Greybull R at Meeteetse Apr-Sep 293 143 400 180 205 MEEW4N Buffalo Bill Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 605 74 900 489 815 CDYW4 Buffalo Bill Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 697 77 994 562 910 CDYW4N Keyhole Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 6 150 18 2 4 KEYW4 St. Mary R nr Babb Apr-Sep 283 62 376 236 460 SMYM8 St. Mary R nr Babb Apr-Sep 269 50 363 220 535 SMYM8N St. Mary R at Intl Boundary Apr-Sep 203 52 336 143 390 SMBM8 St. Mary R at Intl Boundary Apr-Sep 323 49 449 261 660 SMBM8N Milk R nr Western Crossing Apr-Sep 11 10 30 5 113 PDBM8 Milk R nr Western Crossing Apr-Sep 15 37 42 6 41 PDBM8N Milk R nr Eastern Crossing Apr-Sep 147 68 216 135 215 ERNM8 Milk R nr Eastern Crossing Apr-Sep 36 32 140 17 112 ERNM8N North Platte R nr Northgate Apr-Sep 337 138 557 202 245 NGTC2 North Platte R nr Northgate Apr-Sep 391 133 609 251 295 NGTC2N Encampment R nr Encampment Apr-Sep 106 68 155 70 156 ECRW4 Encampment R nr Encampment Apr-Sep 117 70 165 81 166 ECRW4N Rock Cr nr Arlington Apr-Sep 41 77 57 30 53 KCRW4 Rock Cr nr Arlington Apr-Sep 41 77 57 30 53 KCRW4N Seminoe Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 710 93 1020 441 765 SETW4 Seminoe Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 870 95 1175 590 920 SETW4N Laramie R nr Woods Landing Apr-Sep 46 43 107 24 108 WODW4 Laramie R nr Woods Landing Apr-Sep 82 58 142 49 142 WODW4N Little Laramie R nr Filmore Apr-Sep 48 87 82 33 55 SMTW4 Little Laramie R nr Filmore Apr-Sep 50 88 84 35 57 SMTW4N Antero Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 13 93 20 7 14 ANRC2 Antero Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 13 93 20 7 14 ANRC2N Spinney Mountain Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 51 89 96 33 57 SPYC2 Spinney Mountain Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 41 91 86 21 45 SPYC2N Elevenmile Canyon Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 46 78 89 36 59 EVNC2 Elevenmile Canyon Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 45 90 90 23 50 EVNC2N Cheesman Lk Inflow Apr-Sep 81 81 153 53 100 CHEC2 Cheesman Lk Inflow Apr-Sep 85 91 160 49 93 CHEC2N S Platte R at S Platte Apr-Sep 354 148 446 302 240 SPTC2 S Platte R at S Platte Apr-Sep 169 82 270 98 205 SPTC2N Bear Cr at Morrison Apr-Sep 18 69 35 10 26 MRRC2 Bear Cr at Morrison Apr-Sep 18 69 35 10 26 MRRC2N Clear Cr at Golden Apr-Sep 100 85 148 58 118 GLDC2 Clear Cr at Golden Apr-Sep 112 85 161 67 131 GLDC2N St. Vrain Cr at Lyons Apr-Sep 57 72 93 37 79 LNSC2 St. Vrain Cr at Lyons Apr-Sep 82 75 129 55 109 LNSC2N Boulder Cr nr Orodell Apr-Sep 39 83 64 26 47 OROC2 Boulder Cr nr Orodell Apr-Sep 54 104 80 36 52 OROC2N S Boulder Cr nr Eldorado Sprgs Apr-Sep 34 97 50 20 35 BELC2 S Boulder Cr nr Eldorado Sprgs Apr-Sep 38 95 60 20 40 BELC2N Cache La Poudre at Canyon Mouth Apr-Sep 163 151 264 91 108 FTDC2 Cache La Poudre at Canyon Mouth Apr-Sep 193 92 292 106 210 FTDC2N Lima Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 46 61 77 19 76 LRRM8 Lima Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 46 58 77 19 79 LRRM8N Clark Canyon Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 66 60 109 48 110 CLKM8 Clark Canyon Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 113 57 178 72 198 CLKM8N Beaverhead R at Barretts Apr-Sep 151 76 195 138 199 BARM8 Beaverhead R at Barretts Apr-Sep 146 52 218 101 280 BARM8N Ruby R Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 83 94 100 64 88 ALRM8 Ruby R Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 83 86 100 64 97 ALRM8N Big Hole R nr Melrose Apr-Sep 298 50 430 159 595 MLRM8 Big Hole R nr Melrose Apr-Sep 363 55 497 217 660 MLRM8N Hebgen Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 396 85 488 310 465 HBDM8 Hebgen Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 396 85 488 310 465 HBDM8N Ennis Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 616 86 714 508 715 ELMM8 