Central Region Headquarters
Regional Headquarters
Weather Liaison Resource Material
Weather Liaison Tools and Training
The following calculation tool is provided for general guidance and is not an official forecast product. Storms can develop and change speed and direction rapidly, therefore this is a tool to assist, not replace a designated Weather Liaison. Event organizers are encouraged to learn more about weather hazards and their potential predictability prior to using this tool. This is an experimental tool that may not always update in a timely manner and should be used with caution.
Use this tool for guidance on when to evacuate or shelter attendees at an outdoor event based upon information about your event and nearby weather.
Enter how much time it will take to notify attendees about evacuation/sheltering and how much time it will take to physically evacuate/shelter all attendees
Enter information about nearby storms and the tool will provide an arrival time estimate.
This tool will utilize the calculated evacuation time to provide an estimate of the latest time that you can safely execute an evacuation and sheltering plan.
To get a radar loop with range rings, enter the latitude and longitude coordinates of the event.
Step 1 - Plan |
|||
Alert and Activation Time: | minutes | ||
Evacuation or Shelter Time: | minutes | ||
25% Safety Factor: |
|
||
Total Evacuation Time: |
|
||
Step 2 - Monitor Weather |
|||
Time: Use current time Enter time manually |
:
AM PM |
||
Storm Speed: | MPH | ||
Distance Away (from 8-mile radius): | miles | ||
Time Until Arrival: |
|
||
Time Until Arrival (hours): |
|
||
Step 3 - Act |
|||
Total Evacuation Time: |
|
||
Total Evacuation Time (hours): |
|
||
Act Time: |
|
||
Storm Strike Time: |
|
Latitude: ºN Longitude: ºE
The amount of time that it will take to notify everyone about evacuation/sheltering and activate any procedures that are required for evacuation/sheltering to take place.
The amount of time that it will take to evacuate and/or shelter everyone at the event.
The amount of time that should be taken into account when evacuating an event to consider possible changes in storm speed and any unexpected delays. Equivalent to 25% of the sum of the alert/activation time and evacuation/shelter time (rounded up to the nearest minute).
The amount of time required to safely carry out the full evacuation/sheltering plan, assuming that additional storms do not develop and that storm speeds remains constant. Determined by summing the alert/activation time, the evacuation/shelter time, and the 25% safety factor.
The current time. Can also be set to a custom time to plan out hypothetical scenarios. If left blank, act time and storm strike time will not be computed, but additional guidance will be provided based on the amount of information that was entered.
The speed at which a storm is moving towards the location of the event. If left blank, time until arrival, act time, and storm strike time will not be computed, but additional guidance will be provided based on the amount of information that was entered.
How far away a storm currently is from the 8-mile lightning safety radius for the location of the event (or from the location of the event minus 8). So for instance, for a storm that is 20 miles away from the actual location of the event, you would enter 12, as that is the distance between the storm and the 8-mile safety radius for the event's location. If left blank, time until arrival, act time, and storm strike time will not be computed, but additional guidance will be provided based on the amount of information that was entered.
How much time remains until the storm reaches the event's 8-mile lightning safety radius, based on the inputted storm speed and distance away (under the assumption that the storm speed does not change).
The latest time at which the evacuation/sheltering plan should start in order to be safely completed prior to the storm's arrival. This is based on the Alert/Activation time and Evacuation/Shelter time that was entered, and assumes that storm speed is constant and no additional thunderstorms develop. This can only be computed if valid input is entered for all 5 input fields.
The time at which the storm will reach the event's 8-mile lightning safety radius, assuming that the storm speed does not change. This can only be computed if valid input is entered for all 5 input fields.
The latitude/longitude coordinates of the location of the event. If entered, a link (or multiple links) will be generated that will take you to a web page with a radar loop that has both the 8-mile lightning safety radius and an evacuation/sheltering decision point radius imposed on it to help you visualize the input that you entered into the tool and the different stages of the evacuation/sheltering plan. Latitude is in degrees North, while longitude is in degrees East. Values between -90 and 90 constitute valid latitude coordinates and values between -360 and 360 constitute valid longitude coordinates, but for best performance in the U.S., the latitude should be a positive number between 15 and 75 and the longitude should be a negative number between -180 and -60. Both numbers can be decimals.
Tool developed by Rafal Ogorek at NWS Chicago. Based upon a previous tool created by Kristin Licko and a concept developed by the DuPage County Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Management. Please contact Mike Bardou (mike.bardou@noaa.gov) with questions or comments.
US Dept of Commerce
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
National Weather Service
Central Region Headquarters
7220 NW 101st Terrace
Kansas City, MO 64153
Comments? Questions? Please Contact Us.