Ennis Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 654 90 782 504 730 ELMM8N Gallatin R nr Gateway Apr-Sep 165 35 212 127 475 GLGM8 Gallatin R nr Gateway Apr-Sep 165 35 212 127 475 GLGM8N Gallatin R at Logan Apr-Sep 175 35 260 120 505 LOGM8 Gallatin R at Logan Apr-Sep 299 46 387 216 650 LOGM8N Missouri R at Toston Apr-Sep 1244 60 1684 879 2060 TOSM8 Missouri R at Toston Apr-Sep 1838 65 2472 1364 2830 TOSM8N Missouri R at Fort Benton Apr-Sep 1648 54 1813 1508 3060 FBNM8 Missouri R at Fort Benton Apr-Sep 2621 64 3363 1924 4100 FBNM8N Missouri R nr Virgelle Apr-Sep 1783 52 1998 1607 3420 VRGM8 Missouri R nr Virgelle Apr-Sep 2917 64 3854 2100 4560 VRGM8N Missouri R nr Landusky Apr-Sep 1950 53 2232 1728 3680 LDKM8 Missouri R nr Landusky Apr-Sep 3166 65 4145 2274 4890 LDKM8N Missouri R below Fort Peck Dam Apr-Sep 1811 47 2207 1472 3840 FPKM8 Missouri R below Fort Peck Dam Apr-Sep 3045 59 4063 2046 5180 FPKM8N Gibson Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 219 49 369 156 450 AGSM8 Gibson Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 219 49 369 156 450 AGSM8N Marias R nr Shelby Apr-Sep 181 42 384 103 435 SHLM8 Marias R nr Shelby Apr-Sep 219 45 432 128 490 SHLM8N Musselshell R at Harlowton Apr-Sep 95 119 165 66 80 HLWM8 Musselshell R at Harlowton Apr-Sep 111 117 180 80 95 HLWM8N Yellowstone R at Yellowstone Lk Apr-Sep 692 85 828 563 815 YLOW4 Yellowstone R at Yellowstone Lk Apr-Sep 875 104 1013 701 840 YLOW4N Yellowstone R at Corwin Sprgs Apr-Sep 1481 75 1787 1160 1980 CORM8 Yellowstone R at Corwin Sprgs Apr-Sep 1762 85 2083 1381 2070 CORM8N Yellowstone R at Livingston Apr-Sep 1710 75 2042 1326 2290 LIVM8 Yellowstone R at Livingston Apr-Sep 2026 83 2404 1604 2440 LIVM8N Yellowstone R at Billings Apr-Sep 2743 67 3221 1920 4070 BILM8 Yellowstone R at Billings Apr-Sep 3706 77 4274 2914 4790 BILM8N Yellowstone R at Miles City Apr-Sep 4383 75 6251 3416 5850 MILM8 Yellowstone R at Miles City Apr-Sep 6930 90 8659 5452 7690 MILM8N Yellowstone R at Sidney Apr-Sep 4409 77 6297 3212 5710 SIDM8 Yellowstone R at Sidney Apr-Sep 7184 89 9100 5579 8060 SIDM8N Boulder R at Big Timber Apr-Sep 162 48 212 97 335 BTMM8 Boulder R at Big Timber Apr-Sep 202 54 252 135 375 BTMM8N Stillwater R nr Absarokee Apr-Sep 412 76 523 309 540 SRAM8 Stillwater R nr Absarokee Apr-Sep 468 79 579 369 595 SRAM8N Clks Fk Yellowstone R nr Belfry Apr-Sep 381 61 508 279 620 BFYM8 Clks Fk Yellowstone R nr Belfry Apr-Sep 454 65 580 351 695 BFYM8N Bighorn R nr St. Xavier Apr-Sep 1611 113 2366 1056 1430 STXM8 Bighorn R nr St. Xavier Apr-Sep 2903 118 3949 2121 2460 STXM8N Little Bighorn R nr Hardin Apr-Sep 85 67 259 51 127 HRDM8 Little Bighorn R nr Hardin Apr-Sep 85 67 259 51 127 HRDM8N Tongue R nr Dayton Apr-Sep 70 73 93 43 96 DAYW4 Tongue R nr Dayton Apr-Sep 76 75 99 49 101 DAYW4N Tongue R nr Decker Apr-Sep 143 61 238 63 235 DSLM8 Tongue R nr Decker Apr-Sep 190 79 288 104 240 DSLM8N Tongue R Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 146 62 246 64 235 DKRM8 Tongue R Resvr Inflow Apr-Sep 194 79 296 105 245 DKRM8N Powder R at Moorhead Apr-Sep 146 65 334 59 225 MHDM8 Powder R at Moorhead Apr-Sep 190 70 378 88 270 MHDM8N Powder R nr Locate Apr-Sep 161 62 367 63 260 LOCM8 Powder R nr Locate Apr-Sep 204 67 413 92 305 LOCM8N Locations with an `N` suffix indicate natural flows excluding stream augmentations. KAF: Thousands of Acre-feet %AVG: Current 50%/AVG AVG: Average(50%) seasonal runoff voulme as simulated by the river forecast model considering acontinuous simulation of the basin response to historic climate data (observed precipitation and temperatures) over the period of 1991-2020. The 50%, 10% and 90% columns indicate the probability that the actual volume will exceed the forecast for the valid time period. Beginning April 1, May and June official forecasts include observed runoff volume up to official forecast date. For more information, please visit: www.weather.gov/mbrfc/water $$